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2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma

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2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma
← 2014 November 3, 2020 2022 (special) →
 
Nominee Jim Inhofe Abby Broyles
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 979,140 509,763
Percentage 62.91% 32.75%
Inhofe:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
U.S. senator before election

Jim Inhofe
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Jim Inhofe
Republican

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The 2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oklahoma, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Jim Inhofe won reelection to a fifth full term, defeating Democratic challenger Abby Broyles.[1]

This proved to be the fifth U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma in a row in which the Democratic nominee failed to carry any of Oklahoma's counties, but Broyles came very close to breaking this drought, losing Oklahoma County by less than one percentage point.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jim Inhofe

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

State officials

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Inhofe
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results [8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Inhofe (incumbent) 277,868 74.05
Republican J.J. Stitt 57,433 15.31
Republican John Tompkins 23,563 6.28
Republican Neil Mavis 16,363 4.36
Total votes 375,227 100.00

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Abby Broyles, attorney and former KFOR news reporter[9]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Abby Broyles

Organizations

Unions

  • Oklahoma Building Trades[17]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Broyles
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Cassity
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results [8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Abby Broyles 163,921 60.45
Democratic Elysabeth Britt 45,206 16.67
Democratic Sheila Bilyeu 32,350 11.93
Democratic R. O. Joe Cassity, Jr. 29,698 10.95
Total votes 271,175 100.00

Other candidates

[edit]

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Robert Murphy, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016[18]

Independents

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[19] Safe R October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[20] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] Safe R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[22] Safe R October 30, 2020
Politico[23] Safe R November 2, 2020
RCP[24] Safe R October 23, 2020
DDHQ[25] Safe R November 3, 2020
538[26] Safe R November 2, 2020
Economist[27] Safe R November 2, 2020

Endorsements

[edit]
Jim Inhofe (R)

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

State officials

Abby Broyles (D)

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Local officials

Organizations

Unions

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jim
Inhofe (R) 		Abby
Broyles (D) 		Other Undecided
SoonerPoll[38] October 15–20, 2020 5,466 (LV) ± 1.33% 56% 37% 2%[b] 4%
Amber Integrated[39] September 17–20, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 30% 5%[c] 19%
SoonerPoll[40] September 2–8, 2020 486 (LV) ± 4.45% 57% 33% 3%[d] 6%
DFM Research (D)[41][A] July 29–30, 2020 572 (LV) ± 4.1% 50% 34% 5%[e] 11%
Amber Integrated[42] March 5–8, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 57% 31% – 12%
Abby Broyles[43][A] Released February 17, 2020 – (V)[f] – 56% 44% – –
Hypothetical polling

with generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jim
Inhofe (R) 		Generic
Democrat (D) 		Undecided
Amber Integrated[44] June 3–4, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 54% 34% 12%

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2020[45]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Jim Inhofe (incumbent) 979,140 62.91% –5.10
Democratic Abby Broyles 509,763 32.75% +4.20
Libertarian Robert Murphy 34,435 2.21% N/A
Independent Joan Farr 21,652 1.39% +0.11
Independent A. D. Nesbit 11,371 0.73% N/A
Total votes 1,556,361 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

By county

[edit]
By county
County Jim Inhofe
Republican 		Abby Broyles
Democratic 		Robert Murphy
Libertarian 		Joan Farr
Independent 		A. D. Nesbit
Independent 		Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # % # % # %
Adair 5,134 72.58 1,615 22.83 138 1.95 124 1.75 63 0.89 3,519 49.75 7,074
Alfalfa 1,899 84.10 262 11.60 46 2.04 38 1.68 13 0.58 1,637 72.50 2,258
Atoka 4,380 81.93 798 14.93 83 1.55 54 1.01 31 0.58 3,582 67.00 5,346
Beaver 1,889 87.29 195 9.01 43 1.99 22 1.02 15 0.69 1,694 78.28 2,164
Beckham 6,417 80.95 1,196 15.09 178 2.25 89 1.12 47 0.59 5,221 65.86 7,927
Blaine 2,987 76.87 751 19.33 65 1.67 59 1.52 24 0.62 2,236 57.54 3,886
Bryan 11,928 74.99 3,335 20.97 358 2.25 185 1.16 101 0.63 8,593 54.02 15,907
Caddo 6,761 68.72 2,665 27.09 186 1.89 151 1.53 75 0.76 4,096 41.63 9,838
Canadian 41,519 67.31 17,386 28.19 1,525 2.47 818 1.33 433 0.70 24,133 39.12 61,681
Carter 14,344 73.85 4,352 22.41 345 1.78 243 1.25 140 0.72 9,992 51.44 19,424
Cherokee 10,249 58.03 6,519 36.91 436 2.47 302 1.71 156 0.88 3,730 21.12 17,662
Choctaw 4,555 78.51 1,070 18.44 74 1.28 67 1.15 36 0.62 3,485 60.07 5,802
Cimarron 948 90.89 64 6.14 14 1.34 11 1.05 6 0.58 884 84.75 1,043
Cleveland 64,540 53.98 49,632 41.51 2,890 2.42 1,635 1.37 857 0.72 14,908 12.47 119,554
Coal 1,964 79.16 430 17.33 33 1.33 30 1.21 24 0.97 1,534 61.83 2,481
Comanche 21,026 59.25 12,687 35.75 852 2.40 596 1.68 327 0.92 8,339 23.50 35,488
Cotton 2,114 82.51 358 13.97 39 1.52 33 1.29 18 0.70 1,756 68.54 2,562
Craig 4,278 71.22 1,446 24.07 144 2.40 94 1.56 45 0.75 2,832 47.14 6,007
Creek 22,097 72.63 6,956 22.86 688 2.26 486 1.60 199 0.65 15,141 49.77 30,426
Custer 7,735 72.54 2,454 23.01 275 2.58 134 1.26 65 0.61 5,281 49.53 10,663
Delaware 12,829 74.67 3,700 21.54 283 1.65 249 1.45 120 0.70 9,129 53.13 17,181
Dewey 2,045 86.87 253 10.75 29 1.23 20 0.85 7 0.30 1,792 76.12 2,354
Ellis 1,621 86.87 187 10.02 28 1.50 18 0.96 12 0.64 1,434 76.85 1,866
Garfield 16,306 72.96 5,006 22.40 519 2.32 332 1.49 185 0.83 11,300 50.56 22,348
Garvin 8,504 78.11 1,993 18.31 164 1.51 137 1.26 89 0.82 6,511 59.80 10,887
Grady 17,700 76.81 4,503 19.54 397 1.72 283 1.23 160 0.69 13,197 57.27 23,043
Grant 1,835 82.84 304 13.72 37 1.67 24 1.08 15 0.68 1,531 69.12 2,215
Greer 1,534 78.35 347 17.72 40 2.04 19 0.97 18 0.92 1,187 60.63 1,958
Harmon 730 78.24 182 19.51 12 1.29 6 0.64 3 0.32 548 58.73 933
Harper 1,290 87.04 144 9.72 18 1.21 22 1.48 8 0.54 1,146 77.32 1,482
Haskell 3,892 78.20 926 18.61 81 1.63 49 0.98 29 0.58 2,966 59.59 4,977
Hughes 3,660 75.81 1,002 20.75 75 1.55 65 1.35 26 0.54 2,658 55.06 4,828
Jackson 6,407 78.24 1,447 17.67 194 2.37 100 1.22 41 0.50 4,960 60.57 8,189
Jefferson 1,943 82.37 323 13.69 45 1.91 32 1.36 16 0.68 1,620 68.68 2,359
Johnston 3,318 78.66 749 17.76 68 1.61 57 1.35 26 0.62 2,569 60.90 4,218
Kay 12,219 71.07 4,159 24.19 369 2.15 286 1.66 161 0.94 8,060 46.88 17,194
Kingfisher 5,332 82.62 895 13.87 130 2.01 73 1.13 24 0.37 4,437 68.75 6,454
Kiowa 2,592 75.77 730 21.34 57 1.67 23 0.67 19 0.56 1,862 54.43 3,421
Latimer 3,172 75.18 883 20.93 67 1.59 57 1.35 40 0.95 2,289 54.25 4,219
Le Flore 14,484 77.68 3,462 18.57 320 1.72 269 1.44 110 0.59 11,022 59.11 18,645
Lincoln 11,445 77.16 2,767 18.65 312 2.10 205 1.38 104 0.70 8,678 58.51 14,833
Logan 15,044 70.00 5,542 25.79 516 2.40 247 1.15 141 0.66 9,502 44.21 21,490
Love 3,230 79.58 701 17.27 56 1.38 44 1.08 28 0.69 2,529 62.31 4,059
Major 2,992 86.45 348 10.05 71 2.05 39 1.13 11 0.32 2,644 76.40 3,461
Marshall 12,219 71.07 4,159 24.19 369 2.15 286 1.66 161 0.94 8,060 46.88 17,194
Mayes 11,826 71.42 3,973 23.99 353 2.13 272 1.64 134 0.81 7,853 47.43 16,558
McClain 14,603 76.09 3,861 20.12 397 2.07 213 1.11 119 0.62 10,742 55.97 19,193
McCurtain 9,021 79.61 1,941 17.13 172 1.52 132 1.16 66 0.58 7,080 62.48 11,332
McIntosh 5,733 69.16 2,235 26.96 143 1.72 114 1.38 65 0.78 3,498 42.20 8,290
Murray 4,400 74.91 1,252 21.31 108 1.84 75 1.28 39 0.66 3,148 53.60 5,874
Muskogee 15,529 62.06 8,381 33.50 504 2.01 396 1.58 211 0.84 7,148 28.56 25,021
Noble 3,603 73.02 1,098 22.25 123 2.49 71 1.44 39 0.79 2,505 50.77 4,934
Nowata 3,374 77.03 814 18.58 90 2.05 69 1.58 33 0.75 2,560 58.45 4,380
Okfuskee 2,865 71.34 991 24.68 69 1.72 62 1.54 29 0.72 1,874 46.66 4,016
Oklahoma 142,092 48.29 139,559 47.43 6,545 2.22 3,799 1.29 2,252 0.77 2,533 0.86 294,247
Okmulgee 9,114 63.85 4,510 31.60 295 2.07 229 1.60 126 0.88 4,604 32.25 14,274
Osage 13,276 64.79 6,336 30.92 429 2.09 314 1.53 136 0.66 6,940 33.87 20,491
Ottawa 7,283 64.27 3,283 28.97 331 2.92 267 2.36 168 1.48 4,000 35.30 11,332
Pawnee 4,937 73.06 1,459 21.59 166 2.46 133 1.97 62 0.92 3,478 51.47 6,757
Payne 17,114 57.83 11,010 37.20 863 2.92 388 1.31 218 0.74 6,104 20.63 29,593
Pittsburg 13,102 73.33 4,032 22.57 343 1.92 263 1.47 128 0.72 9,070 50.76 17,868
Pontotoc 10,418 68.29 4,168 27.32 351 2.30 191 1.25 128 0.84 6,250 40.97 15,256
Pottawatomie 19,257 68.49 7,646 27.19 604 2.15 363 1.29 247 0.88 11,611 41.30 28,117
Pushmataha 3,836 81.43 714 15.16 80 1.70 53 1.13 28 0.59 3,122 66.27 4,711
Roger Mills 1,528 84.05 233 12.82 29 1.60 15 0.83 13 0.72 1,295 71.23 1,818
Rogers 32,109 72.24 10,226 23.01 1,134 2.55 693 1.56 288 0.65 21,883 49.23 44,450
Seminole 5,726 68.81 2,294 27.57 133 1.60 103 1.24 66 0.79 3,432 41.24 8,322
Sequoyah 11,370 74.46 3,327 21.79 281 1.84 194 1.27 97 0.64 8,043 52.68 15,269
Stephens 15,216 80.18 3,122 16.45 340 1.79 208 1.10 91 0.48 12,094 63.73 18,977
Texas 4,368 79.35 853 15.50 149 2.71 97 1.76 38 0.69 3,515 63.85 5,505
Tillman 2,077 76.87 541 20.02 31 1.15 33 1.22 20 0.74 1,536 56.85 2,702
Tulsa 145,369 54.59 108,869 40.88 6,250 2.35 3,875 1.46 1,935 0.73 36,500 13.71 266,298
Wagoner 24,863 70.50 8,851 25.10 776 2.20 530 1.50 246 0.70 16,012 45.40 35,266
Washington 16,417 70.02 5,898 25.16 589 2.51 393 1.68 148 0.63 10,519 44.87 23,445
Washita 3,887 81.45 702 14.71 98 2.05 61 1.28 24 0.50 3,185 66.74 4,772
Woods 2,851 77.64 667 18.16 84 2.29 50 1.36 20 0.54 2,184 59.48 3,672
Woodward 6,319 81.37 1,105 14.23 185 2.38 106 1.36 51 0.66 5,214 67.14 7,766
Totals 979,140 62.91 509,763 32.75 34,435 2.21 21,652 1.39 11,371 0.73 469,377 30.16 1,556,361

By congressional district

[edit]

Inhofe won all 5 congressional districts.[46]

District Infohe Broyles Representative
1st 58% 38% Kevin Hern
2nd 72% 24% Markwayne Mullin
3rd 72% 24% Frank Lucas
4th 64% 32% Tom Cole
5th 50% 45% Kendra Horn (116th Congress)
Stephanie Bice (117th Congress)

Notes

[edit]

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b Poll conducted for Abby Broyles.

Voter samples and additional candidates

  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Farr (I), Murphy (L) and Nesbitt (I) with 1%
  3. ^ Murphy (L) and Nesbit (I) with 2%; Farr (I) with 1%
  4. ^ Murphy (L) with 2%; Farr (I) with 1%
  5. ^ "Independent candidate" with 5%
  6. ^ Not yet released

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Inhofe says he's seeking another term in Senate". KTUL. Associated Press. March 5, 2020. Archived from the original on April 4, 2020. Retrieved March 6, 2020.
  2. ^ a b c d Krehbiel, Randy (June 7, 2020). "U.S. Senate primary draws lively competition despite Inhofe's decades dominating at polls". Tulsa World. Archived from the original on June 16, 2020. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  3. ^ Krehbiel, Randy (October 27, 2019). "Inspired by Oklahoma's governor, another Stitt is running for U.S. Senate". Tulsa World. Archived from the original on October 31, 2019. Retrieved October 31, 2019.
  4. ^ Davenport, Coral (March 17, 2018). "Scott Pruitt, Trump's Rule-Cutting E.P.A. Chief, Plots His Political Future". The New York Times. Archived from the original on March 21, 2021. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
  5. ^ a b Trump, Donald [@realDonaldTrump] (March 9, 2020). "THANK YOU, Jim, for your incredible support of our #MAGA Agenda! You are a tremendous Senator for the people of the Great State of Oklahoma and you have my Complete and Total Endorsement! https://t.co/yx3e1tmjCM" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 – via Twitter.
  6. ^ a b Inhofe, Jim [@inhofeforsenate] (June 24, 2020). "Thank you Congressman Lucas for your kind words. Proud to represent the citizens of Oklahoma alongside you and excited for the future of our great state. https://t.co/zsGHMjOciQ" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 – via Twitter.
  7. ^ a b Inhofe, Jim [@inhofeforsenate] (June 16, 2020). ""Jim is a close friend. Jim Inhofe is Oklahoma's stable rock in turbulent times." @GovStitt https://t.co/xpDoxb5fSv" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 – via Twitter.
  8. ^ a b "OK Election Results". Oklahoma Secretary of State. Archived from the original on July 1, 2020. Retrieved June 30, 2020.
  9. ^ a b c Savage, Tres (November 4, 2019). "Abby Broyles is fifth Dem to file against Jim Inhofe". Non Doc. Archived from the original on December 15, 2019. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
  10. ^ a b Simmons, Beau (August 16, 2019). "Incoming OSU instructor launches U.S. Senate campaign". Stillwater News Press. Archived from the original on August 26, 2019. Retrieved August 25, 2019.
  11. ^ Bach, Tawnya (November 1, 2019). "Coffee With The Candidates: Bevon Rogers". KOAM News. Archived from the original on January 1, 2020. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
  12. ^ a b c "Filing data". www.ok.gov. Archived from the original on June 12, 2020. Retrieved June 29, 2020.
  13. ^ a b "United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2020". Ballotpedia. Archived from the original on March 19, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  14. ^ "Workman 4 Oklahoma". www.facebook.com. Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. Retrieved April 10, 2020.
  15. ^ "Crap. Scott Pruitt wants to be Oklahoma's next U.S. Senator". The Last Ogle. August 15, 2017. Archived from the original on January 11, 2020. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
  16. ^ a b "2020 Federal Endorsements – NOW PAC". nowpac.org. Archived from the original on June 15, 2020. Retrieved June 18, 2020.
  17. ^ a b Broyles, Abby [@abbybroyles] (March 2, 2020). "I'm excited to announce I've been endorsed by Oklahoma Building Trades! This organization represents thousands of Oklahoma workers that I look forward to supporting in the US Senate. Join our team! https://t.co/gzXLcfAqSB -AB https://t.co/C72wvdmdlN" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 – via Twitter.
  18. ^ "Murphy for Senate 2020". secure.anedot.com. Archived from the original on April 6, 2020. Retrieved April 6, 2020.
  19. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on May 30, 2021. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  20. ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Archived from the original on March 13, 2021. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  21. ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on March 1, 2021. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
  22. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.[permanent dead link‍]
  23. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019. Archived from the original on June 20, 2020. Retrieved December 2, 2019.
  24. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020. Archived from the original on March 16, 2021. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  25. ^ "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
  26. ^ Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on September 20, 2020. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
  27. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  28. ^ "Endorsements | Warren Democrats". elizabethwarren.com. Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved September 15, 2020.
  29. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". Hertime. Archived from the original on September 27, 2020. Retrieved September 23, 2020.
  30. ^ Swalwell, Eric [@ericswalwell] (July 1, 2020). "#FactCheck: Sen. Inhofe won't stand up for Oklahoma soldiers Trump may have allowed Russians to target. But @abbybroyles will. Flip the senate with Abby" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  31. ^ "Archived copy". Facebook. Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. Retrieved October 17, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  32. ^ a b "End Citizens United and Let America Vote Endorse Slate of Candidates Committed to Fighting the Status Quo in Washington". End Citizens United. July 30, 2020. Archived from the original on August 14, 2020. Retrieved September 21, 2020.
  33. ^ "Endorsed Candidates – National Women's Political Caucus PAC". Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. Retrieved July 21, 2020.
  34. ^ "2020 Endorsements - Patriotic Millionaires". patrioticmillionaires.org. Archived from the original on September 28, 2020. Retrieved September 23, 2020.
  35. ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club. March 19, 2021. Archived from the original on December 8, 2019. Retrieved September 28, 2020.
  36. ^ "U.S. Senate - Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org. Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. Retrieved November 3, 2020.
  37. ^ "Oklahoma – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers. Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. Retrieved September 3, 2020.
  38. ^ SoonerPoll
  39. ^ Amber Integrated
  40. ^ SoonerPoll
  41. ^ DFM Research (D)
  42. ^ Amber Integrated
  43. ^ Abby Broyles
  44. ^ Amber Integrated
  45. ^ "November 3, 2020 - Official Results". Oklahoma State Election Board. Archived from the original on January 5, 2021. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
  46. ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 18, 2024.
[edit]

Official campaign websites

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