2023 Nigerian presidential election in Borno State
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The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Borno State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
Background
[edit]Borno State is a large, diverse northeastern state in the process of recovering from the worst of the Boko Haram insurgency. Still facing large-scale threats by and partial occupation from Boko Haram and ISWAP terrorists, the state also has to contend with an underdeveloped yet vital agricultural sector, desertification, and low education rates. Politically, the 2019 elections confirmed the state's status as one of the most staunchly APC states in the nation as both Buhari and APC gubernatorial nominee Babagana Umara Zulum won the state by wide margins and every single legislative seat on the senatorial, house of representatives, and house of assembly levels were carried by APC nominees.
Polling
[edit]| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
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Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinubu APC |
Obi LP |
Kwankwaso NNPP |
Abubakar PDP | |||||||
| Nextier (Borno crosstabs of national poll) |
27 January 2023 | N/A | 62.9% | 32.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | – | – | – | – |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Borno crosstabs of national poll) |
22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 24% | 10% | 2% | 42% | 3% | 20% | – | – |
Projections
[edit]| Source | Projection | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Africa Elects[a][2] | Safe Tinubu | 24 February 2023 | |
| Dataphyte[b][3] | |||
| Tinubu: | 45.37% | 11 February 2023 | |
| Obi: | 4.95% | ||
| Abubakar: | 45.37% | ||
| Others: | 4.32% | ||
| Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence[c][4] |
Abubakar | 17 February 2023 | |
| SBM Intelligence[d][5] | Tinubu | 15 December 2022 | |
| ThisDay[e][6] | |||
| Tinubu: | 40% | 27 December 2022 | |
| Obi: | – | ||
| Kwankwaso: | 20% | ||
| Abubakar: | 35% | ||
| Others/Undecided: | 5% | ||
| The Nation[f][7][8] | Tinubu | 12-19 February 2023 | |
General election
[edit]Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | Christopher Imumolen | |||
| AA | Hamza al-Mustapha | |||
| ADP | Yabagi Sani | |||
| APP | Osita Nnadi | |||
| AAC | Omoyele Sowore | |||
| ADC | Dumebi Kachikwu | |||
| APC | Bola Tinubu | |||
| APGA | Peter Umeadi | |||
| APM | Princess Chichi Ojei | |||
| BP | Sunday Adenuga | |||
| LP | Peter Obi | |||
| NRM | Felix Johnson Osakwe | |||
| New Nigeria Peoples Party | Rabiu Kwankwaso | |||
| PRP | Kola Abiola | |||
| PDP | Atiku Abubakar | |||
| SDP | Adewole Adebayo | |||
| YPP | Malik Ado-Ibrahim | |||
| ZLP | Dan Nwanyanwu | |||
| Total votes | 100.00% | |||
| Invalid or blank votes | N/A | |||
| Turnout | ||||
By senatorial district
[edit]The results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial district | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Borno Central Senatorial District[g] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Borno North Senatorial District[h] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Borno South Senatorial District[i] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By federal constituency
[edit]The results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal constituency | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Askira-Uba/Hawul Federal Constituency[j] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Bama/Ngala/Kala-Balge Federal Constituency[k] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Biu/Kwaya Kusar/Shani/Bayo Federal Constituency[l] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Chibok/Damboa/Gwoza Federal Constituency[m] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Dikwa/Mafa/Konduga Federal Constituency[n] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Gubio/Kaga/Magumeri Federal Constituency[o] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Jere Federal Constituency[p] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Kukawa/Mobbar/Abadam/Guzamala Federal Constituency[q] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Maiduguri (Metropolitan) Federal Constituency[r] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Monguno/Marte/Nganzai Federal Constituency[s] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By local government area
[edit]The results of the election by local government area.
| Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
| Abadam | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Askira/Uba | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Bama | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Bayo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Biu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Chibok | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Damboa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Dikwa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Gubio | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Guzamala | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Gwoza | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Hawul | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Jere | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Kaga | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Kala/Balge | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Kukawa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Kwaya Kusar | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Mafa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Magumeri | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Maiduguri | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Marte | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Mobbar | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Monguno | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ngala | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Nganzai | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Shani | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ AfricaElects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
- ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
- ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
- ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bama, Dikwa, Jere, Kaga, Kala/Balge, Konduga, Mafa, Maiduguri, and Ngala.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Abadam, Gubio, Guzamala, Kukawa, Magumeri, Marte, Mobbar, Monguno, and Nganzai.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Askira/Uba, Bayo, Biu, Chibok, Damboa, Gwoza, Hawul, Kwaya Kusar, and Shani.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Askira/Uba and Hawul.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bama, Kala/Balge, and Ngala.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bayo, Biu, Kwaya Kusar, and Shani.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Chibok, Damboa, and Gwoza.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Dikwa, Konduga, and Mafa.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Gubio, Kaga, and Magumeri.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Jere.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Abadam, Guzamala, Kukawa, and Mobbar.
- ^ Comprising the local government area of Maiduguri.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Monguno.
References
[edit]- ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
- ^ Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
- ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
- ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.