2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ebonyi State
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| Registered | 1,597,646 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Ebonyi State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
Background
[edit]Ebonyi State is a small, Igbo-majority southeastern state with a growing economy and vast natural areas but facing an underdeveloped yet vital agricultural sector, rising debt, and a low COVID-19 vaccination rate. Politically, the state's 2019 elections were categorized as a continuation of the PDP's control as Governor Dave Umahi won with over 81% of the vote and the party won every seat in the House of Assembly along with all three senate seats. However, the PDP did lose one House of Representatives seat to the APC after a court ruling and although the state was easily won by PDP presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar, it still swung towards Buhari compared to 2015 and had lower turnout.
Polling
[edit]| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
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|
|
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|
Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinubu APC |
Obi LP |
Kwankwaso NNPP |
Abubakar PDP | |||||||
| BantuPage | January 2023 | N/A | 0% | 84% | 0% | 1% | – | 8% | 5% | 1% |
| Nextier (Ebonyi crosstabs of national poll) |
27 January 2023 | N/A | 4.9% | 80.5% | 2.4% | 12.2% | – | – | – | – |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Ebonyi crosstabs of national poll) |
22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 1% | 83% | 2% | 5% | – | 9% | – | – |
Projections
[edit]| Source | Projection | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Africa Elects[a][2] | Safe Obi | 24 February 2023 | |
| Dataphyte[b][3] | |||
| Tinubu: | 37.72% | 11 February 2023 | |
| Obi: | 46.85% | ||
| Abubakar: | 8.24% | ||
| Others: | 7.19% | ||
| Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence[c][4] |
Obi | 17 February 2023 | |
| SBM Intelligence[d][5] | Obi | 15 December 2022 | |
| ThisDay[e][6] | |||
| Tinubu: | 15% | 27 December 2022 | |
| Obi: | 60% | ||
| Kwankwaso: | – | ||
| Abubakar: | 15% | ||
| Others/Undecided: | 15% | ||
| The Nation[f][7][8] | Obi | 12-19 February 2023 | |
General election
[edit]Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | Christopher Imumolen | |||
| AA | Hamza al-Mustapha | |||
| ADP | Yabagi Sani | |||
| APP | Osita Nnadi | |||
| AAC | Omoyele Sowore | |||
| ADC | Dumebi Kachikwu | |||
| APC | Bola Tinubu | |||
| APGA | Peter Umeadi | |||
| APM | Princess Chichi Ojei | |||
| BP | Sunday Adenuga | |||
| LP | Peter Obi | |||
| NRM | Felix Johnson Osakwe | |||
| New Nigeria Peoples Party | Rabiu Kwankwaso | |||
| PRP | Kola Abiola | |||
| PDP | Atiku Abubakar | |||
| SDP | Adewole Adebayo | |||
| YPP | Malik Ado-Ibrahim | |||
| ZLP | Dan Nwanyanwu | |||
| Total votes | 100.00% | |||
| Invalid or blank votes | N/A | |||
| Turnout | ||||
By senatorial district
[edit]The results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial district | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Ebonyi Central Senatorial District[g] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ebonyi North Senatorial District[h] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ebonyi South Senatorial District[i] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By federal constituency
[edit]The results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal constituency | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Abakaliki/Izzi Federal Constituency[j] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Afikpo North/Afikpo South Federal Constituency[k] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ebonyi/Ohaukwu Federal Constituency[l] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ezza North/Ishielu Federal Constituency[m] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ezza South/Ikwo Federal Constituency[n] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ivo/Ohaozara/Onicha Federal Constituency[o] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By local government area
[edit]The results of the election by local government area.
| Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
| Abakaliki | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Afikpo North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Afikpo South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ebonyi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ezza North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ezza South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ikwo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ishielu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ivo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Izzi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ohaozara | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ohaukwu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Onicha | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ AfricaElects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
- ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
- ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
- ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ezza North, Ezza South, Ikwo, and Ishielu.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Abakaliki, Ebonyi, Izzi, and Ohaukwu.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Afikpo North, Afikpo South, Ivo, Ohaozara, and Onicha.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Abakaliki and Izzi.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Afikpo North and Afikpo South.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ebonyi and Ohaukwu.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ezza North and Ishielu.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ezza South and Ikwo.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ivo, Ohaozara, and Onicha.
References
[edit]- ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
- ^ Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
- ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
- ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.