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2018 United States Senate election in Indiana

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For related races, see 2018 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with 2018 Indiana State Senate election.

2018 United States Senate election in Indiana
← 2012 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2024 →
Turnout50.42% Decrease
 
Nominee Mike Braun Joe Donnelly
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,158,000 1,023,553
Percentage 50.73% 44.84%
Braun:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Donnelly:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
U.S. senator before election

Joe Donnelly
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Mike Braun
Republican

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The 2018 United States Senate election in Indiana took place on November 6, 2018, along with other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Joe Donnelly lost re-election to a second term to Republican Mike Braun by a 6% margin. This was the second consecutive election for this seat where the incumbent was defeated and/or the seat flipped parties.

This was one of ten Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state won by Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election. In 2017, Politico described the race as "possibly the GOP's best opportunity to seize a Senate seat from Democrats" in the 2018 elections.[1] The primary election was held on May 8, 2018.[2] In October 2018, RealClearPolitics rated the race a toss-up between the Democratic and Republican nominees, with the Libertarian receiving a poll average of 6%.[3]

Background

[edit]

In 2012, Joe Donnelly was elected to the Senate with 50% of the vote to Republican nominee Richard Mourdock's 44%. In the 2016 presidential election, Republican nominee Donald Trump won Indiana with about 56.5% of the vote to Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton's 37.5%.[4][5]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]
  • Martin Del Rio, Iraq War veteran[7][8]

Endorsements

[edit]
Joe Donnelly

47th Vice President of the United States

United States Senator

Organization

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joe Donnelly (incumbent) 284,621 100.00%
Total votes 284,621 100.00%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in the primary election

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mike Braun

U.S. Senators

State Senators

State Representatives

Organizations

Newspapers

Luke Messer

U.S. Representatives

State-level officials

Former state party chairs

Local-level officials

Individuals

Todd Rokita

State-level officials

Former state party chairs

Local-level officials

Individuals

Newspapers

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Luke
Messer 		Todd
Rokita 		Mike
Braun 		Other Undecided
Strategic National (R)[60] May 5–6, 2018 300 ± 5.7% 29% 28% 44% – –
Gravis Marketing[61] April 6–11, 2018 280 ± 5.9% 13% 16% 26% – 45%
GS Strategy Group (R-Rokita)[62] January 6–9, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 9% 24% 9% – 58%
GS Strategy Group (R-Rokita)[63] July 16–18, 2017 500 ± 4.4% 20% 28% – – 51%
14% 21% 11% – 55%
OnMedia (R-Messer)[64] July 10–12, 2017 400 ± 4.8% 23% 23% 2% 7%[a] 45%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Braun
  •   80–90%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   <40%
  Rokita
  •   <40%
  •   40–50%
  Messer
  •   <40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Republican primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Braun 208,602 41.17%
Republican Todd Rokita 151,967 29.99%
Republican Luke Messer 146,131 28.84%
Total votes 506,700 100.00%

Independent

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • James Johnson Jr.[65]

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
  • Mike Braun, businessman and former state representative (R)
  • Lucy Brenton (L)
  • Joe Donnelly, incumbent (D)
  • James Johnson Jr. (I)

Debates

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[66] Tossup October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[67] Tossup November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[68] Lean R (flip) November 5, 2018
CNN[69] Tossup November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[70] Tossup November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[71] Tossup November 5, 2018
Fox News[72] Tossup November 5, 2018

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018
Candidate (party) Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand
Joe Donnelly (D) $16,100,528 $13,872,981 $2,321,981
Mike Braun (R) $16,964,706 $15,576,842 $1,387,861
Source: Federal Election Commission[73]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mike Braun (R)

U.S. Executive Branch Officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Governors

State Senators

State Representatives

Cabinet-level officials

Individuals

Organizations

Joe Donnelly (D)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. Senators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Declined to endorse

Organizations

  • Indiana Chamber of Commerce[135]

Newspapers

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Donnelly (D) 		Mike
Braun (R) 		Lucy
Brenton (L) 		Other Undecided
HarrisX[138] November 3–5, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 42% 43% – – –
HarrisX[139] November 2–4, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 43% 41% – – –
HarrisX[140] November 1–3, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 43% 42% – – –
HarrisX[141] October 31 – November 2, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 44% 42% – – –
HarrisX[142] October 30 – November 1, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 43% 43% – – –
HarrisX[143] October 29–31, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 40% 43% – – –
Fox News[144] October 27–30, 2018 722 LV ± 3.5% 45% 38% 5% 2% 9%
852 RV ± 3.0% 42% 38% 6% 2% 11%
HarrisX[145] October 24–30, 2018 1,400 ± 2.6% 42% 42% – – –
NBC News/Marist[146] October 24–28, 2018 496 LV ± 5.5% 45% 42% 7% <1% 5%
48% 46% – 2% 5%
800 RV ± 4.2% 43% 40% 9% <1% 7%
47% 45% – 2% 7%
Cygnal (R)[147] October 26–27, 2018 505 ± 4.4% 46% 49% – 3% 2%
YouGov[148] October 23–26, 2018 975 ± 3.7% 43% 46% 3% 0% 8%
Mason Strategies (R)[149] October 15–20, 2018 600 ± 3.9% 43% 47% 3% – 7%
American Viewpoint (R-Braun)[150] October 14–17, 2018 800 – 40% 44% 7% – 5%
SurveyUSA[151] October 12–16, 2018 816 ± 4.6% 41% 40% 8% – 11%
Gravis Marketing[152] October 12–16, 2018 377 ± 5.1% 44% 40% 7% – 10%
Vox Populi Polling[153] October 13–15, 2018 783 ± 3.5% 55% 45% – – –
American Viewpoint (R-Braun)[150] October 7–10, 2018 800 – 40% 44% 7% – 7%
American Viewpoint (R-Braun)[150] September 30 – October 3, 2018 800 – 39% 43% 7% – 5%
Fox News[154] September 29 – October 2, 2018 695 LV ± 3.5% 43% 41% 6% 2% 9%
806 RV ± 3.5% 41% 40% 6% 1% 10%
Ipsos[155] September 12–20, 2018 1,181 ± 3.0% 46% 43% – 3% 8%
Fox News[156] September 8–11, 2018 677 LV ± 3.5% 43% 45% 3% 1% 8%
804 RV ± 3.5% 42% 41% 4% 1% 10%
NBC News/Marist[157] August 26–29, 2018 576 LV ± 5.0% 44% 41% 8% 1% 6%
49% 43% – 2% 7%
816 RV ± 4.2% 43% 40% 8% 1% 8%
48% 42% – 2% 9%
Trafalgar Group (R)[158] July 31 – August 7, 2018 1,420 ± 2.6% 51% 39% – – 11%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[159] June 11 – July 2, 2018 952 ± 5.0% 47% 49% – – 4%
Gravis Marketing[160] May 10–15, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 46% 47% – – 7%
Hypothetical polling

with Todd Rokita

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Donnelly (D) 		Todd
Rokita (R) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing[161] April 6–11, 2018 411 ± 4.8% 50% 32% 18%

with Luke Messer

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Donnelly (D) 		Luke
Messer (R) 		Undecided
Gravis Marketing[162] April 6–11, 2018 411 ± 4.8% 46% 36% 18%

with generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Donnelly (D) 		Generic
Republican 		Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[163] February 12 – March 5, 2018 1,809 ± 3.8% 45% 51% 4%

Results

[edit]

On November 6, 2018, Braun won the general election.[164] He swept southern Indiana, the exurbs of Indianapolis, and most other rural areas in the state. Donnelly ran well behind his 2012 vote totals, winning only in Indianapolis, the university centers (Bloomington, Terre Haute, West Lafayette, South Bend), and the suburbs of Chicago in Northwest Indiana.[165]

United States Senate election in Indiana, 2018[166]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mike Braun 1,158,000 50.73% +6.5%
Democratic Joe Donnelly (incumbent) 1,023,553 44.84% −5.2%
Libertarian Lucy Brenton 100,942 4.42% −1.3%
Write-in 70 <0.00% N/A
Total votes 2,282,565 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

By county

[edit]

Source[167]

Mike Braun
Republican 		Joe Donnelly
Democratic 		Lucy Brenton
Libertarian 		Margin Total
County Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes
Adams 7,511 67.39% 3,146 28.23% 489 4.39% 4,365 39.16% 11,146
Allen 65,927 52.36% 55,903 44.40% 4,080 3.24% 10,024 7.96% 125,910
Bartholomew 15,222 57.41% 10,071 37.98% 1,223 4.61% 5,151 19.43% 26,516
Benton 1,926 64.98% 847 28.58% 191 6.44% 1,079 36.40% 2,964
Blackford 2,303 59.39% 1,275 32.88% 300 7.74% 1,028 26.51% 3,878
Boone 15,540 56.43% 10,981 39.87% 1,019 3.70% 4,559 16.55% 27,540
Brown 4,103 57.07% 2,768 38.50% 318 4.42% 1,335 18.57% 7,189
Carroll 4,518 65.35% 2,071 29.95% 325 4.70% 2,447 35.39% 6,914
Cass 6,617 57.79% 4,061 35.47% 772 6.74% 2,556 22.32% 11,450
Clark 22,766 52.60% 18,551 42.86% 1,967 4.54% 4,215 9.74% 43,284
Clay 6,207 66.91% 2,601 28.04% 469 5.06% 3,606 38.87% 9,277
Clinton 5,967 64.81% 2,755 29.92% 485 5.27% 3,212 34.89% 9,207
Crawford 2,252 56.83% 1,504 37.95% 207 5.22% 748 18.87% 3,963
Daviess 6,555 75.01% 1,901 21.75% 283 3.24% 4,654 53.26% 8,739
Dearborn 13,287 72.79% 4,481 24.55% 487 2.67% 8,806 48.24% 18,255
Decatur 6,246 69.35% 2,287 25.39% 473 5.25% 3,959 43.96% 9,006
DeKalb 9,167 65.80% 4,204 30.18% 561 4.03% 4,963 35.62% 13,932
Delaware 17,447 46.27% 18,159 48.16% 2,099 5.57% -712 -1.89% 37,705
Dubois 11,204 65.42% 5,264 30.74% 658 3.84% 5,940 34.68% 17,126
Elkhart 31,164 57.83% 21,062 39.09% 1,661 3.08% 10,102 18.75% 53,887
Fayette 4,704 63.02% 2,295 30.75% 465 6.23% 2,409 32.27% 7,464
Floyd 16,588 52.12% 14,070 44.21% 1,167 3.67% 2,518 7.91% 31,825
Fountain 4,060 69.18% 1,496 25.49% 313 5.33% 2,564 43.69% 5,869
Franklin 5,614 75.54% 1,619 21.78% 199 2.68% 3,995 53.75% 7,432
Fulton 4,154 59.28% 2,539 36.23% 315 4.49% 1,615 23.05% 7,008
Gibson 8,040 64.26% 4,001 31.98% 471 3.76% 4,039 32.28% 12,512
Grant 12,393 61.76% 6,745 33.61% 929 4.63% 5,648 28.15% 20,067
Greene 6,949 64.50% 3,313 30.75% 511 4.74% 3,636 33.75% 10,773
Hamilton 72,325 52.38% 61,337 44.42% 4,410 3.19% 10,988 7.96% 138,072
Hancock 19,097 63.10% 9,770 32.28% 1,399 4.62% 9,327 30.82% 30,266
Harrison 9,847 63.05% 5,131 32.86% 639 4.09% 4,716 30.20% 15,617
Hendricks 36,966 58.85% 23,599 37.57% 2,247 3.58% 13,367 21.28% 62,812
Henry 9,569 60.98% 5,171 32.95% 953 6.07% 4,398 28.03% 15,693
Howard 16,736 57.18% 11,159 38.12% 1,376 4.70% 5,577 19.05% 29,271
Huntington 8,879 67.22% 3,699 28.00% 631 4.78% 5,180 39.22% 13,209
Jackson 9,431 65.43% 4,198 29.12% 785 5.45% 5,233 36.30% 14,414
Jasper 6,987 66.00% 3,278 30.97% 321 3.03% 3,709 35.04% 10,586
Jay 3,990 63.42% 1,933 30.73% 368 5.85% 2,057 32.70% 6,291
Jefferson 6,345 56.44% 4,313 38.37% 584 5.19% 2,032 18.08% 11,242
Jennings 5,921 64.72% 2,686 29.36% 542 5.92% 3,235 35.36% 9,149
Johnson 32,540 62.70% 17,479 33.68% 1,883 3.63% 15,061 29.02% 51,902
Knox 7,876 62.38% 3,977 31.50% 772 6.11% 3,899 30.88% 12,625
Kosciusko 18,558 70.34% 6,801 25.78% 1,022 3.87% 11,757 44.57% 26,381
LaGrange 5,183 67.49% 2,217 28.87% 280 3.65% 2,966 38.62% 7,680
Lake 54,564 33.62% 104,390 64.32% 3,340 2.06% -49,826 -30.70% 162,294
LaPorte 16,008 42.98% 20,014 53.73% 1,225 3.29% -4,006 -10.76% 37,247
Lawrence 10,274 66.30% 4,434 28.61% 788 5.09% 5,840 37.69% 15,496
Madison 22,841 51.83% 18,701 42.44% 2,526 5.73% 4,140 9.39% 44,068
Marion 98,385 32.04% 197,880 64.43% 10,840 3.53% -99,495 -32.40% 307,105
Marshall 8,747 58.71% 5,619 37.71% 533 3.58% 3,128 20.99% 14,899
Martin 2,997 69.31% 1,127 26.06% 200 4.63% 1,870 43.25% 4,324
Miami 6,975 67.30% 2,862 27.61% 527 5.08% 4,113 39.69% 10,364
Monroe 15,540 29.94% 34,193 65.87% 2,174 4.19% -18,653 -35.94% 51,907
Montgomery 8,362 66.69% 3,518 28.06% 659 5.26% 4,844 38.63% 12,539
Morgan 17,539 69.72% 6,471 25.72% 1,148 4.56% 11,068 43.99% 25,158
Newton 2,966 65.00% 1,402 30.73% 195 4.27% 1,564 34.28% 4,563
Noble 8,993 65.70% 4,132 30.18% 564 4.12% 4,861 35.51% 13,689
Ohio 1,586 66.22% 747 31.19% 62 2.59% 839 35.03% 2,395
Orange 4,353 64.28% 2,135 31.53% 284 4.19% 2,218 32.75% 6,772
Owen 4,601 63.96% 2,210 30.72% 383 5.32% 2,391 33.24% 7,194
Parke 3,532 66.12% 1,499 28.06% 311 5.82% 2,033 38.06% 5,342
Perry 3,450 48.25% 3,364 47.04% 337 4.71% 86 1.20% 7,151
Pike 3,235 62.71% 1,679 32.55% 245 4.75% 1,556 30.16% 5,159
Porter 29,368 45.32% 33,390 51.53% 2,037 3.14% -4,022 -6.21% 64,795
Posey 6,324 59.44% 3,881 36.48% 435 4.09% 2,443 22.96% 10,640
Pulaski 2,583 59.26% 1,617 37.10% 159 3.65% 966 22.16% 4,359
Putnam 7,814 65.67% 3,512 29.52% 573 4.82% 4,302 36.15% 11,899
Randolph 5,138 63.35% 2,467 30.42% 505 6.23% 2,671 32.93% 8,110
Ripley 6,880 72.66% 2,350 24.82% 239 2.52% 4,530 47.84% 9,469
Rush 3,991 65.61% 1,690 27.78% 402 6.61% 2,301 37.83% 6,083
St. Joseph 36,456 39.08% 53,758 57.63% 3,073 3.29% -17,302 -18.55% 93,287
Scott 4,241 55.34% 3,113 40.62% 309 4.03% 1,128 14.72% 7,663
Shelby 9,340 64.78% 4,333 30.05% 745 5.17% 5,007 34.73% 14,418
Spencer 5,202 58.61% 3,218 36.26% 455 5.13% 1,984 22.35% 8,875
Starke 4,149 54.71% 3,119 41.13% 316 4.17% 1,030 13.58% 7,584
Steuben 7,839 64.39% 3,864 31.74% 472 3.88% 3,975 32.65% 12,175
Sullivan 4,340 58.66% 2,663 36.00% 395 5.34% 1,677 22.67% 7,398
Switzerland 1,874 64.07% 936 32.00% 115 3.93% 938 32.07% 2,925
Tippecanoe 22,649 44.02% 26,376 51.26% 2,431 4.72% -3,727 -7.24% 51,456
Tipton 4,062 66.30% 1,734 28.30% 331 5.40% 2,328 38.00% 6,127
Union 1,749 69.85% 682 27.24% 73 2.92% 1,067 42.61% 2,504
Vanderburgh 29,375 50.20% 27,183 46.45% 1,962 3.35% 2,192 3.75% 58,520
Vermillion 3,002 53.68% 2,198 39.31% 392 7.01% 804 14.38% 5,592
Vigo 14,813 46.79% 15,171 47.92% 1,674 5.29% -358 -1.13% 31,658
Wabash 7,658 67.78% 3,159 27.96% 482 4.27% 4,499 39.82% 11,299
Warren 2,208 67.34% 914 27.87% 157 4.79% 1,294 39.46% 3,279
Warrick 14,010 57.50% 9,594 39.37% 762 3.13% 4,416 18.12% 24,366
Washington 6,127 65.31% 2,806 29.91% 448 4.78% 3,321 35.40% 9,381
Wayne 11,241 56.88% 7,482 37.86% 1,039 5.26% 3,759 19.02% 19,762
Wells 7,819 71.79% 2,694 24.73% 379 3.48% 5,125 47.05% 10,892
White 5,100 60.05% 2,739 32.25% 654 7.70% 2,361 27.80% 8,493
Whitley 9,019 67.39% 3,818 28.53% 547 4.09% 5,201 38.86% 13,384
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Braun won 6 of 9 congressional districts, with Donnelly winning the other 3, including one held by a Republican.

District Braun Donnelly Elected
Representative
1st 37.9% 60.6% Pete Visclosky
2nd 51.0% 45.5% Jackie Walorski
3rd 59.6% 36.7% Jim Banks
4th 57.9% 37.4% Jim Baird
5th 47.9% 48.4% Susan Brooks
6th 60.8% 34.3% Greg Pence
7th 31.8% 64.5% André Carson
8th 57.3% 38.4% Larry Bucshon
9th 54.3% 41.5% Trey Hollingsworth

Voter demographics

[edit]
Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroup Donnelly Braun No
Answer 		% of
Voters
Gender
Men 40 57 3 49
Women 49 46 5 51
Age
18–29 years old 48 45 7 13
30–44 years old 49 43 8 20
45–64 years old 44 54 3 39
65 and older 41 57 1 28
Race
White 40 56 4 86
Black 88 11 1 8
Latino 71 22 6 3
Asian N/A N/A N/A 1
Other N/A N/A N/A 2
Race by gender
White men 35 62 3 42
White women 44 51 5 44
Black men 82 15 2 4
Black women 95 5 0 4
Latino men N/A N/A N/A 1
Latina women N/A N/A N/A 2
Others N/A N/A N/A 2
Education
High school or less 40 56 4 23
Some college education 40 54 6 26
Associate degree 41 55 4 13
Bachelor's degree 46 51 3 22
Advanced degree 61 36 2 16
Education and race
White college graduates 49 48 3 34
White no college degree 33 62 5 53
Non-white college graduates 80 19 2 4
Non-white no college degree 76 20 4 10
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees 57 39 4 17
White women without college degrees 36 59 6 27
White men with college degrees 41 57 2 17
White men without college degrees 31 65 4 26
Non-whites 77 20 3 14
Income
Under $30,000 49 44 8 15
$30,000–49,999 46 49 4 23
$50,000–99,999 44 55 2 35
$100,000–199,999 44 52 4 22
Over $200,000 N/A N/A N/A 5
Party ID
Democrats 92 6 2 29
Republicans 8 90 2 39
Independents 47 44 9 31
Party by gender
Democratic men 92 6 2 12
Democratic women 93 5 2 18
Republican men 8 91 1 19
Republican women 8 90 2 20
Independent men 42 52 7 18
Independent women 55 33 12 13
Ideology
Liberals 86 8 6 20
Moderates 59 37 5 40
Conservatives 10 88 2 40
Marital status
Married 43 54 3 61
Unmarried 51 46 3 39
Gender by marital status
Married men 38 60 2 31
Married women 48 49 3 30
Unmarried men 42 53 5 19
Unmarried women 61 39 1 20
First-time midterm election voter
Yes 41 53 6 15
No 46 51 3 85
Most important issue facing the country
Health care 70 26 4 41
Immigration 10 85 5 27
Economy 31 66 3 21
Gun policy 66 31 3 8
Area type
Urban 63 33 4 31
Suburban 44 53 3 44
Rural 37 58 5 25
Source: CNN[168]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Curtis Hill* 4%; Mark Hurt†, Terry Henderson†, and Andrew Takami† with 1%. *Hypothetical candidate. †Withdrawn.

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Strauss, Daniel (August 14, 2017). "Missouri's $10M man". Politico. Archived from the original on May 9, 2018. Retrieved December 23, 2017.
  2. ^ "United States Senate election in Indiana, 2018". Ballotpedia. Retrieved December 23, 2017.
  3. ^ "RealClearPolitics - Election 2018 - Indiana Senate - Braun vs. Donnelly vs. Brenton". realclearpolitics.com. Archived from the original on October 4, 2018. Retrieved October 24, 2018.
  4. ^ "Indiana Election Results 2016". The New York Times. August 1, 2017.
  5. ^ "Secretary of State : Election Division: Election Results". in.gov.
  6. ^ Bottorff, Kathy (January 7, 2017). "Hanscom to Manage Sen. Donnelly Reelect". WTCA. Retrieved January 21, 2017.
  7. ^ "VOTE MARTIN DEL RIO - committee overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov. Retrieved October 25, 2017.
  8. ^ "Democrat ends US Senate bid - Political notebook - Journal Gazette". journalgazette.net. January 3, 2018.
  9. ^ a b "Vice President Joe Biden to join Sen. Joe Donnelly campaign fundraiser on Feb. 9".
  10. ^ a b "Joe Biden headed to Indianapolis in February for Donnelly fundraiser". January 26, 2018.
  11. ^ a b Staten, Adam (January 26, 2018). "Donnelly fundraiser to bring former Vice President Joe Biden to Indy".
  12. ^ a b Jones sent out an email to supporters soliciting donations to Donnelly.
  13. ^ a b "End Citizens United on Twitter". Twitter.
  14. ^ a b "US Senator". Indiana Elections Division. Archived from the original on October 1, 2018. Retrieved July 3, 2018.
  15. ^ Grant, Mike (August 2, 2017). "Braun set for U.S. Senate run". Washington Times-Herald. Retrieved August 8, 2017.
  16. ^ Pathé, Simone (November 6, 2017). "Businessman Makes Indiana Senate Primary Three-Person Race" – via www.rollcall.com.
  17. ^ Pathé, Simone (July 26, 2017). "Indiana Rep. Luke Messer Running for Senate". Roll Call. Retrieved July 26, 2017.
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  20. ^ "The Latest: Rokita to Formally Announce Indiana Senate Bid". The New York Times. Associated Press. August 8, 2017. Retrieved August 8, 2017.
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  26. ^ Hudson, Melissa. "Jackie Walorski files for re-election". ABC 57 News. Retrieved February 7, 2018.
  27. ^ Colombo, Hayleigh (April 8, 2017). "Republicans jockey to take on Donnelly in 2018". Indianapolis Business Journal. Retrieved April 11, 2017.
  28. ^ Francisco, Brian (November 13, 2017). "Henderson quits U.S. Senate race". The Journal Gazette. Retrieved November 14, 2017.
  29. ^ "MIKE BRAUN EARNS KEY ENDORSEMENT". City-County Observer. February 8, 2018.
  30. ^ Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul. "Horning for Senate". IndyPolitics.org. Retrieved December 8, 2017.
  31. ^ "5 area state legislators facing primary challengers - Local politics - Journal Gazette". journalgazette.net. Archived from the original on February 10, 2018. Retrieved February 10, 2018.
  32. ^ Myers, George (February 1, 2017). "Kokomo lawyer Mark Hurt announces US Senate bid". News and Tribune. Retrieved February 3, 2017.
  33. ^ Tribune, George Myers Kokomo (February 9, 2018). "Kokomo attorney Hurt, citing FedEx troubles and relocating residents, falls short of required signatures for candidacy".
  34. ^ "Mark Hurt on Twitter".
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  36. ^ "Purdue Polytechnic director Andrew".
  37. ^ "Andrew Takami on Twitter". Twitter.
  38. ^ "Messer Endorsed By Former Senate Candidate Andrew Takami". Luke Messer for Senate. April 9, 2018. Archived from the original on April 12, 2018. Retrieved April 11, 2018.
  39. ^ a b "Tom Coburn endorses Mike Braun in Indiana Senate race". The Washington Times.
  40. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Mike Braun. "I'm proud to announce that my campaign has been endorsed by State Rep. Chris Judy, State Rep. John Young, State Rep. Bob Morris, State Rep. Ron Bacon, State Rep. Chris May, and State Senator Liz Brown. With momentum gaining across the state I'm proud to be endorsed by some of Indiana's best leaders". Facebook.
  41. ^ a b "Citizens Fund Endorses Mike Braun for Senate in Indiana". Tea Party Patriots. May 1, 2018. Archived from the original on May 19, 2018. Retrieved May 19, 2018.
  42. ^ "NOM Endorses Candidates in Key Senate Midterm Contests". NOM Blog. Archived from the original on November 1, 2018. Retrieved October 29, 2018.
  43. ^ EDITORIAL (April 29, 2018). "Braun choice in GOP's Senate field". The Journal Gazette.
  44. ^ Pathé, Simone (September 20, 2017). "Susan Brooks Chooses Sides in Indiana Senate Primary" – via www.rollcall.com.
  45. ^ a b c "Allen County State Legislators Endorse Luke Messer". Luke Messer for Senate. January 5, 2018. Archived from the original on January 8, 2018. Retrieved January 7, 2018.
  46. ^ a b c d e f g "Luke Messer Receives Tidal Wave of Support from Hamilton County Leaders". Luke Messer for Senate. December 7, 2017. Archived from the original on January 8, 2018. Retrieved January 7, 2018.
  47. ^ Matt McKinney (August 10, 2017). "Indiana State Senate President Pro Tempore David Long endorses Luke Messer for U.S. Senate". theindychannel.com.
  48. ^ "Messer Gains Endorsement from Southwest Indiana State Rep". Luke Messer for Senate. March 8, 2018. Archived from the original on March 10, 2018. Retrieved March 9, 2018.
  49. ^ a b c d e f "Luke Messer Announces Six More Endorsements - Luke Messer". lukemesser.com. Archived from the original on February 11, 2018. Retrieved February 11, 2018.
  50. ^ Brian Francisco (August 22, 2017). "Donnelly says focus is on helping Hoosiers". The Journal Gazette. Archived from the original on August 31, 2017. Retrieved August 31, 2017.
  51. ^ "Todd Rokita on Twitter".
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  54. ^ Todd Rokita. "Chairman Jeff Cardwell has been a selfless leader for Hoosier Republicans. I'm honored to have his endorsement". Twitter.
  55. ^ "Leaders of Trump's Indiana Campaign Boost Rokita - Todd Rokita". July 28, 2017. Archived from the original on April 1, 2018. Retrieved April 1, 2018.
  56. ^ "Todd Rokita on Twitter".
  57. ^ "Todd Rokita on Twitter".
  58. ^ Ken de la Bastide (November 25, 2017). "Willis endorses Rokita in Senate race". The Herald Bulletin.
  59. ^ EDITORIAL (May 7, 2018). "EDITORIAL: We endorse Rokita for Senate GOP nod". The Times of Northwest Indiana.
  60. ^ Strategic National (R)
  61. ^ Gravis Marketing Archived November 28, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  62. ^ GS Strategy Group (R-Rokita)
  63. ^ GS Strategy Group (R-Rokita)
  64. ^ OnMedia (R-Messer) Archived August 13, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
  65. ^ "Candidate list" (PDF). in.gov. Archived from the original (PDF) on February 11, 2018. Retrieved April 6, 2018.
  66. ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  67. ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  68. ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
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  70. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
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  73. ^ "Campaign finance data". Retrieved October 31, 2018.
  74. ^ "Former President George W. Bush in Indiana to campaign for Braun". CBS4Indy. October 15, 2018.
  75. ^ "Former President George W. Bush campaigns for Mike Braun in Carmel". FOX59. October 16, 2018.
  76. ^ Donald J. Trump. "Will be going to Evansville, Indiana, tonight for a big crowd rally with Mike Braun, a very successful businessman who is campaigning to be Indiana's next U.S. Senator. He is strong on Crime & Borders, the 2nd Amendment, and loves our Military & Vets. Will be a big night!". Twitter.
  77. ^ Mike Pence. "Congrats to @braun4indiana on his #INSen primary victory tonight! @RealDonaldTrump & I look forward to working with you in support of the #MAGA agenda. Mike Braun will make Hoosiers proud". Twitter.
  78. ^ "Indiana GOP on Twitter".
  79. ^ "Graham to speak at county GOP dinner - Political notebook - Journal Gazette". journalgazette.net. August 26, 2018.
  80. ^ "Lindsey Graham to speak at Allen County GOP dinner - News Now Warsaw". October 16, 2018.
  81. ^ Bluestein, Greg (August 24, 2018). "David Perdue aims to shore up embattled Senate candidates". Politically Georgia.
  82. ^ Todd Young. "Congrats to Mike Braun on tonight's victory! Help keep the momentum going by following @braun4indiana for updates from the campaign trail". Twitter.
  83. ^ Jim Banks. "Congrats to @braun4indiana on your victory this evening. Team Banks looks forward to working with you to give Indiana another reliable conservative voice in the U.S. Senate in November!". Twitter.
  84. ^ "Mike Braun on Twitter".
  85. ^ "Republicans rally around Mike Braun at state convention". ABC57. Archived from the original on June 14, 2018.
  86. ^ Eric Holcomb. "Hoosiers need someone who will support the kinds of things that have made Indiana a leading state for job creation, financial strength & stability, & workforce development. I believe that @braun4indiana is the right person to ensure our principles are pushed hard in Washington". Twitter.
  87. ^ Kellyanne Conway [@KellyannePolls] (October 30, 2018). "Time for Joe to Go. #INSen" (Tweet). Retrieved November 5, 2018 – via Twitter.
  88. ^ a b c WANE 15 [@wane15] (November 5, 2018). "President @realDonaldTrump brought Lou Holtz, @IvankaTrump, @PressSec, and @KellyannePolls to Fort Wayne to rally for @braun4indiana" (Tweet). Retrieved November 5, 2018 – via Twitter.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  89. ^ "Dan Bongino on Twitter".
  90. ^ "Dan Bongino on Twitter".
  91. ^ "Mike Braun on Twitter". Twitter.
  92. ^ "Mike Braun on Twitter". Twitter.
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  94. ^ Lou Holtz (August 16, 2018). "Braun brings best to boost Hoosiers". The Journal Gazette. Archived from the original on August 16, 2018.
  95. ^ "Mike Braun on Twitter". Twitter.
  96. ^ Ronna McDaniel. "It's time to send Democrat Joe Donnelly packing and elect @braun4indiana to the Senate! #INSen". Twitter.
  97. ^ [1][dead link‍]
  98. ^ Mike Braun [@braun4indiana] (October 22, 2018). "Join me, @DonaldJTrumpJr , @kimguilfoyle , & @GregPenceIN TODAY rallying Hoosiers to get out the vote and drain the swamp!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  99. ^ Donald Trump Jr. (August 29, 2018). "Donald Trump Jr.: Hoosiers deserve better than Donnelly". Evansville Courier & Press.
  100. ^ "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Mike Braun in Indiana Senate Race". FreedomWorks. June 4, 2018.
  101. ^ "Indiana Right to Life PAC Endorses in Federal Races". Indiana Right to Life. April 3, 2018. Archived from the original on July 31, 2018. Retrieved July 31, 2018.
  102. ^ "Small Business Endorses Mike Braun for U.S. Senate". NFIB. September 4, 2018.
  103. ^ "Republican Jewish Coalition launches first wave of midterm endorsements". NBCNews.com. July 23, 2018.
  104. ^ Mike Braun. "Building my business, I've jumped over just about every hurdle D.C. can put in your path; in the Senate, I'll use my experience to help Hoosier business thrive. I'm honored to accept @USChamber's endorsement & look forward to working with them to keep our economy roaring. #INSen". Twitter.
  105. ^ "NRA-PVF | NRA Endorses Braun for U.S. Senate in Indiana". NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on May 22, 2020. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
  106. ^ Mike Braun. "My dad gave me my first shotgun when I was 10 years old and I still use it to this day. I am honored to accept the @NRA's endorsement and to work with them to fight Democrat attacks on Hoosiers' fundamental right to bear arms and defend their families. #INSen". Twitter.
  107. ^ Mike Braun. "Manufacturing is the backbone of Indiana's economy, & I'm honored to accept this endorsement from the leading advocate for Hoosier manufacturers: @IMA1901. I look forward to working with IMA to keep Indiana manufacturing thriving & keep D.C. out of their way. #INSen #IBackBraun". Twitter.
  108. ^ "NOM Endorses Candidates in Key Senate Midterm Contests". NOM Blog. October 17, 2018. Archived from the original on October 29, 2018. Retrieved October 31, 2018.
  109. ^ "All tickets distributed for former President Barack Obama's Indiana rally". October 31, 2018.
  110. ^ "Indiana Dems: Obama visiting Gary for Donnelly rally on Sunday". Chicago Tribune. Associated Press. October 31, 2018.
  111. ^ Joe Donnelly. "Secretary Chuck Hagel has always known the importance of looking after our servicemembers & veterans. We worked closely together to pass the Jacob Sexton Military Suicide Prevention Act – my first bill in the Senate. It was an honor to have him here supporting our campaign". Twitter.
  112. ^ Joe Donnelly. "Thanks @BennetforCO for joining me on the road today to remind Hoosiers to vote early!". Twitter.
  113. ^ Joe Donnelly. "Very happy to have my friend @CoryBooker in Indy with me today. Starting the day right at Kountry Kitchen joined by ministers and @Andre4Congress talking about the importance of getting Hoosiers to the polls". Twitter.
  114. ^ Joe Donnelly. ".@ChrisCoonsforDE and I made 7 different stops across Northwest Indiana yesterday where we met hundreds of Hoosiers who were ready to vote early (or already had!). Make a plan to vote as soon as possible today!". Twitter.
  115. ^ Catherine Cortez Masto. "Great stopping by a Harrison County field office in Indiana to help ensure Hoosiers send @JoeforIndiana back to the Senate! Joe's fighting to protect our health care & ensure those with pre-existing conditions can access the care they need". Twitter.
  116. ^ Joe Donnelly. "Packed house at the USW rally in Chesterton tonight! Thanks to my friend @DickDurbin for joining us! Our @steelworkers know just how much is on the line this election". Twitter.
  117. ^ Tammy Duckworth. "Today I am in Indiana supporting my friend @JoeforIndiana who is in a tough reelection fight. Our first stop was Shapiro's Deli where I got the famous Reuben and talked with voters. We then stopped by the campaign headquarters for a canvass kickoff and some phone banking". Twitter.
  118. ^ "Kamala Harris makes fundraising pitch for Joe Donnelly". Associated Press. October 4, 2018.
  119. ^ Joe Donnelly. "It was wonderful to have my friend @DougJones in Indianapolis with me this morning. Doug is right -- make sure you're registered and make a plan to vote on November 6!". Twitter.
  120. ^ Joe Donnelly. "Thanks to my friend @amyklobuchar for coming to see all our volunteers in South Bend yesterday! We've got folks all over the state knocking on doors and talking to voters". Twitter.
  121. ^ Brian Schatz. "Today is a good day to send a few bucks, or more, to Joe Donnelly. He's good people". Twitter.
  122. ^ John Gregg. "A great read in @JGfortwayne about @JoeforIndiana working hard for all Hoosiers! 'The hired help' Connecting with farmers big part of Donnelly's re-election effort". Twitter.
  123. ^ "Thomas McDermott on Twitter".
  124. ^ "Victor Oladipo on Twitter".
  125. ^ "Kevin Rader on Twitter". Twitter.
  126. ^ "Amy Schumer on Twitter".
  127. ^ Siskind, Amy [@Amy_Siskind] (October 8, 2018). "END Mitch McConnell's reign of terror. Donate/volunteer for these close senate races: Jacky Rosen, NV Phil Bredesen, TN Claire McCaskill, MO Bill Nelson, FL Joe Donnelly, IN Heidi Heitkamp, ND Beto O'Rourke, TX Kyrsten Sinema, AZ Tammy Baldwin, WI" (Tweet). Retrieved October 20, 2018 – via Twitter.
  128. ^ Joe Donnelly. "Thanks Derrick Mayes for your support! Hoosiers, please make your plan to vote!". Twitter.
  129. ^ "Retiree Group Endorses Sen. Joe Donnelly for U.S. Senate - Retired Americans". Retired Americans. October 9, 2018. Archived from the original on October 29, 2018. Retrieved October 29, 2018.
  130. ^ "Our Candidates - CWA Political". CWA Political. Archived from the original on April 3, 2018. Retrieved October 9, 2018.
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  133. ^ "Indiana – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
  134. ^ Joe Donnelly. ""America needs more senators like Joe Donnelly. Indiana needs to re-elect him." Thank you, @JGfortwayne!". Twitter.
  135. ^ "Indiana chamber won't endorse GOP businessman for Senate". Associated Press. September 1, 2018.
  136. ^ "IndyStar Editorial Board: Why Joe Donnelly deserves re-election to U.S. Senate". Indianapolis Star. November 4, 2018. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
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  153. ^ Vox Populi Polling
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  155. ^ Ipsos
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  158. ^ Trafalgar Group (R)
  159. ^ SurveyMonkey/Axios
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  165. ^ Lange, Kaitlin. "Why Indiana Democrats are flailing and how they might find a road back". Indianapolis Star. Retrieved November 13, 2018.
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  168. ^ "Georgia Gubernatorial election exit poll". CNN. Archived from the original on January 5, 2021. Retrieved April 1, 2019.
[edit]

Official campaign websites

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