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2016 United States presidential election in Alabama

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2016 United States presidential election in Alabama

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout66.8%Decrease[1] 6.4 pp
 
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 9 0
Popular vote 1,318,255 729,547
Percentage 62.08% 34.36%


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Alabama was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Alabama voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Alabama has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Alabama has voted for the Republican candidate in every election since it was won by Ronald Reagan in 1980. As such, Trump was heavily favored to win the state. On the day of the election, Trump won the election in Alabama with 62.08% of the vote, while Clinton received 34.36% of the vote.[3] The state had given 60.55% of its votes to Republican nominee Mitt Romney in 2012, meaning that it had shifted 1.53% more Republican from the previous election. Trump's margin of victory in Alabama was 27.72%, a 5.53% increase from Romney's 22.19% margin of victory. This makes it the largest loss by a Democrat since Democratic nominee George McGovern in 1972. On the other hand, Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Jefferson County since Richard Nixon in 1968, and Clinton the first Democrat since Adlai Stevenson II in 1952 to carry the county without winning the White House.

Primary elections

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Democratic primary

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Opinion polling

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Results

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Results of the Democratic primary by county.
e • d 2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Alabama
– Summary of results –
Candidate Popular vote
(March 1 primary)
Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton (campaign) 309,928 77.84% 44 6 50
Bernie Sanders (campaign) 76,399 19.19% 9 0 9
Martin O'Malley (campaign) (withdrawn) 1,485 0.37%
Rocky De La Fuente (campaign) 811 0.20%
Uncommitted 9,534 2.39% 0 1 1
Total 398,157 100% 53 7 60
Sources:[4][5]

Republican primary

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Map showing the results of the 2016 Republican presidential primary in Alabama by county
Alabama Republican primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 373,721 43.42% 36 0 36
Ted Cruz 181,479 21.09% 13 0 13
Marco Rubio 160,606 18.66% 1 0 1
Ben Carson 88,094 10.24% 0 0 0
John Kasich 38,119 4.43% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 7,953 0.92% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 3,974 0.46% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 2,539 0.30% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 1,895 0.22% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 858 0.10% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 617 0.07% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 544 0.06% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 253 0.03% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 860,652 100.00% 50 0 50
Source: The Green Papers

General election

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Predictions

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The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Alabama as of Election Day.

Source Ranking As of
Los Angeles Times[6] Safe R November 6, 2016
CNN[7] Safe R November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[8] Safe R November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R November 7, 2016
NBC[10] Likely R November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[11] Safe R November 8, 2016
Fox News[12] Safe R November 7, 2016
ABC[13] Safe R November 7, 2016

Results

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Chart of popular vote

  Trump (62.08%)
  Clinton (34.36%)
  Johnson (2.09%)
  Write-ins (1.02%)
  Stein (0.44%)
2016 U.S. presidential election in Alabama[1]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump 1,318,255 62.08% +1.53%
Democratic Hillary Clinton 729,547 34.36% −4.00%
Independent Gary Johnson 44,467 2.09% +1.50%
Independent Jill Stein 9,391 0.44% +0.28%
Write-in 21,712 1.02% N/A
Total votes 2,123,372 100.00% −9.37%

By county

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County Donald Trump
Republican
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Autauga 18,172 72.77% 5,936 23.77% 865 3.46% 12,236 49.00% 24,973
Baldwin 72,883 76.55% 18,458 19.39% 3,874 4.06% 54,425 57.16% 95,215
Barbour 5,454 52.10% 4,871 46.53% 144 1.37% 583 5.57% 10,469
Bibb 6,738 76.40% 1,874 21.25% 207 2.35% 4,864 55.15% 8,819
Blount 22,859 89.33% 2,156 8.43% 573 2.24% 20,703 80.90% 25,588
Bullock 1,140 24.20% 3,530 74.95% 40 0.85% -2,390 -50.75% 4,710
Butler 4,901 56.13% 3,726 42.67% 105 1.20% 1,175 13.46% 8,732
Calhoun 32,865 68.66% 13,242 27.67% 1,757 3.67% 19,623 40.99% 47,864
Chambers 7,843 56.42% 5,784 41.61% 273 1.97% 2,059 14.81% 13,900
Cherokee 8,953 83.42% 1,547 14.41% 233 2.17% 7,406 69.01% 10,733
Chilton 15,081 82.10% 2,911 15.85% 377 2.05% 12,170 66.25% 18,369
Choctaw 4,106 56.31% 3,109 42.64% 77 1.05% 997 13.67% 7,292
Clarke 7,140 54.79% 5,749 44.12% 142 1.09% 1,391 10.67% 13,031
Clay 5,245 79.18% 1,237 18.67% 142 2.15% 4,008 60.51% 6,624
Cleburne 5,764 87.43% 684 10.37% 145 2.20% 5,080 77.06% 6,593
Coffee 15,875 76.44% 4,221 20.33% 671 3.23% 11,654 56.11% 20,767
Colbert 16,746 67.21% 7,312 29.35% 857 3.44% 9,434 37.86% 24,915
Conecuh 3,420 51.94% 3,080 46.77% 85 1.29% 340 5.17% 6,585
Coosa 3,381 64.38% 1,782 33.93% 89 1.69% 1,599 30.45% 5,252
Covington 13,267 83.23% 2,387 14.97% 286 1.80% 10,880 68.26% 15,940
Crenshaw 4,513 72.01% 1,664 26.55% 90 1.44% 2,849 45.46% 6,267
Cullman 32,989 87.10% 3,798 10.03% 1,086 2.87% 29,191 77.07% 37,873
Dale 13,808 73.65% 4,413 23.54% 528 2.81% 9,395 50.11% 18,749
Dallas 5,789 30.81% 12,836 68.31% 167 0.88% -7,047 -37.50% 18,792
DeKalb 21,405 82.88% 3,622 14.02% 799 3.10% 17,783 68.86% 25,826
Elmore 27,634 74.17% 8,443 22.66% 1,183 3.17% 19,191 51.51% 37,260
Escambia 9,935 66.92% 4,605 31.02% 305 2.06% 5,330 35.90% 14,845
Etowah 32,353 73.26% 10,442 23.64% 1,369 3.10% 21,911 49.62% 44,164
Fayette 6,712 81.37% 1,362 16.51% 175 2.12% 5,350 64.86% 8,249
Franklin 9,466 78.62% 2,197 18.25% 377 3.13% 7,269 60.37% 12,040
Geneva 9,994 85.00% 1,525 12.97% 239 2.03% 8,469 72.03% 11,758
Greene 838 17.17% 4,013 82.23% 29 0.60% -3,175 -65.06% 4,880
Hale 3,173 39.47% 4,775 59.39% 92 1.14% -1,602 -19.92% 8,040
Henry 5,632 69.77% 2,292 28.39% 148 1.84% 3,340 41.38% 8,072
Houston 30,728 72.07% 10,664 25.01% 1,247 2.92% 20,064 47.06% 42,639
Jackson 16,672 79.45% 3,673 17.50% 639 3.05% 12,999 61.95% 20,984
Jefferson 134,768 44.30% 156,873 51.57% 12,550 4.13% -22,105 -7.27% 304,191
Lamar 5,823 83.59% 1,036 14.87% 107 1.54% 4,787 68.72% 6,966
Lauderdale 27,899 70.59% 9,952 25.18% 1,674 4.23% 17,947 45.41% 39,525
Lawrence 10,833 73.05% 3,627 24.46% 369 2.49% 7,206 48.59% 14,829
Lee 34,617 58.48% 21,230 35.87% 3,344 5.65% 13,387 22.61% 59,191
Limestone 29,067 72.14% 9,468 23.50% 1,759 4.36% 19,599 48.64% 40,294
Lowndes 1,751 26.20% 4,883 73.06% 50 0.74% -3,132 -46.86% 6,684
Macon 1,431 15.66% 7,566 82.78% 143 1.56% -6,135 -67.12% 9,140
Madison 89,520 54.79% 62,822 38.45% 11,047 6.76% 26,698 16.34% 163,389
Marengo 5,233 47.60% 5,615 51.07% 146 1.33% -382 -3.47% 10,994
Marion 11,274 86.83% 1,432 11.03% 278 2.14% 9,842 75.80% 12,984
Marshall 29,233 82.78% 4,917 13.92% 1,166 3.30% 24,316 68.86% 35,316
Mobile 95,116 55.06% 72,186 41.79% 5,435 3.15% 22,930 13.27% 172,737
Monroe 5,795 56.42% 4,332 42.18% 144 1.40% 1,463 14.24% 10,271
Montgomery 34,003 35.46% 58,916 61.45% 2,959 3.09% -24,913 -25.99% 95,878
Morgan 37,486 74.02% 11,254 22.22% 1,904 3.76% 26,232 51.80% 50,644
Perry 1,407 26.66% 3,824 72.45% 47 0.89% -2,417 -45.79% 5,278
Pickens 5,456 57.18% 3,972 41.63% 114 1.19% 1,484 15.55% 9,542
Pike 7,693 58.42% 5,056 38.40% 419 3.18% 2,637 20.02% 13,168
Randolph 7,705 75.64% 2,291 22.49% 191 1.87% 5,414 53.15% 10,187
Russell 9,210 47.83% 9,579 49.75% 467 2.42% -369 -1.92% 19,256
Shelby 73,020 72.12% 22,977 22.69% 5,257 5.19% 50,043 49.43% 101,254
St. Clair 31,651 82.42% 5,589 14.55% 1,160 3.03% 26,062 67.87% 38,400
Sumter 1,581 24.66% 4,746 74.03% 84 1.31% -3,165 -49.37% 6,411
Talladega 20,614 61.71% 12,121 36.28% 672 2.01% 8,493 25.43% 33,407
Tallapoosa 13,594 69.76% 5,519 28.32% 373 1.92% 8,075 41.44% 19,486
Tuscaloosa 47,723 57.71% 31,762 38.41% 3,215 3.88% 15,961 19.30% 82,700
Walker 24,266 82.34% 4,497 15.26% 709 2.40% 19,769 67.08% 29,472
Washington 6,042 70.81% 2,374 27.82% 117 1.37% 3,668 42.99% 8,533
Wilcox 1,742 28.45% 4,339 70.86% 42 0.69% -2,597 -42.41% 6,123
Winston 9,228 89.48% 872 8.46% 213 2.06% 8,356 81.02% 10,313
Totals 1,318,255 62.08% 729,547 34.36% 75,570 3.56% 588,708 27.72% 2,123,372

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

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Trump won 6 of 7 congressional districts[14]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 63.5% 34.1% Bradley Byrne
2nd 64.9% 33.0% Martha Roby
3rd 65.3% 32.3% Mike Rogers
4th 80.4% 17.4% Robert Aderholt
5th 64.7% 31.3% Mo Brooks
6th 70.8% 26.1% Gary Palmer
7th 28.6% 69.8% Terri Sewell

Turnout

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According to the Alabama Secretary of State website, voter turnout was 66.82% with 2,137,482 ballots cast out of 3,198,703 registered voters.[1] [15]

Opinion polls

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Electors

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Alabama had 9 electors in 2016 all of them voted for Donald Trump for president and Mike Pence for vice president.

The electors were:

See also

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References

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  1. ^ a b c Merrill, John H. (November 29, 2016). "Official Canvas of Results" (PDF). AlabamaVotes.gov. Alabama Secretary of State. Retrieved February 16, 2017.
  2. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
  3. ^ "Alabama Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 10, 2016.
  4. ^ The Green Papers
  5. ^ Alabama Democratic Party certified Election Results as received by Secretary of State of Alabama
  6. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  7. ^ "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  8. ^ "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  9. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  10. ^ Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  11. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  12. ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  13. ^ "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  14. ^ "Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project".
  15. ^ https://www.sos.alabama.gov/sites/default/files/voter-pdfs/turnout.pdf Page 8 Last edited 2018-6-25 Retrieved 2020-07-08
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