Jump to content

2024 United Kingdom general election in Scotland

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2024 United Kingdom general election

← 2019 4 July 2024

All 57 Scottish seats in the House of Commons
Turnout59.2% (Decrease8.4pp)
  First party Second party
 
Leader Keir Starmer John Swinney
Party Labour SNP
Leader since 4 April 2020 6 May 2024
Last election 1 seat, 18.6% 48 seats, 45.0%
Seats won 37 9
Seat change Increase 36 Decrease 39
Popular vote 851,897 724,758
Percentage 35.3% 30.0%
Swing Increase 16.7% Decrease 15.0%

  Third party Fourth party
 
Leader Ed Davey Rishi Sunak
Party Liberal Democrats Conservative
Leader since 27 August 2020[a] 24 October 2022
Last election 4 seats, 9.5%[b] 6 seats, 25.1%
Seats won 6 5
Seat change Increase 2 Decrease 1
Popular vote 234,228 307,344
Percentage 9.7% 12.7%
Swing Increase 0.2% Decrease 12.4%

Results by constituency

The 2024 general election was held on 4 July 2024. 57 Scottish Westminster seats were contested. The election saw a resurgence of Labour within Scotland, with the party winning 37 seats, an increase of 36 from the previous election and becoming the largest party in Scotland for the first time since 2010. The Liberal Democrats also saw gains, increasing their Scottish representation in Parliament from two seats to six. The Scottish National Party, the dominant party in Scotland since 2007, saw a collapse of support in which they lost 39 seats, bringing their total from 48 seats won at the previous election to nine. This was their worst Westminster election result since 2010. The Conservative Party lost one seat, taking their total down to five. Turnout dropped to 59%, eclipsed for the first time by a preceding Scottish Parliament election (63.5%). This was a reduction in turnout of 8.4% from 2019 and in a few constituencies the turnout was down 10%.

Background

[edit]

The Scottish National Party (SNP) suffered political turmoil through having multiple party leaders and First Ministers including Nicola Sturgeon, Humza Yousaf and John Swinney, as well as the Operation Branchform police investigation into the party's finances. Sturgeon resigned following heavy criticism for her positions on gender reforms and claimed occupational burnout was the reason for her resignation,[2] while Yousaf resigned amid a government crisis following his termination of a power-sharing agreement with the Scottish Greens.[3] Swinney assumed the leadership after being elected unopposed.[4] Like the Conservative Party in the UK, the SNP's popularity also suffered from being in government for a long time, which led to speculation that Scottish Labour could win the election for the first time since their near-wipeout in the 2015 general election.

Opinion polls

[edit]

All polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure and sample size rules.

The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2019 general election on 12 December to the present day.

Poll results

[edit]
Graph of opinion polls conducted in Scotland
Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
SNP Con. Lab. Lib. Dems Green Ref. Others Lead
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election 30.0% 12.7% 35.3% 9.7% 3.8% 7.0% 1.6% 5.3
28 Jun2 Jul 2024 Savanta The Scotsman 1,083 34% 15% 31% 9% 3% 6% 2% 3
24–28 Jun 2024 More in Common N/A 1,008 30% 16% 35% 9% 2% 7% 1% 5
26–27 Jun 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,200 32% 11% 38% 7% 3% 8% 1% 6
24–26 Jun 2024 Norstat The Sunday Times - 31% 13% 35% 8% 3% 8% 2% 4
21–25 Jun 2024 Savanta The Scotsman 1,042 34% 14% 34% 7% 7% Tie
21–25 Jun 2024 Survation Ballot Box Scotland 1,022 31% 14% 37% 7% 3% 8% 1% 6
20–25 Jun 2024 YouGov Sky News 1,059 29% 11% 35% 11% 5% 8% 1% 6
14–18 Jun 2024 Savanta The Scotsman 1,069 33% 15% 38% 7% 7% 5
14–18 Jun 2024 YouGov N/A 1,146 31% 11% 34% 7% 6% 11% 1% 3
11–14 Jun 2024 Norstat The Sunday Times 1,050 30% 14% 34% 9% 4% 7% 2% 4
5–10 Jun 2024 Opinium N/A 1,017 34% 14% 35% 8% 4% 5% 1% 1
3–9 Jun 2024 Ipsos STV News 1,136 36% 13% 36% 5% 3% 4%
2%
Alba on 1%
Other on 1%
Tie
3–7 Jun 2024 YouGov N/A 1,068 30% 13% 34% 8% 6% 7% 2% 4
1–2 Jun 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,000 29% 17% 39% 8% 3% 4%
2%
Alba on 1%
Other on 1%
10
24–28 May 2024 Savanta The Scotsman 1,067 33% 17% 37% 7% 5% 4
23–27 May 2024 Survation True North 1,026 32% 17% 36% 9% 6% 4
22–25 May 2024 More in Common N/A 1,016 30% 17% 35% 10% 3% 4% 1% 5
22 May Rishi Sunak announces that a general election will be held on 4 July 2024
13–17 May 2024 YouGov N/A 1,114 29% 12% 39% 8% 7% 4% 2% 10
8–9 May 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,078 31% 14% 38% 8% 4% 4%
1%
Alba on 1%
Other on 0%
7
6–8 May John Swinney is elected Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland
3–8 May 2024 Savanta The Scotsman 1,080 33% 17% 37% 7% 4% 4
30 Apr3 May 2024 Norstat The Sunday Times 1,014 29% 16% 34% 8% 4% 6%
4%
Alba on 3%
Other on 1%
5
29 Apr 2024 Humza Yousaf announces his resignation as First Minister of Scotland.
26–29 Apr 2024 YouGov N/A 1,043 33% 14% 34% 8% 4% 5% 2% 1
9–12 Apr 2024 Norstat The Sunday Times 1,086 32% 16% 32% 9% 4% 5%
3%
Alba on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
6–7 Apr 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,000 32% 17% 33% 8% 2% 5%
2%
Alba on 2%
Other on 0%
1
25 Mar2 Apr 2024 YouGov N/A 1,100 31% 14% 33% 7% 5% 7% 1% 2
10–11 Mar 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,000 34% 16% 34% 6% 4% 4%
1%
Alba on 1%
Other on 0%
Tie
14–20 Feb 2024 Survation Quantum Communications 1,043 38% 15% 33% 8% 7% 5
3–4 Feb 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,000 33% 18% 34% 8% 2% 4%
1%
Alba on 1%
Other on 0%
1
25–31 Jan 2024 Ipsos STV News 1,005 39% 14% 32% 6% 4% 5% 7
23–25 Jan 2024 Survation True North 1,029 36% 16% 34% 8% 7% 2
22–25 Jan 2024 Norstat The Sunday Times 1,007 33% 16% 36% 7% 8% 3
9–11 Jan 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,040 35% 17% 35% 9% 2% 2% 1% Tie
26–27 Nov 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,054 34% 17% 36% 6% 3% 3% 0% 2
20–26 Nov 2023 Ipsos N/A 990 40% 15% 30% 6% 3% 5% 10
29–30 Oct 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,092 32% 23% 32% 8% 2% 2% 1% Tie
20–25 Oct 2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study 1,200 32% 16% 38% 6% 4% 4% 6
6–11 Oct 2023 Savanta The Scotsman 1,018 35% 19% 35% 6% 4% Tie
2–6 Oct 2023 YouGov N/A 1,028 33% 20% 32% 5% 5% 2% 2% 1
5 Oct 2023 Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election
4–5 Oct 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,095 34% 21% 32% 9% 2% 2% 4
5–14 Sep 2023 Opinium Tony Blair Institute 1,004 37% 18% 28% 8% 4% 4% 9
8–13 Sep 2023 YouGov The Times 1,103 38% 16% 27% 7% 6% 4% 2% 11
2–4 Sep 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,100 35% 15% 35% 8% 4% 3% Tie
15–18 Aug 2023 Survation True North 1,022 37% 17% 35% 6% 5% 2
3–8 Aug 2023 YouGov The Times 1,086 36% 15% 32% 6% 6% 3% 2% 4
5–6 Aug 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,050 37% 17% 34% 7% 2% 3% 3
1–2 Jul 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,030 35% 21% 32% 7% 2% 3% 3
23–28 Jun 2023 Survation 2,026 37% 17% 34% 9% 4% 3
12–15 Jun 2023 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,007 34% 18% 34% 7% 7% Tie
9–14 Jun 2023 Savanta The Scotsman 1,018 38% 17% 34% 7% 4% 4
9–13 Jun 2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study 1,200 33% 17% 36% 7% 4% 3% 3
3–5 Jun 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,466 37% 20% 28% 9% 3% 3% 9
15–21 May 2023 Ipsos MORI STV News 1,090 41% 16% 29% 6% 3% 4% 12
27 Apr3 May 2023 Survation True North 1,009 38% 18% 31% 9% 2% 4% 7
30 Apr2 May 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,295 35% 18% 32% 9% 3% 3% 3
17–20 Apr 2023 YouGov The Times 1,032 37% 17% 28% 8% 5% 2% 2% 9
29 Mar3 Apr 2023 Survation N/A 1,001 40% 17% 32% 7% 1% 3% 8
31 Mar1 Apr 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,000 36% 19% 31% 10% 2% 3% 5
28–31 Mar 2023 Savanta The Scotsman 1,009 39% 19% 33% 6% 4% 6
28–30 Mar 2023 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,089 39% 19% 31% 5% 6% 8
27 Mar 2023 Humza Yousaf is elected leader of the Scottish National Party
9–13 Mar 2023 YouGov Sky News 1,002 39% 16% 29% 6% 6% 3% 1% 10
8–10 Mar 2023 Survation Diffley Partnership 1,037 40% 18% 32% 6% 2% 3% 8
7–10 Mar 2023 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,013 40% 16% 33% 6% 5% 7
2–5 Mar 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,050 39% 22% 29% 6% 2% 3% 10
17–20 Feb 2023 YouGov The Times 1,017 38% 19% 29% 6% 4% 2% 2% 9
15–17 Feb 2023 Survation N/A 1,034 43% 17% 30% 6% 3% 13
15–17 Feb 2023 Savanta The Scotsman 1,004 42% 17% 32% 6% 3% 10
10–15 Feb 2023 YouGov Scottish Election Study 1,239 38% 16% 35% 6% 3% 3% 3
1–7 Feb 2023 Survation N/A TBA 42% 18% 29% 6% 0% 13
23–26 Jan 2023 YouGov The Sunday Times 1,088 42% 15% 29% 6% 3% 3% 2% 13
10–12 Jan 2023 Survation True North 1,002 43% 18% 29% 7% 2% 14
22 Dec1 Jan 2023 Survation Scotland in Union 1,025 44% 16% 31% 6% 1% 13
16–21 Dec 2022 Savanta The Scotsman 1,048 43% 19% 30% 6% 2% 13
6–9 Dec 2022 YouGov The Times 1,090 43% 14% 29% 6% 4% 3% 1% 14
28 Nov5 Dec 2022 Ipsos MORI STV News 1,045 51% 13% 25% 6% 3% 0% 26
26–27 Nov 2022 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,000 41% 16% 31% 8% 2% 3% 10
7–11 Oct 2022 Panelbase Alba Party 1,000+ 42% 16% 30% 6% 2% 2% 12
5–7 Oct 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,017 45% 15% 30% 5% 4% 15
30 Sep4 Oct 2022 YouGov The Times 1,067 45% 12% 31% 7% 3% 1% 1% 14
30 Sep4 Oct 2022 ComRes The Scotsman 1,029 46% 15% 30% 8% 1% 16
28–29 Sep 2022 Survation Scotland in Union 1,011 44% 15% 31% 6% 4% 13
17–19 Aug 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,133 44% 20% 23% 8% 5% 21
29 Jun1 Jul 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,010 47% 19% 23% 8% 3% 24
23–28 Jun 2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman 1,029 46% 18% 25% 8% 3% 21
23–29 May 2022 Ipsos STV News 1,000 44% 19% 23% 10% 3% 2% 21
18–23 May 2022 YouGov The Times 1,115 46% 19% 22% 6% 3% 1% 2% 24
5 May 2022 Local elections held in Scotland
26–29 Apr 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,009 42% 21% 24% 7% 5% 18
25–31 Mar 2022 BMG The Herald 1,012 42% 19% 26% 6% 4% 2% 16
24–28 Mar 2022 Survation Ballot Box Scotland 1,002 45% 19% 27% 6% 2% 18
1–4 Feb 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,128 44% 20% 24% 8% 2% 2% 20
15–22 Dec 2021 Opinium Daily Record 1,328 48% 17% 22% 7% 3% 4% 26
18–22 Nov 2021 YouGov The Times 1,060 48% 20% 18% 6% 3% 2% 2% 28
9–12 Nov 2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,000~ 48% 21% 20% 7% 4% 27
20–26 Oct 2021 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,001 48% 21% 21% 7% 4% 27
6–10 Sep 2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times 2,003 47% 23% 19% 7% 4% 24
2–8 Sep 2021 Opinium Sky News 1,014 51% 21% 17% 5% 2% 3% 30
20 Aug 2021 Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats[5]
16–24 Jun 2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,287 47% 25% 18% 6% 4% 22
13 May 2021 Airdrie and Shotts by-election
6 May 2021 Election to the Scottish Parliament[6]
2–4 May 2021 YouGov The Times 1,144 48% 22% 19% 5% 4% 1% 2% 26
30 Apr4 May 2021 Survation DC Thomson 1,008 48% 22% 20% 7% 1% 1% 26
28 Apr03 May 2021 Opinium Sky News 1,015 47% 25% 20% 6% 1% 1% 22
27–30 Apr 2021 BMG The Herald 1,023 48% 20% 20% 7% 3% 1% 28
23–26 Apr 2021 Survation Good Morning Britain 1,008 46% 22% 22% 8% 2% 24
21–26 Apr 2021 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,075 45% 22% 19% 7% 4% 3% 23
20–22 Apr 2021 Survation DC Thomson 1,037 47% 21% 22% 8% 1% 1% 25
16–20 Apr 2021 YouGov The Times 1,204 48% 24% 19% 4% 3% 1% 2% 24
1–6 Apr 2021 Opinium Sky News 1,023 50% 24% 19% 4% 1% 1% 26
29–30 Mar 2021 Survation The Courier 1,021 49% 21% 21% 8% 1% 0% 28
19–22 Mar 2021 YouGov The Times TBA 49% 24% 17% 4% 4% 1% 1% 25
16–19 Mar 2021 BMG The Herald 1,021 47% 21% 19% 7% 3% 3% 26
11–18 Mar 2021 Survation The Courier 1,452 49% 21% 21% 7% 1% 1% 28
11–16 Mar 2021 Opinium Sky News 1,096 50% 23% 19% 5% 3% 1% 27
4–8 Mar 2021 YouGov The Times 1,100 50% 23% 17% 5% 3% 1% 1% 27
27 Feb 2021 Anas Sarwar is elected leader of Scottish Labour[7]
25–26 Feb 2021 Survation Daily Record 1,011 48% 23% 21% 6% 2% 25
11–13 Jan 2021 Survation Scot Goes Pop 1,020 48% 19% 23% 7% 3% 25
4–9 Dec 2020 Survation N/A 1,009 51% 20% 21% 6% 3% 30
5–11 Nov 2020 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,020 50% 21% 20% 5% 2% 29
6–10 Nov 2020 YouGov The Times 1,089 53% 19% 17% 4% 3% 3% 1% 34
28 Oct4 Nov 2020 Survation N/A 1,059 52% 18% 20% 8% 2% 32
17–21 Sep 2020 JL Partners Politico 1,016 56% 18% 15% 7% 3% 0% 38
2–7 Sep 2020 Survation N/A 1,018 51% 20% 21% 6% 3% 30
6–10 Aug 2020 YouGov The Times 1,142 54% 20% 16% 5% 2% 2% 0% 34
5 Aug 2020 Douglas Ross becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives[8]
30 Jun3 Jul 2020 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,026 53% 21% 19% 6% 2% 32
1–5 Jun 2020 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,022 51% 21% 19% 6% 2% 1% 30
1–5 May 2020 Panelbase Wings Over Scotland 1,086 50% 26% 17% 5% 2% 1% 24
24–27 Apr 2020 YouGov N/A 1,095 51% 25% 15% 6% 2% 0% 1% 26
24–26 Mar 2020 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,023 48% 27% 16% 5% 3% 21
14 Feb 2020 Jackson Carlaw becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives[9]
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election 45.0% 25.1% 18.6% 9.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.3% 19.9

Boundary review

[edit]
2024 map of Scottish constituencies

In March 2020, Cabinet Office minister Chloe Smith confirmed that the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies would be based on retaining 650 seats.[10][11] The previous relevant legislation was amended by the Parliamentary Constituencies Act 2020[12] and the four boundary commissions formally launched their 2023 reviews on 5 January 2021.[13][14][15][16] They were required to issue their final reports prior to 1 July 2023. The Scottish commission published its own report on 28 June.[17][18] As the reports were laid before Parliament, Orders in Council giving effect to the final proposals must be made within four months, unless "there are exceptional circumstances". Prior to the Parliamentary Constituencies Act 2020, boundary changes could not be implemented until they were approved by both Houses of Parliament.

Fifty-seven single member constituencies were used in Scotland for this election, a reduction of two since 2019. A number of constituencies are unchanged, including the two protected constituencies of Na h-Eileanan an Iar covering the Western Isles, and Orkney and Shetland, covering the Northern Isles.[19]

Candidates

[edit]

By affiliation

[edit]
Affiliate Candidates[20]
Conservative Party 57
Labour Party 57
Liberal Democrats 57
Reform UK 57
Scottish National Party 57
Scottish Greens 44
Independents 25 (21 constituencies)
Alba Party 19
Scottish Family Party 16
Co-operative Party 4[21]
Scottish Libertarian Party 4
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition 4
Communist Party of Britain 3
Socialist Labour Party 3
UKIP 3
British Unionist Party 2
Christian Party 2
Independence for Scotland Party 2
Scottish Socialist Party 2
Social Democratic Party 2
Sovereignty 2
Workers Party of Britain 2
Freedom Alliance (UK) 1
Heritage Party 1
Liberal Party 1
Socialist Equality Party 1
Total 424

By constituency

[edit]

Target seats

[edit]

MPs not seeking re-election

[edit]
Members of Parliament not standing for re-election
MP Consti­tuency First elected Affiliation Date announced Note
Alister Jack Dumfries and Galloway 2017 Conservative 17 May 2023[22] Current Scottish Secretary
Ian Blackford Ross, Skye and Lochaber 2015 SNP 6 June 2023[23] Former leader of SNP Westminster group
Peter Grant Glenrothes 2015 SNP 21 June 2023[24]
Angela Crawley Lanark and Hamilton East 2015 SNP 23 June 2023[25] Former SNP shadow Attorney General
Douglas Chapman Dunfermline and West Fife 2015 SNP 26 June 2023[26]
Stewart Hosie Dundee East 2005 SNP 28 June 2023[27] Current SNP shadow Chancellor
Mhairi Black Paisley and Renfrewshire South 2015 SNP 4 July 2023[28] Current deputy leader of SNP Westminster group
John McNally Falkirk 2015 SNP 10 July 2023[29]
Philippa Whitford Central Ayrshire 2015 SNP 18 July 2023[30] Current SNP Spokesperson for Scotland
Lisa Cameron East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow 2015 Conservative[g] 17 October 2023[31] Elected from SNP

Results

[edit]
Swinney meets with Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, Keir Starmer, following the 2024 general election at Bute House

The SNP ultimately won nine seats in the 2024 election, a loss of 38 seats on its 2019 result, reducing it to the second-largest party in Scotland, behind Scottish Labour, and the fourth-largest party in Westminster. Swinney took full responsibility but said that he would not resign as leader. He said of the results, "There will have to be a lot of soul searching as a party as a consequence of these results that have come in tonight", and that the SNP has to be "better at governing on behalf of the people of Scotland", admitting the party was not "winning the argument" on Scottish independence.[32]

On 7 July 2024, newly elected Prime Minister of the United Kingdom Keir Starmer travelled to Edinburgh on the first stop of his tour of the four countries of the United Kingdom and met with Swinney at the official residence of the First Minister, Bute House. During the meeting, both Swinney and Starmer agreed to "work together" and to "reset the relationship between their two governments".[33]

Results detail

[edit]
2024 map of Scottish Constituencies – Results

Voting closed at 22:00, which was followed by an exit poll. The first seat, Houghton and Sunderland South, declared at 23:15 with Bridget Phillipson winning for Labour.[34][35] Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire was the last seat to declare, after a recount took place on Saturday 6 July.[36]

By affiliation

[edit]
Affiliate[37][38] Seats Aggregate votes
Total Gains Losses Net Of total (%) Total Of total (%) Differ­ence
Labour 37 36 0 Increase36 64.9 851,897 35.3 Increase16.7
SNP 9 1 40 Decrease39 15.8 724,758 30.0 Decrease15.0
Conservative 5 0 1 Decrease1 8.8 307,344 12.7 Decrease12.4
Liberal Democrats 6 4 0 Increase4 10.5 234,228 9.7 Increase0.2
Reform UK 0 0 0 Steady 167,979 7.0 Increase6.5
Scottish Green 0 0 0 Steady 92,685 3.8 Increase2.8
Alba 0 New 11,784 0.5 New
Independent 0 0 0 Steady 9,782 0.4 Increase0.3
Scottish Family 0 0 0 Steady 5,425 0.2 Increase0.2
TUSC 0 Did not stand in 2019 1,523 0.1
Scottish Socialist 0 Did not stand in 2019 1,007 0.0
Scottish Christian 0 Coalition with CPA in 2019 806 0.0
Socialist Labour 0 0 0 Steady 788 0.0
ISP 0 New 678 0.0 New
BUP 0 Did not stand in 2019 614 0.0
Scottish Libertarian 0 0 0 Steady 536 0.0 Steady
Communist 0 Did not stand in 2019 516 0.0
Liberal 0 0 0 Steady 481 0.0
SDP 0 0 0 Steady 426 0.0 Steady
Workers Party 0 New 415 0.0 New
UKIP 0 0 0 Steady 313 0.0 Decrease0.1
Sovereignty 0 New 304 0.0 New
Heritage 0 New 230 0.0 New
Socialist Equality 0 0 0 Steady 178 0.0
Freedom Alliance 0 New 113 0.0 New
Total 57 2,414,810 59.2 Decrease 8.4

By constituency

[edit]
Constituency 2019
seat
2024 seat Votes Turnout
Party Candidate Votes Share Margin Lab. SNP Con. Lib. Dems Ref. Green Other Total
 
Aberdeen North SNP SNP Kirsty Blackman 14,552 34.5% 1,779 12,773 14,552 5,881 2,583 3,781 1,275 1,269 42,114 55.5%
Aberdeen South SNP SNP Stephen Flynn 15,213 32.8% 3,758 11,455 15,213 11,300 2,921 3,199 1,609 648 46,345 59.9%
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East Con SNP Seamus Logan 13,455 35.2% 942 3,876 13,455 12,513 2,782 5,562 38,188 54.5%
Airdrie and Shotts SNP Lab Kenneth Stevenson 18,871 51.5% 7,547 18,871 11,324 1,696 725 2,971 1,079 36,666 52.2%
Alloa and Grangemouth SNP Lab Brian Leishman 18,039 43.8% 6,122 18,039 11,917 3,127 1,151 3,804 1,421 1,742 41,201 58.3%
Angus and Perthshire Glens SNP SNP Dave Doogan 19,142 40.4% 4,870 6,799 19,142 14,272 3,156 3,246 733 47,348 61.8%
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry SNP SNP Stephen Gethins 15,581 35.3% 859 14,722 15,581 6,841 2,249 3,800 924 44,117 58.0%
Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber SNP SNP Brendan O'Hara 15,582 34.7% 6,232 8,585 15,582 9,350 7,359 3,045 941 45,078 62.8%
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock SNP Lab Elaine Stewart 14,930 36.5% 4,154 14,930 10,776 9,247 1,081 3,544 886 472 40,936 58.2%
Bathgate and Linlithgow SNP Lab Kirsteen Sullivan 19,774 47.0% 8,323 19,774 11,451 3,144 2,171 3,524 1,390 611 42,065 58.3%
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk Con Con John Lamont 18,872 40.5% 6,599 6,311 12,273 18,872 3,686 3,340 1,526 550 46,558 61.0%
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross LD LD Jamie Stone 22,736 49.4% 10,489 3,409 12,247 1,860 22,736 3,360 1,641 795 46,170 61.9%
Central Ayrshire SNP Lab Alan Gemmell 18,091 43.7% 6,869 18,091 11,222 6,147 983 3,420 1,039 517 41,419 60.0%
Coatbridge and Bellshill SNP Lab Frank McNally 19,291 49.8% 6,344 19,291 12,947 1,382 671 2,601 1,229 610 38,731 53.3%
Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy SNP Lab Melanie Ward 18,662 45.7% 7,248 18,662 11,414 3,203 1,593 3,128 1,556 1,258 40,814 57.0%
Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch SNP Lab Katrina Murray 18,513 45.2% 4,144 18,513 14,369 1,939 1,294 3,167 1,694 40,976 58.2%
Dumfries and Galloway Con Con John Cooper 13,527 29.6% 930 11,767 12,597 13,527 2,092 4,313 1,249 230 45,775 58.3%
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale Con Con David Mundell 14,999 33.9% 4,242 10,140 10,757 14,999 2,800 3,822 1,448 208 44,174 61.5%
Dundee Central SNP SNP Chris Law 15,544 40.0% 675 14,869 15,544 1,569 2,402 2,363 2,101 38,848 52.0%
Dunfermline and Dollar SNP Lab Graeme Downie 20,336 45.7% 8,241 20,336 12,095 3,297 3,181 2,887 2,078 663 44,537 61.0%
East Kilbride and Strathaven SNP Lab Joani Reid 22,682 48.6% 9,057 22,682 13,625 3,547 1,074 3,377 1,811 591 46,707 61.0%
East Renfrewshire SNP Lab Blair McDougall 21,935 43.7% 8,421 21,935 13,514 8,494 1,150 2,360 1,510 1,364 50,227 68.4%
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh SNP Lab Chris Murray 18,790 41.2% 3,715 18,790 15,075 2,598 1,949 2,129 4,669 365 45,575 59.8%
Edinburgh North and Leith SNP Lab Tracy Gilbert 20,805 42.1% 7,268 20,805 13,537 3,254 3,879 1,818 5,417 765 49,418 63.0%
Edinburgh South Lab Lab Ian Murray 24,976 53.3% 17,251 24,976 7,725 4,001 2,746 1,845 4,270 1,263 46,826 66.3%
Edinburgh South West SNP Lab Scott Arthur 18,663 40.9% 6,217 18,663 12,446 5,558 3,014 2,087 3,450 446 45,664 61.9%
Edinburgh West LD LD Christine Jardine 26,645 50.8% 16,470 7,854 10,175 2,897 26,645 2,209 2,100 591 52,471 68.6%
Falkirk SNP Lab Euan Stainbank 18,343 43.0% 4,996 18,343 13,347 3,576 1,092 3,375 1,711 1,181 42,625 58.0%
Glasgow East SNP Lab John Grady 15,543 43.8% 3,784 15,543 11,759 1,707 872 2,371 2,727 466 35,445 51.2%
Glasgow North SNP Lab Martin Rhodes 14,655 42.2% 3,539 14,655 11,116 1,366 1,142 1,655 4,233 572 34,739 51.0%
Glasgow North East SNP Lab Maureen Burke 15,639 45.9% 4,637 15,639 11,002 1,182 592 2,272 2,471 933 34,091 47.0%
Glasgow West SNP Lab Patricia Ferguson 18,621 46.7% 6,446 18,621 12,175 1,720 1,316 2,098 3,662 310 39,902 58.0%
Glasgow South SNP Lab Gordon McKee 17,696 41.8% 4,154 17,696 13,542 1,617 1,316 1,736 5,554 917 42,378 60.0%
Glasgow South West SNP Lab Zubir Ahmed 15,552 43.6% 3,285 15,552 12,267 1,387 958 2,236 2,727 542 35,669 52.0%
Glenrothes and Mid Fife SNP Lab Richard Baker 15,994 44.3% 2,954 15,994 13,040 1,973 1,604 3,528 36,139 51.0%
Gordon and Buchan Con Con Harriet Cross 14,418 32.9% 878 4,686 13,540 14,418 7,307 3,978 44,014 63.2%
Hamilton and Clyde Valley SNP Lab Imogen Walker 21,020 49.9% 9,472 21,020 11,548 4,589 1,511 3,299 117 42,084 55.8%
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West SNP Lab Martin McCluskey 18,931 46.9% 6,371 18,931 12,560 2,863 1,259 2,476 1,173 1,088 40,350 57.5%
Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire SNP LD Angus MacDonald 18,159 37.8% 2,160 6,246 15,999 2,502 18,159 2,034 2,038 178 48,056 61.7%
Kilmarnock and Loudoun SNP Lab Lillian Jones 19,055 44.9% 5,129 19,055 13,936 3,527 850 3,472 1,237 401 42,478 57.1%
Livingston SNP Lab Gregor Poynton 18,324 40.9% 3,528 18,324 14,796 3,469 2,025 3,977 1,704 545 44,840 57.5%
Lothian East SNP Lab Douglas Alexander 23,555 49.2% 13,265 23,555 10,290 5,335 2,649 3,039 2,477 557 47,902 63.5%
Mid Dunbartonshire SNP LD Susan Murray 22,349 42.4% 9,673 10,933 12,676 2,452 22,349 2,099 1,720 449 52,738 72.0%
Midlothian SNP Lab Kirsty McNeill 21,480 48.6% 8,167 21,480 13,313 3,248 2,589 3,276 259 44,165 59.8%
Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey SNP SNP Graham Leadbitter 14,961 32.1% 1,001 8,259 14,961 13,960 3,785 3,490 1,676 423 46,554 60.0%
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke SNP Lab Pamela Nash 19,168 49.1% 7,085 19,168 12,083 2,415 822 3,004 1,200 334 39,151 54.6%
Na h-Eileanan an Iar SNP Lab Torcuil Crichton 6,692 49.5% 3,836 6,692 2,856 647 382 697 2,254 13,528 64.8%
North Ayrshire and Arran SNP Lab Irene Campbell 16,821 39.8% 3,551 16,821 13,270 5,954 1,005 3,415 1,327 470 42,262 56.4%
North East Fife LD LD Wendy Chamberlain 23,384 54.7% 13,479 4,026 9,905 1,666 23,384 2,094 1,653 42,728 61.2%
Orkney and Shetland LD LD Alistair Carmichael 11,392 55.1% 7,807 1,493 3,585 586 11,392 1,586 2,046 20,688 60.0%
Paisley and Renfrewshire North SNP Lab Alison Taylor 19,561 47.1% 6,333 19,561 13,228 2,659 1,374 3,228 1,469 41,519 58.4%
Paisley and Renfrewshire South SNP Lab Johanna Baxter 19,583 47.4% 6,527 19,583 13,056 2,219 1,315 2,956 1,724 430 41,283 57.7%
Perth and Kinross-shire SNP SNP Pete Wishart 18,928 37.8% 4,127 9,018 18,928 14,801 3,681 2,970 679 50,077 64.8%
Rutherglen SNP Lab Michael Shanks 21,460 50.5% 8,767 21,460 12,693 2,420 1,714 2,685 1,512 42,484 58.5%
Stirling and Strathallan SNP Lab Chris Kane 16,856 33.9% 1,394 16,856 15,462 9,469 2,530 3,145 2,320 49,782 65.3%
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine Con Con Andrew Bowie 17,428 35.6% 3,441 6,397 13,987 17,428 6,342 3,497 1,032 275 48,958 67.1%
West Dunbartonshire SNP Lab Douglas McAllister 19,312 48.8% 6,010 19,312 13,302 1,474 839 2,770 1,496 391 39,584 57.5%
All constituencies 851,897 724,758 307,344 234,228 167,979 92,685 35,919 2,414,810 59.0%
35.3% 30.0% 12.7% 9.7% 7.0% 3.8% 1.5% 100.0%
Seats
37 9 5 6 0 0 0 57
65% 16% 8.8% 11% 0% 0% 0% 100.0%

Analysis

[edit]

The Scottish Labour Party gained the majority of seats in Scotland for the first time since 2010, regaining most of the seats lost to the SNP in 2015. Labour gained every seat in Glasgow, all but one seat in Edinburgh, and all but one seat in the Central Belt (both of these exceptions being seats won by the Scottish Liberal Democrats). Labour also gained Na h-Eileanan an Iar for the first time since 2001. Labour was also runner-up in four other constituencies, around Aberdeen and Dundee.

The Scottish National Party elected nine MPs, a net loss of thirty-nine compared to 2019. The SNP lost most of their seats gained in 2015, including every seat in Glasgow, Edinburgh and the Central Belt. Most of the remaining SNP seats are large rural constituencies in the Scottish Highlands, along with Aberdeen North, Aberdeen South and Dundee Central, Dundee Central had the lowest majority of any Scottish constituency (675 votes between SNP and Labour). The only SNP gain was Aberdeenshire North and Moray East, the predecessor seat of Banff and Buchan had been previously Conservative. The SNP was the runner-up in every constituency it did not win.

The Scottish Liberal Democrats elected six MPs, gaining Mid Dunbartonshire and Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire, the predecessor seats had once been held by former Liberal Democrat leaders Jo Swinson and Charles Kennedy respectively. The remaining four seats were defended with significantly increased majorities, and close to or over 50% of the vote. Orkney and Shetland remains the longest continuously held Liberal constituency, since 1950. This is the first time since 2010 that there are more Liberal Democrat MPs in Scotland than Conservatives, although the Conservatives had more votes.

The Scottish Conservatives elected five MPs, losing Aberdeenshire North and Moray East which was a new seat being contested by outgoing MP and leader Douglas Ross. As in the previous election, the Conservatives won in all three border constituencies, with their other two seats being in Aberdeenshire. The Conservatives therefore did proportionally better in Scotland compared to their significant losses in England and Wales, and in contrast to the previous Labour landslide of 1997 when the Conservatives lost every seat in Scotland.

Other parties and independents failed to win any seats. The two Alba Party MPs who had defected from the SNP, Kenny MacAskill and Neale Hanvey lost their seats, as did independent Angus McNeil who also left the SNP.

Unlike in England and Wales, the Scottish Greens and Reform UK were not the runner-up in any constituency, but they both did achieve some significant third places considering that Greens and Reform only won seats in England.[39] The strongest results for the Greens were in the cities of Edinburgh and Glasgow, where Labour took all the SNP seats across the cities.[40] Surprisingly, the Greens even came in third place in Orkney and Shetland, a constituency they had never before contested at a general election before.[41] Reform UK performed strongest in SNP-Conservative areas such as North East Scotland and the Scottish Borders, achieving particularly strong third places in Aberdeenshire in constituencies such as Aberdeenshire North and Moray East.[42] They even achieved third places in traditionally Labour-SNP areas in the Central Belt like Airdrie and Shotts, Glenrothes and Mid Fife, Livingston and Rutherglen. Between the two parties they achieved over 10% of the vote in Scotland (Reform 7% and Greens 4%) but no seats. For this discrimination via the electoral system the two parties were similarly compared in England.[43] Unlike Reform, the Scottish Greens did not stand in every seat nor did they retain most of their election deposits.

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Davey served as Acting Leader from 13 December 2019 to 27 August 2020 alongside the Party Presidents Baroness Sal Brinton and Mark Pack, following Jo Swinson's election defeat in the 2019 general election. Davey was elected Leader in August 2020.[1]
  2. ^ The notional results of the last election using the new (2024–present) constituencies would have given the Liberal Democrats 2 seats, not 4
  3. ^ Elected in a by-election
  4. ^ MP for Stirling (2017–2019) and MSP for Central Scotland (since 2021)
  5. ^ MP for North East Fife from 2015 to 2019
  6. ^ MP for Argyll and Bute (2001–2015)
  7. ^ a b Elected for the SNP, joined the Conservatives in 2023
  8. ^ MSP for Glasgow since 2021
  9. ^ Member of the Scottish Parliament for Glasgow Maryhill and Springburn (2011–2016) and Glasgow Maryhill (1999–2011)
  10. ^ MP for Paisley and Renfrewshire South (2005–2015) and Paisley South (1997–2005 and is also running under a joint ticket with the Co-operative Party)
  11. ^ Member of Parliament for Airdrie and Shotts from 2010 to 2015
  12. ^ Member of the Scottish Parliament for North East Scotland from 2016 to 2021
  13. ^ MP for Ochil and South Perthshire from 2017 to 2019
  14. ^ Elected in a by-election

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Stewart, Heather (27 August 2020). "'Wake up and smell the coffee': Ed Davey elected Lib Dem leader". The Guardian.
  2. ^ "Nicola Sturgeon says time is right to resign as Scotland's first minister". BBC News. 15 February 2023. Retrieved 15 February 2023.
  3. ^ "Scotland's first minister Humza Yousaf resigns". Al Jazeera. Retrieved 29 April 2024.
  4. ^ "John Swinney wins SNP leadership unopposed". BBC News. 6 May 2024. Retrieved 6 May 2024.
  5. ^ "Alex Cole-Hamilton confirmed as new Lib Dem leader". BBC News. 20 August 2020. Archived from the original on 20 August 2021. Retrieved 21 August 2021.
  6. ^ "Scottish Parliament election 2021". BBC News. Archived from the original on 11 October 2021. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
  7. ^ "Anas Sarwar elected as new leader of Scottish Labour Party". Labour List. 27 February 2021. Archived from the original on 22 May 2021. Retrieved 8 March 2021.
  8. ^ "Douglas Ross confirmed as Scottish Conservative leader". BBC News. 5 August 2020. Archived from the original on 26 January 2022. Retrieved 8 March 2021.
  9. ^ "Scottish Conservatives: Jackson Carlaw succeeds Ruth Davidson as leader". BBC News. 14 February 2020. Archived from the original on 9 March 2022. Retrieved 8 March 2021.
  10. ^ Smith, Chloe (24 March 2020). "Legislation to set the framework and rules for future Parliamentary constituency boundary reviews" (PDF). UK Parliament. Letter to William Wragg. Cabinet Office 70 Whitehall London SW1A 2AS. Archived (PDF) from the original on 21 February 2024.{{cite press release}}: CS1 maint: location (link)
  11. ^ Proctor, Kate (26 March 2020). "MPs no longer to get automatic vote on constituency boundary plans". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Archived from the original on 21 February 2024.
  12. ^ "Parliamentary Constituencies Act". legislation.gov.uk. 14 December 2020. Archived from the original on 21 February 2024. Retrieved 17 December 2020.
  13. ^ "2023 Review launched". Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved 7 January 2021.
  14. ^ "2023 Review of UK Parliament Constituencies". Boundary Commission for Scotland. Retrieved 7 January 2021.
  15. ^ "2023 Review". Boundary Commission for Wales. Retrieved 7 January 2021.
  16. ^ "2023 Review: Electoral Quota and Allocation of Constituencies Announced". Boundary Commission for Northern Ireland. 5 January 2021. Retrieved 7 January 2021.
  17. ^ "2023 Review of UK Parliament Constituencies Boundary Commission for Scotland Final Recommendations laid before Parliament" (PDF). 28 June 2023.
  18. ^ "Parliamentary Constituencies Act 2020". legislation.gov.uk. Archived from the original on 6 August 2021.
  19. ^ "2023 Review of UK Parliament Constituencies". bcomm-scotland.independent.gov.uk. Thistle House 91 Haymarket Terrace Edinburgh, EH12 5HD. 28 June 2023. Archived from the original on 21 February 2024. Retrieved 21 February 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: location (link)
  20. ^ "Democracy Club Candidates". Democracy Club Candidates. Democracy Club.
  21. ^ In electoral pact with the Labour Party, all candidates are also standing for the Labour Party
  22. ^ "Scottish Secretary Alister Jack to stand down at the next election". BBC News. 17 May 2023.
  23. ^ "Ian Blackford to stand down as SNP MP at next election". BBC News. 6 June 2023. Retrieved 7 June 2023.
  24. ^ Gilmour, Lauren (21 June 2023). "Second SNP MP to stand down at next election". The Independent.
  25. ^ Elliards, Xander (23 June 2023). "SNP MP Angela Crawley to step down at next General Election". thenational.scot. Retrieved 23 June 2023.
  26. ^ Meighan, Craig (26 June 2023). "Former SNP treasurer to stand down at next general election". STV News. Retrieved 28 June 2023.
  27. ^ "Dundee East MP Stewart Hosie to stand down at next election". BBC News. 28 June 2023. Retrieved 30 June 2023.
  28. ^ "Mhairi Black to step down as SNP MP at next election". BBC News. 4 July 2023. Retrieved 5 July 2023.
  29. ^ "Falkirk SNP MP John McNally announces he will be stepping down at next UK general election". BBC News. 10 July 2023. Retrieved 10 July 2023.
  30. ^ Dr Philippa Whitford [@Dr_PhilippaW] (18 July 2023). "As I approach retirement next year, I want to thank all those who have supported me during my time as an MP, as well as the wonderful people I worked with in ⁦@NHSScotland⁩. I will continue to campaign for Scotland's right to self-determination & for #ScottishIndependence!" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 21 February 2024 – via Twitter.
  31. ^ "MP Lisa Cameron rejects calls for a by-election". BBC News. 17 October 2023. Retrieved 20 October 2023.
  32. ^ Culbertson, Alix (5 July 2024). "SNP leader says 'soul searching' needed as Labour win big in Scotland". Sky News. Retrieved 5 July 2024.
  33. ^ "Keir Starmer and John Swinney vow to work together despite 'differences'". BBC News. Retrieved 7 July 2024.
  34. ^ "UK general election results live: Exit poll predicts Labour to win general election landslide". BBC News. Archived from the original on 4 July 2024. Retrieved 4 July 2024.
  35. ^ Leach, Anna; Clarke, Seán; Hoog, Niels de; Voce, Antonio; Gutiérrez, Pablo; Cousins, Rich; Fischer, Harry; Blight, Garry; Kirk, Ashley (4 July 2024). "UK general election results 2024: live tracker". the Guardian. Archived from the original on 5 July 2024. Retrieved 4 July 2024.
  36. ^ "Votes 'discrepancy' delays Highland result until Saturday". www.bbc.com. Retrieved 5 July 2024.
  37. ^ "Scotland Election 2024 Results". BBC News. Retrieved 9 July 2024.
  38. ^ "2024 UK General Election Results for Scotland". Bloomberg. Retrieved 9 July 2024.
  39. ^ Stewart, Iona (16 August 2024). "2024 general election: Performance of Reform and the Greens". House of Commons Library.
  40. ^ "Labour sweeps SNP out of Glasgow and Edinburgh as Swinney pledges 'soul search' - First Minister John Swinney said his party's performance had been 'very poor'". The Independent. 5 July 2024.
  41. ^ Stewart, Andrew; Reporter, Local Democracy (5 July 2024). "Liberal Democrats retain stronghold Orkney and Shetland seat". Press and Journal. Retrieved 18 September 2024.
  42. ^ "What is the future of Reform in Scotland and are they here to stay?". BBC News. 22 July 2024. Retrieved 18 September 2024.
  43. ^ "Large gap between vote share and MPs hits Reform and Greens". BBC News. 5 July 2024. Retrieved 18 September 2024.
[edit]