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2018 United States Senate election in New York

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2018 United States Senate election in New York
← 2012 November 6, 2018 2024 →
Turnout47.99%
 
Nominee Kirsten Gillibrand Chele Farley
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance
Parties
Parties
Popular vote 4,056,931 1,998,220
Percentage 67.0% 33.0%
Gillibrand:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Farley:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No data
U.S. senator before election

Kirsten Gillibrand
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Kirsten Gillibrand
Democratic

Elections in New York State
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The 2018 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected to a second full term, defeating Republican Chele Chiavacci Farley with over 67% of the vote. Gillibrand carried a majority of the state's counties and 26 of the state's 27 congressional districts, including five that elected Republicans the same night.

Democratic primary

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Kirsten Gillibrand ran unopposed in the primary and automatically became the Democratic nominee.

Candidates

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Nominee

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Failed to file

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  • Scott Noren, oral and maxillofacial surgeon[3][4]

Declined

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Republican primary

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Chele Farley's senate campaign logo

The Republican Party had nominated private equity executive Chele Chiavacci Farley.[8]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Chele Chiavacci Farley, private equity executive[9]

Failed to file

[edit]

Declined

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General election

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Endorsements

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Kirsten Gillibrand (D)

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Chele Farley (R)

U.S. President

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Governors

Individuals

Organizations

  • Crown Heights PAC[45]

Newspapers

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[48] Safe D October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[49] Safe D November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[50] Safe D November 5, 2018
Fox News[51] Likely D July 9, 2018
CNN[52] Safe D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[53] Safe D June 7, 2018

†Highest rating given

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Kirsten
Gillibrand (D) 		Chele Chiavacci
Farley (R) 		Other Undecided
Research Co.[54] November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 60% 32% – 8%
Siena College[55] October 28 – November 1, 2018 641 ± 3.9% 58% 35% 0% 8%
Quinnipiac University[56] October 10–16, 2018 852 ± 4.4% 58% 33% 0% 8%
Siena College[57] September 20–27, 2018 701 ± 3.9% 61% 29% 0% 9%
Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party)[58] August 29–30, 2018 2,783 ± 1.9% 51% 36% – 13%
Quinnipiac University[59] July 12–16, 2018 934 ± 4.1% 57% 30% 1% 10%
Siena College[60] June 4–7, 2018 745 ± 3.7% 61% 28% 0% 8%
Quinnipiac University[61] April 26 – May 1, 2018 1,076 ± 3.7% 58% 23% 1% 16%
Siena College[62] April 8–12, 2018 692 ± 4.3% 58% 27% 0% 13%
Siena College[63] March 11–16, 2018 772 ± 4.0% 60% 24% 0% 14%

Results

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United States Senate election in New York, 2018[64]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Kirsten Gillibrand 3,755,489 62.02% −4.36%
Working Families Kirsten Gillibrand 160,128 2.64% −1.12%
Independence Kirsten Gillibrand 99,325 1.64% −0.43%
Women's Equality Kirsten Gillibrand 41,989 0.69% N/A
Total Kirsten Gillibrand (incumbent) 4,056,931 67.00% −5.21%
Republican Chele Chiavacci Farley 1,730,439 28.58% +5.86%
Conservative Chele Chiavacci Farley 246,171 4.07% +0.46%
Reform Chele Chiavacci Farley 21,610 0.35% N/A
Total Chele Chiavacci Farley 1,998,220 33.00% +6.66%
Total votes 6,055,151 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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By congressional district

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Gillibrand won 26 of 27 congressional districts, including five that elected Republicans.[65]

District Gillibrand Farley Representative
1st 53% 47% Lee Zeldin
2nd 54% 46% Peter T. King
3rd 59% 41% Thomas Suozzi
4th 60% 40% Kathleen Rice
5th 89% 10% Gregory Meeks
6th 72% 28% Grace Meng
7th 92% 8% Nydia Velázquez
8th 90% 10% Hakeem Jeffries
9th 89% 11% Yvette Clarke
10th 83% 16% Jerry Nadler
11th 55% 45% Max Rose
12th 87% 13% Carolyn Maloney
13th 95% 5% Adriano Espaillat
14th 83% 16% Alexandria Ocasio Cortez
15th 96% 4% Jose E. Serrano
16th 79% 21% Eliot Engel
17th 66% 34% Nita Lowey
18th 57% 43% Sean Patrick Maloney
19th 56% 44% Antonio Delgado
20th 63% 37% Paul Tonko
21st 53% 47% Elise Stefanik
22nd 51% 49% Anthony Brindisi
23rd 51% 49% Tom Reed
24th 58% 42% John Katko
25th 63% 37% Joe Morelle
26th 68% 32% Brian Higgins
27th 47% 53% Chris Collins

References

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  1. ^ Madina Toure (December 4, 2016). "Gillibrand Wants More Federal Funds to Protect Religious Institutions". Observer. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
  2. ^ "Gillibrand accepts nomination for another term, promises to serve all of it". Politico.com. February 16, 2018. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
  3. ^ "DR SCOTT NOREN FOR US SENATE - committee overview". Retrieved March 16, 2018.
  4. ^ a b c d e "Filings received for the June 26, 2018 Federal Primary Election". NY Board of Elections. April 12, 2018. Archived from the original on May 4, 2016. Retrieved June 26, 2018.
  5. ^ Beavers, Olivia (March 29, 2017). "Chelsea Clinton dismisses rumors she'll run for public office: report". The Hill. Retrieved March 18, 2023.
  6. ^ Oppenheimer, Jerry (January 22, 2017). "Could Caroline Kennedy be the baggage-free Hillary Clinton?". New York Post. Retrieved January 24, 2017.
  7. ^ Bernstein, Jonathan (February 16, 2018). "The 2020 Democratic Primary Is Already Out of Hand". www.bloomberg.com.
  8. ^ Jimmy Vielkind (March 2, 2018). "Republicans nominate Chele Farley to make their case against Gillibrand". Politico. Retrieved March 20, 2018.
  9. ^ Zremski, Jerry (February 2, 2018). "GOP fundraiser Chele Chiavacci Farley to run against Gillibrand". The Buffalo News. Retrieved February 2, 2018.
  10. ^ Hamilton, Matthew (October 1, 2017). "Gibson talks book, Trump". Times Union. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
  11. ^ Lovett, Kenneth (January 7, 2018). "George Pataki aide considers run against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand". New York Daily News. Retrieved January 10, 2018.
  12. ^ @amyschumer (October 23, 2018). "Tweet" (Tweet) – via Twitter. [dead link‍]
  13. ^ "New York State AFL-CIO Announces the Endorsement of Senator Kirsten Gillibrand and Endorsements In Congressional Races". New York State AFL-CIO. August 21, 2018.
  14. ^ "CSEA's 2018 Endorsements". cseany.org.
  15. ^ "EMILY's List Endorses Nine Democratic Women Senators for Re-Election in 2018". EMILY's List. February 10, 2017. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
  16. ^ Tiffany Muller (February 13, 2018). "Gillibrand Pledges to Reject Corporate PAC Money; End Citizens United Endorses Re-election". End Citizens United.
  17. ^ "RELEASE: Giffords Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Senate in New York". Giffords. August 17, 2018. Archived from the original on November 5, 2018. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  18. ^ "HRC Endorses New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand for Re-Election". Human Rights Campaign. Archived from the original on March 7, 2018. Retrieved December 15, 2018.
  19. ^ "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. August 23, 2017. Archived from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  20. ^ "NRDC Action Fund announces first wave of 2018 Senate endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. January 5, 2018.
  21. ^ 2018 Final Endorsements Retrieved February 20, 2023
  22. ^ tbrown (September 6, 2018). "PSC Endorsements 2018". PSC CUNY. Archived from the original on December 15, 2018. Retrieved December 15, 2018.
  23. ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club Voter Guide. July 16, 2012.
  24. ^ "New York". Working Families.
  25. ^ The Editorial Board (October 16, 2018). "amNewYork endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Senate". amNewYork.
  26. ^ "Newsday endorses Gillibrand for Senate". Newsday.
  27. ^ Board, Daily News Editorial (November 2018). "Vote for Gillibrand: New York's junior senator deserves reelection - NY Daily News". nydailynews.com.
  28. ^ Editorial Board (November 2018). "Editorial endorsement: Kirsten Gillibrand for U.S. Senate". syracuse.com.
  29. ^ "Endorsement: Gillibrand has right stuff for Senate". Glens Falls Post-Star. October 7, 2018.
  30. ^ McPherson, Lindsey (August 14, 2018). "Trump Touts New York GOP Senate Candidate at Fundraiser for Vulnerable House Republican" – via www.rollcall.com.
  31. ^ Lovett, Kenneth (April 9, 2018). "LOVETT: Al D'Amato blasts former pal Kirsten Gillibrand, says she 'doesn't care two s--ts in a bucket' about New Yorkers". New York Daily News.
  32. ^ Whalen, Ryan (July 26, 2018). "Rep. Collins Endorses Farley For U.S. Senate". NY State of Politics. Archived from the original on August 7, 2018. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
  33. ^ "Dan Donovan Endorses Chele Farley for US Senate". Chele Farley for US Senate. May 18, 2018. Archived from the original on August 6, 2018. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
  34. ^ Reisman, Nick (May 1, 2018). "Faso For Farley". NY State of Politics. Archived from the original on May 4, 2018. Retrieved May 4, 2018.
  35. ^ Harding, Robert (May 31, 2018). "Rep. John Katko backs Chele Farley in race against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand". The Citizen.
  36. ^ Chele Farley for Senate. "I'm thrilled to announce that Congressman Peter King has endorsed our campaign for US Senate!". Facebook.
  37. ^ Pascocello, Dain (July 10, 2018). "Congressman Reed Endorses Farley for U.S. Senate; NY-23 Rep Says Gillibrand 'Out of Touch with Our Values'". NewsLI.com.
  38. ^ Harding, Robert (March 28, 2018). "Rep. Elise Stefanik endorses Chele Farley for Senate against Gillibrand". The Citizen.
  39. ^ Chele Farley. "Thank you, @claudiatenney, for your endorsement! #Farley4NY". Twitter.
  40. ^ "Zeldin Strongly Endorses Chele Farley for US Senate; Calls Successful Businesswoman, Gillibrand Opponent an "Effective Leader, Proven Problem-Solver"". Long Island Exchange. August 28, 2018.
  41. ^ "Gov. Mike Huckabee on Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved July 1, 2018.
  42. ^ Chele Farley for Senate. "Proud to have the endorsement of Governor George E. Pataki in my bid to represent New York in the US Senate! #Farley4NY #Farley4Senate". Facebook.
  43. ^ Chele Farley. "I've been endorsed by America's Mayor! Thank you to @RudyGiuliani for his support at yesterday's #Ohel visit. Let's #PutNYFirst on Tuesday! #Farley4NY". Twitter.
  44. ^ Reisman, Nick (June 26, 2018). "Farley Touts Support From Hannity". NY State of Politics. Archived from the original on August 7, 2018. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
  45. ^ "Crown Heights PAC Endorses". COLlive.com. November 5, 2018. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  46. ^ "Endorsements For New York November 6 General Elections". The Jewish Press. October 24, 2018.
  47. ^ "GOP moderate Farley is better for New York than 'poser' Gillibrand". New York Post. October 27, 2018. Retrieved October 28, 2018.
  48. ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  49. ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  50. ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  51. ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  52. ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  53. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  54. ^ Research Co.
  55. ^ Siena College
  56. ^ Quinnipiac University
  57. ^ Siena College
  58. ^ Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party)
  59. ^ Quinnipiac University
  60. ^ Siena College
  61. ^ Quinnipiac University
  62. ^ Siena College
  63. ^ Siena College
  64. ^ "Certified Results from the November 6, 2018 General Election for U.S. Senator" (PDF). elections.ny.gov. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 8, 2021. Retrieved February 20, 2023.
  65. ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 18, 2024.
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Official campaign websites

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