2014 United States Senate election in Michigan
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Peters: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Land: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Michigan |
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The 2014 United States Senate election in Michigan was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Michigan, concurrently with the election of the governor of Michigan, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Carl Levin decided to retire instead of running for re-election to a seventh term. Primary contests took place on August 5, 2014, with U.S. Representative Gary Peters and former Michigan Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land unopposed on the Democratic and Republican primary ballots, respectively.[1] Peters defeated Land in the general election, becoming the only freshman Democratic senator in the 114th Congress.
This was the first open seat election in Michigan since 1994 and the first on this seat since 1918. This was the first election since 1990 that the winner was of a different party than the concurrent gubernatorial election.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Gary Peters, U.S. Representative[2]
Failed to qualify
[edit]Declined
[edit]- Shane Battier, National Basketball Association player[5]
- Jocelyn Benson, Dean of Wayne State University Law School and nominee for Michigan Secretary of State in 2010[6][7]
- Virgil Bernero, Mayor of Lansing and nominee for Governor in 2010[8]
- Mark Bernstein, attorney and Regent of the University of Michigan[9]
- James Blanchard, former governor of Michigan[10]
- Debbie Dingell, chairman of the Wayne State University board of governors and wife of U.S. Representative John Dingell (running for MI-12)[11]
- Jennifer Granholm, former governor of Michigan[12]
- Dan Kildee, U.S. Representative[13]
- Carl Levin, incumbent U.S. Senator[14][15]
- Sander Levin, U.S. Representative and Carl Levin's brother[16]
- Gretchen Whitmer, Minority Leader of the Michigan Senate[17]
Endorsements
[edit]Gary Peters
Politicians
- Jennifer Granholm, former governor of Michigan[18]
- Mark Hackel, Macomb County Executive[19]
- Dan Kildee, U.S. Representative (MI-05)[20]
- Carl Levin, U.S. Senator (D-MI)[21]
- Anthony Marrocco, Macomb County Public Works Commissioner[19]
- Carmella Sabaugh, Macomb County Clerk[19]
- Eric Smith, Macomb County Prosecutor[19]
- Debbie Stabenow, U.S. Senator (D-MI)[21]
- Ted Wahby, Macomb County Treasurer[19]
- Anthony Wickersham, Macomb County Sheriff[19]
Newspapers and other media
- Detroit Free Press[22]
- Detroit News[23]
- Lansing State Journal[24]
- MLive Media Group[25]
- Traverse City Record-Eagle[26]
Organizations
- Michigan Credit Union League[27]
- Sierra Club[28]
Polling
[edit]Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Deborah Dingell |
Jennifer Granholm |
Dan Kildee |
Gary Peters |
Other | Undecided | — | Harper Polling[29] | March 9–10, 2013 | — | ± | 23.29% | 57.50% | 6.40% | 12.81% | 45% | 25% | — |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research[30] | March 19 & 21, 2013 | 387 | ±4.98% | 30% | — |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gary Peters | 504,102 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 504,102 | 100.00% | ||
Republican primary
[edit]After Terri Lynn Land declared her candidacy in June 2013, Republicans attempted to recruit U.S. Representative Dave Camp and Oakland County District Court Judge Kimberly Small to run instead.[32] Camp, after earlier having said that he was not interested in running, reconsidered it, and Land indicated that she would consider dropping out if Camp decided to run.[33] Republicans were initially reluctant to rally around Land,[34][35] but after Camp and Small declined to run, other Republicans like U.S. Representative Justin Amash and Holland Mayor Kurt Dykstra also said no, and a late attempt to convince cardiologist Rob Steele to run failed, Land emerged as the de facto nominee.[35]
Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Terri Lynn Land, former member of the Republican National Committee and former Michigan Secretary of State[36]
Withdrew
[edit]- Matthew Wiedenhoeft, businessman and former minor league hockey player and coach (running for the state house)[3][37]
Declined
[edit]- Justin Amash, U.S. Representative[38]
- Saul Anuzis, former chairman of the Michigan Republican Party[39]
- Dave Brandon, University of Michigan Athletic Director[40]
- Brian Calley, Lieutenant Governor of Michigan[41]
- Dave Camp, U.S. Representative[42]
- Mike Cox, former Michigan Attorney General[10]
- Betsy DeVos, former chairman of the Michigan Republican Party[43]
- Dick DeVos, businessman and nominee for Governor in 2006[43]
- Clark Durant, charter school advocate and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1990 and 2012[10]
- Kurt Dykstra, Mayor of Holland[44]
- John Engler, former governor of Michigan[45]
- Pete Hoekstra, former U.S. Representative and 2012 Senate nominee[46]
- Ruth Johnson, Michigan Secretary of State[47]
- Roger Kahn, state senator[48]
- Pete Lund, Majority Whip of the Michigan House of Representatives[47]
- Ronna McDaniel, Republican National Committeewoman and member of the Romney family[49]
- Candice Miller, U.S. Representative[10][50]
- Jim Murray, president of AT&T Michigan[51]
- Andrea Fischer Newman, Regent of the University of Michigan[52]
- John Rakolta, businessman[53]
- Randy Richardville, Majority Leader of the Michigan Senate[51][54]
- Mike Rogers, U.S. Representative[55]
- Scott Romney, former member of the Michigan State University board of trustees, candidate for Attorney General of Michigan in 1998 and member of the Romney family[56]
- Bill Schuette, Michigan Attorney General[6][10]
- Kimberly Small, judge on Michigan's 48th District Court[57]
- Rob Steele, cardiologist[58]
Endorsements
[edit]Terri Lynn Land
Politicians
- Brian Calley, Lieutenant Governor of Michigan[59]
- Pete Hoekstra, former U.S. Representative (MI-02), candidate for Governor in 2010 and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[60]
- Candice Miller, U.S. Representative (MI-10) and former Michigan Secretary of State[61]
- Rob Montilla, Chairman of the Macomb County Republican Party[62]
- Rick Santorum, former U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania and candidate for President of the United States in 2012[63]
Organizations
- GOProud, gay conservative organization[64]
- Right to Life of Michigan PAC[65]
Polling
[edit]Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Justin Amash |
Saul Anuzis |
Dave Camp |
Kurt Dykstra |
Roger Kahn |
Terri Lynn Land |
Pete Lund |
Jim Murray |
Mike Rogers |
G. Scott Romney |
Ronna Romney McDaniel |
Kimberly Small |
Rob Steele |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling[66] | March 9–10, 2013 | 1,744 | ±2.35% | 10.57% | — | — | — | — | 8.94% | — | — | 17.07% | 25.85% | — | — | — | 37.56% |
| Mitchell Research[30] | March 19 & 21, 2013 | 438 | ±4.68% | 18% | — | — | — | — | 11% | — | — | 21% | — | 19% | — | — | 31% |
| Murray Comm's[67] | May 20, 2013 | 1,158 | ±4.68% | 10.28% | 1.38% | — | 9.93% | 5.18% | 28.84% | 4.66% | 1.21% | 35.66% | — | — | — | 2.85% | — |
| PPP[68] | May 30 – June 2, 2013 | 334 | ±5.4% | 16% | 7% | 21% | — | 1% | 15% | — | — | 18% | — | — | 2% | 1% | 20% |
| Harper Polling[69] | September 4, 2013 | 958 | ±3.17% | — | — | — | 16% | — | 45% | — | — | — | — | — | 2% | 4% | 33% |
| — | — | — | — | — | 50% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13% | 37% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Terri Lynn Land | 588,084 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 588,084 | 100.00% | ||
Minor parties
[edit]Libertarian Party
[edit]U.S. Taxpayers Party
[edit]- Richard A. Matkin[72]
Green Party
[edit]Independents
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Jeff Jones, retired financial services industry worker and pastor[74]
- Paul Marineau, attorney and former mayor pro tem of Douglas[75]
General election
[edit]Campaign
[edit]Early on, the open seat was considered to be competitive. However, various missteps by the Land campaign[76] as well as Land's reluctance to appear in public after suffering a meltdown in front of the media in May,[77][78] weighed down the Land campaign, allowing Peters to open up a consistent lead in the polls beginning in September. The Republican establishment effectively gave up on Land's campaign the following month.[79][80]
Debates
[edit]Peters agreed to four debates; Land did not respond to invitations.[81] Negotiations between the Land and Peters campaigns broke down over the format of proposed debates between the two candidates.[82]
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[83] | Lean D | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[84] | Likely D | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[85] | Likely D | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[86] | Likely D | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gary Peters (D) |
Terri Lynn Land (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling[29] | March 9–10, 2013 | 1,744 | ± 2.35% | 21% | 29% | — | 50% |
| Mitchell Research[87] | March 19 & 21, 2013 | 571 | ± 4.1% | 33% | 32% | — | 35% |
| Public Policy Polling[88] | May 30 – June 2, 2013 | 697 | ± 3.7% | 41% | 36% | — | 23% |
| Denno Research[89] | July 23–24, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 39% | 39% | — | 22% |
| Mitchell Research[90] | August 26, 2013 | 1,881 | ± 2.23% | 36% | 39% | — | 25% |
| EPIC-MRA[91] | September 7–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 38% | 37% | — | 25% |
| MRG/Mitchell Research[92] | October 6–10, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 39% | 40% | — | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling[93] | October 14–15, 2013 | 642 | ± 3.9% | 43% | 36% | — | 21% |
| Inside Michigan Politics[94] | October 29, 2013 | 794 | ± 4% | 43% | 38% | — | 19% |
| Denno Research[95] | November 12–14, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 37% | 36% | — | 27% |
| Public Policy Polling[96] | December 5–8, 2013 | 1,034 | ± 3% | 40% | 42% | — | 18% |
| Harper Polling[97] | January 7–8, 2014 | 1,004 | ± 3.09% | 36% | 44% | — | 20% |
| Rasmussen Reports[98] | January 14–15, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 35% | 37% | 8% | 20% |
| Harper Polling[99] | January 19–20, 2014 | 750 | ± 3.58% | 37% | 42% | — | 21% |
| EPIC-MRA[100] | February 5–11, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 38% | 41% | — | 21% |
| Clarity Campaigns[101] | February 22–23, 2014 | 859 | ± 2.55% | 46% | 40% | — | 14% |
| Denno Research[102] | March 9–10, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 40% | 37% | 2% | 22% |
| Marketing Resource Group[103] | March 24–28, 2014 | 600 | ± 4.1% | 38% | 40% | — | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling[104] | April 3–6, 2014 | 825 | ± 3.4% | 41% | 36% | — | 23% |
| Mitchell Research[105] | April 9, 2014 | 1,460 | ± 2.56% | 38% | 44% | — | 18% |
| Harper Polling[106] | April 7–8, 2014 | 538 | ± 4.22% | 40% | 43% | — | 18% |
| Magellan Strategies[107] | April 14–15, 2014 | 875 | ± 3.31% | 46% | 41% | 8% | 5% |
| Hickman Analytics[108] | April 24–30, 2014 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 37% | — | 21% |
| EPIC-MRA[109] | May 17–20, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 44% | 38% | — | 18% |
| Glengariff Group[110] | May 20–22, 2014 | 600 | ± 4.3% | 40% | 35% | — | 25% |
| Mitchell Research[111] | June 6, 2014 | 961 | ± 3.16% | 45% | 42% | — | 14% |
| Magellan Strategies[112] | June 5 & 8, 2014 | 753 | ± 3.57% | 50% | 41% | 5% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling[113] | June 26–29, 2014 | 578 | ± 4.1% | 41% | 36% | — | 24% |
| NBC News/Marist[114] | July 7–10, 2014 | 870 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 37% | 2% | 19% |
| Denno Research[115] | July 9–11, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 40% | 37% | — | 23% |
| EPIC-MRA[116] | July 12–15, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 45% | 36% | — | 19% |
| Mitchell Research[117] | July 7–17, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 43% | 38% | — | 19% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[118] | July 5–24, 2014 | 3,849 | ± 2.8% | 44% | 45% | 1% | 10% |
| Benenson Strategy Group[119] | July 26–29, 2014 | 900 | ± 3.2% | 47% | 42% | — | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports[120] | July 28–29, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 45% | 39% | 6% | 10% |
| Marketing Resource Group[121] | July 26–30, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 47% | 40% | — | 13% |
| Harper Polling[122] | August 4–5, 2014 | 549 | ± 4.18% | 45% | 44% | — | 11% |
| Mitchell Research[123] | August 5, 2014 | 626 | ± 5% | 45% | 44% | — | 11% |
| Lake Research Partners[124] | August 6–11, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 42% | 38% | — | 19% |
| EPIC-MRA[125] | August 22–25, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 45% | 39% | — | 16% |
| Mitchell Research[126] | August 27, 2014 | 1,004 | ± 3.09% | 46% | 44% | — | 10% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[127] | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 2,897 | ± 3% | 42% | 43% | 2% | 13% |
| Glengariff Group[128] | September 3–5, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 47% | 37% | 4% | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling[129] | September 4–7, 2014 | 687 | ± 3.7% | 43% | 36% | 7%[130] | 13% |
| 45% | 40% | — | 15% | ||||
| Suffolk[131] | September 6–10, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 37% | 6%[132] | 11% |
| Denno Research[133] | September 11–13, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 45% | 38% | — | 18% |
| Mitchell Research[134] | September 14, 2014 | 829 | ± 3.4% | 43% | 41% | 8%[135] | 9% |
| Magellan Strategies[136] | September 14–15, 2014 | 717 | ± 3.66% | 45% | 40% | 5%[137] | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports[120] | September 17–18, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 41% | 39% | 5% | 15% |
| We Ask America[138] | September 18–19, 2014 | 1,182 | ± 3% | 42% | 39% | 5%[139] | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling[140] | September 18–19, 2014 | 852 | ± 3.4% | 47% | 40% | — | 13% |
| Target Insyght[141] | September 22–24, 2014 | 616 | ± 4% | 48% | 38% | 6% | 7% |
| EPIC-MRA[142] | September 25–29, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 42% | 33% | 11% | 14% |
| Mitchell Research[143] | September 29, 2014 | 1,178 | ± 2.86% | 49% | 36% | 5%[139] | 9% |
| Lake Research Partners[124] | September 27–30, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 45% | 36% | — | 18% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[144] | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 2,560 | ± 2% | 46% | 41% | 2% | 11% |
| Marketing Resource Group[145] | September 30 – October 2, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 47% | 36% | — | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling[146] | October 2–3, 2014 | 654 | ± 3.8% | 49% | 42% | — | 9% |
| Glengariff Group[147] | October 2–4, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 44% | 35% | 6% | 15% |
| Wenzel Strategies[148] | October 6–7, 2014 | 615 | ± 3.93% | 47% | 44% | — | 9% |
| Mitchell Research[149] | October 9, 2014 | 1,306 | ± 2.71% | 48% | 43% | 4%[150] | 6% |
| Mitchell Research[151] | October 12, 2014 | 1,340 | ± 2.68% | 50% | 39% | 4%[152] | 8% |
| Lake Research Partners[153] | October 11–13, 2014 | ? | ± ? | 49% | 37% | — | 14% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs[154] | October 12–14, 2014 | 967 | ± 3.16% | 49% | 36% | — | 18% |
| EPIC-MRA[155] | October 17–19, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 45% | 34% | 4% | 16% |
| Mitchell Research[156] | October 19, 2014 | 919 | ± 3.23% | 51% | 38% | 4%[152] | 7% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs[157] | October 19–20, 2014 | 1,032 | ± ? | 48% | 33% | — | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling[158] | October 20–21, 2014 | 723 | ± ? | 53% | 39% | — | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports[120] | October 20–22, 2014 | 1,000 | ± 3% | 51% | 42% | 3% | 4% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[144] | October 16–23, 2014 | 2,394 | ± 3% | 49% | 41% | 1% | 10% |
| Glengariff Group[159] | October 22–24, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 48% | 33% | 6% | 14% |
| Mitchell Research[160] | October 27, 2014 | 1,159 | ± 2.88% | 52% | 38% | 5%[161] | 5% |
| EPIC-MRA[162] | October 26–28, 2014 | 600 | ± 4% | 50% | 35% | 5% | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling[163] | November 1–2, 2014 | 914 | ± 3.2% | 51% | 38% | 4%[152] | 6% |
| 54% | 41% | — | 5% | ||||
| Mitchell Research[164] | November 2, 2014 | 1,224 | ± 2.8% | 52% | 40% | 4%[152] | 4% |
Hypothetical polling
With Dingell
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Deborah Dingell (D) |
Justin Amash (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research[30] | March 19 & 21, 2013 | 1,744 | ± 2.35% | 38% | 28% | — | 34% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Deborah Dingell (D) |
Terri Lynn Land (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research[30] | March 19 & 21, 2013 | 1,744 | ± 2.35% | 31% | 35% | — | 34% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Deborah Dingell (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research[30] | March 19 & 21, 2013 | 1,744 | ± 2.35% | 34% | 29% | — | 37% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Deborah Dingell (D) |
Ronna Romney McDaniel (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research[30] | March 19 & 21, 2013 | 1,744 | ± 2.35% | 36% | 29% | — | 35% |
With Granholm
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jennifer Granholm (D) |
Justin Amash (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling[29] | March 9–10, 2013 | 1,744 | ± 2.35% | 42% | 34% | — | 23% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jennifer Granholm (D) |
Terri Lynn Land (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling[29] | March 9–10, 2013 | 1,744 | ± 2.35% | 43% | 40% | — | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jennifer Granholm (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling[29] | March 9–10, 2013 | 1,744 | ± 2.35% | 42% | 40% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jennifer Granholm (D) |
G. Scott Romney (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling[29] | March 9–10, 2013 | 1,744 | ± 2.35% | 43% | 40% | — | 17% |
With Levin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Carl Levin (D) |
Justin Amash (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[165] | December 13–16, 2012 | 650 | ± 3.8% | 53% | 32% | — | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling[166] | March 2–4, 2013 | 702 | ± 3.7% | 49% | 34% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Carl Levin (D) |
Roger Kahn (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[165] | December 13–16, 2012 | 650 | ± 3.8% | 53% | 31% | — | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling[166] | March 2–4, 2013 | 702 | ± 3.7% | 50% | 30% | — | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Carl Levin (D) |
Candice Miller (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[165] | December 13–16, 2012 | 650 | ± 3.8% | 52% | 34% | — | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling[166] | March 2–4, 2013 | 702 | ± 3.7% | 46% | 35% | — | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Carl Levin (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[165] | December 13–16, 2012 | 650 | ± 3.8% | 55% | 31% | — | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling[166] | March 2–4, 2013 | 702 | ± 3.7% | 49% | 33% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Carl Levin (D) |
Bill Schuette (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[165] | December 13–16, 2012 | 650 | ± 3.8% | 54% | 32% | — | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling[166] | March 2–4, 2013 | 702 | ± 3.7% | 51% | 32% | — | 17% |
With LOLGOP
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
LOLGOP[167] (D) | Justin Amash (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[168] | May 30 – June 2, 2013 | 697 | ± 3.7% | 23% | 22% | — | 55% |
With Peters
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gary Peters (D) |
Justin Amash (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling[29] | March 9–10, 2013 | 1,744 | ± 2.35% | 23% | 19% | — | 57% |
| Mitchell Research[30] | March 19 & 21, 2013 | 1,744 | ± 2.35% | 39% | 29% | — | 32% |
| Public Policy Polling[88] | May 30 – June 2, 2013 | 697 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 30% | — | 29% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gary Peters (D) |
Saul Anuzis (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[88] | May 30 – June 2, 2013 | 697 | ± 3.7% | 44% | 24% | — | 32% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gary Peters (D) |
Dave Camp (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[88] | May 30 – June 2, 2013 | 697 | ± 3.7% | 43% | 31% | — | 26% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gary Peters (D) |
Kurt Dykstra (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research[90] | August 26, 2013 | 1,881 | ± 2.23% | 38% | 37% | — | 25% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gary Peters (D) |
Roger Kahn (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[88] | May 30 – June 2, 2013 | 697 | ± 3.7% | 44% | 26% | — | 30% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gary Peters (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling[29] | March 9–10, 2013 | 1,744 | ± 2.35% | 20% | 23% | — | 57% |
| Mitchell Research[30] | March 19 & 21, 2013 | 1,744 | ± 2.35% | 36% | 31% | — | 33% |
| EPIC-MRA[169] | May 11–15, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 37% | 30% | — | 33% |
| Public Policy Polling[88] | May 30 – June 2, 2013 | 697 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 32% | — | 25% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gary Peters (D) |
G. Scott Romney (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling[29] | March 9–10, 2013 | 1,744 | ± 2.35% | 26% | 29% | — | 45% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gary Peters (D) |
Ronna Romney McDaniel (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research[30] | March 19 & 21, 2013 | 1,744 | ± 2.35% | 36% | 29% | — | 35% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gary Peters (D) |
Kimberly Small (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[88] | May 30 – June 2, 2013 | 697 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 26% | — | 32% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gary Peters (D) |
Rob Steele (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[88] | May 30 – June 2, 2013 | 697 | ± 3.7% | 44% | 26% | — | 29% |
Results
[edit]Peters was declared the winner right when the polls closed in Michigan.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gary Peters | 1,704,936 | 54.61% | −8.05% | |
| Republican | Terri Lynn Land | 1,290,199 | 41.33% | +7.48% | |
| Libertarian | Jim Fulner | 62,897 | 2.01% | +0.44% | |
| Constitution | Richard Matkin | 37,529 | 1.20% | +0.56% | |
| Green | Chris Wahmhoff | 26,137 | 0.84% | −0.06% | |
| Write-in | 77 | 0.00% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 3,121,775 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]- Branch (largest city: Coldwater)
- Lenawee (largest city: Adrian)
- Tuscola (largest city: Caro)
- Montcalm (largest city: Greenville)
- Wexford (largest city: Cadillac)
- Cheboygan (largest city: Cheboygan)
- Schoolcraft (largest city: Manistique)
- Ontonagon (largest city: Ontonagon)
- Menominee (largest city: Menominee)
- Mackinac (largest city: St. Ignace)
- Keweenaw (largest city: Ahmeek)
- Houghton (largest city: Houghton)
- Delta (largest city: Escanaba)
- Dickinson (largest city: Iron Mountain)
- Baraga (largest city: Baraga)
- Charlevoix (largest city: Boyne City)
- Emmet (largest city: Petosky)
- Montmorency (largest city: Lewiston)
- Otsego (largest city: Gaylord)
- Antrim (largest city: Elk Rapids)
- Crawford (largest city: Grayling)
- Kalkaska (largest city: Kalkaska)
- Grand Traverse (largest city: Traverse City)
- Oscoda (largest city: Mio)
- Osceola (largest city: Reed City)
- Alcona (largest city: Harrisville)
- Mason (largest city: Ludington)
- Oceana (largest city: Hart)
- Mecosta (largest city: Big Rapids)
- Newaygo (largest city: Fremont)
- Huron (largest city: Bad Axe)
- Sanilac (largest city: Sandusky)
- Midland (largest city: Midland)
- Lapeer (largest city: Lapeer)
- Kent (largest city: Grand Rapids)
- Ionia (largest city: Ionia)
- Cass (largest city: Dowagiac)
- Berrien (largest city: Niles)
- St. Joseph (largest city: Sturgis)
By congressional district
[edit]Peters won 9 of 14 congressional districts, including four that elected Republicans.[171]
| District | Peters | Land | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 46.8% | 49.6% | Dan Benishek |
| 2nd | 41.4% | 54.2% | |
| Bill Huizenga | |||
| 3rd | 45.1% | 50.4% | Justin Amash |
| 4th | 48.1% | 47.2% | Dave Camp (113th Congress) |
| John Moolenaar (114th Congress) | |||
| 5th | 63.7% | 32.5% | Dan Kildee |
| 6th | 45.9% | 49.4% | Fred Upton |
| 7th | 48.6% | 47.1% | Tim Walberg |
| 8th | 49.6% | 46.3% | Mike Rogers (113th Congress) |
| Mike Bishop (114th Congress) | |||
| 9th | 59.3% | 36.2% | Sander Levin |
| 10th | 46.6% | 48.5% | Candice Miller |
| 11th | 49.1% | 47.0% | Kerry Bentivolio (113th Congress) |
| Dave Trott (114th Congress) | |||
| 12th | 66.3% | 29.5% | John Dingell (113th Congress) |
| Debbie Dingell (114th Congress) | |||
| 13th | 83.5% | 13.6% | John Conyers |
| 14th | 80.3% | 17.8% | Gary Peters (113th Congress) |
| Brenda Lawrence (114th Congress) |
Post-election
[edit]Land ended up paying a fee of $66,000 to the Federal Election Commission for a violation of the Federal Election Campaign Act related to the 2014 campaign.[172][173]
Peters would run again in 2020 to retain the Senate seat he won,[174] while Land would go on to win a seat on the Board of Governors for Wayne State University in the same year.[175]
See also
[edit]
- 2014 Michigan gubernatorial election
- 2014 Michigan Attorney General election
- 2014 Michigan Secretary of State election
- 2014 United States Senate elections
- 2014 United States elections
- 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan
References
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- ^ a b James Hohmann and Jonathan Martin (March 8, 2013). "Michigan Republican Pete Lund Eyes Carl Levin's Seat". Politico. Retrieved March 9, 2013.
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- ^ Todd Spangler (March 8, 2013). "U.S. Rep. Candice Miller says she will not seek Levin's seat". Detroit Free Press.
- ^ a b Klug, Fritz (May 22, 2013). "U.S. Senate Update: Jim Murray out of running; Republicans advise Mike Rogers to pick Senate over F.B.I." MLive.com.
- ^ "Off to the races: Lots of potential names to replace Levin". NBC News. March 8, 2013.
- ^ Wilson, Reid (April 29, 2013). "Gary Peters To Announce Senate Bid". National Journal. Archived from the original on February 27, 2014. Retrieved June 5, 2013.
- ^ Spalding, Connor (April 25, 2013). "Interview with Michigan Senate Majority Leader Randy Richardville". Michigan Policy Network.
- ^ Spangler, Todd (June 14, 2013). "U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers won't run for Senate seat". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved June 14, 2013.
- ^ Todd Spangler (March 12, 2013). "Mitt Romney's brother G. Scott Romney won't run for Levin's seat". Detroit Free Press.
- ^ "Judge Kimberly Small declines to run for US Senate". My Fox Detroit. Retrieved September 16, 2013.
- ^ Schultz, Marissa (November 1, 2013). "Steele decided not to challenge Land for GOP Senate nomination". Detroit News. Archived from the original on November 4, 2013. Retrieved November 1, 2013.
- ^ "Lt. Gov. Calley to GOP: Back Land for Senate". The Detroit News. Archived from the original on October 5, 2013. Retrieved October 10, 2013.
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- ^ Mitchell Research
- ^ a b c d e f g h Public Policy Polling
- ^ Denno Research
- ^ a b Mitchell Research
- ^ EPIC-MRA
- ^ MRG/Mitchell Research
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- ^ Public Policy Polling
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- ^ EPIC-MRA
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- ^ Jim Fulner (L) 4%, Richard Matkin (TP) 2%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 1%
- ^ Suffolk Archived September 24, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Jim Fulner (L) 3%, Richard Matkin (TP) 2%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 1%
- ^ Denno Research
- ^ Mitchell Research
- ^ Jim Fulner (L) 3%, Richard Matkin (TP) 2%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 3%
- ^ Magellan Strategies
- ^ Jim Fulner (L) 5%, Richard Matkin (TP) 2%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 3%
- ^ We Ask America
- ^ a b Jim Fulner (L) 3%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1%, Chris Wahmhof (G) 1%
- ^ Public Policy Polling
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- ^ EPIC-MRA
- ^ Mitchell Research
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- ^ Mitchell Research
- ^ Jim Fullner (L) 1%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1%, Chris Wahmhoff (G) 2%
- ^ Mitchell Research
- ^ a b c d Jim Fullner (L) 2%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1%, Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1%
- ^ Lake Research Partners
- ^ Clarity Campaign Labs
- ^ EPIC-MRA
- ^ Mitchell Research
- ^ Clarity Campaign Labs
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- ^ Glengariff Group
- ^ Mitchell Research
- ^ Jim Fullner (L) 3%, Richard Matkin (TP) 1%, Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1%
- ^ EPIC-MRA
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Mitchell Research
- ^ a b c d e Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b c d e Public Policy Polling
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- ^ "2014 Michigan Official General Election Results - 11/04/2014".
- ^ "Daily Kos".
- ^ Former Michigan secretary of state, husband agree to pay $66K fine Detroit Free Press
- ^ MUR 6860 (Teiri Lynn Land, et al.) Conciliation Agreement Federal Election Commission
- ^ Michigan’s U.S. Senate candidates evade primary challenge, setting up Peters, James matchup in November MLive
- ^ University boards: Dems, GOP split seats at MSU, UM, WSU Detroit News
External links
[edit]Official campaign websites (Archived)