2014 South Dakota gubernatorial election
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  Daugaard: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Wismer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in South Dakota |
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The 2014 South Dakota gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of South Dakota, concurrently with the election of South Dakota's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican governor Dennis Daugaard ran for re-election to a second term in office. He won the Republican primary and ran again with incumbent lieutenant governor Matt Michels. The Democrats nominated State Representative Susan Wismer, who chose former state representative Susy Blake as her running mate. Independent Mike Myers also ran, whose running mate was former Republican state representative Lora Hubbel.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Dennis Daugaard, incumbent governor[1]
- Lora Hubbel, former state representative and former chair of the Minnehaha County Republican Party[2]
Declined
[edit]- Stan Adelstein, state senator[3][4]
- Stace Nelson, state representative (running for the U.S. Senate)[5]
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dennis Daugaard (incumbent) | 60,017 | 80.87 | |
| Republican | Lora Hubbel | 14,196 | 19.13 | |
| Total votes | 74,213 | 100 | ||
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Joe Lowe, former state director of wildland fire suppression and former mayor of Mission Viejo, California[7]
- Susan Wismer, state representative[8][9][10]
Declined
[edit]- Jason Frerichs, Minority Leader of the South Dakota Senate[11][12]
- Bryce Healy, former commissioner of schools and public lands[13]
- Scott Heidepriem, former state senator and nominee for governor in 2010[14]
- Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, former U.S. Representative[14][15]
- Mike Huether, Mayor of Sioux Falls (running for re-election)[14][16]
- Steve Jarding, educator, lecturer and political consultant[17]
- Pat O'Brien, author, television anchor and radio host[18]
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Susan Wismer | 15,311 | 55.49 | |
| Democratic | Joe Lowe | 12,283 | 44.51 | |
| Total votes | 27,594 | 100 | ||
Independents and Third Parties
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Mike Myers (Independent), former University of South Dakota School of Law professor and former CEO of Mayo Clinic[19]
- Running mate: Lora Hubbel, former Republican State Representative and Republican candidate for governor in 2014. Myers' initial running mate was Caitlin Collier, an attorney and Democratic candidate for the State House in 2008. After Collier announced her withdrawal from the race in June 2014 because of a family illness,[20][21] Myers attempted to replace her with Hubbel, who had run against Daugaard in the Republican primary. However, Secretary of State of South Dakota Jason Gant refused to remove Collier's name, saying that state law had no provision for replacing an Independent candidate on the ballot.[21] In July, Myers sued the Secretary of State to allow him to change his running mate[22] and on August 18, federal judge Lawrence L. Piersol of the United States District Court for the District of South Dakota ruled in Myers' favor.[23][24]
Failed to make the ballot
[edit]- Curtis Strong (Constitution), Tea Party activist[25][26]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[27] | Solid R | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[29] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[30] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dennis Daugaard (R) |
Susan Wismer (D) |
Mike Myers (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monmouth University[31] | October 24–27, 2014 | 429 | ± 4.7% | 68% | 29% | 1% | — | 2% |
| SurveyUSA[32] | October 21–26, 2014 | 611 | ± 4% | 54% | 34% | 5% | — | 7% |
| Mason-Dixon[33] | October 20–23, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 62% | 26% | 5% | — | 7% |
| NBC News/Marist[34] | October 19–23, 2014 | 730 LV | ± 3.6% | 67% | 28% | — | 1% | 4% |
| 990 RV | ± 3.1% | 67% | 26% | — | 2% | 5% | ||
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[35] | October 16–23, 2014 | 527 | ± 8% | 54% | 28% | — | 3% | 15% |
| Harper Polling[36] | October 9–11, 2014 | 630 | ± 3.9% | 53% | 35% | — | 8% | 4% |
| SurveyUSA[37] | October 1–5, 2014 | 616 | ± 4% | 59% | 30% | 7% | — | 5% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[38] | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 382 | ± 7% | 57% | 31% | — | 2% | 10% |
| Nielson Brothers Polling[39] | September 21–25, 2014 | 607 | ± 3.35% | 53% | 28% | 10% | — | 9% |
| SurveyUSA[40] | September 3–7, 2014 | 510 | ± 4.4% | 54% | 34% | 6% | — | 7% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[41] | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 526 | ± 6% | 55% | 28% | — | 1% | 16% |
| Nielson Brothers Polling[42] | July 23–28, 2014 | 572 | ± 4.07% | 53% | 29% | 7% | — | 12% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[43] | July 5–24, 2014 | 630 | ± 4.5% | 66% | 27% | — | 2% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports[44] | June 4–5, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 55% | 35% | — | 3% | 7% |
| SurveyUSA[45] | May 6–10, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.5% | 56% | 23% | 13% | — | 9% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dennis Daugaard (R) |
Joe Lowe (D) |
Mike Myers (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[45] | May 6–10, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.5% | 57% | 21% | 11% | — | 10% |
| Rasmussen Reports[44] | February 25–26, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 63% | 23% | — | 5% | 9% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dennis Daugaard (incumbent) | 195,477 | 70.47% | +8.96% | |
| Democratic | Susan Wismer | 70,549 | 25.43% | −13.06% | |
| Independent | Michael J. Myers | 11,377 | 4.10% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 277,403 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]- Clay (Largest city: Vermillion)
- Corson (Largest city: McLaughlin)
- Day (largest city: Webster)
- Dewey (Largest city: North Eagle Butte)
- Roberts (largest city: Sisseton)
- Ziebach (largest city: Dupree)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ Ellis, Jonathan (March 25, 2014). "Daugaard officially launches re-election bid in Sioux Falls". Argus Leader. Archived from the original on March 25, 2014. Retrieved March 25, 2014.
- ^ Montgomery, David (October 15, 2013). "Political Smokeout blog: Lora Hubbel running for governor". Political Smokeout. Archived from the original on October 16, 2013. Retrieved October 15, 2013.
- ^ "Could Rapid City's Stan Adelstein still run for Governor?". February 24, 2013. Retrieved June 26, 2013.
- ^ Ellis, Jonathan (January 2, 2014). "Health problem forces Stan Adelstein to resign from state Senate". Argus Leader. Archived from the original on January 27, 2014. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- ^ "Stace Nelson to announce run for U.S. Senate". Argus Leader. August 13, 2013. Archived from the original on August 13, 2013. Retrieved August 13, 2013.
- ^ a b "Primary Election - June 3, 2014". South Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved July 17, 2014.
- ^ "Former S.D. wildfire suppression manager running for governor as Democrat". Argus Leader. December 1, 2013. Archived from the original on December 11, 2013. Retrieved December 10, 2013.
- ^ Montgomery, David (January 28, 2014). "Rep. Susan Wismer, a Democrat, enters governor's race". Argus Leader. Archived from the original on February 26, 2014. Retrieved February 26, 2014.
- ^ Oster, Jerry (November 4, 2013). "SD Democrats Still Searching for A Governor Candidate". Radio 570 WNAX. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
- ^ "A sign from the MSM that Wismer might be the Democrat's candidate". South Dakota War College. October 24, 2013. Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
- ^ "Frerichs' political future". Political Smokeout. May 29, 2013. Retrieved July 9, 2013.
- ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on March 25, 2014. Retrieved March 21, 2014.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) - ^ "Now what about U.S. House and governor". May 13, 2013. Archived from the original on December 15, 2013. Retrieved July 1, 2013.
- ^ a b c "Clarity Polls SD Governor's Race: Herseth Sandlin, Huether, or Heidepriem?". February 27, 2013. Retrieved July 1, 2013.
- ^ "UPDATED: South Dakota's Stephanie Herseth Sandlin will not run for U.S. Senate seat". Chicago Tribune. May 13, 2013. Archived from the original on December 13, 2013. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
- ^ Atyeo, J.L. (November 11, 2013). "Huether files paperwork to run for re-election; Barth, Hildebrand considering bids". Argus Leader. Archived from the original on December 11, 2013. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
- ^ Heidelberger, Cory (January 26, 2014). "Jarding Not Running, Not Jumping to Support Robinson and Lowe". Madville Times. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- ^ Montgomery, David (May 21, 2013). "Next up for SD politics — Pat O'Brien?". Political Smokeout. Retrieved August 13, 2013.
- ^ Ellis, Jonathan (August 17, 2013). "Former USD law professor to run for governor". Argus Leader. Archived from the original on August 19, 2013. Retrieved August 19, 2013.
- ^ "VERY QUIETLY, MIKE MYERS LOSES RUNNING MATE. MAYBE. COLLIER ATTEMPTS TO WITHDRAW FROM BALLOT, BUT MAY BE BARRED BY LAW FROM LEAVING". Dakota War College. June 26, 2014. Archived from the original on November 4, 2014. Retrieved November 4, 2014.
- ^ a b "A new lieutenant for Myers, but law doesn't allow switch". Argus Leader. July 3, 2014. Archived from the original on November 4, 2014. Retrieved November 4, 2014.
- ^ "Myers Plans Lawsuit To Get Running Mate Change On Ballot". Keloland Television. July 29, 2014. Retrieved November 4, 2014.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "Judge Rules In Favor Of SD Gubernatorial Candidate". KDLT. August 18, 2014. Archived from the original on November 4, 2014. Retrieved November 4, 2014.
- ^ "Judge orders Gant to add Lora Hubbel to LG ballot". Argus Leader. August 18, 2014. Retrieved November 4, 2014.
- ^ Montgomery, David (November 25, 2013). "Curtis Strong enters gubernatorial race". Political Smokeout. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
- ^ "South Dakota Constitution Party Gubernatorial Nominee's Primary Petition Rejected by Secretary of State". Ballot Access News. March 28, 2014. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
- ^ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- ^ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- ^ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- ^ Monmouth University
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Mason-Dixon
- ^ NBC News/Marist
- ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ Harper Polling Archived 2014-10-21 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ Nielson Brothers Polling
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ Nielson Brothers Polling
- ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ a b Rasmussen Reports
- ^ a b SurveyUSA
- ^ General Election - November 4.2014
External links
[edit]Official campaign websites (Archived)