Opinion polling and seat projections for the 2024 European Parliament election
The European Parliament election is set to take place in June 2024. This article lists national polls for the European Union (EU) election as well as EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates.
Polling aggregations
[edit]Seat projections
[edit]Europe Elects, Der Föderalist and Politico Europe have been presenting seat projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign. All projections make their national-level data transparent, except Politico Europe, which only presents aggregate EU-level data.
Polling aggregator | Date updated | Number of seats | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 election | After reorganisation of groups | 16 July 2024 | 720 | 46 | 136 | 53 | 77 | 188 | 78 | 84 (as PfE) | 33+25 ESN | – |
Dynamic[a][b][1] | 9 June 2024 | 720 | 40 | 136 | 54 | 80 | 188 | 82 | 64 | 76 | – | |
Baseline[c][2] | 9 June 2024 | 720 | 39 | 136 | 54 | 78 | 177 | 73 | 58 | 48 | 67 | |
PolitPro[3] | 9 June 2024 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 40 | 81 | 174 | 74 | 89 | 43 | 40 | |
Politico Europe[4] | 6 June 2024 | 720 | 32 | 143 | 41 | 75 | 173 | 76 | 67 | 58 | 55 | |
election.de[5] | 6 June 2024 | 720 | 42 | 138 | 58 | 85 | 181 | 82 | 69 | 65 | – | |
Cassandra-odds.com[6] | 5 June 2024 | 720 | 38 | 145 | 57 | 89 | 167 | 84 | 73 | 67 | – | |
euobserver[7] | 5 June 2024 | 720 | 43 | 140 | 52 | 79 | 178 | 89 | 63 | 76 | – | |
Europe Elects[8] | 4 June 2024 | 720 | 38 | 136 | 55 | 81 | 182 | 79 | 69 | 76 | 4 | |
Der Föderalist[9] | Baseline[c] | 3 Jun 2024 | 720 | 37 | 136 | 57 | 81 | 172 | 79 | 66 | 50 | 42 |
Dynamic[a] | 720 | 40 | 137 | 58 | 85 | 186 | 80 | 78 | 56 | – | ||
Euronews[10] | 23 May 2024 | 720 | 43 | 135 | 54 | 82 | 181 | 80 | 83 | 62 | – | |
2019 election | After Brexit | 1 Feb 2020 | 705 | 40 | 148 | 67 | 97 | 187 | 62 | 76 | 28 | – |
Before Brexit | 26 May 2019 | 751 | 41 | 154 | 74 | 108 | 182 | 62 | 73 | 57 | – |
Popular vote projections
[edit]Europe Elects has been presenting popular vote projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign.
Polling aggregator | Date updated | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 election | 9 June 2024 | 6.7 % | 19.2 % | 8.8 % | 10.4 % | 21.2 % | 12.3 % | 9.0 % | 9.0 % | 3.4 % | ||
PolitPro[11] | 9 June 2024 | 5.6% | 19.3% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 24.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | ||
The Economist[12] | 9 June 2024 | 6.0% | 16.0% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 22.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 14.0% | ||
Europe Elects[8] | 31 May 2024 | 6.4% | 19.8% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 21.1% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 4.2% | ||
2019 election | ||||||||||||
Before Brexit | 26 May 2019 | 6.5% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
Seats
[edit]361 seats are needed for an absolute majority in the European Parliament.
Organisation | Release date |
Area | Number of seats | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
election.de[13] | 6 June 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 138 | 58 | 85 | 181 | 82 | 69 | 65 | 43 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[14] | 4 June 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 136 | 55 | 81 | 182 | 79 | 69 | 76 | 4 | 46 |
election.de[15] | 30 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 141 | 57 | 84 | 179 | 81 | 68 | 67 | 38 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[16] | 27 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 138 | 56 | 86 | 180 | 75 | 68 | 76 | 2 | 42 |
Germany's AfD is expelled from the Identity and Democracy (ID) group.[17] | |||||||||||||
election.de[18] | 23 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 139 | 56 | 87 | 179 | 83 | 80 | 53 | 40 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[19] | 16 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 134 | 54 | 85 | 182 | 83 | 83 | 54 | 2 | 48 |
election.de[20] | 9 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 140 | 55 | 89 | 177 | 80 | 84 | 55 | 37 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[21] | 28 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 44 | 140 | 48 | 86 | 183 | 86 | 84 | 48 | 1 | 43 |
EM Analytics[22] | 30 April 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 55 | 85 | 176 | 84 | 79 | 62 | 37 | |
Der Föderalist[23] | 26 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 35 | 132 | 51 | 86 | 173 | 81 | 83 | 35 | 44 | 41 |
720 | 39 | 134 | 53 | 89 | 181 | 86 | 99 | 39 | 47 | ||||
EM Analytics[24] | 22 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 139 | 51 | 86 | 181 | 86 | 77 | 61 | 42 | |
election.de[25] | 22 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 138 | 52 | 90 | 173 | 80 | 87 | 61 | 35 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[26] | 16 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 52 | 84 | 184 | 82 | 84 | 52 | 3 | 45 |
election.de[27] | 8 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 138 | 55 | 86 | 176 | 81 | 85 | 60 | 38 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[28] | 28 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 47 | 135 | 52 | 87 | 184 | 81 | 82 | 48 | 4 | 49 |
election.de[29] | 22 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 54 | 89 | 176 | 84 | 83 | 55 | 37 | |
Ipsos for Euronews[30] | 19 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 136 | 55 | 85 | 177 | 76 | 81 | 68 | 41 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[31] | 18 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 46 | 135 | 50 | 86 | 183 | 84 | 89 | 43 | 4 | 48 |
Politico Europe[32] | 9 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 141 | 48 | 90 | 180 | 87 | 89 | 52 | 39 | |
election.de[33] | 8 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 142 | 51 | 86 | 171 | 86 | 86 | 59 | 29 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[34] | 1 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 45 | 140 | 49 | 82 | 181 | 83 | 92 | 44 | 4 | 41 |
Der Föderalist[35] | 26 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 35 | 135 | 48 | 85 | 176 | 78 | 85 | 36 | 42 | 41 |
37 | 137 | 48 | 89 | 183 | 82 | 101 | 43 | 46 | |||||
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[36] | 19 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 44 | 140 | 48 | 85 | 180 | 83 | 92 | 43 | 6 | 40 |
election.de[37] | 7 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 138 | 49 | 78 | 176 | 88 | 94 | 55 | 38 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[38] | 1 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 140 | 51 | 82 | 180 | 80 | 91 | 49 | 5 | 40 |
ECFR[39] | 23 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 44 | 131 | 61 | 86 | 173 | 85 | 98 | 42 | 42 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[40] | 15 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 37 | 143 | 50 | 84 | 178 | 80 | 93 | 49 | 6 | 35 |
election.de[41] | 9 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 41 | 141 | 45 | 80 | 179 | 86 | 95 | 53 | 38 | |
Politico Europe[42] | 9 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 145 | 43 | 86 | 178 | 89 | 96 | 50 | 33 | |
Der Föderalist[43] | 8 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 141 | 45 | 86 | 169 | 75 | 89 | 43 | 39 | 28 |
35 | 143 | 47 | 91 | 177 | 85 | 108 | 34 | 34 | |||||
Europe Elects[44] | 30 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 36 | 142 | 49 | 84 | 179 | 81 | 93 | 50 | 6 | 37 |
Politico Europe[45] | 11 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 145 | 47 | 87 | 175 | 91 | 91 | 51 | 30 | |
Europe Elects[46] | 30 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 141 | 52 | 89 | 175 | 82 | 87 | 52 | 4 | 35 |
KAS[47] | 29 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 143 | 48 | 87 | 171 | 78 | 79 | 41 | 30 | 35 |
Politico Europe[48] | 9 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 143 | 49 | 91 | 179 | 90 | 85 | 45 | 36 | |
Der Föderalist[49] | 6 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 137 | 43 | 90 | 170 | 78 | 76 | 37 | 45 | 33 |
46 | 138 | 47 | 96 | 178 | 89 | 92 | 34 | 40 | |||||
Europe Elects[50] | 31 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 45 | 139 | 51 | 92 | 173 | 80 | 76 | 53 | 11 | 34 |
PES (S&D's party) suspends Slovakia's Smer–SD and Hlas–SD due to their coalition with the sovereignist SNS party.[51] | |||||||||||||
Politico Europe[52] | 9 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 151 | 49 | 89 | 172 | 93 | 82 | 44 | 21 | |
Europe Elects[53] | 30 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 145 | 52 | 90 | 165 | 86 | 74 | 56 | 10 | 21 |
The European Council approves the new apportionment in the European Parliament from 705 to 720 seats.[54] | |||||||||||||
Der Föderalist[55] | 11 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 147 | 46 | 91 | 162 | 77 | 74 | 36 | 43 | 15 |
45 | 147 | 50 | 96 | 171 | 90 | 89 | 32 | 24 | |||||
705 | 42 | 144 | 46 | 90 | 157 | 77 | 72 | 35 | 41 | 13 | |||
44 | 144 | 50 | 95 | 165 | 89 | 87 | 31 | 21 | |||||
Politico Europe[56] | 7 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 42 | 146 | 46 | 91 | 167 | 93 | 76 | 44 | 21 | |
Europe Elects[57] | 31 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 149 | 53 | 90 | 164 | 83 | 75 | 58 | 10 | 15 |
Politico Europe[58] | 9 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 45 | 145 | 48 | 89 | 165 | 89 | 77 | 47 | 20 | |
Europe Elects[59] | 31 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 45 | 143 | 49 | 90 | 157 | 82 | 82 | 55 | 12 | 14 |
Der Föderalist[60] | 17 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 41 | 136 | 48 | 94 | 160 | 79 | 70 | 36 | 41 | 24 |
43 | 137 | 52 | 99 | 167 | 89 | 87 | 31 | 30 | |||||
Der Föderalist[61] | 22 May 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 137 | 50 | 92 | 162 | 79 | 67 | 33 | 36 | 25 |
50 | 137 | 54 | 99 | 172 | 82 | 83 | 28 | 35 | |||||
Europe Elects[62] | 28 Apr 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 141 | 49 | 89 | 163 | 85 | 64 | 51 | 11 | 22 |
Der Föderalist[63] | 27 Mar 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 44 | 137 | 42 | 94 | 162 | 78 | 68 | 38 | 42 | 25 |
46 | 141 | 46 | 102 | 170 | 81 | 84 | 35 | 29 | |||||
Der Föderalist[64] | 1 Feb 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 135 | 42 | 96 | 168 | 78 | 65 | 37 | 34 | 33 |
52 | 138 | 47 | 103 | 172 | 82 | 80 | 31 | 34 | |||||
Der Föderalist[65] | 6 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 136 | 44 | 93 | 166 | 79 | 64 | 37 | 35 | 30 |
53 | 139 | 50 | 100 | 170 | 83 | 80 | 30 | 31 | |||||
Europe Elects[66] | 7 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 142 | 56 | 100 | 158 | 84 | 63 | 46 | 7 | 16 |
Europe Elects[67] | 1 Nov 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 135 | 53 | 106 | 162 | 81 | 66 | 41 | 6 | 27 |
Der Föderalist[68] | 12 Oct 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 127 | 42 | 100 | 169 | 79 | 63 | 35 | 38 | 42 |
54 | 130 | 48 | 108 | 174 | 84 | 80 | 27 | 44 | |||||
Der Föderalist[69] | 20 Aug 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 134 | 47 | 98 | 170 | 75 | 63 | 27 | 39 | 36 |
54 | 137 | 53 | 107 | 175 | 80 | 76 | 23 | 38 | |||||
Der Föderalist[70] | 22 Jun 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 133 | 44 | 101 | 165 | 77 | 64 | 31 | 36 | 32 |
56 | 136 | 54 | 106 | 168 | 81 | 79 | 25 | 32 | |||||
Der Föderalist[71] | 25 Apr 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 59 | 139 | 39 | 97 | 157 | 78 | 64 | 37 | 35 | 18 |
60 | 143 | 49 | 102 | 159 | 84 | 76 | 32 | 16 | |||||
Der Föderalist[72] | 1 Mar 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 53 | 139 | 36 | 98 | 158 | 78 | 62 | 45 | 36 | 19 |
55 | 142 | 44 | 105 | 160 | 109 | 62 | 28 | 18 | |||||
Europe Elects[73] | 8 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 152 | 55 | 99 | 158 | 78 | 62 | 35 | 17 | 6 |
Der Föderalist[74] | 4 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 142 | 39 | 99 | 165 | 73 | 62 | 34 | 40 | 23 |
53 | 146 | 43 | 105 | 166 | 102 | 62 | 28 | 20 | |||||
Europe Elects[75] | 7 Dec 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 155 | 55 | 103 | 146 | 81 | 75 | 36 | 4 | 9 |
Der Föderalist[76] | 8 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 144 | 42 | 96 | 155 | 75 | 72 | 36 | 35 | 11 |
52 | 148 | 48 | 107 | 156 | 23 | 120 | 51 | 8 | |||||
Europe Elects[77] | 4 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 155 | 51 | 102 | 151 | 81 | 75 | 35 | 5 | 4 |
Europe Elects[78] | 8 Oct 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 154 | 47 | 94 | 156 | 78 | 75 | 36 | 15 | 2 |
Der Föderalist[79] | 13 Sep 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 141 | 42 | 98 | 160 | 70 | 75 | 33 | 32 | 19 |
56 | 145 | 48 | 107 | 160 | 22 | 116 | 51 | 15 | |||||
Der Föderalist[80] | 21 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 133 | 45 | 97 | 167 | 71 | 74 | 31 | 35 | 34 |
54 | 138 | 49 | 108 | 168 | 23 | 117 | 48 | 30 | |||||
Europe Elects[81] | 9 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 144 | 55 | 94 | 156 | 75 | 77 | 34 | 18 | 12 |
Europe Elects[82] | 5 Jun 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 146 | 58 | 92 | 155 | 76 | 74 | 35 | 18 | 9 |
Der Föderalist[83] | 24 May 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 125 | 50 | 95 | 167 | 74 | 73 | 33 | 38 | 42 |
52 | 130 | 54 | 109 | 167 | 87 | 74 | 32 | 37 | |||||
Europe Elects[84] | 2 May 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 144 | 56 | 93 | 158 | 75 | 74 | 34 | 19 | 14 |
Europe Elects[85] | 2 Apr 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 151 | 52 | 93 | 159 | 74 | 74 | 32 | 19 | 8 |
Der Föderalist[86] | 29 Mar 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 136 | 46 | 96 | 164 | 71 | 73 | 34 | 33 | 28 |
54 | 141 | 49 | 109 | 164 | 85 | 73 | 30 | 23 | |||||
Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.[87] | |||||||||||||
Der Föderalist[88] | 2 Feb 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 135 | 45 | 94 | 184 | 70 | 71 | 21 | 33 | 49 |
53 | 141 | 48 | 107 | 184 | 73 | 71 | 28 | 49 | |||||
Europe Elects[89] | 5 Jan 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 138 | 47 | 97 | 190 | 73 | 72 | 22 | 11 | 52 |
Der Föderalist[90] | 9 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 136 | 47 | 93 | 188 | 67 | 73 | 20 | 29 | 52 |
53 | 140 | 40 | 103 | 188 | 73 | 73 | 25 | 48 | |||||
Europe Elects[91] | 2 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 136 | 48 | 95 | 195 | 68 | 73 | 23 | 12 | 59 |
Europe Elects[92] | 31 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 136 | 48 | 93 | 197 | 70 | 74 | 24 | 9 | 61 |
Der Föderalist[93] | 12 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 127 | 49 | 96 | 193 | 67 | 71 | 21 | 30 | 66 |
52 | 136 | 52 | 102 | 193 | 71 | 71 | 28 | – | 57 | ||||
Europe Elects[94] | 4 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 136 | 49 | 95 | 195 | 71 | 77 | 23 | 4 | 59 |
Europe Elects[95] | 31 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 134 | 49 | 96 | 196 | 71 | 75 | 24 | 5 | 62 |
Europe Elects[96] | 14 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 134 | 49 | 97 | 198 | 70 | 75 | 23 | 5 | 64 |
Europe Elects[97] | 24 Jul 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 133 | 48 | 97 | 198 | 71 | 77 | 24 | 3 | 65 |
Europe Elects[98] | 28 May 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 135 | 47 | 98 | 197 | 70 | 77 | 23 | 3 | 62 |
Europe Elects[99] | 30 Apr 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 140 | 46 | 94 | 193 | 72 | 78 | 23 | 4 | 53 |
Europe Elects[100] | 31 Mar 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 57 | 135 | 51 | 92 | 188 | 72 | 83 | 21 | 6 | 53 |
Europe Elects[101] | 29 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 56 | 133 | 55 | 99 | 184 | 68 | 85 | 21 | 6 | 51 |
Europe Elects[102] | 31 Jan 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 130 | 53 | 101 | 182 | 70 | 85 | 23 | 6 | 52 |
The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.[103] | |||||||||||||
Europe Elects[104] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 131 | 52 | 102 | 182 | 70 | 86 | 25 | 3 | 51 |
Europe Elects[105] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 53 | 153 | 52 | 103 | 177 | 103 | 82 | 25 | 3 | 24 |
Europe Elects[106] | 30 Nov 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 49 | 157 | 61 | 107 | 176 | 95 | 80 | 25 | 1 | 19 |
Europe Elects[106] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 46 | 151 | 62 | 115 | 175 | 92 | 78 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
Europe Elects[106] | 30 Sep 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 48 | 151 | 63 | 118 | 170 | 87 | 79 | 32 | 3 | 19 |
Europe Elects[106] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 47 | 154 | 64 | 116 | 166 | 89 | 80 | 32 | 3 | 12 |
Europe Elects[106] | 31 Jul 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 48 | 153 | 65 | 117 | 168 | 85 | 79 | 33 | 3 | 15 |
Europe Elects[106] | 30 Jun 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 46 | 145 | 74 | 119 | 167 | 64 | 80 | 54 | 2 | 22 |
Redistribution of seats after Brexit | 1 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 40 | 148 | 68 | 97 | 187 | 62 | 76 | 27 | – | 39 |
2019 European Parliament election | 26 May 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 41 | 154 | 74 | 108 | 182 | 62 | 73 | 57 | – | 28 |
Popular vote
[edit]The following table shows the projected popular vote share for the groups in the EU Parliament aggregated on the European level. EU27 excludes the United Kingdom in this context. EU28 includes the United Kingdom.
Organisation | Release date |
Area | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Germany's AfD is expelled from the Identity and Democracy group.[17] | ||||||||||||
EM Analytics[22] | 30 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 7.3% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 21.7% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[107] | 28 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 6.3% | 18.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 22.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% |
EM Analytics[108] | 22 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 7.0% | 18.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 22.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[109] | 16 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 5.9% | 18.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 24.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[110] | 28 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 7.7% | 18.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 23.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[111] | 18 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 4.8% | 18.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[112] | 1 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 5.5% | 18.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 22.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[113] | 19 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 6.7% | 18.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 22.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[114] | 1 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 6.8% | 18.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 22.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv[115] | 15 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 5.9% | 18.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 23.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
Europe Elects[116] | 30 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 5.5% | 17.9% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 22.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
Europe Elects[117] | 30 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 5.7% | 18.4% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 22.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
Europe Elects[118] | 31 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 5.9% | 18.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 22.4% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
Europe Elects[119] | 30 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 6.9% | 19.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 21.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
Europe Elects | 31 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 6.1% | 19.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 21.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
Europe Elects[120] | 31 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 7.2% | 19.5% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 20.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
Europe Elects[121] | 28 Jun 2023 | EU27 | 6.9% | 18.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
Europe Elects[122] | 31 May 2023 | EU27 | 7.5% | 18.8% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
Europe Elects[123] | 30 Apr 2023 | EU27 | 7.8% | 18.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
Europe Elects[124] | 31 Mar 2023 | EU27 | 7.3% | 19.0% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 21.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
Europe Elects[125] | 28 Feb 2023 | EU27 | 7.1% | 18.7% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 21.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
Europe Elects[126] | 31 Jan 2023 | EU27 | 7.4% | 18.5% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 21.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
Europe Elects[127] | 31 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 7.1% | 18.7% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 21.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
Europe Elects[66] | 7 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 7.2% | 18.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 21.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
Europe Elects[67] | 1 Nov 2022 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.3% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 21.6% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
Europe Elects[73] | 8 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 6.7% | 20.6% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 20.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 0.1% |
Europe Elects[75] | 7 Dec 2021 | EU27 | 7.0% | 20.4% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 1.2% |
Europe Elects[77] | 4 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 6.9% | 20.7% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
Europe Elects[78] | 8 Oct 2021 | EU27 | 7.3% | 20.3% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | Tie |
Europe Elects[81] | 9 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 7.2% | 17.9% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 21.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
Europe Elects[82] | 5 Jun 2021 | EU27 | 7.8% | 18.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 20.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
Europe Elects[99] | 2 May 2021 | EU27 | 7.9% | 18.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
Europe Elects[100] | 2 Apr 2021 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 21.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.[87] | ||||||||||||
Europe Elects[89] | 2 Mar 2021 | EU27 | 7.9% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 23.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
Europe Elects[89] | 2 Feb 2021 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.6% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 24.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% |
Europe Elects[89] | 31 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 8.4% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 24.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
Europe Elects[91] | 2 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.5% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 24.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% |
Europe Elects[92] | 31 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 7.6% | 18.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 25.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% |
Europe Elects[94] | 4 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 7.9% | 17.9% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 24.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% |
Europe Elects[95] | 31 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 8.1% | 18.3% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 25.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% |
Europe Elects[96] | 14 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.0% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 25.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% |
Europe Elects[97] | 24 Jul 2020 | EU27 | 8.3% | 17.9% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 25.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% |
Europe Elects[98] | 28 May 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.0% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 25.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% |
Europe Elects[99] | 30 Apr 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.5% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 25.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% |
Europe Elects[100] | 31 Mar 2020 | EU27 | 8.5% | 18.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 24.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% |
Europe Elects[101] | 29 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 9.1% | 18.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 22.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% |
Europe Elects[102] | 31 Jan 2020 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.6% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 20.5% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.[103] | ||||||||||||
Europe Elects[106] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU28 | 8.1% | 18.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
Europe Elects[106] | 30 Nov 2019 | EU28 | 8.0% | 18.4% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 20.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
Europe Elects[106] | 31 Oct 2019 | EU28 | 6.5% | 17.8% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 20.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
Europe Elects[106] | 30 Sep 2019 | EU28 | 6.6% | 19.5% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 0.1% |
Europe Elects[106] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 6.9% | 19.0% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
Europe Elects[106] | 31 Jul 2019 | EU28 | 6.6% | 19.0% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 0.3% |
Europe Elects[106] | 30 Jun 2019 | EU28 | 6.9% | 18.9% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
2019 European Parliament election[128] | 26 May 2019 | EU27 | 7.0% | 18.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 22.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% |
2019 European Parliament election[106] | EU28 | 6.5% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
National opinion polling
[edit]Austria
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ÖVP EPP |
SPÖ S&D |
FPÖ ID |
Grüne G/EFA |
NEOS Renew |
KPÖ Left |
DNA ECR |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lazarsfeld Society | 3–4 Jun 2024 | 2,000 | 19-22 4 |
22-25 5 |
27-30 6 |
8-10 2 |
12-15 3 |
3 0 |
2 0 |
— | 5 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 24–28 May 2024 | 2,000 | 22 4 |
23 5 |
28 6 |
9 2 |
15 3 |
2 0 |
1 0 |
— | 5 |
Market | 24–28 May 2024 | 814 | 22 4 |
24 5 |
27 6 |
9 2 |
14 3 |
3 0 |
1 0 |
— | 3 |
IFDD | 22–24 May 2024 | 1,080 | 22 5 |
23 5 |
28 6 |
10 2 |
12 2 |
3 0 |
2 0 |
— | 5 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 17–21 May 2024 | 1,000 | 22 4 |
24 5 |
27 6 |
9 2 |
15 3 |
2 0 |
1 0 |
— | 3 |
Spectra | 13–20 May 2024 | 1,000 | 22 5 |
23 5 |
26 5 |
11 2 |
13 3 |
3 0 |
2 0 |
— | 3 |
IFDD | 15–17 May 2024 | 1,000 | 23 5 |
22 5 |
27 6 |
11 2 |
12 2 |
4 0 |
1 0 |
— | 4 |
Peter Hajek | 13–17 May 2024 | 1,200 | 23 5 |
23 5 |
30 6 |
10 2 |
10 2 |
3 0 |
1 0 |
— | 7 |
OGM | 7–8 May 2024 | 1,007 | 22 5 |
22 5 |
26 5 |
13 2 |
14 3 |
2 0 |
— | 1 0 |
4 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 6–8 May 2024 | 2,000 | 21 4 |
21 4 |
26 6 |
14 3 |
15 3 |
2 0 |
1 0 |
— | 5 |
Triple-M | 3–7 May 2024 | 800 | 19 4 |
23 5 |
27 6 |
14 3 |
11 2 |
4 0 |
— | 2 0 |
4 |
Market | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 842 | 20 4 |
24 5 |
27 6 |
12 2 |
13 3 |
3 0 |
— | 1 0 |
3 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 22–24 Apr 2024 | 2,000 | 21 4 |
23 5 |
27 6 |
12 2 |
13 3 |
3 0 |
— | 1 0 |
4 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 21.0 4 |
22.0 5 |
28.2 6 |
13.0 3 |
11.8 2 |
2.1 0 |
— | 1.9 0 |
6.2 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 26–28 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 20 4 |
22 5 |
26 5 |
14 3 |
16 3 |
2 0 |
— | — | 4 |
Market | 5–7 Feb 2024 | 800 | 24 5 |
23 5 |
27 6 |
11 2 |
12 2 |
2 0 |
— | 1 0 |
3 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 29–31 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 24 5 |
20 4 |
27 6 |
13 2 |
14 3 |
2 0 |
— | — | 3 |
OGM | 22–31 Jan 2024 | 2,076 | 22 5 |
21 4 |
26 6 |
14 3 |
12 2 |
2 0 |
— | 3 0 |
4 |
IFDD | 25–28 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 21 4 |
24 5 |
27 6 |
14 3 |
9 2 |
3 0 |
— | 2 0 |
3 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 11–13 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | 22 5 |
22 5 |
30 6 |
13 2 |
9 2 |
2 0 |
— | 2 0 |
8 |
Peter Hajek | 22–29 Nov 2023 | 1,600 | 23 5 |
24 5 |
30 7 |
12 2 |
7 1 |
3 0 |
— | 1 0 |
6 |
IFDD | 1–4 Oct 2023 | 837 | 25 5/6 |
25 5/6 |
25 5/6 |
14 3 |
8 1 |
— | — | 3 0 |
Tie |
2019 legislative election | 29 Sep 2019 | – | 37.5 8 |
21.2 5 |
16.2 3 |
13.9 3 |
8.1 1 |
0.7 0 |
— | 2.5 0 |
16.3 |
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 34.6 7 |
23.9 5 |
17.2 3 |
14.1 3 |
8.4 1 |
0.8 0 |
— | 1.0 0 |
9.7 |
Projected turnout:
According to the OGM poll for the "Kurier" newspaper (May 7-8, 2024), a total of 66% of those surveyed said they are "certain" to vote. This would represent an increase of more than 6% compared to the 2019 election, which had 59.8% turnout. It would also be the highest turnout since the first EU parliament election in Austria in 1996, when turnout was 67.7%.
Other pollsters like the Lazarsfeld Society or Spectra are estimating turnout at between 52% to 63%.
Belgium
[edit]Dutch-speaking
[edit]Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Publisher | Sample size | N‑VA ECR |
VB ID |
Open Vld Renew |
cd&v EPP |
Groen G/EFA |
Vooruit S&D |
PVDA Left |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | Euronews[129] | 1,500 | 18.7% 3 |
23.5% 3 |
12.7% 2 |
11.5% 1 |
9.7% 1 |
13.8% 2 |
9.3% 1 |
0.8% 0 |
4.8% |
26 May 2019 | European election | 22.4% 3 |
19.1% 3 |
15.9% 2 |
14.5% 2 |
12.4% 1 |
10.2% 1 |
4.9% 0 |
0.5% 0 |
3.3% |
French-speaking
[edit]Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Publisher | Sample size | PS S&D |
Ecolo G/EFA |
MR Renew |
PTB Left |
LE EPP |
DéFI NI |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | Euronews[129] | 1,500 | 26.7% 2 |
12.8% 1 |
22.8% 2 |
19.2% 2 |
11.0% 1 |
2.8% 0 |
4.7% 0 |
3.9% |
26 May 2019 | European election | 26.7% 2 |
19.9% 2 |
19.3% 2 |
14.6% 1 |
8.9% 1 |
5.9% 0 |
4.7% 0 |
6.8% |
Bulgaria
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample | GERB—SDS EPP |
BSPzB S&D |
DPS Renew |
VMRO ECR |
PP–DB Renew-EPP[d] |
Revival NI |
ITN ECR[e] |
Blue Bulgaria ECR |
Others | NOTA | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alpha Research | 1-4 June 2024 | 1000 | 25 5 |
7.9 2 |
14.1 3 |
— | 15.9 3 |
15.7 3 |
5.9 1 |
2.9 0 |
12.6[f] | — | 9.1 |
CAM | 1-4 June 2024 | 821 | 26.2 5 |
8.1 2 |
14.1 3 |
— | 17.7 4 |
14.8 3 |
5.3 0 |
2.1 0 |
— | — | 8.5 |
Sova Haris | 29 May-3 June 2024 | 1000 | 26.4 6 |
8.9 2 |
14.4 3 |
— | 15.4 3 |
15.3 3 |
5.6 0 |
— | 14 | — | 11 |
Market Links | 22 May-2 June 2024 | 1004 | 28.8 6 |
8.7 2 |
12.4 3 |
— | 20.2 4 |
11.4 2 |
3.9 0 |
2.2 0 |
7.4[g] | 2.1 | 8.6 |
TREND | 11–18 May 2024 | 1003 | 25.9 5 |
8.1 2 |
14.6 3 |
1.2 0 |
16.1 4 |
15.1 3 |
5.5 0 |
1.8 0 |
12.4[h] | 5.3 | 9.8 |
Sova Harris | 8–13 May 2024 | 1000 | 28.3 6 |
10.3 2 |
13.3 3 |
— | 15.8 3 |
15 3 |
5.2 0 |
— | 11.5 | — | 12.5 |
MarketLinks | 29 April–9 May 2024 | — | 29.4 6 |
9.3 2 |
13.1 3 |
— | 20.6 4 |
12.3 2 |
2.7 0 |
1.7 0 |
6.4[i] | 4.2 | 8.8 |
Alpha Research | 28 April–5 May 2024 | 1000 | 25.1 5 |
8.0 2 |
14.4 3 |
— | 18.5 4 |
14.8 3 |
4.8 0 |
2.4 0 |
12.0[j] | — | 6.6 |
Gallup | 22 April–2 May 2024 | 808 | 26.4 5 |
8.2 2 |
14.9 3 |
1.3 0 |
17.5 4 |
14.7 3 |
4.5 0 |
1.4 0 |
11.1[k] | — | 8.9 |
TREND | 12–19 April 2024 | 1002 | 27.2 5 |
9.4 2 |
15.4 3 |
— | 17.2 4 |
15.3 3 |
5.1 0 |
— | 10.1[l] | — | 10.1 |
Gallup | 28 March-5 April 2024 | 805 | 28.7 5 |
10.1 2 |
15.3 3 |
— | 18.2 4 |
15.1 3 |
5.5 0 |
— | 9.8 | — | 6.2 |
IPSOS | N/A | N/A | 27.1 5 |
8.8 2 |
13.0 2 |
— | 20.9 4 |
15.1 3 |
6.1 1 |
— | 8.9[m] | — | 6.2 |
Alpha Research | 1-7 March 2024 | 1000 | 27.0 5 |
10.6 2 |
10.0 2 |
— | 23.8 5 |
15.8 3 |
5.9 0 |
— | 6.9 | — | 3.2 |
Market Links | 24 February-3 March 2024 | 1058 | 26.4 5 |
9.7 2 |
14.0 3 |
— | 22.7 4 |
13.5 3 |
3.8 0 |
— | 6.1 | 3.9 | 3.7 |
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | — | 30.4 6 |
23.5 5 |
16.1 3 |
7.1 2 |
5.9[n] 1 |
1.0 0 |
— | — | 2.6 | 4.1 | 6.9 |
Croatia
[edit]Publication date |
Polling firm | Sample size |
HDZ EPP |
SDP S&D |
Most ECR |
PiP NI |
IDS RE |
DP ID |
M! G/EFA |
Others | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 Jun 2024 | Ipsos | 1001 | 31.9 5 |
24.6 4 |
6.1 1 |
- | 3.7 0 |
5.8 1 |
6.5 1 |
-[o] |
7.7 | 7.3 |
5 Jun 2024 | Promocija plus | 1300 | 28.4 5 |
20.5 4 |
5.7 1 |
3.9 0 |
3.2 0 |
6.9 1 |
7.4 1 |
11.7[p] 0 |
12.3 | 7.9 |
2 Jun 2024 | 2x1 komunikacije | 1041 | 31.2 5 |
22.0 3 |
7.1 1 |
3.7 0 |
3.8 0 |
8.7 1 |
11.1 2 |
- | 11.0 | 9.2 |
25 May 2024 | Ipsos | 990 | 28.5 5 |
17.8 3 |
5.4 1 |
1.8 0 |
3.8 0 |
7.4 1 |
9.9 2 |
12.2[q] 0 |
14.9 | 10.7 |
4 May 2024 | Promocija plus | 1000 | 30.6 5 |
24.2 4 |
5.4 1 |
2.5 0 |
2.3 0 |
6.7 1 |
7.5 1 |
- | - | 6.4 |
17 Apr 2024 | 2024 parliamentary election | – | 34.4 | 25.4 | 8.0 | [r] | 2.3 | 9.6 | 9.1 | 11.2 | - | 9.0 |
26 May 2019 | 2019 European election | – | 27.1 4 |
22.1 4 |
17.6 1 |
13.6 2 |
11.9 1 |
– | 1.8 0 |
5.8 | - | 5.0 |
Cyprus
[edit]Date | Polling firm | DISY EPP |
AKEL Left |
ELAM ECR |
DIKO S&D |
EDEK S&D |
DIPA Renew |
KOSP G/EFA |
APC Left |
EP NI |
VOLT G/EFA |
Fidias NI |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09 June 2024 | Election Results | 24.8 | 21.5 | 11.2 | 9.7 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 19.4 | 0.3 | 3.3 |
27-30 May 2024 | IMR | 26.6 | 28.3 | 13.7 | 10.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 3.2 | - | 2.0 | 2.8 | 7.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 |
22-28 May 2024 | CMRC | 28.7 | 27.4 | 14.0 | 12.1 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 1.9 | - | 3.8 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
20-25 May 2024 | RAI Consultants | 27.3 | 25.2 | 12.5 | 9.3 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 4.5 | 8.7 | 0.3 | 2.1 |
13-25 May 2024 | CYMAR Market Research Ltd | 26.0 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | 4.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 |
20-24 May 2024 | Symmetron | 25.6 | 24.2 | 12.0 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 2.6 | - | - | 3.9 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
17-24 May 2024 | SIGMA | 29.0 | 27.7 | 13.5 | 12.9 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 3.9 | - | - | 2.6 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
16-22 May 2024 | Pulse Market Research | 25.8 | 23.5 | 13.6 | 12.1 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | 5.3 | 6.1 | 3.0 | 2.3 |
9-14 May 2024 | Analytica Market Research | 24.3 | 24.9 | 14.5 | 11.9 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 3.7 | - | 3.3 | 3.9 | - | 4.0 | 0.6 |
10-22 Apr 2024 | CMRC | 29.0 | 27.5 | 15.2 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 2.9 | - | 3.6 | - | 0.7 | 1.5 |
08-19 Apr 2024 | CYMAR Market Research Ltd | 28.1 | 25.0 | 15.6 | 12.5 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | - | - | 3.1 | - | 6.3 | 3.1 |
14–23 Mar 2024 | SIGMA | 28.1 | 28.1 | 15.1 | 13.7 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 2.7 | - | - | 2.7 | - | 2.7 | 0 |
20–26 Feb 2024 | Pulse Market Research | 31.3 | 25.8 | 14.7 | 12.9 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 3.7 | - | - | - | - | 5.5 | 5.5 |
12–16 Feb 2024 | SIGMA | 29.0 | 27.5 | 14.5 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | - | 1.4 | - | 2.9 | 1.5 |
11 Feb 2024 | Symmetron | 25.3 | 23.9 | 11.3 | 9.0 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 2.8 | - | - | 2.5 | - | 1.5 | 1.7 |
29 Jan – 02 Feb 2024 | Interview | 31.7 | 31.8 | 15 | 9.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 6.8 | - | - | - | - | 1.1 | 0.1 |
22–26 Jan 2024 | L.S.Prime | 26.4 | 26.4 | 13.8 | 11.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2.8 | - | - | - | - | 11.1 | 0 |
03–11 Jan 2024 | IMR | 25.7 | 27.8 | 17.4 | 9.7 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 4.9 | - | - | 1.8 | - | 3.5 | 2.1 |
30 May | Election 2021 | 27.8% | 22.3% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 3.3% | - | 10.3% | 5.5 | |
26 May | Election 2019 | 29.0% | 27.5% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 3.8% | - | 0.8% | - | - | 3.0% | 1.5 |
Czech Republic
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
SPOLU ECR–EPP |
ANO Renew |
Piráti G/EFA |
STAN EPP |
SPD– Trikolóra ID |
Stačilo! Left |
SOCDEM S&D |
Svobodní NI |
PaM NI |
Zelení EGP |
PRO NI |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7–8 June 2024 | Election result | 22.3 6 |
26.1 7 |
6.2 1 |
8.7 2 |
5.7 1 |
9.6 2 |
1.9 0 |
1.8 0 |
10.3 2 |
1.6 0 |
2.2 0 |
3.9 0 |
3.8 | |
STEM | 22–26 May 2024 | 1,623 | 21.5 6 |
23.1 6 |
9.4 2 |
10.0 3 |
9.5 2 |
8.1 2 |
2.9 0 |
2.7 0 |
4.7 0 |
1.9 0 |
1.8 0 |
4.1 0 |
1.6 |
STEM/MARK | 20–27 May 2024 | 1,398 | 22.3 5 |
26.1 6 |
12.1 3 |
8.1 2 |
7.9 2 |
7.7 2 |
3.6 0 |
2.3 0 |
7.2 1 |
1.4 0 |
1.0 0 |
0.3 0 |
3.8 |
Phoenix Research | 1–13 May 2024 | 1,018 | 17.5 5 |
27.4 7 |
9.9 2 |
11.5 3 |
6.2 1 |
7.0 2 |
5.0 1 |
1.3 0 |
2.2 0 |
— | 4.2 0 |
7.8 1 |
9.9 |
SANEP | 2–7 May 2024 | 1,800 | 19.8 5 |
26.7 7 |
10.6 3 |
9.9 2 |
10.1 3 |
5.9 1 |
3.7 0 |
2.9 0 |
4.8 0 |
0.5 0 |
3.2 0 |
1.9 0 |
6.9 |
STEM/Mark | 28 Mar–8 April 2024 | 1,009 | 20.0 5 |
27.5 7 |
10.1 2 |
10.4 3 |
10.4 2 |
6.7 1 |
3.4 0 |
2.5 0 |
6.0 1 |
0.9 0 |
— | 1.9 0 |
7.5 |
Data Collect | 25 Mar 2024 | 20.9 | 27.3 | 10.8 | 9.3 | 10.9 | 7.1 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 6.4 | |
IPSOS | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,517 | 21.6 | 26.3 | 11.3 | 13.4 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 4.9 | — | — | — | 4.7 |
IPSOS | Dec 2023 | TBA | 25.2 | 26.3 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 7.7 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 12.8 | 1.1 |
STEM/MARK | 23–28 Nov 2023 | 1,010 | 15.0 | 33.8 | 11.4 | 7.3 | 14.7 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 2.9 | — | — | — | 6.0 | 18.8 |
2021 parliamentary election | 8–9 Oct 2021 | – | 27.8 | 27.1 | 15.6 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 2.8[s] | 4.7 | 1.0 | — | 0.9 | 0.7 | |
2019 European election | 24–25 May 2019 | – | 21.8[t] | 21.2 | 14.0 | 11.7[u] | 9.1 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 0.7 | — | — | — | 10.6 | 0.6 |
Denmark
[edit]Polling execution | Parties | Alliances | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling
firm |
Fieldwork
date |
Sample
size |
V Renew |
A S&D |
F G/EFA |
O ID |
B Renew |
C EPP |
Ø Left |
Å G/EFA |
I EPP |
M Renew |
Æ ECR |
Others | AFÅ | BMV | CI |
2024 EP election | 14.7 2 |
15.6 3 |
17.4 3 |
6.4 1 |
7.1 1 |
8.8 1 |
7.0 1 |
2.7 0 |
7.0 1 |
5.9 1 |
7.4 1 |
— | 35.7 6 |
27.7 4 |
15.8 2 | ||
Epinion (exit poll) | 9 June | ? | 13.9 2 |
15.4 3 |
18.4 3 |
6.5 1 |
6.9 1 |
7.4 1 |
6.6 1 |
3.3 0 |
7.8 1 |
6.2 1 |
7.6 1 |
— | 37.1 6 |
27.0 4 |
15.2 2 |
Verian | 29 May–5 Jun 2024 | 2,301 | 11.5 2 |
18.9 3 |
16.6 3 |
7.0 1 |
5.4 0 |
6.8 1 |
6.4 1 |
2.0 0 |
10.5 2 |
5.9 1 |
8.8 1 |
— | 37.5 6 |
22.8 3 |
17.3 3 |
Verian | 29 May–5 Jun 2024 | 2,301 | 11.5 2 |
18.9 3 |
16.6 3 |
7.0 1 |
5.4 0 |
6.8 1 |
6.4 1 |
2.0 0 |
10.5 2 |
5.9 1 |
8.8 1 |
— | 37.5 6 |
22.8 3 |
17.3 3 |
Epinion | 28 May–3 Jun 2024 | 2,085 | 10.8 2 |
17.7 3 |
16.6 3 |
6.4 1 |
4.9 0 |
8.3 1 |
7.8 1 |
4.1 0 |
8.5 2 |
6.0 1 |
8.9 1 |
— | 38.4 6 |
21.7 3 |
16.8 3 |
Epinion | 8–14 May 2024 | 2,025 | 12.5 2 |
21.4 4 |
13.1 2 |
7.4 1 |
5.4 1 |
7.1 1 |
6.8 1 |
1.7 0 |
9.9 2 |
4.0 0 |
10.4 1 |
— | 36.2 6 |
21.9 3 |
17.0 3 |
Verian | 8–14 May 2024 | 1,565 | 13.6 2 |
18.6 3 |
14.0 3 |
9.6 1 |
4.7 1 |
6.8 1 |
6.2 1 |
1.2 0 |
12.2 2 |
3.9 0 |
9.1 1 |
— | 33.8 6 |
22.2 3 |
19.0 3 |
Epinion | 23–29 Apr 2024 | 1,938 | 11.2 2 |
20.1 4 |
14.6 2 |
6.5 1 |
7.0 1 |
6.8 1 |
6.9 1 |
2.3 0 |
12.0 2 |
4.5 0 |
8.1 1 |
— | 37.0 6 |
22.7 3 |
18.8 3 |
Epinion | 6–13 Mar 2024 | 1,074 | 12 2 |
24 4 |
14 2 |
7 1 |
5 1 |
5 1 |
7 1 |
3 0 |
9 1 |
7 1 |
7 1 |
— | 41 6 |
24 4 |
14 2 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 10.5 2 |
21.0 4 |
12.0 2 |
5.0 0 |
6.0 1 |
6.0 1 |
8.0 1 |
2.0 0 |
13.0 2 |
7.0 1 |
8.5 1 |
— | 35.0 6 |
23.5 4 |
19.0 3 |
Epinion | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 1,051 | 11 2 |
22 4 |
12 2 |
7 1 |
6 1 |
6 1 |
7 1 |
1 0 |
10 1 |
7 1 |
9 1 |
— | 35 6 |
24 4 |
16 2 |
2022 general election | 13.3 (3) |
27.5 (6) |
8.3 (1) |
2.6 (0) |
3.8 (0) |
5.5 (1) |
5.1 (0) |
3.3 (0) |
7.9 (1) |
9.3 (2) |
8.1 (1) |
5.2 (0) |
39.1 (7) |
26.4 (4) |
13.4 (2) | ||
2021 municipal elections | 21.2 (4) |
28.4 (5) |
7.6 (1) |
4.1 (0) |
5.6 (1) |
15.2 (3) |
7.3 (1) |
0.7 (0) |
1.4 (0) |
— | 8.5 (0) |
36.7 (6) |
26.8 (5) |
16.6 (3) | |||
2019 general election | 23.4 (5) |
25.9 (6) |
7.7 (1) |
8.7 (1) |
8.6 (0) |
6.6 (1) |
6.9 (1) |
3.0 (0) |
2.3 (0) |
— | 6.9 (0) |
36.6 (7) |
32.0 (5) |
9.0 (1) | |||
2019 EP election | 23.5 (4) |
21.5 3 |
13.2 2 |
10.8 1 |
10.1 2 |
6.2 1 |
5.5 1 |
3.4 0 |
2.2 0 |
— | 3.7 0 |
— |
Estonia
[edit]Polling execution | Parties | Lead | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling
firm |
Fieldwork
date |
Sample
size |
Reform Renew | SDE |
Centre |
EKRE ID |
Isamaa EPP |
EER G/EFA | Others | Party | EP group | |||||
Norstat | 8–20 May 2024 | 1,471 | 19.1 1 |
19.3 2 |
11.5 1 |
14.2 1 |
21.3 2 |
3.8 0 |
0.9 0 |
4.3 0 |
2.9 0 |
2.7 0 |
2.0 | 4.6 | ||
Kantar Emor | 6–15 May 2024 | 1,471 | 17.2 2 |
23.6 2 |
11.0 1 |
13.6 1 |
14.0 1 |
4.1 0 |
0.9 0 |
7.2 0 |
3.1 0 |
5.4 0 |
6.4 | 9.3 | ||
Norstat | 29 Apr–6 May 2024 | 1,484 | 19.3 2 |
21.4 2 |
9.4 1 |
17.9 1 |
17.1 1 |
3.9 0 |
0.9 0 |
4.5 0 |
3.0 0 |
2.7 0 |
2.1 | 7.3 | ||
Kantar Emor | 8-17 Apr 2024 | 1,484 | 18.8 2 |
20 2 |
13.8 1 |
13.8 1 |
16.8 1 |
4.7 0 |
1.5 0 |
6 0 |
— | 4.5 0 |
1.2 | 12.6 | ||
Norstat | 11-15 Apr 2024 | 3,500 | 20.1 2 |
22.0 2 |
11.0 1 |
17.2 1 |
17.6 1 |
5.0 0 |
1.2 0 |
4.7 0 |
— | 1.2 0 |
1.9 | 9.1 | ||
Kantar Emor | 14-20 Mar 2024 | 1,135 | 18.9 2 |
21.4 2 |
13.9 1 |
15.4 1 |
16.7 1 |
5.6 0 |
—[v] | 5.9 0 |
— | 2.1 0 |
2.5 | 11.4 | ||
2023 parliamentary election | 31.2 3 |
9.3 1 |
15.3 1 |
16.1 1 |
8.2 0 |
13.3 1 |
1.0 0 |
2.3 0 |
— | 3.3 0 |
15.1 | 30.4 | ||||
2019 EP election | 26.2 2 |
23.3 2 |
14.4 1 |
12.7 1 |
10.3 1 |
3.2 0 |
1.8 0 |
— | — | 8.0 0 |
2.9 | 17.3 |
Finland
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
KOK EPP |
VIHR G/EFA |
SDP S&D |
PS ECR |
KESK Renew |
VAS Left |
SFP Renew |
KD EPP |
LIIK NI |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taloustutkimus[133] | 29 May–4 June 2024 | 2,111 | 20.6 4 |
9.3 1 |
19.4 3 |
16.4 3 |
11.9 2 |
10.8 2 |
4.2 0 |
4 0 |
1.1 0 |
2.2 0 |
1.2 |
Taloustutkimus[134] | 23–29 Apr 2024 | 2,118 | 21.7 4 |
10.5 2 |
19.7 3 |
14.1 2 |
13.6 2 |
10.5 2 |
4.0 0 |
2.9 0 |
1.0 0 |
2.1 0 |
2.0 |
Verian[135] | 18–25 Mar 2024 | 1,372 | 22 4 |
11 2 |
17 3 |
14 2 |
12 2 |
9 1 |
5 0 |
6 1 |
4 0 |
5 | |
Ipsos[136] | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 22.5 4 |
9.0 1 |
20.0 4 |
19.0 3 |
10.5 2 |
8.5 1 |
3.5 0 |
3.5 0 |
3.5 0 |
2.5 | |
2023 parliamentary election | 20.8 | 7.0 | 19.9 | 20.1 | 11.3 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 0.7 | ||
2019 EP election | 20.8 3 |
16.0 3 |
14.6 2 |
13.8 2 |
13.5 2 |
6.9 1 |
6.3 1 |
4.9 0 |
3.1 0 |
4.8 |
France
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
LO NI |
NPA Left |
PCF Left |
LFI Left |
ND S&D |
PS–PP S&D |
EELV G/EFA |
GE NI |
PRG G/EFA[w] |
PS diss. |
UDMF NI |
EAC G/EFA |
ÉPT Renew |
PP G/EFA |
PA Left |
Ens. Renew |
AR | NE EPP |
LR EPP |
DLF ECR |
UPR NI |
LP–VIA ECR |
RN ID |
REC ECR |
Others | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FNC NI |
R! NI | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ipsos | 06–07 Jun 2024 | 8,923 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 9.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 15 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 1[x] | 17 | |
Harris Interactive[failed verification] | 05–07 Jun 2024 | 2,200 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 9.5 | <0.5 | 13 | 5 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | [y] | 18 | |
Elabe | 05–07 Jun 2024 | 2,001 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 9.5 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 16 | 1.5 | – | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 1.5[z] | 16 | |
Ifop | 04–07 Jun 2024 | 2,710 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 9 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2.5 | 14.5 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 1.5 | 18.5 | |
Odoxa | 05–06 Jun 2024 | 1.008 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7 | 0.5 | 14 | 5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 3.5 | 15 | 2 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6 | [aa] | 17 | |
Ipsos | 05–06 Jun 2024 | 1,738 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 9 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 1.5 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 1.5[ab] | 16.5 | |
OpinionWay | 04–06 Jun 2024 | 2,182 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | <1 | 14 | 5 | – | <1 | – | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 3 | 15 | 1 | – | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 3[ac] | 18 | |
Cluster17 | 04–06 Jun 2024 | 1,165 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 9 | 0.5 | 13 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 15 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 31 | 5.5 | <3[ad] | 16 | |
OpinionWay | 04–06 Jun 2024 | 1,027 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | – | 13 | 6 | – | <1 | – | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 2 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 4[ae] | 18 | |
Harris Interactive[failed verification] | 04–06 Jun 2024 | 2,200 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 8.5 | <0.5 | 13 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | [af] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 03–06 Jun 2024 | 2,710 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8.5 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2.5 | 15 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 1.5 | 18 | |
Harris Interactive[failed verification] | 04–05 Jun 2024 | 2,130 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 9 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | [ag] | 17.5 | |
BVA | 03–05 Jun 2024 | 1,500 | 1 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 1 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 6.5 | – | 1.5 | 0.5 | 33 | 5 | 3[ah] | 17 | |
Ifop | 01–05 Jun 2024 | 2,724 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2.5 | 15 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 1.5 | 18 | |
YouGov | 31 May – 5 Jun 2024 | 1,035 | 1 | <1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 4 | – | 1 | – | 1 | – | – | – | 3 | 15 | 1 | – | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 15 | |
Harris Interactive[failed verification] | 03–04 Jun 2024 | 2,130 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 9 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | [ai] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 31 May – 04 Jun 2024 | 2,734 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 18 | |
Harris Interactive | 02–03 Jun 2024 | 2,130 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 9 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | [aj] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 30 May – 03 Jun 2024 | 2,751 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33.5 | 6 | 1.5 | 18 | |
Elabe | 29–31 May 2024 | 1,688 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 8.5 | <0.5 | 13 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 16 | 1 | – | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 5 | 1.5[ak] | 16.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 30–31 May 2024 | 2,178 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8.5 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | [al] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 28–31 May 2024 | 2,713 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | <0.5 | 14 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 33.5 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 18 | |
OpinionWay | 28–30 May 2024 | 2,149 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 5 | – | <1 | – | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 2 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | <1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 4[am] | 17 | |
Cluster17 | 28–30 May 2024 | 1,165 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 15.5 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 30 | 6 | <3[an] | 14.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 29–30 May 2024 | 2,200 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1.5 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 5.5 | [ao] | 18.5 | |
Ipsos | 27–30 May 2024 | 11,430 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | 0.5 | 14.5 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 5 | [ap] | 17 | |
Ifop | 26–30 May 2024 | 2,700 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | <0.5 | 14 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 33.5 | 6.5 | 1 | 17.5 | |
OpinionWay | 28–29 May 2024 | 1,008 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | – | 14 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 17 | |
Harris Interactive | 28–29 May 2024 | 2,016 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 5 | 4[aq] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 25–29 May 2024 | 2,250 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 3 | 7 | <0.5 | 14 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33.5 | 6.5 | 1 | 17.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 27–28 May 2024 | 2,016 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1 | 15 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | 4[ar] | 17 | |
Ifop | 24–28 May 2024 | 1,809 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 1 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 34 | 6 | 1.5 | 18.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 24–27 May 2024 | 2,016 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | 4[as] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 23–27 May 2024 | 1,362 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 33.5 | 6 | 1 | 17.5 | |
Elabe | 24–25 May 2024 | 1,688 | 1 | <0.5 | 2 | 8 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 15.5 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 0.5 | 33 | 5.5 | 2[at] | 17.5 | |
Odoxa | 23–24 May 2024 | 991 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 7 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1.5 | 34 | 4 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
Ifop | 21–24 May 2024 | 1,362 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1.5 | 33 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 17 | |
OpinionWay | 21–24 May 2024 | 2,024 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | <1 | 13 | 5 | – | <1 | – | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1 | 15 | <1 | – | 8 | – | <1 | 1 | 32 | 7 | 5[au] | 17 | |
Ifop | 20–23 May 2024 | 1,356 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 7 | <0.5 | 15 | 5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 16 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 1.5 | 17 | |
Cluster17 | 21–22 May 2024 | 1,043 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | 0.5 | 14 | 5 | – | 1 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 16 | 1.5 | – | 6.5 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 13 | |
OpinionWay | 21–22 May 2024 | 1,067 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | – | 13 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 16 | 1 | – | 8 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 16 | |
Ifop | 20–22 May 2024 | 1,344 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 15 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
Vivavoice | 20–21 May 2024 | 1,059 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 6.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1.5 | – | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 15 | |
Ifop | 19–21 May 2024 | 1,344 | 1 | <0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 15 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Elabe | 15–17 May 2024 | 1,398 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 13 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 3 | 16.5 | |
Ifop | 15–17 May 2024 | 1,334 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 1 | 14.5 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1 | – | 8 | – | <0.5 | <0.5 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 15–17 May 2024 | 2,014 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 0.5 | 14.5 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 15 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 16.5 | |
BVA | 15–16 May 2024 | 1,500 | 1.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 8 | <0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 17 | 1 | <0.5[av] | 6 | 1[aw] | 1 | <0.5 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 14 | |
OpinionWay | 14–16 May 2024 | 2,025 | 1 | <1 | 2 | 7 | <1 | 14 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 8 | 2 | 15 | |
Ifop | 13–16 May 2024 | 1,338 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 1 | 14.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1.5 | – | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 32 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
OpinionWay | 14–15 May 2024 | 1,006 | 1 | <1 | 2 | 8 | <1 | 14 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | – | 7 | – | <1 | 1 | 31 | 8 | 3 | 15 | |
Cluster17 | 13–15 May 2024 | 1,285 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 15.5 | 1.5 | – | 6 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29.5 | 6 | 2.5 | 14 | |
Ifop | 11–15 May 2024 | 1,348 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1.5 | – | 8 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 16 | |
YouGov | 6–15 May 2024 | 1,028 | 1 | <1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 5 | – | <1[ax] | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | <1[av] | 6 | – | 2 | 2 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 15 | ||
Ipsos | 13–14 May 2024 | 1,530 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 16 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 1.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 10–14 May 2024 | 1,348 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1.5 | – | 8 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 10–13 May 2024 | 2,294 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 15 | 2 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 5 | 2.5 | 16.5 | |
Ifop | 9–13 May 2024 | 1,348 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 6 | 1 | 15.5 | |
Ifop | 6–10 May 2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1.5 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
Cluster17 | 6–9 May 2024 | 1,208 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1.5 | – | 6.5 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29.5 | 6 | 3 | 14 | |
Ifop | 5–9 May 2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1.5 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
OpinionWay | 6–7 May 2024 | 1,029 | 1 | <1 | 3 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | – | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 3 | 13 | |
Ifop | 3–7 May 2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 16.5 | 1.5 | – | 8 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 15 | |
OpinionWay | 5–6 May 2024 | 1,026 | 1 | <1 | 3 | 7 | <1 | 14 | 7 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | <1 | 16 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 15 | |
Ifop | 2–6 May 2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 8 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 0.5 | 16 | |
Elabe | 30 Apr – 3 May 2024 | 1,375 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 12 | 8 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 16.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 5 | 2.5 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 30 Apr – 3 May 2024 | 2,043 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 15 | 2 | <0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 16 | |
Ifop | 30 Apr – 3 May 2024 | 1,345 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
OpinionWay | 29–30 Apr 2024 | 1,075 | <1 | – | 2 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 7 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 2 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 14 | |
Ifop | 29 Apr – 2 May 2024 | 1,375 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Cluster17 | 29 Apr – 1 May 2024 | 1,337 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 6 | – | 1 | 2 | 29.5 | 5.5 | 2 | 14 | |
OpinionWay | 29–30 Apr 2024 | 1,009 | 1 | – | 4 | 7 | <1 | 14 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 0.5 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 12 | |
Ifop | 26–30 Apr 2024 | 1,360 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | 0.5 | 14 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 16 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 24–26 Apr 2024 | 2,319 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 9 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | <0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 15 | |
Ifop | 25–29 Apr 2024 | 1,345 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Odoxa | 25–26 Apr 2024 | 1,005 | 1.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 7 | <0.5 | 12 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 15.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | 8 | – | 1 | 1.5 | 32 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
BVA | 25–26 Apr 2024 | 1,434 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 6.5 | – | 13 | 8 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 3 | 17 | 1 | <0.5 | 6 | 1[aw] | 1 | 1 | 31 | 5.5 | 1 | 14 | |
Ifop | 23–26 Apr 2024 | 1,345 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 8 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
OpinionWay | 24–25 Apr 2024 | 1,011 | 1 | – | 3 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 18 | 1 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 2 | 29 | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
Cluster17 | 23–25 Apr 2024 | 1,164 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 12.5 | 6.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | 2 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 6 | – | 1 | 1.5 | 29.5 | 6 | 2 | 13.5 | |
Ifop | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 1,350 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 8 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 17.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | <0.5 | 31 | 5.5 | 1 | 13.5 | |
OpinionWay | 23–24 Apr 2024 | 1,007 | 1 | – | 3 | 8 | <1 | 13 | 7 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 18 | 2 | <1 | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 12 | |
Ifop | 20–24 Apr 2024 | 1,335 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 7.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 5.5 | 1 | 13.5 | |
Ipsos | 19–24 Apr 2024 | 10,651 | 0.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 14 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | <0.5 | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 19–23 Apr 2024 | 1,335 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 12 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 1 | 14.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 19–22 Apr 2024 | 2,319 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 1.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 18–22 Apr 2024 | 1,339 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7 | 0.5 | 12 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 2 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Ifop | 16–19 Apr 2024 | 1,371 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 2 | 17.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 14 | |
OpinionWay | 17–18 Apr 2024 | 1,021 | <1 | – | 3 | 7 | <1 | 13 | 7 | – | <1 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 19 | 1 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 10 | |
Ifop | 15–18 Apr 2024 | 1,376 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | <0.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
OpinionWay | 16–17 Apr 2024 | 1,002 | 1 | – | 4 | 8 | <1 | 12 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | 2 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
Ifop | 13–17 Apr 2024 | 1,364 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1.5 | 17.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 32.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 12–16 Apr 2024 | 1,349 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 3 | 7 | <0.5 | 12 | 7.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 12–15 Apr 2024 | 2,005 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 2.5 | 14 | |
Ifop | 11–15 Apr 2024 | 1,326 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 12 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Ifop | 9–12 Apr 2024 | 1,347 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 12.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 18 | 1 | <0.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
Ipsos | 10–11 Apr 2024 | 1,500 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | 0.5 | 13 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 16 | |
Cluster17 | 9–11 Apr 2024 | 1,164 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 1 | 12 | 6 | – | 1 | – | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 6 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
Ifop | 8–11 Apr 2024 | 1,355 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 13 | |
Ifop | 6–10 Apr 2024 | 1,343 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 0.5 | 12 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 13 | |
Ifop | 5–9 Apr 2024 | 1,335 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 12 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
YouGov | 3–9 Apr 2024 | 1,028 | 2 | – | 2 | 5 | – | 12 | 6 | – | 1[ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | <1 | – | – | 7 | 2[aw] | – | – | 29 | 9 | 2 | 10 | |
Harris Interactive | 5–8 Apr 2024 | 2,018 | 1 | – | 3 | 9 | – | 12 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 1 | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 3.5 | 13 | |
Ifop | 4–8 Apr 2024 | 1,343 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 11 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 19 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 13 | |
OpinionWay | 3–5 Apr 2024 | 1,509 | 1 | – | 2 | 7 | – | 12 | 7 | – | <1[ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 19 | 2 | <1 | 8 | – | 1 | – | 29 | 7 | 2 | 10 | ||
Elabe | 2–4 Apr 2024 | 1,504 | 1.5 | – | 2.5 | 7.5 | – | 12 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 16.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 13.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 28–29 Mar 2024 | 2,220 | 1 | – | 3 | 8 | – | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 2.5 | 14 | |
BVA | 27–28 Mar 2024 | 1,518 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | – | 11 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 20 | 1 | <0.5 | 8 | 3[aw] | 1 | 1 | 30 | 5.5 | 1 | 10 | |
Harris Interactive | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 2,027 | 1 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 12 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
Ifop | 19–20 Mar 2024 | 1,112 | 0.5 | – | 3 | 6 | – | 11 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 21 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 0.5 | 9 | |
Harris Interactive | 15–18 Mar 2024 | 2,124 | 1 | – | 2 | 8 | – | 13 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 12 | |
OpinionWay | 13–14 Mar 2024 | 1,008 | 1 | – | 2 | 6 | – | 11 | 8 | – | 1[ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 20 | 1 | – | <1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | – | 27 | 6 | 3 | 7 | |
Cluster17 | 8–9 Mar 2024 | 1,016 | 0.5 | – | 3 | 8 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | – | 29 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
Elabe | 5–7 Mar 2024 | 1,504 | 2 | – | 3 | 7.5 | – | 8.5 | 9.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1 | – | – | 7 | 3 | 0.5 | – | 29.5 | 4.5 | 3 | 12.5 |
YouGov | 26 Feb – 7 Mar 2024 | 1,008 | 1 | – | 2 | 6 | – | 10 | 7 | – | <1[ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 20 | 1 | – | – | 6 | 3 | – | – | 33 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
Ipsos | 1–6 Mar 2024 | 11,700 | 1 | 3.5 | 7 | – | 11.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 0.5 | – | – | 7 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 5 | 1.5 | 13 | |
Ipsos | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | – | – | 3.0 | 7 | – | 12.2 | 8.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.1 | – | – | – | 7.6 | 2.5 | – | – | 30.7 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 12.6 |
Ifop | 29 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 | 1,348 | 1 | 3.5 | 8 | – | 9 | 8 | – | 1[ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 19 | <0.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | 8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 10 | ||
BVA | 27–28 Feb 2024 | 1,344 | 2 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 11 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | <0.5 | 1.5 | 18[ay] | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 8 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Odoxa | 21–22 Feb 2024 | 1,005 | 1.5 | – | 1.5 | 6 | – | 11 | 8.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19[az] | 1 | – | – | 8.5 | 4 | – | – | 30 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
Stack Data Strategy | 17–22 Feb 2024 | 799 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 9.9 | – | 9.9 | 5.6 | – | 2.8[ax] | – | 2.6 | – | – | 1.4 | 14.5[ba] | – | 1.3 | – | 4.7 | 3.1 | – | – | 31.5 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 16.0 | ||
OpinionWay | 14–15 Feb 2024 | 1,009 | <1 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 2[ax] | – | 1 | – | – | <1 | 19 | 1 | – | <1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | – | 27 | 8 | 3 | 8 | |
Elabe | 7–9 Feb 2024 | 1,426 | 1.5 | – | 2.5 | 9 | – | 9 | 9.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1 | – | – | 8 | 3 | 0.5 | – | 27.5 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
Ifop | 7–8 Feb 2024 | 1,356 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 7 | – | 9.5 | 8 | – | 1.5[ax] | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 19[az] | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 7 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 29 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 10 | ||
1 | 3 | 7.5 | – | 10.5 | 8.5 | – | 1[ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19[ba] | 1 | 1 | <0.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 28.5 | 6 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |||||
1 | 3.5 | 8 | – | 10.5 | 8 | – | 1.5[ax] | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 18[ay] | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 6 | 1.5 | 10 | |||||
YouGov | 29 Jan – 7 Feb 2024 | 1,001 | 1 | – | 2 | 8 | – | 8 | 8 | – | 1[ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19[bb] | 1 | – | – | 6 | 2 | – | – | 32 | 8 | 3 | 13 | |
Portland | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 469 | 2 | – | 3 | 6 | – | 9 | 9 | – | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14 | 1 | – | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 33 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
OpinionWay | 17–18 Jan 2024 | 1,019 | 1 | – | 4 | 8 | – | 10 | 6 | – | 2[ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 20 | <1 | – | <1 | 8 | 2 | – | – | 27 | 7 | 3 | 7 | |
Ifop | 16–17 Jan 2024 | 1,348 | 0.5 | 4 | 7.5 | – | 9.5 | 7 | – | 1.5[ax] | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 19[bb] | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 6.5 | 2 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 12 | ||
Harris Interactive | 12–15 Jan 2024 | 1,217 | 1 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 11 | 8 | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 19[bb] | 1 | – | – | 8 | 2.5 | – | – | 28 | 6 | 1.5 | 9 |
Ifop | 12–15 Jan 2024 | 875 | 1 | 4 | 6.5 | – | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | 1 | – | – | – | 20[bb] | 1 | – | – | 7.5 | 3 | – | – | 30 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
YouGov | 8–15 Jan 2024 | 1,004 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | – | 8 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20[bc] | – | – | – | 6 | 4 | – | – | 30 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
Cluster17 | 13–14 Jan 2024 | 1,209 | 1 | – | 3 | 7.5 | – | 11 | 8 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18[bb] | 1 | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 28.5 | 7 | 2 | 10.5 |
Elabe | 10–12 Jan 2024 | 1,400 | 1.5 | – | 3 | 7.5 | – | 9.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18[bc] | 1 | – | – | 8.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | – | 28.5 | 5 | 3 | 10.5 |
Ifop | 3–5 Jan 2024 | 1,090 | 0.5 | 3 | 6 | – | 10 | 9 | – | 3[ax] | – | 2.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17[bc] | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 11 | ||
Odoxa | 13–14 Dec 2023 | 1,004 | 2.5 | – | 3 | 6.5 | – | 9 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21[bc] | 0.5 | – | – | 9 | 2 | – | – | 31 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
OpinionWay | 13–14 Dec 2023 | – | 1 | – | 3 | 6 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 2[ax] | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | <1 | – | <1 | 9 | 3 | – | – | 27 | 8 | 3 | 8 | |
Ipsos | 29 Nov – 12 Dec 2023 | 11,691 | 1.5 | 3 | 7.5 | – | 10.5 | 9.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20[bc] | 0.5 | – | – | 8 | 2.5 | – | – | 28 | 6.5 | 2 | 8 | |
Ifop | 8–11 Dec 2023 | 1,062 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 7 | – | 10 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | 18[bc] | 1 | – | – | 7.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 30 | 7.5 | 1 | 12 | |
OpinionWay | 15–16 Nov 2023 | – | 2 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 9 | 8 | – | 3[ax] | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | <1 | – | – | 8 | 2 | – | – | 28 | 7 | 3 | 9 | |
Ipsos | 9–10 Nov 2023 | 1,412 | 2 | 2 | 8.5 | – | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22[bd] | – | – | – | 6 | 2 | – | – | 29 | 6 | 2.5 | 7 | |
2 | 2 | 8.5 | – | 10.5 | 10.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20[bc] | – | – | – | 6.5 | 2 | – | – | 29 | 6 | 3 | 9 | ||||
Ifop | 12–13 Oct 2023 | 1,515 | 1 | 5 | 9 | – | 9 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 2 | – | – | – | 20[bc] | – | – | – | 8 | 2 | – | – | 28 | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
1 | 5 | 9 | – | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | 20[be] | – | – | – | 8.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 28 | 5 | 1 | 8 | ||||
Ifop | 30–31 Aug 2023 | 1,126 | 1 | 5 | 10 | – | 9 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 2 | – | – | – | 21[bc] | – | – | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 4 | |
2 | 6 | 12[bf] | 10 | – | – | – | – | 2 | – | – | – | 23[bc] | – | – | – | 9 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 7 | 2 | 2 | ||||||
1 | 5 | 9[bg] | – | 10 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | 21[bc] | – | – | – | 9 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 6.5 | 1 | 4 | ||||
Cluster17 | 16–19 Aug 2023 | 983 | 1.5 | – | 3 | 22.5 | – | 2.5 | – | – | 5 | – | – | 2.5 | 20.5[bc] | – | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 23 | 7 | 2.5 | 0.5 | |||
1.5 | – | 20.5 | 7.5 | – | 2.5 | – | – | 3 | – | – | 2.5 | 20[bc] | – | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 23.5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | ||||||
1.5 | – | 25[bh] | – | 2.5 | – | – | 4 | – | – | 2.5 | 20[bc] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 4 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
1 | – | 25[bi] | – | 3 | – | – | 4 | – | – | 3 | 20[bc] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 3.5 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 1.5 | 1 | |||||||
2 | – | 23[bj] | – | 3 | – | – | 4.5 | – | – | 3 | 21[bc] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 3 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
2 | – | 25[bk] | – | 2.5 | – | – | 4.5 | – | – | 2.5 | 20[bc] | – | – | – | 7 | 4 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 1.5 | 1 | |||||||
Ifop | 4–5 Jul 2023 | 1,008 | 1 | 4 | 8 | – | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20[bc] | – | – | – | 11 | 4 | – | – | 26 | 7 | 1 | 6 | |
Ipsos | 16–26 Jun 2023 | 10,631 | 1.5 | 4 | 8.5 | – | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21[bc] | – | – | – | 9 | 2.5 | – | – | 24 | 6.5 | 3 | 3 | |
2 | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24[bc] | – | – | – | 10 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 7 | 5 | 1 | ||||||||
1.5 | 5 | 9.5 | – | 15 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23[bc] | – | – | – | 9 | 2.5 | – | – | 25 | 6.5 | 3 | 2 | |||||
Elabe | 19–21 Jun 2023 | 1,397 | 1.5 | 2 | 8.5 | – | 9.5 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.5 | – | – | – | 8.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 26 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | |
1.5 | 24.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26 | – | – | – | 9 | 2.5 | – | – | 27 | 5.5 | 4 | 1 | ||||||||
Cluster17 | 17–19 May 2023 | 1,760 | 2 | 4 | 11 | – | 9 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.5[bc] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 3 | – | – | 24 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | |
2 | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23[bc] | – | – | – | 8.5 | 4 | – | – | 25.5 | 7 | 3 | 1.5 | ||||||||
Ifop | 10–11 May 2023 | 1,310 | 1 | 5 | 10 | – | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19[bc] | – | – | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 6 | 3 | 6 | |
2 | 26[bl] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22[bc] | – | – | – | 11 | 3 | – | – | 26 | 6 | 4 | Tie | ||||||||
Harris Interactive | 5–9 May 2023 | 1,262 | 2 | 23[bm] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3 | 26 | – | – | – | 13 | 2 | – | – | 21 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||||
1 | 19[bm] | 5 | – | 6 | – | – | – | – | 3 | 24 | – | – | – | 12 | 2 | – | – | 20 | 5 | 3 | 4 | ||||||||
1 | 3 | 9 | – | 10 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 23 | – | – | – | 12 | 2 | – | – | 20 | 5 | 3 | 3 | ||||
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 0.8 | [bn] | 2.5 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 13.5 | 1.8[bo] | [bp] | – | 0.1 | [bq] | – | 0.1 | 2.2 | 24.9[br] | – | – | – | 8.5 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 23.3 | – | 7.0 | 0.9 |
Germany
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Union EPP |
Grüne G/EFA |
SPD S&D |
AfD NI |
Linke Left |
FDP Renew |
PARTEI NI |
FW Renew |
Tiersch. Left |
ÖDP G/EFA |
FAM EPP |
Volt G/EFA |
PIRAT G/EFA |
BSW NI–Left |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 6–7 Jun 2024 | 1,000 | 30 | 13.5 | 12.5 | 15.5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | — | 2.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 7.5 | 11.5 | 14.5 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 4–6 Jun 2024 | 1,300 | 31 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 14 | 2.5 | 4 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.5 | 11 | 16.5 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5–6 Jun 2024 | 1,223 | 30 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 7 | 13 | 16 |
Ipsos | 29 May–5 Jun 2024 | 2,000 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 5 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 8 | 15 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 27 May – 1 Jun 2024 | 2,000 | 30.5 | 15 | 13.5 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 7.5 | 15.5 |
INSA | 30–31 May 2024 | 1,001 | 29 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 11 | 13 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27–29 May 2024 | 1,197 | 30 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 13 | 15 |
Infratest dimap | 27–29 May 2024 | 1,515 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 12 | 14 |
INSA | 23–24 May 2024 | 1,002 | 30 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 9 | 13 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 13–21 May 2024 | 2,600 | 31 | 15 | 12.5 | 16 | 3 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 6.5 | 6.5 | 15 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14–16 May 2024 | 1,247 | 31 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 13 | 16 |
INSA | 10–13 May 2024 | 2,100 | 29 | 13 | 15.5 | 17 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 5.5 | 12 |
YouGov | 3–8 May 2024 | 1,247 | 29 | 15 | 16 | 20 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | 9 |
Infratest dimap | 29–30 Apr 2024 | 1,323 | 30 | 15 | 14 | 15 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 15 | 15 |
INSA | 25–26 Apr 2024 | 1,202 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 7 | 12 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23–25 Apr 2024 | 1,228 | 30 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 13 | 13 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Apr 2024 | 1,254 | 30 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 12 | 14 |
INSA | 5–8 Apr 2024 | 2,100 | 28.5 | 11.5 | 16.5 | 19 | 4 | 5 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 4 | 9.5 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–02 Mar 2024 | 2,613 | 29 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4 | 12 |
Forsa | 12–13 Mar 2024 | 1,008 | 34 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 2 | 3 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 9 | 18 |
INSA | 8–11 Mar 2024 | 2,100 | 28.5 | 11 | 16 | 20 | 4.5 | 6 | 1 | 2.5 | 2 | — | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 8.5 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,613 | 29 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4[bs] | 12 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24–29 Feb 2024 | 1,900 | 31.5 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | — | — | — | — | 7.5 | 4.5 | 15.5 |
Stack Data Strategy | 17–22 Feb 2024 | 980 | 25.5 | 9.8 | 16.5 | 15.1 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 3.1 | — | — | 1.3 | 1.2 | 9.3 | 3.4 | 9.0 |
INSA | 8–12 Feb 2024 | 2,101 | 27 | 10.5 | 16 | 22 | 4.5 | 3 | 1 | 3.5 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 5 |
Portland | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 555 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 11–18 Jan 2024 | 1,440 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 3 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4.5 | 5 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 1–7 Dec 2023 | 1,440 | 31 | 12 | 10 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 3 | 6 |
INSA | 31 Jul 2023 | 1,001 | 26 | 15 | 19 | 23 | 5 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 3 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–14 Jul 2023 | 1,040 | 23 | 13.5 | 15 | 22 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 8.5 | 5.5 | 1 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 Dec 2022 | 1,100 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 2 | 3.5 | 2.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.5 | 1 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24–26 Feb 2022 | 1,722 | 22 | 19.5 | 22.5 | 12.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.5 | 0.5 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 24.2 | 14.7 | 25.7 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 11.4 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.2 | — | 0.4 | 0.4 | — | 2.9 | 1.6 |
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 28.9 | 20.5 | 15.8 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | — | 3.8 | 8.4 |
Greece
[edit]Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ND EPP |
SYRIZA Left |
PASOK S&D |
KKE NI |
XA[bt] NI |
EL ECR |
MeRA25 Left |
PE NI |
R NI |
Antarsya NI |
SP NI |
NIKI NI |
FL PfE |
NA Left |
DIMO Renew |
KOS G/EFA |
PAT NI |
Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alco/Alpha[137] | 13–15 May 2024 | 1,000 | 32.5 | 16.0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | — | 10.0 | 2.2 | 3.3 | — | — | — | 3.5 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 2.5 | — | — | 3.0 | 16.5 |
Pulse RC/Skai[138] | 13–15 May 2024 | 1,104 | 33.0 | 16.0 | 12.5 | 8.0 | — | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | — | — | — | 3.5 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 2.1 | — | 1.2 | 2.8 | 17.0 |
MARC/ANT1[139] | 10–15 May 2024 | 1,209 | 33.8 | 15.2 | 12.2 | 8.0 | — | 8.3 | 3.0 | 4.5 | — | — | — | 3.2 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.5 | — | — | 3.3 | 18.6 |
MRB/Open[140] | 10–14 May 2024 | 1,100 | 32.3 | 16.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | — | 9.9 | 2.2 | 3.4 | — | — | — | 2.9 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 2.4 | — | — | 2.2 | 16.3 |
Interview/Politic[141] | 8–13 May 2024 | 2,405 | 33.3 | 17.2 | 12.2 | 6.7 | — | 7.8 | — | 2.7 | — | — | — | 3.4 | — | 5.0 | — | — | — | 11.8 | 16.1 |
Good Affairs/To Vima[142] | — | — | 31.8 | 16.1 | 11.8 | 8.3 | — | 10.3 | 2.3 | 3.1 | — | — | — | 4.2 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 1.1 | — | 15.7 | |
Marc/Proto Thema[143] | 18–25 Apr 2024 | 1,049 | 33.4 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 8.5 | — | 9.8 | 2.4 | 5.4 | — | — | 2.4 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 | — | — | 2.2 | 18.7 |
GPO/Parapolitika[144] | 17–22 Apr 2024 | 1,400 | 33.6 | 16.3 | 13.5 | 8.8 | — | 9.1 | 2.1 | 3.1 | — | — | 2.4 | 3.4 | — | 2.7 | 2.2 | — | — | 2.8 | 17.3 |
Metron Analysis/Mega[145] | 10–16 Apr 2024 | 1,304 | 32.3 | 15.4 | 12.0 | 9.8 | — | 8.3 | 1.6 | 4.2 | — | — | 2.5 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | 2.8 | 16.9 |
Prorata/Attica[146] | 5–10 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 29.5 | 15.0 | 12.7 | 9.2 | — | 9.8 | 2.3 | 4.6 | — | — | 1.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | — | 3.0 | 14.5 |
Opinion Poll/Action 24[147] | 8–10 Apr 2024 | 1,006 | 32.1 | 15.0 | 12.4 | 8.5 | — | 10.7 | 1.3 | 3.7 | — | — | 2.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 3.0 | — | — | 2.3 | 17.1 |
Interview/Politic[148][149] | 4–8 Apr 2024 | 2,355 | 27.7 | 16.1 | 12.7 | 6.9 | — | 11.8 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 1.7 | — | 1.2 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 2.2 | — | — | 3.2 | 11.6 |
Alco/Alpha[150] | 2–5 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 29.9 | 14.3 | 13.3 | 9.4 | — | 9.6 | 2.3 | 4.1 | — | — | 2.7 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 2.2 | — | — | 3.5 | 15.6 |
Palmos Analysis/Eleftheros Typos[151] | 1–4 Apr 2024 | 1,008 | 31.8 | 14.1 | 13.0 | 9.4 | — | 10.3 | — | 4.2 | — | — | 3.3 | 3.5 | — | 4.0 | — | — | — | 6.6 | 17.7 |
GPO/Parapolitika[152] | 1–3 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 33.4 | 15.9 | 14.2 | 9.0 | — | 9.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.3 | — | 2.2 | 2.2 | — | — | 3.3 | 17.5 |
MRB/Open[153] | 1–3 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 31.5 | 15.9 | 13.4 | 8.1 | — | 9.9 | 1.9 | 4.3 | — | — | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 1.6 | — | — | 2.3 | 15.6 |
Pulse RC/Skai[154] | 1–3 Apr 2024 | 1,105 | 33.0 | 15.0 | 12.5 | 8.5 | — | 9.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | — | — | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 1.8 | — | — | 2.9 | 18.0 |
Opinion Poll/Action24[155] | 15–20 Mar 2024 | 1,010 | 34.4 | 13.4 | 12.5 | 9.4 | — | 10.1 | 1.9 | 2.9 | — | — | 2.5 | 4.3 | — | 2.9 | 2.8 | — | — | 2.8 | 21.0 |
Metron Analysis/Mega[156] | 12–19 Mar 2024 | 1,317 | 31.4 | 15.1 | 13.0 | 10.1 | — | 9.7 | 1.9 | 4.3 | — | 0.6 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | — | 1.7 | 16.3 |
Good Affairs/To Vima[157] | 12–14 Mar 2024 | 3,229 | 30.8 | 13.1 | 12.9 | 8.2 | — | 9.8 | 2.2 | 2.1 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.6 | — | 2.5 | 2.9 | — | — | 1.5 | 17.7 |
Marc/Proto Thema[158] | 11–14 Mar 2024 | 1,086 | 36.2 | 13.4 | 12.6 | 9.4 | — | 9.2 | 2.4 | 3.1 | — | — | 2.6 | 2.8 | — | 2.6 | 2.1 | — | — | 3.7 | 22.8 |
GPO/Star[159] | 11–13 Mar 2024 | 1,200 | 34.8 | 14.3 | 13.9 | 9.5 | — | 8.0 | 2.3 | 2.9 | — | — | 1.8 | 3.4 | — | 3.0 | 2.6 | — | — | 3.5 | 20.5 |
Interview/Politic[160] | 7–11 Mar 2024 | 2,250 | 29.1 | 14.4 | 12.4 | 7.1 | — | 12.0 | — | 2.5 | — | — | 1.8 | 4.6 | — | 4.9 | — | — | — | 11.3 | 14.7 |
Alco/Alpha[161] | 1–6 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 32.8 | 12.7 | 14.1 | 10.8 | — | 7.9 | 2.8 | 3.6 | — | — | 2.9 | 4.5 | — | 3.4 | — | — | — | 4.0 | 18.7 |
Ipsos/Euronews[162] | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 35.0 | 13.6 | 13.4 | 9.0 | — | 8.7 | <3.0 | 3.2 | — | — | 2.9 | 4.0 | — | 3.3 | — | — | — | 3.9 | 21.4 |
Pulse RC/Skai[163] | 27 Feb–1 Mar 2024 | 1,106 | 35.5 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 9.0 | — | 8.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | — | — | 3.0 | 4.0 | — | 3.0 | — | — | — | 3.5 | 21.5 |
GPO/Parapolitika[164] | 26–29 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 36.4 | 13.5 | 14.4 | 10.7 | — | 8.2 | 2.4 | 2.7 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.4 | — | 2.9 | — | — | — | 3.2 | 22.0 |
Opinion Poll/Action24[165] | 21–27 Feb 2024 | 1,504 | 33.9 | 11.9 | 13.9 | 10.1 | — | 10.2 | 2.6 | 3.5 | — | — | 2.7 | 4.2 | — | 3.3 | — | — | — | 3.7 | 20.0 |
Opinion Poll/Action24[166] | 13–16 Feb 2024 | 1,004 | 34.3 | 12.5 | 14.6 | 9.4 | — | 9.5 | 2.4 | 3.7 | — | — | 2.7 | 3.8 | — | 3.3 | — | — | — | 3.8 | 19.7 |
Interview/Politic[167] | 6–12 Feb 2024 | 2,155 | 33.3 | 14.2 | 12.8 | 8.3 | — | 9.1 | — | 2.6 | — | — | 2.1 | 5.1 | — | 5.1 | — | — | — | 9.7 | 19.1 |
Alco/Alpha[168] | 1–7 Feb 2024 | 1,201 | 34.5 | 12.6 | 15.0 | 11.2 | — | 7.5 | 2.2 | 3.1 | — | — | 2.8 | 3.9 | — | 2.6 | — | — | — | 4.3 | 19.5 |
GPO/Star[169] | 20–25 Jan 2024 | 1,100 | 38.8 | 14.0 | 14.2 | 9.6 | — | 7.2 | 2.7 | 2.6 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.3 | — | 3.0 | — | — | — | 2.4 | 24.6 |
MRB/Open[170] | 22–24 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 36.1 | 12.1 | 12.1 | 9.3 | — | 9.5 | 2.8 | 4.0 | — | — | 2.8 | 3.7 | — | 2.7 | — | — | — | 4.8 | 24.0 |
Marc/Ant1[171] | 17–23 Jan 2024 | 1,092 | 37.1 | 12.6 | 16.8 | 9.4 | — | 7.0 | 2.9 | 3.0 | — | — | 3.1 | 3.1 | — | 2.4 | — | — | — | 2.6 | 20.3 |
Interview/Politic[172] | 10–15 Jan 2024 | 2,388 | 31.5 | 14.1 | 14.2 | 10.8 | — | 8.0 | — | 2.3 | — | — | 2.6 | 5.2 | — | 4.1 | — | — | — | 7.2 | 17.3 |
Prorata/Attica[173] | 5–9 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 36.6 | 12.8 | 15.9 | 11.0 | — | 6.1 | 1.8 | 3.0 | — | — | 3.7 | 3.7 | — | 3.7 | — | — | — | 1.8 | 20.7 |
Alco/Alpha[174] | 2–5 Jan 2024 | 1,002 | 35.3 | 13.8 | 14.3 | 11.3 | — | 6.9 | 2.4 | 3.3 | — | — | 3.2 | 3.3 | — | 2.7 | — | — | — | 3.6 | 21.0 |
Interview/Politic[175] | 4–8 Dec 2023 | 2,356 | 34.0 | 16.1 | 14.4 | 7.9 | — | 7.6 | — | 3.0 | — | — | 2.3 | 3.8 | — | 2.9 | — | — | — | 7.9 | 17.9 |
GPO/Parapolitika[176] | 5–7 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | 41.7 | 12.1 | 13.5 | 10.3 | — | 6.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | — | — | 3.4 | 2.4 | — | 3.7 | — | — | — | 2.3 | 28.3 |
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | – | 33.1 | 23.8 | 7.7 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 3.0[bu] | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.5[bv] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.7 | 9.3 |
Hungary
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Fidesz-KDNP PfE |
Momentum Renew |
DK S&D |
MSZP S&D |
P G/EFA |
LMP G/EFA |
Jobbik NI |
MMN EPP |
Our Homeland ESN |
MKKP G/EFA |
MEMO EPP |
NP NI |
2RK NI |
TISZA EPP |
Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Publicus | 3–5 June 2024 | 1,001 | 43 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 2 | – | 5 | 4 | – | – | – | 25 | 1 | 18 | ||
Medián | 27-29 May 2024 | 1,000 | 48 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | – | – | 1 | 29 | – | 19 | ||
IDEA | 20–29 May 2024 | 1,500 | 44 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | – | – | 2 | 26 | 2 | 18 | ||
Társadalomkutató | May 2024 | 4,000 | 51 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | – | – | 1 | 25 | – | 26 | ||
Real-PR 93 | 27-29 May 2024 | 1,000 | 45 | 1 | 10 | – | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 1 | – | 2 | 28 | – | 17 | ||
Alapjogokért Központ | 22-24 May 2024 | 1,000 | 47 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | – | 1 | 26 | – | 21 | ||
Századvég | 20-28 May 2024 | 1,000 | 45 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | – | – | 1 | 23 | – | 22 | ||
Nézőpont | 20-22 May 2024 | 1,000 | 47 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 1 | – | 1 | 24 | – | 23 | ||
Závecz Research | 2–10 May 2024 | 1,000 | 39 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | – | – | 1 | 26 | 0 | 13 | ||
IDEA | 25 Apr–4 May 2024 | 1,500 | 40 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | – | 2 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 19 | ||
Nézőpont | 29 Apr – 2 May 2024 | 1,000 | 48 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | – | 0 | 3 | 21 | – | 27 | ||
Publicus | 26–30 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 42 | 3 | 24 | 1 | 1 | – | 4 | 2 | – | – | – | 23 | – | 18 | ||
Medián | 26–29 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 45 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | – | 1 | 2 | 25 | – | 20 | ||
Iránytű | 17–19 Apr 2024 | 1,073 | 50 | 3 | 10 | – | 1 | – | 3 | 4 | – | – | 2 | 26 | 1 | 24 | ||
9–12 Apr 2024 | 53 | 3 | 9 | – | 2 | – | 6 | 4 | – | – | 1 | 20 | 2 | 33 | ||||
Závecz Research | 4–11 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 3 | 1 | – | 8 | 5 | – | – | – | 14 | 3 | 7 | ||
Nézőpont | 2–4 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 47 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | – | 2 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 34 | ||
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,025 | 47.6 13 |
7.2 1 |
16.5 4 |
– | – | 2.6 0 |
2.8 0 |
3.0 0 |
9.6 2 |
4.2 0 |
2.0 0 |
– | – | – | 4.7 | 31.1 |
Nézőpont | 26–28 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 47 13 |
7 1 |
14 3 |
2 0 |
2 0 |
2 0 |
2 0 |
4 0 |
8 2 |
8 2 |
– | 1 0 |
4 0 |
– | – | 33 |
21 Kutatóközpont | 22–26 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | 44 | 9 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | – | 1 | 2 | – | – | 26[bw] |
44 | 9 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 | – | 3 | 3 | – | – | 27[bx] | |||
Republikon | Jun 2023 | – | 46 | 7 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 6 | – | 9 | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | 27 | |
Nézőpont | 15–17 May 2023 | 1,000 | 51 | 9 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | – | 6 | 3 | – | – | – | – | 4 | 35 |
Závecz Research | 28 Apr–5 May 2023 | 1,000 | 46 | 8 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 27 |
Nézőpont | 2–4 Jan 2023 | 1,000 | 56 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | – | 4 | – | – | – | – | 6 | 42 |
2022 parliamentary election | 3 Apr 2022 | – | 54.1 | 34.4 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 1.0 | – | – | – | 1.3 | 19.7 | ||||||
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | – | 52.6 | 9.9 | 16.1 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 6.3 | – | 3.3 | 2.6 | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | 36.5 |
Italy
[edit]Exit poll
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Lega ID |
PD S&D |
M5S NI |
FI EPP |
NM EPP |
FdI ECR |
AVS Left–G/EFA |
PTD[by] Left |
SUE | A Renew |
DSP NI |
Italexit NI |
Libertà NI |
Others | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
+E Renew |
IV Renew | |||||||||||||||||
8–9 Jun 2024 | Consorzio Opinio | – | 8–10 | 21–25 | 10–14 | 8.5–10.5 | 26–30 | 5–7 | 1–3 | 3.5–5.5 | 2.5–4.5 | – | – | 0–2 | 0–3 | 9–1 | ||
20–24 May 2024 | SWG | 2,000 | 8.6 | 22.0 | 14.7 | 8.6 | 27.3 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 5.3 | |||||
25–25 May 2024 | Noto | 1,000 | 9.0 | 20.5 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 28.0 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 7.5 | |||||
22–23 May 2024 | Demopolis | 2,000 | 8.8 | 22.0 | 14.5 | 8.7 | 27.0 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 5.0 | |||||
21–22 May 2024 | Eumetra | 800 | 8.7 | 21.1 | 16.2 | 8.9 | 27.1 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 6.0 | |||||
22–23 May 2024 | Termometro | 3,900 | 9.0 | 19.6 | 15.7 | 8.5 | 26.8 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7.2 | ||||
19–23 May 2024 | Quorum | 1,604 | 9.0 | 20.3 | 15.9 | 8.5 | 27.2 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 6.9 | ||||
19–23 May 2024 | EMG | 2,000 | 9.3 | 20.9 | 15.7 | 7.9 | 26.9 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 6.0 | |||||||
20–21 May 2024 | Ipsos | 1,000 | 8.6 | 22.5 | 15.4 | 9.2 | 26.5 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 4.0 | ||||
19–21 May 2024 | Cluster 17 | 1,051 | 8.7 | 20.8 | 15.5 | 8.2 | 26.9 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 7.1 | |||
20–21 May 2024 | Bidimedia | 1,190 | 9.1 | 21.2 | 15.2 | 8.3 | 27.1 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 6.0 | ||||
17–22 Apr 2024 | SWG | 1,200 | 8.5 | 20.0 | 15.9 | 8.4 | 26.8 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 6.8 | |||
17–19 Apr 2024 | Quorum | 801 | 7.2 | 20.5 | 16.5 | 7.6 | 27.8 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 7.3 | ||||
17–18 Apr 2024 | Demos | 1,005 | 8.5 | 20.2 | 16.4 | 8.0 | 28.0 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 6.6 | 7.8 | ||||||
16–18 Apr 2024 | Termometro Politico | 4,100 | 8.5 | 19.7 | 16.1 | 8.3 | 27.5 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 7.8 | |||
16–17 Apr 2024 | Eumetra | 8.5 | 19.7 | 16.4 | 8.3 | 27.4 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 7.7 | ||||
10–15 Apr 2024 | SWG | 1,200 | 8.6 | 19.4 | 16.0 | 8.4 | 27.2 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 7.8 | |||
13 Apr 2024 | Tecnè | 7.9 | 19.8 | 16.2 | 10.1 | 27.3 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 5.5 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 7.5 | |||||
8–12 Apr 2024 | Ixè | 1,000 | 8.0 | 19.9 | 16.4 | 8.4 | 26.6 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 6.4 | 6.7 | ||||
9–11 Apr 2024 | Termometro Politico | 3,700 | 8.8 | 19.5 | 15.6 | 8.0 | 27.8 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 8.3 | |||
8–9 Apr 2024 | Demopolis | 2,000 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 15.8 | 8.7 | 27.0 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 7.0 | ||||
3–8 Apr 2024 | SWG | 1,200 | 8.8 | 19.8 | 15.6 | 7.8 | 26.9 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 7.1 | |||
8 Apr 2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.7 | 19.7 | 17.6 | 8.5 | 26.9 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 7.2 | ||||
5 Apr 2024 | EMG | – | 7.8 | 20.2 | 16.7 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 27.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 7.0 | ||||
4–5 Apr 2024 | Quorum | 801 | 7.5 | 19.8 | 16.0 | 7.8 | 27.7 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 7.9 | ||||
2–4 Apr 2024 | EMG | 1,000 | 7.8 | 20.2 | 16.7 | 9.0 | 27.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 7.0 | |||||
28–30 Mar 2024 | BiDiMedia | 2,000 | 8.3 | 20.2 | 16.6 | 7.1 | 27.1 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 6.9 | |||
27 Mar 2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.8 | 19.3 | 17.5 | 8.0 | 0.7 | 27.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 8.2[bz] | |||
8.7 | 19.5 | 17.5 | 8.3 | 0.6 | 27.9 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 8.5[ca] | ||||||
19–25 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | 1,000 | 8.0 | 20.5 | 16.1 | 8.7 | 0.7 | 27.5 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 7.0 | |
20 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | – | 8.2 | 19.0 | 17.4 | 8.2 | 27.0 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 8.0 | |||||
19 Mar 2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.0 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 9.0[bz] | ||||
7.0 | 20.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 30.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 10.0[ca] | |||||||
11 Mar 2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.7 | 19.7 | 17.2 | 7.7 | 0.7 | 28.0 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 8.3[bz] | ||||
8.6 | 20.2 | 16.9 | 8.2 | 0.4 | 28.7 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 8.5[ca] | |||||||
7 Mar 2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.5 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 7.5[bz] | ||||
7.5 | 20.5 | 16.5 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 29.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.5[ca] | |||||||
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | 1,503 | 8.2 | 19.0 | 17.4 | 8.2 | 27.0 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 8.0 | |||||
28 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 | Quorum | 803 | 8.1 | 19.9 | 15.9 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 27.1 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 7.2 | |||
28 Feb 2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.6 | 19.6 | 17.0 | 7.9 | 1.4 | 27.6 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 8.0[bz] | ||||
8.7 | 20.0 | 17.2 | 8.5 | 1.2 | 28.1 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 8.1[ca] | |||||||
26–28 Feb 2024 | Bidimedia | 1,000 | 8.5 | 20.0 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 0.8 | 28.1 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 8.1 | |
25–28 Feb 2024 | Cluster17 | 1,022 | 9.1 | 19.7 | 16.0 | 7.6 | 0.4 | 27.3 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 7.6 | |
20–22 Feb 2024 | Ipsos | 1,000 | 8.3 | 18.3 | 17.0 | 7.9 | 1.1 | 28.2 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 9.9 | |
17–22 Feb 2024 | Stack Data Strategy | 944 | 8.7 | 19.9 | 15.5 | 6.6 | 0.9 | 27.1 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 7.3 | ||
21 Feb 2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.5 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 27.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 8.0 | ||||
30 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 | Termometro Politico | 3,800 | 9.4 | 19.6 | 16.2 | 6.8 | 29.1 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 9.5 | ||
30–31 Jan 2024 | Demopolis | – | 9.0 | 20.0 | 15.8 | 7.2 | 28.0 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 8.1 | 8.0 | |||||
24–31 Jan 2024 | Portland | 502 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 28.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0[cb] | 7.0 | |||
24–27 Jan 2024 | BiDiMedia | 1,000 | 9.0 | 19.3 | 16.1 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 28.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 9.3 | |
25–26 Jan 2024 | Quorum | 803 | 9.3 | 19.2 | 13.6 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 28.4 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 6.4 | 9.2 | |||
22–24 Jan 2024 | Winpoll | 1,000 | 9.1 | 21.5 | 14.6 | 7.8 | 27.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 5.3[cc] | 6.3 | |||
12–22 Jan 2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.4 | 19.5 | 17.8 | 7.5 | 0.3 | 28.5 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 9.0[bz] | |||
8.2 | 19.0 | 18.1 | 7.2 | 0.3 | 29.3 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 9.3[ca] | ||||||
16 Jan 2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.5 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 8.5[cd] | ||||
6.5 | 20.0 | 17.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 32.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 12.0[ca] | |||||||
15–16 Jan 2024 | Tecnè | 800 | 8.4 | 19.8 | 15.6 | 9.2 | 29.0 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 11.2 | 9.2[bz] | |||||||
8.3 | 19.5 | 15.6 | 9.3 | 29.3 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 11.0 | 9.8[ca] | ||||||||||
4 Jan 2024 | IZI | 1,068 | 9.3 | 19.5 | 17.0 | 7.4 | 27.1 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 7.6 | |||||
30 Dec – 4 Jan 2024 | Lab2101 | 1,000 | 10.2 | 19.8 | 16.2 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 29.4 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 9.6 | |||
26 May 2019 | 2019 European election | – | 34.3 | 22.7 | 17.1 | 8.8 | 6.4 | 4.1[ce] | 3.1 | – | – | 0.9 | – | – | 4.5 | 7.6 |
Ireland
[edit]National polls
[edit]Last date of polling |
Polling firm / Commissioner | Sample size |
SF Left |
FF Renew |
FG EPP |
GP G/EFA |
Lab S&D |
SD | PBP–S | Aon | II | O/I[cf] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 May 2024 | Ireland Thinks/The Journal[177] | 1,161 | 17.4 | 17.7 | 18 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 5[cg] | – [ch] | 23 |
22 May 2024 | Red C/Business Post[178] | 1,021 | 21 | 14 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | – [ch] | 25[ci] |
15 May 2024 | Ipsos B&A/Irish Times[179] | 1,500 | 16 | 22 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 21 |
7 May 2024 | Ireland Thinks/The Journal[180] | 1,633 | 22 | 16 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | – [ch] | 24 |
7 April 2024 | Ireland Thinks/The Journal[181] | 1,334 | 23 | 17 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | – [ch] | 17 |
7 February 2024 | Ireland Thinks/The Journal[182] | 1,255 | 26 | 19 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | – [ch] | – [ch] | 19 |
8 February 2020 | 2020 general election | — | 24.5 | 22.2 | 20.9 | 7.1 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.9 | – [cj] | 13.5 |
24 May 2019 | 2019 EP election | — | 11.7 | 16.6 | 29.6 | 11.4 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 2.3 | – [cj] | – [cj] | 24.1 |
Dublin
[edit]Last date of polling |
Polling firm / Commissioner | Sample size |
Andrews (FF) | L. Boylan (SF) | Doherty (FG) | Ó Riordáin (Lab) | Cuffe (GP) | Smith (S–PBP) | Daly (I4C) | Gibney (SD) | N. Boylan (II) | Doolan (SF) | Considine (Aon) | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 May 2024[183] | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent | 496 | 14.1 | 11.2 | 15 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 4.8 | 8.3 | 4.6 | 9.2 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 12.5 |
15 May 2024[179] | Ipsos B&A/The Irish Times | 500 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
7 May 2024[184] | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent | 457[185] | 17 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
Midlands–North-West
[edit]Last date of polling |
Polling firm / Commissioner | Sample size |
Flanagan (Ind) | Walsh (FG) | Cowen (FF) | Chambers (FF) | Carberry (FG) | Gildernew (SF) | Mullooly (II) | MacManus (SF) | Blaney (FF) | Casey (Ind) | Tóibín (Aon) | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 May 2024[183] | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent | 614 | 12.1 | 12.5 | 10.5 | 5.3 | 7 | 7.2 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 7.5 | 20.5 |
15 May 2024[179] | Ipsos B&A/The Irish Times | 500 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 |
7 May 2024[184] | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent | 631[185] | 10 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 |
South
[edit]Last date of polling |
Polling firm / Commissioner | Sample size |
Kelly (FG) | Kelleher (FF) | Funchion (SF) | Ní Mhurchú (FF) | Gavan (SF) | Hourigan (Lab) | McNamara (Ind) | Mullins (FG) | Blighe (IF) | O'Sullivan (GP) | Wallace (I4C) | Doyle (SD) | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 May 2024[183] | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent | 660 | 18.5 | 14.4 | 9.5 | 4.6 | 5.7 | 3.6 | 9.9 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 6.2 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 10.5 |
15 May 2024[179] | Ipsos B&A/The Irish Times | 500 | 23 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 |
7 May 2024[184] | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent | 643[185] | 14 | 16 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 |
Latvia
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
JV EPP |
S S&D |
NA ECR |
LA Renew |
Par! Renew |
ZZS | AS | JKP | PRO G/EFA |
TZV | CP | TVS | S! | LPV | SV | AJ | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SKDS/LTV[186] | March 2024 | 1.505 | 16.6 (1) | 10.1 (1) | 17.1 (2) | 8.9 (1) | 1.5 | 3.4 | 6.1 (1) | 3.5 | 9.6 (1) | 0.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 6.4 (1) | 8.2 (1) | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
SKDS/LTV[187] | 10-14 February 2024 | 1,505 | 17.9 (2) | 9.1 (1) | 16.5 (1) | 9.2 (1) | 0.6 | 4.0 | 7.4 (1) | 3.5 | 8.9 (1) | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 7.5 (1) | 6.6 (1) | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
2019 election | 25 May 2019 | – | 26.4 (2) | 17.6 (2) | 16.5 (2) | 12.5 (1) | 5.6 (0) | 5.0 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6.8 (1)[ck] | 0.2 | 8.7 |
Lithuania
[edit]Pollster | Fieldwork dates | Sample size | TS–LKD EPP |
LVŽS G/EFA |
DP NI |
LSDP S&D |
LP Renew |
LRLS Renew |
LRP | PLT | DSVL G/EFA |
Others[cl] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baltijos tyrimai | 10-21 April 2024 | 1,020 | 14.3 2 |
11.6 1 |
8.9 1 |
27.1 3 |
4.1 0 |
6.6 1 |
5.1 1 |
2.7 0 |
13.3 2 |
6.5[cm] 0 |
12.8 |
2020 Lithuanian parliamentary election | 1,133,561 | 25.77 (4) |
18.07 (3) |
9.77 (1) |
9.58 (1) |
9.45 (1) |
7.04 (1) |
3.28 (0) |
2.06 (0) |
– | 9.22 (0) |
7.70 | |
2019 European Parliament election | 1,259,954 | 19.74 3 |
12.56 2 |
8.99 1 |
15.88 2 |
– | 6.59 1 |
2.36 0 |
1.92 0 |
– | 31.96 2 |
3.86 |
Luxembourg
[edit]No opinion polls are expected to be done for the European Parliament election in Luxembourg. The results of recent elections are shown in the absence of that.
Polling execution | Parties | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling
firm |
Fieldwork
date |
Sample
size |
DP Renew |
CSV EPP |
Greens G/EFA |
LSAP S&D |
ADR ECR |
Pirate G/EFA |
Lénk Left |
Volt G/EFA |
KPL | DK | Fokus |
Others |
2023 general election[188] | 19.1 (2) |
29.3 (3) |
8.3 (0) |
18.2 (1) |
9.6 (0) |
6.7 (0) |
3.6 (0) |
0.2 (0) |
0.5 (0) |
1.4 (0) |
2.6 (0) |
— | ||
2023 municipal elections[189] | 19.8 (1) |
26.5 (2) |
11.6 (1) |
21.9 (2) |
20.3 (0) | |||||||||
2019 EP election[190] | 21.4 (2) |
21.1 (2) |
18.9 (1) |
12.2 (1) |
10.0 (0) |
7.7 (0) |
4.8 (0) |
2.1 (0) |
1.1 (0) |
0.5 (0) |
— |
Malta
[edit]It is not uncommon for smaller parties to be grouped together or excluded in polls by Maltese media houses.
Polling firm | Sample size |
ABBA | IND/ Others |
Lead | Not voting[cn] |
Don't know/ Invalid[cn] | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 May–04 June 2024 | L-Orizzont[co] | 1,800 | 50.9 | 40.1 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 10.8 | 31 | 33 Invalid | |||
22 May–04 June 2024 | MaltaToday[cp] | 1,007 | 43.3 | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | - | - | 6.2 | 4.8 | – | |
3–10 May 2024 | MaltaToday | 657 | 49.4 | 41.7 | 8.9 | 7.7 | 30.6 | – | ||||
6–10 May 2024 | It-Torċa[cq] | 1,000 | 51.5 | 40.3 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 11.2 | 31 | ||||
15–24 April 2024 | MaltaToday | 656 | 50.7 | 44.2 | 5.1 | 6.5 | 29 | |||||
1–13 April 2024 | Esprimi | 600 | 45.4 | 38.0 | 3.2 | 13.4 | 7.4 | – | 41.0 | |||
7 March - 21 March 2024 | MaltaToday | 657 | 52.8 | 42.6 | 4.6 | 10.2 | 23.4 | – | ||||
27 Feb – 12 Mar 2024 | Esprimi/Times of Malta | 600 | 52.4 | 39.3 | 8.3 | 13.1 | 33 | |||||
26 Jan–05 Feb 2024 | MaltaToday | 647 | 47.9 | 41.0 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 37.5 | |||||
26 Mar 2022 | 2022 Maltese general election | – | 55.1 | 41.7 | n/a | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 13.4 | 24.4 | 2.9 |
25 May 2019 | 2019 European Parliament election in Malta | – | 54.3 | 37.9 | 3.17 | 2.7[cr] | 0.5[cs] | n/a | 1.2 | 16.4 | 27.3 | 2.6 |
Netherlands
[edit]Exit poll
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Total | GL–PvdA | VVD Renew |
CDA EPP |
FvD NI |
D66 Renew |
SGP ECR |
CU EPP |
PvdD Left |
50PLUS Renew |
PVV ID |
SP Left |
Volt G/EFA |
BBB EPP |
NSC EPP |
Lead | Ref | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PvdA S&D |
GL G/EFA | |||||||||||||||||||
Ipsos | 6 Jun 2024 | – | 31 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | [191] | |
Peil.nl | 5 Jun 2024 | – | 31 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Tie | [192] | |
Ipsos | 3–5 Jun 2024 | 2,030 | 31 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Tie | [193] | |
Ipsos | 24–27 May 2024 | 2,048 | 31 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | [194] | |
I&O Research | 17–21 May 2024 | 2,141 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | [195] | |
Peil.nl | 17–18 May 2024 | – | 31 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Tie | [196] | |
I&O Research | 10–14 May 2024 | 2,102 | 31 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | Tie | [195] | |
Peil.nl | 3–4 May 2024 | – | 31 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Tie | [197] | |
I&O Research | 12–15 Apr 2024 | 2,182 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | [198] | |
I&O Research | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 1,586 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | [195] | |
Ipsos | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 1,890 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | [199] | |
2019 election | 23 May 2019 | – | 29 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 1 |
Exit poll
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
GL–PvdA | VVD Renew |
CDA EPP |
FvD NI |
D66 Renew |
SGP ECR |
CU EPP |
PvdD Left |
50PLUS Renew |
PVV ID |
SP Left |
Volt G/EFA |
JA21 ECR |
BBB EPP |
NSC EPP |
Others | Lead | Ref | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PvdA S&D |
GL G/EFA | ||||||||||||||||||||
Ipsos | 6 Jun 2024 | – | 21.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 17.7% | 2.0% | 4.9% | – | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 3.9% | [200] | |
Ipsos | 3–5 Jun 2024 | 2,030 | 19.5% | 13.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 21.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | – | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | [201] | |
Ipsos | 24–27 May 2024 | 2,048 | 20.3% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 22.7% | 3.2% | 6.3% | – | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | [202] | |
I&O Research | 17–21 May 2024 | 2,141 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | – | 23.0% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 3.7% | [195] | |
I&O Research | 10–14 May 2024 | 2,102 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | – | 22.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | [195] | |
I&O Research | 12–15 Apr 2024 | 2,182 | 18.7% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | – | 22.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | [198] | |
I&O Research | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 1,586 | 18.6% | 14.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | – | 25.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | – | 6.5% | [203] | |
Ipsos | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 1,890 | 16.0% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | – | 22.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | – | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | [199] | |
Portland | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 535 | 17% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 25% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 2% | 8% | [204] | |
2019 election | 23 May 2019 | – | 19.0% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | – | – | – | 1.6% | 4.4% |
Poland
[edit]Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
United Right ECR |
Third Way EPP–Ren. |
Civic Coalition EPP–G/EFA–Ren. |
The Left S&D |
Confederation NI |
There is One Poland NI |
Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy NI |
PolExit NI |
Others | Don't know | Lead | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Law and Justice | Kukiz'15 | New Left | Left Together | |||||||||||||
SLD | Spring | |||||||||||||||
IPSOS (Late Poll) | 10 June | 35.7 20 |
7.3 4 |
37.4 20 |
6.6 3 |
11.8 6 |
0.8 0 |
0.3 0 |
0.1 0 |
1.7 | ||||||
IPSOS | 9 June | 33.9 19 |
8.2 4 |
38.2 21 |
6.6 3 |
11.9 6 |
0.8 0 |
0.3 0 |
0.1 0 |
4.3 | ||||||
Pollster / Republika | 6–7 Jun 2024 | 1,083 | 33 | 11 | 34 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 1 | |||||||
OGB | 4–7 Jun 2024 | 800 | 36.04 18 |
7.54 5 |
37.45 20 |
5.01 4 |
11.49 6 |
0.59 0 |
0.15 0 |
1.73 0 |
1.41 | |||||
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 6 Jun 2024 | – | 30.5 | 9.6 | 31.5 | 8.1 | 9.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 10.0 | 1.0 | |||||
Pollster / "SE.pl" | 5–6 Jun 2024 | 1,031 | 31.63 | 11.65 | 34.86 | 8.94 | 10.72 | 2.20 | 3.23 | |||||||
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM | 4–6 Jun 2024 | 1,000 | 29 | 10 | 33 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | |||||
ewybory.eu | 17 May–6 Jun 2024 | 5,709 | 33.7 | 10.9 | 33.3 | 9.6 | 10.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | |||||
Opinia24 / Gazeta Wyborcza | 4–5 Jun 2024 | 1,001 | 29.8 19 |
8.9 5 |
32.1 20 |
7.7 4 |
9 5 |
3.6 0 |
8.9 | 2.3 | ||||||
Opinia24 / TVN | 4–5 Jun 2024 | 1,000 | 32 | 9 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | ||||
CBOS | 20 May–5 Jun 2024 | 1,038 | 28.9 | 11.4 | 33.4 | 9.7 | 10.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 5.3 | 4.5 | |||||
IPSOS / TVP | 3–4 June 2024 | – | 29.2 16 |
10.9 6 |
34.5 20 |
8.0 4 |
13.6 7 |
2.6 0 |
0.6 0 |
5.3 | ||||||
IBRiS / Onet | 3 Jun 2024 | 1,067 | 31.3 18 |
11.6 7 |
33.1 19 |
8.2 4 |
9.0 5 |
0.2 0 |
6.6 | 1.8 | ||||||
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 3 Jun 2024[ct] | – | 30.1 | 10.7 | 29.5 | 8.0 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 10.0 | 0.6 | |||||
Research Partner | 31 May–3 Jun 2024 | 1,073 | 32.1 20 |
9.0 5 |
31.5 19 |
6.5 4 |
9.4 5 |
2.9 0 |
0.1 0 |
8.5 | 0.6 | |||||
CBOS | 20 May–2 Jun 2024 | 1,038 | 29 | 12 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 2 | |||||
United Surveys / WP.pl | 24–26 May 2024 | 1,000 | 30.8 | 10.8 | 32.4 | 7.8 | 11.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 5.9 | 1.6 | ||||
IPSOS / TVP | 22–25 May 2024 | 1,000 | 30 | 9 | 29 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | ||||
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 20 May 2024[cu] | – | 30.0 | 10.1 | 30.8 | 8.1 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 10.1 | 0.8 | |||||
Opinia24 | 13–14 May 2024 | 1,000 | 29 | 8 | 31 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 2 | ||||||
United Surveys / DGP, RMF | 10–12 May 2024 | 1,000 | 32.7 19 |
12.6 7 |
30.3 17 |
9.6 5 |
8.6 5 |
0.9 0 |
0.0[205] 0 |
0.2 0 |
5.1 | 2.4 | ||||
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM | 26 Apr–9 May 2024 | 1,096 | 27 | 9 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 1 | |||||
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 7–8 May 2024 | 1,000 | 29.3 | 12.1 | 28.3 | 9.7 | 9.9 | 1.5 | 9.2 | 1.0 | ||||||
Opinia24 / TOK FM | 6–8 May 2024 | 1,001 | 30.6 | 7.7 | 30.8 | 9.0 | 8.3 | 2.7 | 10.9 | 0.2 | ||||||
29 Apr 2024 | Confederation announces There is One Poland candidates on their lists.[206] | |||||||||||||||
OGB | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 804 | 32.66 18 |
13.81 7 |
33.21 18 |
5.57 3 |
12.30 7 |
2.45 0 |
0.55 | |||||||
Ipsos / Euronews | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 29.2 | 16.5 | 31.3 | 8.4 | 13.9 | 2.1 | ||||||||
Opinia24 / TOK FM | 26–28 Feb 2024 | 1,002 | 22 | 11 | 31 | 11 | 10 | 3[cv] | 11 | 9 | ||||||
Opinia24 / More In Common Polska | 2–13 Feb 2024 | 2,027 | 29.0 | 14.0 | 33.5 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 4.5 | ||||||
Portland Communications | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 632 | 29 | 16 | 35 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 6 | |||||||
Parliamentary election | 15 Oct 2023 | 21,596,674[cw] | 35.38 | 14.40 | 30.70 | 8.61 | 7.16 | 1.63 | 1.86 | – | 0.28 | 4.68 | ||||
Parliamentary election | 13 Oct 2019 | 18,678,457[cx] | 43.59 | 8.55 | 27.40 | 12.56 | 6.81 | – | 0.78 | – | 0.31 | 16.19 | ||||
European election | 26 May 2019 | 13,647,311[cy] | 45.38 27 |
3.69 0 |
38.47 22 |
6.06 3 |
1.24 0 |
4.55 0 |
– | – | 0.06 | 0.54 | 6.91 | |||
Portugal
[edit]Exit poll
Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | O | Lead | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S&D | EPP | EPP | NI | PfE | Left | Left | G/EFA | G/EFA | Renew | ||||||
2024 EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | — | 36.6 | 32.1 8 |
31.1 7 |
9.8 2 |
4.3 1 |
4.1 1 |
1.2 0 |
3.8 0 |
9.1 2 |
4.5 0 |
1.0 | ||
CESOP–UCP | 9 Jun 2024 | 14,185 | 37–40 | 28–34 6/8 |
28–33 6/8 |
8–12 2/3 |
3–5 0/1 |
3–5 0/1 |
1–2 0 |
3–5 0/1 |
8–12 2/3 |
— | 0.5 | ||
ICS/ISCTE–GfK/Metris | 9 Jun 2024 | 15,839 | 36.7 | 29.2–33.6 7/8 |
28.4–32.8 7/8 |
7.5–10.9 2/3 |
2.8–5.8 0/1 |
2.8–5.8 0/1 |
0.4–2.0 0 |
2.9–5.9 0/1 |
8.1–11.5 2/3 |
3.3–6.3 0 |
0.8 | ||
Pitagórica | 9 Jun 2024 | 24,619 | 35.5–41.5 | 27.7–33.7 6/8 |
26.0–32.0 6/8 |
6.6–12.6 2/3 |
3.0–7.0 0/1 |
2.0–6.0 0/1 |
0.7–2.7 0 |
2.5–6.5 0/1 |
8.3–12.3 2/3 |
— | 1.7 | ||
Intercampus | 9 Jun 2024 | 19,502 | 38–42 | 27.2–33.2 6/8 |
26.9–32.9 6/8 |
7.5–11.5 2/3 |
3.1–6.1 0/1 |
2.3–5.3 0/1 |
0.3–2.3 0 |
3.0–6.0 0/1 |
8.3–12.3 2/3 |
2.8–8.8 0 |
0.3 | ||
Intercampus[cz] | 29 May–4 Jun 2024 | 604 | ? | 27.5 7 |
28.3 7 |
13.7 3 |
6.6 1 |
2.9 0 |
3.5 0 |
5.1 1 |
10.4 2 |
2.0 0 |
0.8 | ||
CESOP–UCP | 27 May–3 Jun 2024 | 1,552 | ? | 33 7/9 |
31 6/8 |
12 2/4 |
4 0/1 |
4 0/1 |
1 0 |
4 0/1 |
8 1/2 |
3 0 |
2 | ||
Aximage | 17–22 May 2024 | 801 | 55.3 | 30.6 7/8 |
26.6 6 |
15.5 4 |
6.3 1 |
3.5 0 |
1.6 0 |
5.2 1 |
7.5 1/2 |
3.2 0 |
4.0 | ||
Intercampus[da] | 12–20 May 2024 | 609 | ? | 23.1 5 |
22.0 5 |
18.1 4 |
9.2 2 |
3.7 0 |
4.0 1 |
6.9 1 |
12.0 3 |
1.0 0 |
1.1 | ||
CESOP–UCP | 13–18 May 2024 | 965 | ? | 30 6/8 |
31 6/8 |
15 3/4 |
5 1 |
5 1 |
1 0 |
5 1 |
6 1/2 |
2 0 |
1 | ||
Duplimétrica | 6–13 May 2024 | 800 | ? | 34 9 |
32 8 |
10 2 |
3 0 |
3 0 |
1 0 |
3 0 |
9 2 |
5 0 |
2 | ||
ICS/ISCTE | 27 Apr–8 May 2024 | 1,001 | ? | 32 8 |
26 6 |
18 4 |
5 1 |
4 1 |
2 0 |
2 0 |
4 1 |
7 0 |
6 | ||
Intercampus[db] | 18–23 Apr 2024 | 605 | ? | 33.4 8 |
28.2 7 |
13.0 3 |
7.4 1 |
3.3 0 |
1.3 0 |
5.8 1 |
4.4 1 |
3.3 0 |
5.2 | ||
Aximage | 12–16 Apr 2024 | 805 | 58.0 | 31.3 7/8 |
24.8 6 |
18.4 4 |
5.9 1 |
4.1 1 |
1.8 0 |
3.6 0/1 |
5.8 1 |
4.3 0 |
6.5 | ||
2024 legislative elections | 10 Mar 2024 | — | 59.8 | 28.0 (7) |
28.8 (7) |
18.1 (5) |
4.4 (1) |
3.2 (0) |
1.9 (0) |
3.2 (0) |
4.9 (1) |
7.5 (0) |
0.8 | ||
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | ? | 29.6 8 |
31.0 8 |
3.4 0 |
– | 14.2 3 |
4.4 1 |
2.3 0 |
2.1 0 |
3.6 0 |
4.5 1 |
4.9 0 |
1.4 |
2022 legislative elections | 30 Jan 2022 | — | 51.5 | 41.4 (10) |
29.1 (7) |
1.6 (0) |
0.0 (0) |
7.2 (1) |
4.4 (1) |
4.3 (1) |
1.6 (0) |
1.3 (0) |
4.9 (1) |
4.7 (0) |
12.3 |
2019 legislative elections | 6 Oct 2019 | — | 48.6 | 36.3 (10) |
27.8 (7) |
4.2 (1) |
0.2 (0) |
1.3 (0) |
9.5 (2) |
6.3 (1) |
3.3 (0) |
1.1 (0) |
1.3 (0) |
8.8 (0) |
8.5 |
2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | — | 30.7 | 33.4 9 |
21.9 6 |
6.2 1 |
1.5 0 |
9.8 2 |
6.9 2 |
5.1 1 |
1.8 0 |
0.9 0 |
12.5 0 |
11.5 | |
Romania
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
CNR | PUSL S&D |
AUR+ | ADU | PRO S&D |
UDMR EPP |
AER | AD ECR |
S.O.S. NI |
REPER Renew |
Others | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PNL EPP |
PSD S&D |
PNȚCD ECR |
AUR ECR |
FD EPP |
PMP EPP |
USR Renew |
PER NI |
PV G/EFA | |||||||||||
INSCOP | 20 - 25 May 2024 | 1,100 | 43.7 | 1.3 | 17.5 | 14.1 | — | 6.0 | — | — | — | 4.4 | 1.3 | 11.7[207] | 26.2 | ||||
Sociopol | 17–22 May 2024 | 1,002 | 47 | 2 | — | 21 | 15 | — | 5 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4[dc] | 24 | |||
CSPS | 7–15 May 2024 | 2,613 | 27 | — | — | 34 | 25 | — | 7 | — | — | — | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
INSCOP | 12–20 April 2024 | 1,100 | 46.6 | 1.5 | — | 16.7 | 13.8 | 2.7 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 2.0 | — | 4.5 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 29.9 | |||
CSPS | 1-7 April 2024 | 4,085 | 27.2 | — | — | 30.2 | 23.4 | — | 4.8 | — | — | — | 2.8 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 3 | |||
Sociopol | 26 March-2 April 2024 | 1,002 | 47 | 5 | — | 23 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 2 | — | — | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | |||
CURS | 19-28 March 2024 | 1,067 | 53 | 4 | — | 14 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 5 | 39 | |||
CSPS | 17-29 March 2024 | 2,088 | 37 | — | — | 27 | 21 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 10 | |||
Euractiv | March 2024 | — | 42 | — | — | 25 | 14 | 2 | 5 | — | — | — | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 | |||
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 970 | 42.4 | 3.0 | — | 20.7 | 14.2 | 5.1 | 3.4 | — | — | — | 5.9 | — | 5.2 | 21.7 | |||
INSCOP | 22-29 Feb 2024 | 1,100 | 43.7 | — | — | 20.6 | 13.7 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 3.4 | — | 6.4 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 23.1 | ||||
Sociopol | Feb 2024 | – | 42 | 1 | — | 28 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1[dd] | 14 | |||
17 | 31 | 1 | — | 24 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1[de] | 14 | |||||
INSOMAR | Feb 2024 | 1,030 | 40.8 | 1.5 | — | 30.5 | 11.5 | 1.7 | 4.5 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 7.5[df] | 10.3 | |||
Avangarde | 19–20 Feb 2024 | 950 | 20 | 31 | — | — | 18 | 15 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 8 | 2 | 1 | 11 | ||
CURS | 3–14 Feb 2024 | 1,067 | 20 | 31 | 2 | — | 20 | 13 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 4[dg] | 11 | ||
60m.ro | 20 Jan 2024 | 927 | 16 | 28 | — | — | 30 | 17 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | 2 | ||
INSCOP | 16-24 Jan 2024 | 1,100 | 18.8 | 29.5 | — | — | 18.4 | 12.9 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 3.5 | — | 6.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 10.7 | |||
CURS | 15–27 Jan 2024 | 1,082 | 19 | 30 | 3 | — | 21 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 4 | 9 | ||
Avangarde | 8-22 Jan 2024 | 1,150 | 21 | 31 | — | — | 19 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 8 | 1 | 1 | 10 | ||
INSOMAR | Jan 2024 | 1,050 | 21 | 25 | — | — | 22 | — | 2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 9[dh] | 3 |
Sociopol | Jan 2024 | – | 17 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1[di] | 6 | ||
CIRA | Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 20 | 30 | — | — | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
CURS | 26–30 Dec 2023 | 852 | 19 | 31 | 4 | — | 19 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 2 | 12 |
Mercury Research | 30 Oct–6 Nov 2023 | 1,227 | 16 | 26 | 0 | — | 19 | 22 | — | 3 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | 5 | 4 | ||
16 | 28 | 1 | — | 19 | 2 | 4 | 15 | — | 3 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | 3 | 9 | |||
Avangarde | 20–28 Sep 2023 | 994 | 21 | 31 | — | — | 19 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 5 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 1 | 10 |
LARICS | 11–25 Sep 2023 | 1,003 | 22.9 | 31.5 | 1.0 | — | 14.6 | — | 4.4 | 15.2 | — | 3.2 | — | — | — | 4.7 | — | 2.4 | 8.6 |
INSOMAR | 28–31 Aug 2023 | 1,030 | 15 | 25 | 2 | — | 27 | 3 | 3 | 7 | — | 4 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 10 | 2 |
2020 parliamentary election | 6 Dec 2020 | 6.058.625 | 25.2 | 28.9 | 1.0 | — | 9.1 | — | 4.9 | 15.4 | 4.1 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | — | — | 4.1 | 3.7 |
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | 9.069.822 | 27.0 | 22.5 | — | — | 5.8 | 22.4 | 6.4 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.6 | 4.5 |
Slovenia
[edit]Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Publisher(s) | Sample size | SDS EPP |
SLS (Gregorčič) EPP |
ZS NI |
SD S&D |
NSi EPP |
Levica Left |
DeSUS EDP |
DD NI |
GS Renew |
Resni.ca NI |
PPS G/EFA |
Vesna (Prebilič) G/EFA |
NOT NI |
Logar NI |
Rupar NI |
Others | None | Und. | Abst. | Lead | Source |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3–6 Jun 2024 | Ninamedia | Dnevnik | 629 | 25.1 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 10.3 | 6.8 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 19.5 | 5.4 | – | 13.1 | 2.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.6 | [208] | |
3–5 Jun 2024 | Mediana | Delo | 734 | 20.5 3 |
6.0 0 |
1.5 0 |
6.5 1 |
7.8 1 |
4.4 0 |
1.9 0 |
18.4 3 |
3.9 0 |
– | 7.7 1 |
1.5 0 |
– | – | 19.9 | 2.1 | [209] | ||||
21–24 May 2024 | Mediana | POPTV | 713 | 17.9 4 |
3.0 0 |
2.6 0 |
9.1 1 |
6.0 1 |
4.1 0 |
1.4 0 |
12.8 2 |
5.5 0 |
– | 8.1 1 |
0.9 0 |
– | – | 0.1 0 |
4.0 | 14.7 | 6.2 | 5.1 | [210] | |
13–16 May 2024 | Ninamedia | Dnevnik | 1,000 | 27.4 3 |
4.4 0 |
3.6 0 |
11.5 1 |
7.9 1 |
5.7 0 |
2.8 0 |
17.6 2 |
3.2 0 |
– | 14.0 1 |
1.7 0 |
– | – | – | – | – | – | 9.8 | [211] | |
23–25 Apr 2024 | Mediana | POPTV | 723 | 21.7 | 3.3 | – | 5.7 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 15.5 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 7.1 | 0.9 | – | – | 0.2 | 4.3 | 14.7 | 4.2 | 6.2 | [212] | |
5–7 Mar 2024 | Mediana | Delo | 723 | 20.7 | 2.4 | – | 6.4 | 6.2 | 4.5 | – | – | 13.0 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 3.3 | – | – | 2.7 | 1.7 | 6.4 | 18.6 | 4.3 | 7.7 | [213] |
4–7 Dec 2023 | Ninamedia | – | 700 | 14.6 | 3.7 | – | 11.4 | 6.3 | 4.0 | – | – | 11.6 | – | – | 8.3 | – | 12.4 | 0.9 | – | – | 19.7 | 7.1 | 2.2 | [214] |
24 April 2022 | 2022 parliamentary election | – | – | 23.48 | 3.41 | 6.69 | 6.86 | 4.46 | 0.66 | 1.70 | 40.23[dj] | 2.86 | 1.63 | 1.35 | — | — | — | 6.13 | (29.04) | 16.75 | ||||
26 May 2019 | 2019 election | – | – | 26.25 | 2.22 | 18.66 | 11.12 | 6.43 | 5.67 | 0.53 | 19.46[dk] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9.67 | (71.11) | 6.79 |
Slovakia
[edit]Polling firm | Date | Sample size |
PS Renew |
Democrats EPP |
Smer NI |
ĽSNS NI |
Život NI |
SNS ID |
KDH EPP |
SASKA ECR |
KÚ ECR |
OĽaNO EPP |
ZĽ EPP |
MA EPP |
SR ID |
Hlas NI |
Republika NI |
Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ipsos[215] | 30 May–4 Jun 2024 | 1,225 | 21.9 4 |
5.2 1 |
24.6 4 |
1.0 0 |
3.2 0 |
6.3 1 |
5.7 1 |
1.5 0 |
4.4 0 |
5.1 1 |
— | 11.2 2 |
8.7 1 |
1.2[dl] | 2.7 | ||
NMS[216] | 30 May–3 Jun 2024 | 1,020 | 23.2 5 |
3.3 0 |
22.1 4 |
0.7 0 |
3.1 0 |
5.0 1 |
6.4 1 |
1.2 0 |
3.2 0 |
3.7 0 |
— | 11.9 2 |
11.0 2 |
5.1 | 1.1 | ||
Median[217] | 21–27 May 2024 | 640 | 20.6 | 4.9 | 22.5 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 7.2 | 7.0 | — | 6.6 | 3.3 | — | 14.0 | 9.4 | 0.8 | 1.9 | ||
Ipsos[218] | 14–21 May 2024 | 414 | 23.5 4 |
3.4 0 |
24.4 4 |
1.7 0 |
4.0 0 |
7.1 1 |
5.7 1 |
— | 5.3 1 |
4.8 0 |
— | 10.3 2 |
9.0 2 |
0.8 | 0.9 | ||
NMS[219] | 9–13 May 2024 | 1,020 | 23.4 5 |
3.5 0 |
17.3 4 |
0.9 0 |
3.0 0 |
4.8 0 |
7.4 1 |
1.6 0 |
4.8 0 |
3.1 0 |
— | 11.2 2 |
12.6 3 |
6.3[dm] | 6.1 | ||
AKO[220] | 7–14 May 2024 | 1,000 | 25.6 4 |
3.4 0 |
17.6 3 |
1.0 0 |
5.2 1 |
7.0 1 |
6.7 1 |
0.6 0 |
2.7 0 |
3.7 0 |
— | 14.4 3 |
8.5 2 |
3.6 | 8.0 | ||
NMS[221] | 18–24 April 2024 | 1,010 | 24.3 5 |
4.4 0 |
19.8 4 |
0.7 0 |
3.2 0 |
4.6 0 |
7.0 1 |
0.8 0 |
3.6 0 |
2.9 0 |
— | 12.0 3 |
10.7 2 |
5.8[dn] | 4.5 | ||
AKO[222] | 9–16 April 2024 | 1,000 | 27.2 5 |
2.7 0 |
15.2 3 |
1.0 0 |
4.1 0 |
6.7 1 |
6.5 1 |
0.8 0 |
3.2 0 |
5.0 1 |
— | 14.2 3 |
7.5 1 |
5.9[do] | 12.0 | ||
Ipsos[223] | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 1,502 | 24.6 5 |
2.3 0 |
26.7 5 |
2.1 0 |
4.8 0 |
8.2 2 |
4.6 0 |
4.9 0 |
2.4 0 |
— | 11.8 2 |
6.4 1 |
1.2 | 2.1 | |||
2023 elections | 30 Sep 2023 | 2,967,896 | 17.96 | 2.21 | 22.95 | 0.84 | 5.63 | 6.82 | 6.32 | 8.90 | 4.39 | 2.93 | 14.70 | 4.75 | 1.60 | 4.99 | |||
2020 elections | 29 Feb 2020 | 2,881,511 | 6.97 | 18.29 | 7.97 | 3.16 | 4.65 | 6.22 | 25.03 | 5.77 | 3.91 | 8.24 | — | — | 9.34 | 6.74 | |||
2019 elections | 25 May 2019 | 985,680 | 20.11 4 |
15.72 3 |
12.07 2 |
2.07 0 |
4.09 0 |
9.70 2 |
9.62 2 |
3.85 0 |
5.26 1 |
— | 4.96 0 |
3.23 0 |
— | — | 9.32 | 4.29 |
Spain
[edit]- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | AR | SALF | Lead | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | — | 49.2 | 30.2 20 |
34.2 22 |
0.7 0 |
3.3 2 |
9.6 6 |
4.9 3 |
2.5 1 |
1.6 1 |
[dp] | 0.8 0 |
4.7 3 |
4.6 3 |
4.0 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 1] | 30 Apr–9 Jun 2024 | 4,612 | ? | 28.7 19/20 |
34.5 23/25 |
1.0 0 |
4.2 2/3 |
10.5 6/7 |
4.2 2/3 |
2.3 1 |
1.4 0/1 |
[dp] | – | 6.3 3/4 |
2.9 1/2 |
5.8 |
Sigma Dos/RTVE–FORTA[p 2] | 24 May–8 Jun 2024 | 12,000 | ? | 30.2 20/22 |
32.4 21/23 |
1.0 0 |
4.4 2/3 |
10.4 6/7 |
4.3 2/3 |
2.1 1 |
1.6 1 |
[dp] | – | 6.3 3/4 |
3.9 2/3 |
2.2 |
40dB/Prisa[p 3] | 6 Jun 2024 | 800 | ? | 29.7 20 |
32.4 22 |
? 0 |
4.0 2/3 |
10.3 6/7 |
4.3 2/3 |
2.4 1 |
1.6 0/1 |
[dp] | – | 6.0 3/4 |
3.1 1/2 |
2.7 |
Metroscopia[p 4] | 3–6 Jun 2024 | 2,000 | ? | 30.1 20/21 |
32.6 22/23 |
0.4 0 |
4.9 3 |
10.1 6/7 |
4.5 3 |
2.0 1 |
1.8 1 |
[dp] | – | 5.4 3/4 |
3.6 2 |
2.5 |
KeyData/Público[p 5] | 3 Jun 2024 | ? | 51.5 | 30.0 20 |
33.9 23 |
1.0 0 |
3.7 2 |
9.9 6 |
4.4 3 |
2.4 1 |
1.7 1 |
[dp] | – | 6.1 4 |
2.8 1 |
3.9 |
Data10/OKDiario[p 6] | 2–3 Jun 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 30.2 20 |
34.4 23 |
1.0 0 |
3.9 2 |
10.3 7 |
4.4 3 |
2.5 1 |
1.6 1 |
[dp] | – | 6.2 4 |
– | 4.2 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 7] | 1–3 Jun 2024 | 1,422 | ? | 30.2 21 |
32.9 23 |
0.8 0 |
3.6 2 |
9.5 6 |
4.2 2 |
2.5 1 |
1.7 1 |
[dp] | 1.2 0 |
5.9 4 |
2.5 1 |
2.7 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 8] | 27 May–3 Jun 2024 | 3,535 | ? | 30.3 20/21 |
33.2 22/23 |
? 0 |
4.1 2/3 |
10.5 6/7 |
4.3 2/3 |
1.9 1 |
1.4 0/1 |
[dp] | – | 6.0 4 |
3.4 2 |
2.9 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 9] | 30 May–2 Jun 2024 | 630 | ? | 29.3 20 |
34.1 23 |
0.9 0 |
3.7 2 |
10.1 7 |
3.8 2 |
2.8 1 |
1.6 1 |
[dp] | – | 6.3 4 |
2.7 1 |
4.8 |
Cluster17/Agenda Pública[p 10] | 29–31 May 2024 | 2,060 | ? | 29.5 20/21 |
33.8 22/23 |
? 0 |
3.5 2 |
10.3 6/7 |
4.5 3 |
2.6 1 |
1.7 1 |
[dp] | – | 5.9 3/4 |
2.3 1 |
4.3 |
Target Point/El Debate[p 11] | 29–31 May 2024 | 1,003 | ? | 31.0 20/21 |
33.5 22/23 |
? 0 |
3.9 2 |
8.9 5/6 |
? 3 |
2.4 1 |
? 1 |
[dp] | – | 6.0 4 |
2.9 1/2 |
2.5 |
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[p 12] | 27–31 May 2024 | 630 | ? | 31.5 21/22 |
32.0 21/22 |
0.9 0 |
4.4 2/3 |
8.1 5/6 |
5.0 3 |
2.0 1 |
1.8 1 |
[dp] | – | 5.8 3/4 |
3.7 1/2 |
0.5 |
NC Report/La Razón[p 13] | 27–31 May 2024 | 1,000 | 50.8 | 29.2 20 |
35.0 23/24 |
? 0 |
3.6 2 |
9.9 6/7 |
4.9 3 |
2.8 1 |
1.9 1 |
[dp] | – | 6.4 4 |
2.2 1 |
5.8 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 14] | 25–31 May 2024 | 3,109 | ? | 30.0 20 |
33.5 23 |
0.8 0 |
3.3 2 |
9.2 6 |
4.5 3 |
2.5 1 |
2.0 1 |
[dp] | 1.3 0 |
6.3 4 |
2.0 1 |
3.5 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 15] | 24–31 May 2024 | 3,948 | ? | 29.7 19/21 |
32.7 21/23 |
0.8 0 |
4.0 2/3 |
11.0 6/7 |
3.8 2 |
1.9 1 |
1.3 0/1 |
[dp] | – | 6.9 4/5 |
3.5 2 |
3.0 |
Hamalgama Métrica/VozPópuli[p 16] | 23–31 May 2024 | 1,000 | ? | 29.6 20 |
35.1 23 |
0.9 0 |
3.5 2 |
10.2 6 |
4.5 3 |
2.5 1 |
? 1 |
[dp] | – | 6.3 4 |
2.0 1 |
5.5 |
40dB/Prisa[p 17][p 18] | 28–30 May 2024 | 2,000 | ? | 30.1 20/21 |
33.2 22/23 |
1.0 0 |
4.0 2/3 |
10.7 7 |
4.8 3 |
2.1 1 |
1.4 0/1 |
[dp] | – | 5.6 3/4 |
2.5 1/2 |
3.1 |
GAD3/ABC[p 19] | 27–30 May 2024 | 1,005 | ? | 29.8 20 |
34.9 23/24 |
? 0 |
3.5 2 |
9.7 6 |
4.8 3 |
2.4 1 |
1.9 1 |
[dp] | – | 5.9 3/4 |
2.4 1 |
5.1 |
CIS[p 20][p 21] | 27–30 May 2024 | 7,491 | ? | 31.6–33.2 | 28.3– 30.5 |
0.7– 1.2 |
3.6– 3.9 |
9.9– 11.0 |
3.7– 4.1 |
1.5– 1.6 |
1.0– 1.3 |
[dp] | – | 5.4– 7.1 |
4.9– 5.7 |
2.7– 3.3 |
Metroscopia[p 22] | 28–29 May 2024 | 1,000 | 50 | 29.5 20/21 |
33.6 22/23 |
0.8 0 |
3.6 2 |
10.1 6/7 |
4.7 3/4 |
2.3 1 |
1.8 1 |
[dp] | – | 5.9 3/4 |
3.1 2 |
4.1 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 23] | 23–29 May 2024 | 1,005 | ? | 30.1 20 |
34.5 24 |
0.7 0 |
3.8 2 |
9.9 6 |
4.0 2 |
2.3 1 |
2.1 1 |
[dp] | – | 6.4 4 |
2.6 1 |
4.4 |
DYM/Henneo[p 24] | 23–28 May 2024 | 1,004 | ? | 30.8 20/21 |
34.4 23 |
1.3 0 |
3.3 2 |
10.4 6/7 |
4.2 2/3 |
2.4 1 |
1.2 1 |
[dp] | 1.5 0/1 |
5.9 4 |
2.8 1 |
3.6 |
Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero[p 25][p 26] | 23–28 May 2024 | 1,100 | 49.7 | 29.3 20 |
34.9 23 |
1.0 0 |
3.6 2 |
9.9 6 |
4.8 3 |
2.6 1 |
1.8 1 |
[dp] | 1.1 0 |
6.3 4 |
1.9 1 |
5.6 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 27] | 25–26 May 2024 | 503 | ? | 29.4 20 |
34.8 24 |
1.4 0 |
3.3 2 |
10.7 7 |
4.5 2 |
2.7 1 |
1.4 0 |
[dp] | – | 6.3 4 |
2.0 1 |
5.4 |
KeyData/Público[p 28] | 25 May 2024 | ? | 54.0 | 28.7 19 |
35.8 24 |
1.0 0 |
3.1 2 |
10.6 7 |
4.6 3 |
2.3 1 |
1.5 0 |
[dp] | – | 7.4 4 |
2.7 1 |
7.1 |
Data10/OKDiario[p 29] | 22–24 May 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 29.6 20 |
35.4 24 |
0.9 0 |
2.9 1 |
10.4 7 |
4.7 3 |
2.5 1 |
1.7 1 |
[dp] | – | 6.4 4 |
– | 5.8 |
GAD3/Mediaset[p 30] | 21–24 May 2024 | 1,002 | ? | 31.4 21 |
34.5 23 |
0.7 0 |
3.0 2 |
9.3 6 |
4.5 3 |
2.4 1 |
1.5 1 |
[dp] | – | 5.7 3 |
2.7 1 |
3.1 |
NC Report/La Razón[p 31] | 20–24 May 2024 | 1,000 | 54.3 | 27.9 19 |
36.1 24/25 |
? 0 |
3.0 2 |
9.0 6 |
5.2 3 |
2.9 1/2 |
2.2 1 |
[dp] | – | 6.8 4 |
1.2 0 |
8.2 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 32] | 20–24 May 2024 | 2,137 | ? | 30.2 19/20 |
35.1 24/25 |
0.8 0 |
3.6 2 |
9.7 6/7 |
3.6 2 |
2.4 1 |
1.3 0/1 |
[dp] | – | 7.0 4/5 |
2.6 1/2 |
4.9 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 33] | 18–24 May 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 29.1 20 |
33.7 23 |
1.0 0 |
3.1 2 |
8.7 6 |
5.3 3 |
2.7 1 |
2.1 1 |
[dp] | 1.3 0 |
5.8 4 |
1.8 1 |
4.6 |
Cluster17/Agenda Pública[p 34] | 21–23 May 2024 | 1,640 | ? | 28.7 19/20 |
34.1 23/24 |
? 0 |
3.4 2 |
9.6 6 |
4.5 3 |
2.6 1 |
1.9 1 |
[dp] | 1.3 0/1 |
6.7 4 |
2.2 1 |
5.4 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 35] | 17–19 May 2024 | 519 | ? | 28.8 19 |
36.9 25 |
0.9 0 |
3.2 2 |
10.4 7 |
5.1 3 |
2.4 1 |
1.3 0 |
[dp] | – | 7.0 4 |
0.8 0 |
8.1 |
NC Report/La Razón[p 36] | 13–17 May 2024 | 1,000 | 58.9 | 27.2 18/19 |
36.3 24/25 |
? 0 |
2.8 1/2 |
9.4 6 |
4.9 3 |
2.7 1 |
2.1 1 |
[dp] | – | 7.7 5 |
1.4 0/1 |
9.1 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 37] | 12–17 May 2024 | 1,250 | ? | 28.6 20 |
34.3 25 |
0.9 0 |
2.5 1 |
7.7 5 |
5.4 3 |
4.0 2 |
2.4 1 |
[dp] | 1.3 0 |
5.9 4 |
1.1 0 |
5.7 |
CIS (Logoslab)[dq][p 38] | 8–17 May 2024 | 6,434 | ? | 30.5 20/21 |
33.0 21/22 |
1.5 0/1 |
? 2/3 |
? 7 |
? 2/3 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
[dp] | – | ? 3/4 |
? 2 |
2.5 |
CIS[p 39][p 40] | ? | 32.8– 35.2 21/24 |
27.9– 30.2 18/20 |
1.8– 2.6 1/2 |
4.4– 5.4 2/3 |
8.6– 10.1 5/6 |
3.9– 5.0 2/3 |
2.2– 3.0 1/2 |
1.1– 1.6 0/1 |
[dp] | – | 5.9– 7.2 4 |
2.9– 3.8 1/2 |
4.9– 5.0 | ||
Cluster17/Agenda Pública[p 41] | 14–16 May 2024 | 1,511 | ? | 26.4 17/18 |
35.4 24 |
1.2 0/1 |
3.4 2 |
8.8 6 |
5.6 3 |
2.6 1 |
2.0 1 |
[dp] | 1.4 0/1 |
6.6 4 |
3.8 2 |
9.0 |
40dB/Prisa[p 42][p 43] | 10–13 May 2024 | 2,000 | ? | 30.1 20/21 |
33.5 22/23 |
1.1 0 |
4.0 2/3 |
12.6 8/9 |
4.6 3 |
2.2 1 |
1.9 1 |
[dp] | – | 5.7 3/4 |
– | 3.4 |
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[p 44][p 45] | 1–9 May 2024 | 1,131 | ? | 29.9 20 |
36.4 24 |
? 0 |
2.0 1 |
10.9 7 |
4.8 3 |
2.2 1 |
1.1 0 |
[dp] | – | 8.0 5 |
– | 6.5 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 46] | 30 Apr–4 May 2024 | 1,279 | ? | 26.7 18 |
39.2 26 |
1.2 0 |
3.0 2 |
10.3 7 |
5.4 3 |
2.3 1 |
1.4 1 |
[dp] | – | 6.4 4 |
0.3 0 |
12.5 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 47] | 24–30 Apr 2024 | 2,120 | ? | 28.9 19 |
35.7 23 |
0.8 0 |
3.1 2 |
11.9 7 |
4.1 2 |
2.0 1 |
1.8 1 |
[dp] | – | 9.5 6 |
– | 6.8 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 48] | 9–12 Apr 2024 | 2,550 | ? | 26.3 17 |
38.1 25 |
1.7 1 |
2.4 1 |
10.9 7 |
6.1 4 |
2.6 1 |
1.8 1 |
[dp] | – | 6.7 4 |
– | 11.8 |
GAD3/Mediaset[p 49] | 18–21 Mar 2024 | 1,017 | ? | 26.5 18/19 |
37.8 25/26 |
0.3 0 |
3.5 2 |
9.2 6 |
4.4 3 |
2.7 1 |
2.4 1 |
[dp] | – | 7.2 4 |
– | 11.3 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 50] | 5–9 Mar 2024 | 2,900 | ? | 24.5 16 |
40.1 26 |
0.9 0 |
1.9 1 |
10.6 7 |
4.9 3 |
3.0 2 |
1.2 0 |
[dp] | – | 9.3 6 |
– | 15.6 |
Ipsos/Euronews[p 51][p 52] | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | ? | 28.6 19 |
37.7 25 |
? 0 |
2.4 1 |
10.4 6 |
3.8 2 |
2.5 1 |
2.0 1 |
[dp] | – | 9.7 6 |
– | 9.1 |
GAD3/ABC[p 53] | 26–29 Feb 2024 | 1,005 | ? | 27.1 18 |
38.4 26 |
? 0 |
3.0 2 |
8.6 6 |
4.3 2 |
2.7 1 |
2.4 1 |
[dp] | – | 7.3 5 |
– | 11.3 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 54] | 5–9 Feb 2024 | 2,900 | ? | 28.1 18 |
38.3 25 |
? 0 |
1.0 0 |
11.7 7 |
3.2 2 |
3.4 2 |
1.5 1 |
[dp] | – | 10.2 6 |
– | 10.2 |
NC Report/La Razón[p 55] | 12–18 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 61.5 | 28.3 18 |
37.5 25 |
0.4 0 |
1.7 1 |
10.4 6 |
3.0 2 |
3.3 2 |
2.1 1 |
[dp] | – | 9.1 6 |
– | 9.2 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 56] | 25–31 Dec 2023 | 2,309 | ? | 28.5 19 |
37.1 24 |
1.1 0 |
3.3 2 |
11.0 7 |
3.2 2 |
4.4 2 |
1.3 0 |
[dp] | – | 8.8 5 |
– | 8.6 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 57] | 15–26 Dec 2023 | 2,992 | ? | 29.2 19 |
38.1 25 |
0.2 0 |
2.6 1 |
11.8 7 |
2.8 1 |
2.3 1 |
2.0 1 |
[dp] | – | 10.1 6 |
– | 8.9 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 58] | 20–24 Nov 2023 | 2,109 | ? | 29.2 19 |
36.8 25 |
1.1 0 |
2.0 1 |
10.2 6 |
4.2 2 |
5.1 3 |
1.3 0 |
[dp] | – | 8.0 5 |
– | 7.6 |
2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 66.6 | 31.7 (20) |
33.1 (21) |
– | [dp] | 12.4 (7) |
3.9 (2) |
1.7 (1) |
1.6 (1) |
[dp] | 0.7 (0) |
12.3 (7) |
– | 1.4 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 66.2 | 28.0 (18) |
20.8 (13) |
6.8 (4) |
12.9 (8) |
15.1 (10) |
5.3 (3) |
2.2 (1) |
2.8 (1) |
2.4 (1) |
0.9 (0) |
– | – | 7.2 |
2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | — | 60.7 | 32.9 21 |
20.2 13 |
12.2 8 |
10.1 6 |
6.2 4 |
5.6 3 |
4.5 3 |
2.8 1 |
1.3 0 |
1.3 0 |
– | – | 12.7 |
Voting preferences
[edit]The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | AR | SALF | Lead | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | — | 14.8 | 16.7 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | [dp] | 2.3 | 2.2 | — | 50.8 | 1.9 |
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[p 12] | 27–31 May 2024 | 630 | 24.3 | 21.6 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | [dp] | 3.5 | 2.8 | 18.8 | 10.6 | 2.7 |
40dB/Prisa[p 18] | 28–30 May 2024 | 2,000 | 24.8 | 19.8 | 1.6 | 4.6 | 10.9 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.2 | [dp] | 4.7 | 1.9 | 11.6 | 6.9 | 5.0 |
CIS[p 20] | 27–30 May 2024 | 7,491 | 25.0 | 20.8 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 8.2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | [dp] | 4.2 | 4.2 | 23.5 | 3.1 | 4.2 |
DYM/Henneo[p 59] | 23–28 May 2024 | 1,004 | 25.3 | 26.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 8.9 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.3 | [dp] | 2.1 | 3.3 | 13.6 | 4.9 | 1.6 |
CIS[p 39] | 8–17 May 2024 | 6,434 | 27.3 | 22.8 | 1.4 | 3.8 | 9.2 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | [dp] | 5.2 | 3.2 | 16.3 | 2.0 | 4.5 |
40dB/Prisa[p 43] | 10–13 May 2024 | 2,000 | 23.6 | 21.2 | 1.9 | 4.2 | 11.5 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 | [dp] | 4.1 | – | 12.9 | 8.1 | 2.4 |
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[p 44] | 1–9 May 2024 | 1,131 | 16.7 | 16.7 | – | 0.8 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.3 | [dp] | 4.2 | – | – | – | Tie |
CIS[p 60] | 9–13 Apr 2024 | 3,750 | 19.3 | 19.2 | – | 2.3 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | [dp] | 2.9 | 0.9 | 37.8 | 4.7 | 0.1 |
CIS[p 61] | 1–4 Apr 2024 | 4,032 | 22.4 | 23.4 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | [dp] | 5.3 | – | 25.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | — | 20.9 | 12.8 | 7.8 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 | – | – | — | 35.8 | 8.1 |
Victory preferences
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a European Parliament election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | AR | SALF | Other/ None |
Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CIS[p 20] | 27–30 May 2024 | 7,491 | 31.9 | 24.7 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 8.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 6.2 | 15.3 | 7.2 |
CIS[p 39] | 8–17 May 2024 | 6,434 | 32.4 | 25.4 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 10.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 5.0 | – | 7.6 | 10.1 | 7.0 |
Victory likelihood
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a European Parliament election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None |
Lead | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CIS[p 39] | 8–17 May 2024 | 6,434 | 34.5 | 40.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 23.0 | 5.9 |
Preferred candidate
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on candidate preferences.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care |
Lead | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ribera PSOE |
Monts. PP |
Cañas Cs |
Montero Podemos |
Buxadé Vox |
Galán Sumar | ||||||
40dB/Prisa[p 18] | 28–30 May 2024 | 2,000 | 23.5 | 18.2 | 1.7 | 8.9 | 11.3 | 3.8 | 26.9 | 5.6 | 5.3 |
CIS[p 39] | 8–17 May 2024 | 6,434 | 23.8 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 13.6 | 26.3 | 3.8 |
Sweden
[edit]Polling execution | Parties | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | V Left |
S S&D |
MP G/EFA |
C Renew |
L Renew |
M EPP |
KD EPP |
SD ECR |
Oth. | Lead |
Demoskop | 23 May–1 Jun 2024 | 3,222 | 10.0 2 |
25.2 6 |
11.3 3 |
5.7 1 |
3.1 0 |
18.0 4 |
5.5 1 |
18.6 4 |
2.7 0 |
6.6 |
Novus | 2–29 May 2024 | 2,325 | 10.0 2 |
29.4 7 |
11.0 2 |
4.7 1 |
5.1 1 |
15.5 4 |
3.8 0 |
19.1 4 |
1.3 0 |
10.3 |
Verian | 22–28 May 2024 | 1,000 | 9.5 2 |
25.1 6 |
10.6 2 |
4.9 1 |
4.7 1 |
17.2 4 |
5.4 1 |
19.6 4 |
3.1 0 |
5.5 |
Demoskop | 11–20 May 2024 | 2,994 | 8.7 2 |
27.5 7 |
9.8 2 |
4.6 1 |
2.8 0 |
18.5 4 |
3.9 0 |
19.9 5 |
4.3 0 |
7.6 |
Ipsos | 7–19 May 2024 | 1,646 | 7.6 2 |
29.6 7 |
10.8 3 |
3.6 0 |
4.7 1 |
19.1 4 |
3.9 0 |
17.8 4 |
2.9 0 |
10.5 |
Demoskop | 24 Apr–7 May 2024 | 3,970 | 8.7 2 |
28.5 6 |
9.2 2 |
4.6 1 |
3.2 0 |
17.3 4 |
4.4 1 |
19.9 5 |
4.2 0 |
8.6 |
Verian | 25–30 Apr 2024 | 1,900 | 8.8 2 |
29.7 7 |
9.5 2 |
4.5 1 |
3.7 0 |
18.3 4 |
4.2 1 |
17.2 4 |
4.2 0 |
11.4 |
Novus | 1–28 Apr 2024 | 2,311 | 8.5 2 |
31.1 8 |
10.3 2 |
3.6 0 |
3.8 0 |
17.7 4 |
3.5 0 |
18.8 5 |
2.6 0 |
12.3 |
Indikator Opinion | 28 Mar – 22 Apr 2024 | 6,943 | 8.1 2 |
32.3 8 |
9.7 2 |
4.6 1 |
3.3 0 |
19.0 4 |
2.3 0 |
18.6 4 |
2.1 0 |
12.9 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 1,003 | 9.6 2 |
30.4 6 |
8.3 2 |
7.0 1 |
4.7 1 |
16.4 4 |
4.5 1 |
17.5 4 |
1.5 0 |
12.9 |
Novus | 19 Feb – 3 Mar 2024 | 504 | 7.3 2 |
32.4 7 |
8.0 2 |
4.6 1 |
3.3 0 |
18.1 4 |
4.2 1 |
20.5 4 |
1.7 0 |
11.9 |
2022 general election | 11 Sep 2022 | – | 6.8 1 |
30.3 7 |
5.1 1 |
6.7 1 |
4.6 1 |
19.1 4 |
5.3 1 |
20.5 5 |
1.5 0 |
9.8 |
2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | – | 6.8 1 |
23.5 5 |
11.5 3 |
10.8 2 |
4.1 1 |
16.8 4 |
8.6 2 |
15.3 3 |
2.5 0 |
6.7 |
Notes
[edit]- ^ a b Groups all parties not represented in the European Parliament into a group or non-inscrits.
- ^ Follows Europe Elects's assignment of parties into groups.
- ^ a b Groups all parties not represented in the European Parliament into "others", unless it is a member of a political party at the European level.
- ^ PP–DB is an electoral alliance, including parties with different european affiliations. PP has expressed interest in joining Renew Europe,[130] while MEP Radan Kanev from DSB sits in the EPP Group and DaB! is considering applying for EPP membership.[131]
- ^ ITN, despite not being an official member yet, has announced its intention to join the ECR Group.[132]
- ^ Includes Solidary Bulgaria at 2.3, winning no seats
- ^ Includes, CENTER at 2% and Solidary Bulgaria at 1.7% , all winning no seats
- ^ Includes, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.1%, Left at 1.2%, BV at 1.2%, all winning no seats
- ^ Includes, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.5% winning no seats
- ^ Includes, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.3%, Levitsata! at 1.9%, and Bulgarian Rise at 1.2%, all winning no seats
- ^ Includes, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.2%, winning no seats
- ^ Includes BV and Levitsata!, both at 1.8% and winning no seats
- ^ Includes BV at 2.9% and Levitsata! at 2.2%, both winning no seats
- ^ Democratic Bulgaria only
- ^ HSU at 3.8%; all others under 3.5% each
- ^ Including Gen Z list at 2.1%, RF at 1.3%, HSU at 1.1%, and Ladislav Ilčić at 1.0%
- ^ Including HSU at 1.9%, The Gen Z list at 1.9% and Republika at 1.1%
- ^ with DP
- ^ with Trikolora
- ^ ODS 14.6%, KDU-ČSL 7.2%
- ^ with TOP 09
- ^ Included under Others.
- ^ Alliance with R&PS and Volt France
- ^ PRC <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
- ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
- ^ France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Association nationale des communiste <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
- ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
- ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, , Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%
- ^ PT <1%, Association nationale des communiste <1%, PRC <1%, The Nationalists <1%, Équinoxe <1%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <1%, EDE <1%, Démocratie représentative <1%, Défendre les enfants <1%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <1%, Rester libre <1%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <1%, Parti des citoyens européens <1%, Décidons nous-mêmes <1%, Changement citoyen <1%, La Ruche citoyenne <1%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <1%
- ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, , Parti des citoyens européens 0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%
- ^ PT <1%, Association nationale des communiste <1%, PRC <1%, The Nationalists <1%, Équinoxe <1%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <1%, EDE <1%, Démocratie représentative <1%, Défendre les enfants <1%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <1%, Rester libre <1%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <1%, Parti des citoyens européens <1%, Décidons nous-mêmes <1%, Changement citoyen <1%, La Ruche citoyenne <1%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <1%
- ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
- ^ , PT<0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
- ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, PT 0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
- ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
- ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
- ^ France Libre–Union de la Résistance 0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Association nationale des communiste <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
- ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
- ^ PT <1%, Association nationale des communiste <1%, PRC <1%, The Nationalists <1%, Équinoxe <1%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <1%, EDE <1%, Démocratie représentative <1%, Défendre les enfants <1%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <1%, Rester libre <1%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <1%, Parti des citoyens européens <1%, Décidons nous-mêmes <1%, Changement citoyen <1%, La Ruche citoyenne <1%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <1%
- ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, , Parti des citoyens européens 0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%
- ^ PRC 0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance 0.5%, Défendre les enfants 0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
- ^ PRC <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
- ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, PT 0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens 0.5%, Défendre les enfants 0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
- ^ The Nationalists <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
- ^ The Nationalists <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
- ^ Décidons nous-mêmes 0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens 0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc 0.5%, PT 0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Association nationale des communiste <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
- ^ , PT <1%, Association nationale des communiste <1%, PRC <1%, The Nationalists <1%, Équinoxe <1%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <1%, EDE <1%, Démocratie représentative <1%, Défendre les enfants <1%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <1%, Rester libre <1%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <1%, Parti des citoyens européens <1%, Décidons nous-mêmes <1%, Changement citoyen <1%, La Ruche citoyenne <1%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <1%
- ^ a b Mentré retires as of May 2
- ^ a b c d Dupont-Aignan retires as of March 26
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q PRG and Bernard Cazeneuve's The Convention
- ^ a b RE list led by Valérie Hayer, confirmed as candidate on February 29th
- ^ a b RE list led by Clément Beaune
- ^ a b RE list led by Julien Denormandie
- ^ a b c d e RE list led by Olivier Véran
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y RE list led by Stéphane Séjourné
- ^ RE list led by Bruno Le Maire
- ^ RE list led by Thierry Breton
- ^ LFI–PS list led by Segolène Royal
- ^ LFI list led by Segolène Royal
- ^ NUPES list led by Marie Toussaint (EELV)
- ^ NUPES list led by Manon Aubry (LFI)
- ^ NUPES list led by Léon Deffontaines (PCF)
- ^ NUPES list led by Olivier Faure (PS)
- ^ NUPES list led by LFI and EELV
- ^ a b NUPES list led by EELV
- ^ endorsed LO
- ^ with MEI and MdP
- ^ with PS
- ^ with EELV
- ^ incl. UDI with 2.50%
- ^ Die Partei has 2 seats, Tierschutz has one seat.
- ^ De facto banned, popular former XA member Ilias Kasidiaris supported Spartans for the 2023 Greek legislative election.
- ^ 49 votes below the 3% threshold.
- ^ Alongside Union of Centrists.
- ^ without leaders
- ^ with leaders
- ^ Polls before 12 March 2024 refer to it as People's Union (UP).
- ^ a b c d e f g Without leaders
- ^ a b c d e f g h With leaders
- ^ SVP 0.0%
- ^ PSI 0.8%
- ^ With party symbols
- ^ Combined results for Green Europe (EV) and The Left (LS) lists at the election
- ^ The figure for 'Others/Independents' (including Independents 4 Change candidates) is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.
- ^ Includes 'Others'.
- ^ a b c d e f Not specifically mentioned in the report.
- ^ Includes 21% for 'Independent' and 4% for 'Other Party'.
- ^ a b c Did not contest this election.
- ^ Latvian Russian Union: 6.3% (1); Centre Party: 0.5%
- ^ Parties which received less than 1% of the vote.
- ^ Coalition of Peace 1.5%, Lithuanian Green Party 1.4%, National Alliance 1.4%, People and Justice Union 0.9%, Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania 0.7%, Christian Union 0.2%, Lithuanian People's Party 0.2%, Lithuanian List 0.2%
- ^ a b Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
- ^ Sister newspaper of 'It-Torċa', a GWU-owned newspaper, closely aligned to the Labour Party.
- ^ Survey was candidate based, thus the quantity in 'Other' will definitely include parties listed here and might overflow 100%. Percentages brought about by combining candidate first-preference vote shares. Thus the lead percentage and winning party may not be realistic.
- ^ Sister newspaper of 'L-Orizzont', a GWU-owned newspaper, closely aligned to the Labour Party.
- ^ Combined result of Democratic Alternative and Democratic Party vote shares before party merger
- ^ As Alliance for Change
- ^ Publication date
- ^ Publication date
- ^ KORWiN – 1
- ^ Turnout: 74,38%
- ^ Turnout: 61,74%
- ^ Turnout: 45,69%
- ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (12.5%). With their inclusion results are: AD: 24.8%; AD: 24.1%; CHEGA: 12.0%; IL: 9.1%; BE: 5.8%; Livre: 4.5%; PAN: 3.1%; CDU: 2.5%; Others/Invalid: 1.8%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (3.7%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 22.2%; AD: 21.2%; CHEGA: 17.4%; IL: 11.6%; BE: 8.9%; Livre: 6.6%; PAN: 3.9%; CDU: 3.6%; Others/Invalid: 0.9%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (17.5%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 27.5%; AD: 23.2%; CHEGA: 10.7%; BE: 6.1%; Livre: 4.8%; IL: 3.6%; CDU: 2.7%; PAN: 1.1%; Others/Invalid: 2.7%.
- ^ Independents 4%, Greater Romania Party 0%, Socialist Romania 0%, Patriotic Party 0%, United Diaspora Party 0%
- ^ Independents 1%, Sovereign Romania Party 0%
- ^ Independents 1%, Sovereign Romania Party 0%
- ^ Romanian Sovereigntist Bloc (NI): 4.2%
- ^ Party of the Patriots: 2%
- ^ Romanian Sovereigntist Bloc (NI): 3%
- ^ Independents 2%, ALDE 0%, Sovereign Romania Party 0%
- ^ Compared with the 2022 results of GS + LMŠ and SAB which have both merged with GS
- ^ Compared with the 2019 results of LMŠ and SAB which have both merged with GS
- ^ Common Sense 0.7%
- ^ Common Sense 2.2, MySlovensko 0.8, KSS 0.7, SOS 0.5, Slovak PATRIOT 0.4, SDKÚ-DS 0.4, Socialisti.sk 0.3, SOSK 0.3, Volt 0.3, SRDCE 0.2, Piráti 0.2, SĽS 0.0
- ^ Common Sense 2.2, MySlovensko 0.6, Piráti 0.6, Slovak PATRIOT 0.6, SOS 0.5, SDKÚ-DS 0.4, Socialisti.sk 0.3, SOSK 0.2, SRDCE 0.2, Volt 0.1, KSS 0.1, SĽS 0.0%
- ^ Common Sense 1.5, SRDCE 1.2, SOSK 0.7, KSS 0.7, SDKÚ-DS 0.5, Piráti 0.5, MySlovensko 0.5, SĽS 0.3, SOS 0.1, Volt 0.1, Slovak PATRIOT 0.0, Socialisti.sk 0.0
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl Within Sumar.
- ^ Alternative projection based on raw CIS data.
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- ^ "Η μεγάλη δημοσκόπηση του ALPHA". Alpha TV (in Greek). 2024-03-07.
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- ^ "Δημοσκόπηση GPO για τα "Παραπολιτικά": Χωρίς αντίπαλο παραμένει η ΝΔ - Στις 22 μονάδες η διαφορά με το ΠΑΣΟΚ". Parapolitika (in Greek). 2024-03-04.
- ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Opinion Poll".
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- ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Interview για την POLITIC: Ο Μητσοτάκης "κρατά" τα ποσοστά της ΝΔ – "Οι βουλευτές να ψηφίσουν κατά συνείδηση για το γάμο των ομόφυλων ζευγαριών"". politic.gr (in Greek). 2024-02-13.
- ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Alco: Μπροστά με 16 μονάδες η ΝΔ, δεύτερο το ΠΑΣΟΚ, νέα πτώση ΣΥΡΙΖΑ -Τι λένε οι πολίτες για ακρίβεια-αγρότες". iefimerida (in Greek). 2024-02-08.
- ^ "Δημοσκόπηση GPO στο Star: Προβάδισμα 20,3% της ΝΔ στην πρόθεση ψήφου". Star (in Greek). 2024-01-25.
- ^ "Δημοσκόπηση MRB: Χωρισμένη στα δύο η χώρα για ομόφυλους γάμους - Ξεκάθαρο "όχι" στην τεκνοθεσία". CNN gr (in Greek). 2024-01-25.
- ^ "Δημοσκόπηση MARC για τον ΑΝΤ1: Η πρόθεση ψήφου στις Ευρωεκλογές – Τι λένε οι πολίτες για την ακρίβεια και τα μη κρατικά ΑΕΙ". enikos.gr (in Greek). 2024-01-25.
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- ^ "Δημοσκόπηση ALCO: Άνετο προβάδισμα ΝΔ ενόψει ευρωκάλπης, μεγάλη απαισιοδοξία για τα οικογενειακά οικονομικά". protothema.gr (in Greek). 2024-01-08.
- ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Interview για την POLITIC: "Επιστρέφει" ο ΣΥΡΙΖΑ στη δεύτερη θέση – "Εκτός" βουλής η Νέα Αριστερά". politic.gr (in Greek). 2023-12-11.
- ^ "Δημοσκόπηση της GPO για τα Παραπολιτικά: Στο 2,5% το ποσοστό της Νέας Αριστεράς, κάτω από το 10% ο ΣΥΡΙΖΑ - Απόλυτη κυριαρχία για τη ΝΔ". Parapolitika (in Greek). 2023-12-11.
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- ^ PDU 2,8% PRM 1,9% Indep. Vlad Gheorghe 1,9% Indep. Nicolae Bogdănel Ștefănuță 1,9% Indep. Șoșoacă 1,5% Indep. Paula Pârvănescu 1,0% alții 2,6%
- ^ "Slovenia, Ninamedia poll" (in Slovenian). 7 June 2024. Retrieved 7 June 2024.
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- ^ "Eurovoľby 2024 – Po atentáte SMER dobieha PS". nms.global (in Slovak). 2024-06-04. Retrieved 2024-06-08.
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- ^ "Volebný model do Európskeho parlamentu" (PDF). ipsos.com (in Slovak). 2024-02-14. Retrieved 2024-03-31.
Other for Spain
[edit]- ^ "El PP habría ganado con claridad las europeas pero el PSOE retendría un alto nivel de apoyo". El Español (in Spanish). 9 June 2023.
- ^ "Sondeo elecciones europeas en España: el PP ganaría al PSOE por casi dos puntos y podrían empatar en escaños". RTVE (in Spanish). 9 June 2023.
- ^ "[E] ESPAÑA. Encuesta 40dB. 09/06/2024: PP 32,4% (22), PSOE 29,7% (20), VOX 10,3% (6/7), SUMAR 6,0% (3/4)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 9 June 2024.
- ^ "[E] ESPAÑA. Encuesta Metroscopia. 09/06/2024: PP 32,6% (22/23), PSOE 30,1% (20/21), VOX 10,1% (6/7), SUMAR 5,4% (3/4)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 9 June 2024.
- ^ "El PSOE remonta en campaña y recorta distancias con el PP, según las encuestas". Público (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
- ^ "El PP ganará las europeas, pero reduce su ventaja sobre el PSOE al perder un escaño en favor de Vox". OKDiario (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Europeo (3J – Final): PP y PSOE, cerca". El Debate (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
- ^ "El tracking final del 9-J: el PP mantiene tres puntos de ventaja sobre un PSOE que aprovecha el hundimiento de Sumar". El Mundo (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
- ^ "Sprint final en las europeas: el PP ganaría hoy pero el PSOE acecha a menos de 5 puntos". El Español (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
- ^ "Encuesta: el PSOE se aproxima al PP, mientras Vox sigue creciendo en la recta final de la campaña". Agenda Pública (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
- ^ "El PP reduce su ventaja a 2,5 puntos y el PSOE crece, inmune al caso Begoña y a la amnistía". El Debate (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
- ^ a b "Elecciones europeas: el PSOE logra empatar con el PP en la recta final de la campaña". El Periódico de España (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
- ^ "El PP supera en seis puntos al PSOE y gana más de diez parlamentarios". La Razón (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
- ^ "ElectoPanel EUROPEO (2J): PP y PSOE rozan el empate técnico". Electomanía (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
- ^ "La polarización de Sánchez da alas a los extremos: Vox crece a costa del PP y el PSOE recorta". El Mundo (in Spanish). 1 June 2024.
- ^ "El PP triunfaría en las elecciones europeas con diez escaños más y tres de ventaja sobre el PSOE". VozPópuli (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
- ^ "El PP mantiene tres puntos de ventaja sobre el PSOE en la recta final de la campaña". El País (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
- ^ a b c "La UE y las elecciones al Parlamento Europeo. Ola 2. Junio 2024" (PDF). 40dB (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
- ^ "El PP ganará las elecciones europeas el 9J con cinco puntos y cuatro escaños más que el PSOE". ABC (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
- ^ a b c "Campaña de las elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024 (Estudio nº 3460. Mayo 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
- ^ "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3460. Campaña de las elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
- ^ "El PSOE se acerca al PP en las europeas, Vox, tercera fuerza y Alvise lograría dos escaños". The Objective (in Spanish). 31 May 2024.
- ^ "El PP ganará las elecciones europeas con 4,4 puntos de ventaja sobre el PSOE". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
- ^ "Encuesta DYM. El PP duplica escaños y ganaría el 9J, mientras el PSOE resiste y Sumar y Podemos pugnan por su espacio". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
- ^ "El PP, claro vencedor de las europeas, según Celeste-Tel". Onda Cero (in Spanish). 31 May 2024.
- ^ "[E] ESPAÑA. Encuesta Celeste-Tel 31/05/2024: PP 34,9% (23), PSOE 29,3% (20), VOX 9,9% (6), SUMAR 6,3% (4)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 31 May 2024.
- ^ "El PP ganaría hoy las europeas por 5,4 puntos pero el PSOE recorta otros 3 esta semana". El Español (in Spanish). 27 May 2024.
- ^ "El PP arranca la campaña de las europeas con una ventaja de cinco eurodiputados sobre el PSOE, según las encuestas". Público (in Spanish). 25 May 2024.
- ^ "El PP ganará las europeas con 4 diputados más que el PSOE, Vox sube e Irene Montero tendrá escaño". OKDiario (in Spanish). 26 May 2024.
- ^ "Barómetro Mediaset. Voto estimado al Parlamento Europeo". GAD3 (in Spanish). 28 May 2024.
- ^ "Sánchez resiste a sus últimas crisis y Feijóo mantiene su victoria el 9J". La Razón (in Spanish). 27 May 2024.
- ^ "El PP triunfará en las elecciones europeas con dos millones de votos de PSOE y Ciudadanos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 26 May 2024.
- ^ "Encuesta Elecciones europeas: El PP experimenta una caída frente a la subida del PSOE y las opciones de extrema derecha". El Plural (in Spanish). 26 May 2024.
- ^ "PSOE y Vox aprovechan los primeros días de campaña ante unas elecciones consideradas por los españoles más decisivas que las anteriores". Agenda Pública (in Spanish). 27 May 2024.
- ^ "El PP ganaría por 8 puntos las europeas pero el PSOE le recorta más de 4 tras las catalanas". El Español (in Spanish). 20 May 2024.
- ^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones europeas con holgura y arrancaría casi 700.000 votos al PSOE". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2024.
- ^ "Encuesta Elecciones europeas: Resultados muy ajustados entre bloques". El Plural (in Spanish). 19 May 2024.
- ^ "Más allá de los cálculos de Tezanos: nueve preguntas y algunas respuestas sobre qué pasará el 9J". infoLibre (in Spanish). 24 May 2024.
- ^ a b c d e "Preelectoral elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024 (Estudio nº 3458. Mayo 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 23 May 2024.
- ^ "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3458. Preelectoral elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 23 May 2024.
- ^ "El Partido Popular ganaría las elecciones europeas con una delegación española más derechizada". Agenda Pública (in Spanish). 17 May 2024.
- ^ "El PP redobla su presencia en Europa, el PSOE aguanta y Vox se dispara". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2024.
- ^ a b "La UE y las elecciones al Parlamento Europeo. Mayo 2024" (PDF). 40dB (in Spanish). 20 May 2024.
- ^ a b "El PP afronta las europeas con seis puntos de ventaja sobre el PSOE y Vox supera a Sumar". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 21 May 2024.
- ^ "[E] ESPAÑA. Encuesta Simple Lógica 21/05/2024: PP 36,4% (24), PSOE 29,9% (20), VOX 10,9% (7), 8,0% (5)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 21 May 2024.
- ^ "El PP aventaja al PSOE en 12,5 puntos en europeas y se acerca a la mayoría absoluta en unas generales". El Español (in Spanish). 6 May 2024.
- ^ "Feijóo se despega ya siete puntos de Sánchez y el PP doblaría su representación en Europa". El Mundo (in Spanish). 4 May 2024.
- ^ "El PP superaría al PSOE en 12 puntos en las europeas y en unas generales, con Sumar en acusada caída". El Español (in Spanish). 14 April 2024.
- ^ "Barómetro Mediaset. Elecciones generales y europeas". GAD3 (in Spanish). 26 March 2024.
- ^ "Koldo y amnistía hunden al PSOE: el PP ganaría hoy las europeas por 15 puntos y las generales por casi 12". El Español (in Spanish). 10 March 2024.
- ^ "El PP duplicará diputados en la Eurocámara, el PSOE cae 4 puntos y pierden los independentistas". El Español (in Spanish). 19 March 2024.
- ^ "Européennes: vers une progression de la droite radicale au Parlement européen?". Ipsos (in French). 19 March 2024.
- ^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones europeas con una ventaja aún mayor sobre el PSOE que el 23J". ABC (in Spanish). 4 March 2024.
- ^ "El PP incrementa hasta más de 10 puntos su ventaja sobre el PSOE ante las elecciones europeas". El Español (in Spanish). 11 February 2024.
- ^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones europeas con holgura y arrancaría casi 700.000 votos al PSOE". La Razón (in Spanish). 27 January 2024.
- ^ "El PP ganaría las europeas con casi 9 puntos sobre el PSOE y Podemos lograría dos escaños". El Español (in Spanish). 7 January 2024.
- ^ "El PP ganaría por nueve puntos al PSOE, dobla su representación e Irene Montero conseguiría un escaño para Podemos en las europeas". El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 January 2024.
- ^ "El PP ganaría al PSOE por 7,6 puntos y cinco escaños si las elecciones europeas se celebrasen hoy". El Español (in Spanish). 27 November 2023.
- ^ "PP y Vox doblan el número de escaños y el PSOE y sus socios quedan en minoría". Diario de León (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
- ^ "Opiniones y actitudes ante la Unión Europea (Estudio nº 3452. Abril 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 23 April 2024.
- ^ "Barómetro de abril 2024 (Estudio nº 3450. Abril 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 11 April 2024.