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2022 Danish general election

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2022 Danish general election
Danish Realm
← 2019 1 November 2022
31 October (Faroe Islands only)		 Next →
All 179 seats in the Folketing
175 from Denmark, 2 from Greenland and 2 from the Faroe Islands
90 seats needed for a majority
Turnout83.70% (Decrease 0.44pp)
Party Leader Vote % Seats +/–
Parties in Denmark
Social Democrats Mette Frederiksen 27.54 50 +2
Venstre Jakob Ellemann-Jensen 13.31 23 −20
Moderates Lars Løkke Rasmussen 9.27 16 New
Green Left Pia Olsen Dyhr 8.29 15 +1
Denmark Democrats Inger Støjberg 8.08 14 New
Liberal Alliance Alex Vanopslagh 7.87 14 +10
Conservatives Søren Pape Poulsen 5.51 10 −2
Red–Green Mai Villadsen[a] 5.16 9 −4
Social Liberals Sofie Carsten Nielsen 3.79 7 −9
New Right Pernille Vermund 3.66 6 +2
The Alternative Franciska Rosenkilde 3.33 6 +1
DPP Morten Messerschmidt 2.63 5 −11
Parties in the Faroe Islands
Union Bárður á Steig Nielsen 30.19 1 0
Social Democratic Aksel V. Johannesen 28.20 1 0
Parties in Greenland
Siumut Erik Jensen 38.58 1 0
Inuit Ataqatigiit Múte Bourup Egede 25.21 1 0
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Prime Minister before Prime Minister after
Mette Frederiksen
Social Democrats		 Mette Frederiksen
Social Democrats

General elections were held in the Kingdom of Denmark on 1 November 2022, except in the Faroe Islands, where they were held on 31 October as 1 November was a national day of mourning for victims at sea.[2] Of the 179 members of the Folketing, 175 were elected in Denmark proper, two in the Faroes and two in Greenland. The elections were called on 5 October following an ultimatum to the government by the Social Liberals (which had been providing external support) due to the outcome of a report on the 2020 Danish mink cull by the Mink Commission, which was critical of the government.[3] Voter turnout was 84% in Denmark, 48% in Greenland, and 71% in the Faroes, with a combined turnout of 84% for the realm as a whole.

Initially looking like no bloc would gain a majority, left-leaning parties retained their majority due to results in the Faroe Islands and Greenland, but the majority was reduced to a single seat.[4][5] The governing Social Democrats achieved their best result in 20 years, with 28% of the vote, while the Social Liberals experienced one of their worst ever results. Leading opposition party Venstre also suffered major losses in the elections, losing more than 40% of its seats.[6] Two new parties standing in the elections, the Moderates and the Denmark Democrats, won 16 and 14 seats respectively, making them the third- and fifth-largest parties.[7]

The blue bloc and the Moderates together received more votes than the red bloc, but the red bloc won a majority of seats due to the two Greenlandic seats and the Social Democrats winning one more constituency seat than it was entitled to seats overall.[8] Following the elections, Frederiksen was appointed informateur and, despite the left bloc holding a majority of seats, opted to form a centrist government with Venstre and other parties from the blue bloc, which had also been her pledge during the campaign.[4][9] After negotiations, a coalition government composed of the Social Democrats, Venstre and the Moderates was formed, the first time since 1977 where both main parties were part of a coalition government.[10][11]

Background

[edit]

The 2019 Danish general election on 5 June ended with a 91-seat win for the Social Democrats and Mette Frederiksen and their supporting parties. Twenty-two days later, a minority government was formed by the Social Democrats. The government was supported by the other parties in the red bloc (the Social Liberals, the Green Left, and the Red–Green Alliance). Frederiksen, the leader of the Social Democrats, became Prime Minister of Denmark.[12]

On 2 July 2022 Sofie Carsten Nielsen, leader of the Social Liberals, one of supporting parties of the government, encouraged Frederiksen to set an election date before 4 October after the report of the Mink Commission was published, criticising the government's handling of the Cluster 5 outbreak in November 2020.[13] Later the same day, Nielsen announced that she was ready to put forward a motion of no confidence if the prime minister refused to call early elections.[14]

On 5 October, Frederiksen announced that general elections were to be held on 1 November, the first to be held on a Tuesday since the 2007 Danish general election.[15]

Electoral system

[edit]

The 179 members of the Folketing are elected in Denmark (175), the Faroe Islands (2) and Greenland (2). The 175 seats in Denmark include 135 seats elected in ten multi-member constituencies of Denmark by proportional representation, using the d'Hondt method (kredsmandater), and 40 leveling seats, allocated to parties in order to address any imbalance in the distribution of the constituency seats (tillægsmandater). The main threshold for levelling seats is 2%.[16]

According to the Constitution of Denmark, the election had to be held no later than 4 June 2023, as the last election was held on 5 June 2019. The incumbent prime minister is able to call the election at any date, provided that date is no later than four years from the previous election, and this is often cited as a tactical advantage to the sitting government, as it can call an early election when opinion polls are favourable. Lars Løkke Rasmussen, the previous prime minister from 2015 to 2019, announced on 7 May 2019 that elections would be held on 5 June; the latest date for that election was 17 June.[17]

In order for a new party to be eligible to run in the election it must obtain declarations of support (vælgererklæringer) from a number of electors at least equal to 1/175th of the total valid votes cast at the previous elections.[18] For the 2022 election, this figure was equal to 20,182 declarations of support.[19] Four new parties (Moderates, Denmark Democrats, Independent Greens and Vegan Party managed to raise this amount thus becoming eligible for the election although the Vegan Party choose not to use its eligibility but instead merge with the Alternatives.[20] A minimum of 1,112 votes were not counted due to them not being delivered in time. These did not contribute to the voter turnout and were in all likelihood irrelevant to the resultant according to political scientist Kasper Møller Hansen.[21][22]

Despite the blue bloc and the Moderates combined gaining 68,209 more votes than the combined red bloc, the red bloc still managed to secure a slight majority of 90 seats. Apart from three out of four North Atlantic seats going to red parties, red bloc's success was due to a never previously used section in the election law (section 77, subsection 3) that secured the Social Democrats an additional seat that would otherwise have been awarded to Venstre.[23][24][25]

Constituency Seats
Bornholm 2
Copenhagen 17
East Jutland 18
Faroe Islands 2
Funen 12
Greater Copenhagen 11
Greenland 2
North Jutland 15
North Zealand 10
South Jutland 17
West Jutland 13
Zealand 20

Voter eligibility

[edit]

One has the right to vote if one is 18 years old on election day, is a Danish citizen, lives within the Realm (Denmark proper, Greenland and the Faroe Islands) and are not disempowered (umyndiggjort). Disempowerment is for instance mental disabilities. All eligible voters are also eligible to run for election. After the election, all newly elected members of the Folketing must sign a declaration stating that they intend to comply with the Constitution, while the new Folketing must approve the election and the eligibility of the individual members. This is done in the Committee for Electoral Trials (Udvalget til Valgs Prøvelse). After the 2022 election all elected members of the Folketing were approved.[26]

Issues

[edit]

In her speech announcing the election, Frederiksen declared the election to be a security election (Danish: tryghedsvalg), citing issues such as the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, economic anxiety, and issues in the health system.[27] In the same speech, Frederiksen also declared her intentions to work towards a centrist government with parties from both blocs rather than continue the incumbent one-party minority government.[28]

Two of the parties supporting the Frederiksen Cabinet, the Red–Green Alliance and the Green Left, both came out in opposition to a centrist government, citing concerns of undue conservative influence.[29] The blue bloc, including Liberal Alliance, the Conservative People's Party, Venstre, the Denmark Democrats, New Right, and the Danish People's Party, also denied the possibility of a government with the Social Democrats.[30] The Social Liberals and especially the Moderates, who have been campaigning for a centrist government since their inception, supported Frederiksen's declaration.[31][29]

Political parties

[edit]

The table below lists parties represented in the Folketing.

Denmark

[edit]
Name Ideologies Leader 2019 result Seats at
dissolution
Votes (%) Seats
A Social Democrats
Socialdemokratiet 		Social democracy Mette Frederiksen 25.9%
48 / 179
49 / 179
V Venstre
Venstre, Danmarks Liberale Parti 		Conservative liberalism
Agrarianism (Nordic) 		Jakob Ellemann-Jensen 23.4%
43 / 179
39 / 179
O Danish People's Party
Dansk Folkeparti 		Danish nationalism
National conservatism
Anti-immigration 		Morten Messerschmidt 8.7%
16 / 179
6 / 179
B Social Liberals
Det Radikale Venstre 		Social liberalism Sofie Carsten Nielsen 8.6%
16 / 179
14 / 179
F Green Left
Socialistisk Folkeparti 		Green politics
Popular socialism 		Pia Olsen Dyhr 7.7%
14 / 179
15 / 179
Ø Red–Green Alliance
Enhedslisten – De Rød-Grønne 		Eco-socialism
Anti-capitalism 		Collective leadership
Political leader: Mai Villadsen 		6.9%
13 / 179
13 / 179
C Conservative People's Party
Det Konservative Folkeparti 		Green conservatism
Liberal conservatism 		Søren Pape Poulsen 6.6%
12 / 179
13 / 179
Å The Alternative
Alternativet 		Green politics
Pro-Europeanism 		Franciska Rosenkilde 3.0%
5 / 179
2 / 179
D New Right
Nye Borgerlige 		National conservatism
Economic liberalism
Anti-immigration 		Pernille Vermund 2.4%
4 / 179
4 / 179
I Liberal Alliance
Liberal Alliance 		Right-libertarianism
Classical liberalism 		Alex Vanopslagh 2.3%
4 / 179
3 / 179
Æ Denmark Democrats
Danmarksdemokraterne 		Right-wing populism
Anti-immigration 		Inger Støjberg
8 / 179
Q Independent Greens
Frie Grønne 		Green politics
Anti-racism
Minority rights 		Sikandar Siddique
2 / 179
K Christian Democrats
Kristendemokraterne 		Christian democracy
Social conservatism 		Marianne Karlsmose 1.8%
0 / 179
0 / 179
M Moderates
Moderaterne 		Liberalism
Centrism 		Lars Løkke Rasmussen
1 / 179
Ind. Independent 0.1%
0 / 179
6 / 179

Faroe Islands

[edit]
Name Ideologies Leader 2019 result Seats at
dissolution
Votes (%) Seats
JF Social Democratic Party
Javnaðarflokkurin 		Social democracy Aksel V. Johannesen 24.3%
1 / 179
1 / 179
SP Union Party
Sambandsflokkurin 		Conservative liberalism Bárður á Steig Nielsen 23.5%
1 / 179
1 / 179

Greenland

[edit]
Name Ideologies Leader 2019 result Seats at
dissolution
Votes (%) Seats
IA Community of the People
Inuit Ataqatigiit 		Democratic socialism Múte Bourup Egede 38.3%
1 / 179
1 / 179
SIU Forward
Siumut 		Social democracy Erik Jensen 38.0%
1 / 179
1 / 179

Debates

[edit]
2022 Danish general election debates
Date Time Organizers Venue     P  Present    I  Invitee   N  Non-invitee   S  Surrogate  
A B C D F I K M O Q V Æ Ø Å Refs
4 Sep 21:00 DR DR Byen P
Frederiksen 		N P
Pape 		N N N N N N N P
Ellemann 		N N N [32]
21 Sep 19:55 TV 2 Copenhagen S
Bruus 		P
Nielsen 		P
Pape 		P
Vermund 		P
Dyhr 		P
Vanopslagh 		N N N N P
Ellemann 		N P
Villadsen 		N [33]
27 Sep 16:00 DI Royal Arena N P
Nielsen 		N N N N N P
Løkke 		N N N P
Støjberg 		N N [34]
29 Sep 10:00 ÆS Odense P
Frederiksen 		P
Nielsen 		P
Pape 		P
Vermund 		P
Dyhr 		P
Vanopslagh 		N P
Løkke 		P
Messerschmidt 		N P
Ellemann 		S
Skaarup 		P
Villadsen 		N
 [35]
4 Oct 20:30 DR2 DR Byen S
Wammen 		P
Nielsen 		P
Pape 		P
Vermund 		P
Dyhr 		P
Vanopslagh 		P
Karlsmose 		P
Løkke 		P
Messerschmidt 		P
Siddique 		P
Ellemann 		P
Støjberg 		P
Villadsen 		P
Rosenkilde 		[36]
5 Oct 20:00 DR and TV 2 Christiansborg P
Frederiksen 		P
Nielsen 		P
Pape 		P
Vermund 		P
Dyhr 		P
Vanopslagh 		P
Karlsmose 		P
Løkke 		P
Messerschmidt 		P
Siddique 		P
Ellemann 		P
Støjberg 		P
Villadsen 		P
Rosenkilde 		[37]
9 Oct 20:00 TV 2 Storms Pakhus, Odense P
Frederiksen 		N P
Pape 		N N N N N N N P
Ellemann 		N N N [38]
12 Oct 15:00 DI AAK, Aarhus S
Wammen 		P
Nielsen 		P
Pape 		P
Vermund 		P
Dyhr 		N N P
Løkke 		N N P
Ellemann 		P
Støjberg 		N N [39]
13 Oct 16:00 TV 2 Rybners Gymnasium, Esbjerg S
Tesfaye 		P
Nielsen 		P
Pape 		P
Vermund 		P
Dyhr 		P
Vanopslagh 		P
Karlsmose 		P
Løkke 		P
Messerschmidt 		P
Siddique 		P
Ellemann 		P
Støjberg 		P
Villadsen 		P
Rosenkilde 		[40]
16 Oct 21:00 DR Koncerthuset, Copenhagen P
Frederiksen 		N P
Pape 		N N N N N N N P
Ellemann 		N N N [41]
27 Oct 20:00 TV 2 Nordkraft, Aalborg S
Tesfaye 		P
Nielsen 		P
Pape 		N N P
Vanopslagh 		N N N P
Siddique 		P
Ellemann 		P
Støjberg 		P
Villadsen 		N [42]
30 Oct 21:00 DR Koncerthuset, Copenhagen P
Frederiksen 		P
Nielsen 		P
Pape 		P
Vermund 		P
Dyhr 		P
Vanopslagh 		P
Karlsmose 		P
Løkke 		P
Messerschmidt 		P
Siddique 		P
Ellemann 		P
Støjberg 		P
Villadsen 		P
Rosenkilde 		[43]
31 Oct 20:00 TV 2 Christiansborg, Copenhagen P
Frederiksen 		P
Nielsen 		P
Pape 		P
Vermund 		P
Dyhr 		P
Vanopslagh 		P
Karlsmose 		P
Løkke 		P
Messerschmidt 		P
Siddique 		P
Ellemann 		P
Støjberg 		P
Villadsen 		P
Rosenkilde 		[44]

Opinion polls

[edit]
Main article: Opinion polling for the 2022 Danish general election

Exit polls

[edit]
Party Poll by Epinion[45]
% +/– Seats +/–
Social Democrats 23.1 -4.6 50 -6
Venstre 13.5 –9.9 24 –19
Moderates 9.3 New 17 New
Green Left 9.6 +1.9 17 +3
Liberal Alliance 9.0 +6.7 16 +12
Denmark Democrats 6.9 New 12 New
Red–Green Alliance 6.2 –0.7 11 –2
Conservatives 5.5 –1.1 10 –2
Social Liberals 4.7 –3.9 8 –8
The Alternative 3.9 +0.9 7 +2
New Right 3.8 +1.4 7 +3
Danish People's Party 2.5 –6.2 4 –12
Independent Greens 1.3 New 0 New
Christian Democrats 0.4 New 0 New

Voters demographics

[edit]

Results

[edit]
For more detailed results, see Results of the 2022 Danish general election in Denmark.
PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Denmark proper
Social Democrats971,99527.5050+2
Venstre470,54613.3223–20
Moderates327,6999.2716New
Green Left293,1868.3015+1
Denmark Democrats286,7968.1214New
Liberal Alliance278,6567.8914+10
Conservative People's Party194,8205.5110–2
Red–Green Alliance181,4525.139–4
Social Liberals133,9313.797–9
New Right129,5243.676+2
The Alternative117,5673.336+1
Danish People's Party93,4282.645–11
Independent Greens31,7870.900New
Christian Democrats18,2760.5200
Independents4,2880.1200
Total3,533,951100.001750
Valid votes3,533,95198.36
Invalid votes12,5990.35
Blank votes46,2721.29
Total votes3,592,822100.00
Registered voters/turnout4,269,04884.16
Source: DST
Faroe Islands
Union Party8,19830.1910
Social Democratic Party7,65928.2010
Republic4,92718.1400
People's Party4,22215.5500
Centre Party1,2174.480New
Progress9363.4500
Total27,159100.0020
Valid votes27,15999.20
Invalid votes730.27
Blank votes1460.53
Total votes27,378100.00
Registered voters/turnout38,38771.32
Source: kvf.fo
Greenland
Siumut7,42438.5810
Inuit Ataqatigiit4,85225.2110
Democrats3,65619.0000
Naleraq2,41612.5500
Atassut7203.7400
Cooperation Party1760.9100
Total19,244100.0020
Valid votes19,24497.52
Invalid votes1971.00
Blank votes2931.48
Total votes19,734100.00
Registered voters/turnout41,30547.78
Source: Qinersineq

Seats won by type

[edit]
PartySeats
ConstituencyTop-upTotal
Social Democrats50050
Venstre21223
Moderates13316
Green Left12315
Denmark Democrats11314
Liberal Alliance10414
Conservative People's Party7310
Red–Green Alliance459
Danish Social Liberal Party257
New Right246
The Alternative246
Danish People's Party145
Total13540175
Source: DST

Maps

[edit]
  • Map of the election on the Faroe Islands, showing the largest party in each polling area
    Map of the election on the Faroe Islands, showing the largest party in each polling area
  • Largest party within each polling area.
    Largest party within each polling area.
  • Largest party within each nomination district and constituency.
    Largest party within each nomination district and constituency.

Aftermath and government formation

[edit]
See also: Frederiksen II Cabinet
Frederiksen II first public appearance on 15 December 2022 at Amalienborg after having been presented before the Queen. Frederiksen (in red) with Ellemann to her right and Løkke to her left.

The election was simultaneously the best result for the Social Democrats in more than 20 years and the worst result for Venstre in more than 30 years.[46][47] Mette Frederiksen, the leader of the red bloc and the incumbent prime minister, thanked voters for giving the red bloc a majority; despite winning a slim majority of one seat, she decided to follow her campaign promise and resign in order to seek a new centrist government with parties from both sides of the political spectrum.[48] Following the results, she was congratulated by the prime ministers of Norway and Spain, Jonas Gahr Støre and Pedro Sánchez, both members of her same European political group, the Party of European Socialists.[49][50]

Lars Løkke Rasmussen, the leader of the Moderates who had long positioned himself as kingmaker, did not end up with the decisive seats because of the left-leaning majority. Instead, it was the Social Liberals, traditionally a member of the red bloc, that stated a desire of wanting to go beyond bloc politics like the Moderates, despite achieving one of their worst ever results, meaning that along with the Moderates, they could determine the next government.[51] Sofie Carsten Nielsen resigned as leader of the Social Liberals following its poor performance in the election.[52] A total of 64 new politicians were elected to the Folketing for the first time at the 2022 election, the third-most in Danish history, only being trumped by the 1973 and 2011 general elections. The new members are mainly from the Denmark Democrats, Liberal Alliance, and Moderates.[53]

On 23 November, the Red–Green Alliance and The Alternative announced they had left the government negotiations, bringing the number of negotiating parties to 8: the Social Democrats, Venstre, the Moderates, the Green Left, Liberal Alliance, the Conservatives, the Social Liberals and the Danish People's Party. The Denmark Democrats and New Right had earlier left the negotiations.[11] On 3 December, the Conservatives exited the negotiations, reducing the number of negotiating parties to seven.[10][11] The Social Liberals left the negotiations on 13 December.[54] The same day, Mette Frederiksen went to the queen to present her new government, which includes the Moderates and Venstre; the first time the Social Democrats and Venstre formed a government together since 1978. Leader of Venstre, Jakob Elleman-Jensen, became deputy prime minister and minister of defence while leader of the Moderates Lars Løkke Rasmussen was made foreign minister.[55] Nine social democrats lost their ministerial positions due to the formation of the new cabinet.[56] Two ministers, both from the Moderates, are not members of the Folketing.[57] This marked the first time since 2007 that a prime minister was reelected into a consecutive term.

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Formally, the Red–Green Alliance has collective leadership, but as its political spokesperson, Villadsen was the de facto leader of the party.[1]

References

[edit]
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  3. ^ "Breaking: Denmark to hold election on November 1st". The Local Denmark. 5 October 2022. Retrieved 5 October 2022.
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  5. ^ "Denmark election: Centre-left bloc comes out on top". BBC News. 2 November 2022. Retrieved 4 November 2022.
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  25. ^ Sebastian Bjerring Jensen; Trina Nielsen (5 November 2022). "Blå blok fik flest stemmer, men rød blok vandt på grund af paragraf: Enhedslisten vil ændre paragraffen". www.bt.dk (in Danish). Retrieved 24 May 2023.
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  40. ^ "Partilederne og de unge stemmer". 13 October 2022.
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  44. ^ "Sidste svar - partilederdebat". 31 October 2022.
  45. ^ "FOLKETINGSVALG TIRSDAG 1. NOVEMBER 2022". DR (in Danish). Retrieved 27 June 2023.
  46. ^ "Ellemann taler: 'Som formand for Venstre er det først og fremmest mit ansvar'". DR (in Danish). 2 November 2022. Retrieved 2 November 2022.
  47. ^ "Socialdemokratiet blev valgets store sejrherre: Vil danne bred regering". DR (in Danish). 2 November 2022. Retrieved 2 November 2022.
  48. ^ "Mette Frederiksen går til dronningen klokken 11". DR (in Danish). 2 November 2022. Retrieved 2 November 2022.
  49. ^ Jonas Gahr Støre [@jonasgahrstore] (2 November 2022). "Gratulerer #MetteFrederiksen og danske sosialdemokrater med sterkt valgresultat og fortsatt flertall i Folketinget. Imponerende og inspirerende! Norge og Danmark er nære partnere. Jeg ser frem til godt samarbeid i en krevende tid og et videre nært samarbeid med Mette Fredriksen" (Tweet) (in Norwegian). Retrieved 2 November 2022 – via Twitter.
  50. ^ Pedro Sánchez [@sanchezcastejon] (2 November 2022). "Enhorabuena, Mette Frederiksen, y a la familia socialdemócrata de @Spolitik, por vuestra victoria en las urnas. Un resultado muy valioso para hacer frente a los importantes desafíos en Europa" (Tweet) (in Spanish). Retrieved 2 November 2022 – via Twitter.
  51. ^ "Trods vælgerflugt og radikalt blodbad: Nu vil alle have et stykke af Sofie Carsten Nielsen". DR (in Danish). 2 November 2022. Retrieved 2 November 2022.
  52. ^ "Sofie Carsten Nielsen trækker sig som leder for De Radikale". DR (in Danish). 2 November 2022. Retrieved 2 November 2022.
  53. ^ "Kun to gange tidligere er så mange på Christansborg blevet skiftet ud efter et valg". DR (in Danish). 3 November 2022. Retrieved 3 November 2022.
  54. ^ "Radikale er ude af regeringsforhandlinger: 'Jeg tror, vi kan gøre en større forskel ved at stå udenfor'". DR (in Danish). 13 December 2022. Retrieved 13 December 2022.
  55. ^ "Ellemann bliver forsvarsminister og Løkke bliver udenrigsminister: Se hele listen her". DR (in Danish). 15 December 2022. Retrieved 15 December 2022.
  56. ^ "Ni socialdemokrater mister ministerposter: 'Det var sjovere at køre her for 3,5 år siden'". DR (in Danish). 15 December 2022. Retrieved 15 December 2022.
  57. ^ "LIVE Følg regeringsforhandlingerne her". DR (in Danish). 13 December 2022. Retrieved 13 December 2022.
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