2023 Valencian regional election
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All 99 seats in the Corts Valencianes 50 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Registered | 3,730,659 1.9% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 2,498,090 (67.0%) 6.7 pp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Election result and plurality in each constituency | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2023 Valencian regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Corts of the Valencian Community. All 99 seats in the Corts were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The ruling "Botànic Agreement" of left-of-centre parties was re-elected in the 2019 election for a second term in office, albeit with a diminished majority of 52 to 47. Opinion polls held in the ensuing years saw a collapse of the vote for Citizens (Cs), particularly following the 2021 Madrilenian election, and its capitalization by both the People's Party (PP) and the far-right Vox party, to the point of putting at risk a new Botànic majority. The coalition government was further weakened by the resignation in June 2022 of Compromís figurehead Mónica Oltra as both cabinet member and deputy, following her being accused of negligence and concealment in an alleged case of sexual abuse of a minor under the protection of her ministry by her ex-husband. On the other hand, Ximo Puig's government was generally well-valued in opinion polls for its management of the COVID-19 pandemic, the economy and the political situation in the Valencian Community, which during this period saw the organization of the Benidorm Fest, the signing of a collaboration agreement with the Volkswagen Group for the development of a battery gigafactory in Sagunt and Ford's decision to equip its plant in Almussafes with the manufacture of electric cars.[1][2][3]
The election saw a victory for the PP which, together with Vox, was able to command a majority of seats in the Corts. Puig's Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV) increased its vote share and seat count, but this was not enough to compensate for the loss of support of both Compromís and Unidas Podem, the latter of which failed to reach the minimum threshold. The collapse of Citizens (CS) helped fuel the PP's recovery. At 67.0%, turnout was the lowest ever for a Valencian regional election. As a result, PP's Carlos Mazón was able to get elected as new president of the Valencian Government through a coalition with Vox. This coalition government would last until July 2024, when Vox leader Santiago Abascal forced the break up of all PP–Vox governments at the regional level over a national controversy regarding the distribution of unaccompanied migrant minors among the autonomous communities, after which the PP was left in minority.[4]
Overview
[edit]Electoral system
[edit]The Corts Valencianes were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the Valencian autonomous community, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Valencian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[5] Voting for the Corts was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Valencian Community and in full enjoyment of their political rights.[6] Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish: Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.[7] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.[8]
The 99 members of the Corts Valencianes were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Alicante, Castellón and Valencia, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in any given province did not exceed three times that of any other).[9][10]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Corts constituency was entitled the following seats:[11]
Seats | Constituencies |
---|---|
40 | Valencia |
35 | Alicante |
24 | Castellón |
Election date
[edit]The term of the Corts Valencianes expired four years after the date of their previous election, unless they were dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of the Valencian Government (DOGV), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 28 April 2019, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 28 April 2023. The election decree was required to be published in the DOGV no later than 4 April 2023, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Corts on Sunday, 28 May 2023.[12][13][14]
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Corts Valencianes and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Corts were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[15]
By late 2021, speculation emerged on possible snap elections in Andalusia and Castile and León to be held at some point during the spring of 2022,[16] with it transpiring that President Ximo Puig was evaluating the opportunity of an early election in the Valencian Community to be held simultaneously with those.[17][18] However, Puig publicly and repeatedly rejected the idea of a snap election being held,[19] an opinion he reiterated following the announcement of an election in Castile and León for 13 February 2022,[20] and after the calling of the 2022 Andalusian election for 19 June.[21] On 25 December 2022, Puig confirmed the election would be held in May together with the scheduled local and regional elections.[22]
The Corts Valencianes were officially dissolved on 4 April 2023 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the DOGV, setting the election date for 28 May and scheduling for the chamber to convene on 26 June.[11]
Parliamentary composition
[edit]The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Corts at the time of dissolution.[23]
Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats | Total | ||||
Socialist Parliamentary Group | PSPV–PSOE | 27 | 27 | ||
People's Parliamentary Group | PP | 19 | 19 | ||
Commitment Parliamentary Group | Compromís | 17 | 17 | ||
Citizens Parliamentary Group | CS | 12 | 12 | ||
Vox Valencian Community Parliamentary Group | Vox | 9 | 9 | ||
United We Can Parliamentary Group | Podemos | 6 | 8 | ||
EUPV | 2 | ||||
Non-Inscrits | PP | 5[a] | 7 | ||
INDEP | 2[b] |
Parties and candidates
[edit]The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[27][28]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
Candidacy | Parties and alliances |
Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||||
PSPV–PSOE | List
|
Ximo Puig | Social democracy | 24.21% | 27 | [29] | |||
PP | List
|
Carlos Mazón | Conservatism Christian democracy |
19.12% | 19 | [30] | |||
CS | List |
Mamen Peris | Liberalism | 17.70% | 18 | [31] [32] | |||
Compromís | List
|
Joan Baldoví | Valencian nationalism Eco-socialism Green politics |
16.68% | 17 | [33] [34] [35] | |||
Vox | List
|
Carlos Flores | Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism |
10.59% | 10 | [36] | |||
Unides Podem–EUPV |
List
|
Héctor Illueca | Left-wing populism Direct democracy Democratic socialism |
8.10% | 8 | [37] [38] |
Campaign
[edit]Election debates
[edit]Date | Organisers | Moderator(s) | P Present[c] S Surrogate[d] A Absent invitee | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PSOE | PP | CS | Comp. | Vox | UP | Audience | Ref. | |||
12 May | Cadena SER | Bernardo Guzmán | P Puig |
P Mazón |
P Peris |
P Baldoví |
P Flores |
P Illueca |
— | [39] |
18 May | COPE–Las Provincias | Vicente Ordaz | A | P Mazón |
P Peris |
A | P Flores |
P Illueca |
— | [40][41] |
25 May | À Punt | Marta Ventura Mathies Muñoz |
P Puig |
P Mazón |
P Peris |
P Baldoví |
P Flores |
P Illueca |
TBD | [41][42][43] |
Opinion polls
[edit]The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Graphical summary
[edit]Voting intention estimates
[edit]The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 50 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Corts Valencianes.
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | — | 67.0 | 28.7 31 |
35.7 40 |
1.5 0 |
14.5 15 |
12.6 13 |
3.6 0 |
7.0 |
GAD3/RTVE–FORTA[p 1] | 12–27 May 2023 | ? | ? | 30.0 31/33 |
34.3 37/38 |
2.0 0 |
13.4 12/14 |
12.7 13/14 |
5.0 3 |
4.3 |
NC Report/La Razón[p 2] | 22 May 2023 | ? | ? | 27.8 28/29 |
34.3 37/38 |
– | 13.5 15/16 |
12.5 14/15 |
5.3 0/5 |
6.5 |
KeyData/Público[p 3] | 19 May 2023 | ? | ? | 26.0 29 |
31.8 35 |
2.7 0 |
15.9 16 |
15.1 14 |
5.6 5 |
5.8 |
Data10/OKDiario[p 4] | 17–19 May 2023 | 1,500 | ? | 27.9 31 |
32.7 35 |
2.3 0 |
13.9 13 |
14.4 15 |
5.9 5 |
4.8 |
Target Point/El Debate[p 5] | 15–19 May 2023 | 902 | ? | 25.9 26/28 |
32.0 34/35 |
2.2 0 |
17.1 16/18 |
14.8 15/16 |
5.5 3/5 |
6.1 |
IMOP/El Confidencial[p 6] | 15–19 May 2023 | 1,403 | ? | 25.5 28/29 |
32.8 37/38 |
1.2 0 |
18.3 18 |
14.1 15 |
4.6 0 |
7.3 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 7] | 15–18 May 2023 | 1,600 | ? | 24.7 27/28 |
31.5 33/35 |
2.1 0 |
19.1 17 |
15.6 16 |
5.2 3/5 |
6.8 |
40dB/Prisa[p 8][p 9] | 12–17 May 2023 | 1,200 | ? | 25.6 27/28 |
31.7 34/36 |
3.7 0 |
17.4 17/18 |
13.3 14/15 |
5.2 0/5 |
6.1 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 10][p 11] | 11–17 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 27.6 30 |
32.3 35 |
2.8 0 |
15.6 14 |
15.5 15 |
5.8 5 |
4.7 |
Sigma Dos/Las Provincias[p 12] | 8–16 May 2023 | 1,648 | ? | 24.5 27/28 |
31.4 34/35 |
2.7 0 |
18.6 16/19 |
15.8 15/16 |
5.1 4/5 |
6.9 |
DYM/Henneo[p 13] | 10–15 May 2023 | 2,028 | ? | 26.5 28/29 |
32.0 34/35 |
3.0 0 |
16.6 16/18 |
14.2 14/15 |
6.5 3/6 |
5.5 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 14] | 8–14 May 2023 | ? | ? | 25.2 27/28 |
31.5 35/36 |
3.0 0 |
15.8 14/16 |
15.4 15/16 |
5.9 5 |
6.3 |
Invest Group/Levante-EMV[p 15] | 2–11 May 2023 | 1,500 | 71.5 | 27.3 29/31 |
33.9 36 |
2.1 0 |
12.2 13/14 |
12.5 13/14 |
7.0 6/7 |
6.6 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 16][p 17] | 4–10 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 27.9 30 |
32.5 35 |
2.9 0 |
15.2 14 |
15.5 15 |
5.7 5 |
4.6 |
GAD3/ABC[p 18] | 27 Apr–8 May 2023 | 1,203 | ? | 29.5 31/33 |
32.6 35/36 |
2.1 0 |
13.2 12/13 |
14.4 14/15 |
5.2 4/5 |
3.1 |
SocioMétrica[p 19][p 20] | 5 May 2023 | ? | ? | 25.3 28/30 |
31.6 34/36 |
3.2 0 |
15.2 15 |
16.0 16/17 |
5.7 0/5 |
6.3 |
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[p 21] | 2–5 May 2023 | 1,200 | ? | 27.5 30 |
33.2 36 |
2.6 0 |
13.8 13 |
14.7 15 |
5.6 5 |
4.7 |
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[p 22] | 24 Apr–4 May 2023 | 900 | ? | 25.3 28/29 |
28.6 32/33 |
3.6 0 |
18.3 17/18 |
14.5 15/16 |
6.7 5 |
3.3 |
40dB/Prisa[p 23][p 24] | 28 Apr–3 May 2023 | 1,200 | ? | 25.9 30/31 |
31.1 33/35 |
3.3 0 |
15.5 16/17 |
14.9 13/14 |
5.3 5 |
5.2 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 25][p 26] | 26 Apr–3 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 27.9 30 |
32.5 35 |
2.8 0 |
15.3 14 |
15.4 15 |
5.7 5 |
4.6 |
Sigma Dos/Antena 3[p 27] | 26 Apr 2023 | ? | ? | 27.1 28/30 |
31.9 36/38 |
3.1 0 |
15.9 16 |
14.9 13/14 |
5.0 4 |
4.8 |
CIS[p 28][p 29] | 10–26 Apr 2023 | 2,630 | ? | 29.0 30/34 |
30.7 31/36 |
2.1 0 |
18.5 15/19 |
10.2 8/12 |
6.0 2/5 |
1.7 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 30][p 31] | 19–25 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | ? 30 |
? 35 |
? 0 |
? 14 |
? 15 |
? 5 |
? |
Sonmerca/PSPV[p 32] | 21 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | ? | 31.5 33/36 |
32.5 35/37 |
2.0 0 |
14.5 13/14 |
10.0 9/10 |
6.0 5/6 |
1.0 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 33][p 34] | 12–18 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 26.9 29 |
32.2 35 |
2.7 0 |
14.5 14 |
15.7 16 |
6.7 5 |
5.3 |
Data10/OKDiario[p 35] | 11–14 Apr 2023 | 1,500 | ? | 28.8 31 |
32.7 37 |
2.4 0 |
12.9 12 |
14.4 14 |
5.9 5 |
3.9 |
NC Report/La Razón[p 36] | 7–14 Apr 2023 | ? | 70.1 | 23.6 27 |
33.6 37 |
3.4 0 |
15.2 15 |
15.1 15 |
6.1 5 |
10.0 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 37][p 38] | 5–11 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 27.0 29 |
31.9 34 |
2.5 0 |
14.0 13 |
16.4 17 |
7.0 6 |
4.9 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 39] | 3–7 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | ? | 24.9 26/27 |
31.6 35/37 |
3.3 0 |
15.2 15 |
15.4 16/17 |
6.3 5 |
6.7 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 40] | 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 | 2,349 | ? | 25.1 25/28 |
31.5 32/35 |
2.3 0 |
19.2 17/20 |
15.0 13/16 |
5.5 4 |
6.4 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 41][p 42] | 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 26.6 28 |
32.4 35 |
2.5 0 |
13.8 13 |
16.5 17 |
7.1 6 |
5.8 |
KeyData/Público[p 43] | 15 Mar 2023 | ? | 71.3 | 26.4 30 |
31.4 35 |
2.2 0 |
15.9 15 |
14.9 15 |
5.1 4 |
5.0 |
PP[p 44] | 13 Mar 2023 | ? | ? | ? 29 |
? 35 |
? 0 |
? 14 |
? 16 |
? 5 |
? |
GfK/Compromís[p 45] | 23 Feb–7 Mar 2023 | 1,361 | ? | 25.0– 26.0 |
31.0– 32.0 |
3.0– 4.0 |
18.0– 20.0 |
12.0– 14.0 |
4.0– 5.0 |
6.0 |
Sigma Dos/Todo Alicante[p 46] | 20–28 Feb 2023 | 1,103 | ? | 25.6 28/29 |
31.9 34/36 |
3.1 0 |
15.9 14/16 |
16.3 15 |
5.6 5 |
6.3 |
Data10/OKDiario[p 47] | 15–17 Feb 2023 | 1,500 | 69 | 29.7 33 |
32.6 35 |
2.4 0 |
11.6 11 |
13.7 14 |
6.4 6 |
2.9 |
Target Point/El Debate[p 48] | 12–15 Feb 2023 | 1,000 | ? | 24.2 26/27 |
30.9 34/35 |
2.3 0 |
17.4 16/18 |
16.5 15/17 |
6.0 5 |
6.7 |
PSPV[p 49] | 7 Feb 2023 | ? | ? | ? 34/37 |
? 34/37 |
? 0 |
? 14/16 |
? 10/12 |
? 0/6 |
Tie |
CIS[e][p 50][p 51] | 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 994 | ? | 31.0 32/45 |
29.2 31/43 |
3.2 0/5 |
11.9 6/12 |
9.5 4/11 |
7.2 2/6 |
1.8 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 52] | 13 Nov 2022 | ? | ? | 26.4 28 |
29.2 31 |
3.1 0 |
15.9 17 |
16.2 17 |
6.2 6 |
2.8 |
Data10/OKDiario[p 53] | 2–4 Nov 2022 | 1,000 | ? | 28.5 30 |
32.4 36 |
1.9 0 |
10.8 12 |
15.2 15 |
7.4 6 |
3.9 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 54][p 55] | 3–7 Oct 2022 | 1,200 | ? | 26.7 29/30 |
29.9 33/34 |
2.9 0 |
13.9 12/13 |
17.4 17/18 |
6.7 5/6 |
3.2 |
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[p 56] | 3–5 Oct 2022 | 1,800 | 67.3 | 28.8 31 |
31.9 35 |
2.1 0 |
10.3 10 |
15.5 16 |
7.3 7 |
3.1 |
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[p 57] | 20 Sep–1 Oct 2022 | 1,510 | ? | 28.3 31/32 |
30.2 33/35 |
2.9 0 |
15.3 14/16 |
11.9 13 |
6.1 5 |
1.9 |
PP[p 58][p 59] | 29 Sep 2022 | ? | ? | 27.0 28/29 |
32.0 33/34 |
3.0 0 |
12.0 13/14 |
16.0 17/18 |
6.0 5/6 |
5.0 |
SyM Consulting/EPDA[p 60][p 61] | 24 Apr–14 Sep 2022 | 2,447 | 67.3 | 23.9 25/26 |
29.4 30/32 |
1.3 0 |
17.7 17/18 |
14.7 15/16 |
9.4 9/10 |
5.5 |
PSPV[p 62][p 63] | 31 Jun–15 Jul 2022 | 706 | ? | 31.2 34/36 |
25.9 32/34 |
2.6 0 |
12.8 14/16 |
10.6 10/12 |
3.8 0/5 |
5.3 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 64] | 26 Jun–5 Jul 2022 | 1,243 | ? | 24.8 27 |
29.4 32 |
2.4 0 |
14.5 14 |
18.6 20 |
7.2 6 |
4.6 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 65][p 66] | 22–25 Jun 2022 | 900 | ? | 25.0 27 |
31.4 35 |
2.7 0 |
11.9 10 |
17.9 19 |
7.8 8 |
6.4 |
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[p 67] | 22–23 Jun 2022 | 1,000 | 67.3 | 29.0 31 |
31.9 35 |
2.3 0 |
9.6 9 |
15.8 17 |
7.2 7 |
2.9 |
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[p 68] | 23–25 May 2022 | 1,800 | 74.0 | 27.7 31 |
27.5 29 |
3.2 0 |
14.1 14 |
18.7 20 |
5.7 5 |
0.2 |
Sigma Dos/Las Provincias[p 69] | 9–17 May 2022 | 1,200 | ? | 27.2 29/30 |
26.5 27/30 |
5.0 4/5 |
16.5 15/17 |
15.2 16 |
6.4 5 |
0.7 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 70][p 71][p 72] | 14–28 Dec 2021 | 1,700 | ? | 28.3 30/32 |
27.6 30/31 |
4.5 0/2 |
14.7 14 |
14.9 15/16 |
7.5 6/7 |
0.7 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 73] | 15 Dec 2021 | ? | ? | 25.0 28 |
28.5 32 |
3.0 0 |
16.0 15 |
16.3 17 |
7.5 7 |
3.5 |
NC Report/La Razón[p 74] | 2–12 Nov 2021 | 1,000 | 67.6 | 24.1 26/27 |
29.3 30/31 |
5.2 4 |
15.0 15/16 |
15.9 15/16 |
7.2 7 |
5.2 |
GAD3/Cs[p 75][p 76] | 15 Oct–4 Nov 2021 | 2,404 | ? | 29.2 31/32 |
28.1 30/31 |
5.9 5 |
13.1 12/13 |
14.8 15 |
5.3 4/5 |
1.1 |
Electocracia[p 77] | 21–26 Oct 2021 | 1,000 | ? | 25.8 27/28 |
28.6 31/32 |
3.1 0 |
15.9 16/17 |
16.5 18/19 |
6.6 5/6 |
2.8 |
PP[p 78] | 3 Oct 2021 | ? | ? | ? 27/30 |
? 27/30 |
? 0 |
? 14/15 |
? 20/21 |
? 7 |
Tie |
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[p 79][p 80] | 28 Sep–1 Oct 2021 | 1,800 | ? | 26.7 30 |
27.8 31 |
3.0 0 |
15.7 14 |
18.2 19 |
5.9 5 |
1.1 |
SyM Consulting/EPDA[p 81] | 28–30 Sep 2021 | 1,565 | 70.4 | 24.5 26/28 |
29.5 30/33 |
2.0 0 |
17.1 17 |
15.9 17 |
6.5 7/8 |
5.0 |
Invest Group/Prensa Ibérica[p 82][p 83] | 20–29 Sep 2021 | 750 | ? | 31.3 36 |
21.6 24 |
3.4 0 |
15.4 16 |
12.8 13 |
9.2 10 |
9.7 |
Terreta Radio[p 84] | 14 Sep 2021 | ? | ? | ? 28 |
? 28 |
? 2 |
? 15 |
? 22 |
? 4 |
Tie |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 85] | 31 Jul 2021 | ? | ? | 27.1 30 |
26.9 30 |
3.3 0 |
15.9 16 |
15.9 16 |
7.8 7 |
0.9 |
SyM Consulting/EPDA[p 86] | 14–18 Jul 2021 | 1,066 | 71.3 | 24.4 26/27 |
26.3 28/29 |
5.2 3 |
17.0 17 |
15.7 15/18 |
8.0 7/8 |
1.9 |
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[p 87] | 21–30 Jun 2021 | 1,800 | ? | 26.6 29 |
27.0 30 |
3.4 0 |
16.1 16 |
17.6 19 |
6.1 5 |
0.4 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 88] | 30 Apr 2021 | 850 | ? | 28.1 32 |
25.6 30 |
4.5 0 |
16.6 16 |
13.5 13 |
8.1 8 |
2.5 |
Sigma Dos/Las Provincias[p 89] | 12–17 Apr 2021 | 1,200 | ? | 29.7 31/33 |
24.9 27 |
6.0 5 |
16.4 15/17 |
13.6 13/14 |
6.3 5/6 |
4.8 |
Metroscopia/PP[p 90][p 91] | 8–13 Apr 2021 | 1,500 | ? | 28.0 29/31 |
28.2 30/31 |
2.3 0 |
13.3 12/14 |
17.8 18/19 |
7.5 7/8 |
0.2 |
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[p 92] | 1–5 Mar 2021 | 1,800 | ? | 28.4 31 |
22.2 23 |
7.0 6 |
15.5 15 |
17.6 19 |
6.9 5 |
6.2 |
GAD3/Cs[p 93] | 14–20 Oct 2020 | 1,002 | ? | 31.3 33/34 |
24.2 25/27 |
11.8 12 |
11.2 10 |
12.0 12/13 |
6.1 5 |
7.1 |
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[p 94] | 1–7 Oct 2020 | 1,800 | ? | 27.4 29 |
24.7 26 |
7.9 8 |
17.3 17 |
13.4 14 |
7.0 5 |
2.7 |
Invest Group/Prensa Ibérica[p 95] | 28 Sep–5 Oct 2020 | 750 | ? | 32.7 36 |
19.6 21 |
7.5 7 |
14.8 15 |
11.1 11 |
9.9 9 |
13.1 |
SyM Consulting/EPDA[p 96] | 24–27 Sep 2020 | 1,706 | 73.2 | 23.6 25/26 |
18.4 19/20 |
9.5 7/8 |
16.8 17/18 |
16.8 18 |
11.8 10/12 |
5.2 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 97] | 31 Jul 2020 | 850 | ? | 25.8 27 |
23.9 26 |
9.0 9 |
16.6 16 |
12.8 13 |
7.8 8 |
1.9 |
Demoscopia y Servicios/ESdiario[p 98] | 17–20 Jun 2020 | 1,000 | 65.7 | 27.3 28 |
25.6 27 |
6.8 8 |
16.7 15 |
12.8 13 |
8.3 8 |
1.7 |
SyM Consulting[p 99][p 100] | 19–21 May 2020 | 1,695 | 72.6 | 24.6 25/26 |
23.4 25/26 |
12.0 11 |
15.1 14/15 |
13.9 14/16 |
7.4 7/8 |
1.2 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 101][p 102] | 1 Apr–15 May 2020 | ? | ? | 26.2 27 |
23.6 25 |
8.8 9 |
16.3 16 |
12.6 13 |
8.4 9 |
2.6 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 69.8 | 27.6 (31) |
23.0 (24) |
7.7 (7) |
7.0 (5) |
18.5 (19) |
13.4 (13) |
4.6 |
Invest Group/Prensa Ibérica[p 103] | 23 Sep–1 Oct 2019 | 900 | ? | 32.6 35 |
21.8 22 |
10.0 10 |
16.5 18 |
8.7 8 |
7.4 6 |
10.8 |
2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | — | 62.5 | 33.0 (36) |
22.6 (25) |
14.3 (15) |
8.4 (7) |
7.2 (7) |
9.7 (9) |
10.4 |
2019 regional election | 28 Apr 2019 | — | 73.7 | 24.2 27 |
19.1 19 |
17.7 18 |
16.7 17 |
10.6 10 |
8.1 8 |
5.1 |
Voting preferences
[edit]The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | — | 19.3 | 24.1 | 1.0 | 9.8 | 8.5 | 2.4 | — | 30.6 | 4.8 |
40dB/Prisa[p 9] | 12–17 May 2023 | 1,200 | 19.7 | 21.3 | 3.2 | 13.8 | 12.1 | 4.2 | 14.7 | 5.8 | 1.6 |
40dB/Prisa[p 24] | 26 Apr–3 May 2023 | 1,200 | 22.5 | 17.9 | 2.8 | 11.8 | 12.5 | 4.1 | 17.1 | 5.4 | 4.6 |
CIS[p 28] | 10–26 Apr 2023 | 2,630 | 20.9 | 21.9 | 0.9 | 13.6 | 7.6 | 4.3 | 25.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
Sonmerca/PSPV[p 104][p 105] | 21 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | 31.3 | 27.7 | 0.9 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 16.2 | 3.3 | 3.6 |
40dB/UP[p 106] | 23–28 Mar 2023 | 1,500 | 19.3 | 17.8 | – | 10.9 | 12.6 | 6.8 | – | – | 1.5 |
CIS[p 50] | 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 994 | 20.7 | 19.5 | 1.3 | 8.1 | 6.4 | 4.4 | 31.0 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[p 57] | 20 Sep–1 Oct 2022 | 1,510 | 16.8 | 13.2 | 0.8 | 7.8 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 43.0 | 7.2 | 3.6 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 19.6 | 16.4 | 5.5 | 4.9 | 13.1 | 9.5 | — | 28.3 | 3.2 |
2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | — | 21.2 | 14.5 | 9.2 | 5.4 | 4.6 | 6.2 | — | 35.2 | 6.7 |
2019 regional election | 28 Apr 2019 | — | 18.1 | 14.3 | 13.2 | 12.5 | 7.9 | 6.0 | — | 24.2 | 3.8 |
Victory preferences
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None |
Lead | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Invest Group/Levante-EMV[p 15] | 2–11 May 2023 | 1,500 | 24.4 | 28.2 | 1.3 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 23.8 | 3.8 | |
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[p 57] | 20 Sep–1 Oct 2022 | 1,510 | 32.0 | 30.9 | – | – | – | – | 4.1 | 33.0 | 1.1 |
Invest Group/Prensa Ibérica[p 82] | 20–29 Sep 2021 | 750 | 25.7 | 14.5 | 2.1 | 11.5 | 9.1 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 28.4 | 11.2 |
Invest Group/Prensa Ibérica[p 95] | 28 Sep–5 Oct 2020 | 750 | 22.3 | 13.1 | 5.5 | 10.4 | 7.2 | 6.5 | 24.0 | 11.0 | 9.2 |
Victory likelihood
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None |
Lead | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Invest Group/Levante-EMV[p 15] | 2–11 May 2023 | 1,500 | 32.2 | 38.0 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 20.0 | 5.8 | |
Sonmerca/PSPV[p 107] | 21 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | 44.4 | 32.4 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 19.9 | 12.0 |
Preferred President
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Valencian Government.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care |
Lead | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puig PSPV |
Mazón PP |
Merino CS |
Peris CS |
Oltra Compromís |
Baldoví Compromís |
Llanos Vox |
Vega Vox |
Flores Vox |
Lima UP |
Illueca UP | ||||||
40dB/Prisa[p 9] | 12–17 May 2023 | 1,200 | 24.8 | 21.3 | – | 3.4 | – | 15.6 | – | – | 12.0 | – | 2.8 | 8.8 | 11.3 | 3.5 |
40dB/Prisa[p 24] | 26 Apr–3 May 2023 | 1,200 | 26.5 | 19.0 | – | 3.3 | – | 15.6 | – | – | 11.5 | – | 2.2 | 11.8 | 10.0 | 7.5 |
Sonmerca/PSPV[p 104][p 108] | 21 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | 39.0 | 19.4 | – | 0.7 | – | 9.1 | – | – | 2.7 | – | 2.5 | – | 26.4 | 19.6 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 39] | 3–7 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | 31.0 | 29.6 | – | 4.1 | – | 15.5 | – | – | 12.1 | – | 7.7 | – | – | 1.4 |
PSPV[p 109] | 16 Mar 2023 | ? | 40.0 | 20.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20.0 |
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 54] | 3–7 Oct 2022 | 1,200 | 30.9 | 28.7 | – | 5.4 | – | 14.1 | 14.3 | – | – | 6.6 | – | – | – | 2.2 |
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica[p 57] | 20 Sep–1 Oct 2022 | 1,510 | 46.1 | 15.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 38.0 | 30.2 | |
SyM Consulting/EPDA[p 81] | 28–30 Sep 2021 | 1,565 | 25.3 | 27.6 | 3.5 | – | 19.2 | – | – | 14.4 | – | 4.3 | – | – | 5.7 | 2.3 |
SyM Consulting/EPDA[p 110] | 14–18 Jul 2021 | 1,066 | 25.7 | 25.2 | 3.8 | – | 18.8 | – | – | 10.4 | – | 9.0 | – | – | 7.1 | 0.5 |
Predicted President
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care |
Lead | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puig PSPV |
Mazón PP |
Merino CS |
Oltra Compromís |
Vega Vox |
Lima UP | ||||||
SyM Consulting/EPDA[p 81] | 28–30 Sep 2021 | 1,565 | 42.6 | 35.4 | 0.1 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 0.1 | – | 11.6 | 7.2 |
SyM Consulting/EPDA[p 110] | 14–18 Jul 2021 | 1,066 | 46.7 | 30.3 | 1.5 | 7.1 | 4.4 | 2.6 | – | 7.3 | 16.4 |
Results
[edit]Overall
[edit]Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
People's Party (PP) | 881,893 | 35.75 | +16.63 | 40 | +21 | |
Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV–PSOE) | 708,142 | 28.70 | +4.49 | 31 | +4 | |
Commitment: Més–Initiative–Greens Equo (Compromís) | 357,989 | 14.51 | –2.17 | 15 | –2 | |
Vox (Vox) | 310,184 | 12.57 | +1.98 | 13 | +3 | |
United We Can–United Left (Unides Podem–EUPV) | 88,152 | 3.57 | –4.53 | 0 | –8 | |
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS) | 37,095 | 1.50 | –16.20 | 0 | –18 | |
Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)1 | 20,836 | 0.84 | –0.61 | 0 | ±0 | |
The Eco-pacifist Greens (Centro Moderado)2 | 4,846 | 0.20 | –0.12 | 0 | ±0 | |
Republican Left of the Valencian Country (ERPV) | 4,570 | 0.19 | ±0.00 | 0 | ±0 | |
United Coalition (Units) | 4,266 | 0.17 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) | 3,815 | 0.15 | –0.02 | 0 | ±0 | |
Zero Cuts (Recortes Cero) | 2,926 | 0.12 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Decide (Decidix) | 2,373 | 0.10 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Blank Seats to Leave Empty Seats (EB) | 2,090 | 0.08 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Valencian Republic–European Valencianist Party (RV–PVE) | 1,745 | 0.07 | –0.01 | 0 | ±0 | |
Alliance for the Commerce and Housing (AlianzaCV) | 1,689 | 0.07 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | 1,373 | 0.06 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Centered in Our Land (Centrats) | 1,326 | 0.05 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Regionalist Alicantine Party–Citizen Hope (PAR–EsC) | 641 | 0.03 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Blank ballots | 31,035 | 1.26 | +0.50 | |||
Total | 2,466,986 | 99 | ±0 | |||
Valid votes | 2,466,986 | 98.75 | +0.17 | |||
Invalid votes | 31,104 | 1.25 | –0.17 | |||
Votes cast / turnout | 2,498,090 | 66.96 | –6.76 | |||
Abstentions | 1,232,569 | 33.04 | +6.76 | |||
Registered voters | 3,730,659 | |||||
Sources[44] | ||||||
Footnotes:
|
Distribution by constituency
[edit]Constituency | PP | PSPV | Compr. | Vox | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | |
Alicante | 39.3 | 15 | 29.5 | 11 | 10.2 | 4 | 12.3 | 5 |
Castellón | 36.0 | 10 | 30.2 | 8 | 13.1 | 3 | 13.1 | 3 |
Valencia | 33.6 | 15 | 27.9 | 12 | 17.4 | 8 | 12.6 | 5 |
Total | 35.7 | 40 | 28.7 | 31 | 14.5 | 15 | 12.6 | 13 |
Sources[44] |
Aftermath
[edit]Investiture Carlos Mazón (PP) | ||
Ballot → | 13 July 2023 | |
---|---|---|
Required majority → | 50 out of 99 | |
53 / 99
| ||
46 / 99
| ||
Abstentions | 0 / 99
| |
Absentees | 0 / 99
| |
Sources[45][46] |
Notes
[edit]- ^ Jesús Salmerón, Cristina Gabarda, José Antonio Martínez and Sunsi Sanchis, former Cs legislators,[24] joined the PP in September 2021.[25]
- ^ Vicente Fernández, former Cs legislator;[25] Rebeca Serna, former Vox legislator.[26]
- ^ Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
- ^ Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
- ^ Vote+Simpathy figures with undecided and/or abstentionists excluded.
References
[edit]- Opinion poll sources
- ^ "El PP guanya les eleccions i governaria la Generalitat i les tres capitals, segons el sondeig de GAD3". À Punt (in Catalan). 28 May 2023.
- ^ "Elecciones autonómicas: El PP arrebataría al PSOE la Comunidad Valenciana, Castilla-La Mancha y La Rioja". La Razón (in Spanish). 22 May 2023.
- ^ "Ximo Puig podría mantener el gobierno a pesar de la caída de Podemos y Compromís". Público (in Spanish). 21 May 2023.
- ^ "El PP y Vox alcanzan la mayoría absoluta y podrán echar a Ximo Puig de la Generalitat Valenciana". OKDiario (in Spanish). 17 April 2023.
- ^ "PP y Vox lograrían mayoría absoluta en la Comunidad Valenciana y confirmarían el fin del tripartito de Puig". El Debate (in Spanish). 22 May 2023.
- ^ "PP y Vox arrebatarían la Comunidad Valenciana a la izquierda por el colapso de Podemos". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 21 May 2023.
- ^ "Feijóo acaricia un doble golpe a la izquierda desde Valencia". El Mundo (in Spanish). 22 May 2023.
- ^ "Un repunte del PP estrecha aún más la batalla por la Generalitat Valenciana". El País (in Spanish). 21 May 2023.
- ^ a b c "2º Informe preelectoral para Comunidad Valenciana. Mayo 2023" (PDF). 40dB (in Spanish). 21 May 2023.
- ^ "¿Gobernará la izquierda en Valencia? Este sondeo explica qué puede pasar el 28-M". El Plural (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
- ^ "EP Autonómico (20My – Final): nos espera un 28M de infarto". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
- ^ "PP y Vox, con la mayoría a su alcance y con Podemos que cae al 5,1% de voto". Las Provincias (in Spanish). 18 May 2023.
- ^ "Encuesta DYM. El PP ganaría las elecciones valencianas con un empate técnico entre los dos bloques". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 19 May 2023.
- ^ "Carlos Mazón aventaja a Ximo Puig en 6,3 puntos y gobernaría la Generalitat por la caída de Podemos". El Español (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
- ^ a b c "El PP gana, pero el Botànic resiste por la mínima". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 21 May 2023.
- ^ "El pronóstico electoral sobre lo qué pasará en Valencia explica que si la izquierda se moviliza volverá a gobernar". El Plural (in Spanish). 13 May 2023.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Autonómico (13M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 13 May 2023.
- ^ "El PP gana en la Comunidad Valenciana y roza la Generalitat". ABC (in Spanish). 12 May 2023.
- ^ "La suma de PP y Vox ganaría la Comunidad y el Ayuntamiento de Valencia". VozPópuli (in Spanish). 18 May 2023.
- ^ "[AUT] COMUNITAT VALENCIANA. Encuesta SocioMétrica 18/05/2023: UP-EUPV 5,7% (0/5), COMPROMÍS 15,2% (15), PSOE 25,3% (28/30), CS 3,2%, PP 31,6% (34/36), VOX 16,0% (16/17)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 18 May 2023.
- ^ "Encuesta ESdiario: Mazón llega a la Generalitat frente a un Puig estancado". ESdiario (in Spanish). 9 May 2023.
- ^ "Las izquierdas del Pacte del Botànic revalidarán su mayoría en la Comunitat Valenciana". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 7 May 2023.
- ^ "La izquierda mantendrá el Gobierno valenciano por la mínima, según la encuesta de 40dB". El País (in Spanish). 8 May 2023.
- ^ a b c "Informe preelectoral para Comunidad Valenciana. Mayo 2023" (PDF). 40dB (in Spanish). 8 May 2023.
- ^ "El pronóstico electoral sobre lo qué pasará en Valencia el 28 de mayo dibuja una elecciones de infarto". El Plural (in Spanish). 6 May 2023.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Autonómico (6M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 6 May 2023.
- ^ "El PP desbancaría al PSOE en la Comunidad Valenciana en las elecciones del 28M, según el barómetro de Sigma Dos". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 26 April 2023.
- ^ a b "Preelectoral elecciones municipales y autonómicas 2023. Comunitat Valenciana (Estudio nº 3402. Abril 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2023.
- ^ "Estimación de voto. Municipios, grandes ciudades y Comunidades Autónomas (Estudio nº 3402. Abril 2023)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2023.
- ^ "Comunidad Valenciana / Escenario electoral ajustado con un PSOE que acaricia el gobierno". El Plural (in Spanish). 29 April 2023.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Autonómico (29A)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 29 April 2023.
- ^ "Puig evitará ministros en campaña, y Sánchez volverá a Valencia un día antes que Feijóo". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 22 April 2023.
- ^ "Comunidad Valenciana / La izquierda, a solo dos diputados de conservar el Gobierno". El Plural (in Spanish). 23 April 2023.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Autonómico (22A)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 22 April 2023.
- ^ "El PP arrebatará la Generalitat Valenciana a Ximo Puig al sumar mayoría absoluta con Vox". OKDiario (in Spanish). 17 April 2023.
- ^ "El PP gana 18 nuevos diputados a costa de Cs, pero necesita a Vox en la Comunidad Valenciana". La Razón (in Spanish). 17 April 2023.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Comunidad Valenciana / Subida de un PSOE que aspira a repetir gobierno". El Plural (in Spanish). 15 April 2023.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Autonómico (15A) – varias CCAA en un puño". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 April 2023.
- ^ a b "Carlos Mazón ya aventaja en 6,7 puntos a Ximo Puig y gobernaría por el pinchazo de Compromís y Podemos". El Español (in Spanish). 12 April 2023.
- ^ "El aguante de Podemos, clave para romper el empate técnico en la Comunidad Valenciana". El Mundo (in Spanish). 9 April 2023.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Comunidad Valenciana / PP y Vox podrán gobernar juntos". El Plural (in Spanish). 8 April 2023.
- ^ "EP Autonómico 8A – comienza el juego". Electomanía (in Spanish). 8 April 2023.
- ^ "Empate técnico entre el bloque de la izquierda y la derecha en el País Valencià". Público (in Spanish). 19 March 2023.
- ^ "El alza del PP y la caída de Compromís y Podemos podrían dar un giro al Gobierno de la Comunitat Valenciana". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 13 March 2023.
- ^ "Un sondeo encargado por Compromís deja fuera de Les Corts a Podem pero con opciones de Botànic III". Valencia Plaza (in Spanish). 31 March 2023.
- ^ "PP y Vox ya superan al tripartito y tienen en su mano la Generalitat". El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 March 2023.
- ^ "PP y Vox están a un escaño de alcanzar la mayoría absoluta en la Comunidad Valenciana". OKDiario (in Spanish). 19 February 2023.
- ^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones en la Comunidad Valenciana y podría gobernar con Vox por la mínima". El Debate (in Spanish). 20 February 2023.
- ^ "PSOE y PP manejan encuestas que les dan entre 34 y 37 escaños: la Generalitat pende de la entrada de Podemos". VozPópuli (in Spanish). 7 February 2023.
- ^ a b "Macroencuesta sobre tendencias en voto autonómico (Estudio nº 3386. Noviembre-diciembre 2022)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 22 December 2022.
- ^ "Estimación de escaños elecciones autonómicas (Estudio nº 3386. Macroencuesta sobre tendencias en voto autonómico)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 22 December 2022.
- ^ "Ximo Puig resiste una tercera legislatura con un PP como primera fuerza a dos escaños de sumar con Vox". El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 November 2022.
- ^ "Vuelco en la Comunidad Valenciana: el PP de Mazón supera a Puig y Compromís y gobernaría con Vox". OKDiario (in Spanish). 9 November 2022.
- ^ a b "Carlos Mazón aventaja a Ximo Puig y podría gobernar con Vox, pero la distancia se acorta tras la bajada de IRPF". El Español (in Spanish). 9 October 2022.
- ^ "COMUNITAT VALENCIANA. Encuesta SocioMétrica 09/10/2022: PODEM-EUPV 6,7% (5/6), COMPROMÍS 13,9% (12/13), PSOE 26,7% (29/30), Cs 2,9%, PP 29,9% (33/34), VOX 17,4% (17/18)". Electograph (in Spanish). 9 October 2022.
- ^ "Encuesta ESdiario (I): Mazón gana la presidencia a Puig pese a su giro fiscal". ESdiario (in Spanish). 7 October 2022.
- ^ a b c d "El Botànic resiste frente a un PP al alza que sería primera fuerza en Corts". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 9 October 2022.
- ^ "El PP maneja encuestas que le dan el Gobierno en la Generalitat Valenciana". ABC (in Spanish). 29 September 2022.
- ^ "El último sondeo del PP sitúa a Mazón como presidente con el apoyo de Vox". VozPópuli (in Spanish). 6 October 2022.
- ^ "La izquierda retendría la Generalitat Valenciana, según el sondeo de SyM Consulting de El Periódico de Aquí". El Periódico de Aquí (in Spanish). 26 September 2022.
- ^ "COMUNITAT VALENCIANA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 26/09/2022: PODEM-EUPV 9,4% (9/10), COMPROMÍS 17,7% (17/18), PSOE 23,9% (25/26), Cs 1,3%, PP 29,4% (30/32), VOX 14,7% (15/16)". Electograph (in Spanish). 26 September 2022.
- ^ "Una encuesta del PSPV proyecta una victoria ajustada de la izquierda". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 4 September 2022.
- ^ "Recta final de la legislatura en la Comunitat Valenciana con muchas leyes por aprobar y con la vista puesta en las elecciones". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 4 September 2022.
- ^ "EP Com. Valenciana (6Jl): avance del PP, que recuperaría el gobierno en la Comunitat". Electomanía (in Spanish). 6 July 2022.
- ^ "Vuelco en la Comunidad Valenciana: el PP ya aventaja en 6 puntos al PSOE y Compromís se desinfla". El Español (in Spanish). 3 July 2022.
- ^ "COMUNITAT VALENCIANA. Encuesta SocioMétrica 03/07/2022: PODEM-EUPV 7,8% (8), COMPROMÍS 11,9% (10), PSOE 25,0% (27), Cs 2,7%, PP 31,4% (35), VOX 17,9% (19)". Electograph (in Spanish). 3 July 2022.
- ^ "Encuesta ESdiario: El caso Oltra hunde a Compromís y el PP gana la Generalitat". ESdiario (in Spanish). 26 June 2022.
- ^ "Encuesta ESdiario: Empate de bloques con Vox disparado y un Puig que aguanta". ESdiario (in Spanish). 31 May 2022.
- ^ "Empate técnico entre bloques, pero con un PSPV a la baja y el PP a sólo 7 décimas". Las Provincias (in Spanish). 23 May 2022.
- ^ "La subida del PP y de Vox reduce el colchón de Puig a un diputado en la Comunidad Valenciana". El Mundo (in Spanish). 8 January 2022.
- ^ "Encuesta Comunidad Valenciana". El Mundo (in Spanish). 8 January 2022. Archived from the original on 8 January 2022. Retrieved 8 January 2022.
- ^ "COMUNITAT VALENCIANA. Encuesta SigmaDos 08/01/2022: PODEM-EUPV 7,5% (6/7), COMPROMÍS 14,7% (14), PSOE 28,3% (30/32), Cs 4,5% (0/2), PP 27,6% (30/31), VOX 14,9% (15/16)". Electograph (in Spanish). 8 January 2022.
- ^ "La derecha ya toca las puertas del Palau de la Generalitat". ESdiario (in Spanish). 16 December 2021.
- ^ "El PP ganaría y arrebataría la Generalitat a Puig con un pacto con Vox". La Razón (in Spanish). 29 November 2021.
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- ^ "Los sondeos internos del PP dan impulso a Mazón y Catalá en la batalla por Valencia". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 3 October 2021.
- ^ "Encuesta EsdiarioCV: el PP gana la Generalitat con Vox por la caída de Compromís". ESdiario (in Spanish). 2 October 2021.
- ^ "COMUNITAT VALENCIANA. Encuesta Demoscopia y Servicios 02/10/2021: PODEM-EUPV 5,9% (5), COMPROMÍS 15,7% (14), PSOE 26,7% (30), Cs 3,0%, PP 27,8% (31), VOX 18,2% (19)". Electograph (in Spanish). 2 October 2021.
- ^ a b c "El PP se afianza como primera fuerza pero la izquierda aún supera a la derecha a nivel autonómico" (PDF). El Periódico de Aquí (in Spanish). 8 October 2021.
- ^ a b "El Botànic llega fuerte a la nueva normalidad y aumenta su ventaja". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 8 October 2021.
- ^ "COMUNITAT VALENCIANA. Encuesta Invest Group 08/10/2021: PODEM-EUPV 9,2% (10), COMPROMÍS 15,4% (16), PSOE 31,3% (36), Cs 3,4%, PP 21,6% (24), VOX 12,8% (13)". Electograph (in Spanish). 8 October 2021.
- ^ "Gobernará Mazón". Terreta Radio (in Spanish). 14 September 2021.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Com. Valenciana (31JL): el Botànic conservaría la absoluta". Electomanía (in Spanish). 2 September 2021.
- ^ "COMUNITAT VALENCIANA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 30/07/2021: PODEM-EUPV 8,0% (7/8), COMPROMÍS 17,0% (17), PSOE 24,4% (26/27), Cs 5,2% (3), PP 26,3% (28/29), VOX 15,7% (15/18)". Electograph (in Spanish). 31 July 2021.
- ^ "Encuesta ESdiario: El PP gana las elecciones y Podemos salva al Botànic". ESdiario (in Spanish). 2 July 2021.
- ^ "EP Comunitat Valenciana (30A): el Botànic en plena forma. La subida de PP y Vox no contrarresta del todo el bajón de Cs". Electomanía (in Spanish). 30 April 2021.
- ^ "Puig amplía la mayoría del Botánico pese al crecimiento de PP y Vox". Las Provincias (in Spanish). 25 April 2021.
- ^ "La última encuesta de Bonig: PP y Vox se comen a Cs y empatan con el Botànic de Puig". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 12 May 2021.
- ^ "COMUNITAT VALENCIANA. Encuesta Metroscopia 12/05/2021 (interna PP): PODEM-EUPV 7,5% (7/8), COMPROMÍS 13,3% (12/14), PSOE 28,0% (29/31), Cs 2,3%, PP 28,2% (30/31), VOX 17,8% (18/19)". Electograph (in Spanish). 12 May 2021.
- ^ "Encuesta ESDiario: Más ventaja del PSPV, Vox se acerca al PP y Compromís, baja". ESdiario (in Spanish). 7 March 2021.
- ^ "El centro derecha recuperaría la Generalitat, según un sondeo de Cs". La Provincia (in Spanish). 7 November 2020.
- ^ "El descalabro de Ciudadanos abre a Puig y Oltra las puertas de un tercer mandato". ESdiario (in Spanish). 9 October 2020.
- ^ a b "El bloque de la izquierda resiste a la pandemia y aumenta su ventaja". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 9 October 2020.
- ^ "La izquierda mantendría la Generalitat Valenciana pese a la gran subida de Vox a costa de Ciudadanos, según un sondeo de SyM Consulting para El Periódico de Aquí". El Periódico de Aquí (in Spanish). 8 October 2020.
- ^ "ElectoPanel (31Jul): el Botànic se mantiene por el empuje de Compromis. Subidón de EH Bildu tras el 12J". Electomanía (in Spanish). 31 July 2020.
- ^ "Sondeo ESdiario: El PSPV de Puig resiste ante la escalada del PP". ESdiario (in Spanish). 23 June 2020.
- ^ "Estimación resultados electorales. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 27 May 2020.
- ^ "COMUNITAT VALENCIANA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 27/05/2020: UP-EUPV 7,4% (7/8), COMPROMÍS 15,1% (14/15), PSOE 24,6% (25/26), Cs 12,0% (11), PP 23,4% (25/26), VOX 13,9% (14/16)". Electograph (in Spanish). 27 May 2020.
- ^ "EP (17My): Com. Valenciana – desplome de Cs que aprovechan PP y Vox. Se mantiene el Botanic". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
- ^ "MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
- ^ "La izquierda toma ventaja". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 9 October 2019.
- ^ a b "Una encuesta del PSPV da la mayor intención de voto a Puig, casi cuatro puntos por encima del PP". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 21 April 2023.
- ^ "Los sondeos del PSPV colocan a Puig por delante del PP y le invitan a no arriesgar en campaña". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 21 April 2023.
- ^ "Unides Podem rozaría el 7% en intención de voto y se perfila como "fuerza decisiva" el 28M, según una encuesta". Europa Press (in Spanish). 21 April 2023.
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- ^ "¿Cuál preferiría que fuera el próximo President de la Generalitat?". PSPV (in Spanish). 23 April 2023.
- ^ "Las encuestas del PSOE dibujan continuidad en la Comunidad Valenciana: Puig y Ribó repetirán". The Objective (in Spanish). 16 March 2023.
- ^ a b "La mayoría (46'7%) cree que Puig será de nuevo presidente de la Generalitat Valenciana, según el sondeo autonómico de SyM Consulting para El Periódico DE AQUÍ". El Periódico de Aquí (in Spanish). 3 August 2021.
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- ^ Rodríguez, Elísabeth (27 May 2022). "Ximo Puig dice que la planta de Volkswagen es un "impulso determinante" al modelo productivo de Valencia" (in Spanish). Alicante: Europa Press. Retrieved 22 June 2022.
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- ^ Valencian SoA (1982), tit. III, ch. II, art. 21–26.
- ^ Valencian El. Law (1987), tit. I, ch. I, art. 2.
- ^ Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
- ^ Araque Conde, Pilar (8 June 2022). "El Congreso acaba con el voto rogado: diez años de trabas burocráticas para los residentes en el extranjero". Público (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 31 July 2022.
- ^ Valencian SoA (1982), tit. III, ch. II, art. 23–24.
- ^ Valencian El. Law (1987), tit. II, art. 10–12.
- ^ a b "Decreto 3/2023, de 3 de abril, del president de la Generalitat, de disolución de las Corts y de convocatoria de elecciones a estas" (PDF). Diari Oficial de la Generalitat Valenciana (in Spanish) (9568): 20450–20451. 4 April 2023. ISSN 0212-8195.
- ^ Valencian SoA (1982), tit. III, ch. II, art. 23.
- ^ Valencian El. Law (1987), tit. III, art. 14.
- ^ LOREG (1985), tit. I, ch. V, art. 42.
- ^ Valencian SoA (1982), tit. III, ch. III, art. 27.
- ^ Dávila, Carlos (5 November 2021). "Persistente runrún electoral". El Día de Valladolid (in Spanish). Retrieved 9 November 2021.
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- ^ "Puig rechaza un adelanto electoral y pone en valor la estabilidad del Botànic". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). Valencia. 26 December 2021. Retrieved 26 December 2021.
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- ^ a b "Cuatro tránsfugas de Cs en las Cortes Valencianas se pasan al PP en vísperas de la Convención de Casado". El Español (in Spanish). 29 September 2021. Retrieved 29 September 2021.
- ^ "La diputada Rebeca Serna deja Vox y pasa al grupo de no adscritos". Valencia Plaza (in Spanish). 23 August 2021. Retrieved 23 August 2021.
- ^ Valencian El. Law (1987), tit. V, ch. I, art. 26.
- ^ LOREG (1985), tit. I, ch. VI, art. 44.
- ^ Enguix, Salvador (3 September 2021). "Ximo Puig afronta sin oposición su reelección como líder del PSPV". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). Valencia. Retrieved 23 September 2021.
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- ^ Enguix, Salvador; Sanjuán, Héctor (21 June 2022). "Mónica Oltra dimite de sus cargos institucionales tras la imputación del TSJ valenciano". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). Valencia. Retrieved 21 June 2022.
- ^ Gozalbo, Marta (29 September 2022). "Joan Baldoví, candidato de Compromís a la Generalitat en 2023". Valencia Plaza (in Spanish). Valencia. Retrieved 29 September 2022.
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Bibliography
[edit]- Ley Orgánica 5/1982, de 1 de julio, de Estatuto de Autonomía de la Comunidad Valenciana (Organic Law 1/1982). Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Vol. 164. 1 July 1982 [version as of 28 December 2022]. ISSN 0212-033X. BOE-A-1982-17235. Retrieved 25 November 2023.
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