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Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 Super Tuesday Democratic Party presidential primaries

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Main article: Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008

This article is a collection of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Super Tuesday Democratic presidential primaries, 2008.

Polling

[edit]

Alabama

[edit]

AlabamaAlabama winner: Barack Obama
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Total Delegates At Stake 52
Total Delegates Won To be determined
See also Alabama Democratic Presidential Preference

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual Result (100% precincts reporting)[1] February 5, 2008 Obama 56%, Clinton 42%
InsiderAdvantage[2]

Sampling Size: 408
Margin of Error:

February 3, 2008 Obama 45%, Clinton 44%, Other 3%, Undecided 8%
Capital Survey Research Center[3]

Margin of Error: 5.1± %

February 2, 2008 Obama 44.4%, Clinton 37.4%, Other responses 18.2%
Rasmussen Reports[4]

Sampling Size: 576
Margin of Error: 4±%

January 31, 2008 Clinton 46%, Obama 41%, other 7%, undecided 6%
InsiderAdvantage[5]

Sampling Size: 424
Margin of Error: 5±%

January 31, 2008 Clinton 46%, Obama 40%, other 5%, undecided 9%
Survey USA[6]

Sampling Size: 586
Margin of Error: ± 4.1%

January 30–31, 2008 Obama 47%, Clinton 47%, Other 5%, Undecided 2%
Capital Survey Research Center[7]

Margin of Error: ± 5%

January 30, 2008 Obama 40%, Clinton 35%, Edwards 9%, Undecided 16%
Rasmussen Reports[4]

Sampling Size: 649
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 23, 2008 Clinton 43%, Obama 28%, John Edwards 16%, Undecided 23%
Press Register/University of South Alabama[8]

Sampling Size: 439
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 7–15, 2008 Hillary Clinton 31%, Obama 28%, John Edwards 8%, Undecided 33%
Capital Survey Research Center[9]

Margin of Error: ± 6%

January 11, 2008 Obama 36%, Clinton 34%, Edwards 9%, Other 1%, Undecided 21%
Capital Survey Research Center[10]

Margin of Error: ± 4.7%

November 19–20, 2007; November 26–27, 2007 Clinton 46%, Obama 25%, Edwards 6%
Capital Survey Research Center[11] August 14–16, 2007; September 17–19, 2007 Clinton 45%, Obama 24%, Edwards 9%, Al Gore 8%, Others 3%, undecided 10%
American Research Group[12] July 30, 2007 – August 2, 2007 Clinton 38%, Edwards 19%, Obama 17%, Biden 4%, Richardson 4%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Clark -, Gravel -, undecided 16%
Capital Survey Research Center[13] July 11–13, 2007; July 16–19, 2007 Clinton 33%, Obama 29%, Edwards 9%, Gore 6%
Mobile Register-University of South Alabama[14] April 16–19, 2007 Clinton 33%, Obama 25%, Edwards 12%, Gore 8%, Biden 1%, Kucinich 1%, Richardson 1%, Dodd <1%, undecided 19%
Capital Survey Research Center[15] February 19–22, 2007 Clinton 35%, Obama 19%, Edwards 9%, Gore 8%, Other 8%, undecided 21%
American Research Group[16] February 8–13, 2007 Clinton 44%, Obama 13%, Edwards 11%, Clark 3%, Dodd 3%, Richardson 1%, Tom Vilsack 1%, undecided 23%
Capital Survey Research Center Poll[17] January 20, 2007 Clinton 27%, Obama 19%, Edwards 14%, Gore 11%

Arizona

[edit]

ArizonaArizona winner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Total Delegates At Stake 56
Total Delegates Won To be determined
See also Arizona Democratic Presidential Preference

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual Result (100% precincts reporting)[18] February 5, 2008 Clinton 51%, Obama 42%
Rasmussen Reports[19]

Sampling Size: 537
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 31, 2008 Clinton 46%, Obama 41%, Other 12%, Undecided 3%
Mason-Dixon[20]

Sampling Size: 400
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 30 – February 1, 2008 Clinton 43%, Obama 41%, undecided 13%
Behavior Research Center[21]

Margin of Error: ±6.5%

 January 20–24, 2008 Clinton 37%, Obama 27%, Edwards 15%, Undecided 18%
Arizona State University[22]

Sampling Size: 366
Margin of Error: ±5.1%

January 17–20, 2008 Clinton 45%, Obama 24%, Edwards 9%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 21%
Cronkite/Eight Poll[23]

Margin of Error: ± 6.8%

November 15–18, 2007 Clinton 41%, Obama 23%, Edwards 14%, Richardson 9%, undecided 13%
Rocky Mountain Poll[24] November 12–15, 2007 Clinton 44%, Obama 14%, Edwards 11%, Richardson 2%, Kucinich 1%, Biden -%, undecided 27%
American Research Group[25] October 5–9, 2007 Clinton 41%, Edwards 16%, Obama 14%, Richardson 7%, Biden 4%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd 2%, Gravel -, undecided 14%
American Research Group[26] July 23–26, 2007 Clinton 39%, Obama 25%, Richardson 9%, Edwards 8%, Biden 1%, Clark 1%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, undecided 16%
Rocky Mountain Poll[27] May 24–29, 2007 Clinton 26%, Obama 22%, Gore 13%, Richardson 7%, Edwards 7%, other 5%, undecided 20%
Cronkite/Eight Poll[28] April 19–22, 2007 Clinton 25%, Obama 20%, Edwards 18%, Gore 17%, undecided 20%
Cronkite/Eight Poll[29] 27 February 2007 Clinton 28%, Obama 24%, Gore 16%, Edwards 14%, undecided 18%
American Research Group[30] 8–13 February 2007 Clinton 33%, Obama 24%, Edwards 13%, Richardson 4%, Vilsack 3%, Clark 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 22%
Behavior Research Center/Rocky Mountain Poll[31] 24 January 2007 Clinton 32%, Obama 18%, Edwards 15%, Gore 15%, Kerry 5%, Biden 3%, undecided 12%
Cronkite/Eight Poll[32] 24 January 2007 Obama 29%, Clinton 23%, Edwards 15%, Gore 12%, undecided 21%

Arkansas

[edit]

ArkansasArkansas winner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Delegates At Stake 35
Delegates Won To be determined
See also Arkansas Democratic Presidential Preference

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual Result (100% precincts reporting)[33] February 5, 2008 Clinton 69%, Obama 27%
Global Strategy Group[34]

Sampling Size: 608
Margin of Error: ±4.4%

December 14, 2007 Clinton 57%, Obama 17%, Edwards 14%, Richardson 1%, undecided 11%
American Research Group[12] March 16–19, 2007 Clinton 49%, Obama 16%, Edwards 12%, Richardson 2%, Clark 8%, Biden 2%, Dodd 0%, Gravel 0%, Kucinich 0%, undecided 11%

California

[edit]

CaliforniaCalifornia winner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Delegates At Stake 370
Delegates Won To be determined
See also [1]Pollster[2]

Poll source Date Highlights
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby[35]

Sampling Size: 895
Margin of Error: ±3.3%

February 3–4, 2008 Obama 49%, Clinton 36%, Gravel 1%, Someone Else 5%, Undecided 9%
Survey USA[36]

Sampling Size: 872
Margin of Error: ±3.4%

February 3–4, 2008 Clinton 52%, Obama 42%, Other 4%, Undecided 2%
Survey USA[37]

Sampling Size: 853
Margin of Error: ±3.4%

February 2–3, 2008 Clinton 53%, Obama 41%, Other 4%, Undecided 2%
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby[38]

Sampling Size: 967
Margin of Error: ±3.2%

February 1–3, 2008 Obama 46%, Clinton 40%, Gravel 1%, Someone Else 5%, Undecided 9%
Rasmussen Reports[39]

Sampling Size: 798
Margin of Error: ±4%

February 2, 2008 Obama 45%, Clinton 44%, Undecided 5%
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby[40]

Sampling Size: 1,141
Margin of Error: ±2.9%

January 31 – February 2, 2008 Obama 45%, Clinton 41%, Gravel 1%, Undecided 15%
Suffolk University[41]

Sampling Size: 700

 January 31 – February 1, 2008 Obama 39.8%, Clinton 38.6%, Undecided 18.8%, Refused 2.7%
Mason-Dixon[20]

Sampling Size: 400
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 30 – February 1, 2008 Clinton 45%, Obama 36%, undecided 16%
Field[42]

Sampling Size: 511
Margin of Error: ±4.5%

January 25 – February 1, 2008 Clinton 36%, Obama 34%, Other 12%, Undecided 18%
Rasmussen Reports[43]

Sampling Size: 807
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 29, 2008 Clinton 43%, Obama 40%, Edwards 9%, Other 4%, Undecided 4%
Survey USA[44]

Sampling Size: 888
Margin of Error: ±3.4%

January 27, 2008 Clinton 49%, Obama 38%, Edwards 9%, Other 2%, Undecided 2%
Politico/CNN/Los Angeles Times[45]

Sampling Size: 690
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 23–27, 2008 Clinton 49%, Obama 32%, Edwards 14%, Undecided 4%
USA Today/Gallup[46]

Sampling Size: 779
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 23–26, 2008 Clinton 47%, Obama 35%, Edwards 10%, Other 2%, Undecided 6%
Public Policy Institute of California[47]

Sampling Size: 543
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 13–20, 2008 Clinton 43%, Obama 28%, Edwards 11%, Kucinich 5%, Richardson 1%, Other 1%, Undecided 11%
Field[48]

Sampling Size: 377
Margin of Error: ±5.2%

January 14–20, 2008 Clinton 39%, Obama 27%, Edwards 10%, Other 4%, Undecided 20%
Rasmussen[49]

Sampling Size: 897
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 14, 2008 Clinton 38%, Obama 33%, Edwards 12%, Kucinich 3%, Undecided 13%
Survey USA[50]

Sampling Size: 810
Margin of Error: ±3.5%

January 11–13, 2008 Clinton 50%, Obama 35%, Edwards 10%, Other 3%, Undecided 2%
Politico/CNN/Los Angeles Times[51]

Sampling Size: 384
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 11–13, 2008 Clinton 47%, Obama 31%, Edwards 10%, Undecided 6%
Field Research Corp.[52]

Sample Size: 457
Margin of Error: ± 4.7%

December 10–17, 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 22%, Edwards 13%, Richardson 3%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 0%, Undecided 20%
Survey USA[53] December 14–16, 2007 Clinton 49%, Obama 30%, Edwards 14%, Other 5%, Undecided 3%
Public Policy Institute of California[54] November 27 – December 4, 2007 Clinton 44%, Obama 20%, Edwards 12%
Survey USA[55] November 30 – December 2, 2007 Clinton 50%, Obama 24%, Edwards 16%, Other 7%, Undecided 3%
Datamar[56] November 23–29, 2007 Clinton 54.0%, Obama 16.1%, Edwards 8.9%, Kucinich 4.9%, Richardson 4.8%, Biden 1.6%, Dodd 1.2%, undecided 8.5%
Survey USA[57] November 2–4, 2007 Clinton 53%, Obama 25%, Edwards 13%, Other 6%, Undecided 3%
The Field[58] October 11–21, 2007 Clinton 45%, Obama 20%, Edwards 11%, Richardson 4%, Kucinich 3%, Biden 3%, Dodd -%, Gravel -%, Undecided 14%
Survey USA[59] October 12–14, 2007 Clinton 57%, Obama 20%, Edwards 13%, Other 6%, Undecided 6%
Survey and Policy Research Institute at San Jose State University[60] October 1–8, 2007 Clinton 42%, Obama 20%, Edwards 14%, Others 5%
PPIC[61] September 4–11, 2007 Clinton 41%, Obama 23%, Edwards 14%, Richardson 3%, Kucinich 3%, Biden 2%, Dodd -%, Gravel -%, other 1%, undecided 13%
Survey USA[62] September 7–9, 2007 Clinton 51%, Obama 27%, Edwards 14%
The Field Poll[63] August 3–12, 2007 Clinton 49%, Obama 19%, Edwards 10%, Richardson 3%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 1%, undecided 12%
Survey USA[64] August 2–5, 2007 Clinton 51%, Obama 27%, Edwards 14%, Other 6%, undecided 3%
American Research Group[12] July 30–2 August 2007 Clinton 35%, Obama 22%, Edwards 16%, Biden 5%, Richardson 5%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Clark -, Gravel -, undecided 15%
Survey USA[65] June 29 – July 1, 2007 Clinton 49%, Obama 24%, Edwards 14%, Other 9%, undecided 3%
San Jose State California Primary[66] June 18–22, 2007 Clinton 37%, Obama 15%, Edwards 15%, Other 33%
Datamar[67] June 6–11, 2007 Clinton 36.9%, Obama 24.3%, Edwards 14.8%, Richardson 6.5%, Biden 4.5%, Kucinich 2.4%, Gravel .8%, Dodd 0%, undecided 9.9%
Survey USA[68] June 1–3, 2007 Clinton 46%, Obama 28%, Edwards 14%, Other 8%, undecided 4%
American Research Group[69] May 4–8, 2007 Clinton 37%, Obama 28%, Edwards 15%, Richardson 3%, Biden 2%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 2%, Clark -, Gravel -, undecided 11%
Survey USA[70] May 5–6, 2007 Clinton 48%, Obama 27%, Edwards 15%, Other 7%, undecided 3%
Working Californians[71] April 9–12, 2007 Clinton 38%, Obama 19%, Edwards 17%, Other/Undecided 26%
Survey USA[72] March 30 – April 1, 2007 Clinton 43%, Obama 26%, Edwards 17%, Richardson 4%, Other 4%, undecided 5%
The Field (without Gore)[73] March 20–21 March 2007 Clinton 41%, Obama 28%, Edwards 13%, Richardson 4%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd 0%, undecided 9%
The Field (with Gore)[74] March 20–21 March 2007 Clinton 31%, Gore 25%, Obama 21%, Edwards 8%, Richardson 3%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 0%, undecided 9%
Survey USA[75] March 3–5, 2007 Clinton 44%, Obama 31%, Edwards 10%, Richardson 4%, Other 5%, undecided 6%
Datamar[76] 9–13 February 2007 Clinton 34.3%, Obama 23.6%, Edwards 16.2%, Richardson 7.2%, Kucinich 4.2%, Biden 3.9%, Dodd 0.8%, Gravel 0.3%, Vilsack 0.2%, undecided 9.2%
American Research Group[77] 4–7 January 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 33%, Edwards 6%, Kerry 4%, Clark 2%, Biden 1%, Kucinich 1%, Richardson 1%, Dodd 0%, undecided 16%

Colorado

[edit]

ColoradoColorado winner: Obama
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Delegates At Stake 55
Delegates Won To be determined
See also Colorado Democratic Presidential Preference

Poll source Date Highlights
Mason-Dixon[78]

Margin of Error: ± 3.5%

January 21–23, 2008 Obama 34%, Clinton 32%, Edwards 17%, Undecided 14%
American Research Group[79] September 15–18, 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 20%, Edwards 19%, Richardson 5%, Biden 3%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -, undecided 15%
Ciruli Associates Poll[80] September 12–15, 2007 Clinton 29%, Obama 23%, Edwards 23%
American Research Group[12] July 15–18, 2007 Clinton 39%, Obama 22%, Edwards 10%, Richardson 8%, Biden 4%, Clark 1%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -, undecided 14%
American Research Group[12] April 3, 2007 Clinton 34%, Obama 23%, Edwards 17%, Biden 6%, Kucinich 3%, Richardson 2%, Clark 2%, Dodd 0%, Gravel 0%, undecided 13%

Connecticut

[edit]

ConnecticutConnecticut winner: Obama
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Delegates At Stake 48
Delegates Won Barack Obama-26 Hillary Clinton-22
See also [3][4] Archived 2008-09-17 at the Wayback Machine

Poll source Date Highlights
Survey USA[81]

Sampling Size: 635
Margin of Error: ±4%

February 2, 2008 – February 3, 2008 Obama 48%, Clinton 46%, Other 3%, Undecided 3%
American Research Group[82]

Sampling Size: 600
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 30, 2008 – January 31, 2008 Clinton 48%, Obama 35%, someone else 8%, undecided 10%
Survey USA[83]

Sampling Size: 679
Margin of Error: ±3.8%

January 30, 2008 – January 31, 2008 Obama 48%, Clinton 44%, other 4%, undecided 5%
Rasmussen Reports[84]

Sampling Size: 899
Margin of Error: ±3%

January 27, 2008 Clinton 40%,Obama 40%, Edwards 11%, Other 3%, Undecided 6%
CSRA[85]

Sampling Size: 403
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 9–17, 2008 Clinton 41%, Obama 27%, Edwards 9%,
Quinnipiac University[86]

Sample Size: 385
Margin of Error: ± 5%

November 1–5, 2007 Clinton 45%, Obama 18%, Edwards 7%, Dodd 5%, Biden 4%, Richardson 2%, Kucinich 2%, Gravel -, Other 1%, undecided 14%
Quinnipiac University[87] October 9–15, 2007 Clinton 42%, Obama 16%, Edwards 8%, Dodd 7%, Biden 3%, Richardson 2%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 17%
Quinnipiac University[88] May 2–7, 2007 Clinton 28%, Obama 20%, Gore 13%, Edwards 8%, Dodd 6%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 1%, Richardson 1%, Clark -, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 17%
Quinnipiac University[88] 9–12 February 2007 Clinton 33%, Obama 21%, Gore 9%, Dodd 8%, Edwards 5%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 1%, Richardson 1%, Clark 1%, Vilsack 0%, undecided 16%
American Research Group[89] 2–6 February 2007 Clinton 40%, Dodd 14%, Obama 10%, Edwards 8%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 3%, Richardson 2%, Clark 1%, Vilsack 1%, undecided 19%

Delaware

[edit]

DelawareDelaware winner: Barack Obama
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Delegates At Stake 15
Delegates Won Barack Obama-9 Hillary Clinton-6

Poll source Date Highlights
American Research Group[90]

Sampling Size: 600
Margin of Error: ±4.0%

January 31 – February 1, 2008 Clinton 44%, Obama 42%, other 4%, Undecided 10%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[91] October 3–9, 2007 Clinton 41%, Biden 19%, Obama 17%, Edwards 7%, Someone else 4%, Don't know 12%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[92] March 1, 2007 Clinton 34%, Biden 21%, Obama 19%, Edwards 10%, Someone else 5%, Don't know 10%

Georgia

[edit]

Georgia (U.S. state)Georgia winner: Barack Obama
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Delegates At Stake 87
Delegates Won To be determined
See also Strategic Vision PoliticalGeorgia Democratic Presidential Preference

Poll source Date Highlights
Rasmussen Reports[93]

Sampling Size: 542
Margin of Error: ±4%

February 2, 2008 Obama 52%, Clinton 37%, Other/Undecided 11%
Insider Advantage[94]

Sampling Size: 342
Margin of Error: ±5.5%

February 2, 2008 Obama 51.3%, Clinton 35.6%, Other 4.7%, Undecided 8.4%
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll[95]

Sampling Size: 864
Margin of Error: ±3.4%

February 1–3, 2008 Obama 48%, Clinton 31%, Gravel 2%, Someone else 10%, Undecided 11%
Mason-Dixon[20]

Sampling Size: 400
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 30 – February 1, 2008 Obama 47%, Clinton 41%, undecided 10%
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby[40]

Sampling Size: 940
Margin of Error: ±3.3%

January 31 – February 2, 2008 Obama 48%, Clinton 28%, Gravel 1%, Undecided 23%
Insider Advantage[96]

Sampling Size: 301
Margin of Error: ±6%

January 30, 2008 Obama 52%, Clinton 36%, Other 4%, Undecided 8%
Rasmussen Reports[97]

Sampling Size: 571
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 22, 2008 Obama 41%, Clinton 35%, Edwards 13%, Undecided 11%
Mason Dixon/AJC[98]

Sampling Size: 400
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 7–10, 2008 Obama 36%, Clinton 33%, Edwards 14%
Insider Advantage[99]

Sample Size: 885
Margin of Error: ± 4%

December 17–18, 2007 Obama 33%, Clinton 31%, Edwards 16%, Biden 4%, Richardson 2%, Dodd 0%, Kucinich 0%, Gravel 0%, Undecided 14%
Strategic Vision (R)[100] December 7–9, 2007 Clinton 34%, Obama 27%, Edwards 12%, Richardson 5%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, undecided 18%
Strategic Vision (R)[101] October 19–21, 2007 Clinton 40%, Obama 27%, Edwards 11%, Richardson 5%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, undecided 12%
Strategic Vision (R)[102] September 7–9, 2007 Clinton 34%, Obama 25%, Edwards 13%, Richardson 8%, Biden 5%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, undecided 13%
American Research Group[12] 2–6 August 2007 Clinton 35%, Obama 25%, Edwards 17%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 3%, Richardson 3%, Dodd 1%, Clark -, Gravel -, undecided 13%
Strategic Vision (R)[103] June 22–24, 2007 Clinton 29%, Obama 26%, Edwards 18%, Richardson 7%, Biden 4%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 14%
Strategic Vision (R)[104] 11 April 2007 Clinton 25%, Obama 22%, Edwards 20%, Richardson 4%, Clark 3%, Biden 3%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 21%
Insider Advantage[105] March 27, 2007 Clinton 32%, Edwards 27%, Obama 18%, Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, Biden 1%
Strategic Vision[106] 28 February 2007 Clinton 28%, Obama 25%, Edwards 18%, Clark 5%, Biden 3%, Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 17%
Strategic Vision[107] 17 January 2007 Clinton 27%, Obama 20%, Edwards 15%, Gore 11%, Clark 4%, Kerry 3%, Biden 6%, Richardson 1%, Ed Rendell 1%, Vilsack 1%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 13%

Idaho

[edit]

IdahoIdaho winner: Barack Obama
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Delegates At Stake 18
Delegates Won Barack Obama-15 Hillary Clinton-3

Poll source Date Highlights
Greg Smith & Associates[108] July 11–13, 2007 Obama 33%, Clinton 31%, Edwards 15%

Illinois

[edit]

IllinoisIllinois winner: Barack Obama
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Delegates At Stake 153
Delegates Won To be determined
See also [5]

Poll source Date Highlights
American Research Group[109]

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 30–31, 2008 Obama 51%, Clinton 40%, someone else 1%, undecided 8%
Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV[110]

Sample Size: 500
Margin of Error: ±4,4%

January 29–31, 2008 Obama 55%, Clinton 24%, undecided 20%
Rasmussen Reports[111]

Sample Size: 631
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 29, 2008 Obama 60%, Clinton 24%, Edwards 11%, Some Other Candidate 3%, Not Sure 2%
Research 2000[112]

Sample Size: 500
Margin of Error: ±4.5%

January 21–24, 2008 Obama 51%, Clinton 22%, Edwards 15%, Kucinich 2%, Undecided 10%
Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV[113]

Sample Size: 500
Margin of Error: ±4.4%

December 9–13, 2007 Obama 50%, Clinton 25%, Edwards 7%, Richardson 2%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd <1%, undecided 11%
American Research Group[12] July 6–9, 2007 Obama 37%, Clinton 33%, Edwards 10%, Richardson 4%, Biden 1%, Clark 1%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -, undecided 12%
American Research Group[114] 4–7 January 2007 Obama 36%, Clinton 30%, Edwards 5%, Biden 3%, Richardson 3%, Dodd 2%, Kerry 2%, Clark 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 16%

Kansas

[edit]

KansasKansas winner: Barack Obama
Caucus date: (21 of 40 Delegates) February 5, 2008
Delegates At Stake 21 of 40
Delegates Won To be determined

Poll source Date Highlights
Research 2000[115] May 21–23, 2007 Clinton 27%, Obama 22%, Edwards 21%, Richardson 8%, Kucinich 2%, Biden 1%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 1%, Undecided 17%

Massachusetts

[edit]

MassachusettsMassachusetts winner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Delegates At Stake 93
Delegates Won To be determined
See also Massachusetts Democratic Presidential Preference

Poll source Date Highlights
Survey USA[116]

Sampling Size: 651
Margin of Error: ±3.9%

February 2–3, 2008 Clinton 56%, Obama 39%, Other 3%, Undecided 2%
Suffolk University[117]

Sampling Size: 400
Margin of Error: ±4.9%

February 1–3, 2008 Obama 46%, Clinton 44%, Other/Undecided 10%
Survey USA[118]

Sampling Size: 575
Margin of Error: ±4.1%

January 31, 2008 Clinton 57%, Obama 33%, Other 7%, Undecided 3%
Rasmussen Reports[119]

Sampling Size: 1023
Margin of Error: ±3%

January 28, 2008 Clinton 43%, Obama 37%, Edwards 11%, Other 4%, Undecided 5%
Western New England College[120]

Sampling Size: 424
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 20–26, 2008 Clinton 43%, Obama 15%, Edwards 8%, Undecided 31%
Survey USA[121] January 22–23, 2008 Clinton 59%, Obama 22%, Edwards 11%, Other/Undecided 8%
Survey USA[122]

Sampling Size: 539
Margin of Error: ±4.3%

January 16, 2008 Clinton 56%, Obama 23%, Edwards 14%, Other/Undecided 7%
State House News[123]

Sampling Size: 244
Margin of Error: ±6.2%

January 9–12, 2008 Clinton 37%, Obama 25%, Edwards 14%, Undecided 11%
Suffolk University[124] April 12–15, 2007 Clinton 32%, Edwards 19%, Obama 18%, Gore 13%, undecided 12%
American Research Group[125] 2–6 February 2007 Clinton 35%, Obama 24%, Edwards 19%, Clark 2%, Kucinich 2%, Biden 1%, Dodd 1%, Richardson 1%, undecided 15%

Minnesota

[edit]

MinnesotaMinnesota winner: Barack Obama
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Delegates At Stake 72
Delegates Won To be determined

Poll source[126] Date Highlights
Minnesota Public Radio and Humphrey Institute Poll[127]

Sample Size: 478
Margin of Error: ± 4.5%

January 18, 2008 – January 27, 2008 Clinton 40%, Obama 33%, Edwards 12%, other 2%, don't know/refused 13%
Star Tribune Minnesota Poll[128]

Sample Size: 802
Margin of Error: ± 8%

September 18, 2007 – September 23, 2007 Clinton 47%, Obama 22%, Edwards 16%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 2%, Biden 1%, Gravel <1%, Dodd 0%, other <1%, none/no preference 4%, don't know/refused 7%

Missouri

[edit]

MissouriMissouri winner: Barack Obama
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Delegates At Stake 72
Delegates Won To be determined
See also [6]

Poll source Date Highlights
Survey USA[129]

Sampling Size: 671
Margin of Error: ±3.9%

February 2–3, 2008 Clinton 54%, Obama 43%, Other 3%, Undecided 1%
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby[130]

Sampling Size: 851
Margin of Error: ±3.4%

February 1–3, 2008 Obama 47%, Clinton 42%, Gravel 1%, Undecided 13%
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby[40]

Sampling Size: 877
Margin of Error: ±3.4%

January 31 – February 2, 2008 Clinton 45%, Obama 44%, Gravel 1%, Undecided 13%
American Research Group[131]

Sampling Size: 600
Margin of Error: ±4.0%

January 31 – February 1, 2008 Obama 44%, Clinton 42%, other 5%, Undecided 9%
Mason-Dixon[20]

Sampling Size: 400
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 30 – February 1, 2008 Clinton 47%, Obama 41%, undecided 10%
Rasmussen Reports[132]

Sampling Size: 507
Margin of Error: ±4.5%

January 31, 2008 Clinton 47%, Obama 38%, other 11%, Undecided 4%
Survey USA[133]

Sampling Size: 664
Margin of Error: ±3.9%

January 30–31, 2008 Clinton 48%, Obama 44%, Other 5%, Undecided 2%
Rasmussen Reports[132]

Sampling Size: 798
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 24, 2008 Clinton 43%, Obama 24%, Edwards 18%, Undecided 15%
Research 2000[134]

Sampling Size: 500
Margin of Error: ±4.5%

January 21–24, 2008 Clinton 44%, Obama 31%, Edwards 18%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 6%
Research 2000[135]

Sample Size: 500

November 16, 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 21%, Edwards 20%, Biden 4%, Richardson 3%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -, undecided 13%
American Research Group[12] August 2–6, 2007 Clinton 40%, Edwards 22%, Obama 15%, Biden 5%, Richardson 4%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Clark -, Gravel -, undecided 12%
American Research Group[136] 4–7 January 2007 Clinton 30%, Obama 18%, Edwards 17%, Vilsack 5%, Kerry 2%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 2%, Clark 1%, undecided 23%

New Jersey

[edit]

New JerseyNew Jersey winner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Delegates At Stake 107
Delegates Won To be determined
See also [7]Strategic Vision PoliticalNew Jersey Democratic Presidential Preference[8] Archived 2008-09-17 at the Wayback Machine

Poll source Date Highlights
Rasmussen Reports[137]

Sampling Size: 835
Margin of Error: ±3%

February 4, 2008 Clinton 49%, Obama 43%
Survey USA[138]

Sampling Size: 706
Margin of Error: ±3.8%

February 2–3, 2008 Clinton 52%, Obama 41%, Other 4%, Undecided 3%
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby[38]

Sampling Size: 847
Margin of Error: ±3.4%

February 1–3, 2008 Clinton 43%, Obama 43%, Gravel 2%, Undecided 14%
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby[40]

Sampling Size: 868
Margin of Error: ±3.4%

January 31 – February 2, 2008 Clinton 43%, Obama 42%, Gravel 2%, Undecided 14%
Mason-Dixon[20]

Sampling Size: 400
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 30 – February 1, 2008 Clinton 46%, Obama 39%, undecided 12%
Monmouth University/Gannett[139]

Sampling Size: 718
Margin of Error: ±3.5%

January 30 – February 1, 2008 Clinton 50%, Obama 36%, Other/Undecided 14%
Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner Research Inc.[140]

Sampling Size: 600
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 30–31, 2008 Clinton 44%, Obama 38%, Edwards 3%, Biden 1%, Richardson 1%, Kucinich 1%, Other 2%, Undecided 11%
Survey USA[141]

Sampling Size: 642
Margin of Error: ±3.9%

January 30–31, 2008 Clinton 51%, Obama 39%, Other/Undecided 10%
Rasmussen Reports[137]

Sampling Size: 785
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 30, 2008 Clinton 49%, Obama 37%, Other/Undecided 12%
Quinnipiac University[142]

Sampling Size: 464
Margin of Error: ±4.6%

January 15–22, 2008 Clinton 49%, Obama 32%, Edwards 10%, Kucinich 1%, Other 1%, Don't Know 7%
Monmouth/Gannett[143]

Sampling Size: 475
Margin of Error: ±4.5%

January 9–13, 2008 Clinton 42%, Obama 30%, Edwards 9%, Kucinich 2%, Other 1%, Don't Know 17%
Research 2000/The Record[144]

Sampling Size: 400
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 9–10, 2008 Clinton 48%, Obama 23%, Edwards 11%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 2%, Gravel 1%, Undecided 13%
Quinnipiac University[145]

Sample Size: 387
Margin of Error: ± 5%

December 5–9, 2007 Clinton 51%, Obama 17%, Edwards 7%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 1%, Gravel 1%, Dodd -%, Other 2%, undecided 12%
Quinnipiac University[87] October 9–15, 2007 Clinton 46%, Obama 20%, Edwards 9%, Richardson 3%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -%, Other 1%, undecided 14%
Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey Poll[146] September 27–30, 2007 Clinton 42%, Obama 23%, Edwards 7%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 1%, Gore 1%, Dodd 0%, Gravel 0%, Don't Know 21%
Strategic Vision[147] September 28–30, 2007 Clinton 52%, Obama 21%, Edwards 7%, Richardson 5%, Biden 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 11%
Quinnipiac University[148] 18–23 September 2007 Clinton 46%, Obama 15%, Gore 11%, Edwards 7%, Biden 3%, Richardson 1%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd -%, Other 1%, undecided 12%
Strategic Vision[149] 24–26 August 2007 Clinton 49%, Obama 22%, Edwards 8%, Richardson 5%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, undecided 11%
Rutgers-Eagleton[150] 2–7 August 2007 Clinton 45%, Obama 21%, Edwards 16%, Biden 4%, Richardson 1%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 0%, Gravel 0%, Other 1%, undecided 10%
Strategic Vision[151] July 13–15, 2007 Clinton 46%, Obama 20%, Edwards 10%, Richardson 7%, Biden 3%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -, undecided 11%
Quinnipiac University (with Gore)[152] June 26 – July 2, 2007 Clinton 37%, Gore 18%, Obama 15%, Edwards 6%, Richardson 4%, Biden 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -, Kucinich -, Other 2%, undecided 13%
Quinnipiac University (without Gore)[153] June 26 – July 2, 2007 Clinton 46%, Obama 19%, Edwards 8%, Richardson 4%, Biden 3%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -, Kucinich -, Other 2%, undecided 15%
Strategic Vision (R)[154] April 25–27, 2007 Clinton 40%, Obama 23%, Edwards 12%, Biden 5%, Dodd 2%, Richardson 2%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 15%
Monmouth University[155] April 11–16, 2007 Clinton 41%, Obama 22%, Edwards 13%, Biden 3%, Richardson 2%, Dodd -, Kucinich -, VOL-Al Gore 1%, Don't Know 18%
American Research Group[12] March 29 – April 2, 2007 Clinton 37%, Obama 23%, Biden 9%, Edwards 9%, Richardson 6%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 1%, Clark 0%, Gravel 0%, undecided 14%
Quinnipiac University[156] 20–25 February 2007 Clinton 41%, Obama 19%, Gore 10%, Edwards 5%, Biden 3%, Clark 1%, Richardson 1%, Kucinich 1%, Someone Else 2%, Wouldn't Vote 2%, undecided 15%
Quinnipiac University[157] 16–22 January 2007 Clinton 30%, Obama 16%, Gore 11%, Edwards 8%, Kerry 6%, Biden 6%, Clark 2%, Richardson 1%, Someone Else 2%, Wouldn't Vote 1%, undecided 17%

New Mexico

[edit]

New MexicoNew Mexico winner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Delegates At Stake 26
Delegates Won To be determined
See also New Mexico Democratic Presidential Caucus Preference

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual Result (99% precincts reporting)[158] February 5, 2008 Clinton 49%, Obama 48%, Edwards 2%, Richardson 1%
New Mexico State University[159]

Sampling Size: 207
Margin of Error: ±7%

January 22–31, 2008 Obama 48%, Clinton 42%, Undecided 10%
New Mexico State University[160] April 3–7, 2007 Richardson 33%, Clinton 23%, Obama 19%, Edwards 18%
American Research Group[161] 4–7 January 2007 Richardson 28%, Clinton 22%, Obama 17%, Edwards 12%, Clark 5%, Kucinich 3%, Biden 1%, Dodd 1%, Kerry 1%, Vilsack 1%, undecided 10%

New York

[edit]

New York (state)New York winner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Delegates At Stake 232
Delegates Won To be determined
See also PollsterNew York Democratic Presidential Preference[9] Archived 2008-09-17 at the Wayback Machine

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual Result (100% precincts reporting)[162] February 5, 2008 Clinton 57%, Obama 40%, Edwards 1%
Rasmussen Reports[163]

Sampling Size: 799
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 31 – February 1, 2008 Clinton 52%, Obama 34%, Other 8%, Undecided 6%
WNBC/Marist College[164]

Sampling Size: 660
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 30–31, 2008 Clinton 54%, Obama 38%, Undecided 8%
Survey USA[165]

Sampling Size: 950
Margin of Error: ±3,2%

January 30–31, 2008 Clinton 54%, Obama 38%, Other/Undecided 8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[166]

Sample Size: 837
Margin of Error: ± 3.4%

January 29, 2008 Clinton 45%, Obama 33%, Edwards 10%, undecided 13%
USA Today/Gallup[167]

Sampling Size: 426
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 23–26, 2008 Clinton 56%, Obama 28%, Edwards 11%, Undecided 5%
Quinnipiac University[168]

Sampling Size: 544
Margin of Error: ±4.2%

January 14–21, 2008 Clinton 51%, Obama 25%, Edwards 11%, Kucinich 2%, Undecided 10%
Zogby[169]

Sampling Size: 425
Margin of Error: ±4.9%

January 19–20, 2008 Clinton 47%, Obama 26%, Edwards 9%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel <1%, Other/Undecided 16%
Rasmussen Reports[170]

Sampling Size: 596
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 16–17, 2008 Clinton 51%, Obama 30%, Edwards 10%, Undecided 9%
WNBC/Marist College[171]

Sampling Size: 426
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 15–17, 2008 Clinton 47%, Obama 31%, Edwards 9%, Kucinich 3%, Other 1%, Undecided 7%
Siena College[172]

Sampling Size: 311
Margin of Error: ±5.6%

January 14–17, 2008 Clinton 48%, Obama 23%, Edwards 10%, Undecided 19%
Survey USA[173]

Sampling Size: 957
Margin of Error: ±3.2%

January 9–10, 2008 Clinton 56%, Obama 29%, Edwards 8%, Other/Undecided 8%
Quinnipiac University[174]

Sample Size: 461
Margin of Error: ± 4.6%

December 4–10, 2007 Clinton 55%, Obama 17%, Edwards 7%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 2%, Gravel -, Dodd -, Other 1%, undecided 15%
Datamar[175] December 2–8, 2007 Clinton 44.5%, Edwards 13.0%, Obama 10.8%, Biden 4.4%, Richardson 3.9%, Kucinich 3.2%, Gravel 0.9%, Dodd 0.3%, Undecided 18.9%
Datamar[176] November 1–4, 2007 Clinton 45.0%, Obama 14.1%, Edwards 9.3%, Biden 5.9%, Kucinich 3.5%, Richardson 2.9%, Dodd 1.7%, Gravel 0.3%, Undecided 17.4%
Quinnipiac University[177] October 9–15, 2007 Clinton 49%, Obama 12%, Edwards 11%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 16%
Quinnipiac University[177] September 24–30, 2007 Clinton 47%, Obama 15%, Gore 9%, Edwards 7%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 12%
Siena College[178] July 24–28, 2007 Clinton 48%, Obama 14%, Gore 10%, Edwards 7%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, undecided 13%
Siena College[179] June 18–21, 2007 Clinton 43%, Gore 19%, Obama 11%, Edwards 9%, Other 18%
Quinnipiac University[180] June 12–17, 2007 Clinton 43%, Gore 19%, Obama 14%, Edwards 6%, Richardson 3%, Biden 1%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Other 2%, undecided 10%
Siena College[181] May 18–25, 2007 Clinton 42%, Gore 13%, Obama 13%, Edwards 7%, Kucinich 4%, Biden 3%, Richardson 3%, Dodd -, undecided 15%
Siena College[182] April 16–20, 2007 Clinton 39%, Obama 17%, Gore 12%, Edwards 11%, Richardson 4%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 0%, undecided 13%
NY1[183] April 4–7, 2007 Clinton 49%, Obama 17%, Edwards 11%, Biden 3%, Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, Other 1%, undecided 14%
American Research Group[12] March 29 – April 2, 2007 Clinton 41%, Obama 20%, Edwards 16%, Biden 6%, Dodd 3%, Richardson 3%, Clark 0%, Gravel 0%, Kucinich 0%, undecided 12%
Quinnipiac University[184] 29 March–April 1, 2007 Clinton 44%, Gore 14%, Obama 14%, Edwards 9%, Biden 1%, Kucinich 1%, Richardson 1%, Dodd 0%, Clark 0%, Gravel 0%, Other 1%, undecided 13%
Siena College[185] 26 March 2007 Clinton 43%, Gore 14%, Obama 11%, Edwards 7%, Richardson 4%, Kucinich 3%, Biden 1%, Dodd 0%, Unsure 17%
WNBC/Marist[186] 20–22 March 2007 Clinton 44%, Gore 16%, Obama 14%, Edwards 9%, Biden 3%, Richardson 2%, Sharpton 1%, Dodd 1%, Clark <1%, Gravel <1%, Kucinich <1%, Dodd 0%, undecided 10%
Quinnipiac University[187] 14 February 2007 Clinton 47%, Obama 16%, Gore 11%, Edwards 7%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, Clark 1%, Richardson 1%, Biden 1%

Oklahoma

[edit]

OklahomaOklahoma winner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Delegates At Stake 38
Delegates Won To be determined
See also Oklahoma Democratic Presidential Preference

Poll source Date Highlights
KFOR/Survey USA[188]

Sample Size: 673
Margin of Error: ±3.8%

February 2–3, 2008 Clinton 54%, Obama 27%, Other 15%, Undecided 3%
Tulsa-World/KOTV/Sooner Poll[189]

Sample Size: 426
Margin of Error: 4.75%

January 27–30, 2008 Clinton 41%, Edwards 24%, Obama 17%, Other 2%, Don't Know/Refused 16%
KFOR/Survey USA[190]

Sample Size: 714
Margin of Error: ±3.7%

January 27, 2008 Clinton 44%, Edwards 27%, Obama 19%, Other 6%, Undecided 3%
KFOR/Survey USA[191]

Sample Size: 650
Margin of Error: 3.9%

January 11–13, 2008 Clinton 45%, Edwards 25%, Obama 19%, Other 7%, Undecided 4%
KWTV/TVPoll.com[192]

Sample Size:
Margin of Error: 2.24%

January 7, 2008 Clinton 33.7%, Edwards 28.5%, Obama 16.4%, Other 5.4%, Undecided 15.9%
Tulsa-World/KOTV/Sooner Poll[193]

Sample Size: 380
Margin of Error: 5.03%

December 16–19, 2007 Clinton 34%, Edwards 25%, Obama 15%, Richardson 4%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Don't Know/Refused 20%
Tulsa-World/KOTV/Sooner Poll[194] April 27–30, 2007 John Edwards 29%, Clinton 29%, Obama 13%, Richardson 8%, Biden 3%, Dodd 1%, Don't Know/Refused 17%
American Research Group[195] 8–13 February 2007 Clinton 40%, Edwards 16%, Obama 15%, Biden 3%, Clark 2%, Richardson 2%, Vilsack 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 18%
Tulsa-World/KOTV/Sooner Poll[196] 3 February 2007 Clinton 28%, Edwards 23%, Obama 14%

Tennessee

[edit]

TennesseeTennessee winner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Delegates At Stake 68
Delegates Won To be determined

Poll source Date Highlights
Insider Advantage[197]

Sampling Size: 485

 February 2, 2008 Clinton 55.4%, Obama 34.6%, Other 3.5%, undecided 6.5%
Rasmussen Reports[198]

Sampling Size: 448

 January 30, 2008 Clinton 49%, Obama 35%, other 16%, undecided 4%
Insider Advantage[199]

Sampling Size: 463
Margin of Error: ±4.5%

January 30, 2008 Clinton 59%, Obama 26%, Other 7%, undecided 8%
WSMV/Crawford Johnson & Northcott[200]

Sampling Size: 402
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 28–29, 2008 Clinton 36%, Obama 31%, Edwards 7%, Other 1%, Undecided 25%
WSMV/Crawford, Johnson & Northcott[201]

Sampling Size: 503
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 19–21, 2008 Clinton 34%, Obama 20%, Edwards 16%, Other 2%, Undecided 28%
Insider Advantage (without Gore)[202] 31 March–April 1, 2007 Clinton 35%, Edwards 20%, Obama 20%, Undisclosed Remaining Percent 25%
Insider Advantage (with Gore)[203] 31 March–April 1, 2007 Clinton 28%, Gore 25%, Undisclosed Remaining Percent 47%

Utah

[edit]

UtahUtah winner: Obama
Primary date: February 5, 2008
Delegates At Stake 23
Delegates Won To be determined
See also Utah Democratic Presidential Preference

Poll source Date Highlights
Deseret Morning News/KSL-TV[204]

Margin of Error: ±6.5%

January 30 – February 1, 2008 Obama 53%, Clinton 29%, Other/Undecided 18%
American Research Group[205] 8–13 February 2007 Clinton 31%, Obama 18%, Vilsack 16%, Edwards 9%, Dodd 3%, Biden 2%, Clark 1%, Kucinich 1%, Richardson 1%, undecided 20%

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