2002 Oregon gubernatorial election

2002 Oregon gubernatorial election

November 5, 2002

Nominee Ted Kulongoski Kevin Mannix Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 618,004 581,785 Percentage 49.0% 46.2%

County results Kulongoski:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70% Mannix:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Governor before election John Kitzhaber Democratic Elected Governor Ted Kulongoski Democratic

The 2002 Oregon gubernatorial election took place on November 5, 2002. Incumbent Democrat John Kitzhaber was barred by term limits from seeking a third consecutive term; he later successfully ran again in 2010 and 2014. To replace him, former Oregon Supreme Court Associate Justice Ted Kulongoski won a crowded and competitive Democratic primary, while former State Representative Kevin Mannix emerged from an equally competitive Republican primary. The campaign between Kulongoski and Mannix, who were joined by Libertarian nominee Tom Cox, was close and went down to the wire. Ultimately, Kulongoski eked out a narrow margin of victory over Mannix, which was slightly smaller than Cox's total vote share, allowing Kulongoski to win what would be the first of two terms as governor. As of 2023, this is the last time that Oregon voted for a gubernatorial nominee and a U.S. Senate nominee of different political parties.

Democratic primary

Candidates

• Ted Kulongoski, former Oregon Supreme Court Associate Justice, former Attorney General of Oregon, nominee for U.S. Senate in 1980, and nominee for governor in 1982
• Jim Hill, former Oregon State Treasurer
• Bev Stein, chair of the Multnomah County Commission

Campaign

Kulongoski obtained the endorsement of labor unions and the backing of governor Kitzhaber. A poll before the election showed Kulongoski at 40%, ahead of former State Treasurer Jim Hill at 23%, and Bev Stein at 19%. Lesser known candidates standing in the Democratic primary included William Allen, campaigning on the belief that Oregon paid too much money to the federal government and should consider seceding, and Caleb Burns standing to reform Oregon's schools.

Results

Results by county:

Ted Kulongoski

•   50–55%
    45–50%
    40–45%
    35–40%

Democratic Primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Ted Kulongoski	170,799	48.21
	Democratic	Jim Hill	92,294	26.05
	Democratic	Bev Stein	76,517	21.60
	Democratic	William Peter Allen	6,582	1.86
	Democratic	Caleb Burns	4,167	1.18
	Democratic	Write-ins	3,925	1.11
Total votes			354,284	100.00

Republican primary

Candidates

• Kevin Mannix, former Oregon State Representative, 2000 Republican nominee for Attorney General of Oregon
• Jack Roberts, Oregon Commissioner of Labor and Industries
• Ron Saxton, former Chair of the Portland Public Schools Board
• W. Ames Curtright
• Robert Weidner, 1998 Constitution Party nominee for Governor of Oregon
• Lee R. Shindler

Results

Results by county:

Kevin Mannix

•   45–50%
    40–45%
    35–40%
    30–35%

Jack Roberts

•   40–45%
    35–40%
    30–35%

Ron Saxton

•   45–50%
    40–45%
    35–40%
    30–35%

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Kevin Mannix	117,194	35.24
	Republican	Jack Roberts	98,008	29.47
	Republican	Ron Saxton	93,484	28.11
	Republican	W. Ames Curtright	10,986	3.30
	Republican	Roger Weidner	7,395	2.22
	Republican	Lee R. Shindler	2,266	0.68
	Republican	Write-ins	3,242	0.97
Total votes			332,575	100.00

General election

Campaign

Kulongoski focused on education, his support for gay rights and the Oregon Death with Dignity law. Mannix campaigned on his plans to cut taxes to stimulate the economy of Oregon and encouraging partnerships between businesses and colleges. Tom Cox for the Libertarian party and two write in candidates, Richard Alevizos and Gary Spanovich, also stood in the election.

The departure of Kitzhaber, who had opposed plans to build a Columbia Gorge casino, was considered an opportunity for the Confederated Tribes of Warm Springs. Tribes invested record amounts of money into Oregon politics in this race, including $40,000 supporting Kulongoski. Kulongoski did not take a position on the issue during the campaign, but later became a supporter of the plan.

Kulongoski campaigned using a motor home and his many visits to bowling alleys became a trademark of his campaign. Early in the campaign Kulongoski held a large lead over Mannix in the polls but the gap narrowed as the election neared after Mannix put Kulongoski on the defensive. Mannix characterised Kulongoski as a strong tax and spender after he endorsed a proposed $313 million income tax rise to avoid cuts in education and other areas. He also attacked Kulongoski for being soft on crime. A poll in October showed Kulongoski at 45%, only 4 percent ahead of Mannix at 41%.

Mannix conceded the election on 6 November 2002 after Kulongoski secured a decisive lead in the vote count. The Libertarian candidate Tom Cox claimed that he was responsible for Kulongoski's victory as his exit polls suggested he took twice as many Republican votes as Democratic votes.

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Lean D	October 31, 2002
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Lean D	November 4, 2002

Results

Oregon gubernatorial election, 2002

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Ted Kulongoski	618,004	49.03%	−15.39%
	Republican	Kevin Mannix	581,785	46.16%	+16.15%
	Libertarian	Tom Cox	57,760	4.58%	+2.77%
	Write-ins		2,948	0.23%
Majority			36,219	2.87%	−31.54%
Turnout			1,260,497
	Democratic hold		Swing

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Baker (largest city: Baker City)
• Clackamas (largest city: Lake Oswego)
• Coos (Largest city: Coos Bay)
• Crook (largest city: Prineville)
• Curry (largest city: Brookings)
• Douglas (largest city: Roseburg)
• Deschutes (largest municipality: Bend)
• Grant (largest city: John Day)
• Gilliam (Largest city: Condon)
• Harney (largest city: Burns)
• Jefferson (largest city: Madras)
• Josephine (largest city: Grants Pass)
• Klamath (largest city: Klamath Falls)
• Lake (largest city: Lakeview)
• Linn (largest city: Albany)
• Morrow (Largest city: Boardman)
• Jackson (largest city: Medford)
• Marion (largest city: Salem)
• Polk (largest city: Salem)
• Sherman (largest city: Wasco)
• Umatilla (largest city: Hermiston)
• Union (largest city: La Grande)
• Wallowa (largest city: Enterprise)
• Wasco (largest city: The Dalles)
• Washington (largest city: Hillsboro)
• Wheeler (largest city: Fossil)
• Yamhill (largest city: McMinnville)