Opinion polling for the 1983 United Kingdom general election
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In the run-up to the 1983 general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date ranges for these opinion polls are from the 1979 general election until 6 June 1983.
Polling results
[edit]All data is from UK Polling Report.[1]
1983
[edit]Survey end date |
Pollster | Client | Con | Lab | All | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 June | 1983 general election | 42.4% | 27.6% | 25.4% | 14.8% | |
8 Jun | Harris | The Observer | 47% | 26% | 25% | 21% |
8 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 47% | 25% | 26% | 21% |
8 Jun | Marplan | The Guardian | 45.5% | 26.5% | 26% | 19% |
8 Jun | NOP | Northcliffe | 46% | 26% | 26% | 20% |
8 Jun | MORI | Evening Standard | 47% | 25% | 26% | 21% |
8 Jun | NOP | Daily Mail | 44% | 28% | 26% | 16% |
7 Jun | Audience Selection | The Sun | 46% | 28% | 24% | 18% |
7 Jun | Marplan | The Guardian | 46% | 23% | 29% | 17% |
6 Jun | Audience Selection | The Sun | 47% | 26% | 25% | 21% |
5 Jun | Harris | The Observer | 45% | 24% | 28% | 17% |
3 Jun | Marplan | Sunday Mirror | 47% | 28% | 23% | 19% |
3 Jun | NOP | The Mail on Sunday | 44% | 27% | 27.5% | 16.5% |
3 Jun | Gallup | The Sunday Telegraph | 47% | 29% | 23% | 18% |
2 Jun | MORI | The Sunday Times | 45.5% | 31.5% | 22% | 14% |
2 Jun | MORI | Daily Express | 45% | 28% | 25% | 17% |
2 Jun | Marplan | The Guardian | 43% | 32% | 23% | 11% |
1 Jun | Harris | TV-Eye | 47% | 30% | 22% | 17% |
1 Jun | MORI | Daily Star | 46% | 28% | 24% | 18% |
31 May | Audience Selection | The Sun | 44% | 32% | 21% | 12% |
31 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 44% | 29% | 25% | 15% |
30 May | Audience Selection | TV-AM | 47.5% | 28% | 23% | 19.5% |
30 May | Harris | The Observer | 41% | 30% | 24% | 11% |
27 May | Marplan | Sunday Mirror | 47% | 30% | 21% | 17% |
27 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 49.5% | 31% | 19% | 18.5% |
26 May | MORI | Daily Express | 49% | 31.5% | 18% | 17.5% |
26 May | Marplan | The Guardian | 51% | 29% | 19% | 22% |
25 May | Harris | Thames | 47.5% | 32.5% | 19% | 15% |
25 May | MORI | The Sunday Times | 48% | 33% | 18% | 15% |
25 May | Audience Selection | The Sun | 46% | 30% | 23% | 16% |
24 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 45% | 32% | 21% | 13% |
23 May | Audience Selection | TV-AM | 48% | 33% | 18% | 15% |
23 May | MORI | Daily Star | 45% | 32% | 20% | 13% |
23 May | NOP | Daily Mail | 51% | 33% | 15% | 18% |
23 May | Harris | The Observer | 52% | 33% | 14% | 19% |
20 May | Marplan | Sunday Mirror | 45% | 36% | 18% | 9% |
20 May | MORI | Daily Express | 47% | 34% | 18% | 13% |
19 May | MORI | The Sunday Times | 46% | 37% | 16% | 9% |
18 May | Harris | Thames | 47% | 30% | 21% | 17% |
18 May | NOP | Daily Mail | 45% | 35% | 17% | 10% |
17 May | Audience Selection | The Sun | 49% | 31% | 19% | 18% |
17 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 44% | 33% | 21% | 11% |
16 May | MORI | Daily Star | 46% | 33% | 19% | 13% |
16 May | Audience Selection | TV-AM | 44% | 37% | 17% | 7% |
16 May | MORI | Daily Express | 46% | 31% | 21% | 15% |
13 May | The Dissolution of the 48th Parliament and campaigning officially begins | |||||
12 May | MORI | N/A | 49% | 34% | 15% | 15% |
11 May | Harris | Thames | 46% | 32% | 22% | 14% |
11 May | MORI | Daily Star | 52% | 31% | 17% | 21% |
10 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 46% | 31% | 21% | 15% |
9 May | MORI | N/A | 49% | 31.5% | 17.5% | 17.5% |
5 May | 1983 local elections[2] | |||||
25 Apr | MORI | N/A | 45% | 30% | 23% | 15% |
23 Apr | MORI | N/A | 46% | 33% | 21% | 13% |
12 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 43% | 34% | 22% | 9% |
11 Apr | MORI | N/A | 40.5% | 35% | 22.5% | 5.5% |
24 Mar | Darlington by-election | |||||
23 Mar | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 43% | 28% | 28% | 15% |
21 Mar | MORI | N/A | 39.5% | 28.5% | 29% | 10.5% |
16 Mar | MORI | N/A | 42% | 28% | 27% | 14% |
9 Mar | MORI | N/A | 41% | 27% | 30% | 11% |
26 Feb | MORI | N/A | 39% | 26% | 34% | 5% |
24 Feb | Bermondsey by-election | |||||
23 Feb | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 46% | 32% | 21% | 14% |
14 Feb | MORI | N/A | 43.5% | 32.5% | 22% | 11% |
9 Feb | MORI | N/A | 45% | 32% | 21% | 13% |
26 Jan | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 44% | 36% | 19% | 8% |
17 Jan | MORI | N/A | 44% | 31.5% | 22.5% | 12.5% |
12 Jan | MORI | N/A | 44% | 35% | 20% | 9% |
1982
[edit]Survey end date |
Pollster | Client | Con | Lab | All | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 42% | 35% | 21% | 7% |
13 Dec | MORI | N/A | 41% | 34.5% | 22% | 6.5% |
2 Dec | Glasgow Queen's Park by-election | |||||
24 Nov | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 43% | 35% | 21% | 8% |
15 Nov | MORI | N/A | 42% | 34.5% | 21.5% | 7.5% |
10 Nov | MORI | N/A | 42% | 33% | 23% | 9% |
28 Oct | Birmingham Northfield and Peckham by-elections | |||||
26 Oct | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 43% | 32% | 23% | 11% |
25 Oct | MORI | N/A | 40.5% | 29% | 27% | 11.5% |
20 Oct | 1982 Northern Ireland Assembly election[3] | |||||
12 Oct | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 42% | 33% | 23% | 9% |
16 Sep | Gower by-election | |||||
13 Sep | MORI | N/A | 44% | 30.5% | 23% | 13.5% |
31 Aug | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 42% | 30% | 27% | 12% |
16 Aug | MORI | N/A | 44.5% | 26.5% | 27.5% | 17% |
31 Jul | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 44% | 30% | 23% | 14% |
12 Jul | MORI | N/A | 46.5% | 27.5% | 24% | 19% |
2 Jul | Roy Jenkins is elected leader of the Social Democratic Party[4] | |||||
30 Jun | MORI | N/A | 45% | 31% | 22% | 14% |
24 Jun | Coatbridge and Airdrie by-election | |||||
23 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 51% | 24% | 23% | 27% |
14 Jun | MORI | N/A | 45% | 25% | 28.5% | 16.5% |
14 Jun | The Falklands War ends[5] | |||||
3 Jun | Mitcham and Morden by-election | |||||
31 May | MORI | N/A | 48% | 28% | 24% | 20% |
27 May | Beaconsfield by-election | |||||
26 May | MORI | N/A | 51% | 25% | 23% | 26% |
23 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 48% | 31% | 20% | 17% |
16 May | MORI | N/A | 41.5% | 28% | 29% | 12.5% |
16 May | MORI | N/A | 48% | 33% | 17% | 15% |
6 May | 1982 United Kingdom local elections[6] | |||||
5 May | MORI | N/A | 38% | 32% | 28% | 6% |
30 Apr | MORI | N/A | 44% | 30% | 24% | 14% |
30 Apr | MORI | N/A | 43% | 30% | 25% | 13% |
24 Apr | MORI | N/A | 39% | 32% | 27% | 7% |
21 Apr | MORI | N/A | 36% | 30% | 31% | 5% |
14 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 33% | 34% | 30% | 1% |
12 Apr | MORI | N/A | 31.5% | 29% | 37% | 5.5% |
2 Apr | The Falklands War begins[7] | |||||
31 Mar | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 35% | 30% | 33% | 2% |
25 Mar | Glasgow Hillhead by-election | |||||
15 Mar | MORI | N/A | 31.5% | 33% | 33% | Tie |
4 Mar | Belfast South by-election | |||||
28 Feb | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 34% | 34% | 30% | Tie |
15 Feb | NOP | Daily Mail | 27.5% | 34% | 36% | 2% |
5 Feb | MORI | N/A | 41% | 36% | 21% | 5% |
31 Jan | MORI | N/A | 30% | 33% | 34% | 1% |
25 Jan | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 29% | 30% | 40% | 10% |
18 Jan | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 27.5% | 29.5% | 39.5% | 10% |
1981
[edit]Survey end date |
Pollster | Client | Con | Lab | All | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 Dec | MORI | N/A | 23% | 23.5% | 50.5% | 27% |
14 Dec | NOP | N/A | 27% | 29% | 43% | 14% |
3 Dec | MORI | N/A | 30.5% | 34.3% | 33.1% | 1.2% |
1 Dec | NOP | N/A | 27% | 27% | 44% | 17% |
1 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 28.6% | 32.1% | 37.1% | 5% |
26 Nov | Crosby by-election | |||||
16 Nov | NOP | N/A | 26.5% | 29% | 42% | 13% |
6 Nov | MORI | N/A | 29.2% | 38.2% | 30.6% | 7.6% |
27 Oct | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 27% | 31% | 40% | 9% |
26 Oct | NOP | N/A | 29.5% | 28% | 40% | 12% |
22 Oct | Croydon North West by-election | |||||
8 Oct | MORI | N/A | 32.1% | 40.4% | 24.7% | 8.3% |
28 Sep | MORI | N/A | 28% | 42% | 28% | 14% |
18 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 27% | 38% | 33% | 5% |
14 Sep | NOP | N/A | 32% | 36.5% | 29% | 7.5% |
11 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 33.5% | 37.4% | 27.7% | 3.9% |
20 Aug | Fermanagh & South Tyrone second by-election | |||||
17 Aug | NOP | N/A | 28% | 38.5% | 32.5% | 6% |
7 Aug | MORI | N/A | 31.6% | 42.1% | 24.3% | 10.5% |
31 Jul | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 30% | 39% | 29% | 9% |
16 Jul | Warrington by-election | |||||
13 Jul | NOP | N/A | 30% | 40.5% | 26.5% | 10.5% |
9 Jul | MORI | N/A | 31.5% | 41.2% | 24.2% | 9.7% |
30 Jun | MORI | N/A | 30% | 36% | 31% | 6% |
22 Jun | MORI | N/A | 31% | 39% | 28% | 8% |
16 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 37% | 39% | 22% | 2% |
15 Jun | NOP | N/A | 29.5% | 37.5% | 30.5% | 8% |
5 Jun | MORI | N/A | 37.7% | 39.3% | 20.8% | 1.6% |
30 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 35% | 39% | 24% | 4% |
11 May | MORI | N/A | 32% | 35.5% | 29% | 3.5% |
11 May | NOP | N/A | 38% | 41% | 19% | 3% |
7–20 May | 1981 United Kingdom local elections[8] | |||||
7 May | MORI | N/A | 30.9% | 39.3% | 26.6% | 8.4% |
27 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 30% | 38% | 29% | 8% |
13 Apr | NOP | N/A | 30% | 34.5% | 33% | 4.5% |
9 Apr | Fermanagh & South Tyrone by-election | |||||
3 Apr | MORI | N/A | 35.9% | 42.1% | 19.5% | 6.2% |
26 Mar | The Social Democratic Party is formed[9] | |||||
23 Mar | MORI | N/A | 33% | 41% | 25% | 8% |
23 Mar | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 28% | 38% | 32% | 10% |
16 Mar | NOP | N/A | 30% | 34% | 32% | 4% |
2 Mar | NOP | N/A | 37% | 41.1% | 16.5% | 4.1% |
13 Feb | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 34.5% | 50.9% | 12.2% | 16.4% |
11 Feb | MORI | N/A | 36% | 35.5% | 26.5% | 0.5% |
24 Jan | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 35% | 45% | 17% | 10% |
19 Jan | NOP | N/A | 33% | 46.5% | 18.5% | 13.5% |
9 Jan | MORI | N/A | 35.4% | 51.2% | 11.9% | 15.8% |
1980
[edit]Survey end date |
Pollster | Client | Con | Lab | Lib | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 32% | 56% | 11% | 24% |
15 Dec | NOP | N/A | 35% | 47.5% | 14.5% | 12.5% |
4 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 37.2% | 47.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% |
17 Nov | MORI | N/A | 36.5% | 47% | 15% | 10.5% |
11 Nov | NOP | N/A | 38% | 47% | 13% | 9% |
10 Nov | Michael Foot becomes leader of the Labour Party[10] | |||||
7 Nov | MORI | N/A | 39.4% | 46.5% | 12.4% | 7.1% |
31 Oct | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 36% | 50% | 13% | 14% |
20 Oct | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 40% | 43% | 13.5% | 3% |
6 Oct | NOP | N/A | 40% | 43% | 13.5% | 3% |
2 Oct | MORI | N/A | 39.8% | 47.6% | 11% | 7.8% |
30 Sep | MORI | N/A | 34% | 50% | 15% | 16% |
29 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 37% | 46% | 15% | 9% |
15 Sep | NOP | N/A | 35.5% | 45% | 16.5% | 9.5% |
5 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 40% | 46.3% | 11.3% | 6.3% |
18 Aug | NOP | N/A | 38.5% | 44% | 14.5% | 5.5% |
1 Aug | MORI | N/A | 38.1% | 47.3% | 11.7% | 9.2% |
31 Jul | MORI | N/A | 37% | 48% | 13% | 11% |
27 Jul | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 37% | 47% | 13% | 10% |
14 Jul | NOP | N/A | 40% | 43.5% | 14% | 3.5% |
3 Jul | MORI | N/A | 41% | 46.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% |
26 Jun | Glasgow Central by-election | |||||
23 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 41% | 43% | 13% | 2% |
16 Jun | NOP | N/A | 40.5% | 45% | 11.5% | 4.5% |
6 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 43% | 43.3% | 11.7% | 0.3% |
19 May | NOP | N/A | 39% | 43.5% | 15.5% | 4.5% |
1 May | MORI | N/A | 41.4% | 46.5% | 10.7% | 5.1% |
1 May | 1980 United Kingdom local elections[11] | |||||
28 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 39% | 44% | 14% | 5% |
14 Apr | NOP | N/A | 36.5% | 45% | 15% | 8.5% |
11 Apr | MORI | N/A | 35.5% | 49.6% | 10.9% | 14.1% |
28 Mar | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 42% | 46% | 9% | 4% |
17 Mar | NOP | N/A | 37% | 49.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% |
13 Mar | Southend East by-election | |||||
5 Mar | MORI | N/A | 35.7% | 51.9% | 11.2% | 16.2% |
29 Feb | MORI | N/A | 38% | 46% | 13% | 8% |
25 Feb | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 38% | 46% | 14% | 8% |
11 Feb | NOP | N/A | 37.5% | 42% | 18% | 4.5% |
8 Feb | MORI | N/A | 37.2% | 50.3% | 10.7% | 13.1% |
19 Jan | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 39% | 47% | 12% | 8% |
14 Jan | NOP | N/A | 36% | 45% | 16% | 9% |
4 Jan | MORI | N/A | 40.1% | 48.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% |
1979
[edit]Survey end date |
Pollster | Client | Con | Lab | Lib | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 40% | 43% | 14% | 3% |
13 Dec | South West Hertfordshire by-election | |||||
10 Dec | NOP | N/A | 38% | 42% | 18% | 4% |
6 Dec | MORI | N/A | 42.1% | 46.3% | 10.1% | 4.2% |
2 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 40% | 45% | 13% | 5% |
12 Nov | NOP | N/A | 39% | 43.5% | 15.5% | 4.5% |
9 Nov | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 40.9% | 47.2% | 10% | 6.3% |
15 Oct | NOP | N/A | 40.5% | 45% | 12.5% | 4.5% |
6 Oct | MORI | N/A | 44.9% | 46% | 7.4% | 1.1% |
30 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 41% | 46% | 11% | 5% |
27 Sep | Manchester Central by-election | |||||
17 Sep | NOP | N/A | 40.5% | 45% | 12% | 4.5% |
2 Sep | MORI | N/A | 42.8% | 47.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
31 Aug | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 42% | 43% | 12% | 1% |
13 Aug | NOP | N/A | 41.5% | 44% | 12.5% | 2.5% |
5 Aug | MORI | N/A | 43.1% | 45.4% | 9.5% | 2.3% |
31 Jul | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 44% | 45% | 9% | 1% |
16 Jul | NOP | N/A | 41% | 46% | 11.5% | 5% |
7 Jul | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 44.2% | 45.5% | 8.2% | 1.3% |
18 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 42% | 43.5% | 12% | 1.5% |
7 Jun | 1979 European Parliament election[12] | |||||
3 May | 1979 United Kingdom local elections[13] | |||||
3 May | 1979 general election | 43.9% | 36.9% | 13.8% | 7% |
References
[edit]- ^ "UK Polling Report". ukpollingreport.co.uk. Retrieved 16 August 2018.
- ^ Carvel, John (6 May 1983). "Thatcher gets June signals from voters". The Guardian.
- ^ Beresford, David (21 October 1982). "Second attack on Unionist leader as Ulster goes to polls". The Guardian.
- ^ Brown, Colin (3 July 1982). "Jenkins victory boosts Alliance". The Guardian.
- ^ Fairhall, David; Brown, Paul; Morgan, Jeremy (15 June 1982). "Troops surrender at Port Stanley". The Guardian.
- ^ Carvel, John (7 May 1982). "Tories fight off challenge by Labour as Alliance falters". The Guardian.
- ^ Fairhall, David; Morgan, Jeremy (3 April 1982). "Argentine action in Falklands stuns Cabinet". The Guardian.
- ^ Carvel, John (8 May 1981). "Labour swings to victory, but no landslide". The Guardian.
- ^ Aitken, Ian (26 March 2021). "SDP launches itself onto the British political stage – archive, 1981". The Guardian. Retrieved 15 July 2021.
- ^ Aitken, Ian (11 November 1980). "Labour picks Foot to heal party splits". The Guardian.
- ^ Langdon, Julia (2 May 1980). "Tories deserted by voters in Labour advance". The Guardian.
- ^ Palmer, John (7 June 1979). "Banging the nationalist drum inside Europe". The Guardian.
- ^ Hencke, David (5 May 1979). "Consolation prize for Labour". The Guardian.