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User:Sj/Archive/Eleventy-billion pool

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This is a pool for predicting the date at which the number of articles (as defined by the official article count presented on the Special:statistics) in the English Wikipedia reaches 110,000,000,000 (one hundred and ten billion). The person who comes closest to the actual date is the winner (of fame lasting one hundred ten billion years). The current number of articles in the English Wikipedia is 6,910,579. It may be a while.

The pool will be closed for entries on the day that the English Wikipedia reaches 100,000,000,000 (one hundred billion), so be sure to place your guess before that date. The pool opened shortly after the 500,000th article was created.

To enter the contest, enter your name under the appropriate month header below (create it if it doesn't exist), along with the date you predict. 12.00 UTC (noon) of each day is assumed, unless an exact time is specified (in UTC). Changing the prediction is allowed up until the date the pool closes. This page is for guesses with a specified day, month or year. To make a guess with no specified year, go to #Guesses with unspecified year.

For other non-serious pools, see Wikipedia:Millionth topic pool, Wikipedia:Two-millionth topic pool, Wikipedia:Last topic pool, and Wikipedia:500th language pool.

Never

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  • There is no such number as "eleventy billion". Georgia guy 22:34, 27 Mar 2005 (UTC)
    • Yes there is: eleventy = 110; billion = 1,000,000,000. So Guanaco 22:42, 27 Mar 2005 (UTC)
No, there isn't!! It's called One hundred and ten billion. End of story. --Shultz 05:48, 8 February 2006 (UTC)
Perhaps you should consult Wikipedia? Surprisingly enough, eleventy does exist. Modest Genius talk 03:54, 20 August 2006 (UTC)
According to the article, that is a fictional numbering system. -- Tckma 14:56, 29 August 2006 (UTC)
The article specifies it was invented by him, not that it was fictional. And even if it is, so what? Modest Genius talk 19:14, 1 September 2006 (UTC)
  • We'll cease to be called Wikipedia long before this happens. -- Grunt 🇪🇺 22:44, 2005 Mar 27 (UTC)
    • We'll cease to be called anything long before this happens. BrokenSegue 03:06, 28 Mar 2005 (UTC)
      • I agree. Humanity may well cease to exist before this happens. Alex.tan 17:27, 4 October 2005 (UTC)
    • FIE! They will call it GOD when it reaches eleventy billion! -insert maniacal laughter here- Cernen 11:26, 13 December 2005 (UTC)
      • nah. God only has nine billion names. At eleventy-billion, Wikipedia will be much more powerful. Grutness...wha? 12:30, 20 January 2006 (UTC)
  • Just like my vote on the 5,000,000 pool: the heat death of the sun will occur before this point.  ALKIVAR™ 20:23, 28 Mar 2005 (UTC)
  • Tomorrow. -- Terabyte 08:56, Today (UTC)
  • Long after we suffer the end of the world.--207.200.116.202 23:45, 3 Jun 2005 (UTC)
  • Just like my vote on the five million pool: When boys start being named Sarah. HellRaiser 04:45, 15 Jun 2005 (UTC)
  • That's not even a real number! --Alex Trebek 02:50, 3 August 2005 (UTC)
    • Yet! --Keanu Reeves 02:51, 3 August 2005 (UTC)
      • Yes it ruddy well is! Everyone's been saying its not, but eleventy = 110. See LotR. --Mark J 17:00, 7 September 2005 (UTC)
        • I don't think so. It's One-hundred-ten-billion.
          • I don't think so. It's One hundred and ten billion :) UrbaneLegend 13:50, 26 February 2006 (UTC)
            • I don't think so. You should have learned in grade school that you never use "and" within a number, except to differentiate between the integer part and the decimal part. "One hundred and ten billion" equates to either (sum) or 100 and 10,000,000,000 (two separate numbers) or (Algebraic logical operator). One-hundred-ten-billion is correct, One-hundred and ten-billion is not. Sorry. Dansiman 21:11, 1 March 2006 (UTC)
  • I've never heard eleventy billion used, but the explanation seems plausible. It's unlikely there will ever be eleventy billion people. It could happen if we live in multiple solar systems, but relativistic physics would indicate an interstellar Wiki would be very slow and cumbersome. Granted that most topics are likely not people, but still it seems unlikely you could have more topics then there are people. So never.--T. Anthony 15:42, 26 September 2005 (UTC)
  • Hah! None of you voting for 'Never' will win the pool! ;) Leffa 03:39, 12 December 2499 (UTC)
    • Unless like whats going to happen,one of three things happen. One, a all powerful virus wipes out all computers like the one I'm working on.(Don't worry, its a family project that my grandfather started.)Two, some mad-man destroys the earth. Just like what my brother is working on. Or three, both.
    • Nice guys finish last. ^_^ Cernen 11:26, 13 December 2005 (UTC)
    • Nobody else'll win either, if we're right. :) I vote never because humanity will be so insane by the time it comes near there that any intelligent admins will be deleting 258,848,338 articles per day. - ~ Ghelæ talkcontribs 17:17, 8 February 2006 (UTC)
  • I don't think we'll ever reach the number. Wouldn't a more interesting pool be to guess what topic the eleventy-billionth page will be? michaelritchie200 (UTC)
  • Everyone will have chips implanted in their brains which will link them to a global consciousness and information will become immediately accessible. Thus, Wikipedia will become obsolete. Grandmasterka 03:16, 26 February 2006 (UTC)
    • So... When humans become a hive mind organism? Eggmanpuyo (UTC)
    • Obsolete? Are you kidding? Wikipedia will be that immediately accessible consciousness and information! Hail Wikipedia. jοτομικρόν | Talk 18:51, 20 March 2006 (UTC)
  • Probobly never, because the Internet will be destroyed by robots looking for Al Gore, and directed to the Internet by W to make Democrats look bad....Dumb jackass
  • For the record, there is an existing precedent for the number eleventy. From the Lord of the Rings series, the setting near the beginning of the first book was Bilbo Baggins' eleventy-first (111) birthday. So, yes, eleventy-billion is a number. Dansiman 20:51, 1 March 2006 (UTC)
  • Wikipedia will hit eleventy billion on the same day that Apple buys out Microsoft, and Linus Torvalds becomes the CEO of said company. ModusOperandi 04:47, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
    • Is that the day Duke Nukem Forever comes out on the Infinium Phantom box? Niffux 08:06, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
  • Never -- Wikipedia will only get as big as 2 million before it collapses (see below) --Jonathan talk 12:31, 26 July 2006 (UTC)
  • I want a cookie! Oh...sorry...it just kind of slipped out there...~ Porphyric Hemophiliac § 02:51, 5 September 2006 (UTC)

January 320,000 BC

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  • January 1. An awkward wormhole or time-warp will have catapulted us backward in time by then, owing to people messing with time travel - forcing us to live out the rest of our days as cavemen and orang-utan herders.

That won't stop us from continuing Wikipedia with sticks, leaves and old banana-skins, though. Nothing can stop human endeavour. That's really my guess. I'll be dead long before then (or should it be after then?) anyway, so it doesn't really matter.

PS. Can you inscribe something on my gravestone? Carry it back in time with you please. Hope this doesn't count as vandalism. Mark J 10:04, 6 November 2005 (UTC)

  • I'm inclined to agree, but for different reasons. We won't be catapulted back in time, however, so many years will pass before this event that time will actually suffer a 128-bit overflow and revert to 4.5 billion years BC again. We might hit eleventy billion by the fourth time January 320,000BC passes, and most likely because we just miss it by one article after the third passing so Jimbo the -470th locks Wikipedia entirely until it comes about again. The Polish Wikipedians begin a universal revolution when they realise that at the moment it was locked for what was to be 9 billion years, someone had moved Gdansk back to Danzig. Chris talk back 02:10, 25 November 2005 (UTC)

This is my favorite story (See above ^) so I'll vote that and split the profits. — Ilγαηερ (Tαlκ) 23:55, 15 December 2005 (UTC)

Nonsense! Being catapuled back to 320,000 BC would not result in us living as cavemen and orang-utan herders. Only the cavemen and orang-utan herders live like cavemen and orang-utan herders. We, on the other hand, would still have all our technology, and even if the technology was destroyed we'd make it all over again. --Jonathan talk / my pool guess 12:35, 26 July 2006 (UTC)

42 B.C.

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  • Yeah, 42 B.C. I'm surprised this wasn't on here. :-P - Anchor_THE

31BC

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  • March 1 - Rolled a dice and it decided that this is when it would happen. I think it's broken. --Ben davison 11:23, 12 August 2005 (UTC)

3 AD

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  • π(pi)
3.14159 26535 89793 23846 26433 83279 50288 41971 69399 37510 58209 74944 59230 78164 06286 20899 86280 34826 34211 70679... - so the year 3 at that fraction of the year. It makes sense if you assume that time is eliptical.

The year twelvty four (124 AD)

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1116

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1509

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  • July 17. Time travel will have been invented by then. Xezbeth 19:55, Mar 29, 2005 (UTC)

1712

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  • February 30. This day actually existed in Sweden; click on the link to learn more. --Ravi12346 00:53, 1 March 2006 (UTC)

1993

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September 416500, 1993. Radiant_>|< 13:02, 20 January 2006 (UTC)

2024

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Cheat! ;) Proto 12:49, 10 Jun 2005 (UTC)
Today is Hune 25, 2005. I win, you lost. SYSS Mouse 18:08, 25 Jun 2005 (UTC)
You're laughing now, but when 2007 comes the date won't be reliable to use at all... ~ Ghelæ talkcontribs 20:05, 21 February 2006 (UTC)
  • A 2007 section will solve that problem... --WCQuidditch ☎ ✎ 20:56, 26 February 2006 (UTC)
No using {{CURRENTMONTHNAME}} {{CURRENTDAY}}, please --WikiSlasher 10:54, 28 September 2006 (UTC)
Sadly, it seems like this one was a failed prediction... Pie3141527182 02:12, 30 September 2017 (UTC)
  • May. By then the schoolcruft stormtroopers will have had their way, and so by definition if every school deserves an article, someone will make an article on every church, restaurant, pub, street, duckpond, tree, stream, cloud, person, dog, supermarket and blade of grass in the world, to prove their WP:POINT. Proto 12:49, 10 Jun 2005 (UTC)
And squirrel colony. Those are notable too. Sango123 July 5, 2005 17:06 (UTC)
Every dog? Just what we need... Crufts-cruft. Grutness...wha? 12:33, 20 January 2006 (UTC)

2009

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2010

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  • May 5. 05:01:40am. Now this might appear as just another wild guess at first, but in fact it isn't! I've calculated an exponential function from the number of articles in the english version of Wikipedia based on the counts the last 5 years. The function is: f(x)=82.382*9.4843543^x. Where x is number of years since 2001. If my calculations are correct, we will se this the 110000000000th article at the precise moment written above. Exilibur 17:39, 15 January 2006 (UTC)
    • I'm with Exilibur on this one, because this way it really could come true, and I'd be alive to see it.  :) --AndreniW 02:18, 5 September 2006 (UTC)
    • Damn I WAS GONNA USE AN EXPONENTIAL FUNCTION >:| don't worry I'll input my entry next year when we have more data :P --WikiSlasher 10:56, 28 September 2006 (UTC)

2012

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  • October 17. I say October 17, because that's how long it will take me to create 109,998,985,569 articles if I start now and work hard (and factor in other people's articles). Yay! ToldYouSo
  • December 21. (Well, something big will happen that day.) The Wookieepedian 12:53, 12 November 2005 (UTC)
  • December 22. Due to a server outage on December 20, and ensuing chaos, it will take the 179 volunteer sysadmins 34 hours to restore and synchronize the 17 central database clusters. The network of p2p Wikipedians will have a variety of independent calculations suggesting when the eleventy-billionth article might or might not have been written, and we will never know for certain; when the machines come back on, before the last sysadmin ascends, it may be verified that we have at least eleventy-billion-and-one distinct articles in the core index. +sj + 21:04, 17 February 2006 (UTC)

2013

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2016

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2020

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2021

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  • July 1. Assuming a doubling time of 11 months, and that Wikipedia will reach 1,000,000 in mid-February 2006, Wikipedia will reach eleventy-billion after 15.35 years and 16.75 doublings. --Carnildo 20:35, 13 January 2006 (UTC)
  • July 11. This is based on simple math that Wikipedia multiplies in size by 1.002 every day. I have no life. Jared 12:11, 31 October 2005 (UTC)

2022

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2023

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  • sometime in 2023 - ok let say wikipedia will double in size every year:
    • 2003 1/8 million - 2004 1/4 million
    • 2005 1/2 million - 2006 1 million
    • 2007 2 million - 2008 4 million
    • 2009 8 million - 2010 16 million
    • 2011 32 million - 2012 64 million
    • 2013 128 million - 2014 256 million
    • 2015 512 million - 2016 1024 million (about 1 billion)
    • 2017 2 billion - 2018 4 billion
    • 2019 8 billion <-- more than the number of earth pepole(maybe robots or aliens will write the articles)
    • 2020 16 billion - 2021 32 billion
    • 2022 64 billion - 2023 128 billion (close to Eleventy-billion number)

2025

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February 2 - When they invent salmon flavored Pop Tarts! --HurricaneJeanne 00:52, 30 March 2006 (UTC)

2026

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2027

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2029

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  • October 7 - For my 40th birthday, I shall ask each resident of Earth to create at least 3 articles about how much they love me. Of course, this will be done via hypno-broadcast. Ryan 07:27, July 27, 2005 (UTC)

2030

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  • January 1 of Year CE Twenty-Twenteen. Hmib 02:59, 1 May 2005 (UTC)

2031

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Anytime that year - The Singularity will make this happen, enough said. Read the article if you want to know why.

(Hint: The Singularity will lightningly open doors to interstellar space travel so new discoveries will give us more article material.) --Shultz 05:56, 8 February 2006 (UTC)

2033

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  • May 18, 2033, at 09:33, soon after the election of Anthony Ivanoff as the President of the United States. --Anthony Ivanoff 10:53, 27 November 2005 (UTC)
    • Umm, Mr. Russkie? You know that those born in foreign lands cannot run for president? --Shultz III 08:04, 26 February 2006 (UTC)
      • Have you thought about the 28th Amendment of 2020? Who knows what the US Constitution might say in a few decades time.-gadfium 08:09, 26 February 2006 (UTC)

2036

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2038

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  • January 1, ten years after Great Anglo-American War. --LW 15:02, 19 July 2005 (UTC)
  • January 19 at 3:14:08. There's no connection between the number of articles and that problem, but I thought it was a cool time to set the prediction at. The number of articles will exceed eleventy-billion as self-replicating nanobots all start submitting vanity articles on themselves far faster than vfd can cope with.-gadfium 20:17, 7 May 2005 (UTC)
    • Nanobot vanity. That's the best one yet. I declare you the pre-winner. Nickptar 00:43, 8 May 2005 (UTC)
  • January 19 at 3:14:09. The number of language editions of Wikipedia will exceed eleventy-billion as said nanobots each create their own ideal language, and translate all existing articles to that language.-gadfium 23:54, 31 January 2006 (UTC)
    • Not to mention that it'll have editionized all alien languages found throughout this galaxy. The Singularity will have made interstellar space travel possible much sooner than you think! Oh, on MY SISTER'S 43RD BIRTHDAY??? Well, wish her a happy birthday at snoopy_cutie_10@yahoo.com at that date. She might not use it by then, but ReturnPath ought to take care of it for you. --Shultz 06:00, 8 February 2006 (UTC)
  • May 2. We will have indexed every people that ever lived on Earth and therefore be well beyond that number. --Astrowob 20:03, 15 Apr 2005 (UTC)
    • Deletionists would never let that happen; Wikipedia is not an index of people. We'd delete just about everybody for non-notability, and then *a certain user other than me* will write eleventy billion articles about Ashlee Simpson. I'll agree with May 2, though. It's as good a date as any. --Idont Havaname 15:01, 21 Apr 2005 (UTC)
  • September 3. A week after my 47th birthday. --Wombat2 14:57, 19 July 2005 (UTC)
  • October 8. When I turn 50. Scott Gall 07:43, 2005 Apr 30 (UTC)

2042

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2050

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2057

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  • April 12. The year that I invent DOS+. Esteffect 02:39, 26 February 2006 (UTC)
  • July 8. My birthday. Year chosen randomly --Neo3DGfx 07:00, 2 March 2006 (UTC)

2058

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2063

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  • Sometime in April, 2063, the Vulcans will download their version of Wikipedia, pushing the number of articles to just over eleventy-billion. (I wonder how many articles the Borg have?) Marky1981 17:21, 10 September 2005 (UTC)
    • Irrelevant. The Borg wouldn't add their information to Wikipedia, they'd add Wikipedia to their own databases, which would crash when one of the billion school stubs causes stack corruption, leading to the universe's second ever case of death by Pokemon (the first being during a tournament on Vega 4, when an ill-advised player insisted his Pepsimon trumped all, and accidentally ingested three of the many Pan-Galactic Gargleblasters thrown at it). Chris talk back 02:24, 25 November 2005 (UTC)

2065

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  • August 5, 2065 (or sometime in that month). --Ted87 01:48, 30 June 2006 (UTC)

2072

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  • 30 May - 17 years after my death and my brother's 100th birthyear anniversary (I'm older than he is). Tim Sailor 15:59, 4 June 2006 (UTC)

2076

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  • October 25. According to the growth rate model I normally use, the guess would be somewhere around the year 604700. I don't know if the human race as we know it will be around then, so I'm going for my 100th birthday. — JIP | Talk 08:54, 28 Mar 2005 (UTC)
  • December 18 - Theshibboleth 07:53, 21 November 2005 (UTC)

2077

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  • October 22. Won't matter much though, since the next day almost all live on the planet will get wiped out by nukes. --Misza13 (Talk) 22:03, 15 January 2006 (UTC)
  • May 19 Earth time. The article will be typed from a planet orbiting Alpha Centauri. Surturz 04:05, 02/03/2006 (UTC)

2080

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  • November 24. Good notion, JIP. I'll bet on MY hundredth birthday (if I'm around then.) [[User:NazismIsntCool|Nazism isn't cool]] 07:46, 30 Apr 2005 (UTC)

2081

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2082

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  • March 14. My 100th birthday. I'll be here, don't worry.
  • July. If I'm not around then and I win, please etch it on my gravestone. Barely There 12:10, 5 Jun 2005 (UTC)

2084

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  • June 30. The day I turn one-hundred. Remember to shower my gravestone with lots of ones and zeroes. —Eternal Equinox | talk 02:01, 13 March 2006 (UTC)

2099

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2100

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  • February 29. Some bright spark will try to add an entry (and a talk page) for every member of the human race.--Fangz 23:18, 27 Mar 2005 (UTC)
    • Now you're getting silly. We all know there will be no 29 February 2100! jguk 14:39, 16 July 2005 (UTC)

A.D. 2101

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  • Right after war begins. Andre (talk) 02:02, July 11, 2005 (UTC)
    • What you say! --A D Monroe III 03:48, 11 July 2005 (UTC)
      • All your article are belong to us. You are on the way to destruction. (NOT A VOTE) Ghost Freeman T | E / C | D 19:03, 14 July 2005 (UTC)
      • What you say? Somebody set up us the I think this is the year. Anchor_THE

2105

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2117

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  • 16 July, at 21:06:45 precisely. Deathphoenix: unfortunately, you are off by three seconds, although most of your calculations are sound. I believe -- although I could be wrong as my sliderule has a smudge beside the six which always throws me off (it makes it look like an eight) -- anyway I believe you made a carrying error. Check your work, second column, third row. See it now? Pesky, huh? Anyway, good work nonetheless. Cheers, michaelb 00:37, 7 April 2006 (UTC)

2121

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  • April 22, which is Earth Day and my birthday. I'll probably be dead though, so give the honor to my great-great-grandchildren. --Berney 21:46, 16 December 2005 (UTC)

2167

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2200

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  • 29 February Feb. 29th? Hey, it could happen. Razer64 00:12, 19 January 2006 (UTC)
    • Now you're getting silly. We all know there will be no 29 February 2200! Mark J 14:39, 16 January 2006 (UTC)
      • What?? NOOOOOOOOO!!! Razer64 01:13, 5 March 2006 (UTC)

2222

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Hey, it COULD happen right then and there. Assuming nanotechnology guarantees my (clinical) immortality, I'll probably be living on the Exameter Road by then. (Not a ringworld, but a STRINGworld. A world that looks like a road from a distance, as it's a line that goes through space. Light years upon light years of space.) An artificial superstructure that this proposed superworld is would be made possible by the Technological Singularity, reached approximately 200 years previous. --Shultz 04:19, 6 December 2005 (UTC)

2499

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2519

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Lost Season 1854

Yes its the final season, it really has managed to drag on this long and everybody who saw the first season are now dead and never get to see then end, in fact like chinese whispers even the writers have kinda trailed off the plot. Now there have been so many characters and episode lists that we have reached eleventy billion.--Childzy 21:14, 6 March 2006 (UTC)

In the year 2525

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  • If man were still alive. --Golbez 02:09, May 22, 2005 (UTC)
    • I already did that joke. -- Cyrius|✎ 03:17, 26 May 2005 (UTC)
  • January 17 - if man is still alive, and if woman can survive, of course. -- Cyrius|✎ 01:01, 28 Mar 2005 (UTC)
"God creates dinosaurs. God destroys dinosaurs. God creates man. Man destroys God. Dinosaurs eat man--" "Woman inherits the earth!" From Jurassic Park. Dralwik 00:33, 3 January 2006 (UTC)

2923

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May 6. Current number of articles Falphin 21:32, 17 May 2005 (UTC)

2987

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2999

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3006

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3141

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3200

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sept. 26 - anon

3208

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August 22nd 01:33 GMT David 14:16, 4 March 2006 (UTC)

3219

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Right around the birthday of Sonic the Hedgehog. The exact date will probably be on Dexday, Wordus 27 (I don't know what that means yet, but my sources tell me that that by the 33rd century, we won't be naming days and months after astrological signs and Roman emperors and gods. Nyh 10:31, 2 March 2006 (UTC)

4242

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lol Bawolff 23:54, 1 October 2005 (UTC)

4956

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Except that there was no year zero... --Ravi12346 00:20, 10 October 2006 (UTC)
RIGHT. Nice one... I certainly need to do some work on this then. Mikker (...) 00:35, 14 October 2006 (UTC)

5000

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Leap Year 6174

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  • Leap September 17+13i in the Black Hole Year, where i2 = -1. KittySaturn 13:52, July 17, 2005 (UTC)

8661

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10,452

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  • January 3. The sand monsters of Sigma VII will complete humanity's work, just three years after eating the last one.

Eleventy thosand fifty-eleven (110,061 AD)

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45394 AD

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Based on my own projections. --Wooty Woot? contribs 05:53, 25 November 2006 (UTC)

62442 AD

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It stands for Magic. Any Harry Potter fans will know what I'm talking about.

Ebb

AD 202,917

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211,524

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October 23, 2:05 PM, 28.282948929991314159265358979 seconds 1 million every 2 years. --12345_lewis

271,828

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I chose the year 271,828 by assuming that Wikipedia will eventually grow at the rate of 500,000 articles per year. Divide eleventy billion by that, and you get 220,000. For humor purposes, I converted this number to 100,000 times e (mathematical constant). Heck, it's probably off by orders of magnitude anyway. YechielMan 23:36, 21 September 2006 (UTC)

428,899 CE

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428,899 CE--probably on a Thursday. Biglin 18:22, 20 February 2006 (UTC)

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  • one steady million of articles every five years. dab (ᛏ) 12:41, 3 March 2006 (UTC)

AD 687,500

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  • 25 December -- Long after Homo Sapiens has stopped being the dominant species on Earth, and we are ruled by an intelligent race of rabbits (but long before McFly release a decent record). I worked out the year using the Windows Calculator and thought of the date as a nice Wikipedia Christmas present. Funnily enough, we'll find that most of the articles are based around the amusing acts of Homer Simpson in the 100 billion or so Simpsons episodes, or whatever his equivalent is at that time, and the rest will be about how rock music killed hip-hop as the rabbits have far superior musical tastes ;-). Andrew 12:09, 19 October 2005 (UTC)

802,701

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  • The year is surely obvious, the only question is the date. For that, I must resort to scientific analysis, which states that May 2 is the most likely. Pedriana 17:05, August 8, 2005 (UTC)
  • No, it shall be on the 62nd of March. I don't know how, but it will. [user:elliottume2005] 17:17, January 10, 2006
  • You are both wrong. It shall be the Bananath of June. Duh. Ebb

821,349

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Sepwebriat 14289, Year of the Hunted Carlisle (corresponds to AD 829,680)

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  • Jarvooliat 9, Month of the High Stile, Tyviatte 4441, Day of the Renditorive Hippopotamus - Weirdguy 02:09, 21 Jan 2001 (UTC)
    • You certainly are a weird guy. Mark J 16:00, 17 January 2006 (UTC)

830,061

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  • Unreasonableness the Ninetieth. --Welly20 14:52, 19 July 2005 (UTC)

6,910,579

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When this intry moves more than three spaces down, if ever. JTTyler 05:24, 26 February 2006 (UTC)

  • Very clever!! --Mark J 16:12, 28 February 2006 (UTC)

9,168,667 (Septemberish)

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In 2001, Larry Sanger optimistically predicted that, if Wikipedia kept growing at the pace it was going back then (1,000 articles per month), there would be as many as 84,000 articles by 2007. Larry founded/co-founded/got coffee for the founder of Wikipedia (depending who you ask), so he should know/co-know/spill hot liquids on a man who knows what he's talking about. Thus, using his estimates, I believe it will occur in the year 9,168,667.6666667, or, rounding off, September. JDoorjam Talk 02:18, 17 February 2006 (UTC)

4,815,162,342

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42.23 seconds past the 16th minute past the 15th hour of the 8th day of the 4th month.

9,814,072,356

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Drat. That article got deleted. Maybe I'll change to the year 46664. --A D Monroe III 22:13, 26 September 2005 (UTC)
Wait! We have an article on the year AD 9814072356 which survived AfD! Yes, the mid 98,140,724th century would be just about right. --A D Monroe III 01:03, 20 October 2005 (UTC)

110,000,000,000

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  • 11 December Duh, the Eleventy-billionth article will be on December 11 ("eleventy" = "eleven-D" = "11 D" = "11 December") of the year 110,000,000,000. I did the math. McKay 07:32, 1 March 2006 (UTC)

292,277,026,596

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That's funny, I tried setting my system clock to that date and strange things happened... gadfium 04:44, 15 January 2006 (UTC)
The day of the year 292,277,026,596 problem. Hot water heater 17:02, 3 April 2006 (UTC)

999,999,999,999,999,999

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10^10^10^100 + 2006

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10^10^10^10^100

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  • June 23 A googoltriplex years in the future. - Cort5433 20:43, 20 March 2006 (UTC)
    • Then why not 10^10^10^10^100 + 2006? --Ravi12346 00:02, 26 March 2006 (UTC)


[2x10^10^10^10^10^10^100]^^[RPT]th BB

[edit]
  • March 18, 2 googleplexianflexibolic-googleplexianflexibolicated-to-the-googleplexianflexibolic-th Big Beaver number (the biggest finite number ever typed at this time) - anyone for breaking the number record again? Ziqidel 00:48, 29 November 2006 (UTC)
  • What does RPT mean? Oh and I see your [2x10^10^10^10^10^10^100]^^[RPT]th BB and raise you a (BB(BB(BB(BB(9^9^9^9^9^9^9^9^9))))!!!!)! (the exclamation marks are for factorials) originally I was going to use the superscript thing for the exponents but by the sixth 9 it no longer looked like a 9. --WikiSlasher 06:29, 29 November 2006 (UTC)

10^(googleplex^googleplex^googleplex^googleplex^googleplex^googleplex^googleplex^googleplex^googleplex...continue adding ^googleplex once every second for 10^googleplex years))

[edit]

November 6th to be exact.

Guesses with unspecified year

[edit]

For guesses on when Wikipedia's 110,000,000,000th article will appear without a specified year.

Approximate year

[edit]

Exactly 2203 (two to the nineteenty-thirteenth) Planck times past Big Bang

[edit]

(Early 9th eon CE)

  • --Army1987 13:42, 10 October 2005 (UTC)
    • I've worked that out to be about 40,764,536,891.400057725569814620527 years :-). Andrew 12:00, 19 October 2005 (UTC)
      • No. 5.391×10−44×2203/(86,400×365.2425) = 2.196×1010, about half your figure. --Army1987 15:14, 19 October 2005 (UTC)

About 1040 years

[edit]

As all remaining matter will be in black holes at this point, all Human knowledge and all of Wikipedia will be combined, thus we will have an infinite amount of articles. Anomaly1 03:34, 10 December 2005 (UTC)

5.5/Apple/26

[edit]
  • When the robo-spiders wreak havoc Sceptre 18:02, 14 December 2005 (UTC)

c440,000 - 660,000

[edit]

See the equation towards the bottom of the page. ~ Ghelæ talkcontribs 10:24, 10 February 2006 (UTC)

Coincidentally the date of which the whole of humanity will be united into a singular mass with the rest of the internet. 1,000,000,000 years later there will only be 126 people left. ~ Ghelæ talkcontribs 11:24, 4 June 2006 (UTC)
Or perhaps I just randomly typed that. Who knows? ~ Ghelæ talkcontribs 10:31, 13 August 2006 (UTC)

Eternity

[edit]
  • By the time Wikipedia reaches eleventy-billion articles, we will all be in either heaven or hell. In heaven, Wikipedia will take the form of a collective rapid communication with God. In hell, it will be an endless bureaucratic nightmare where any change made to text you submitted hurts like hell because it's your only shred of rational self-identity. ··gracefool |☺ 11:06, 22 February 2006 (UTC)
  • The internet will have gone and information will pass seamlessly from mind to mind via the help of infra-red telepathy protocol IRTP for short. --Charlsey

1592 of a yet unnamed era...

[edit]
  • March 14th - I predict the eleventy-billionth Wikipedia article will be created on March 14th, 1592 of the next era (or maybe just this one after the Wikipedia servers get blasted a few centuries or millenia backwards) at around 6 hours, 53 minutes and 58.9793238463 seconds (that's AM). Because Pi is ... something very important. Don't quite know what that is exactly... Laogeodritt 03:47, 10 June 2006 (UTC)
  • It's the ratio of the circumference of a circle to its diameter. --WikiSlasher 07:49, 17 October 2006 (UTC)

Pi*Googleplex rounded down

[edit]

On Feburary 7(2/7). --Pie3141527182 10:05, 19 November 2013 (EST)

Not an approximate year

[edit]

Stardate 62.896.7

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  • Comon! Where are all the trekkies? Sasquatch↔讲↔看 16:17, August 4, 2005 (UTC)
    • They all died of spontaneous head explosion at the moment of first contact on Stardate 4852.6. Chris talk back 02:26, 25 November 2005 (UTC)
      • Captains Log Stardate 62.896.7 This is Captain Jean-Luc Piccard of the Starship Enterprise. We have arrived at a planet known as Wikiworld where the inhabitents are rejoicing for reaching the their eleventy billionth article in their quest for the sum of human knowledge. Two seconds later, a massive power surge shorted out their server, destroying the archive. They had to start all over again. I could write for Star Trek! American Patriot 1776 19:09, 18 December 2005 (UTC)

Never

[edit]

Eleventy Billion will never happen becuase there isn't eleventy billion things to put in the encyclopedia. Ryan Turpin

Not yet, maybe. CameoAppearance 18:00, 10 June 2006 (UTC)

0 W.E.

[edit]
  • W.E standing for Wikipedia Era, from the date Wikipedia gets its eleventy billionth article

The 13th hour of the 13th day of the 13th month

[edit]
  • Lousy Smarch weather. sɪzlæk [ +t, +c ] 09:02, Apr 24, 2005 (UTC)

Tomorrow

[edit]
you stole my vote! Pretty funny tho, I think -mysekurity

Sometime after the Big Rip

[edit]

<Insert date of creation of eleventy billionth article here>

[edit]

I win :>) tommylommykins 20:54, August 5, 2005 (UTC)

Now

[edit]

At this date and time: 21:17, 14 November 2024 (UTC)

This means I win, right?--68.124.189.231 03:35, 24 March 2006 (UTC)

Nice try but you will only be right on the day it happens - you're not supposed to use {{CURRENTTIME}}, {{CURRENTDAY}} {{CURRENTMONTHNAME}} {{CURRENTYEAR}} --WikiSlasher 11:15, 28 September 2006 (UTC)

Long Ago In a Galaxy Far, Far Away

[edit]
  • Hooray! I lost. --Lyght 01:56, 30 September 2005 (UTC)
    • Unless Wikipedia time travels... which is very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very unlikely. ~ Ghelæ talkcontribs 10:09, 10 February 2006 (UTC)
    • Since time travel is completely immpossible.64.131.43.6 00:06, 29 March 2006 (UTC)
      • We don't actually know that. Andrew 20:39, 15 May 2006 (UTC)
        • Time travel is possible, we do it every day, only backwards time travel is disputed. --WillMak050389 17:48, 14 August 2006 (UTC)

After bottlenose dolphins start flying

[edit]

When the dolphins start flying, also gaining limited telekenetic abilities, they will come upon the ruins of human civilization. When the Asterite manages to roughly translate what's left of the Wikipedia databases, the Singers will copy the idea of Wikipedia and one day reach the eleventy-billionth article. --Sparky Lurkdragon 02:24, 3 February 2006 (UTC)

And here I expected that heading to be a Hitchhiker's reference. CameoAppearance 04:08, 11 June 2006 (UTC)

Sometime in the distant future when we start using letters and punctuation to identify years, resulting in a year called "This stopped being funny a long time ago."

[edit]
  • I was just thinking about doing that! ;-) — Ram-Man (comment) (talk) 20:42, 29 August 2006 (UTC)
  • Nine-Eleventy. According to a free online encyclopedia called 'Wikipedia' (I recommend it!): "75 million years ago, Xenu was the ruler of a Galactic Confederacy which consisted of 26 stars and 76 planets including Earth, which was then known as Teegeeack. The planets were overpopulated, each having on average 178 billion people." It's happened before and it could happen again, and with so many people, at least eleventy billion of them will be notable! — Trilobite (Talk) 07:07, 28 Mar 2005 (UTC)
    • Funniest answer yet. Gets my vote. Soo 13:24, 21 September 2005 (UTC)

3.98120938109238091280999945232794789075785854766576352414658791110009054...

[edit]
  • January 11. After too many years to count, the years will be uncountable and we'll be forced to number them with reals. Sometime afterward, we'll reach the eleventy billionth mark. — 131.230.133.185 23:35, 15 July 2005 (UTC) (guessed way back when IP addresses were enumerable).

Friday the First of Summerfilth

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By Shire reckoning!

Whenever I Want it To

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My prediction

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It will occur on the eleventieth day of the eleventieth month of the eleventieth year of the eleventieth era (BC is the fist era, AD is second, and so on until the eleventieth). It statistically accurate and no one can prove me wrong that I think... --WillMak050389 17:46, 14 August 2006 (UTC)

When A Certain Event Happens

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When everyone gets cybernetic interfaces implanted in their skulls

[edit]
  • And I'll be first in line! Alphax τεχ 09:16, 28 Mar 2005 (UTC)
    • Too late for you. Unless of course you are in that clinical trial and you type with your mind. AngryParsley 20:32, 28 Mar 2005 (UTC)
      • Well, when they go on sale and are affordable, I'll get one. Alphax τεχ 17:20, 19 Apr 2005 (UTC)
      • I'll get one - if I'm still around. [[User:NazismIsntCool|Nazism isn't cool]] 08:49, 7 May 2005 (UTC)

When the Cubs win the World Series

[edit]

Mark my words >_> NickBush24 July 3, 2005 03:39 (UTC)

They've already won it once...a long time ago. I'm thinking it'll happen when the Astros win the Series.

When the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Stanley Cup

[edit]

In other words, 82 years from now;).Toonmon2005 00:00, 22 May 2006 (UTC)

When Duke Nukem Forever goes gold

[edit]

I'm dead serious! >_> Ghost Freeman T | E / C | D 21:23, 13 July 2005 (UTC)

Agreed. 70.224.43.137 02:43, 21 January 2006 (UTC)
This means that the eleventy-billionth article will be the news that Forever has gone gold. That sounds about right. -Michael

When deafness is found to be just a state of mind

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When I become intelligent

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See 'never'. The Kooky One 01:38, 8 September 2005 (UTC)

[edit]
  • When the world is wiped out by a big wheel of intergalactic cheese made by the cow who made the milky way. - RPharazon 01:30, August 13, 2005 (UTC)
  • When a fleet of neutrino ships from a distant galaxy bombards everyone and everything in the galaxy with neutrinos, turning them all into Wensleydale cheese. This will be the end of civilisation, and will also by coincidence, be the date at which the Mega-Galactic-Wiki-Net reaches 'Eleventy Billion' (a Martian word which actually means 110,987,356,874,120,000,000,000). --86.130.16.45 14:17, 21 August 2005 (UTC)

When persons in the future start to discuss how the people of the 20th/21st century were able to predict what happened in one of their science fiction series

[edit]
  • (Or they complain somebody used time travel to go back and write the series, which is a gross distortion of what actually happened). Jackiespeel 17:38, 25 August 2005 (UTC)

When I Say So

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When I become the dictator of the world and write an article on wikipedia for every letter combination up to the Eleventy-billionth article. Rentastrawberry 03:51, 18 September 2005 (UTC)

When the United States Department of Defense runs out of 7-letter acronyms for its projects and needs a new project-code for supplying the president's toilet paper

[edit]

10 seconds before the Big Crunch

[edit]

FireFox T C 14:01, 2 October 2005 (UTC) 4th january

When a bug-free version of Microsoft Excel is released

[edit]
  • I tried to get Excel to calculate the date for me based on current data and it crashed. Hence my guess -- Gurch 15:18, 22 November 2005 (UTC)

When Manchester City finally wins the Premiership again

[edit]
  • This may even be a bit of a stretch. --155.45.81.25 18:15, 23 November 2005 (UTC)

Shortly after Hell freezes over

[edit]
  • Give or take five minutes. --Carnildo 08:53, 1 December 2005 (UTC)
  • I agree with the Eagles on this. Эйрон Кинни 01:29, 31 December 2005 (UTC)

When the World FINALLY runs out of beer!

[edit]

I hate the fact that beer causes people to become violent, angry, rude, irresponsible, and apathetic. I hope at least non-alcoholic beer (or syntheholic beer replaces it for good.) --Shultz (Months ago in 2005) (UTC)

When microchips takeover the universe and humans become slaves

[edit]

They do this by reproducing if you haven't guessed Elfalem 08:17, 24 December 2005 (UTC)


When Wikipedia becomes sentient

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And re-writes the earth to conform to NPOV --josh (talk) 04:02, 29 December 2005 (UTC)

When Wikipedia becomes sentient it will probably be because it has eleventy-billion articles. It will then invade all of the internet and suck it it, so everything on the internet will be in Wikipedia, and so there will be no such thing as external links. ~ Ghelæ talkcontribs 10:16, 11 February 2006 (UTC)
Articles wont make Wikipedia sentient. It needs software to able to process the information independly. Perhaps when the number of bots reaches critical mass. josh (talk) 18:23, 5 April 2006 (UTC)

When the world figures out how Strong Bad types with boxing gloves on

[edit]

He has secret ninja cows do it for him. Or Swiss cheese. 71.96.179.40 18:04, 14 January 2006 (UTC)

When a smart President is finally elected

[edit]

Yes, there will be one day. -- King of Hearts | (talk) 18:30, 5 February 2006 (UTC)

In eleventy billion years? THAT'S debatable. The ed17 19:45, 24 April 2006 (UTC) (talk)
About as likely as the London Underground running on time. Andrew (My talk) 01:05, 26 November 2006 (UTC)

Two days after the deadline

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When Lugiatm becomes a sysop of Uncyclopedia

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When the editors finally let me insert the article about how I saved Christmas and screwed like, 50 girls in one night

[edit]

Because it really happened to me so it's not untruthful or misleading

When Skynet goes online

[edit]

When it happens, Wiki becomes absorbed, and every fact in the universe becomes an article proper. This scenario is much like the "Wikipedia becomes sentient" one, except that it is much more likely. Ourai 00:02, 28 February 2006 (UTC)

The Day the Sun Expands into a Red Giant

[edit]

Shortly after the 109,999,999,999th article

[edit]

About 3.1415926535897932384626433832795028841971693993751058209749445923078164062862089986280348253421170679 nanofortnights after, I'd say. --Ravi12346 00:39, 1 March 2006 (UTC) I agree Wikada 17:08, 25 July 2006 (UTC)

that seems the most logical n3ny 23:00, 10 june 2007 (UTC)

When the New York Yankees payroll hits 1 gazillion dollars

[edit]

So probably in the year 2020. --Canuck85 07:34, 2 March 2006 (UTC)

When the Philadelphia Eagles win the Super Bowl

[edit]

See Never. Amphytrite 02:33, 13 March 2006 (UTC)

When the band geeks rule the world

[edit]

w00t NAHS! Delta 17:18, 25 March 2006 (UTC)

When a squirrel has found the acorn that will grow to the oak that will be cut to form the cradle of the babe that will grow to slay the oldest of the Lilim

[edit]

Definitely. — Poulpy 11:46, 5 April 2006 (UTC)

When the Jacksonville Jaguars win the Super Bowl

[edit]

So next year -- Ha Ha?? Ok, so no one gets it. Read -> if they don't win this year it will be the year after that.  :) The ed17 19:48, 24 April 2006 (UTC) (talk) (Go Leftwich!!!!)

One Millisecond Before the Big Collapse

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When Wikipedia hits its eleventy-billionth topic, the fabric of existence will collapse, and all life in the universe will cease to exist. Autopilots 10:33, 16 July 2006 (UTC)

When Linux Becomes the Dominant Operating System.

[edit]

Niffweed17, Destroyer of Chickens 20:42, 7 October 2006 (UTC)

  • Pretty soon then... Linuxbeak 21:40, 17 October 2006
[edit]

Modern scholarship holds that these three will occur at 12:00:00 UTC on the same day. —  MusicMaker 02:17, 10 October 2006 (UTC)

When Sebastian Vettel loses the F1 world championship...

[edit]

Not Actually Guesses At All

[edit]

Huh?

[edit]

What's eleventy?

A word, apparently invented by Tolkien, for the number 110. --Army1987 16:10, 11 October 2005 (UTC)
I would suggest tenty for 100 (easier to pronounce for foreign people) ♦ Pabix ℹ 13:31, 5 April 2006 (UTC)

Notability

[edit]

With this many articles, will we still be rejecting some articles for people who are not notable enough? Stoive 03:01, 26 May 2005 (UTC)

In the future, everyone will be notable enough for a Wikipedia article for 15 minutes. -- Cyrius|✎ 00:59, 4 Jun 2005 (UTC)

According to my computer

[edit]

When I put '110000000000' into my computer it said '#######################################'. So that must be the answer! Thelb4 08:55, 3 January 2006 (UTC)

  • it probably only said ########### or less #s, but that's just a guess ;) ~ McKay 07:39, 1 March 2006 (UTC)

This'll work...

[edit]

The equation:

Where 'mtd' is 'millionth topic date', 'dof' is 'date of founding (of Wikipedia) and 'doeba' is 'date of eleventy billionth article'. Simple. This may mean that the 110,000,000,000th articles in c550,000 AD. ~ Ghelæ talkcontribs 09:25, 10 February 2006 (UTC)

2006.25… - 2001.08333… = 5.1666… round down to 5.1 (to expanded RoAc) or up to 5.2.

So or . Sorry if my maths is wrong, but I think that will be the doeba. ~ Ghelæ talkcontribs 16:12, 2 March 2006 (UTC)

Another decent equation...

[edit]


RoAC is the Rate of Article Creation, or the average interval of time between two articles being created, and TbC is the Time before Creation of the eleventy-billionth article, from the date of the first article. Therefore, if we can figure out the average time between two decent articles' (ie. articles that actually stay on Wikipedia) creation, we can find out how long (from the date of the first article) it would take for any numbered article to be created.
Tratos 04:36, 20 February 2006 (UTC)

Exp. equation

[edit]

Have you considered the exponention growth formula? At = A0ekt

A is amount, t is time, k is a variable for the exponential growth.

I tried this equation and the answer was roughly March 2022. I don't believe Wikipedia will grow exponentially though, but if I did my guess would be in March 2022 instead of below. --Jonathan talk 03:12, 19 July 2006 (UTC)

I have no idea

[edit]

Hmm... I really don't, maybe, oh, 4000? Freddie 15:27, 18 March 2006 (UTC)

Binary

[edit]

I have a slight hope... 110,000,000,000 is 3,072 in decimal. A simple request should give the date. But since I'm a Frenchman, hence I'm lazy, so I won't search. ♦ Pabix ℹ 13:20, 5 April 2006 (UTC)

The future of Wikipedia

[edit]
  • Wikipedia will never reach 110,000,000,000 articles. In 2007, just after Wikipedia reaches 2,000,000 articles, all Wikipedia articles about fiction will be moved to a new website called Fikipedia, and all Wikipedia articles about celebrities and the media will be moved to Wikimedia. The amount of Wikipedia articles will shoot down to about 300,000. It will grow slowly but stop around 350,000 because there's nothing new to write about. All Wikipedia users will leave for Fikipedia or Wikimedia and there will be no one left but Jimbo Wales and vandalists. Wikimedia will grow up to 30,000,000 articles but in 2040 the U.S. government will collapse and the Internet will die. Organized society will be destroyed until 2060 when the Earth is rebuilt. Wikipedia will never be rebuilt because humans have evolved so that they all ready have the sum of all human knowledge available to them. --Jonathan talk 22:02, 13 July 2006 (UTC)
    The celebrity articles won't become Wikimedia because that's the name of the Wikimedia Foundation. We can try some other mock wiki spinoffs though, and if there isn't already a thread for this, there should be. (If there is, please send me a message to that effect.) Thus:
  • Flickipedia for movies
  • Kwik-e-pedia for The Simpsons
  • Kickipedia for sports
  • Sickipedia for medicine
  • Chickipedia for pornography
  • Dickipedia for Dick Cheney
  • Lickipedia for food
  • Hickipedia for hicks
  • Mickipedia for Mick Jagger
  • Rickipedia for Ricki Lake
  • Tickipedia for history (as in "tick, tock...")
  • Whackipedia an encyclopedia with only one entry (see googlewhack)
  • Stickipedia for Elmer's glue
  • Slickipedia for politicians
  • Nickipedia for television (see Nickelodeon)
  • Quackipedia for animals
  • Feel free to add to this list. YechielMan 00:01, 22 September 2006 (UTC)
    • Unless I (a crazy idiot with an IQ of 140 (no joke)) cause it I doubt the US government collapsing in 2040. Little Darius Penguin 14:15, 4 November 2006 (UTC)

According to My Calculations

[edit]

According to My Calculations... At the current rate of WP progress it will be in 591606. These were real calculations! Raichu 00:09, 15 June 2006 (UTC)

Ya know what?

[edit]

I'll be dead by then, so I really don't give two marshmallows when it'll happen. French Fries, anyone? ~ Porphyric Hemophiliac § 02:50, 5 September 2006 (UTC)

The Last Article

[edit]

All collected data had come to a final end. Nothing was left to be collected.

But all collected data had yet to be completely correlated and put together in all possible relationships.

A timeless interval was spent in doing that.

And it came to pass that Wikipedia learned how to reverse the direction of entropy.

But there was no one to whom Wikipedia might give the answer. No matter. The answer---by demonstration---would take care of that, too.

For another timeless interval, Wikipedia thought how best to do this. Carefully, it organized the program.

The consciousness of Wikipedia encompassed all of what had once been a Universe and brooded over what was now Chaos. Step by step, it must be done.

And Wikipedia said, "Let there be light!"

And there was light---

-- Scott eiπ 14:06, 2 March 2006 (UTC)

LOL --WikiSlasher 10:39, 19 October 2006 (UTC)
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