User:Rhian2040/sandbox

United States presidential election, 2024

November 5, 2024
538 members of the Electoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win
Nominee Nikki Haley Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Party Republican Democratic Home state South Carolina New York Running mate Dan Crenshaw Ayanna Pressley
Presidential election results map. Red denotes states won by Haley/Crenshaw, blue denotes those won by Ocasio/Cortez/Harris. Numbers indicate electoral votes allotted to the winner of each state
Incumbent President Donald Trump Republican

The United States presidential election of 2024, scheduled for Tuesday, November 5, 2024, will be the 60th quadrennial U.S. presidential election. Voters will select presidential electors who in turn will either elect a new president and vice president through the electoral college or re-elect the incumbents. The series of presidential primary elections and caucuses are likely to be held during the first six months of 2024. This nominating process is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots selecting a slate of delegates to a political party's nominating convention, who then in turn elect their party's presidential nominee.

The winner of the 2024 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on January 20, 2025

Background

Procedure

Further information: United States presidential election § Procedure

Article Two of the United States Constitution states that for a person to serve as President of the United States the individual must be a natural-born citizen of the United States, at least 35 years old and a United States resident for at least 14 years. Candidates for the presidency typically seek the nomination of one of the various political parties of the United States, in which case each party develops a method (such as a primary election) to choose the candidate the party deems best suited to run for the position. The primary elections are usually indirect elections where voters cast ballots for a slate of party delegates pledged to a particular candidate. The party's delegates then officially nominate a candidate to run on the party's behalf. The nominee then personally chooses a vice presidential running mate to form that party's presidential ticket (with the exception of the Libertarian Party, which nominates its vice presidential candidate by delegate vote regardless of the nominee's preference). The general election in November is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College; these electors then directly elect the President and Vice President.

The Twenty-second Amendment to the Constitution states that an individual can not be elected to the presidency more than twice. This prohibits former Presidents Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama from being elected president again. Former presidents Jimmy Carter and George H. W. Bush, both having only served one term, are not constitutionally prohibited from being re-elected in the 2020 election.

Demographic trends

The age group of what will then be people in the 18 to 45-year-old bracket is expected to represent just under 40 percent of the United States' eligible voters in 2020. It is expected that more than 30 percent of eligible American voters will be nonwhite.

Simultaneous elections

The presidential election will occur at the same time as elections to the Senate and the House of Representatives. Several states will also hold state gubernatorial and state legislative elections. Following the election, the United States House will redistribute the seats among the 50 states based on the results of the 2024 United States Census, and the states will conduct a redistricting of Congressional and state legislative districts. In most states, the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting (although some states have redistricting commissions), and often a party that wins a presidential election experiences a coattail effect that also helps other candidates of that party win election. Therefore, the party that wins the 2024 presidential election could also win a significant advantage in the drawing of new Congressional and state legislative districts that would stay in effect until the 2032 elections.

Advantage of incumbency

An incumbent president seeking re-election usually faces no significant opposition during their respective party's primaries, especially if they are still popular. For Presidents Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, George W. Bush and Barack Obama, for example, their respective paths to nomination became uneventful and the races become merely pro forma; all four then went on to win a second presidential term. Serious challenges are rare, but then generally presage failure to win the general election in the fall. During the 1976 Republican Party primaries, then-former California Governor Reagan carried 23 states while running against incumbent President Gerald Ford; Ford then went on to lose the presidential election to Jimmy Carter, albeit carrying more states. Senator Ted Kennedy then carried 12 states while running against President Carter during the 1980 Democratic Party primaries; Reagan then defeated Carter in the fall of 1980. Pat Buchanan captured a decent percentage of a protest vote against President George H. W. Bush during the 1992 Republican primaries, but only received a handful of delegates; Bush too subsequently went on to lose in the general election to Clinton.

Nominations

Republican Party

Further information: Republican Party presidential primaries, 2024

Declared candidates

These candidates have established campaign websites.

Name	Born	Current or previous positions	State	Announced	Ref
Dan Bilzerian	December 7, 1980 (age 43) Tampa, Florida	Gambler, actor, playboy	Nevada	November 11, 2019
Kanye West	June 8, 1977 (age 47) Atlanta, Georgia	rapper, singer, songwriter, record producer, entrepreneur and fashion designer	Illinois	October 11, 2018

Individuals who have publicly expressed interest

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for President.

• Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey 2010–2018; candidate for President in 2016
• Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas since 2013; candidate for President in 2016
• Nikki Haley, Ambassador to the United Nations since 2017; Governor of South Carolina 2011–2017;
• Larry Hogan, Governor of Maryland since 2015
• Will Hurd,U.S. Representative from TX-23 since 2015
• Mike Pence, Vice President of the United States since 2017; Governor of Indiana 2013–2017; U.S. Representative 2001-2013
• Mike Pompeo, U.S. Secretary of State since 2018; Director of the Central Intelligence Agency 2017-2018; U.S. Representative from KS-12 2011–2017;
• Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator from Florida since 2011; candidate for President in 2016
• Curt Schilling, former baseball player
• Ben Shapiro, conservative commentator, editor-at-large of Daily Wire
• Donald Trump, President of the United States (2017-present)

• 
  Former Governor
  Chris Christie
  from New Jersey
• 
  U.S. Senator
  Ted Cruz
  from Texas
• 
  Ambassador
  Nikki Haley
  from South Carolina
• 
  Governor
  Larry Hogan
  from Maryland
• 
  U.S. Representative
  Will Hurd
  from Texas
• 
  Vice President
  Mike Pence
  from Indiana
• 
  Secretary
  Mike Pompeo
  from Kansas
• 
  U.S. Senator
  Marco Rubio
  from Florida
• 
  Curt Schilling
  from Arizona
• 
  Ben Shapiro
  from Tennessee
• 
  President
  Donald Trump
  from Florida

Potential candidates

• Greg Abbott, Governor of Texas since 2015
• Charlie Baker, Governor of Massachusetts since 2015
• Matt Bevin, Governor of Kentucky since 2015
• Liz Cheney, U.S. Representative from WY-AL since 2017
• Tucker Carlson, conservative commentator
• Dan Crenshaw, U.S. Representative since 2019
• Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas since 2015; U.S. Representative from AR-04 2013-2015;
• Ron DeSantis, Governor of Florida since 2019, U.S. Representative 2013–2018
• Doug Ducey, Governor of Florida since 2015
• Matt Gaetz, U.S. Representative from Florida
• Richard Grenell, Acting Director of National Intelligence since 2020, United States Ambassador to Germany since 2018
• Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri since 2019, Missouri Attorney General since 2017;
• James Lankford, U.S. Senator from Oklahoma since 2015
• Mark Meadows, White House Chief of Staff since 2020, U.S. Representative from NC-11 2013-2020
• Robert C. O'Brien, United States National Security Advisor since 2019
• Rand Paul, U.S. Senator from Missouri since 2011
• Ben Sasse, U.S. Senator from Nebraska since 2015
• Rick Scott, U.S. Senator from Florida since 2019, Governor of Florida from 2011-2019;
• Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from [[South Carolina] since 2013, U.S. Representative from SC-01 2011–2013;
• Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative from New York
• Peter Thiel, philanthropist
• Pat Toomey, U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania since 2011, U.S. Representative from SC-01 1999–2005

• 
  Governor
  Greg Abbott
  from Texas
• 
  Former Governor
  Matt Bevin
  from Kentucky
• 
  Tucker Carlson
  from California
• 
  U.S. Representative
  Liz Cheney
  from Wyoming
• 
  U.S. Representative
  Dan Crenshaw
  from Texas
• 
  U.S. Senator
  Tom Cotton
  from Arkansas
• 
  Governor
  Ron DeSantis
  from Florida
• 
  Governor
  Doug Ducey
  from Arizona
• 
  U.S. Representative
  Matt Gaetz
  from Florida
• 
  Former Director of National Intelligence
  Richard Grenell
  from Michigan
• 
  U.S. Senator
  Josh Hawley
  from Missouri
• 
  U.S. Senator
  James Lankford
  from Oklahoma
• 
  White House Chief of Staff
  Mark Meadows
  from North Carolina
• 
  United States National Security Advisor
  Robert C. O'brien
  from California
• 
  U.S. Senator
  Rand Paul
  from Kentucky
• 
  Governor
  Pete Ricketts
  from Nebraska
• 
  Former Speaker of the House of Representatives
  Paul Ryan
  from Wisconsin
• 
  U.S. Senator
  Ben Sasse
  from Nebraska
• 
  U.S. Senator
  Rick Scott
  from Florida
• 
  U.S. Senator
  Tim Scott
  from South Carolina
• 
  U.S. Representative
  Elise Stefanik
  from New York
• 
  Peter Thiel
  from California
• 
  U.S. Senator
  Pat Toomey
  from Pennsylvania

Declined to be candidates

• Trey Gowdy, former U.S. Representative from SC-04 2011–2019;
• Eric Greitens, former Governor of Missouri 2017-2018;(running for statewide office)
• Kristi Noem, Governor of South Dakota since 2019; U.S. Representative from South Dakota
• Donald Trump Jr., businessman, executive Vice President of the Trump Organization
• Ivanka Trump, businesswoman, First Daughter, Senior Advisor to the President
• Scott Walker, Governor of Wisconsin since 2011; candidate for President in 2016

Democratic Party

Further information: Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2024

Individuals who have publicly expressed interest

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for President.

• Stacey Abrams, Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives 2011-2017, Democratic nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2018
• Michael Avenatti, attorney, convicted felon from California

• Michael Bennet, U.S. Senator from Colorado since 2009
• Lebron James, professional basketball player from California
• Dwayne Johnson, actor, producer, and semi-retired professional wrestler from Florida
• Terry McAuliffe, Governor of Virginia 2014–2018, DNC Chairman
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. Representative from NY-14 2019–present;
• Tim Ryan, U.S. Representative from Ohio since 2003,candidate for President of the United States in 2020
• Andrew Yang, entrepeneur, candidate for President of the United States in 2020

• 
  State Representative
  Stacey Abrams
  from Georgia
• 
  
  Michael Avenatti
  from California
• 
  United States Senator
  Michael Bennet
  from Colorado
• 
  Lebron James
  from California
• 
  Dwayne Johnson
  from Florida
• 
  Former Governor
  Terry McAuliffe
  of Virginia
• 
  U.S. Representative
  Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  from New York
• 
  U.S. Representative
  Tim Ryan
  from Ohio
• 
  
  Andrew Yang
  from New York

Potential candidates

• Andy Beshear, Governor of Kentucky since 2019, Attorney General of Kentucky 2016-2019
• Jeff Bezos, CEO of Amazon, CEO of Blue Origin, investor
• Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey since 2013; Mayor of Newark 2006–2013, Candidate for President of the United in 2020
• Pete Buttigieg, former Mayor of South Bend, Candidate for President of the United in 2020
• Andrew Cuomo, Governor of New York since 2011
• Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator from California since 2017, Candidate for President of the United in 2020
• Jay Inslee, Governor of Washington since 2011, Candidate for president in 2020
• Tim Kaine, U.S. Senator from Virginia since 2013; Governor 2006–2010; Mayor of Richmond 1998–2001; Democratic nominee for Vice President in 2016
• Joe Kennedy III
• Gavin Newsom, Governor of California 2011-present; and candidate for 2014
• J. B. Pritzker, Governor of Illinois since 2019
• Gina Raimondo, Governor of Rhode Island since 2015
• Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts since 2013, Candidate for President of the United in 2020
• Gretchen Whitmer, Governor of Michigansince 2019
• Mark Zuckerberg, computer programmer and Internet entrepreneur from California

• 
  Jeff Bezos
  from Washington
• 
  U.S. Senator
  Cory Booker
  from New Jersey
• 
  Former Mayor
  Pete Buttigieg
  from Indiana
• 
  Governor
  Andrew Cuomo
  of New York
• 
  U.S. Senator
  Kamala Harris
  from [[California]
• 
  Governor
  Jay Inslee
  of Washington
• 
  Governor
  John Hickenlooper
  of Colorado
• 
  U.S. Representative
  Joe Kennedy III
  from Massachusetts
• 
  Governor
  Gavin Newsom
  from California
• 
  Governor
  J. B. Pritzker
  from Illinois
• 
  Governor
  Gina Raimondo
  of Rhode Island
• 
  Governor
  Gretchen Whitmer
  of Michigan
• 
  Mark Zuckerberg
  from California

Declined to be candidates

• Meghan Markle, former Duchess of Sussex
• Beto O'Rourke, former U.S. Representative from TX-16 (2013-2019)

Libertarian Party

Further information: Libertarian Party presidential primaries, 2024

Potential candidates

• Justin Amash, U.S. Representative from Michigan 2011-present
• Kris Kobach], Secretary of State of Kansas, candidate for Governor of Kansas in 2018
• Austin Petersen, producer, writer, political activist, and commentator; candidate for U.S. Senate 2018; Libertarian candidate for president of the United States in 2016
• Larry Sharpe, businessman, motivational speaker, Regional Alternate at Libertarian National Committee, 2018 candidate for Governor of New York

• 
  U.S. Representative Justin Amash
  from Michigan
• 
  Austin Petersen
  from Missouri
• 
  Larry Sharpe
  from New York

Independent or unaffiliated

Potential candidates

• Mark Cuban, owner of the Dallas Mavericks

</gallery>

Maps

• The 50 states plus DC, scaled according to the number of electors in each state.
  The 50 states plus DC, scaled according to the number of electors in each state.

References

{{United States presidential election, 2024}} {{United States elections, 2024}}

Category:2020s in the United States