Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election by demographic
 2016 U.S. presidential election | |
|---|---|
| Republican Party | |
| Democratic Party | |
| Third parties | |
| Related races | |
| |
This page lists nationwide public opinion polling among demographics that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election between prospective Democratic and Republican candidates. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016. The general election occurred on Tuesday, November 8, 2016.
Two-way race
[edit]By race or ethnicity
[edit]African Americans
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided | Leading by % |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politico/Morning Consult[1] | November 4–5, 2016 | 80% | 11% | 69% | 1,482 likely voters | ± 3.0% | |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[2] | November 3–5, 2016 | 86% | 7% | 79% | 1,282 likely voters | ± 2.7% | |
| McClatchy/Marist College[3] | November 1–3, 2016 | 86% | 7% | 79% | 940 likely voters | ±3.2% | |
| American Research Group[4] | October 17–20, 2016 | 88% | 4% | 6% | 84% | 1,006 likely voters | ±3.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[5] | October 10–13, 2016 | 86% | 9% | 77% | 1,000 registered voters | ±3.1% | |
| Pew Research[6] | September 27-October 10, 2016 | 69% | 15% | 54% | 4,132 respondents | ±2.8% | |
| American Research Group[7] | September 17–20, 2016 | 87% | 2% | 8% | 85% | 990 registered voters | ±3.2% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[8] | September 16–19, 2016 | 81% | 7% | 74% | 1,000 registered voters | ±3.1% | |
| CBS News/New York Times[9] | September 9–13, 2016 | 89% | 6% | 83% | 1,753 adults | ±3.0% | |
| Morning Consult[10] | September 6–8, 2016 | 73% | 7% | 66% | 1,961 registered voters | ±2.0% | |
| YouGov/The Economist[11] | September 4–6, 2016 | 82% | 11% | 5% | 71% | 1300 adults | ±4.4% |
| USA Today/Suffolk University[12] | August 24–29, 2016 | 92% | 4% | 88% | 1,000 voters | ±3% | |
| Morning Consult[13] | August 24–26, 2016 | 79% | 5% | 16% | 74% | 2,007 registered voters | ±2% |
| USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[14] | July 4 – August 4, 2016 | 80% | 14.6% | 65.4% | |||
| Culturintel[15] | June 1 – July 1, 2016 | 52% | 26% | 22% | 26% | ||
| SurveyUSA[16] | September 2–3, 2015 | 59% | 25% | 16% | 34% | 108 African American registered voters | ± 3.3% |
Asian Americans
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other | Undecided | Leading by % |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Asian American Survey[17] | August 10–September 29, 2016 | 59% | 16% | 10% | 16% | 43% | 2,543 | ± 3.5% |
| USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[14] | September 2–3, 2015 | 45.2% | 39.8% | 5.4% | ||||
| SurveyUSA[16] | September 2–3, 2015 | 39% | 41% | 20% | 2% | 63 registered voters | ± 3.3% |
Hispanic Americans
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided | Leading by % |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politico/Morning Consult[1] | November 4–5, 2016 | 61% | 27% | 34% | 1,482 likely voters | ± 3.0% | |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[2] | November 3–5, 2016 | 65% | 20% | 45% | 1,282 likely voters | ± 2.7% | |
| Pew Research[6] | September 27-October 10, 2016 | 56% | 24% | 32% | 4,132 respondents | ±2.8% | |
| Wall Street Journal/NBC News/Telemundo[18] | September 15–20, 2016 | 63% | 16% | 47% | 300 Hispanic registered voters | ±5.66% | |
| YouGov/The Economist[11] | September 4–6, 2016 | 63% | 21% | 16% | 42% | 1,300 adults | ±4.4% |
| Morning Consult[19] | September 1–2, 2016 | 61% | 21% | 40% | 2,001 registered voters | ±2% | |
| USA Today/Suffolk University[12] | August 24–29, 2016 | 65% | 24% | 41% | 1,000 voters | ±3% | |
| USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[14] | July 4 – August 4, 2016 | 59.1% | 27.8% | 31.3% | |||
| SurveyUSA[16] | September 2–3, 2015 | 50% | 31% | 19% | 19% | 171 Hispanic American registered voters | ± 3.3% |
White Americans
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided | Leading by % |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co[20] | November 4–6, 2016 | 38% | 50% | 12% | 799 likely voters | ± 3.5% | |
| ABC News/Washington Post[21] | November 3–6, 2016 | 38% | 53% | 15% | 2,220 likely voters | ± 2.5% | |
| Politico/Morning Consult[1] | November 4–5, 2016 | 39% | 49% | 10% | 1,482 likely voters | ± 3.0% | |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[2] | November 3–5, 2016 | 38% | 53% | 15% | 1,282 likely voters | ± 2.7% | |
| McClatchy/Marist College[3] | November 1–3, 2016 | 37% | 49% | 12% | 940 likely voters | ± 3.2% | |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[22] | October 20–23, 2016 | 42% | 54% | 3% | 12% | 779 likely voters | ±4.0% |
| American Research Group[4] | October 17–20, 2016 | 42% | 50% | 3% | 8% | 1,006 likely voters | ±3.0% |
| Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co[23] | October 14–17, 2016 | 40% | 49% | 9% | 1,006 likely voters | ±3.1% | |
| PRRI/Brookings[24] | October 12–17, 2016 | 40% | 43% | 3% | 692 likely voters | ±4.4% | |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[5] | October 10–13, 2016 | 40% | 51% | 11% | 1,000 registered voters | ±3.1% | |
| Pew Research[6] | September 27-October 10, 2016 | 33% | 42% | 9% | 4,132 respondents | ±2.8% | |
| American Research Group[7] | September 17–20, 2016 | 39% | 50% | 5% | 11% | 990 registered voters | ±3.2% |
| McClatchy/Marist College[25] | September 15–20, 2016 | 37% | 53% | 2% | 16% | 1,298 adults | ±2.7% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[26] | September 15–19, 2016 | 33% | 42% | 8% | 9% | 1,098 White American registered voters | ±3.4% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[8] | September 16–18, 2016 | 41% | 49% | 8% | 1,000 registered voters | ±3.1% | |
| Morning Consult[10] | September 6–8, 2016 | 35% | 44% | 9% | 1,710 likely voters | ±2% | |
| ABC News/Washington Post[27] | September 5–8, 2016 | 36% | 50% | 14% | 1,002 adults | ±3.5% | |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[28] | September 1–4, 2016 | 34% | 55% | 21% | 1,001 adults | ±3.5% | |
| Ipsos/Reuters[29] | August 25–29, 2016 | 35% | 44% | 7% | 9% | 1,946 Americans | ±2.5% |
| SurveyUSA[16] | September 2–3, 2015 | 34% | 51% | 14% | 17% | 603 White American registered voters | ± 3.3% |
Non-white/Minority Americans
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided | Leading by % |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co[20] | November 4–6, 2016 | 63% | 26% | 37% | 799 likely voters | ± 3.5% | |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[22] | October 20–23, 2016 | 72% | 21% | 51% | 779 likely voters | ±8.0% | |
| Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co[23] | October 14–17, 2016 | 74% | 21% | 53% | 1,006 likely voters | ±3.1% | |
| PRRI/Brookings[24] | October 12–17, 2016 | 76% | 17% | 59% | 692 likely voters | ±4.4% | |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[5] | October 10–13, 2016 | 76% | 16% | 60% | 1,000 registered voters | ±3.1% | |
| Ipsos/Reuters[30] | September 22–26, 2016 | 67% | 17% | 6% | 50% | 345 minority American registered voters | ±6.0% |
By education
[edit]White Americans with a college degree
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Leading by % |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politico/Morning Consult[1] | November 4–5, 2016 | 48% | 41% | 7% | 1,482 likely voters | ± 3.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[2] | November 3–5, 2016 | 51% | 41% | 10% | 1,282 likely voters | ± 2.7% |
| McClatchy/Marist College[3] | November 1–3, 2016 | 50% | 40% | 10% | 940 likely voters | ± 3.2% |
| PRRI/Brookings[24] | October 12–17, 2016 | 53% | 34% | 19% | 692 likely voters | ±4.4% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[8] | September 16–19, 2016 | 49% | 43% | 5% | 1,000 registered voters | ±3.1% |
| CBS News/New York Times[9] | September 9–13, 2016 | 51% | 40% | 11% | 1,753 adults | ±3.0% |
White Americans without a college degree
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Leading by % |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[2] | November 3–5, 2016 | 30% | 60% | 30% | 1,282 likely voters | ± 2.7% |
| McClatchy/Marist College[3] | November 1–3, 2016 | 27% | 57% | 30% | 940 likely voters | ± 3.2% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[8] | September 16–19, 2016 | 35% | 53% | 18% | 1,000 registered voters | ±3.1% |
| CBS News/New York Times[9] | September 9–13, 2016 | 32% | 58% | 26% | 1,753 adults | ±3.0% |
By gender
[edit]Male Americans
[edit]
| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Leading by % |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co[20] | November 4–6, 2016 | 39% | 50% | 11% | 799 likely voters | ± 3.5% |
| Politico/Morning Consult[1] | November 4–5, 2016 | 43% | 44% | 1% | 1,482 likely voters | ± 3.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[2] | November 3–5, 2016 | 42% | 47% | 5% | 1,282 likely voters | ± 2.7% |
| McClatchy/Marist College[3] | November 1–3, 2016 | 38% | 50% | 12% | 940 likely voters | ± 3.2% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[22] | October 20–23, 2016 | 46% | 49% | 3% | 779 likely voters | ±5.0% |
| Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co[23] | October 14–17, 2016 | 46% | 44% | 2% | 1,006 likely voters | ±3.1% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[5] | October 10–13, 2016 | 45% | 48% | 3% | 1,000 registered voters | ±3.1% |
| Pew Research[6] | September 27-October 10, 2016 | 34% | 41% | 7% | 4,132 respondents | ±2.8% |
| PRRI/The Atlantic[35] | October 5–9, 2016 | 37% | 48% | 11% | 886 likely voters | |
| Ipsos/Reuters[30] | September 22–26, 2016 | 43% | 40% | 3% | 562 registered voters | ±4.7% |
| American Research Group[7] | September 17–20, 2016 | 38% | 55% | 17% | 990 registered voters | ±3.2% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[26] | September 15–19, 2016 | 40% | 37% | 3% | 649 registered voters | ±4.4% |
| CBS News/New York Times[9] | September 9–13, 2016 | 39% | 50% | 11% | 1,753 adults | ±3.0% |
| Quinnipiac University[36] | September 8–13, 2016 | 41% | 50% | 9% | 960 likely voters | ±3.2% |
| YouGov/The Economist[11] | September 4–6, 2016 | 43% | 44% | 1% | 1,300 adults | ±4.4% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[28] | September 1–4, 2016 | 32% | 54% | 22% | 1,001 adults | ±3.5% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[29] | August 25–29, 2016 | 42% | 40% | 2% | 1,946 Americans | ±2.5% |
| Quinnipiac University[37] | August 18–24, 2016 | 42% | 48% | 6% | 1,498 likely voters | ±2.5% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[38] | July 11–14, 2016 | 41% | 49% | 8% | 816 registered voters | ±4.0% |
Female Americans
[edit]
| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Leading by % |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co[20] | November 4–6, 2016 | 51% | 36% | 15% | 799 likely voters | ± 3.5% |
| Politico/Morning Consult[1] | November 4–5, 2016 | 47% | 41% | 6% | 1,482 likely voters | ± 3.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[2] | November 3–5, 2016 | 53% | 38% | 15% | 1,282 likely voters | ± 2.7% |
| McClatchy/Marist College[3] | November 1–3, 2016 | 48% | 37% | 11% | 940 likely voters | ± 3.2% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[22] | October 20–23, 2016 | 54% | 41% | 13% | 779 likely voters | ±5.0% |
| Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co[23] | October 14–17, 2016 | 55% | 38% | 17% | 1,006 likely voters | ±3.1% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[5] | October 10–13, 2016 | 55% | 35% | 20% | 1,000 registered voters | ±3.1% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[30] | September 22–26, 2016 | 45% | 32% | 13% | 849 registered voters | ±3.8% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[26] | September 15–19, 2016 | 42% | 33% | 9% | 808 registered voters | ±3.9% |
| CBS News/New York Times[9] | September 9–13, 2016 | 52% | 39% | 13% | 1,753 adults | ±3% |
| Quinnipiac University[36] | September 8–13, 2016 | 54% | 36% | 18% | 960 likely voters | ±3.2% |
| Morning Consult[10] | September 6–8, 2016 | 41% | 36% | 5% | 1,710 likely voters | ±2% |
| YouGov/The Economist[11] | September 4–6, 2016 | 45% | 40% | 5% | 1,300 adults | ±4.4% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[28] | September 1–4, 2016 | 53% | 38% | 15% | 1,001 adults | ±3.5% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[29] | August 25–29, 2016 | 40% | 35% | 5% | 1,946 Americans | ±2.5% |
| USA Today/Suffolk University[12] | August 24–29, 2016 | 54% | 38% | 16% | 1,000 voters | ±3% |
| Morning Consult[13] | August 24–26, 2016 | 44% | 35% | 9% | 2,007 registered voters | ±2% |
| The McClatchy Company/Marist College[39] | July 5–9, 2016 | 51% | 33% | 18% | 1,249 American adults | ±3.0% |
Other criteria
[edit]Independent voters
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Leading by % |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co[20] | November 4–6, 2016 | 38% | 44% | 6% | 799 likely voters | ± 3.5% |
| Bloomberg Politics/Purple Insights[40] | October 28–31, 2016 | 39% | 35% | 4% | 601 likely voters who identify as independent | ± 4.0% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[22] | October 20–23, 2016 | 43% | 48% | 5% | 779 likely voters | ±6.0% |
| NBC News/Wall Street Journal[5] | October 10–13, 2016 | 36% | 41% | 5% | 1,000 registered voters | ±3.1% |
| Emerson College[41] | September 11–13, 2016 | 36% | 41% | 5% | 600 likely voters | ±3.9% |
| CBS News/New York Times[9] | September 9–13, 2016 | 39% | 42% | 4% | 1,753 adults | ±3.0% |
| Quinnipiac University[36] | September 8–13, 2016 | 40% | 45% | 5% | 960 likely voters | ±3.2% |
| Morning Consult[10] | September 6–8, 2016 | 26% | 35% | 9% | 1,710 likely voters | ±2% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[27] | September 5–8, 2016 | 39% | 37% | 2% | 1,002 adults | ±3.5% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[28] | September 1–4, 2016 | 29% | 49% | 20% | 1,001 adults | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling[42] | August 26–28, 2016 | 41% | 45% | 4% | 881 likely voters | ±3.3% |
| Monmouth University[43] | August 25–28, 2016 | 37% | 32% | 5% | 802 registered voters | ±3.5% |
| NBC News/SurveyMonkey[44] | August 22–28, 2016 | 37% | 33% | 4% | 24,104 adults | ±1.0% |
LGBT Americans
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Leading by % |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitman Insight Strategies[45] | March 29 – April 2, 2016 | 84% | 16% | 68% | 338 LGBT likely voters | ± 5.3% |
Young Americans
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Leading by % |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvard University Institute of Politics[46] | October 7–17, 2016 | 59% | 25% | 34% | 1,054 18 to 29 year old American likely voters | ±3.11% |
Americans with household incomes of $100,000 or more
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Leading by % |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg Politics/Purple Insights[47] | September 16–19, 2016 | 46% | 42% | 4% | 600 likely voters with household incomes of $100,000 or more | ±4.0% |
Three-way race
[edit]Independent voters
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[48] | October 20–21, 2016 | 32% | 36% | 13% | 990 likely voters | |
| Fox News[49] | June, 2016 | 22% | 32% | 23% |
Four-way race
[edit]By race or ethnicity
[edit]African Americans
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pew Research[50] | October 20–25, 2016 | 81% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 2,120 registered voters | |
| ABC News[51] | October 20–22, 2016 | 82% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 874 likely voters | ±3.5% |
| SurveyUSA/Boston Globe/Colby College[52] | October 11–14, 2016 | 85% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 845 likely voters | ±3.4% |
| CBS News/New York Times[53] | September 28-October 2, 2016 | 80% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1,501 adults | ±4.0% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[54] | September 19–22, 2016 | 89% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1,001 adults | ±4.5% |
| YouGov/The Economist[55] | September 18–19, 2016 | 79% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1,300 adults | ±3.9% |
| YouGov/The Economist[11] | September 4–6, 2016 | 78% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 1,300 adults | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling[42] | August 26–28, 2016 | 73% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 881 likely voters | ±3.3% |
Hispanic Americans
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pew Research[50] | October 20–25, 2016 | 65% | 18% | 6% | 4% | 2,120 registered voters | |
| ABC News[51] | October 20–22, 2016 | 63% | 25% | 9% | 1% | 874 likely voters | ±3.5% |
| SurveyUSA/Boston Globe/Colby College[52] | October 11–14, 2016 | 60% | 25% | 7% | 4% | 845 likely voters | ±3.4% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[54] | September 19–22, 2016 | 68% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1,001 adults | ±4.5% |
| YouGov/The Economist[55] | September 18–19, 2016 | 54% | 23% | 9% | 2% | 1,300 adults | ±3.9% |
| YouGov/The Economist[11] | September 4–6, 2016 | 56% | 20% | 1% | 15% | 1,300 adults | ±4.4% |
| Pew Research[56] | August 9–16, 2016 | 50% | 26% | 9% | 9% |
White Americans
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[22] | October 20–23, 2016 | 39% | 52% | 4% | 2% | 779 likely voters | ±4.0% |
| ABC News[51] | October 20–22, 2016 | 43% | 47% | 5% | 1% | 874 likely voters | ±3.5% |
| Quinnipiac University[57] | October 5–6, 2016 | 38% | 51% | 5% | 2% | 1,064 likely voters | ± 3.0% |
| CBS News/New York Times[53] | September 28-October 2, 2016 | 37% | 49% | 8% | 2% | 1,501 adults | ±4.0% |
| YouGov/The Economist[55] | September 18–19, 2016 | 32% | 46% | 7% | 2% | 1,300 adults | ±3.9% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[26] | September 15–19, 2016 | 31% | 41% | 10% | 3% | 1,098 White American registered voters | ±3.4% |
| YouGov/The Economist[11] | September 4–6, 2016 | 32% | 45% | 9% | 4% | 1,300 adults | ±4.4% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[29] | August 25–29, 2016 | 35% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 1,496 Americans | ±2.5% |
| Pew Research[56] | August 9–16, 2016 | 33% | 45% | 11% | 4% | ||
| YouGov/The Economist[58] | July 30 – August 1, 2016 | 33% | 42% | 10% | 4% | 1300 adults | ± 4.0% |
By gender
[edit]Female Americans
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pew Research[50] | October 20–25, 2016 | 52% | 36% | 4% | 2% | 2,120 registered voters | |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[22] | October 20–23, 2016 | 52% | 39% | 3% | 1% | 779 likely voters | ±5.0% |
| ABC News[51] | October 20–22, 2016 | 55% | 35% | 3% | 2% | 874 likely voters | ±3.5% |
| CBS News/New York Times[53] | September 28-October 2, 2016 | 51% | 33% | 8% | 3% | 1,501 adults | ±4.0% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[54] | September 19–22, 2016 | 55% | 36% | 4% | 2% | 1,001 adults | ±4.5% |
| YouGov/The Economist[55] | September 18–19, 2016 | 44% | 37% | 4% | 2% | 1,300 adults | ±3.9% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[26] | September 15–19, 2016 | 39% | 31% | 9% | 5% | 808 registered voters | ±3.9% |
| Emerson College[41] | September 11–13, 2016 | 53% | 34% | 7% | 1% | 800 likely voters | ±3.4% |
Male Americans
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pew Research[50] | October 20–25, 2016 | 39% | 43% | 8% | 4% | 2,120 registered voters | |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[22] | October 20–23, 2016 | 44% | 47% | 4% | 3% | 779 likely voters | ±5.0% |
| CBS News/New York Times[53] | September 28-October 2, 2016 | 38% | 49% | 7% | 2% | 1,501 adults | ±4% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[54] | September 19–22, 2016 | 35% | 54% | 7% | 1% | 1,001 adults | ±4.5% |
| YouGov/The Economist[55] | September 18–19, 2016 | 37% | 39% | 10% | 3% | 1,300 adults | ±3.9% |
| Emerson College[41] | September 11–13, 2016 | 28% | 52% | 11% | 3% | 800 likely voters | ±3.4% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[29] | August 25–29, 2016 | 42% | 37% | 8% | 2% | 1,946 Americans | ±2.5% |
| Quinnipiac University[37] | August 18–24, 2016 | 35% | 42% | 14% | 6% | ||
| Pew Research[56] | August 9–16, 2016 | 33% | 45% | 10% | 4% | ||
| RABA Research[59] | July 29, 2016 | 42% | 35% | 8% | 3% | 956 Americans | ± 3.2% |
| YouGov/The Economist[60] | July 23–24, 2016 | 35% | 45% | 6% | 3% | 1300 general population respondents | ± 4.2% |
By education
[edit]White Americans with a college degree
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[22] | October 20–23, 2016 | 51% | 40% | 5% | 1% | 779 likely voters | ±5.5% |
| ABC News[51] | October 20–22, 2016 | 52% | 36% | 7% | 1% | 874 likely voters | ±3.5% |
| CBS News/New York Times[53] | September 28-October 2, 2016 | 49% | 37% | 8% | 3% | 1,501 adults | ±4.0% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[54] | September 19–22, 2016 | 48% | 39% | 8% | 2% | 1,001 adults | ±4.5% |
White Americans without a college degree
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[22] | October 20–23, 2016 | 31% | 60% | 3% | 2% | 779 likely voters | ±5.5% |
| ABC News[51] | October 20–22, 2016 | 36% | 55% | 3% | 2% | 874 likely voters | ±3.5% |
| CBS News/New York Times[53] | September 28-October 2, 2016 | 30% | 56% | 8% | 1% | 1,501 adults | ±4.0% |
| ABC News/Washington Post[54] | September 19–22, 2016 | 30% | 62% | 4% | <1% | 1,001 adults | ±4.5% |
By age
[edit]Americans aged 18–34
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA Today/Rock the Vote[61] | October 24–27, 2016 | 62% | 21% | 8% | 4% | 668 likely voters | ±5.5% |
| SurveyUSA/Boston Globe/Colby College[52] | October 11–14, 2016 | 55% | 25% | 6% | 5% | 845 likely voters | ±3.4% |
| USA Today/Rock the Vote[62] | October 11–13, 2016 | 68% | 20% | 8% | 1% | 400 likely voters | ±5.5% |
| Quinnipiac[63] | September 8–13, 2016 | 31% | 26% | 29% | 15% | 960 likely voters | ±3.2% |
| Investor's Business Daily[64] | July 29-August 4, 2016 | 30% | 12% | 35% | 14% | 851 likely voters | ±3.2% |
Americans aged 35–49
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[22] | October 20–23, 2016 | 48% | 41% | 4% | 2% | 779 likely voters | ±8.5% |
| Quinnipiac[63] | September 8–13, 2016 | 44% | 31% | 19% | 2% | 960 likely voters | ±3.2% |
Americans aged 50–64
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pew Research[50] | October 20–25, 2016 | 43% | 47% | 4% | 2% | 2,120 registered voters | |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[22] | October 20–23, 2016 | 46% | 50% | 2% | 1% | 779 likely voters | ±6.0% |
| Quinnipiac[63] | September 8–13, 2016 | 42% | 47% | 6% | 3% | 960 likely voters | ±3.2% |
Americans aged 65+
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pew Research[50] | October 20–25, 2016 | 45% | 47% | 3% | 1% | 2,120 registered voters | |
| ABC News/Washington Post[54] | September 19–22, 2016 | 41% | 53% | 2% | 2% | 1,001 adults | ±4.5% |
| Quinnipiac[63] | September 8–13, 2016 | 42% | 49% | 4% | 1% | 960 likely voters | ±3.2% |
Other criteria
[edit]Independent voters
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg Politics/Purple Insights[40] | October 28–31, 2016 | 30% | 27% | 19% | 8% | 601 likely voters who identify as independent | ± 4.0% |
| Fox News[65] | September 11–14, 2016 | 31% | 36% | 16% | 7% | 1,006 registered voters | ±3.0% |
| CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[28] | September 1–4, 2016 | 29% | 49% | 16% | 6% | 1,001 adults | ±3.5% |
| Quinnipiac University[37] | August 18–24, 2016 | 33% | 34% | 19% | 9% | 1,498 likely voters | ±2.5% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[66] | July 25–29, 2016 | 21% | 19% | 18% | 6% | 1,788 registered voters | ± 2.4% |
Americans with household incomes of $100,000 or more
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg Politics/Purple Insights[47] | September 16–19, 2016 | 41% | 37% | 9% | 2% | 600 likely voters | ±4.0% |
Military
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Military Times/Syracuse University[67] | September 2016 | 16.3% | 37.6% | 36.5% | 1.2% | 2,200 active-duty military | ±2.0% |
LGBT Americans
[edit]| Poll source | Date | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gary Johnson Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pew Research[68] | September 27-October 10, 2016 | 72% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 167 registered voters who identify as lesbian, gay or bisexual |
See also
[edit]General election polling
- Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016
- Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016
- International opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016
Democratic primary polling
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2016 presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
Republican primary polling
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2016 presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
References
[edit]- ^ a b c d e f "Final poll: Clinton leads Trump by 3 as voters lock in". Politico. 6 November 2016. Retrieved 6 November 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f g "Final NBC/WSJ Poll: Clinton Holds a Four-Point National Lead Over Trump". NBC News. 6 November 2016. Retrieved 6 November 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f "Clinton and Trump Close Nationally" (PDF). 5 November 2016. Retrieved 5 November 2016.
- ^ a b "National Presidential Ballot". Retrieved 22 October 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f "Clinton Holds 11-Point National Lead Over Trump: NBC/WSJ Poll". NBC News. 16 October 2016.
- ^ a b c d "In Presidential Contest, Voters Say Basic Facts, Not Just Policies, Are in Dispute" (PDF). 14 October 2016.[permanent dead link]
- ^ a b c "National Presidential Ballot". 21 September 2016. Retrieved 22 September 2016.
- ^ a b c d "Poll: Clinton Leads Trump Ahead of First Debate". NBC News. 21 September 2016. Retrieved 21 September 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f "Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton locked in tight race nationally - CBS/NYT poll". CBS News. 15 September 2016.
- ^ a b c d "Presidential Race a Near Toss-Up Among Likely Voters". 11 September 2016. Retrieved 11 September 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f g "The Economist/YouGov Poll" (PDF). 7 September 2016. Retrieved 7 September 2016.
- ^ a b c "Suffolk University/USA Today Poll Shows Clinton Leading Trump by 7 Points". 1 September 2016. Archived from the original on 4 September 2016. Retrieved 1 September 2016.
- ^ a b "Trump Gains Ground on Clinton; Black Voters Still Wary". 28 August 2016. Retrieved 29 August 2016.
- ^ a b c Emamdjomeh, Armand; Lauter, David (August 4, 2016). "Where the presidential race stands today: The USC Dornsife / Los Angeles Times poll". graphics.latimes.com.
- ^ "CULTURINTEL — Latino Support for Trump on the Rise at 37%". Archived from the original on 2016-08-17. Retrieved 2016-08-24.
- ^ a b c d "Labor Day Look at the 2016 General Election For President: Every Democrat Trails Trump, Though Narrowly". 4 September 2015. Retrieved 7 May 2016.
- ^ Asian American Voices in the 2016 Election. (PDF). 5 October 2016.
- ^ Meckler, Laura (22 September 2016). "Hillary Clinton Retains Lead Over Donald Trump With Hispanic Voters". Wall Street Journal. Retrieved 22 September 2016.
- ^ "Trump's Immigration Stance Isn't Hurting Him". 4 September 2016. Retrieved 5 September 2016.
- ^ a b c d e "Bloomberg Politics National Poll". Bloomberg Politics. 7 November 2016. Retrieved 7 November 2016.
- ^ "Post-ABC Tracking Poll: Clinton 47, Trump 43 on election eve". The Washington Post. 7 November 2016. Retrieved 7 November 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "CNN/ORC International Poll" (PDF). 24 October 2016. Retrieved 24 October 2016.
- ^ a b c d "Bloomberg Politics National Poll". 19 October 2016. Retrieved 19 October 2016.
- ^ a b c "Clinton maintains double-digit (51% vs. 36%) lead over Trump". 19 October 2016. Retrieved 22 October 2016.
- ^ "McClatchy-Marist Poll of 1,298 National Adults". 23 September 2016.
- ^ a b c d e "Core Political Data (Expansion)". 22 September 2016. Retrieved 22 September 2016.
- ^ a b "Clinton holds lead over Trump in new poll, but warning signs emerge". The Washington Post. 10 September 2016. Retrieved 11 September 2016.[dead link]
- ^ a b c d e "Poll: Nine weeks out, a near even race". CNN. 6 September 2016. Retrieved 6 September 2016.
- ^ a b c d e "Core Political Data (Expansion)". 1 September 2016. Retrieved 2 September 2016.
- ^ a b c "Core Political Data (Expansion)". 29 September 2016. Retrieved 29 September 2016.
- ^ a b "Election Update: Women Are Defeating Donald Trump". FiveThirtyEight. 2016-10-11. Retrieved 2016-11-06.
- ^ a b "Genders divided in the US - if only men voted, Donald Trump would win by a landslide". The Telegraph. Retrieved 2016-11-06.
- ^ a b "Presidential Polling Data - Presidential Gender Watch". Presidential Gender Watch. Retrieved 2016-11-06.
- ^ a b Becker, Kyle (2016-10-13). "This Elections Map Shows What Would Happen If Only Women Voted. If Only Men Voted...Much Different Picture". Independent Journal Review. Retrieved 2016-11-06.
- ^ "Hillary Clinton opens up a commanding 11-point lead over Donald Trump". October 11, 2016.
- ^ a b c "Trump Cuts Clinton Lead In Half, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds, Most Americans Are Voting Against, Not For, A Candidate". 14 September 2016. Archived from the original on 15 September 2016. Retrieved 14 September 2016.
- ^ a b c "Clinton tops 50 percent, leads Trump by 10 points, Quinnipiac University National Poll finds" (PDF). 25 August 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on 27 August 2016. Retrieved 29 August 2016.
- ^ "Clinton holds narrow lead over Trump on eve of conventions". The Washington Post. 17 July 2016. Retrieved 17 July 2016.[dead link]
- ^ "Clinton's lead over Trump shrinks dramatically". 13 July 2016. Retrieved 13 July 2016.
- ^ a b "Bloomberg Politics Purple Slice Poll Independent Voters". Bloomberg Politics. November 2, 2016.
- ^ a b c "Trump Leads Clinton Nationally and in Four States Polled, 3 of 4 Senate Incumbents Look Safe, Pneumonia News Hurting Clinton" (PDF). 15 September 2016.
- ^ a b "Clinton National Lead Steady at 5 Points; Both Candidates Becoming More Unpopular" (PDF). 30 August 2016. Retrieved 30 August 2016.
- ^ "Clinton Holds Lead Amid Record High Dislike of Both Nominees". 29 August 2016. Retrieved 30 August 2016.
- ^ "Poll: Donald Trump Chips Away at Hillary Clinton's National Lead". NBC News. 30 August 2016. Retrieved 30 August 2016.
- ^ "Recent Survey Findings Among LGBT Likely Voters" (PDF). 4 May 2016. Retrieved 7 May 2016.
- ^ "Survey of Young Americans' Attitudes toward Politics and Public Service" (PDF). Retrieved 26 October 2016.
- ^ a b "Bloomberg Politics/Purple Slice Poll Voters with HH Incomes of 100K Dollars Plus". 21 September 2016. Retrieved 21 September 2016.
- ^ "National Survey Results" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved 26 October 2016.
- ^ "Hillary sinks to third place among independent voters: Poll". 12 June 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f "Factors underlying voter preferences, positive and negative voting". 27 October 2016. Retrieved 27 October 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f "Clinton Vaults to a Double-Digit Lead, Boosted by Broad Disapproval of Trump" (PDF). 23 October 2016. Retrieved 23 October 2016.
- ^ a b c "On Eve of Final Debate, Clinton 10 Atop Trump Nationwide in Take-No-Prisoners Campaign - She Leads by 44 Points Among Urban Women - He Leads by 9 Points Among Rural Women". 18 October 2016. Retrieved 19 October 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f "Hillary Clinton edges ahead of Donald Trump after first debate - CBS News poll". CBS News. 3 October 2016. Retrieved 4 October 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f g "Clinton-Trump Race Narrows on the Doorstep of the Debates (POLL)". ABC News. 25 September 2016. Retrieved 25 September 2016.
- ^ a b c d e "The Economist/YouGov Poll" (PDF). Retrieved 21 September 2016.
- ^ a b c "U.S. Voters' 2016 general election preferences". 18 August 2016.
- ^ "Women, Non-Whites Give Clinton 5-Point Lead Over Trump, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds Independent Voters In Big Shift To Clinton". 7 October 2016. Archived from the original on 7 October 2016. Retrieved 7 October 2016.
- ^ "The Economist/YouGov Poll" (PDF).
- ^ "National Survey Results" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on July 30, 2016. Retrieved 30 July 2016.
- ^ "Convention impact limited as Clinton still leads Trump". Retrieved July 31, 2016.
- ^ Shedrofsky, Susan Page and Karina. "Clinton's massive lead over Trump narrows a bit among Millennials in new poll". USA TODAY.
- ^ Shedrofsky, Susan Page and Karina. "Will Millennials vote? Poll finds record support for Clinton, but enthusiasm ebbing". USA TODAY.
- ^ a b c d "Quinnipiac" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2016-09-16. Retrieved 2016-09-17.
- ^ "Investor's Business Daily" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2016-09-18. Retrieved 2016-09-21.
- ^ "Fox News Poll: Clinton and Trump in a one-point race among likely voters". Fox News. September 15, 2016. Retrieved September 16, 2016.
- ^ "Core Political Data". Archived from the original on August 4, 2016. Retrieved July 31, 2016.
- ^ Shane, Leo III; Altman, George R. (September 21, 2016). "This poll of the U.S. military has Gary Johnson tied with Donald Trump in the race for president". Military Times. Retrieved September 21, 2016.
- ^ "Lesbian, gay and bisexual voters remain a solidly Democratic bloc". Pew Research. October 25, 2016. Retrieved October 26, 2016.
External links
[edit]- Exit polls for the 2016 election.
- Bloomberg Politics Poll Decoder.
- Pew Research Archived 2016-10-11 at the Wayback Machine.
- Gallup Archived 2016-09-28 at the Wayback Machine.