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Statewide opinion polling for the January 2008 Democratic Party presidential primaries

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Main article: Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008

This article is a collection of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the January Democratic presidential primaries, 2008.

Polling

[edit]

Iowa

[edit]

IowaIowa winner: Barack Obama[1]
Primary date: January 3, 2008
Delegates At Stake 45
Delegates Won Barack Obama-16 Hillary Clinton-15 John Edwards-14

All polling data and final result
December 18, 2007 to January 3, 2008, polling data including final result
December 26, 2007 to January 3, 2008, polling data including final result

See also [1][2][3][4]

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual Result (100% precincts reporting)[2] January 3, 2008 Obama 38%, Edwards 30%, Clinton 29%, Richardson 2%, Biden 1%
American Research Group[3]

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ± 4%

December 31, 2007 – January 2, 2008 Clinton 34%, Obama 25%, Edwards 21%, Biden 8%, Richardson 6%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel 1%, Undecided 3%
Reuters/Zogby[4]

Sample Size: 905
Margin of Error: ± 3.3%

December 30, 2007 – January 2, 2008 Obama 31%, John Edwards 27%, Clinton 24%, Richardson 7%, Biden 5%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich <1%, Undecided 5%
Reuters/Zogby[5]

Sample Size: 933
Margin of Error: ± 3.3%

December 29, 2007 – January 1, 2008 Obama 28%, Clinton 28%, John Edwards 26%, Richardson 7%, Biden 4%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%
Strategic Vision[6]

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ±4.5%

December 28–30, 2007 Obama 32%, Edwards 29%, Clinton 27%, Biden 5%, Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 3%
Zogby[7]

Sample Size: 934
Margin of Error: ± 3.3%

December 28–31, 2007 Clinton 30%, Obama 26%, Edwards 25%, Biden 5%, Richardson 5%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich <1%, Undecided 7%
Des Moines Register[8]

Sample Size: 800
Margin of Error: ± 3.5%

December 27–30, 2007 Obama 32%, Clinton 25%, Edwards 24%, Richardson 6%, Biden 4%
CNN[9]

Sample Size: 482
Margin of Error: ± 4.5%

December 26–30, 2007 Clinton 33%, Obama 31%, Edwards 22%, Richardson 5%, Biden 5%
Insider Advantage[10]

Sample Size: 788
Margin of Error: ± 3.4%

December 26–29, 2007 Clinton 30%, Edwards 29%, Obama 22%
Reuters/Zogby[11]

Sample Size: 899
Margin of Error: ± 3.3%

December 27–30, 2007 Clinton 30%, Obama 26%, Edwards 26%
Zogby[12]

Sample Size: 934
Margin of Error: ± 3.3%

December 26–29, 2007 Clinton 31%, Obama 27%, Edwards 24%, Biden 5%, Richardson 5%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich <1%, Undecided 6%
MSNBC/Mason-Dixon[13]

Sample Size: 400
Margin of Error: 5%

December 26–28, 2007 Edwards 24%, Clinton 23%, Obama 22%, Richardson 12%, Biden 8%
MSNBC/Mason-Dixon(Second Choice, cumulative)[14]

Sample Size: 400
Margin of Error: 5%

December 26–28, 2007 Edwards 33%, Obama 26%, Clinton 26%
American Research Group[15]

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ± 4%

December 26–28, 2007 Clinton 31%, Obama 24%, Edwards 24%, Biden 5%, Richardson 5%, Dodd 3%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -, Undecided 7%
Research 2000/Sioux City Journal[16]

Sample Size: 500
Margin of Error: ±4.5%

December 26–27, 2007 Obama 29%, Edwards 29%, Clinton 28%, Richardson 7%, Biden 3%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 2%
Strategic Vision[17]

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ±4.5%

December 26–27, 2007 Obama 30%, Clinton 29%, Edwards 28%, Biden 5%, Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 4%
LA Times/Bloomberg (registered voters)[18]

Sample Size: 2,145(total poll)
Margin of Error: ±4%

December 20–26, 2007 Clinton 29%, Obama 26%, Edwards 25%
LA Times/Bloomberg (Likely Caucus Goers)[19]

Sample Size: 389
Margin of Error: ±4%

December 20–26, 2007 Clinton 31%, Edwards 25%, Obama 22%
American Research Group[20]

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ± 4%

December 20–23, 2007 Clinton 34%, Edwards 20%, Obama 19%, Biden 8%, Richardson 5%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 2%, Gravel -, Undecided 10%
American Research Group[21] December 16–19, 2007 Clinton 29%, Obama 25%, Edwards 18%, Biden 8%, Richardson 7%, Dodd 3%, Kucinich 2%, Gravel -, Undecided 8%
Strategic Vision[22] December 16–18, 2007 Obama 30%, Clinton 27%, Edwards 27%, Biden 5%, Richardson 3%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, Undecided 6%
CNN/Opinion Research[23] December 14–18, 2007 Clinton 30%, Obama 28%, Edwards 26%, Richardson 7%, Biden 3%
Rassmusen[24] December 17, 2007 Clinton 31%, Obama 27%, Edwards 22%, Richardson 9%, Biden 5%
InsiderAdvantage (highly likely voters)[25] December 16–17, 2007 Obama 26.6%, Edwards, 26.0%, Clinton 23.8%
InsiderAdvantage (likely voters)[26] December 16–17, 2007 Edwards 29.8%, Clinton 26.4%, Obama 24.3%
ABC/Washington Post (reallocating support for non-viable candidates)[27] December 13–17, 2007 Obama 37%, Clinton 31%, Edwards 26%
ABC/Washington Post ("absolutely certain" caucus-goers)[28] December 13–17, 2007 Obama 35%, Clinton 26%, Edwards 20%
ABC/Washington Post (all caucus-goers)[29] December 13–17, 2007 Obama 33%, Clinton 29%, Edwards 20%, Richardson 8%, Biden 4%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, No opinion 3%
Research 2000/Quad City Times[30] December 10–13, 2007 Obama 33%, Clinton 24%, Edwards 24%, Richardson 9%, Biden 3%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%
Diageo/The Hotline/FD[31] December 7–12, 2007 Obama 27%, Clinton 27%, Edwards 22%, Richardson 8%, Biden 5%
Rasmussen Reports[32] December 10, 2007 Clinton 29%, Obama 26%, Edwards 22%, Richardson 7%, Biden 5%, Other 3%
Strategic Vision[33] December 8–10, 2007 Obama 33%, Clinton 25%, Edwards 24%, Richardson 4%, Biden 4%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 8%
Newsweek (Likely caucus-goers)[34] December 5–6, 2007 Obama 35%, Clinton 29%, Edwards 18%
Newsweek (All Democratic voters)[35] December 5–6, 2007 Clinton 30%, Obama 29%, Edwards 21%
Global Strategy Group/Edwards Campaign Internal Poll[36] December 2–5, 2007 Clinton 27% (26%), Edwards 24% (25%), Obama 22% (23%), Richardson 9% (8%), Biden 6% (7%), Kucinich 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -, Undecided 9%
Mason-Dixon[37] December 3–6, 2007 Clinton 27%, Obama 25%, Edwards 21%, Richardson 9%, Biden 5%
Strategic Vision[38] November 30 – December 2, 2007 Obama 32%, Edwards 25%, Clinton 25%, Biden 5%, Richardson 3%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -, Undecided 8%
American Research Group[39] November 26–29, 2007 Obama 27%, Clinton 25%, Edwards 23%, Biden 8%, Richardson 4%, Dodd 3%, Kucinich 2%, Gravel -, Other 2%
Des Moines Register Poll[40] November 25–28, 2007 Obama 28%, Clinton 25%, Edwards 23%, Richardson 9%, Biden 6%
Rasmussen Reports[41] November 26–27, 2007 Clinton 27%, Obama 25%, Edwards 24%, Richardson 10%, Biden 4%, Other 2%
Strategic Vision[42] November 23–25, 2007 Obama 29%, Clinton 29%, Edwards 23%, Richardson 6%, Biden 4%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 7%
ABC News/Washington Post[43] November 14–18, 2007 Obama 30%, Clinton 26%, Edwards 22%, Richardson 11%, Biden 4%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -%, No Opinion 3%, Other 1%
KCCI Des Moines[44] November 12–14, 2007 Clinton 27%, Obama 25%, Edwards 21%, Richardson 10%, Biden 4%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -%, Undecided 11%
American Research Group[45] November 10–14, 2007 Clinton 27%, Obama 21%, Edwards 20%, Richardson 12%, Biden 5%, Dodd 3%, Kucinich 2%, Gravel -%, Undecided 10%
Rasmussen Reports[46] November 12, 2007 Clinton 29%, Edwards 25%, Obama 24%, Richardson 10%, Biden 3%, Other 3%
Strategic Vision[47] November 9–12, 2007 Clinton 29%, Obama 27%, Edwards 20%, Richardson 7%, Biden 5%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 10%
CBS/New York Times[48] November 2–11, 2007 Clinton 25%, Edwards 23%, Obama 22%, Richardson 12%, Biden 4%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, Undecided 12%
American Research Group[49] October 26–29, 2007 Clinton 32%, Obama 22%, Edwards 15%, Richardson 7%, Biden 5%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -%, Undecided 16%
University of Iowa[50] October 17–24, 2007 Clinton 28.9%, Obama 26.6%, Edwards 20.0%, Richardson 7.2%, Biden 5.3%, Don't know 8.9%, Others 3.3%
Strategic Vision[51] October 12–14, 2007 Clinton 28%, Obama 23%, Edwards 20%, Richardson 9%, Biden 6%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, Undecided 12%
Rasmussen Reports[52] October 10 & October 14, 2007 Clinton 33%, Edwards 22%, Obama 21%, Richardson 9%, Biden 4%, Other 2%
Des Moines Register[53] October 1–3, 2007 Clinton 29%, Edwards 23%, Obama 22%, Richardson 8%, Biden 5%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -%, Undecided 11%
American Research Group[54] September 26–29, 2007 Clinton 30%, Obama 24%, Edwards 19%, Richardson 10%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -%, Undecided 13%
Newsweek (All Democratic voters)[55] September 26–27, 2007 Clinton 31%, Obama 25%, Edwards 21%, Richardson 6%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 0%, Undecided 12%
Newsweek (Likely caucus-goers)[56] September 26–27, 2007 Obama 28%, Clinton 24%, Edwards 22%, Richardson 10%, Biden 5%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 0%, Undecided 9%
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg[57] September 6–10, 2007 Clinton 28%, Edwards 23%, Obama 19%, Richardson 10%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 0.5%, Undecided 16%
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg (Democrats only)[58] September 6–10, 2007 Clinton 33%, Edwards 24%, Obama 13%, Richardson 11%
American Research Group[59] August 26–29, 2007 Clinton 28%, Obama 23%, Edwards 20%, Richardson 13%, Kucinich 3%, Biden 1%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -, undecided 11%
Time[60] August 22–26, 2007 Edwards 29%, Clinton 24%, Obama 22%, Richardson 11%, Biden 5%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -, Other -, undecided 6%
Zogby International[61] August 17–19, 2007 Clinton 30%, Edwards 23%, Obama 19%, Richardson 10%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd <1%, Gravel <1%, undecided 13%
Strategic Vision[62] August 17–19, 2007 Edwards 23%, Obama 22%, Clinton 21%, Richardson 14%, Biden 5%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 13%
University of Iowa (most likely caucus goers only)[63] July 29 – August 5, 2007 Edwards 26.0%, Clinton 24.8%, Obama 19.3%, Richardson 9.4%, Other 4.1%, undecided 14.4%
University of Iowa (all caucus goers)[64] July 29 – August 5, 2007 Clinton 26.8%, Obama 22.3%, Edwards 22.1%, Richardson 8.5%, Other 4.1%, Don't Know 16.2%
University of Iowa (self-identified Democrats – volunteered response)[65] July 29 – August 5, 2007 Clinton 30.0%, Obama 20.4%, Edwards 16.1%, Richardson 5.5%, Dodd -, Biden -, Kucinich -, Other 2.8%, Don't Know 22.7%
University of Iowa (all voters – volunteered response)[66] July 29 – August 5, 2007 Clinton 18.0%, Obama 13.8%, Edwards 8.9%, Richardson 3.5%, Dodd -, Biden -, Kucinich -, Republican candidate 17.0%, Other 2.6%, Don't Know 30.7%
Hart (D)/McLaughlin (R)[67] 2–3 August 2007 Edwards 30%, Clinton 22%, Obama 18%, Richardson 13%, Biden 5%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 0%, Gravel 0%, undecided 11%
ABC News/Washington Post[68] July 26–31, 2007 Obama 27%, Clinton 26%, Edwards 26%, Richardson 11%, Kucinich 2%, Biden 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 0%
American Research Group[69] July 26–30, 2007 Clinton 30%, Edwards 21%, Obama 15%, Richardson 13%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd 1%, Clark -, Gravel -, undecided 15%
Research 2000[70] July 23–25, 2007 Edwards 27%, Clinton 22%, Obama 17%, Richardson 11%
American Research Group[71] June 26–30, 2007 Clinton 32%, Edwards 29%, Obama 13%, Richardson 5%, Biden 2%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 1%, Clark 1%, Gravel 1%, undecided 14%
Strategic Vision (R)[72] June 22–24, 2007 Edwards 26%, Obama 21%, Clinton 20%, Richardson 11%, Biden 4%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 15%
Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin and Associates (Richardson)[73]

(LIKELIEST Caucus Goers)

June 18–20, 2007 Edwards 31%, Clinton 23%, Richardson 18%, Obama 16%, Biden 3%, Dodd 0%, Other 1%, undecided 8%
Mason-Dixon[74] June 16, 2007 Clinton 22%, Edwards 21%, Obama 18%, Richardson 6%, undecided 25%
Public Policy Polling (D)[75] May 30, 2007 Edwards 31%, Clinton 17%, Obama 17%, Richardson 10%, Biden 4%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 0%, undecided 17%
American Research Group[76] May 23–25, 2007 Clinton 31%, Edwards 25%, Obama 11%, Richardson 8%, Kucinich 4%, Biden 3%, Dodd 2%, Clark 1%, Gravel 1%, undecided 14%
Strategic Vision (R)[77] May 18–20, 2007 Edwards 29%, Obama 24%, Clinton 16%, Richardson 9%, Biden 3%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 16%
Des Moines Register[78] May 19, 2007 Edwards 29%, Obama 23%, Clinton 21%, Richardson 10%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 2%, Gravel 1%, Dodd 0%, Uncommitted/Unsure 11%
Research 2000[79] May 14–16, 2007 Clinton 28%, Edwards 26%, Obama 22%, Richardson 7%, Kucinich 2%, Biden 2%, Dodd 2%, Gravel 1%, undecided 10%
Zogby[80] May 14–15, 2007 Edwards 26%, Clinton 24%, Obama 22%, Richardson 6%, Biden 4%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd -, Not Sure 16%
American Research Group[81] April 27–30, 2007 Edwards 27%, Clinton 23%, Obama 17%, Biden 6%, Richardson 5%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 2%, Clark -, Gravel -, undecided 16%
Strategic Vision (R)[82] 30 March–April 1, 2007 Edwards 27%, Obama 20%, Clinton 19%, Richardson 4%, Biden 4%, Clark 1%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, undecided 23%
University of Iowa (Likely Caucus Goers)[83] 19–31 March 2007 Edwards 34.2%, Clinton 28.5%, Obama 19.3%, 12.5% Undecided
Zogby[84] 26 March 2007 Edwards 27%, Clinton 25%, Obama 23%, Richardson 3%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, Not Sure 15%
American Research Group[85] 19–22 March 2007 Clinton 34%, Edwards 33%, Obama 16%, Biden 2%, Clark 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Richardson 1%, Gravel 0%, undecided 10%
University of Iowa[86] 22–25 March 2007 Edwards 36.4%, Clinton 33.9%, Obama 14.4%
University of Iowa[87] 19–21 March 2007 Edwards 30.2%, Clinton 24.4%, Obama 22.1%
American Research Group[88] Feb, 2007 Clinton 31%, Edwards 27%, Obama 23%, Kucinich 1%, Biden 2%, Clark 1%, Dodd 1%, Richardson 1%, Gravel 0%, undecided 14%
Strategic Vision[89] 16–18 February 2007 Edwards 24%, Clinton 18%, Vilsack 18%, Obama 18%, Biden 5%, Richardson 3%, Clark 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 14%
Zogby International[90] 7–8 February 2007 Clinton 24%, Edwards 24%, Obama 18%, Vilsack 9%, Biden 4%
American Research Group[91] 29 January – 1 February 2007 Clinton 35%, Edwards 18%, Obama 14%, Vilsack 12%, Kucinich 2%, Biden 2%, Clark 2%, Dodd 1%, Richardson 1%, Gravel 0%, undecided 13%
Strategic Vision Political[92] 19–21 January 2007 Edwards 25%, Obama 17%, Vilsack 16%, Clinton 15%, Biden 4%, John Kerry 3%, Clark 2%, Richardson 1%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 15%
Zogby International[93] 15–16 January 2007 Edwards 27%, Obama 17%, Vilsack 16%, Clinton 16%, Biden 3%, John Kerry 3%, Kucinich 1%, Richardson 1%
American Research Group[94] 19 December-23, 2006 Clinton 31%, Edwards 20%, Vilsack 17%, Obama 10%, Kucinich 5%, Biden 2%, Dodd 2%, John Kerry 2%, Clark 1%, Gravel 1%, Richardson 1%
KCCI-TV[95] 18 December-20, 2006 Edwards 22%, Obama 22%, Vilsack 12%, Clinton 10%, Al Gore 7%, John Kerry 5%

New Hampshire

[edit]

New HampshireNew Hampshire winner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: January 9, 2008
Delegates At Stake 22
Delegates Won Hillary Clinton-9 Barack Obama-9 John Edwards-4
See also [5][6][7][permanent dead link]

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual Result (100% precincts reporting)[96] January 8, 2008 Clinton 39%, Obama 37%, Edwards 17%, Richardson 5%, Kucinich 1%, Biden <1%, Gravel <1%, Dodd <1%
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll[97]

Sample Size: 862
Margin of Error: ±3.4%

January 5–7, 2008 Obama 42%, Clinton 29%, Edwards 17%, Richardson 5%, Kucinich 2%
Rasmussen Reports[98]

Sample Size: 1774
Margin of Error: ±2%

January 5–7, 2008 Obama 37%, Clinton 30%, Edwards 19%, Richardson 7%, Kucinich 3%
Rasmussen Reports[99]

Sample Size: 1203
Margin of Error: ±3%

January 5–6, 2008 Obama 38%, Clinton 28%, Edwards 18%, Richardson 8%, Kucinich 4%, Gravel 0%
Marist College Institute for Public Opinion (likely voters)[100]

Sample Size: 636
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 5–6, 2008 Obama 34%, Clinton 28%, Edwards 21%, Richardson 7%, Kucinich 3%, Other <1%, Undecided 7%
Marist College Institute for Public Opinion (likely w/leaners)[101]

Sample Size: 788

January 5–6, 2008 Obama 36%, Clinton 28%, Edwards 22%, Richardson 7%, Kucinich 3%, Other <1%, Undecided 4%
CNN/WMUR/University of New Hampshire Poll[102]

Sample Size: 341
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 5–6, 2008 Obama 39%, Clinton 29%, Edwards 16%, Richardson 7%, Kucinich 2%
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby[103]

Sample Size: 844
Margin of Error: ±3.4%

January 4–6, 2008 Obama 39%, Clinton 29%, Edwards 19%, Richardson 6%, Kucinich 2%, Undecided 6%
USA Today/Gallup Poll[104]

Sample Size: 778
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 4–6, 2008 Obama 41%, Clinton 28%, Edwards 19%, Richardson 6%, No one else above 3%
Strategic Vision[105]

Sampling Size: 600
Margin of Error: ±4.5%

January 4–6, 2008 Obama 38%, Clinton 29%, Edwards 19%, Richardson 7%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 6%
Fox News/Opinion Dynamics[106]

Sampling Size: 500
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 4–6, 2008 Obama 32%, Clinton 28%, Edwards 18%, Richardson 6%, Kucinich 2%, Gravel 1%, Other 1%, Don't know 12%
Franklin Pierce University/WBZ[107]

Sampling Size: 403
Margin of Error: ±4.9%

January 4–6, 2008 Obama 34%, Clinton 31%, Edwards 20%, Richardson 6%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 7%
Rasmussen Reports Daily Poll[108]

Sample Size: 1,240
Margin of Error: ±3%

January 4–5, 2008 Obama 39%, Clinton 27%, Edwards 18%, Richardson 8%, Kucinich 3%
American Research Group[109]

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 4–5, 2008 Obama 38%, Clinton 26%, Edwards 20%, Gravel 3%, Richardson 3%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 9%
Concord Monitor[110]

Sample Size: 400
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 4–5, 2008 Obama 34%, Clinton 33%, Edwards 23%, Richardson 4%, Kucinich 3%
CNN/WMUR[111]

Sample Size: 359
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 4–5, 2008 Obama 33%, Clinton 33%, Edwards 20%, Richardson 4%
Suffolk University/WHDH 7[112]

Sampling Size: 500

 January 4–5, 2008 Clinton 35%, Obama 33%, Edwards 14%, Richardson 5%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel 1%, Undecided 11%, Refused 1%
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll[113]

Sample Size: 844
Margin of Error: ±3.4%

January 2–5, 2008 Clinton 31%, Obama 30%, Edwards 20%, Richardson 7%, Kucinich 3%, Biden 1%, Dodd 1%
Rasmussen Reports Daily Poll[114]

Sample Size: 510
Margin of Error: ±4.5%

January 4, 2008 Obama 37%, Clinton 27%, Edwards 19%, Richardson 8%, Kucinich 3%, Gravel 1%
Suffolk University/WHDH 7[115]

Sampling Size: 499

 January 3–4, 2008 Clinton 37%, Obama 25%, Edwards 15%, Richardson 4%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 12%, Refused 2%
Mason-Dixon/McClatchy/MSNBC/Miami Herald Poll[116] January 2–4, 2008 Obama 33%, Clinton 31%, Edwards 17%, Richardson 7%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel 0%, Undecided 8%
Zogby[117]

Sampling Size: 893
Margin of Error: ±3.3%

January 1–4, 2008 Clinton 32%, Obama 28%, Edwards 20%, Richardson 7%, Kucinich 3%, Biden 2%, Dodd 1%, Undecided 7%
Zogby[118]

Sample Size: 960
Margin of Error: ±3.2%

December 312007 – January 32008 Clinton 32%, Obama 26%, Edwards 20%, Richardson 7%, Kucinich 3%, Biden 2%, Dodd 1%, Undecided 8%
Franklin Pierce[119]

Sample Size: 403
Margin of Error: ±4.9%

December 27–31, 2007 Clinton 32%, Obama 28%, Edwards 19%, Richardson 8%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 0%, Undecided 8%
CNN/University of New Hampshire[120]

Sample Size: 521
Margin of Error: ±5%

December 27–30, 2007 Clinton 34%, Obama 30%, Edwards 17%, Richardson 5%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 2%, No opinion 8%
American Research Group[121]

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ±4%

December 27–29, 2007 Clinton 31%, Obama 27%, Edwards 21%, Richardson 5%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 3%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 1%, Undecided 8%
LA Times/Bloomberg (Likely Voters)[122]

Sample Size: 361
Margin of Error: ±4%

December 20–26, 2007 Obama 32%, Clinton 30%, Edwards 20%, Richardson 4%, Biden 1%
Boston Globe/NH University[123]

Sample Size: 422
Margin of Error: ± 4.9%

December 16–20, 2007 Obama 30%, Clinton 28%, Edwards 14%, Richardson 7%, Undecided 20%
USA Today/Gallup[124] December 17–19, 2007 Obama 32%, Clinton 32%, Edwards 18%, Richardson 8%, Biden 4%, Kucinich 3%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 0%, No opinion 3%
American Research Group[125]

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ±4%

December 16–19, 2007 Clinton 38%, Obama 24%, Edwards 15%, Richardson 5%, Biden 4%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd 2%, Gravel 1%, Undecided 9%
Rasmussen Reports[126] December 18, 2007 Clinton 31%, Obama 28%, Edwards 18%, Richardson 8%, Kucinich 3%, Biden 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 0%
Concord Monitor/Research 2000[127] December 10–12, 2007 Obama 32%, Clinton 31%, Edwards 18%, Richardson 8%, Kucinich 3%, Biden 2%, Dodd 1%, Undecided 5%
Rasmussen Reports[128] December 11, 2007 Obama 31%, Clinton 28%, Edwards 17%, Richardson 8%, Biden 4%, Kucinich 3%, Gravel 1%, Dodd 0%
CNN/WMUR[129] December 6–10, 2007 Clinton 31%, Obama 30%, Edwards 16%, Richardson 7%
Mason-Dixon[130] December 3–6, 2007 Clinton 30%, Obama 27%, Edwards 10%, Richardson 7%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 3%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -%, Undecided 19%
ABC News/Washington Post[131] November 29 – December 3, 2007 Clinton 35%, Obama 29%, Edwards 17%, Richardson 10%, Kucinich 3%, Biden 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 0%, Undecided 3%
American Research Group[132] November 26–29, 2007 Clinton 34%, Obama 23%, Edwards 17%, Richardson 10%, Biden 3%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 2%, Gravel 1%, Undecided 8%
Rasmussen Reports[133] November 29, 2007 Clinton 33%, Obama 26%, Edwards 15%, Richardson 9%, Kucinich 4%, Biden 4%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 0%
CNN/WMUR[134] November 14–18, 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 22%, Edwards 12%, Richardson 12%, Kucinich 3%, Biden 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 0%, Undecided 11%
CBS/New York Times[135] November 2–11, 2007 Clinton 37%, Obama 22%, Edwards 9%, Richardson 6%, Kucinich 5%, Biden 2%, Dodd 1%, Undecided 18%
Boston Globe (UNH)[136] November 2–7, 2007 Clinton 35%, Obama 21%, Edwards 15%, Richardson 10%, Other 8%, Undecided 12%
Marist College[137] November 2–6, 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 25%, Edwards 14%, Richardson 6%, Kucinich 3%, Biden 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel <1% Undecided 13%
Rasmussen[138] November 5, 2007 Clinton 34%, Obama 24%, Edwards 15%, Richardson 8%, Biden 3%, Dodd 3%, Kucinich 2%, Gravel 1%
American Research Group[139] October 26–29, 2007 Clinton 40%, Obama 22%, Edwards 10%, Richardson 5%, Biden 4%, Dodd 3%, Kucinich 3%, Gravel -%, Undecided 13%
Rasmussen[140] October 23, 2007 Clinton 38%, Obama 22%, Edwards 14%, Richardson 7%, Kucinich 7%, Biden 2%, Dodd 2%, Gravel 2%, Undecided 6%
Marist College Institute for Public Opinion (Likely Voters)[141] October 5–7, 2007 Clinton 41%, Obama 20%, Edwards 11%, Richardson 8%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 3%, Dodd 2%, Gravel <1%, Undecided 12%
American Research Group[142] September 26–29, 2007 Clinton 41%, Obama 22%, Edwards 10%, Richardson 8%, Biden 2%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 2%, Gravel -%, Undecided 12%
Zogby[143] September 26–28, 2007 Clinton 38%, Obama 23%, Edwards 12%, Richardson 8%, Kucinich 3%, Biden 2%, Dodd 2%, Gravel <1%, Undecided 10%
Rasmussen Reports[144] September 16, 2007 Clinton 40%, Obama 17%, Edwards 14%, Richardson 11%, Biden 5%, Some Other Candidates 14%
Franklin Pierce University /WBZ Poll[145] September 11–14, 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 18%, Edwards 12%, Richardson 10%, Al Gore 5%, Kucinich 3%, Biden 3%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 1%, Undecided 11%
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg[146] September 6–10, 2007 Clinton 35%, Edwards 16%, Obama 16%, Richardson 8%, Kucinich 3%, Biden 3%, Gravel <0.05%, Dodd <0.05%, Undecided 17%
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg (Democrats only)[147] September 6–10, 2007 Clinton 40%, Obama 17%, Edwards 13%
American Research Group[148] August 26–29, 2007 Clinton 37%, Obama 17%, Edwards 14%, Richardson 7%, Biden 4%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 2%, Gravel 1%,
Rasmussen Reports[149] August 9, 2007 Clinton 37%, Obama 22%, Edwards 14%, Richardson 9%, Kucinich 4%, Biden 2%, Dodd% -, Gravel -, undecided 11%
American Research Group[150] July 26–30, 2007 Clinton 31%, Obama 31%, Edwards 14%, Richardson 7%, Biden 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Clark -, Gravel -, undecided 13%
Hart-McLaughlin[151] July 24–26, 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 19%, Edwards 15%, Richardson 12%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 0%, undecided 13%
CNN/WMUR/UNH[152]

Gore Excluded

July 9–17, 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 27%, Richardson 11%, Edwards 9%, Biden 4%, Kucinich 3%, Dodd -, Gravel -, undecided 9%
CNN/WMUR/UNH[153]

Gore Included

July 9–17, 2007 Clinton 33%, Obama 25%, Richardson 10%, Edwards 8%, Al Gore 8%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 3%, Dodd -, Gravel -, undecided 9%
Research 2000[154]

Gore Excluded

July 9–11, 2007 Clinton 33%, Obama 25%, Edwards 15%, Richardson 7%, Dodd 3%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 2%, Gravel 1%
Research 2000[155]

Gore Included

July 9–11, 2007 Clinton 27%, Obama 23%, Al Gore 14%, Edwards 10%, Richardson 8%
American Research Group[156] June 27–30, 2007 Clinton 34%, Obama 25%, Edwards 11%, Richardson 6%, Biden 4%, Kucinich 3%, Dodd 3%, Gravel 2%, Clark 1%, undecided 11%
Rasmussen Reports[157] June 28, 2007 Clinton 28%, Obama 21%, Edwards 10%, Richardson 9%, Biden 3%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 2%
Suffolk University[158] June 24, 2007 Clinton 37%, Obama 19%, Edwards 9%, Richardson 9%, Kucinich 5%, Biden 2%, Dodd 2%, Gravel 1%, undecided 16%
CNN/WMUR Poll (Gore excl.)[159] June 6–10, 2007 Clinton 39%, Obama 24%, Edwards 14%, Richardson 11%, Biden 5%, Kucinich 2%
CNN/WMUR Poll (Gore incl.)[160] June 6–10, 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 22%, Edwards 12%, Al Gore 12%, Richardson 10%, Biden 4%, Kucinich 1%
Mason-Dixon[161] June 4–7, 2007 Clinton 26%, Obama 21%, Edwards 18%, Richardson 9%, Biden 6%
Franklin Pierce College/WBZ[162] June 4, 2007 Clinton 38%, Obama 16%, Edwards 13%, Al Gore 8%, Richardson 8%, Biden 4%, Kucinich 2%, Clark 1%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 0%, Sharpton 0%, undecided 10%
American Research Group[163] May 23–25, 2007 Clinton 34%, Edwards 18%, Obama 15%, Richardson 9%, Biden 3%, Dodd 3%, Kucinich 2%, Clark 1%, Gravel 1%, undecided 14%
Zogby[164] May 15–16, 2007 Clinton 28%, Obama 26%, Edwards 15%, Richardson 10%, Kucinich 4%, Biden 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Not Sure 15%
Survey USA[165] May 4–6, 2007 Clinton 40%, Obama 24%, Edwards 22%, Other 10%, undecided 4%
American Research Group[166] April 27–30, 2007 Clinton 37%, Edwards 26%, Obama 14%, Richardson 3%, Biden 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 2%, Clark -, Gravel -, undecided 15%
Zogby[167] April 3, 2007 Clinton 29% John Edwards 23%, Obama 23%, Biden 2%, Richardson 2%, Kucinich 1%, Clark -, Dodd -, Gravel -, Kerry -, Not Sure 17%
University of New Hampshire[168] 27 March–April 2, 2007 Clinton 27%, Edwards 21%, Obama 20%, Al Gore 11%, Richardson 4%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, Clark 0%, Gravel 0%, Al Sharpton 0%, Other 0%, undecided 12%
American Research Group[169] 19–22 March 2007 Clinton 37%, Obama 23%, Edwards 20%, Richardson 2%, Biden 2%, Clark 1%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 0%, undecided 12%
Franklin Pierce College/WBZ[170] 7–11 March 2007 Clinton 32%, Obama 25%, Edwards 16%, Al Gore 10, Richardson 3, Kucinich 2%, Biden 1%, Clark 1%, Dodd 0%, Gravel 0%, Al Sharpton 0%, undecided 9%
Franklin Pierce College/WBZ (without Gore)[171] 7–11 March 2007 Clinton 35%, Obama 26%, Edwards 18%, Other 8%, undecided 12%
Suffolk University[172] 24–28 February 2007 Clinton 28%, Obama 26%, Edwards 17%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 2%, Clark 1%, Dodd 0%, Gravel 0%, Al Sharpton 0%, Refused 1%, undecided 17%
University of New Hampshire[173] 1–5 February 2007 Clinton 35%, Obama 21%, Edwards 16%, Al Gore 8%, Biden 3%, Dodd 1%, Richardson 1%, Vilsack 1%, Clark 1%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel 0%, Al Sharpton 0%, Don't Know 14%
American Research Group[174] 31 January-1 February 2007 Clinton 39%, Obama 19%, Edwards 13%, Other 2%, undecided 21%
Zogby International[175] 15–17 January 2007 Obama 23%, Clinton 19%, Edwards 19%, John Kerry 5%, Clark 3%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 1%, Richardson 1%, Vilsack 1%
American Research Group[176] 26 December-27, 2006 Clinton 27%, Obama 21%, Edwards 18%, John Kerry 6%, Kucinich 4%, Clark 2%, Richardson 2%, Biden 1%, Dodd 1%, Vilsack 1%, Gravel 0%

Michigan

[edit]

MichiganMichigan winner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: January 15, 2008[177][178][179]
Delegates At Stake 0
Delegates Won 0
NOTE: In moving its primary before February 5, 2008, Michigan has violated Democratic Party rules and their delegates may not be seated at the nominating convention.[180]


See also [8][9][10][11]

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual Result (100% precincts reporting)[181] January 15, 2008 Clinton 55%, Uncommitted 40%, Kucinich 4%, Dodd 1%, Gravel <1%
American Research Group[182]

Sampling Size: 600
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 12–14, 2008 Clinton 56%, Uncommitted 31%, Kucinich 3%, Gravel 1%, Undecided 9%
Detroit News/WXYZ[183]

Sampling Size: 600
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 9–12, 2008 Clinton 56%, Uncommitted 33%
American Research Group[184]

Sampling Size: 600
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 9–11, 2008 Clinton 57%, Uncommitted 28%, Kucinich 3%, Undecided 12%
Detroit Free Press-Local 4 Michigan Poll[185]

Sampling Size: 600
Margin of Error: ± 4%

January 9–11, 2008 For the available slots on the ballot:

Clinton 56%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd 0%, Gravel 0%, Uncommitted 30%, Unsure 10% (Obama and Edwards not included in survey)

If all of the Democratic candidates were on the ballot:
Clinton 46%, Obama 23%, Edwards 13%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 1%, Gravel 0%, Uncommitted 6%, Unsure 8%

Rossman Group/MIRS/Denno-Noor[186]

Margin of Error: ± 5.8%

January 6–7, 2008 Clinton 48%, Kucinich 3%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 1%, Uncommitted 21%, Unsure 11% (Obama and Edwards not included in survey)
The Rossman Group[187]

Margin of Error: ± 4%

November 30 – December 3, 2007 Clinton 37%, Obama 20%, Al Gore 13%, Edwards 11%, Kucinich 2%, Other 2%, Biden 1%, Richardson 0%, Undecided/Refused 12%
Strategic Vision (R)[188] October 5–7, 2007 Clinton 42%, Obama 26%, Edwards 10%, Richardson 7%, Biden 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 11%
American Research Group[189] September 1–4, 2007 Clinton 43%, Obama 21%, Edwards 14%, Richardson 5%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -, undecided 12%
Detroit News/WXYZ-TV[190] August 26–31, 2007 Clinton 40%, Obama 21%, Edwards 16%
Detroit News/WXYZ-TV[191] August 8–13, 2007 Clinton 45%, Obama 26%, Edwards 16%
Strategic Vision (R)[192] July 8–12, 2007 Clinton 32%, Obama 25%, Edwards 16%, Richardson 7%, Biden 4%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 14%
American Research Group[193] May 4–8, 2007 Clinton 38%, Obama 25%, Edwards 14%, Biden 3%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 2%, Clark -, Gravel -, undecided 14%
Strategic Vision (R)[194] 13–15 April 2007 Clinton 29%, Obama 24%, Edwards 22%, Biden 3%, Richardson 3%, Clark 2%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, undecided 17%
EPIC-MRA[195] 12–18 March 2007 Clinton 45%, Obama 29%, Edwards 16%, Richardson 4%, Biden 4%, undecided 2%
Strategic Vision[196] 9–11 March 2007 Clinton 33%, Obama 28%, Edwards 14%, Biden 4%, Richardson 2%, Clark 2%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, undecided 15%
American Research Group[197] February 23–27, 2007 Clinton 35%, Obama 30%, Edwards 14%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd 1%, Clark 1%, Richardson 1% Undecided 15%
Detroit Free Press-Local 4 Michigan Poll[198] 28–31 January 2007 Clinton 49%, Obama 20%, Edwards 8%, Al Gore 7%, Richardson 2%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%
American Research Group[199] 4–7 January 2007 Clinton 30%, Obama 30%, Edwards 17%, Biden 2%, Clark 2%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd 1%, undecided 14%

Nevada

[edit]

NevadaNevada winner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: January 19, 2008
Delegates At Stake 25
Delegates Won Barack Obama-13 Hillary Clinton-12
See also [12][13][14]

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual Result (100% precincts reporting)[200] January 19, 2008 Clinton 51%, Obama 45%, Edwards 4%, Uncommitted <1%, Kucinich <1%
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby[201]

Sampling Size: 814
Margin of Error: ±3.4%

January 15–17, 2008 Clinton 42%, Obama 37%, Edwards 12%
Mason-Dixon[202]

Sampling Size: 500
Margin of Error: ±4.5%

January 14–16, 2008 Clinton 41%, Obama 32%, Edwards 14%
American Research Group[203]

Sampling Size: 500
Margin of Error: ±3.8%

January 9–14, 2008 Clinton 35%, Obama 32%, Edwards 25%
Research 2000/Reno Gazette-Journal[204]

Sampling Size: 500
Margin of Error: ±4.5%

January 11–13, 2008 Obama 32%, Clinton 30%, Edwards 27%
American Research Group[205]

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ± 4%

December 1–6, 2007 Clinton 45%, Obama 18%, Edwards 14%, Biden 4%, Kucinich 4%, Dodd 2%, Richardson 2%, Gravel -%, Undecided 11%
Mason-Dixon[206] December 3–5, 2007 Clinton 34%, Obama 26%, Edwards 9%, Richardson 7%
Zogby International[207] November 9–10, 2007 Clinton 37%, Obama 19%, Edwards 15%, Richardson 6%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd <1%, Gravel <1%, Not Sure 17%
Mason-Dixon[208] October 9–11, 2007 Clinton 39%, Obama 21%, Edwards 9%, Richardson 8%, undecided 20%
American Research Group[209] October 5–9, 2007 Clinton 51%, Edwards 14%, Obama 11%, Richardson 5%, Biden 4%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, undecided 13%
Reno Gazette-Journal[210] August 14–16, 2007 Clinton 33%, Obama 19%, Edwards 15%, Richardson 11%, Al Gore 8%, Biden 2%, Gravel 1%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, undecided 9%
Mason-Dixon[211] June 20–22, 2007 Clinton 39%, Obama 17%, Edwards 12%, Richardson 7%, Biden 2%
American Research Group[212] June 15–19, 2007 Clinton 40%, Edwards 16%, Obama 16%, Richardson 6%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 2%, Clark 1%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 1%, undecided 15%
Mason-Dixon[213] April 30 – May 2, 2007 Clinton 37%, Edwards 13%, Obama 12%, Al Gore 9%, Richardson 6%, undecided 19%
Zogby International[214] April 11–12, 2007 Clinton 35%, Obama 21%, Edwards 15%, Richardson 5%, Biden 2%, Gravel <1%, Kucinich <1%, Dodd <1%, Not Sure 19%
Gazette-Journal Poll[215] 9 March 2007 Clinton 32%, Obama 20%, Edwards 11%, Al Gore 11%, Clark 2%, Richardson 2%, Biden 1%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 1%, Kucinich 1%
American Research Group[216] 19 December-23, 2006 Clinton 37%, Obama 13%, Edwards 9%, John Kerry 9%, Clark 4%, Dodd 2%, Biden 1%, Gravel 1%, Kucinich 1%, Richardson 1%, Vilsack 1%

South Carolina

[edit]

South CarolinaSouth Carolina winner: Barack Obama
Primary date: January 26, 2008
Delegates At Stake 45
Delegates Won Barack Obama-25 Hillary Clinton-12 John Edwards-8
See also [15][16][17][permanent dead link]

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual Result (100% precincts reporting)[217] January 26, 2008 Obama 55%, Clinton 27%, Edwards 18%
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby[218]

Sampling Size: 816
Margin of Error: ±3.4%

January 24–25, 2008 Obama 41%, Clinton 26%, Edwards 19%, Undecided 14%
Survey USA[219]

Sampling Size: 606
Margin of Error: ±4.1%

January 23–24, 2008 Obama 43%, Clinton 30%, Edwards 24%, Other 2%, Undecided 2%
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby[220]

Sampling Size: 811
Margin of Error: ±3.4%

January 22–24, 2008 Obama 38%, Clinton 25%, Edwards 21%, Undecided 16%
Mason Dixon[221]

Sampling Size: 400
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 22–23, 2008 Obama 38%, Clinton 30%, Edwards 19%, Undecided 13%
Survey USA[222]

Sampling Size: 685
Margin of Error: ±3.8%

January 22–23, 2008 Obama 45%, Clinton 29%, Edwards 22%, Other 2%, Undecided 1%
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby[223]

Sampling Size: 811
Margin of Error: ±3.4%

January 21–23, 2008 Obama 39%, Clinton 24%, Edwards 19%, Undecided 18%
Clemson University[224]

Margin of Error: ±4.6%

January 15–23, 2008 Obama 27%, Clinton 20%, Edwards 17%, Not Sure 36%
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby[225]

Sampling Size: 811
Margin of Error: ±3.4%

January 20–22, 2008 Obama 43%, Clinton 25%, Edwards 15%, Kucinich <1%, Gravel <1%, Someone Else 4%, Not Sure 14%
Rasmussen Reports[226]

Sampling Size: 624
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 21, 2008 Obama 43%, Clinton 28%, Edwards 17%, Someone Else 5%, Not Sure 6%
Rasmussen Reports[227]

Sampling Size: 571

 January 16, 2008 Obama 44%, Clinton 31%, Edwards 15%, Other 6%, Not Sure 5%
Survey USA[228]

Sampling Size: 577
Margin of Error: ±4.2%

January 15–16, 2008 Obama 46%, Clinton 36%, Edwards 15%, Someone Else 1%, Not Sure 2%
MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason Dixon[229]

Sampling Size: 400
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 14–16, 2008 Obama 40%, Clinton 31%, Edwards 13%, Kucinich 1%, Not Sure 15%
Insider Advantage[230]

Sampling Size: 400

 January 14–15, 2008 Obama 40.6%, Clinton 30.7%, Edwards 13.3%, Other 1.5%, Not Sure 13.8%
Rasmussen Reports[231]

Sampling Size: 516
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 13, 2008 Obama 38%, Clinton 33%, Edwards 17%, Other 6%, Not Sure 5%
Rasmussen Reports[232]

Sampling Size: 494
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 9, 2008 Obama 42%, Clinton 30%, Edwards 15%, Richardson 2%, Not Sure 10%
Insider Advantage[233]

Sampling Size: 393
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 7, 2008 Obama 40%, Clinton 33%, Edwards 15%, Kucinich 2.7%, Richardson 2.1%, No Opinion 6.9%
Rasmussen Reports[234]

Sample Size: 553
Margin of Error: ± 4%

January 6, 2008 Obama 42%, Clinton 30%, Edwards 14%
SurveyUSA[235]

Sample Size: 579
Margin of Error: ± 4.2%

January 4–6, 2008 Obama 50%, Clinton 30%, Edwards 16%, Undecided 3%, Other 2%
SurveyUSA[236]

Sample Size: 496
Margin of Error: ± 4.5%

December 17–18, 2007 Clinton 41%, Obama 39%, Edwards 17%, Other 1%, Undecided 2%
CBS News[237] December 13–17, 2007 Obama 35%, Clinton 34%, Edwards 13%, Biden 1%, Richardson 1%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 0%, Undecided/Don't know 15%
Rasmussen Reports[238] December 16, 2007 Obama 33%, Clinton 33%, Edwards 17%, Some other candidate 9%, Not sure 8%
CNN[239] December 9–12, 2007 Clinton 42%, Obama 34%, Edwards 16%, Biden 3%, Richardson 2%
Insider Advantage[240] December 8–9, 2007 Obama 28%, Clinton 22%, Edwards 14%, Biden 10%, Richardson 2%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 0%, Gravel 0%, No opinion 23%
Survey USA[241] December 7–9, 2007 Clinton 44%, Obama 40%, Edwards 11%, Other 3%, Undecided 2%
Mason-Dixon[242] December 3–6, 2007 Clinton 28%, Obama 25%, Edwards 18%, Biden 2%, Richardson 1%
Insider Advantage[243] December 3–4, 2007 Obama 26%, Clinton 24%, Edwards 15%, Biden 10%
Rasmussen Reports[244] December 3–4, 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 34%, Edwards 13%, Other 9%, Undecided 9%
American Research Group[245] November 26–29, 2007 Clinton 45%, Obama 21%, Edwards 12%, Biden 6%, Richardson 2%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -, undecided 11%
Rasmussen Reports[246] November 20, 2007 Clinton 43%, Obama 33%, Edwards 11%, Other 6%, undecided 6%
Survey USA[247] November 9–11, 2007 Clinton 47%, Obama 33%, Edwards 10%, Other 5%, undecided 5%
American Research Group[248] October 26–29, 2007 Clinton 41%, Obama 19%, Edwards 18%, Biden 6%, Richardson 1%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -, undecided 13%
Winthrop/ETV Poll[249] October 7–28, 2007 Clinton 33.0%, Obama 22.7%, Edwards 9.6%, Biden 2.4%, Richardson 0.4%, Dodd 0.4%, Kucinich 0.0%, Gravel 0.0%, undecided 29.6%
American Research Group[250] September 26–29, 2007 Clinton 41%, Obama 30%, Edwards 7%, Richardson 5%, Biden 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -, undecided 13%
Rasmussen[251] September 26–27, 2007 Clinton 43%, Obama 30%, Edwards 10%, Richardson 2%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 2%, undecided 11%
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg[252] September 6–10, 2007 Clinton 45%, Obama 27%, Edwards 7%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, Richardson 1%, Gravel <0.5%, Undecided 13%
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg (Liberal Democrats)[253] September 6–10, 2007 Clinton 51%, Obama 24%, Edwards 7%
American Research Group[254] August 26–29, 2007 Clinton 32%, Edwards 24%, Obama 21%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 2%, Dodd -, Gravel -, undecided 17%
Clemson University Palmetto Poll[255] August 20–29, 2007 Clinton 26%, Obama 16%, Edwards 10%, Al Gore 8%, Biden 3%, Richardson 2%, Kucinich -%, Dodd -, Gravel -, undecided 35%
Rasmussen Reports[256] August 20, 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 30%, Edwards 13%, Biden 3%, Richardson 2%
Public Policy Polling (D)[257] August 13, 2007 Clinton 38%, Obama 33%, Edwards 12%, Richardson 3%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 1%, Others 0%, undecided 12%
American Research Group[258] July 26–30, 2007 Obama 33%, Clinton 29%, Edwards 18%, Biden 3%, Richardson 2%, Clark 1%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -, undecided 12%
Insider Advantage[259] July 24, 2007 Clinton 43%, Obama 33%, Edwards 13%, Richardson 5%, Biden 4%, Gravel 1%, Others 1%, undecided 5%
CNN/Opinion Research[260]

Without Gore

July 16–18, 2007 Clinton 43%, Obama 27%, Edwards 17%, Richardson 2%, Biden 1%, Dodd -, Kucinich -, Gravel -, undecided 9%
CNN/Opinion Research[261]

With Gore

July 16–18, 2007 Clinton 39%, Obama 25%, Edwards 15%, Al Gore 10%, Richardson 2%, Biden 1%, Dodd -, Kucinich -, Gravel -, undecided 7%
American Research Group[262] June 26–30, 2007 Clinton 37%, Edwards 22%, Obama 21%, Biden 3%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 1%, Clark 1%, Gravel -, undecided 11%
Mason Dixon[263] June 13–15, 2007 Obama 34%, Clinton 25%, Edwards 12%, Biden 2%, Al Gore (Vol) 2%, Richardson 1%, Dodd -, Gravel -, Kucinich -, undecided 34%
Public Policy Polling (D)[264] May 31, 2007 Obama 34%, Clinton 31%, Edwards 15%
Winthrop/ETV[265] May 16–27, 2007 Clinton 29.2%, Obama 20.8%, Edwards 10.7%, Richardson 1.8%, Biden .6%, undecided 30.4%
American Research Group[266] May 23–25, 2007 Clinton 34%, Edwards 30%, Obama 18%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 1%, Clark 1%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -, undecided 11%
InsiderAdvantage[267] May 8–9, 2007 Obama 31%, Clinton 27%, Edwards 16%, Biden 2%, Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, undecided 21%
American Research Group[268] April 27–30, 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 24%, Edwards 18%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 3%, Richardson 1%, Clark 1, Dodd 1%, Gravel -, undecided 13%
Hamilton Beattie (D)/Ayers McHenry (R)[269] April 14–19, 2007 Clinton 31%, Obama 27%, Edwards 16%, Richardson 2%, Biden 1%, Dodd <1%, Kucinich <1%, Gravel 0%, undecided 22%
News Channel 15/Zogby[270] April 16–17, 2007 Clinton 33%, Obama 26%, Edwards 21%
WIS-TV/Garin-Hart-Yang (With Lean)[271] April 9–12, 2007 Clinton 31%, Obama 28%, Edwards 21%, Biden 4%, Richardson 3%, Dodd <1%, Kucinich <1%, undecided 13%
WIS-TV/Garin-Hart-Yang (Without Lean)[272] April 9–12, 2007 Clinton 24%, Obama 23%, Edwards 17%, Biden 3%, Richardson 2%, Dodd <1%, undecided 13%
InsiderAdvantage[273] April 6–8, 2007 Obama 34%, Clinton 20%, Edwards 17%, Biden 3%, Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, undecided 23%
American Research Group[274] February 23–27, 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 25%, Edwards 20%, Biden 3%, Clark 1%, Kucinich 1%, Richardson 1%, Dodd 1%, Gravel 0%, undecided 14%
American Research Group[275] 21 December-23, 2006 Clinton 34%, Edwards 31%, Obama 10%, John Kerry 3%, Biden 2%, Clark 2%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 1%, Dodd 0%, Gravel 0%, Vilsack 0%, undecided 15%

Florida

[edit]

FloridaFlorida winner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: January 29, 2008
Delegates At Stake 0
Delegates Won 0
Note: In moving its primary before February 5, 2008, Florida has violated Democratic Party rules and their delegates may not be seated at the nominating convention.[276]
See also [18][19][20][21][22][23]

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual Result (99% precincts reporting)[277] January 30, 2008 Clinton 50%, Obama 33%, Edwards 14%, Kucinich 1%
Survey USA[278]

Sampling Size: 903
Margin of Error: ±3.3%

January 27–28, 2008 Clinton 50%, Obama 33%, Edwards 10%, Other 3%, Undeclared 4%
Rasmussen Reports[279]

Sampling Size: 474
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 27, 2008 Clinton 47%, Obama 25%, Edwards 16%, Other 9%, Undeclared 4%
Survey USA[280]

Sampling Size: 564
Margin of Error: ±4.2%

January 27, 2008 Clinton 49%, Obama 29%, Edwards 14%, Other 4%, Undeclared 5%
Strategic Vision[281]

Sampling Size: 600
Margin of Error: ±4.5%

January 25–27, 2008 Clinton 49%, Obama 36%, Edwards 11%, Undeclared 4%
Quinnipiac University[282]

Sampling Size: 481
Margin of Error: ±4.5%

January 24–27, 2008 Clinton 50%, Obama 30%, Edwards 12%, Other 1%, Undeclared 7%
Survey USA[283]

Sampling Size: 522
Margin of Error: ±4.4%

January 23–24, 2008 Clinton 47%, Obama 30%, Edwards 12%, Other 4%, Undeclared 7%
Mason Dixon[284]

Sampling Size: 400
Margin of Error: ±5%

January 21–23, 2008 Clinton 47%, Obama 25%, Edwards 16%, Undecided 10%
Strategic Vision[285]

Sampling Size: 1450
Margin of Error: ±3%

January 20–22, 2008 Clinton 47%, Obama 36%, Edwards 12%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 4%
St. Petersburg Times[286]

Sampling Size: 800
Margin of Error: ±3.5%

January 20–22, 2008 Clinton 42%, Obama 23%, Edwards 12%, Kucinich 2%, Biden 1%, Gravel 1%, Richardson 1%, Undecided 18%
Survey USA[287]

Sampling Size: 517
Margin of Error: ±4.4%

January 20, 2008 Clinton 56%, Obama 23%, Edwards 12%, Other 4%, Undeclared 5%
Insider Advantage[288]

Sampling Size: 446
Margin of Error: ±4.5%

January 15–16, 2008 Clinton 42%, Obama 34%, Edwards 9%, Other 6%, Undeclared 9%
Research 2000[289]

Sampling Size: 500
Margin of Error: ±4.5%

January 14–16, 2008 Clinton 50%, Obama 28%, Edwards 13%, Other/Undeclared 9%
Strategic Vision[290]

Sampling Size: 605
Margin of Error: ±3%

January 11–13, 2008 Clinton 45%, Obama 39%, Edwards 11%, Kucinich 1%, Undeclared 4%
Survey USA[291]

Sampling Size: 601
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 11–13, 2008 Clinton 56%, Obama 23%, Edwards 14%, Other 5%, Undeclared 3%
Quinnipiac University[292]

Sampling Size: 419
Margin of Error: ±4.8%

January 9–13, 2008 Clinton 52%, Obama 31%, Edwards 9%, Gravel 1%, Kucinich 1%, Other 1%, Undeclared 5%
Rasmussen Reports[293]

Sampling Size: 682
Margin of Error: ±4%

January 9–12, 2008 Clinton 48%, Obama 24%, Edwards 14%, Others 3%, Undecided 12%
Survey USA[294]

Sampling Size: 577
Margin of Error: ±4.2%

January 9–10, 2008 Clinton 51%, Obama 32%, Edwards 11%, Other 4%, Undeclared 3%
Insider Advantage[295]

Sampling Size: 303
Margin of Error: ±6%

January 72008 Clinton 40%, Obama 32%, Edwards 9%, Richardson 6%, Kucinich 2%, No Opinion 10%
Quinnipiac[296]

Sample Size: 397
Margin of Error: ± 4.9%

December 12–18, 2007 Clinton 43%, Obama 21%, Edwards 19%, Biden 3%, Richardson 2%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -%, undecided 8%
Strategic Vision[297] December 14–16, 2007 Clinton 48%, Obama 31%, Edwards 6%, Richardson 3%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, undecided 8%
Datamar[298] December 9–13, 2007 Clinton 44.0%, Obama 20.0%, Edwards 14.3%, Richardson 3.8%, Kucinich 2.7%, Biden 2.0%, Gravel 1.2%, Dodd 0.3%, Other 1%, undecided 11.7%
SurveyUSA[299] December 2–3, 2007 Clinton 54%, Obama 24%, Edwards 13%, Other 7%, undecided 2%
Quinnipiac[300] November 26 – December 3, 2007 Clinton 53%, Obama 17%, Edwards 7%, Biden 2%, Richardson 1%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd -%, Gravel -%, Other 1%, undecided 15%
Datamar[301] November 16–21, 2007 Clinton 48.0%, Obama 16.1%, Edwards 13.2%, Richardson 5.2%, Biden 4.7%, Kucinich 4.1%, Dodd 1.0%, Gravel 0.6%, Undecided 7.0%
Strategic Vision[302] November 9–11, 2007 Clinton 47%, Obama 27%, Edwards 8%, Richardson 4%, Biden 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 10%
SurveyUSA[303] November 2–5, 2007 Clinton 56%, Obama 19%, Edwards 14%, Other 9%, undecided 3%
Quinnipiac[304] October 17–22, 2007 Clinton 43%, Obama 18%, Edwards 12%, Richardson 3%, Biden 1%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd -%, Gravel -%, Other 2%, undecided 17%
Quinnipiac[305] October 1–8, 2007 Clinton 51%, Obama 17%, Edwards 10%, Biden 2%, Richardson 2%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd -%, Gravel -%, Other 1%, undecided 14%
Strategic Vision[306] September 21–23, 2007 Clinton 44%, Obama 22%, Edwards 12%, Richardson 6%, Biden 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 12%
American Research Group[307] September 15–18, 2007 Clinton 47%, Obama 19%, Edwards 9%, Biden 5%, Richardson 3%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -%, Undecided 15%
Rasmussen[308] September 16, 2007 Clinton 47%, Obama 22%, Edwards 11%, Others 5%, Undecided 15%
Insider Advantage[309] September 6–10, 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 18%, Biden 9%, Edwards 8%, Gravel 2%, Kucinich 2%, Richardson 1%, Dodd 1%, Undecided 21%
Quinnipiac[310] September 3–9, 2007 Clinton 42%, Obama 13%, Al Gore 12%, Edwards 9%, Biden 1%, Richardson 1%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -%, Other 3%, undecided 15%
Rasmussen[311] August 13, 2007 Clinton 43%, Obama 24%, Edwards 11%, Other 6%, undecided 16%
Strategic Vision[312] August 10–12, 2007 Clinton 40%, Obama 20%, Edwards 16%, Richardson 9%, Biden 3%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 10%
Quinnipiac[313] July 30–6 August 2007 Clinton 43%, Obama 13%, Al Gore 11%, Edwards 8%, Biden 2%, Richardson 2%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 0%, Gravel 0%, Other 4%, undecided 15%
Mason-Dixon[314] July 23–26, 2007 Clinton 31%, Obama 17%, Edwards 12%, Richardson 4%, Biden 3%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd -, Gravel -, undecided 30%
Rasmussen[315] July 18–19, 2007 Clinton 46%, Obama 15%, Edwards 13%, Other 4%, undecided 21%
Quinnipiac[316] July 12–16, 2007 Clinton 36%, Al Gore 14%, Obama 14%, Edwards 9%
IVR Polls[317] July 16, 2007 Clinton 42%, Obama 24%, Edwards 12%, Undecided 13%, Others <4%. 19% would switch to Gore if he entered.
American Research Group[318] July 12–15, 2007 Clinton 45%, Obama 25%, Edwards 9%, Richardson 3%, Biden 2%, Clark 2%, Kucinich 2%, Dodd 1%, Gravel -, undecided 11%
Quinnipiac (without Gore)[319] June 18–25, 2007 Clinton 43%, Obama 16%, Edwards 11%, Biden 2%, Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -, Other 3%, undecided 18%
Quinnipiac (with Gore)[320] June 18–25, 2007 Clinton 38%, Obama 15%, Al Gore 13%, Edwards 8%, Biden 2%, Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -, Other 3%, undecided 15%
Strategic Vision[321] June 15–17, 2007 Clinton 37%, Obama 21%, Edwards 20%, Richardson 4%, Biden 3%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 12%
Zogby Poll[322] June 4–6, 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 16%, Edwards 11%, Richardson 6%, Biden 2%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 0%, Other 6%, undecided 22%
Quinnipiac University[323] May 24 – June 4, 2007 Clinton 34%, Obama 16%, Al Gore 13%, Edwards 11%, Richardson 5%, Biden 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Clark -, Gravel -, Other 2%, Don't Know 14%
IVR Polls[324] May 31, 2007 Clinton 45%, Obama 18%, Edwards 14%, Richardson 7%, undecided 11%, Others <3%. 20% would switch to Gore if he entered.
Strategic Vision (R)[325] May 11–13, 2007 Clinton 37%, Obama 20%, Edwards 19%, Biden 5%, Richardson 4%, Dodd 2%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 12%
St. Petersburg Times[326] May 6–9, 2007 Clinton 42%, Obama 19%, Edwards 12%, Biden 4%, Richardson 2%, Gravel -, Dodd -, Kucinich -, undecided 17%
American Research Group[327] May 4–8, 2007 Clinton 45%, Obama 17%, Edwards 15%, Biden 3%, Richardson 3%, Clark 1%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Gravel -, undecided 14%
Insider Advantage/Florida Chamber of Commerce[328] 30 March 2007 Clinton 26%, Edwards 15%, Obama 14%, Al Gore 14%, Richardson 7%, Biden 2%
Quinnipiac University[329] 21–27 March 2007 Clinton 36%, Al Gore 16%, Obama 13%, Edwards 11%, Richardson 2%, Clark 1%, Biden 1%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 0%, Gravel 0%, Someone Else 1%, undecided 14%
Strategic Vision[330] 9–11 March 2007 Clinton 32%, Obama 22%, Edwards 17%, Richardson 5%, Biden 4%, Clark 2%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 1%, undecided 16%
Quinnipiac University[331] 25 February – March 4 Clinton 38%, Al Gore 13%, Obama 13%, Edwards 6%, Biden 4%, Richardson 2%, Clark 1%, Kucinich 1%, Dodd 0%, undecided 18%
American Research Group[332] February 23–27, 2007 Clinton 36%, Edwards 20%, Obama 14%, Biden 5%, Clark 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Richardson 1%
Quinnipiac University[333] 29 January – 4 February 2007 Clinton 49%, Obama 13%, Edwards 7%, Al Gore 7%, Richardson 3%, Biden 2%, Clark 1%, Vilsack 0%, Dodd 0%, Kucinich 0%, undecided 13%
American Research Group[334] 4–7 January 2007 Clinton 30%, Obama 15%, Edwards 14%, Biden 6%, John Kerry 3%, Clark 2%, Vilsack 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, Richardson 1%, undecided 26%

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Election Center 2008: Primary Results – Elections & Politics news from CNN.com
  2. ^ Actual Result (100% precincts reporting)
  3. ^ American Research Group
  4. ^ Reuters/Zogby
  5. ^ Reuters/Zogby
  6. ^ Strategic Vision
  7. ^ Zogby
  8. ^ Des Moines Register[permanent dead link]
  9. ^ CNN
  10. ^ Insider Advantage
  11. ^ Reuters/Zogby
  12. ^ "Zogby". Archived from the original on 2008-01-16. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  13. ^ MSNBC/Mason-Dixon
  14. ^ MSNBC/Mason-Dixon(Second Choice, cumulative)
  15. ^ American Research Group
  16. ^ Research 2000/Sioux City Journal
  17. ^ Strategic Vision
  18. ^ LA Times/Bloomberg (registered voters)
  19. ^ LA Times/Bloomberg (Likely Caucus Goers)
  20. ^ American Research Group
  21. ^ American Research Group
  22. ^ Strategic Vision
  23. ^ CNN/Opinion Research
  24. ^ Rassmusen
  25. ^ InsiderAdvantage (highly likely voters)
  26. ^ InsiderAdvantage (likely voters)
  27. ^ ABC/Washington Post (reallocating support for non-viable candidates)
  28. ^ ABC/Washington Post ("absolutely certain" caucus-goers)
  29. ^ ABC/Washington Post (all caucus-goers)
  30. ^ Research 2000/Quad City Times
  31. ^ Diageo/The Hotline/FD
  32. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  33. ^ Strategic Vision
  34. ^ Newsweek (Likely caucus-goers)
  35. ^ Newsweek (All Democratic voters)
  36. ^ Global Strategy Group/Edwards Campaign Internal Poll
  37. ^ Mason-Dixon
  38. ^ Strategic Vision
  39. ^ American Research Group
  40. ^ Des Moines Register Poll
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  43. ^ ABC News/Washington Post
  44. ^ KCCI Des Moines
  45. ^ American Research Group [permanent dead link]
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  48. ^ CBS/New York Times
  49. ^ American Research Group [permanent dead link]
  50. ^ University of Iowa
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  53. ^ Des Moines Register[permanent dead link]
  54. ^ American Research Group
  55. ^ Newsweek (All Democratic voters) [dead link]
  56. ^ Newsweek (Likely caucus-goers) [dead link]
  57. ^ Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg
  58. ^ Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg (Democrats only)
  59. ^ American Research Group
  60. ^ TIME
  61. ^ "Zogby International". Archived from the original on 2008-05-26. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  62. ^ Strategic Vision
  63. ^ University of Iowa (most likely caucus goers only)
  64. ^ "University of Iowa (all caucus goers)". Archived from the original on 2008-02-06. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  65. ^ University of Iowa (self-identified Democrats – volunteered response)
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  73. ^ Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin and Associates (Richardson)
  74. ^ "Mason-Dixon". Archived from the original on 2008-01-08. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  75. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  76. ^ American Research Group
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  79. ^ Research 2000
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  81. ^ American Research Group
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  84. ^ "Zogby". Archived from the original on 2008-01-19. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  85. ^ American Research Group
  86. ^ "University of Iowa". Archived from the original on 2008-02-06. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  87. ^ "University of Iowa". Archived from the original on 2008-02-06. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  88. ^ American Research Group
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  92. ^ Strategic Vision Political
  93. ^ Zogby International Archived 2007-01-21 at the Wayback Machine
  94. ^ American Research Group
  95. ^ KCCI-TV
  96. ^ Actual Result (100% precincts reporting)
  97. ^ Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll
  98. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  99. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  100. ^ "Marist College Institute for Public Opinion (likely voters)" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2008-04-18. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  101. ^ "Marist College Institute for Public Opinion (likely w/ leaners)" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2008-04-18. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  102. ^ CNN/WMUR/University of New Hampshire Poll
  103. ^ "Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby". Archived from the original on 2008-02-16. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  104. ^ USA Today/Gallup Poll
  105. ^ Strategic Vision
  106. ^ Fox News/Opinion Dynamics
  107. ^ "Franklin Pierce University/WBZ" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2008-09-11. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  108. ^ Rasmussen Reports Daily Poll
  109. ^ American Research Group
  110. ^ Concord Monitor
  111. ^ CNN/WMUR
  112. ^ Suffolk University/WHDH 7
  113. ^ "Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll". Archived from the original on 2008-02-16. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  114. ^ Rasmussen Reports Daily Poll
  115. ^ Suffolk University/WHDH 7
  116. ^ Mason-Dixon/McClatchy/MSNBC/Miami Herald Poll [permanent dead link]
  117. ^ Zogby
  118. ^ Zogby
  119. ^ Franklin Pierce
  120. ^ CNN/University of New Hampshire
  121. ^ American Research Group
  122. ^ LA Times/Bloomberg (Likely Voters)
  123. ^ Boston Globe/NH University
  124. ^ USA Today/Gallup
  125. ^ American Research Group
  126. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  127. ^ Concord Monitor/Research 2000
  128. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  129. ^ "CNN/WMUR". Archived from the original on 2007-12-14. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  130. ^ Mason-Dixon
  131. ^ ABC News/Washington Post
  132. ^ American Research Group
  133. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  134. ^ CNN/WMUR
  135. ^ CBS/New York Times
  136. ^ Boston Globe (UNH)
  137. ^ "Marist College". Archived from the original on 2008-01-29. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  138. ^ Rasmussen
  139. ^ American Research Group [permanent dead link]
  140. ^ Rasmussen
  141. ^ "Marist College Institute for Public Opinion (Likely Voters)". Archived from the original on 2008-02-18. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  142. ^ American Research Group [permanent dead link]
  143. ^ Zogby
  144. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  145. ^ Franklin Pierce University / WBZ Poll
  146. ^ Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg
  147. ^ Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg (Democrats only)
  148. ^ American Research Group
  149. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  150. ^ American Research Group
  151. ^ Hart-McLaughlin
  152. ^ CNN/WMUR/UNH
  153. ^ CNN/WMUR/UNH
  154. ^ Research 2000
  155. ^ Research 2000
  156. ^ American Research Group [permanent dead link]
  157. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  158. ^ Suffolk University Archived 2008-09-10 at the Wayback Machine
  159. ^ CNN/WMUR Poll (Gore excl.)
  160. ^ CNN/WMUR Poll (Gore incl.)
  161. ^ Mason-Dixon
  162. ^ Franklin Pierce College/WBZ Archived 2008-02-08 at the Wayback Machine
  163. ^ American Research Group
  164. ^ Zogby
  165. ^ Survey USA
  166. ^ American Research Group
  167. ^ "Zogby". Archived from the original on 2008-01-19. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  168. ^ University of New Hampshire
  169. ^ American Research Group
  170. ^ Franklin Pierce College/WBZ
  171. ^ Franklin Pierce College/WBZ (without Gore)
  172. ^ "Suffolk University". Archived from the original on 2008-02-10. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  173. ^ University of New Hampshire
  174. ^ "American Research Group". Archived from the original on 2007-09-29. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  175. ^ Zogby International
  176. ^ American Research Group
  177. ^ Washington Post: Michigan Moves Primary Up to Jan. 15[dead link]
  178. ^ AP: Michigan Court Rejects Early Michigan Primary Archived December 14, 2007, at the Wayback Machine
  179. ^ Detroit News: Supreme Court reinstates Michigan's presidential primary
  180. ^ "DNC Punishes Michigan For Early Primary Date". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on 2019-09-10.
  181. ^ Actual Result (100% precincts reporting)
  182. ^ American Research Group
  183. ^ Detroit News/WXYZ[permanent dead link]
  184. ^ American Research Group
  185. ^ "Detroit Free Press-Local 4 Michigan Poll". Archived from the original on 2008-01-19. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  186. ^ Rossman Group/MIRS/Denno-Noor
  187. ^ "The Rossman Group". Archived from the original on 2007-12-16. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  188. ^ Strategic Vision (R)
  189. ^ American Research Group
  190. ^ Detroit News/WXYZ-TV
  191. ^ Detroit News/WXYZ-TV
  192. ^ Strategic Vision (R)
  193. ^ American Research Group
  194. ^ Strategic Vision (R)
  195. ^ EPIC-MRA [permanent dead link]
  196. ^ Strategic Vision
  197. ^ American Research Group
  198. ^ "Detroit Free Press-Local 4 Michigan Poll". Archived from the original on 2007-09-26. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  199. ^ American Research Group
  200. ^ Actual Result (100% precincts reporting)
  201. ^ Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby
  202. ^ Mason-Dixon
  203. ^ American Research Group
  204. ^ Research 2000/Reno Gazette-Journal
  205. ^ American Research Group
  206. ^ Mason-Dixon
  207. ^ Zogby International Archived 2008-02-20 at the Wayback Machine
  208. ^ Mason-Dixon
  209. ^ American Research Group
  210. ^ Reno Gazette-Journal[permanent dead link]
  211. ^ Mason-Dixon [permanent dead link]
  212. ^ American Research Group
  213. ^ Mason-Dixon
  214. ^ Zogby International
  215. ^ Gazette-Journal Poll
  216. ^ American Research Group
  217. ^ Actual Result (100% precincts reporting)
  218. ^ Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby
  219. ^ Survey USA
  220. ^ Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby
  221. ^ Mason Dixon
  222. ^ Survey USA
  223. ^ Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby
  224. ^ "Clemson University" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2008-03-07. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  225. ^ "Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby". Archived from the original on 2008-01-26. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  226. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  227. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  228. ^ Survey USA
  229. ^ MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason Dixon
  230. ^ Insider Advantage
  231. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  232. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  233. ^ Insider Advantage
  234. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  235. ^ SurveyUSA
  236. ^ SurveyUSA
  237. ^ CBS News
  238. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  239. ^ CNN
  240. ^ Insider Advantage
  241. ^ Survey USA
  242. ^ Mason-Dixon
  243. ^ Insider Advantage
  244. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  245. ^ American Research Group
  246. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  247. ^ Survey USA
  248. ^ American Research Group [permanent dead link]
  249. ^ Winthrop/ETV Poll
  250. ^ American Research Group [permanent dead link]
  251. ^ Rasmussen
  252. ^ Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg
  253. ^ Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg (Liberal Democrats)
  254. ^ American Research Group
  255. ^ Clemson University Palmetto Poll
  256. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  257. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  258. ^ American Research Group
  259. ^ Insider Advantage
  260. ^ CNN/Opinion Research
  261. ^ CNN/Opinion Research
  262. ^ American Research Group
  263. ^ Mason Dixon
  264. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  265. ^ Winthrop/ETV
  266. ^ American Research Group
  267. ^ InsiderAdvantage
  268. ^ American Research Group
  269. ^ Hamilton Beattie (D)/Ayers McHenry (R)
  270. ^ News Channel 15/Zogby
  271. ^ WIS-TV/Garin-Hart-Yang (With Lean) [permanent dead link]
  272. ^ WIS-TV/Garin-Hart-Yang (Without Lean) [permanent dead link]
  273. ^ InsiderAdvantage
  274. ^ American Research Group [permanent dead link]
  275. ^ American Research Group
  276. ^ DNC Strips Florida Of 2008 Delegates
  277. ^ Actual Result (99% precincts reporting)
  278. ^ Survey USA
  279. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  280. ^ Survey USA
  281. ^ Strategic Vision
  282. ^ Quinnipiac University
  283. ^ Survey USA
  284. ^ Mason Dixon[permanent dead link]
  285. ^ Strategic Vision
  286. ^ St. Petersburg Times
  287. ^ Survey USA
  288. ^ Insider Advantage
  289. ^ Research 2000 [permanent dead link]
  290. ^ Strategic Vision
  291. ^ Survey USA
  292. ^ Quinnipiac University
  293. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  294. ^ Survey USA
  295. ^ Insider Advantage
  296. ^ Quinnipiac
  297. ^ Strategic Vision
  298. ^ "Datamar" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2008-09-11. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  299. ^ SurveyUSA
  300. ^ Quinnipiac
  301. ^ "Datamar" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2007-12-01. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  302. ^ Strategic Vision
  303. ^ SurveyUSA
  304. ^ Quinnipiac
  305. ^ Quinnipiac
  306. ^ Strategic Vision
  307. ^ American Research Group
  308. ^ Rasmussen
  309. ^ Insider Advantage
  310. ^ Quinnipiac
  311. ^ Rasmussen
  312. ^ Strategic Vision
  313. ^ Quinnipiac
  314. ^ Mason-Dixon
  315. ^ Rasmussen
  316. ^ Quinnipiac
  317. ^ "IVR Polls". Archived from the original on 2008-02-08. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  318. ^ American Research Group
  319. ^ Quinnipiac (without Gore)
  320. ^ Quinnipiac (with Gore)
  321. ^ Strategic Vision
  322. ^ Zogby Poll
  323. ^ Quinnipiac University
  324. ^ "IVR Polls". Archived from the original on 2008-01-17. Retrieved 2008-02-07.
  325. ^ Strategic Vision (R)
  326. ^ St. Petersburg Times
  327. ^ American Research Group
  328. ^ Advantage/Florida Chamber of Commerce
  329. ^ Quinnipiac University
  330. ^ Strategic Vision
  331. ^ Quinnipiac University
  332. ^ American Research Group
  333. ^ Quinnipiac University
  334. ^ American Research Group
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