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2025 Philippine Senate election

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2025 Philippine Senate election

← 2022 May 12, 2025 (2025-05-12) 2028 →

12 (of the 24) seats to the Senate of the Philippines
13 seats needed for a majority
 
Alliance Bagong PIlipinas Liberal

 
Alliance Makabayan PDP

Incumbent Senate President

Francis Escudero
NPC



The 2025 Philippine Senate election will be the 35th election of members to the Senate of the Philippines. It will be held on May 12, 2025, within the 2025 Philippine general election. The seats of the 12 senators elected in 2019 will be contested in this election. The senators that will be elected in this election will serve until 2031, joining the winners of the 2022 election to form the Senate's delegation to the 20th Congress of the Philippines, with the senators elected in 2022 serving until 2028.

The ruling administration of President Bongbong Marcos formed the Alyansa Para sa Bagong Pilipinas, comprising the Partido Federal ng Pilipinas (PFP), Lakas–CMD, Nacionalista Party, National Unity Party (NUP), and the Nationalist People's Coalition (NPC), to contest the election. In the opposition, the Liberal Party plans to field candidates with the Katipunan ng Nagkakaisang Pilipino (KANP), while the Partido Demokratiko Pilipino (PDP) will run candidates with Hugpong ng Pagbabago (HNP). The Makabayan bloc also plans to field a full slate of candidates for the election as the Oposisyon ng Bayan.

Background

[edit]
Migz Zubiri served as Senate president until his resignation on May 20, 2024, after which Francis Escudero took over.

In the 2022 election, the UniTeam Alliance backing the candidacies of eventual president Bongbong Marcos and vice president Sara Duterte won a plurality of seats in the Senate of the Philippines.[1][2] Leading up to the convention of the 19th Congress, Senators Cynthia Villar and Migz Zubiri, both having run under UniTeam, were viewed as the frontrunners to succeed Senate President Tito Sotto, who left the Senate after being term-limited.[3][4][5] After Zubiri presumptively earned enough votes to be elected Senate president and negotiations for a term-sharing agreement failed, Villar withdrew from the contest, leaving Zubiri unopposed for the Senate presidency.[6][7]

Zubiri's term as Senate president was marked by speculation of efforts to unseat him. Such speculation was confirmed by Senator Imee Marcos, who stated that there were plans to oust Zubiri from the Senate presidency, attributing such efforts to pressure that "came from outside the Senate".[8] On May 20, 2024, Zubiri resigned the Senate presidency after 15 senators expressed their support to oust him from the post.[9][10][11] Senator Francis Escudero was nominated as his successor and was elected without objection.[12][13]

While in government after the alliance's large victories in the election,[14] Duterte remarked that the UniTeam Alliance had already "served its purpose" but claimed that the alliance was still "intact".[15] Following mounting tensions between the Marcos and Duterte political clans, Duterte resigned from her roles as secretary of education and co-vice chairperson of the National Task Force to End Local Communist Armed Conflict (NTF-ELCAC).[16][17] Political observers saw Duterte's resignation from her positions in the Marcos administration as a confirmation of the collapse of the UniTeam Alliance. Some labeled Duterte as a potential "leader of the opposition", a label that she would reject, claiming that she was "still friends" with Marcos.[18][19]

Political scientist Julio C. Teehankee observed that a broad united coalition is unlikely to form in 2025 given that the Liberal Party, the traditional political opposition since 2016, has more in common with the ruling Marcos administration and noted that "there is little value in debating" which political faction is the true opposition, noting the varied motivations for opposing an incumbent government.[20]

Electoral system

[edit]

The Philippines has a 24-member Senate elected at-large. Every three years since 1995, 12 seats are disputed. For 2025, the seats disputed in 2019 will be contested. Each voter has 12 votes, of which one can vote for one to twelve candidates, or a multiple non-transferable vote; the twelve candidates with the most votes are elected.

Senators are limited to serving two consecutive terms, although they are eligible for a third (and succeeding) non-consecutive term.[21] Only half of the seats are up in every senatorial election.[22] The winning senators will succeed those elected in 2019, and will join those elected in 2022 to form the 20th Congress.

Each party or coalition endorses a slate of candidates, typically not exceeding a 12-person ticket.[23] A party may also choose to invite "guest candidates" to complete its slate.[24] The party may even include, with the candidates' consent, independent candidates and candidates from other parties as the party's guest candidates. Parties also may form coalitions to endorse a multi-party slate of candidates.

Winning candidates are proclaimed by the Commission on Elections (COMELEC), sitting as the National Board of Canvassers (NBOC). The NBOC usually proclaims senators-elect by batches, if that candidate can no longer fall to worse than twelfth place in the tally. Post-proclamation disputes are handled by the Senate Electoral Tribunal, a body composed of six senators and three justices from the Supreme Court.

Term-limited incumbents

[edit]

The following are serving a successive six-year term and are barred from seeking reelection.[25]

  1. Nancy Binay (UNA), running for mayor of Makati
    On January 20, 2024, Binay stated in an interview on DWIZ-AM that she was "50 percent sure" that she would run for mayor of Makati upon the end of her term as senator.[26] She confirmed her bid for the mayoralty on September 9.[27] The incumbent mayor and Binay's sister Abigail is running for senator under the Nationalist People's Coalition.[28]
  2. Koko Pimentel (Nacionalista), running for representative in Marikina's 1st district
    On October 6, 2024, Pimentel filed to run for representative in Marikina's 1st district, facing off against incumbent mayor Marcelino Teodoro, husband of the incumbent representative Marjorie Ann, after a failed attempt to form an alliance with the local administration.[29][30]
  3. Grace Poe (Independent), did not pursue any political office
  4. Cynthia Villar (Nacionalista), running for representative in Las Piñas's at-large district
    On July 31, 2024, Villar expressed her interest in running for public office in Las Piñas, either as mayor or representative for the city's at-large district.[31][32] Villar was then later seen as running for Congress.[33] Villar then filed to run as representative,[34] while her daughter Camille, the incumbent House representative, is running for senator.[35]

Mid-term vacancies

[edit]
  1. Sonny Angara (LDP)
    On July 2, 2024, President Bongbong Marcos appointed Angara, a term-limited senator, as secretary of education.[36][37] On July 18, Angara resigned from the Senate a day before assuming office, leaving his seat vacant until his successor is elected in the regular election.[38][39]

Parties in the outgoing Senate

[edit]

In both chambers of Congress, members are organized into "blocs", akin to parliamentary groups elsewhere. In keeping with the traditions of the Third Philippine Republic which was under a two-party system, there are two main blocs, the majority and minority blocs; this is although the country is now in a multi-party system. Those who voted for the Senate president are from the majority bloc, while those who did not (if there are more than two candidates for the Senate presidency) will vote amongst themselves on who will be the minority bloc. Those who belong to neither bloc shall be the independent minority bloc. Members can also be from the independent bloc. Each bloc can have members from multiple parties. Only the majority and minority blocs have voting privileges in committees.

At the end of the 19th Congress, the majority bloc is composed of members who voted for Escudero for Senate president.[40][41]

Parties in the Senate at the end of the 19th Congress of the Philippines
Party Current seats Bloc membership Political affiliation
Total Up Not Up Majority Minority Other 2022 2025
NPC
5 / 24
1 4 Most None Some Reporma–NPC Bagong Pilipinas
Nacionalista
5 / 24
4 1 Most One None UniTeam Bagong Pilipinas
PDP
3 / 24
2 1 All None None TAP TBA
Akbayan
1 / 24
0 1 None One None TRoPa TBA
Lakas
1 / 24
1 0 One None None UniTeam Bagong Pilipinas
PFP
1 / 24
1 0 One None None UniTeam Bagong Pilipinas
PMP
1 / 24
0 1 One None None UniTeam TBA
UNA
1 / 24
1 0 None None One TBA
Independent
6 / 24
1 4 Most None Some
Vacant
1 / 24
1 0
Total 24 / 24 12 12

Coalitions

[edit]

Alyansa para sa Bagong Pilipinas

[edit]

On May 8, 2024, the Partido Federal ng Pilipinas (PFP) and Lakas–CMD signed an alliance agreement at the Manila Polo Club in Makati to form the Alyansa Para sa Bagong Pilipinas (Alliance for the New Philippines) for the 2025 general elections.[42] House Speaker Martin Romualdez remarked that the formation of the alliance created the "most powerful political force in our country today", noting the positioning of the PFP as the de facto ruling party in the country and Lakas' status as the largest political party in the House of Representatives.[43]

Romualdez also implied that the coalition plans to include "all major parties",[44] including the Nacionalista Party, which began negotiations with the alliance on July 2.[45][46] President Marcos remarked that the alliance aims to be based "not on political expediency but on ideology" that focuses on unity and a new Philippines.[47] Two parties would sign alliance agreements with the coalition: the Nationalist People's Coalition on May 19,[48] and the National Unity Party on June 29.[49] The Nacionalista Party formally entered the coalition on August 8.[50]

On May 10, former Senator Manny Pacquiao announced his senatorial candidacy as a member of the alliance while remaining a member of PROMDI.[51][52] Reelectionist Senator Imee Marcos, the sister of the president and PFP chairman, noted that she was unsure of her inclusion in the coalition, though the entry of the Nacionalista Party in the alliance ensured her inclusion in its ticket.[53][45] Party leaders under the alliance met on August 19; on the same day, Erwin Tulfo noted that the administration "still has no final senatorial lineup".[54]

On September 26, President Marcos announced the administration's twelve senatorial bets during an event at the Philippine International Convention Center in Pasay.[55] Imee Marcos, the president's sister, opted out of her inclusion in the slate, saying " I chose to stand alone so that my 'adding' (sibling) would no longer be put in a difficult position, and my true friends won't hesitate."[56] On her sister's decision, president Marcos said "that is her choice."[57]

Liberal Party

[edit]

At a forum of the Foreign Correspondents Association of the Philippines (FOCAP) on February 22, 2024, Liberal Party spokesperson and former Senator Leila de Lima announced that the party plans to field former senators Bam Aquino and Francis Pangilinan, as well as human rights lawyer Chel Diokno of the Katipunan ng Nagkakaisang Pilipino (KANP), as its senatorial candidates in the upcoming election.[58][59] Aquino confirmed his bid for the Senate on May 14 after being appointed as the chairman of KANP.[60] While former vice president and 2022 presidential candidate Leni Robredo was floated as a possible candidate, Robredo ruled out a bid for the Senate and instead announced a run for the mayoralty of Naga, Camarines Sur,[61][62] though the party remained keen in drafting Robredo for its Senate ticket.[63]

Former Senator Antonio Trillanes, who ran under TRoPa in the 2022 Senate election, proposed that the Liberal Party and its allies "set aside sensitivities for a larger cause" and align with the Marcos administration in the Senate race to ensure "obliteration of the Duterte forces".[64] Party President Edcel Lagman was also open to such arrangement.[65] Political pundits suggest that such a coalition would provide the opposition with more resources during the campaign but may alienate "many groups in the opposition camp who are ideologically opposed to any alliance with other political groups".[66] De Lima disapproved of Trillanes' proposal, emphasizing the need to adhere to the party's principles as a political opposition and identity as "the alternative to the Marcos bloc and the Duterte bloc".[67] Senator Risa Hontiveros concurred with de Lima, stating that while she respects Trillanes's proposition, such an alliance would not form a "genuine opposition".[68]

Makabayan

[edit]

In an interview during commemorations for the 42nd anniversary of the Alliance of Concerned Teachers (ACT) on June 26, 2024, term-limited Representative France Castro announced her bid for the Senate in response to open letters from teachers encouraging her to seek a seat in the chamber in 2025.[69][70] Castro added that the Makabayan coalition plans to form a 12-member senate slate for the 2025 elections branded as the "Oposisyon ng Bayan" (Opposition of the Nation) with the aim to form an "alternative slate" to the ruling government.[71][72] The coalition aims to field candidates from marginalized sectors and vowed not to field candidates from political dynasties or influential families.[73] Castro and Representative Arlene Brosas also stated that they were open to form alliances with "true opposition" groups and have entered negotiations with other opposition groups such as the Liberal Party.[74] Brosas later announced her senate bid on July 16.[75][76] Makabayan formally announced its ten-member senatorial slate on August 26, during its National Heroes Day event at the Liwasang Bonifacio in Manila.[77] On September 24, Moro activist Amirah Lidasan announced her run as the 11th Makabayan senatorial candidate.[78]

Partido Demokratiko Pilipino

[edit]

At the party's national council held on April 19, 2024, at the Nustar Resort and Casino in Cebu City, former President Rodrigo Duterte endorsed the reelection bids of incumbent Senators Ronald dela Rosa, Bong Go, and Francis Tolentino as well as the bid of actor Phillip Salvador as part of the party's slate for the election.[79][80] On June 26, Vice President Sara Duterte confirmed the elder Duterte's bid for the Senate, along with that of her brothers Paolo Duterte, the incumbent representative for Davao City's 1st district, and Sebastian Duterte, the incumbent mayor of Davao City.[81][82]

In response to the possibility of an alliance between the ruling Marcos administration and the Liberal Party, dela Rosa affirmed that the Dutertes would lead the opposition in such case.[83]

Candidates

[edit]

The filing of candidacies was from October 1 to 8, 2024, at the Manila Hotel.[84] A total of 184 people registered to run for senator.[85] One withdrew his candidacy.[86] More than a week later, the commission released an initial list of 66 approved candidates.[87] In November, the COMELEC declared 117 nuisance candidates, 14 of which filed motion for reconsideration.[88][89] This include 2022 election candidate and social media personality Francis Leo Marcos.[90]

Filed certificates of candidacy

[edit]

The following have filed certificates of candidacy before the COMELEC, and were included in the initial list of candidates.[91]

Withdrew

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Opinion polling

[edit]

Opinion polling in the Philippines is conducted by Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia, OCTA Research, and other pollsters.

Per candidate

[edit]

This list includes all individuals named by at least 10% of respondents in any of the surveys conducted after the campaign officially began. The top 16 candidates with the highest favorability in each poll are listed below, where the top 12 are marked with a "black line". For a comprehensive list of all individuals included in the surveys, see the main article.

After COC filing

[edit]
# Oct 16–17, 2024 Oct 29–31, 2024
Publicus Asia[148] PEERS Agency[149]
1 Ong 41 E. Tulfo 55.7
2 E. Tulfo 40 Lacson 47.6
3 T. Sotto 38 T. Sotto 46.0
4 Lacson Cayetano 45.4
5 Go 35 B. Tulfo 39.6
6 B. Tulfo 33 Ong 39.0
7 Cayetano Pacquiao 33.6
8 Pacquiao 32 C. Villar 31.9
9 Pangilinan 30 Revilla 31.6
10 Marcos dela Rosa 31.2
11 Aquino 27 Abalos 30.9
12 dela Rosa 26 Honasan 30.4
13 Tolentino 23 Lapid 28.9
14 Revillame 21 Pangilinan 28.6
15 Honasan 20 Marcos 28.1
16 Binay 19 Aquino 27.6
17 Lapid 18 Binay
18 C. Villar 17 Go 26.9

Before COC filing

[edit]
# Feb 21–29, 2024 Mar 6–10, 2024 Mar 11–14, 2024 Mar 14–19, 2024 June 15–19, 2024 June 17–24, 2024 July 17–31, 2024 Aug 28–Sep 2, 2024 Sep 6–13, 2024 Sep 14–23, 2024
Oculum[150] Pulse Asia[151] OCTA[152] Publicus Asia[153] Publicus Asia[154] Pulse Asia[155] Oculum[156] OCTA[157] Pulse Asia[158] SWS[159]
1 R. Duterte 53 E. Tulfo 57.1 E. Tulfo 58 Ong 41 Ong 39 E.Tulfo 58.0 E.Tulfo 50 E. Tulfo 60 E. Tulfo 60.8 E. Tulfo 54
2 T. Sotto T. Sotto 51.8 T. Sotto 52 R. Duterte 38 E. Tulfo 33 T. Sotto 50.4 T. Sotto 48 B. Tulfo 57 B. Tulfo 49.6 T. Sotto 34
3 E. Tulfo 52 R. Duterte 47.7 Go 50 E. Tulfo 37 R. Duterte 32 Cayetano 42.7 R. Duterte 39 T. Sotto 50 T. Sotto 48.0 Cayetano 31
4 Moreno 45 Go 44.2 B. Tulfo 43 Go 32 Lacson B. Tulfo 40.9 Cayetano 38 Go 49 Cayetano 41.3 R. Duterte 25
5 Pacquiao 43 Cayetano 37.7 R. Duterte 38 T. Sotto T. Sotto 29 R. Duterte 38.7 dela Rosa 32 Lacson 44 Go 40.3 Marcos
6 dela Rosa 41 Pacquiao Lacson 34 Lacson Go Go 36.6 Lacson 31 Revilla R. Duterte 38.0 Lacson 24
7 Go 40 dela Rosa 33.2 dela Rosa 33 dela Rosa 28 Moreno Marcos 33.8 V. Sotto 28 Cayetano 35 Binay 37.5 Revilla
8 Ong 35 Marcos 32.1 Pacquiao 32 Marcos 27 Robredo 28 Pacquiao 33.5 Revillame 27 Tolentino 34 Revilla 35.9 C. Villar 21
9 Marcos Moreno 31.5 Revilla 30 Moreno Marcos Lacson 32.2 Ong 26 Pacquiao Lacson 35.5 Binay 20
10 V. Sotto B. Tulfo 30.5 Marcos 29 Robredo Pangilinan 25 Moreno 31.7 Lapid Marcos 33 Pacquiao 31.9 Lapid
11 Cayetano Revilla 29.6 Moreno 27 Teodoro 26 Teodoro 23 dela Rosa 31.3 Mn. Villar Lapid Marcos 29.8 Pacquiao 18
12 Revilla 32 Binay 29.1 Cayetano 26 Cayetano 23 Cayetano Revilla 29.9 Pacquiao 24 R. Duterte dela Rosa 26.2 dela Rosa
13 Lacson 32 Lacson 28.6 Lapid 22 Pangilinan 22 dela Rosa 22 Santos-Recto 23.6 Revilla 22 dela Rosa 29 Lapid 24.7 Go
14 Lapid 30 Revillame 25.9 Tolentino Diokno 21 Diokno 21 Lapid 21.4 Moreno 20 Abalos 28 Honasan 21.5 Tolentino 17
15 Robredo 23 Lapid 25.4 Ong 21 Pacquiao Pangilinan 19.2 Marcos Ong C. Villar 21.2 Pangilinan 15
16 Honasan Ong 24.6 Abalos B. Tulfo Binay 18.9 Go Honasan 23 Pangilinan 20.5 Abalos 14
17 Roxas Pangilinan 22.2 Tolentino 20 Failon 18.8 Honasan 19 S. Duterte 22 Ong 19.8 Aquino
18 Pangilinan Recto 18.8 Gordon 18 Honasan 18.6 Roxas Binay S. Duterte 19.1 Honasan 13

Per party

[edit]
  • Parties (excluding independents) with the plurality of seats in boldface.
  • Parties (excluding independents) with the majority of seats are shaded by the party color.

Seats won

[edit]
  • Totals may not add up to 12 due to margin of error.
Date Pollster
ACT-CIS
Ind
Aug 28–Sep 2 OCTA[157] 1 1 0 1 0 2 2 3 1 0 1 0 3
Jun 17–24 Pulse Asia[155] 1 2 0 1 1 3 3 3 0 0 1 0 2
Jun 15–19 Publicus Asia[154] 1 2 1 0 2 2 1 3 0 1 0 0 1
Mar 14–19 Publicus Asia[153] 1 2 0 0 1 2 1 3 0 1 0 0 1
Mar 11–14 OCTA[152] 1 2 0 1 0 2 2 4 1 0 1 0 2
Mar 6–10 Pulse Asia[151] 1 2 0 1 0 2 3 3 0 0 1 0 3
Feb 21–29 Oculum[150] 1 2 0 1 1 2 2 3 0 0 1 0 3

Seats after the election

[edit]
  • Totals may not add up to 24 due to margin of error.
Date Pollster
Ind
Mar 14–19 Publicus Asia[153] 1 1 2 0 0 1 3 5 4 0 1 0 1 0 5
Mar 11–14 OCTA[152] 1 1 2 0 1 0 3 6 5 1 0 1 1 0 6
Mar 6–10 Pulse Asia[151] 1 1 2 0 1 0 3 7 4 0 0 1 1 0 7
Feb 21–29 Oculum[150] 1 1 2 0 1 1 3 6 4 0 0 1 1 0 7

Results

[edit]

The Commission on Elections, sitting as the National Board of Canvassers, is expected to proclaim the winners at least a week after election.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 17 16 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Before
election
Senate bloc Min Independent bloc Min Majority bloc
Party ^‡
Election results Not up Up for election Not up
After
election
Party
Senate bloc [to be determined]
Key:
Seats up
* Gained by a party from another party
Held by the incumbent
+ Held by the same party with a new senator
* Vacancy

Per party

[edit]
PartySeats
UpBeforeWonAfter+/−
Nationalist People's Coalition15
Nacionalista Party45
Partido Demokratiko Pilipino23
Lakas–CMD11
Partido Federal ng Pilipinas11
Independent15
Akbayan01010
Pwersa ng Masang Pilipino01010
United Nationalist Alliance1100−1
Vacancy1100−1
Total1224020

Aside from these parties, the following parties not in the Senate also put up candidates for the election. This is pending COMELEC approval:

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Quiboloy initially filed his candidacy under the Workers and Peasants Party (WPP) through Mark Tolentino, his legal counsel; however, his nomination is reportedly disputed by Sonny Matula, the party president and also another candidate.[111] As the alleged "intra-party dispute" is yet to be resolved, Quiboloy, through a letter sent to the COMELEC on October 21, revoked his acceptance as a WPP nominee, and decided to run as an independent candidate.[112]
  2. ^ A dispute in the WPP (Workers and Peasants Party) occurred as Sonny Matula—now a lone candidate under the party—denied the nomination of Apollo Quiboloy who initially filed his candidacy under the party. Mark Tolentino, the latter's legal counsel,[111] has claimed being the president of the "legitimate faction" of the WPP, which was also denied by Matula.[133] Tolentino said as well that Matula is under another WPP—the Workers Party Philippines—which is said to be an "unregistered" political party.[134][better source needed] Meanwhile, the COMELEC found that (the first) WPP has been divided into factions under Ariel Arias, the party chairperson, and Tolentino.[111]

References

[edit]
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