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2021 Newfoundland and Labrador general election

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2021 Newfoundland and Labrador general election
← 2019 March 25, 2021[a][1] Next →
All 40 seats in the House of Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador
21 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout51.4%[2] (Decrease 9.3 pp)
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Andrew Furey Ches Crosbie Alison Coffin
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since August 3, 2020 April 28, 2018 March 5, 2019
Leader's seat Humber-Gros Morne Windsor Lake (lost re-election) St. John's East-Quidi Vidi (lost re-election)
Last election 20 seats, 43.9% 15 seats, 42.6% 3 seats, 6.3%
Seats before 19 15 3
Seats won 22 13 2
Seat change Increase3 Decrease2 Decrease1
Popular vote 86,180 69,314 14,324
Percentage 48.24% 38.80% 8.02%
Swing Increase4.24pp Decrease3.76pp Increase1.71pp
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Click the map for more details.
Premier before election

Andrew Furey
Liberal

Premier after election

Andrew Furey
Liberal

The 2021 Newfoundland and Labrador general election was held on March 25, 2021, to elect members of the 50th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador.[3]

Under the province's fixed election date law, the vote was tentatively scheduled for October 10, 2023, but a caveat in the law mandates that an election must be held within one year of a new Premier assuming office.[4] Premier Furey assumed the role on August 19, 2020, and requested to Lieutenant Governor Judy Foote to issue the writs of election on January 15, 2021.[3]

However, an unexpected COVID-19 surge in the week leading up to the election caused voting to be delayed on the Avalon Peninsula,[5] before all in-person voting was eventually cancelled, delaying the election for every district until March 1, 2021.[6] After several more delays, the final mail-in ballot deadline became March 25, 2021.[7][8][1] The election was the first mail-in-only election in Canada.[9] Preliminary results were released by noon on March 27,[10] which projected a majority government for Andrew Furey and the Liberal Party.[11]

Results

[edit]
Summary of the House of Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador election results[citation needed]
PartyVotes%+/–Seats
2019Dissol.2021Change
Liberal86,18048.24+4.24201922+2
Progressive Conservative69,31438.80-3.76151513-2
New Democratic14,3248.02+1.71332-1
NL Alliance5570.31-2.08000±0
Independents8,2574.62-0.12233+1
Total178,632100.00–4040400

Historical results from 1993 onwards

[edit]
Graph of NL general election results by share of votes, 1993–2021; omitted are minor parties consistently registering less than 2% of the vote.
Graph of NL general election results by seats won, 1993–2021; those of independent MHAs are omitted.

Synopsis of results

[edit]
2021 Newfoundland and Labrador general election - synopsis of riding results[a 1]
Riding[a 2] 2019 Winning party Turnout
[a 3] 		Votes
Party Votes Share Margin
# 		Margin
% 		Lib PC NDP NL All Ind Total
 
Baie Verte-Green Bay   Lib   Lib 2,158 52.1% 171 4.2% 42.1% 2,158 1,987 – – – 4,145
Bonavista   PC   PC 2,117 57.3% 1,173 31.7% 40.5% 944 2,117 70 – 562 3,693
Burgeo-La Poile   Lib   Lib 1,992 87.1% 1,757 76.8% 33.5% 1,992 235 60 – – 2,287
Burin-Grand Bank   Lib   Lib 2,666 59.6% 1,027 23.0% 50.5% 2,666 1,639 169 – – 4,474
Cape St. Francis   PC   PC 3,476 62.5% 1,905 34.3% 58.1% 1,571 3,476 449 65 – 5,561
Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde   Lib   Lib 3,892 67.5% 2,296 39.8% 51.5% 3,892 1,596 261 – 14 5,763
Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair   Lib   Lib 973 95.2% 924 90.4% 35.3% 973 49 – – – 1,022
Conception Bay East – Bell Island   PC   PC 3,215 56.2% 1,322 23.1% 50.1% 1,893 3,215 614 – – 5,722
Conception Bay South   PC   PC 3,063 57.1% 1,122 20.9% 55.5% 1,941 3,063 225 136 – 5,365
Corner Brook   Lib   Lib 2,593 66.5% 1,289 33.0% 38.4% 2,593 1,304 – – – 3,897
Exploits   PC   PC 2,641 54.8% 463 9.6% 51.5% 2,178 2,641 – – – 4,819
Ferryland   PC   PC 3,197 52.3% 501 8.2% 58.7% 2,696 3,197 216 – – 6,109
Fogo Island-Cape Freels   Lib   Lib 2,511 61.1% 1,004 24.5% 40.7% 2,511 1,507 95 – – 4,113
Fortune Bay-Cape La Hune   Lib   Lib 1,868 68.2% 1,087 39.7% 51.0% 1,868 781 89 – – 2,738
Gander   Lib   Lib 3,358 70.9% 2,130 45.0% 47.9% 3,358 1,228 148 – – 4,734
Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans   PC   PC 2,735 59.2% 959 20.7% 47.8% 1,776 2,735 106 – – 4,617
Harbour Grace-Port de Grave   Lib   Lib 3,404 71.1% 2,235 46.7% 44.3% 3,404 1,169 215 – – 4,788
Harbour Main   PC   PC 3,180 54.5% 750 12.9% 53.7% 2,430 3,180 228 – – 5,838
Humber-Bay of Islands   Ind   Ind 2,988 71.6% 2,247 53.8% 41.0% 741 444 – – 2,988 4,173
Humber-Gros Morne   Lib   Lib 2,838 64.0% 1,346 30.4% 44.8% 2,838 1,492 107 – – 4,437
Labrador West   NDP   NDP 1,359 50.0% 579 21.3% 43.2% 780 577 1,359 – – 2,716
Lake Melville[a 4]   Lib   Ind 1,143 49.9% 596 26.0% 46.8% 306 547 279 – 1,160 2,292
Lewisporte-Twillingate   Lib   Lib 2,593 62.4% 1,033 24.8% 41.1% 2,593 1,560 – – – 4,153
Mount Pearl North   PC   Lib 2,428 46.7% 109 2.1% 49.6% 2,428 2,319 337 116 – 5,200
Mount Pearl-Southlands   Ind   Ind 3,445 59.6% 2,059 35.6% 54.6% 1,386 797 152 – 3,445 5,780
Mount Scio   Lib   Lib 2,011 46.6% 859 19.9% 46.8% 2,011 1,152 1,074 60 18 4,315
Placentia-St. Mary's   Lib   Lib 2,552 50.8% 216 4.2% 54.3% 2,552 2,336 – 131 – 5,019
Placentia West-Bellevue   PC   PC 2,965 54.3% 661 12.1% 56.8% 2,304 2,965 189 – – 5,458
St. Barbe-L'Anse aux Meadows   Lib   Lib 2,375 51.2% 216 4.7% 51.3% 2,375 2,159 38 – 70 4,642
St. George's-Humber   Lib   Lib 2,420 58.5% 946 22.8% 43.7% 2,420 1,474 191 49 – 4,134
St. John's Centre   NDP   NDP 1,991 52.4% 714 18.8% 38.9% 1,277 533 1,991 – – 3,801
St. John's East-Quidi Vidi   NDP   Lib 2,447 43.0% 53 1.0% 50.8% 2,447 856 2,394 – – 5,697
St. John's West   Lib   Lib 2,679 57.8% 1,195 25.8% 49.1% 2,679 1,484 470 – – 4,633
Stephenville-Port au Port   PC   PC 2,481 59.7% 907 21.8% 43.4% 1,574 2,481 103 – – 4,158
Terra Nova   PC   PC 2,837 53.2% 514 9.6% 53.2% 2,323 2,837 173 – – 5,333
Topsail-Paradise   PC   PC 3,036 50.6% 511 8.5% 55.6% 2,525 3,036 440 – – 6,001
Torngat Mountains   PC   PC 420 88.8% 383 81.0% 22.5% 16 420 37 – – 473
Virginia Waters-Pleasantville   Lib   Lib 3,481 59.6% 2,257 38.6% 56.8% 3,481 1,224 1,135 – – 5,840
Waterford Valley   Lib   Lib 3,592 66.8% 2,244 41.7% 52.8% 3,592 1,348 438 – – 5,378
Windsor Lake   PC   Lib 2,688 50.6% 534 10.1% 56.7% 2,688 2,154 472 – – 5,314
  1. ^ "Official Election Results". 2021 Provincial General Election Report (PDF). Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. 2021. pp. 37–42.
  2. ^ sorted as per results summary
  3. ^ including rejected and declined ballots
  4. ^ multiple independent candidates nominated
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = incumbent re-elected in same riding
  = incumbent changed allegiance
  = other incumbent renominated

Ridings changing hands

[edit]

Four ridings changed their allegiance from 2019:

Liberal to Independent
PC to Liberal
NDP to Liberal
Resulting composition of the 50th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador
Source Party
Lib PC NDP Ind Total
Seats retained Incumbents returned 17 12 2 2 33
Open seats held 2 1 3
Seats changing hands Incumbents defeated 3 3
Change in affiliation 1 1
Total 22 13 2 3 40

Incumbents not running for reelection

[edit]

The following MHAs had announced that they would not be running in this provincial election:

Liberal

Progressive Conservative

Timeline

[edit]
Changes in seats held (2019–2021)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Humber-Gros Morne September 7, 2020[15] Dwight Ball █ Liberal Resignation October 6, 2020[16] Andrew Furey █ Liberal
Lake Melville November 10, 2020[17] Perry Trimper █ Liberal Resigned from caucus[b] █ Independent

2019

  • May 16, 2019 – The Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador wins 20 of the 40 seats in the House of Assembly during the general election, re-electing Premier Dwight Ball but forcing the Liberals to form a minority government. This is the first time the province elected a minority government since 1971.[18]
  • May 30, 2019 – Premier Ball's cabinet is sworn in; all ministers maintain their previous portfolios with the exception of MHA Warr entering cabinet.[19][20]
  • September 13, 2019 – Minister Trimper resigns from cabinet after comments critical of the Innu Nation were left on the voicemail of an Innu Nation staffer and publicly revealed.[21]
  • September 13, 2019 – MHA Bragg is appointed Minister of Municipal Affairs and Environment replacing Trimper.[22]
  • December 5, 2019 – The House of Assembly votes to reprimand Minister Chris Mitchelmore for his hiring of Carla Foote at The Rooms despite her lack of qualifications and her political connections to the Liberals. The House of Assembly ordered that Mitchelmore apologize to the Board of Directors of The Rooms, to the House of Assembly, and also be suspended two-week without pay.[23]

2020

  • February 17, 2020 – Dwight Ball announces that he will be resigning as Premier of Newfoundland and Labrador following a Liberal leadership election.[24] Provincial legislation requires a general election to be held no more than one year following a Premier's resignation.[25]
  • April 4, 2020 – Service NL Minister Sherry Gambin-Walsh was removed from cabinet as the RCMP launched a criminal investigation into allegations that she leaked cabinet documents.[26][27]
  • July 16, 2020 – The Progressive Conservatives begin opening up nominations in anticipation of an upcoming provincial election.[28]
  • July 21, 2020 – The NL Alliance open nominations in all forty districts.[29]
  • August 3, 2020 – Andrew Furey is elected leader of the Liberal Party.[30]
  • August 19, 2020 – Furey is formally sworn in as Premier, along with a new provincial cabinet.[31] MHAs Bennett, Loveless, and Stoodley enter cabinet.
  • September 7, 2020 – Dwight Ball resigns as MHA for Humber-Gros Morne.[32]
  • September 9, 2020 – The RCMP disclose that Sherry Gambin-Walsh broke cabinet confidentiality by leaking information to Paul Didham, a senior police officer with the Royal Newfoundland Constabulary. The RCMP did not lay criminal charges against Gambin-Walsh because no one benefited from the information; however Premier Furey did not reappoint her to cabinet.[33][34]
  • September 14, 2020 – The Liberals open nominations for a general election.[35]
  • September 25, 2020 – The New Democratic Party opens nominations for a general election.[36]
  • October 2, 2020 – At their annual convention, the Progressive Conservatives vote against conducting a review of Ches Crosbie's leadership.
  • October 6, 2020 – Liberal candidate, Premier Andrew Furey, is elected in the Humber-Gros Morne by-election.

2021

  • January 15, 2021 – Premier Furey asks Lieutenant Governor Judy Foote to dissolve the House of Assembly for a general provincial election, scheduled for February 13, 2021.[3]
  • January 17, 2021 – The Progressive Conservatives become the first of the four registered parties to nominate a slate of 40 candidates.[37]
  • January 21, 2021 – The Liberals become the second of the four registered parties to nominate a slate of 40 candidates.[38]
  • January 22, 2021 – NL Alliance leader Graydon Pelley suspends his campaign due to an emergency surgery that left him in an extensive recovery period.[39]
  • January 23, 2021 – Deadline for candidates to be nominated.[40]
  • February 2, 2021 – Initial deadline for mail-in ballots to be received.[41]
  • February 6, 2021 – Advance voting took place.[40]
  • February 11, 2021 – Following a surge in cases of COVID-19 in St. John's and the surrounding area, Chief Electoral Officer Bruce Chaulk announced that voting in 18 of the province's 40 electoral districts, all in the Avalon Peninsula, would be delayed indefinitely.[5]
  • February 12, 2021 – In-person voting is entirely canceled province-wide after it was discovered that the new COVID-19 cases were the Variant of Concern 202012/01.[6]
  • February 13, 2021 – Initial date that the election was to be held.[40]
  • March 1, 2021 – Original day that mail-in ballots were to be received.[6]
  • March 5, 2021 – Second deadline that mail-in ballots were to be received.[6][42]
  • March 25, 2021 – Deadline that mail-in ballots are to be received.[1]
  • March 27, 2021 – Preliminary results are to be announced by Elections NL.[43]
  • March 30, 2021 – Results will officially be tallied, and the victors will be declared elected.[43]

Campaign

[edit]

Party platforms

[edit]

At the start of the campaign, incumbent Liberal Premier Andrew Furey framed the election around the economy, by focusing on the provincial debt, the oil industry, and government spending.[3] There are $55M worth of expenses proposed.[44]

With a similar focus on the economy, PC leader Ches Crosbie emphasized the importance of creating jobs through infrastructure projects, eliminating regulations, and cutting taxes.[3] Meanwhile, NDP leader Alison Coffin centred her priorities on health care and affordable living.[3]

Initial election call and reaction

[edit]

Prior to the election being called, the provincial government made a series of announcements involving new spending programs and reached agreements with several unions.[3] The timing of these announcements received disapproval from the PCs.[3] The Liberals were also criticized by the PCs and NDP for calling an election during the winter and the COVID-19 pandemic.[3] Both of the opposition parties suggested that the Liberals should have waited until recommendations were made by the premier's economic recovery team, which was scheduled to release an interim report at the end of February and a final report at the end of April.[3] Despite their criticism, the PCs and NDP indicated that they were prepared for the election.[3]

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic

[edit]

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Elections NL issued lengthy guidelines for candidates, with parties placing a larger emphasis on social media rather than door-to-door canvassing, large rallies or visits to seniors' homes.[3] In order to avoid crowds on election day, Elections NL focused efforts on voting by mail and scheduled the election on a Saturday for the first time in the province's history.[3] Additionally, the Liberals did not allow members of the media on the party's campaign bus, citing "COVID-19 protocols".[3]

Early voting has increased.[45]

Surge in COVID-19 cases during campaign

[edit]

On February 8, the province confirmed its first case of community spread of COVID-19 since April 2020. Since the deadlines for voting early or by mail had already passed, it raised concerns about if the election should still go ahead as planned. Chief Electoral Officer Bruce Chaulk stated that no provisions existed that allowed people in isolation to vote, and that the election would proceed as intended.[46]

On February 9, PC candidate Damian Follett suspended in-person campaigning after his son tested positive for COVID-19.[47] On February 12, Follett announced that he had tested positive himself.[48] On the same day, PC candidate Rhonda Simms also suspended in-person campaigning after an individual who had visited her headquarters later tested presumptive positive.[49]

On February 10, Elections NL announced that there would be a 'drive-thru' voting option for the increasing number of people who were in self-isolation.[50] However, this option was later scrapped, as it went against a medical advisory which stated that those self-isolating should not leave their property.[51] On February 11, Chief Electoral Officer Bruce Chaulk issued a letter requesting that party leaders meet with Lieutenant Governor Judy Foote to discuss delaying the election.[52] Chaulk announced later that day that in-person voting would be delayed to a later date on the Avalon Peninsula but would go ahead as planned elsewhere.[5] The following day, Chaulk announced that no in-person voting would take place soon after it was confirmed that the recent COVID-19 cases were the Variant of Concern 202012/01.[6]

Withdrawn candidates

[edit]

In January 2021, the leader of the Newfoundland and Labrador Alliance Graydon Pelley withdrew his candidacy in Humber-Gros Morne following a medical emergency.[53]

Issues

[edit]

There were claims that sexism and misogyny has affected women candidates on the campaign trail.[54]

Target seats

[edit]

CBC News identified 5 "must-watch districts";[55]

Opposition

[edit]
Seat MHA Party Margin in 2019 Result
Labrador West Jordan Brown New Democrat 0.1% New Democrat hold
Stephenville-Port au Port Tony Wakeham Progressive Conservative 0.6% Progressive Conservative hold
Bonavista Craig Pardy Progressive Conservative 0.8% Progressive Conservative hold
Terra Nova Lloyd Parrott Progressive Conservative 4.7% Progressive Conservative hold
Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans Chris Tibbs Progressive Conservative 6.4% Progressive Conservative hold
St. John's East-Quidi Vidi Alison Coffin New Democrat 10.1% Liberal gain
Windsor Lake Ches Crosbie Progressive Conservative 10.2% Liberal gain
Placentia West-Bellevue Jeff Dwyer Progressive Conservative 11.6% Progressive Conservative hold
Mount Pearl North Jim Lester Progressive Conservative 12.0% Liberal gain
Mount Pearl-Southlands Paul Lane Independent 15.4% Independent hold
St. John's Centre Jim Dinn New Democrat 21.4% New Democrat hold
Harbour Main Helen Conway-Ottenheimer Progressive Conservative 29.5% Progressive Conservative hold
Topsail-Paradise Paul Dinn Progressive Conservative 32.1% Progressive Conservative hold
Conception Bay South Barry Petten Progressive Conservative 39.7% Progressive Conservative hold
Conception Bay East – Bell Island David Brazil Progressive Conservative 47.6% Progressive Conservative hold
Humber-Bay of Islands Eddie Joyce Independent 50.0% Independent hold
Cape St. Francis Kevin Parsons Progressive Conservative 54.5% Progressive Conservative hold

Liberal

[edit]
Seat MHA Party Margin in 2019 Result
Burin-Grand Bank Carol Anne Haley Liberal 1.2%
St. John's West Siobhan Coady Liberal 3.5%
Mount Scio Sarah Stoodley Liberal 4.5%
Harbour Grace-Port de Grave Pam Parsons Liberal 4.8%
Fortune Bay-Cape La Hune Elvis Loveless Liberal 6.8%
Lewisporte-Twillingate Derek Bennett Liberal 8.0%
Fogo Island-Cape Freels Derrick Bragg Liberal 8.6%
Virginia Waters-Pleasantville Bernard Davis Liberal 8.7%
Placentia-St. Mary's Sherry Gambin-Walsh Liberal 8.9%
Lake Melville Perry Trimper Liberal 9.9%
St. George's-Humber Scott Reid Liberal 9.9%
Corner Brook Gerry Byrne Liberal 15.1%
Gander John Haggie Liberal 17.2%
Mount Pearl-Southlands Paul Lane Independent 19.1%
St. John's Centre Jim Dinn New Democrat 19.4%
St. John's East-Quidi Vidi Alison Coffin New Democrat 20.4%
Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde Steve Crocker Liberal 26.3%
Humber-Gros Morne Dwight Ball Liberal 39.8%
Humber-Bay of Islands Eddie Joyce Independent 56.6%
Burgeo-La Poile Andrew Parsons Liberal 67.0%

Opposition

[edit]
Seat MHA Party Margin in 2019 Result
Virginia Waters-Pleasantville Bernard Davis Liberal 24.0% Liberal hold
Corner Brook Gerry Byrne Liberal 34.1% Liberal hold
Waterford Valley Tom Osborne Liberal 37.2% Liberal hold

Candidates by district

[edit]
  • Names in boldface type represent party leaders.
  • † represents that the incumbent is not running again.
  • § represents that the incumbent was defeated for nomination.
  • ₰ represents that the incumbent ran in another district and lost the nomination
  • ‡ represents that the incumbent is running in a different district.

St. John's

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Other
Mount Scio
46.80% turnout 		Sarah Stoodley[56]
2,011
46.60% 		Damian Follett[57][58]
1,152
26.70% 		Sheilagh O'Leary[59][60]
1,074
24.89% 		Andrea Newbury (NL Alliance)[61]
60
1.39%
Larry Borne (Independent)[62]
18
0.42% 		Sarah Stoodley
St. John's Centre
38.92% turnout 		Gemma Hickey[63][64]
1,277
33.60% 		Robyn LeGrow[65]
533
14.02% 		Jim Dinn[66]
1,991
52.38% 		Jim Dinn
St. John's East-Quidi Vidi
50.76% turnout 		John Abbott[67][68]
2,447
42.95% 		Vaughn Hammond[37]
856
15.03% 		Alison Coffin[66]
2,394
42.02% 		Alison Coffin
St. John's West
49.14% turnout 		Siobhan Coady[69]
2,679
57.82% 		Kristina Ennis[58]
1,484
32.03% 		Brenda Walsh[70]
470
10.14% 		Siobhan Coady
Virginia Waters-Pleasantville
56.83% turnout 		Bernard Davis[69]
3,481
59.61% 		Victor Lawlor[71]
1,224
20.96% 		Jenn Deon[70]
1,135
19.43% 		Bernard Davis
Waterford Valley
52.78% turnout 		Tom Osborne[72]
3,592
66.79% 		Michael Holden[73]
1,348
25.07% 		Peter Young[74]
438
8.14% 		Tom Osborne
Windsor Lake
56.68% turnout 		John Hogan[75]
2,688
50.58% 		Ches Crosbie[76]
2,154
40.53% 		Tomás Shea[77]
472
8.88% 		Ches Crosbie

St. John's suburbs

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Alliance Other
Cape St. Francis
58.12% turnout 		Peter Whittle[78]
1,571
28.25% 		Joedy Wall[79]
3,476
62.51% 		Phyllis Fleming[74]
449
8.07% 		Ryan Lane[80]
65
1.17% 		Kevin Parsons†
Conception Bay East – Bell Island
50.12% turnout 		Lynn Hammond[78]
1,893
33.08% 		David Brazil[81]
3,215
56.18% 		Gavin Will[82]
614
10.73% 		David Brazil
Conception Bay South
55.54% turnout 		Shelley Moores[83]
1,941
36.18% 		Barry Petten[84]
3,063
57.09% 		Andrew Lovell[74]
225
4.19% 		Warrick Butler[85]
136
2.53% 		Barry Petten
Mount Pearl North
49.64% turnout 		Lucy Stoyles[78]
2,428
46.69% 		Jim Lester[86]
2,319
44.60% 		Jennifer McCreath[74]
337
6.48% 		William Neville[87]
116
2.23% 		Jim Lester
Mount Pearl-Southlands
54.61% turnout 		Karla Hayward[78]
1,386
23.98% 		Cindy Grant[74]
797
13.79% 		Cara Winsor-Hehir[74]
152
2.63% 		Paul Lane (Independent)[88]
3,445
59.60% 		Paul Lane
Topsail-Paradise
55.60% turnout 		Ken Carter[89]
2,525
42.08% 		Paul Dinn[90]
3,036
50.59% 		Kathleen Burt[91]
440
7.33% 		Paul Dinn

Avalon Peninsula

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Other
Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde
51.55% turnout 		Steve Crocker[69]
3,892
67.53% 		Frank Butt[92]
1,596
27.69% 		Matthew Smith[74]
261
4.53% 		Edward Thomas Cole (Independent)[62]
14
0.24% 		Steve Crocker
Ferryland
58.69% turnout 		Cheryl O’Brien[78]
2,696
44.13% 		Loyola O'Driscoll[93]
3,197
52.33% 		Paul Murphy[74]
216
3.54% 		Loyola O'Driscoll
Harbour Grace-Port de Grave
44.35% turnout 		Pam Parsons[94]
3,404
71.09% 		Roy Sparkes[58]
1,169
24.42% 		Dion Hynes[74]
215
4.79% 		Pam Parsons
Harbour Main
53.70% turnout 		George Murphy[78]
2,430
41.62% 		Helen Conway-Ottenheimer[95]
3,180
54.47% 		Anthony Chadwick[74]
228
3.91% 		Helen Conway-Ottenheimer
Placentia-St. Mary's
54.29% turnout 		Sherry Gambin-Walsh[96]
2,552
50.85% 		Calvin Manning[97]
2,336
46.54% 		Clem Whittle (NL Alliance)[98]
131
2.61% 		Sherry Gambin-Walsh

Eastern Newfoundland

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Other
Bonavista
40.48% turnout 		Christine Gill[38]
944
25.56% 		Craig Pardy[84]
2,117
57.32% 		Timothy Whey[74]
70
1.90% 		Neil King (Independent)[99]
562
15.22% 		Craig Pardy
Burin-Grand Bank
50.54% turnout 		Paul Pike[100]
2,666
59.59% 		Fred Dodge[101]
1,639
36.63% 		Alvin Banfield[74]
169
4.47% 		Carol Anne Haley†
Placentia West-Bellevue
56.84% turnout 		Sam Synard[102]
2,304
42.21% 		Jeff Dwyer[86]
2,965
54.32% 		Carolyn Davis[74]
189
3.46% 		Jeff Dwyer
Terra Nova
53.25% turnout 		Steve Denty[103][102]
2,323
43.56% 		Lloyd Parrott[104]
2,837
53.20% 		Anne Marie Anonsen[105]
173
3.24% 		Lloyd Parrott

Central Newfoundland

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP
Baie Verte-Green Bay
42.11% turnout 		Brian Warr[102]
2,148
52.06% 		Lin Paddock[74]
1,987
47.94% 		Brian Warr
Exploits
51.50% turnout 		Rodney Mercer[106]
2,178
45.20% 		Pleaman Forsey[107]
2,641
54.80% 		Pleaman Forsey
Fogo Island-Cape Freels
40.74% turnout 		Derrick Bragg[108]
2,511
61.05% 		Sue Collins[71]
1,507
36.64% 		Jim Gill[74]
95
2.31% 		Derrick Bragg
Fortune Bay-Cape La Hune
50.99% turnout 		Elvis Loveless[109]
1,868
68.22% 		Charlene Walsh[74]
781
28.52% 		Noel Joe[82]
89
3.25% 		Elvis Loveless
Gander
47.85% turnout 		John Haggie[110]
3,358
70.93% 		Jamie Harnum[37]
1,228
25.94% 		Dawn Lahey[74]
148
3.13% 		John Haggie
Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans
47.75% turnout 		Deborah Ball[89]
1,776
38.47% 		Chris Tibbs[74]
2,735
59.24% 		Holly Pike[74]
106
2.30% 		Chris Tibbs
Lewisporte-Twillingate
41.06% turnout 		Derek Bennett[94]
2,593
62.44% 		Rhonda Simms[111]
1,560
37.56% 		Derek Bennett

Western Newfoundland

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Other
Burgeo-La Poile
33.54% turnout 		Andrew Parsons[69]
1,992
87.10% 		Ethan Wheeler-Park[112]
235
10.28% 		Judy Vanta[74]
60
2.62% 		Andrew Parsons
Corner Brook
38.44% turnout 		Gerry Byrne[113]
2,593
66.54% 		Tom Stewart[114]
1,304
33.46% 		[c][115] Gerry Byrne
Humber-Gros Morne
44.83% turnout 		Andrew Furey[116]
2,838
63.96% 		Jim Goudie[117]
1,492
33.63% 		Sheina Lerman[74]
107
2.41% 		[d][39] Andrew Furey
Humber-Bay of Islands
41.00% turnout 		Stelman Flynn[89]
741
17.76% 		Robert Marche[118]
444
10.64% 		Eddie Joyce (Independent)[74]
2,988
71.60% 		Eddie Joyce
St. Barbe-L'Anse aux Meadows
51.30% turnout 		Krista Howell[89]
2,365
51.17% 		Sheila Fitzgerald[37]
2,159
46.47% 		John McClusky[74]
38
0.82% 		Ford Mitchelmore (Independent)[62]
70
1.51% 		Chris Mitchelmore†
St. George's-Humber
43.70% turnout 		Scott Reid[94]
2,420
58.54% 		Gary Bishop[119]
1,474
35.66% 		Melissa Samms[120]
191
4.62% 		Shane Snook (NL Alliance)[121]
49
1.19% 		Scott Reid
Stephenville-Port au Port
43.41% turnout 		Kevin Aylward[122]
1,574
37.85% 		Tony Wakeham[90]
2,481
59.67% 		Jamie Ruby[74]
103
2.48% 		Tony Wakeham

Labrador

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Other
Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair
35.28% turnout 		Lisa Dempster[69]
973
95.21% 		Joshua Nolan[118]
49
4.79% 		Lisa Dempster
Labrador West
43.23% turnout 		Wayne Button[123]
780
28.72% 		Nick McGrath[124]
577
21.24% 		Jordan Brown[66]
1,359
50.04% 		Jordan Brown
Lake Melville
36.39% turnout 		Michelle Baikie[125]
306
13.35% 		Shannon Tobin[126]
547
23.87% 		Amy Norman[127]
279
12.17% 		Perry Trimper (Independent)[17][e]
1,143
49.83%
Andrew Abbass (Independent)[128]
17
0.74% 		Perry Trimper
Torngat Mountains
22.46% turnout 		Devon Ryan[129]
16
3.38% 		Lela Evans[130]
420
88.79% 		Patricia Johnson-Castle[74]
37
7.82% 		Lela Evans

Opinion polls

[edit]
Voting Intentions in Newfoundland and Labrador since the 2019 election

Polling firm Final day of polling Link Liberal PC NDP NLA
Election 2021 March 25, 2021 – 48.2 38.8 8.0 0.3
Forum Research March 24, 2021 [131] 47.6 33.7 13.8 –
Mainstreet Research February 23, 2021 [132] 53 32 9 2
Mainstreet Research February 10, 2021 [133] 54 26 17 2
Mainstreet Research January 29, 2021 [134] 62 26 9 1
MQO Research December 23, 2020 [135] 65 22 11 0
Narrative Research December 3, 2020 [136] 58 26 13 –
Angus Reid November 30, 2020 [137] 50 39 8 –
MQO Research September 2, 2020 [138] 53 33 11 1
Narrative Research August 18, 2020 [139] 61 21 15 –
Angus Reid June 8, 2020 [140] 48 35 12 –
Narrative Research May 26, 2020 [141] 60 26 13 –
Narrative Research February 23, 2020 [142] 37 35 26 –
Narrative Research November 22, 2019 [143] 42 33 24 –
Narrative Research August 25, 2019 [144] 42 32 24 –
MQO Research July 31, 2019 [145] 50 34 13 1
Election 2019 May 16, 2019 – 43.9 42.6 6.3 2.4

Results

[edit]

The Liberals regained their parliamentary majority.[146] The PC and NDP leaders lost their seats in the legislature.[147] On March 31, 2021, Ches Crosbie resigned as PC leader.[148][149]

NDP leader Coffin filed for a recount in her district.[150] On May 12, 2021, Supreme Court Justice Donald Burrage rejected Coffin's bid for a recount, arguing that there was not sufficient evidence.[151] On October 16, 2021, Coffin lost a leadership review by party members.[152] She later chose to resign on October 19 and was replaced by MHA Jim Dinn as interim leader.[153]

Defeated PC candidates Jim Lester and Sheila Fitzgerald also filed legal challenges to the results in their respective districts.

The election was noteworthy in the election of 3 independent candidates, the most of any past election.

Incumbent MHAs who were defeated

[edit]
Party Name Constituency Year elected Seat held by party since Defeated by Party
NDP Alison Coffin St. John's East-Quidi Vidi 2019 2015 (1990) John Abbott Liberal
PC Ches Crosbie Windsor Lake 2018 2018 John Hogan Liberal
PC Jim Lester Mount Pearl North 2017 2007 Lucy Stoyles Liberal

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ This is the finalized date for mail-in ballots to be received by Elections NL. The original election date, as decreed by the writ, was February 13, 2021.
  2. ^ over his comments regarding Innu/Inuit in his district
  3. ^ Graham Downey-Sutton was originally the New Democratic candidate, but later withdrew from the race due to difficulties with Coffin's non-committal stance as to whether the Corner Brook Acute Care Hospital should receive a PET scanner.
  4. ^ Graydon Pelley was originally the NL Alliance candidate, but later withdrew following an emergency surgery that left him in an extended recovery period.
  5. ^ Perry Trimper was originally the Liberal candidate, but later withdrew following his comments about homeless Innu/Inuit in his district. He later ran as an independent.

References

[edit]
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  122. ^ Peter Cowan [@PeterCBC] (January 15, 2021). "Here's a blast from the past, Kevin Aylward is running in Stephenville Port au Port for the Liberals. He was an MHA from 1985–2003. He was Liberal leader for the 2011 election but couldn't win his own seat" (Tweet). Retrieved January 15, 2021 – via Twitter.
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  128. ^ Andrew Abbass [@ParadigmSlip] (January 15, 2021). "In the process of completing the nomination papers for the Lake Melville district. I will be running as an Independent" (Tweet). Retrieved January 15, 2021 – via Twitter.
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