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Estimated (to 2011) and projected (from 2012) populations of the world and its inhabited continents. The shaded regions correspond to range of projections by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs.[1]
Estimated (to 2011) and projected (from 2012) populations of the world and its inhabited continents. The shaded regions correspond to range of projections by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs.[1]

World population milestones went unnoticed until the 20th century, since there was no reliable data on global population dynamics.[2]

The population of the world reached

  • one billion in 1804
  • two billion in 1927
  • three billion in 1960
  • four billion in 1974
  • five billion in 1987
  • six billion in 1999
  • seven billion in 2011
  • eight billion in 2022

[3][4]

Old estimates put the global population at 9 billion by 2037–2046, 14 years after 8 billion, and 10 billion by 2054–2071, 17 years after 9 billion; however these milestones are likely to be reached far sooner.[5][needs update] Projected figures vary depending on underlying statistical assumptions and which variables are manipulated in projection calculations, especially the fertility variable. Long-range predictions to 2150 range from a population decline to 3.2 billion in the 'low scenario', to 'high scenarios' of 24.8 billion. One scenario predicts a massive increase to 256 billion by 2150, assuming fertility remains at 1995 levels.[6]

World population milestones in billions (UN estimates)[7]
Population 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Year 1804 1927 1960 1974 1987 1999 2011 2022 2037 2054
Years elapsed - 123 33 14 13 12 12 11 15 17
World population milestones in billions (USCB estimates)
Population 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Year 1804 1927 1960 1974 1987 1999 2011 2022 2046 2071
Years elapsed - 123 33 14 13 12 12 11 23 25

Global billionth milestones

[edit]

There is no estimation for the exact day or month the world's population surpassed the one and two billion marks. The days of three and four billion were not officially noted, but the International Database of the United States Census Bureau places them in July 1960 and April 1974 respectively.[citation needed]

Five billion

[edit]

The Day of Five Agent Billion, 11 July 1987, was designated by the United Nations Population Fund as the approximate day on which the world population reached five billion. Matej Gašpar from Zagreb, Croatia (then SR Croatia, SFR Yugoslavia), was chosen as the symbolic 5-billionth person alive on Earth. The honor went to Zagreb because the 1987 Summer Universiade was taking place in the city at the time.[8][9]

Six billion

[edit]
Main article: Day of Six Billion

The United Nations Population Fund designated 12 October 1999 as the approximate day on which the world population reached six billion.[10] It was officially designated "The Day of Six Billion". Demographers do not universally accept this date as being exact. In fact, there has been subsequent research which places the day of six billion nearer to 18 June or 19 June 1999.[11] The International Programs division of the United States Census Bureau estimated that the world population reached six billion on 21 April 1999.[citation needed] United Nations Population Fund spokesman Omar Gharzeddine disputed the date of the Day of Six Billion by stating, "The U.N. marked the '6 billionth' [person] in 1999, and then a couple of years later the Population Division itself reassessed its calculations and said, actually, no, it was in 1998."[12]

On the Day of Six Billion, UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan was in Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina to monitor the Dayton Agreement.[13] At midnight he went to Koševo Hospital, where Adnan Mević, born at 12:01 am, was named the symbolic 6 billionth concurrently alive person on Earth.[10][13][14] He is the first son of Fatima Mević and Jasminko Mević and weighed 3.5 kg.[14]

Seven billion

[edit]
Main article: Day of Seven Billion

The "Day of Seven Billion" was targeted by the United States Census Bureau to be in March 2012,[15] while the Population Division of the United Nations suggested 31 October 2011,[16] and the latter date was officially designated by the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) as the approximate day on which the world's population reached seven billion people.[17] United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon spoke at the United Nations building in New York City on this milestone in the size of world population, and promoted the website 7 Billion Actions.[18][19] Ban Ki-moon did not choose a symbolic seven billionth baby, but several groups proposed candidates: Nargis Kumar of Uttar Pradesh, India,[20] Danica May Camacho of Manila, Philippines[21] and Wattalage Muthumai of Colombo, Sri Lanka.[22]

Eight billion

[edit]
Main article: Day of Eight Billion

The "Day of Eight Billion" was targeted by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division to be on 15 November 2022.[23] Among babies born that day who were symbolically named as the world's eight billionth by various government agencies were: Vinice Mabansag (Tondo, Manila, Philippines);[24][25] Damián Ferrera (Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic);[24] and Arpi Kocharyan (Tsovinar, Armenia).[26]

Future

[edit]

The United Nations Population Fund predicts that the global population will reach 9 billion in 2037 and 10 billion in 2058.[27]

National and regional population

[edit]
See also: List of population milestones by country

National or subnational governments have sometimes made similar designations based on the date estimated by a demographic agency. Some national milestones relate to citizens rather than residents. Commentators in countries with high immigration have pointed out that a population milestone may be reached by an immigrant rather than natural increase.[28][29]

Country/nationality Population Born (date) Name Notes Foot-
notes
Munich 1m 15 December 1957 Thomas Seehaus Awarded by Mayor Thomas Wimmer with a 1,000 mark savings account. [30]
United States 200m 20 November 1967 Robert Ken Woo Jr Named by Life magazine, not the government. None named for 300m. [31][32]
Australia 15m 29 January 1982 Sally Hodgson Awarded by Minister for Immigration and Ethnic Affairs Ian Macphee [33]
Indonesia 200m 4 February 1997 Wahyu Nusantara Aji Complains that government promises of support were not kept. But, this was because of the difference of federal/central government policy during New Order and Reformasi (Otonomi Daerah) [34]

[35]

India 1b 11 May 2000 Aastha Arora speculation re Independence Day 1999 till Registrar demurred. Complains that government promises of support were not kept. [36][37][38]
Kyrgyzstan 5m 27 August 2002 Tynchtykbek Kuramayev [39]
Australia 21m 29 June 2007 Mia Ruby Templeton Awarded by Treasurer Peter Costello [40]
Taiwan 23m 17 July 2008 Wu Cheng-en certificate from Premier of the Republic of China Liu Chao-shiuan [41]
Auckland Region, New Zealand 1.65m June 2022 Ramonah Patience Toomalatai Welcomed by Len Brown the Mayor of Auckland [42]
Kazakhstan 17m 17 May 2013 Altynbek Eskaraev Алтынбек Ескараев [43][44]
Vietnam 90m 1 November 2013 Nguyễn Thị Thùy Dung randomly chosen by the General Office of Population and Family Planning from among two dozen babies born that day [45][46]
Philippines 100m 27 July 2014 Chonalyn Sentino Awarded free Philhealth lifetime coverage by the government and access to healthcare by the DOH [47]
Wake County, North Carolina 1m 22 August 2014 Anderson Grace Hughes Offered full scholarship by Wake Technical Community College [48]
Mongolia 3m 24 January 2015 Mongoljin Khatanbold [49][50]
Silicon Valley 3m 5 May 2015 Max Danner [51]
Utah 3m 24 October 2015 Sadie Christensen By governor Gary Herbert [52]
Kyrgyzstan 6m 27 November 2015 Aylin Kojosheva [53][54]
Egypt 100m 11 February 2020 Yasmine Rabie [55]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "World Population Prospects, the 2010 Revision". Archived from the original on 1 July 2014. Retrieved 7 November 2011.
  2. ^ Vaclav Smil, "Global Population: Milestones, Hopes, and Concerns" Archived 3 February 2023 at the Wayback Machine, Medicine & Global Survival, October 1998; Vol. 5, No. 2, 105–108
  3. ^ "The babies born as world population hits 8bn". BBC. 16 November 2022. Archived from the original on 3 February 2023. Retrieved 17 November 2022.
  4. ^ World Population 3000 (Top 25 Countries by Population 1000 A.D - 3000 A.D), archived from the original on 3 February 2023, retrieved 31 January 2023
  5. ^ *"Ch. 5: Population Size and Composition". World Population Prospects, the 2000 Revision (PDF). Vol. III. United Nations Population Division. p. 171. Retrieved 3 July 2010.
  6. ^ "Key Findings". Long-Range Population Projections (PDF). New York: United Nations: Department of Economic and Social Affairs. 2003. Archived from the original (PDF) on 16 October 2018. Retrieved 16 October 2018. {{cite book}}: |work= ignored (help)
  7. ^ "United Nations Population Division World Population Prospects: The 2022 Revision" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on 19 July 2022. Retrieved 14 August 2022.
  8. ^ Ankica Barbir-Mladinović (19 July 2011). "Petomilijarditi "Zemljanin": Ne slušati stereotipe" (in Croatian). Radio Free Europe. Archived from the original on 19 September 2011. Retrieved 1 October 2011.
  9. ^ "And Baby Makes Five billion: U.N. Hails a Yugoslav Infant". The New York Times. 12 July 1987. Archived from the original on 3 February 2023. Retrieved 1 October 2011.
  10. ^ a b Edith M. Lederer (12 October 1999). "World Population Hits 6 billion". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on 10 August 2017. Retrieved 12 October 2010.
  11. ^ "Population Clock". Archived from the original on 8 February 2010. Retrieved 7 November 2011.
  12. ^ Alan Boyle, Science Editor, NBC News (28 October 2011). "Cosmic Log – 7 billion people? How do they know?". MSNBC. Archived from the original on 30 October 2011. Retrieved 31 October 2013. {{cite web}}: |author= has generic name (help)CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  13. ^ a b "The Secretary-General, in two-day stopover in Sarajevo, confers with local leaders, United Nations Representative". United Nations. 12 October 1999. pp. SG/T/2204. Archived from the original on 17 April 2012. Retrieved 2 May 2012.
  14. ^ a b "World UN chief welcomes six billionth baby". Archived from the original on 28 October 2011. Retrieved 7 November 2011.
  15. ^ "U.S. Census Bureau – World POPClock Projection". Archived from the original on 18 November 2011. Retrieved 27 October 2011.
  16. ^ World Population Prospects, the 2008 Revision Frequently Asked Questions Archived 24 February 2015 at the Wayback Machine Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, updated 10 November 2010. Retrieved 26 January 2011.
  17. ^ World Population Prospects, the 2008 Revision Frequently Asked Questions Archived 24 February 2015 at the Wayback Machine Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat updated 10 November 2010. Retrieved 26 January 2011
  18. ^ "Day of 7 Billion". UNFPA. Archived from the original on 2 November 2013. Retrieved 16 October 2011.
  19. ^ "About 7 Billion Actions". 7 Billion Actions. Archived from the original on 24 October 2011. Retrieved 16 October 2011.
  20. ^ "India welcomes 'world's seven billionth baby'". BBC News. 31 October 2011. Archived from the original on 19 April 2022. Retrieved 31 October 2011.
  21. ^ Coleman, Jasmine (31 October 2011). "World's 'seven billionth baby' is born". The Guardian. London. Archived from the original on 12 November 2020. Retrieved 31 October 2011.
  22. ^ "Seven billionth child born in SL | Caption Story". Dailymirror.lk. 31 October 2011. Archived from the original on 1 May 2022. Retrieved 5 October 2012.
  23. ^ United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2022). World Population Prospects 2022: Summary of Results. United Nations Publication. pp. i. ISBN 9789210014380.
  24. ^ a b De Pacina, Michelle. "Baby girl born in Manila is symbolic 8 billionth person in the world". news.yahoo.com. Archived from the original on 20 November 2022. Retrieved 20 November 2022.
  25. ^ Manahan, Job (16 November 2022). "8-billionth baby born in PH? Popcom clarifies it's just a 'symbolic' gesture". ABS-CBN News. Retrieved 20 November 2022.
  26. ^ Khlghatyan, Khosrov. "Baby girl born in Armenia's Martuni symbolizes 8 billionth person in the world". armenpress.am. Archived from the original on 3 February 2023. Retrieved 20 November 2022.
  27. ^ "8 Billion: A World of Infinite Possibilities". United Nations Population Fund. Retrieved 21 November 2024.
  28. ^ "Australia's population hits 24 million people, ABS clock shows". ABC Online. Australian Broadcasting Corporation. 16 February 2016. Archived from the original on 3 February 2023. Retrieved 6 April 2016. The ABS said it was unclear whether the 24 millionth Australian was a newborn or a migrant
  29. ^ "Baby Reed is one in 23 million as Australia's population hits a milestone". The Daily Telegraph. Sydney, Australia. Retrieved 6 April 2016. He said the 23rd millionth person could be a newborn but could equally be a person coming to work in Australia or a returning backpacker who had been away for more than a year.
  30. ^ "Das Millionerl". Der Tagesspiegel (in German). Retrieved 14 June 2017.
  31. ^ "Time to forget Robert Woo". Chicago Tribune. 27 September 2006. Archived from the original on 3 February 2023. Retrieved 22 September 2017.
  32. ^ "US population reaches 300 million". BBC Online. Archived from the original on 20 April 2016. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  33. ^ "28 Apr 1982 - Meet Sally Hodgson, millionth Australian - Trove". Archived from the original on 24 April 2016. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  34. ^ "Wahyu Nusantara Aji: The forgotten 200 millionth citizen". The Jakarta Post. Archived from the original on 23 September 2008. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  35. ^ "Beasiswa Terhenti, Manusia ke- 6 Miliar Ingin Temui Pak Harto". Archived from the original on 5 September 2021. Retrieved 5 September 2021.
  36. ^ "Aastha, India's billionth baby". Hindustan Times. Archived from the original on 26 April 2016. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  37. ^ Drèze, Jean; Sen, Amartya (2002). India: Development and Participation. Oxford University Press. p. 189. ISBN 9780199257485. Archived from the original on 3 February 2023. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  38. ^ "Billionth Indian due tomorrow". The Independent. Archived from the original on 22 April 2016. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  39. ^ "13 Yo 5 Millionth Citizen of Kyrgyzstan to Partake in Celebrations in Honor 6 Millionth Citizen - November 11, 2015 - Central Asian News Services - Books and Journals - VLEX 586835174". Archived from the original on 19 April 2016. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  40. ^ "Costello hands 21-millionth baby mantle to Mia". Archived from the original on 19 April 2016. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  41. ^ "Taiwan Premier Liu Chao-shiuan, gives a citizen certificate to the... Pictures". Getty Images. Archived from the original on 3 February 2023. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  42. ^ "Auckland Welcomes Its 1.5 Millionth Citizen". The Devonport Speculator. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  43. ^ Zagidullin, Rashit; Zagidullina, Aliya. "Shifting Paradigms: Language Learning in Kazakhstan" (PDF). The European Conference on Language Learning 2013. Official Conference Proceedings 2013. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  44. ^ "17-миллионному казахстанцу подарили скакуна - Новости Общества - Новости Mail.Ru". Mail.Ru (in Russian). Archived from the original on 19 April 2016. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  45. ^ "Population hits 90 mln but can Vietnam take care of its children?". Thanh Nien Daily. Archived from the original on 17 April 2016. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  46. ^ "Nguyễn Thị Thùy Dung - công dân thứ 90 triệu của Việt Nam". Thanh Niên (in Vietnamese). November 2013. Archived from the original on 20 April 2016. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  47. ^ "Les Philippines comptent désormais cent millions d'habitants - Asie-Pacifique - RFI". Archived from the original on 23 April 2016. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  48. ^ Hoyle, Amanda (22 August 2014). "Full scholarship awarded to Wake County baby named 1 millionth resident". Triangle Business Journal. American City Business Journals. Archived from the original on 31 August 2014. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  49. ^ "MONGOLIA WELCOMED HER 3-MILLIONTH CITIZEN". president.mn. 28 January 2015. Archived from the original on 7 May 2016. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  50. ^ "A NAME "MONGOLJIN" WAS GIVEN TO THE 3-MILLIONTH CITIZEN OF MONGOLIA". PRESIDENT.MN. 28 January 2015. Archived from the original on 7 May 2016. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  51. ^ "Newborn Max Danner is Silicon Valley's three millionth resident". abc7news.com. Archived from the original on 18 April 2016. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  52. ^ "Utah celebrates 3 million residents". The Daily Universe. Brigham Young University. 24 October 2015. Archived from the original on 12 July 2016. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  53. ^ "Kyrgyzstan Goes Bananas for Citizen No. 6 Million". EurasiaNet.org. Archived from the original on 19 April 2016. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  54. ^ "Kyrgyzstan welcomes six millionth citizen: "It's a girl!" - Ferghana Information agency, Moscow". Archived from the original on 20 April 2016. Retrieved 6 April 2016.
  55. ^ Walsh, Declan (11 February 2020). "As Egypt's Population Hits 100 Million, Celebration Is Muted". The New York Times. Archived from the original on 14 February 2020. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
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