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User talk:75.108.94.227/arb chart two

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This is a ROUGH draft. It has not been check with the latest copies of the voter-guides, nor indeed, cross-checked and validated in any fashion. The actual voter-guides (linked below) are your best bet. 75.108.94.227 (talk) 19:58, 23 November 2015 (UTC)[reply]

official voter-guides

[edit]
guide \ candidate: Cal. Cas. Drm. Gam. Gor. Haw. Hul. Kei. Kel. Kev. Kir. Kud. Lfa. Mah. Mar. NEE. Opa. Ric. Thr. Tim. Wil. lastmod
~Prediction by pundits Yes
65.9%
5th 		Yes++
90.9%
2nd 		Yes++
87.2%
3rd 		No
28.6%
13th 		too low[a]
48.0%
9th 		No--
5.3%
19th 		No
29.7%
11th 		Yes
63.6%
6th 		Yes++
83.3%
4th 		No--
13.0%
17th 		No
31.8%
10th 		Yes(~)
52.2%
8th 		No
29.3%
12th 		No--
0.0%
20th 		No--
9.1%
18th 		Yes(~)
59.1%
7th 		Yes++
95.1%
1st 		No
28.6%
14th 		No
28.2%
15th 		Green tickY (out)
71.4%
5th 		No
21.1%
16th 		20151128011825
AGK + Yes ?? Yes No No No No No Yes No Yes meh Yes ?? No No ?? No meh ?? Yes 20151127135737
Begoon + No Yes Yes No No No Yes No Yes No No No No No No meh Yes meh No meh No 20151123212850
Bishzilla + ?? Yes Yes ?? No No No Yes Yes No No No No No No No Yes meh No ?? No 20151123212850
Boing!_said_Zebedee + Yes Yes Yes No Yes No No Yes Yes No-- No Yes meh No No Yes Yes No No Yes No 20151123212850
Carcharoth + Yes(~) Yes Yes No Yes No No(~) Yes Yes No No No(~) Yes No No Yes Yes No No(~) No(~) No(~) 20151127135737
Carrite + No Yes++ Yes++ No-- No No Yes No Yes No-- No-- Yes No No No-- Yes Yes++ No No Yes No 20151123221349
Collect[b] + No No "C" No No Yes++ "C" No No Yes++ Yes++ No noAns No Yes No "C" Yes++ "C" "C" Yes 20151123221349
Ealdgyth + meh Yes++ Yes++ No No No(~) meh meh Yes No No No No No(~) No Yes Yes No No Yes meh 20151123223416
Elonka + Yes ?? Yes Yes Yes No No Yes(~) Yes No(~) Yes Yes Yes No No No Yes No Yes No No 20151123223416
Fuzheado + Yes Yes blank Yes Yes blank blank Yes blank blank Yes blank blank blank blank blank Yes blank blank blank blank 20151127135737
HJ_Mitchell + Yes Yes Yes meh Yes meh No Yes Yes No meh Yes Yes No No No Yes No Yes meh No 20151123232456
Lady_Cath + No ?? Yes No Yes No ?? Yes No Yes Yes No Yes ?? No Yes ?? Yes(?) ?? ?? No 20151128011825
MONGO + Yes Yes Yes No No meh meh No Yes No No Yes No No No No Yes Yes No Yes meh 20151123234347
Peter_Damian + No Yes Yes No No No Yes No Yes No-- No-- No No No Yes Yes Yes No No No Yes 20151124011952
Pldx1 + No No Yes No No meh No No Yes++ No No Yes++ No No No Yes++ No Yes Yes++ Yes++ No 20151124011952
Reaper_Eternal + meh Yes++ Yes++ Yes Yes No No Yes++ Yes No-- No-- Yes++ No No meh No Yes++ No No Yes++ No 20151124011952
RegentsPark + meh Yes Yes meh No meh meh Yes Yes No No Yes No No No Yes Yes meh No Yes meh 20151126120955
SB_Johnny + No Yes No No Yes No No No No No No No No No No No Yes No No No No 20151127135737
SilkTork[c] + Yes Yes++ Yes++ meh Yes(~) No-- No meh Yes No(~) No(~) Yes(~) meh No-- No-- meh Yes++ Yes meh wk.Y No-- 20151126120955
Sjakkalle + Yes Yes No Yes Yes No Yes meh Yes meh meh No Yes No No Yes meh No Yes No meh 20151126120955
Smallbones + Yes Yes No Yes Yes meh Yes Yes Yes Yes meh No No No meh No Yes No No Yes No 20151126120955
The_owner_of_all + Yes?[d] Yes Yes No No No No Yes Yes No No No(~) No No(~) No Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes 20151127135737
Tryptofish + Yes Yes Yes Yes No No No Yes No No Yes Yes No No No Yes Yes No Yes Yes No 20151127113943
Worm_That_Turned + Yes Yes Yes No Yes No No Yes Yes No-- Yes Yes meh No No Yes meh No meh meh No 20151126120955
Yngvadottir + Yes Yes++ Yes++ No No No meh Yes Yes++ No No Yes No No No Yes Yes++ No No st.Y meh 20151127113943

'unofficial'

[edit]
guide \ candidate: Cal. Cas. Drm. Gam. Gor. Haw. Hul. Kei. Kel. Kev. Kir. Kud. Lfa. Mah. Mar. NEE. Opa. Ric. Thr. Tim. Wil. lastmod
Ched[e] + subst:20241113001253
Floquenbeam No Yes Yes No ?? No ?? ?? Yes No No No ?? ?? No ?? Yes ?? ?? ?? No 20151123232456
Gerda_Arendt[f][1] No(~) Yes++ Yes++ No No Yes No(~) meh Yes++ No No(~) No(~) No(~) Yes(~) Yes(~) meh Yes++ Yes No Yes++ Yes(~) 20151123232456
GuerilleroCite error: There are <ref> tags on this page without content in them (see the help page).                                           subst:20241113001253
MurderByDeadcopy[g] No No Yes meh meh Yes Yes meh Yes meh No No meh No Yes No No Yes No No No 20151124004932
Nick No ?? ?? ?? No-- No(~) ?? No(~) Yes No-- No-- Yes++ ?? ?? No-- ?? Yes++ No No Yes++ No 20151124004932
Salvidrim! Yes Yes Yes meh Yes No ?? Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes ?? No No Yes No Yes Yes No No 20151126120955
WereSpielChequers Yes ?? ?? No Yes ?? Yes Yes ?? ?? No Yes No ?? ?? ?? Yes Yes meh ?? ??
AuthorOfThisVoterGuide subst:20241113001253


Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ minimum threshold for winning a seat on WP:ARBCOM is 50% thus the pundits predict it is possible the 9th seat will be vacant.
  2. ^ I've rendered, partly following the lead of Ealdgyth's consolidated chart, Collects "recommends" as Green tickY++ and the "B_passes" are Green tickY, the "C_passes" are uncolored-passing, with the "fails" rendered as Red XN.
  3. ^ The markings for SilkTork are *predictions* of the likelihood of successfully being elected, which is very different from *personal* support/neutral/oppose information that most voter-guides provide; apples and oranges, basically.
  4. ^ As the 10th-place choice, following the logic laid out in the strategy-section of this user's voter-guide, Callanecc would become a weak Green tickY for seat#9.
  5. ^ At the time of this writing, listed as an official voter-guide, but like Guerrillo, does not discuss any specific candidates by name, so moving to the 'unofficial' table for the nonce.
  6. ^ This is an exceedingly rough translation of Gerda's thinking, which necessarily involves a lot of guesswork and reading between the lines; she gives no explicit support-column, and no explicit oppose-column either. Those marked as Green tickY++ were ones where she boldfaced their answers as being supported, the others are mostly spectrum-guesstimates, which are then re-calibrated to vaguely match the available slots.
  7. ^ Sole criterion: Green tickY iff legitimately ever blocked, meh if candidate was at least test-blocked, and Red XN for candidates with clean block-logs.
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