User:SandyGeorgia/ArbVotes2011/Guides
Appearance
Summary of the 2011 ArbCom election guides of the writers who best predicted 2010 success (see User:SandyGeorgia/ArbVotes2010/Guides).
Recommendations
[edit]In the following chart:
- A means the guide writer supports the candidate,
- A means they oppose the candidate.
- A means they stated no view, or were neutral.
If the guide writers with a good record in past elections are right this year, we may have seven arbs, and the eighth slot may be a tossup between Coren, Jclemens, and Worm That Turned, if one of them stays above 50% (none of these guide writers endorsed any of them).
Candidate | Ealdgyth | Nuclear Warfare |
Sandy Georgia |
Wizard man |
Adjusted Supports * |
Actual % Received |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Courcelles | 4 | 79.74% | ||||
Risker | 4 | 75.66% | ||||
SilkTork | 4 | 70.87% | ||||
AGK | 3.5 | 70.81% | ||||
Roger Davies | 3.5 | 72.06% | ||||
Hersfold | 3 | 71.84% | ||||
Kirill Lokshin | 2.5 | 72.51% | ||||
Coren | 1 | 56.01% | ||||
Jclemens | 1 | 60.54% | ||||
Worm That Turned | 1 | 59.03% | ||||
Panyd | .5 | 43.19% | ||||
Eluchil404 | .5 | 29.62% | ||||
Kww | .5 | 38.34% | ||||
DeltaQuad | 0 | 34.04% | ||||
Geni | 0 | 27.91% | ||||
Hot Stop | 0 | 12.47% | ||||
NWA.Rep | 0 | 16.04% | ||||
Number of Supports |
4 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 5.5 avg supports |
- Adjusted to: 1 for Support, .5 for neutral, 0 for Oppose
Accuracy
[edit]In the following chart:
- A means they supported a candidate who was elected or opposed a candidate who was not elected
- A means they opposed a candidate who was elected or supported a candidate who was not elected
- A means they stated no view, or were neutral.
- User:HJ Mitchell/ACE2011 was added to the accuracy chart, as he also pegged it.
Candidate | Ealdgyth | Nuclear Warfare |
Sandy Georgia |
Wizard man |
HJ Mitchell |
Actual % Received |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Courcelles | 79.74% | |||||
Risker | 75.66% | |||||
SilkTork | 70.87% | |||||
AGK | 70.81% | |||||
Roger Davies | 72.06% | |||||
Hersfold | 71.84% | |||||
Kirill Lokshin | 72.51% | |||||
Coren | 56.01% | |||||
Jclemens | 60.54% | |||||
Worm That Turned | 59.03% | |||||
Panyd | 43.19% | |||||
Eluchil404 | 29.62% | |||||
Kww | 38.34% | |||||
DeltaQuad | 34.04% | |||||
Geni | 27.91% | |||||
Hot Stop | 12.47% | |||||
NWA.Rep | 16.04% | |||||
Correct/Wrong/Neutral | 12/0/5 | 11/2/4 | 14/0/3 | 14/1/2 | 13/0/4 |
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