User:SandyGeorgia/ArbVotes2011/Guides
Summary of the 2011 ArbCom election guides of the writers who best predicted 2010 success (see User:SandyGeorgia/ArbVotes2010/Guides).
Recommendations
[edit]In the following chart:
- A
means the guide writer supports the candidate, - A
means they oppose the candidate. - A
means they stated no view, or were neutral.
If the guide writers with a good record in past elections are right this year, we may have seven arbs, and the eighth slot may be a tossup between Coren, Jclemens, and Worm That Turned, if one of them stays above 50% (none of these guide writers endorsed any of them).
| Candidate | Ealdgyth | Nuclear Warfare |
Sandy Georgia |
Wizard man |
Adjusted Supports * |
Actual % Received |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courcelles | 
|
|
|
|
4 | 79.74% |
| Risker |
|
|
|
|
4 | 75.66% |
| SilkTork |
|
|
|
|
4 | 70.87% |
| AGK |
|
|
|
|
3.5 | 70.81% |
| Roger Davies |
|
|
|
|
3.5 | 72.06% |
| Hersfold |
|
|
|
|
3 | 71.84% |
| Kirill Lokshin |
|
|
|
|
2.5 | 72.51% |
| Coren |
|
|
|
|
1 | 56.01% |
| Jclemens |
|
|
|
|
1 | 60.54% |
| Worm That Turned |
|
|
|
|
1 | 59.03% |
| Panyd |
|
|
|
|
.5 | 43.19% |
| Eluchil404 |
|
|
|
|
.5 | 29.62% |
| Kww |
|
|
|
|
.5 | 38.34% |
| DeltaQuad |
|
|
|
|
0 | 34.04% |
| Geni |
|
|
|
|
0 | 27.91% |
| Hot Stop |
|
|
|
|
0 | 12.47% |
| NWA.Rep |
|
|
|
|
0 | 16.04% |
| Number of Supports |
4 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 5.5 avg supports |
- Adjusted to: 1 for Support, .5 for neutral, 0 for Oppose
Accuracy
[edit]In the following chart:
- A means they supported a candidate who was elected or opposed a candidate who was not elected
- A means they opposed a candidate who was elected or supported a candidate who was not elected
- A means they stated no view, or were neutral.
- User:HJ Mitchell/ACE2011 was added to the accuracy chart, as he also pegged it.
| Candidate | Ealdgyth | Nuclear Warfare |
Sandy Georgia |
Wizard man |
HJ Mitchell |
Actual % Received |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courcelles |
|
|
|
|
|
79.74% |
| Risker |
|
|
|
|
|
75.66% |
| SilkTork |
|
|
|
|
|
70.87% |
| AGK |
|
|
|
|
|
70.81% |
| Roger Davies |
|
|
|
|
|
72.06% |
| Hersfold |
|
|
|
|
|
71.84% |
| Kirill Lokshin |
|
|
|
|
|
72.51% |
| Coren |
|
|
|
|
|
56.01% |
| Jclemens |
|
|
|
|
|
60.54% |
| Worm That Turned |
|
|
|
|
|
59.03% |
| Panyd |
|
|
|
|
|
43.19% |
| Eluchil404 |
|
|
|
|
|
29.62% |
| Kww |
|
|
|
|
|
38.34% |
| DeltaQuad |
|
|
|
|
|
34.04% |
| Geni |
|
|
|
|
|
27.91% |
| Hot Stop |
|
|
|
|
|
12.47% |
| NWA.Rep |
|
|
|
|
|
16.04% |
| Correct/Wrong/Neutral | 12/0/5 | 11/2/4 | 14/0/3 | 14/1/2 | 13/0/4 |
 |
|