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User:SandyGeorgia/ArbVotes2010/Guides

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Guide writer's views

[edit]

My (SandyGeorgia's) summary of the most helpful ArbCom election guides.

In the following chart:

  • A checkY means the guide writer supports the candidate,
  • A ☒N means they oppose the candidate.
  • A grey dot means they stated no view, or were neutral.

So this table is a guide to the guidewriter's views

Candidate Ealdgyth . . Lar . . MastCell Ncm
vocalist
Nuclear
Warfare
Sandy
Georgia
Short
Brigade
Harvester
Boris
Wizard
man
Number of
Supports
Actual %
Received
Casliber checkY ☒N checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 6 78.73%
Chase me ladies, I'm the Cavalry ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N checkY 1 60.61%
David Fuchs checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 7 62.88%
Elen of the Roads checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY ☒N 6 72.57%
FT2 ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N ☒N 1 42.13%
Georgewilliamherbert ☒N ☒N checkY checkY ☒N checkY 3 44.26%
GiacomoReturned checkY checkY checkY checkY ☒N checkY checkY 6 40.77%
Harej ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N ☒N checkY 2 44.62%
Iridescent checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 8 74.04%
Jclemens checkY ☒N ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N 2 56.71%
John Vandenberg ☒N ☒N ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N ☒N 1 57.73%
Newyorkbrad checkY ☒N checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 7 89.01%
Off2riorob ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N 0 16.87%
PhilKnight checkY ☒N checkY checkY checkY ☒N checkY 5 60.38%
Sandstein ☒N ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N 1 51.30%
Shell Kinney ☒N checkY ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N ☒N 2 56.70%
SirFozzie checkY checkY checkY checkY ☒N checkY 5 78.45%
Stephen Bain ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N 0 45.54%
Xeno ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N 1 70.64%
Number of
Supports
8 8 10 6 10 8 5 9 Avg 8
candidates
supported
N/A

Guide writer's outcomes, neutral penalized

[edit]

Next, an analysis by Lar.

In the following chart/analysis:

  • A checkY means that the guide writer supported a candidate who won, or opposed a candidate who lost
  • A ☒N means that the guide writer supported a candidate who lost, or opposed a candidate who won.
  • A ☒N is also given if the guide writer either had no opinion or was neutral

In THIS analysis, overall predictive capability is what is being measured, and hanging back is negative.


Candidate Ealdgyth . . Lar . . MastCell Ncm
vocalist
Nuclear
Warfare
Sandy
Georgia
Short
Brigade
Harvester
Boris
Wizard
man
Number
"correct"
by cand
Actual %
Received
Casliber checkY ☒N checkY ☒N checkY checkY checkY checkY 6 78.73%
Chase me ladies, I'm the Cavalry ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N checkY 1 60.61%
David Fuchs checkY checkY checkY ☒N checkY checkY checkY checkY 7 62.88%
Elen of the Roads checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY ☒N ☒N 6 72.57%
FT2 checkY checkY checkY checkY ☒N checkY checkY checkY 7 42.13%
Georgewilliamherbert checkY checkY ☒N ☒N ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N 3 44.26%
GiacomoReturned ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N ☒N 1 40.77%
Harej checkY ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N checkY checkY ☒N 4 44.62%
Iridescent checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 8 74.04%
Jclemens ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N 2 56.71%
John Vandenberg ☒N ☒N ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N 1 57.73%
Newyorkbrad checkY ☒N checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 7 89.01%
Off2riorob checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 8 16.87%
PhilKnight checkY ☒N checkY checkY checkY ☒N ☒N checkY 5 60.38%
Sandstein checkY checkY ☒N checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 7 51.30%
Shell Kinney ☒N ☒N checkY ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N ☒N 2 56.70%
SirFozzie checkY checkY ☒N ☒N checkY checkY ☒N checkY 5 78.45%
Stephen Bain ☒N checkY checkY ☒N checkY checkY checkY checkY 6 45.54%
Xeno ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N 1 70.64%
Number
"Correct"
by writer
12 11 11 8 12 13 9 11 Avg 10.75
cand (by wr)
correct
N/A

Guide writers outcomes, neutral discarded

[edit]

Finally, an analysis by Ncmvocalist.

In this analysis/chart

  • A checkY means that the guide writer supported a candidate who won, or opposed a candidate who lost
  • A ☒N means that the guide writer supported a candidate who lost, or opposed a candidate who won.

HOWEVER, in this analysis, there is no penalty for hanging back or being neutral (denoted with a gray dot), and the calculations in this case only measure accuracy when an opinion was given.

Candidate Ealdgyth . . Lar . . MastCell Ncm
vocalist
Nuclear
Warfare
Sandy
Georgia
Short
Brigade
Harvester
Boris
Wizard
man
Number
"correct"
by cand
Actual %
Received
Casliber checkY ☒N checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 6/7 78.73%
Chase me ladies, I'm the Cavalry ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N checkY 1/6 60.61%
David Fuchs checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 7/7 62.88%
Elen of the Roads checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY ☒N 6/7 72.57%
FT2 checkY checkY checkY checkY ☒N checkY checkY checkY 7/8 42.13%
Georgewilliamherbert checkY checkY ☒N ☒N checkY ☒N 3/6 44.26%
GiacomoReturned ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N 1/7 40.77%
Harej checkY ☒N checkY checkY checkY ☒N 4/6 44.62%
Iridescent checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 8/8 74.04%
Jclemens checkY ☒N ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N 2/6 56.71%
John Vandenberg ☒N ☒N ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N ☒N 1/7 57.73%
Newyorkbrad checkY ☒N checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 7/8 89.01%
Off2riorob checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 8/8 16.87%
PhilKnight checkY ☒N checkY checkY checkY ☒N checkY 5/7 60.38%
Sandstein checkY checkY ☒N checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 7/8 51.30%
Shell Kinney ☒N checkY ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N ☒N 2/7 56.70%
SirFozzie checkY checkY checkY checkY ☒N checkY 5/6 78.45%
Stephen Bain checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 6/6 45.54%
Xeno ☒N checkY ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N 1/7 70.64%
Number
"Correct"
by writer
12/16 11/19 11/17 8/11 12/17 13/19 9/17 11/16 Avg 10.75
cand (by wr)
correct
N/A