User:CanadianChemEng/sandbox
This table provides a list of scientific, nation-wide public opinion polls that have been conducted since the 2011 Canadian federal election and leading up to the 42nd Canadian federal election.
Graphical summary
[edit]
Pre-campaign period
[edit]| Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EKOS | March 9, 2015 | 28.2 | 21.9 | 36.3 | 4.6 | 9.0 | ±1.7 pp | 3,241 | IVR | |
| EKOS | March 3, 2015 | 32.2 | 19.9 | 31.3 | 4.6 | 9.0 | ±1.7 pp | 3,241 | IVR | |
| Nanos Research | February 27, 2015 | 33 | 23 | 34 | 5 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | telephone | |
| EKOS | February 24, 2015 | 31.1 | 22.1 | 31.9 | 4.5 | 7.5 | ±1.6 pp | 3,607 | IVR | |
| Ipsos Reid | February 23, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 23 | 34 | 6 | 3 | ±2.2 pp | 2,650 | online |
| EKOS | February 17, 2015 | 32.3 | 19.1 | 31.6 | 5.4 | 8.0 | ±1.7 pp | 3,386 | IVR | |
| Abacus Data | February 16, 2015 | 35 | 21 | 34 | 4 | 4 | ±2.6 pp | 1,460 | online | |
| Forum Research | February 10, 2015 | 32 | 17 | 39 | 4 | 5 | ±3.0 pp | 1,018 | IVR | |
| EKOS | February 10, 2015 | 32.0 | 18.9 | 33.8 | 4.2 | 8.5 | ±1.8 pp | 3,005 | IVR | |
| EKOS | February 3, 2015 | 35.0 | 17.9 | 32.2 | 3.8 | 8.0 | ±1.8 pp | 2,974 | IVR | |
| Leger Marketing | February 2, 2015 | 32 | 20 | 35 | 5 | 6 | ±2.5 pp | 1,507 | online | |
| Forum Research | January 28, 2015 | 35 | 20 | 34 | 5 | 6 | ±3.0 pp | 1,382 | IVR | |
| Abacus Data | January 28, 2015 | 33 | 24 | 32 | 4 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | 1,005 | online | |
| EKOS | January 13, 2015 | 31.0 | 19.1 | 33.1 | 4.4 | 8.9 | ±1.5 pp | 4,412 | IVR | |
| Ipsos Reid | January 11, 2015 | HTML | 35 | 24 | 31 | 6 | 4 | ±2.6 pp | 1,915 | online |
| Forum Research | January 6, 2015 | 33 | 20 | 37 | 4 | 5 | ±2.0 pp | 1,741 | IVR | |
| Abacus Data | December 20, 2014 | 34 | 22 | 33 | 4 | 6 | ±2.6 pp | 1,438 | online | |
| EKOS | December 18, 2014 | 29.8 | 20.2 | 33.8 | 5.3 | 7.7 | ±1.7 pp | 2,183 | IVR | |
| Angus Reid | December 13, 2014 | 34 | 22 | 34 | 4 | 5 | ±1.2 pp | 6,325 | online | |
| EKOS | December 12, 2014 | 30.8 | 20.0 | 31.8 | 5.0 | 7.8 | ±1.7 pp | 3,276 | IVR | |
| Forum Research | December 11, 2014 | 33 | 17 | 41 | 3 | 5 | ±2.0 pp | 1,658 | IVR | |
| Leger Marketing | December 11, 2014 | 32 | 19 | 38 | 4 | 6 | ±2.5 pp | 1,521 | online | |
| Ipsos Reid | December 1, 2014 | HTML | 33 | 24 | 34 | 5 | 4 | ±1.2 pp | 8,268 | online |
| Forum Research | November 20, 2014 | 33 | 18 | 36 | 4 | 8 | ±3.0 pp | 1,500 | IVR | |
| EKOS | November 6, 2014 | 30.2 | 20.5 | 33.5 | 3.5 | 9.7 | ±2.5 pp | 1,561 | IVR | |
| Leger Marketing | November 6, 2014 | 33 | 19 | 36 | 3 | 7 | ±2.5 pp | 1,493 | online | |
| Abacus Data | November 4, 2014 | 30 | 24 | 35 | 4 | 6 | ±2.3 pp | 1,850 | online | |
| EKOS | October 29, 2014 | 27.8 | 21.4 | 33.4 | 5.5 | 8.2 | ±2.4 pp | 1,628 | IVR | |
| Abacus Data | October 17, 2014 | 30 | 25 | 32 | 4 | 8 | ±2.8 pp | 1,248 | online | |
| Leger Marketing | October 16, 2014 | 32 | 21 | 37 | 4 | 5 | ±2.5 pp | 1,524 | online | |
| EKOS | October 15, 2014 | 26.4 | 25.0 | 38.5 | 3.1 | 5.7 | ±2.4 pp | 1,671 | telephone/online | |
| Forum Research | October 5, 2014 | 34 | 19 | 38 | 4 | 4 | ±2.5 pp | 1,504 | IVR | |
| EKOS | September 25, 2014 | 24.9 | 24.4 | 38.3 | 4.0 | 7.7 | ±2.5 pp | 1,549 | telephone/online | |
| Angus Reid | September 19, 2014 | 30 | 22 | 36 | 4 | 6 | ±2.5 pp | 1,502 | online | |
| Abacus Data | September 14, 2014 | 30 | 23 | 38 | 3 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | 1,075 | online | |
| Ipsos Reid | September 12, 2014 | HTML | 31 | 23 | 38 | 5 | 3 | ±2.8 pp | 1,605 | online |
| Forum Research | September 5, 2014 | 34 | 18 | 40 | 4 | 3 | ±3.0 pp | 1,267 | IVR | |
| Forum Research | August 19, 2014 | 32 | 17 | 41 | 5 | 5 | ±2.0 pp | 1,798 | IVR | |
| Abacus Data | August 18, 2014 | 29 | 22 | 35 | 5 | 7 | ±2.5 pp | 1,614 | online | |
| Ipsos Reid | August 17, 2014 | HTML | 31 | 24 | 38 | 3 | 3 | ±3.5 pp | 1,012 | online |
| EKOS | July 23, 2014 | 25.6 | 23.4 | 38.7 | 3.7 | 7.1 | ±1.9 pp | 2,620 | telephone/online | |
| Forum Research | July 18, 2014 | 28 | 18 | 44 | 5 | 3 | ±2.0 pp | 1,624 | IVR | |
| Abacus Data | July 3, 2014 | 31 | 23 | 34 | 5 | 6 | ±2.2 pp | 2,000 | online | |
| Forum Research | June 17, 2014 | 31 | 19 | 39 | 4 | 5 | ±2.0 pp | 1,683 | IVR | |
| Angus Reid | June 12, 2014 | 31 | 27 | 30 | 5 | 6 | ±1.2 pp | 6,264 | online | |
| Angus Reid | May 23, 2014 | 31 | 25 | 30 | 5 | 7 | ±3.4 pp | 1,503 | online | |
| Forum Research | May 23, 2014 | 30 | 23 | 36 | 6 | 5 | ±2.0 pp | 1,694 | IVR | |
| EKOS | May 1, 2014 | 27.6 | 21.4 | 34.9 | 5.3 | 8.2 | ±1.6 pp | 3,677 | IVR | |
| Forum Research | April 29, 2014 | 30 | 20 | 39 | 6 | 4 | ±2.0 pp | 1,572 | IVR | |
| Ipsos Reid | April 22, 2014 | HTML | 33 | 24 | 33 | 6 | 4 | ±3.5 pp | 1,014 | online |
| Angus Reid | April 15, 2014 | 32 | 26 | 30 | 5 | 6 | ±3.4 pp | 1,505 | online | |
| EKOS | April 3, 2014 | 26.7 | 21.8 | 35.8 | 4.8 | 8.1 | ±1.5 pp | 4,134 | IVR | |
| Forum Research | March 28, 2014 | 29 | 22 | 39 | 5 | 3 | ±2.0 pp | 1,764 | IVR | |
| Angus Reid | March 9, 2014 | 28 | 27 | 33 | 5 | 6 | ±1.2 pp | 6,445 | online | |
| Abacus Data | March 5, 2014 | 28 | 23 | 34 | 8 | 6 | ±2.8 pp | 1,249 | online | |
| Forum Research | February 19, 2014 | 29 | 21 | 39 | 6 | 4 | ±2.0 pp | 1,824 | IVR | |
| Ipsos Reid | February 18, 2014 | HTML | 29 | 24 | 37 | 5 | 5 | ±3.5 pp | 1,034 | online |
| Angus Reid | February 16, 2014 | 28 | 26 | 33 | 5 | 6 | ±2.5 pp | 1,514 | online | |
| Nanos Research | February 15, 2014 | 28.7 | 23.2 | 34.0 | 6.4 | 5.3 | ±3.4 pp | 1,000 | telephone | |
| Ipsos Reid | February 4, 2014 | HTML | 29 | 27 | 33 | 7 | 4 | ±3.5 pp | 1,001 | online |
| EKOS | January 27, 2014 | 29.7 | 24.3 | 33.2 | 4.5 | 6.2 | ±2.5 pp | 1,501 | telephone/online | |
| Forum Research | January 25, 2014 | 28 | 24 | 38 | 5 | 4 | ±3.0 pp | 1,228 | IVR | |
| Abacus Data | January 18, 2014 | 28 | 24 | 34 | 5 | 7 | ±2.2 pp | 1,996 | online | |
| Forum Research | January 17, 2014 | 28 | 25 | 37 | 5 | 4 | ±2.0 pp | 1,779 | IVR | |
| EKOS | December 15, 2013 | 26.2 | 22.9 | 32.1 | 6.3 | 9.3 | ±1.7 pp | 3,468 | IVR | |
| Forum Research | December 13, 2013 | 32 | 21 | 38 | 5 | 3 | ±2.0 pp | 1,634 | IVR | |
| Ipsos Reid | November 27, 2013 | HTML | 29 | 26 | 35 | 6 | 3 | ±3.5 pp | 1,014 | online |
| Harris-Decima | November 25, 2013 | 26 | 23 | 36 | 7 | 7 | ±2.2 pp | 2,034 | telephone | |
| Forum Research | November 13, 2013 | 29 | 22 | 38 | 6 | 4 | ±2.0 pp | 1,834 | IVR | |
| EKOS | October 29, 2013 | 26.4 | 24.9 | 37.4 | 5.2 | 5.2 | ±2.6 pp | 1,377 | telephone/online | |
| Ipsos Reid | October 28, 2013 | HTML | 30 | 31 | 31 | 6 | 2 | ±3.4 pp | 1,102 | online |
| Forum Research | October 23, 2013 | 28 | 20 | 40 | 6 | 5 | ±3.0 pp | 1,007 | IVR | |
| Forum Research | October 22, 2013 | 30 | 19 | 39 | 7 | 5 | ±2.0 pp | 1,859 | IVR | |
| Abacus Data | October 22, 2013 | 32 | 23 | 32 | 5 | 7 | ±2.6 pp | 1,459 | online | |
| Ipsos Reid | October 20, 2013 | HTML | 31 | 27 | 33 | 6 | 2 | ±3.4 pp | 1,042 | online |
| Nanos Research | October 18, 2013 | 29 | 23 | 37 | 5 | 5 | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | telephone | |
| EKOS | October 14, 2013 | 26.1 | 24.9 | 36.3 | 5.0 | 6.5 | ±2.5 pp | 1,554 | telephone/online | |
| Ipsos Reid | September 20, 2013 | HTML | 32 | 26 | 31 | 7 | 3 | ±3.5 pp | 1,035 | online |
| Forum Research | September 17, 2013 | 31 | 21 | 36 | 7 | 4 | ±3.0 pp | 1,527 | IVR | |
| Harris-Decima | September 9, 2013 | 29 | 24 | 33 | 6 | 6 | ±2.2 pp | 2,020 | telephone | |
| Abacus Data | September 4, 2013 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 8 | 4 | ±2.5 pp | 1,600 | online | |
| Nanos Research | August 31, 2013 | 30 | 25 | 33 | 5 | 5 | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | telephone | |
| Forum Research | August 23, 2013 | 29 | 22 | 38 | 6 | 4 | ±3.0 pp | 1,189 | IVR | |
| Nanos Research | August 22, 2013 | 29.7 | 24.8 | 35.7 | 3.9 | 5.5 | ±3.3 pp | 1,000 | telephone/online | |
| Nanos Research | August 19, 2013 | 31.9 | 22.8 | 35.3 | 2.5 | 5.9 | ±2.2 pp | 2,000 | telephone | |
| Forum Research | July 23, 2013 | 31 | 22 | 35 | 7 | 4 | ±2.0 pp | 1,782 | IVR | |
| EKOS | July 9, 2013 | 28.4 | 23.4 | 30.4 | 6.3 | 8.5 | ±1.8 pp | 2,900 | IVR | |
| Environics | June 30, 2013 | 28 | 24 | 34 | 6 | 6 | ±2.4 pp | 2,149 | telephone | |
| Ipsos Reid | June 25, 2013 | HTML | 30 | 28 | 33 | 6 | 4 | ±3.3 pp | 1,177 | online |
| Abacus Data | June 23, 2013 | HTML | 27 | 26 | 29 | 6 | 10 | ±3.1 pp | 999 | online |
| Leger Marketing | June 19, 2013 | 29 | 21 | 37 | 4 | 8 | ±2.5 pp | 1,503 | online | |
| Nanos Research | June 19, 2013 | 29.4 | 25.3 | 34.2 | 3.7 | 6.4 | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | telephone/online | |
| Forum Research | June 18, 2013 | 30 | 20 | 38 | 6 | 4 | ±2.0 pp | 1,525 | IVR | |
| Ipsos Reid | May 28, 2013 | HTML | 30 | 27 | 36 | 4 | 4 | ±3.5 pp | 1,009 | online |
| EKOS | May 26, 2013 | HTML | 26.3 | 20.9 | 34.7 | 5.4 | 9.2 | ±1.7 pp | 3,318 | IVR |
| Forum Research | May 22, 2013 | 27 | 20 | 44 | 4 | 3 | ±2.0 pp | 1,779 | IVR | |
| EKOS | May 2, 2013 | 26.2 | 23.9 | 38.6 | 4.2 | 6.3 | ±2.7 pp | 1,309 | telephone/online | |
| Ipsos Reid | April 30, 2013 | HTML | 32 | 25 | 35 | 5 | 3 | ±3.4 pp | 1,059 | online |
| Harris-Decima | April 28, 2013 | 28 | 22 | 35 | 6 | 7 | ±2.2 pp | 2,008 | telephone | |
| Forum Research | April 15, 2013 | 30 | 19 | 43 | 5 | 2 | ±2.0 pp | 1,764 | IVR | |
| EKOS | April 10, 2013 | 28.8 | 23.3 | 29.1 | 6.4 | 9.0 | ±1.5 pp | 4,568 | IVR | |
| Nanos Research | April 8, 2013 | 31.3 | 23.6 | 35.4 | 4.8 | 4.2 | ±3.3 pp | 1,002 | telephone/online | |
| Abacus Data | April 6, 2013 | 33 | 27 | 27 | 5 | 7 | ±2.6 pp | 1,511 | online | |
| Ipsos Reid | April 3, 2013 | HTML | 31 | 27 | 32 | 6 | 4 | ±3.4 pp | 1,053 | online |
| Forum Research | April 2, 2013 | 29 | 25 | 33 | 5 | 6 | ±3.0 pp | 1,310 | IVR | |
| Leger Marketing | March 28, 2013 | 31 | 24 | 30 | 7 | 7 | ±2.5 pp | 1,511 | online | |
| Abacus Data | March 21, 2013 | 32 | 31 | 24 | 5 | 8 | ±3.1 pp | 1,014 | online | |
| Forum Research | March 7, 2013 | 31 | 27 | 30 | 6 | 5 | ±2.0 pp | 1,755 | IVR | |
| Nanos Research | February 24, 2013 | 31.5 | 27.2 | 29.1 | 5.2 | 5.9 | ±3.7 pp | 1,000 | telephone | |
| EKOS | February 10, 2013 | 29.3 | 26.3 | 24.6 | 7.2 | 9.5 | ±1.3 pp | 5,947 | IVR | |
| Forum Research | February 6, 2013 | 32 | 26 | 30 | 6 | 4 | ±3.0 pp | 1,091 | IVR | |
| Abacus Data | February 6, 2013 | 35 | 31 | 21 | 6 | 6 | ±2.3 pp | 1,832 | online | |
| Nanos Research | January 31, 2013 | 34.3 | 27.1 | 27.6 | 4.6 | 4.7 | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | telephone | |
| Forum Research | January 17, 2013 | 36 | 28 | 25 | 7 | 4 | ±2.0 pp | 1,626 | IVR | |
| Angus Reid | January 17, 2013 | 35 | 29 | 22 | 6 | 6 | ±2.2 pp | 2,028 | online | |
| Angus Reid | January 3, 2013 | 35 | 33 | 19 | 6 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | 1,012 | online | |
| Forum Research | December 18, 2012 | 31 | 28 | 27 | 6 | 6 | ±2.0 pp | 1,355 | IVR | |
| Abacus Data | December 8, 2012 | 34 | 32 | 22 | 6 | 6 | ±2.6 pp | 1,505 | online | |
| Leger Marketing | December 6, 2012 | 35 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 9 | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | online | |
| EKOS | December 3, 2012 | 31.9 | 25.8 | 24.4 | 6.7 | 8.4 | ±1.3 pp | 5,433 | IVR | |
| Forum Research | November 19, 2012 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 6 | 4 | ±2.0 pp | 1,849 | IVR | |
| Nanos Research | November 15, 2012 | 33.8 | 27.2 | 29.0 | 4.9 | 3.7 | ±3.5 pp | 1,004 | telephone | |
| Abacus Data | November 11, 2012 | 36 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 6 | ±3.0 pp | 1,068 | online | |
| Ipsos Reid | November 8, 2012 | HTML | 34 | 30 | 26 | 7 | 2 | ±2.5 pp | 2,009 | telephone/online |
| Forum Research | October 27, 2012 | 31 | 32 | 27 | 6 | 4 | ±2.0 pp | 1,735 | IVR | |
| Nanos Research | October 11, 2012 | 33.3 | 27.9 | 30.1 | 4.7 | 2.9 | ±3.4 pp | 1,000 | telephone | |
| Forum Research | September 26, 2012 | 35 | 30 | 25 | 6 | 3 | ±2.0 pp | 1,707 | IVR | |
| Environics | September 23, 2012 | 31 | 35 | 20 | 9 | 5 | ±2.4 pp | 2,000 | telephone | |
| Abacus Data | September 18, 2012 | 35 | 35 | 17 | 7 | 6 | ±2.9 pp | 1,208 | online | |
| Harris-Decima | September 10, 2012 | HTML | 34 | 27 | 24 | 6 | 7 | ±2.2 pp | 2,007 | telephone |
| Nanos Research | September 9, 2012 | 32.4 | 30.4 | 24.6 | 5.8 | 5.0 | ±3.4 pp | 1,000 | telephone | |
| Forum Research | August 22, 2012 | 34 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 4 | ±2.4 pp | 1,720 | IVR | |
| Abacus Data | August 12, 2012 | HTML | 37 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | ±2.2 pp | 2,099 | online |
| Forum Research | July 26, 2012 | 31 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 5 | ±2.4 pp | 1,639 | IVR | |
| Nanos Research | July 12, 2012 | 33.6 | 30.3 | 26.5 | 4.4 | 4.2 | ±3.2 pp | 1,200 | telephone | |
| EKOS | July 5, 2012 | 30.2 | 32.3 | 19.5 | 4.9 | 10.0 | ±2.1 pp | 2,098 | IVR | |
| Forum Research | June 27, 2012 | 35 | 35 | 19 | 6 | 3 | ±2.9 pp | 1,165 | IVR | |
| EKOS | June 26, 2012 | 29.3 | 32.4 | 19.2 | 6.5 | 9.5 | ±2.2 pp | 2,049 | IVR | |
| Abacus Data | June 23, 2012 | HTML | 35 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | 1,008 | online |
| Environics | June 23, 2012 | 33 | 35 | 19 | 7 | 5 | ±2.4 pp | 2,093 | telephone | |
| Ipsos Reid | June 21, 2012 | HTML | 35 | 38 | 18 | 6 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | 1,099 | online |
| Harris-Decima | June 18, 2012 | 31 | 32 | 23 | 5 | 7 | ±2.2 pp | 2,000 | telephone | |
| Angus Reid | June 16, 2012 | 34 | 35 | 19 | 6 | 5 | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | online | |
| Forum Research | June 14, 2012 | 30 | 37 | 22 | 6 | 5 | ±2.5 pp | 1,529 | IVR | |
| Nanos Research | May 31, 2012 | 33.5 | 33.6 | 24.9 | 3.4 | 2.4 | ±3.1 pp | 1,201 | telephone | |
| Forum Research | May 23, 2012 | 32 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 6 | ±2.3 pp | 1,836 | IVR | |
| Angus Reid | May 23, 2012 | 37 | 33 | 18 | 7 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | 1,014 | online | |
| Abacus Data | May 16, 2012 | 37 | 35 | 17 | 6 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | 1,008 | online | |
| Ipsos Reid | May 10, 2012 | HTML | 37 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 3 | ±2.0 pp | 2,061 | telephone/online |
| Environics | May 9, 2012 | 32 | 36 | 19 | 6 | 7 | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | telephone | |
| Harris-Decima | May 6, 2012 | 30 | 34 | 20 | 7 | 8 | ±2.2 pp | 2,018 | telephone | |
| Harris-Decima | April 30, 2012 | 30 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 8 | ±3.1 pp | 1,006 | telephone | |
| Forum Research | April 25, 2012 | 33 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 2 | ±2.4 pp | 1,744 | IVR | |
| Nanos Research | April 18, 2012 | 34.7 | 32.4 | 23.3 | 3.9 | 4.2 | ±3.2 pp | 1,200 | telephone | |
| Ipsos Reid | April 5, 2012 | HTML | 34 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 4 | ±2.0 pp | 1,008 | telephone |
| Leger Marketing | April 4, 2012 | 32 | 33 | 19 | 7 | 8 | ±2.5 pp | 1,506 | online | |
| Harris-Decima | April 2, 2012 | 34 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 8 | ±2.2 pp | 2,003 | telephone | |
| Forum Research | March 30, 2012 | 36 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 5 | ±2.4 pp | 1,675 | IVR | |
| Forum Research | March 27, 2012 | 35 | 35 | 19 | 7 | 3 | ±2.4 pp | 1,638 | IVR | |
| Angus Reid | March 21, 2012 | 37 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | 1,004 | online | |
| Innovative Research | March 21, 2012 | 37 | 25 | 24 | 6 | 7 | ±2.8 pp | 1,193 | online | |
| Harris-Decima | March 19, 2012 | 31 | 28 | 24 | 8 | 7 | ±2.2 pp | 2,005 | telephone | |
| Environics | March 18, 2012 | 30 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 7 | ±2.4 pp | 2,000 | telephone | |
| Abacus Data | March 13, 2012 | HTML | 37 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 7 | ±3.1 pp | 1,003 | online |
| EKOS | March 11, 2012 | 35.4 | 29.7 | 19.6 | 5.8 | 8.1 | ±2.2 pp | 2,011 | telephone/online | |
| Ipsos Reid | March 8, 2012 | HTML | 37 | 29 | 23 | 7 | 4 | ±2.0 pp | 3,154 | telephone/online |
| Leger Marketing | March 5, 2012 | 34 | 26 | 24 | 8 | 7 | ±2.0 pp | 2,509 | online | |
| Forum Research | March 3, 2012 | 37 | 28 | 25 | 5 | 4 | ±2.4 pp | 1,675 | IVR | |
| Nanos Research | February 29, 2012 | 35.7 | 25.0 | 29.5 | 4.9 | 3.4 | ±3.1 pp | 1,203 | telephone | |
| EKOS | February 28, 2012 | 31.5 | 29.2 | 21.7 | 6.0 | 8.3 | ±1.6 pp | 3,699 | IVR | |
| Forum Research | February 6, 2012 | 36 | 28 | 26 | 6 | 3 | ±2.8 pp | 1,210 | IVR | |
| Nanos Research | January 23, 2012 | 35.7 | 25.2 | 27.6 | 5.6 | 4.5 | ±3.2 pp | 1,201 | telephone | |
| Harris-Decima | January 22, 2012 | 32 | 29 | 25 | 5 | 7 | ±2.2 pp | 2,000 | telephone | |
| Angus Reid | January 21, 2012 | 39 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | online | |
| Abacus Data | January 19, 2012 | 37 | 28 | 21 | 6 | 7 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | online | |
| Forum Research | January 13, 2012 | 35 | 28 | 25 | 6 | 4 | ±2.8 pp | 1,211 | IVR | |
| EKOS | December 21, 2011 | 31.4 | 29.5 | 24.8 | 6.7 | 6.1 | ±2.2 pp | 2,005 | telephone/online | |
| Nanos Research | December 18, 2011 | 36.5 | 28.7 | 25.6 | 4.4 | 3.8 | ±3.3 pp | 1,201 | telephone | |
| Forum Research | December 13, 2011 | 33 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 8 | ±2.9 pp | 1,160 | IVR | |
| Harris-Decima | December 12, 2011 | 34 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 7 | ±2.2 pp | 2,005 | telephone | |
| Abacus Data | December 4, 2011 | 40 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | 1,004 | online | |
| Nanos Research | November 21, 2011 | 35.6 | 27.3 | 28.1 | 3.9 | 3.9 | ±3.2 pp | 1,202 | telephone | |
| Ipsos Reid | November 9, 2011 | HTML | 37 | 31 | 21 | 6 | 3 | |||
| Harris-Decima | November 6, 2011 | 36 | 29 | 22 | 5 | 7 | ±2.2 pp | 2,000 | telephone | |
| Nanos Research | October 24, 2011 | 37.7 | 30.0 | 23.4 | 3.6 | 3.8 | ±3.2 pp | 1,202 | telephone | |
| Nanos Research | October 2, 2011 | 39.0 | 29.0 | 24.5 | 3.5 | 2.9 | ±3.2 pp | 1,209 | telephone | |
| Angus Reid | September 21, 2011 | 39 | 29 | 21 | 5 | 4 | ±2.4 pp | 1,668 | online | |
| Leger Marketing | September 15, 2011 | HTML | 39 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 6 | ±2.4 pp | 1,625 | online |
| Nanos Research | September 1, 2011 | 39.5 | 33.1 | 20.7 | 2.6 | 3.4 | ±3.2 pp | 1,210 | telephone | |
| Harris-Decima | August 29, 2011 | 33 | 33 | 21 | 6 | 7 | ±2.2 pp | 2,026 | telephone | |
| Abacus Data | August 15, 2011 | 38 | 32 | 19 | 5 | 6 | ±3.2 pp | 1,003 | online | |
| Angus Reid | August 9, 2011 | 39 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | 1,005 | online | |
| Nanos Research | August 2, 2011 | 36.2 | 26.8 | 27.0 | 4.4 | 4.5 | ±3.1 pp | 1,203 | telephone | |
| Abacus Data | June 24, 2011 | 41 | 32 | 17 | 6 | 5 | ±3.2 pp | 1,005 | online | |
| Nanos Research | June 19, 2011 | 41.8 | 28.0 | 22.3 | 3.4 | 3.7 | ±3.1 pp | 1,211 | telephone | |
| Nanos Research | May 29, 2011 | 39.7 | 29.9 | 21.5 | 2.7 | 4.8 | ±3.1 pp | 1,205 | telephone | |
| Harris-Decima | May 22, 2011 | HTML | 38 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 2,000 | telephone | |
| Abacus Data | May 19, 2011 | 40 | 33 | 16 | 6 | 5 | ±2.5 pp | 1,544 | online | |
| Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 39.6 | 30.6 | 18.9 | 6.0 | 3.9 | |||
Notes
- 1 In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the latter is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls—because of their opt-in method of recruiting panellists which results in a non-random sample—cannot have a margin of error.[1] In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.[2]
- 2 Refers to the total sample size, including undecided and non-voters.
- 3 "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey.
Leadership polls
[edit]Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on who would make the best Prime Minister:
| Polling Firm | Last date of Polling |
Link | Stephen Harper | Thomas Mulcair | Justin Trudeau | Elizabeth May | Margin of Error[1] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nanos Research | February 27, 2015 | 34 | 17 | 31 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | February 20, 2015 | 33 | 16 | 31 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | February 13, 2015 | 33 | 16 | 31 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | February 6, 2015 | 32 | 17 | 31 | 3 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Leger Marketing | February 2, 2015 | 25 | 16 | 23 | ±2.5 pp | ||
| Nanos Research | January 30, 2015 | 31 | 17 | 31 | 3 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | January 23, 2015 | 31 | 19 | 30 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | January 16, 2015 | 31 | 18 | 31 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | January 9, 2015 | 30 | 18 | 31 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | January 2, 2015 | 33 | 18 | 30 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | December 26, 2014 | 33 | 18 | 32 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | December 19, 2014 | 33 | 18 | 31 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Angus Reid | December 13, 2014 | 30 | 16 | 28 | ±1.2 pp | ||
| Nanos Research | December 12, 2014 | 33 | 19 | 31 | 3 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Leger Marketing | December 11, 2014 | 24 | 16 | 27 | ±2.5 pp | ||
| Nanos Research | December 5, 2014 | 32 | 20 | 30 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | November 28, 2014 | 33 | 20 | 29 | 3 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | November 21, 2014 | 32 | 20 | 29 | 3 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | November 14, 2014 | 32 | 20 | 29 | 3 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | November 7, 2014 | 32 | 20 | 30 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Leger Marketing | November 6, 2014 | 26 | 16 | 28 | ±2.5 pp | ||
| Nanos Research | October 31, 2014 | 29 | 20 | 32 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | October 24, 2014 | 29 | 19 | 34 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | October 17, 2014 | 30 | 18 | 35 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Leger Marketing | October 16, 2014 | 23 | 17 | 26 | ±2.5 pp | ||
| Nanos Research | October 10, 2014 | 30 | 17 | 35 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | October 3, 2014 | 28 | 18 | 36 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | September 26, 2014 | 28 | 18 | 35 | 3 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Angus Reid | September 19, 2014 | 27 | 14 | 27 | 4 | ±2.5 pp | |
| Nanos Research | September 19, 2014 | 28 | 18 | 34 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | September 12, 2014 | 28 | 17 | 34 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | September 5, 2014 | 29 | 15 | 34 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | August 29, 2014 | 28 | 15 | 34 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | August 22, 2014 | 27 | 16 | 32 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Forum Research | August 19, 2014 | 29 | 15 | 31 | 8 | ±2.0 pp | |
| Nanos Research | August 15, 2014 | 26 | 19 | 32 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | August 8, 2014 | 26 | 19 | 31 | 7 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | August 1, 2014 | 29 | 20 | 29 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | July 25, 2014 | 30 | 20 | 30 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Forum Research | July 18, 2014 | 27 | 16 | 30 | 7 | ±2.0 pp | |
| Nanos Research | July 18, 2014 | 31 | 18 | 31 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | July 11, 2014 | 31 | 19 | 29 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | July 4, 2014 | 29 | 18 | 30 | 7 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | June 27, 2014 | 28 | 17 | 31 | 7 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | June 20, 2014 | 30 | 16 | 30 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Forum Research | June 17, 2014 | 28 | 16 | 27 | 8 | ±2.0 pp | |
| Nanos Research | June 13, 2014 | 28 | 14 | 33 | 7 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Angus Reid | June 12, 2014 | 27 | 17 | 23 | 5 | ±1.2 pp | |
| Nanos Research | June 6, 2014 | 30 | 14 | 32 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | May 30, 2014 | 32 | 15 | 30 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Angus Reid | May 23, 2014 | 27 | 17 | 23 | 4 | ±3.4 pp | |
| Forum Research | May 23, 2014 | 26 | 17 | 28 | 8 | ±2.0 pp | |
| Nanos Research | May 23, 2014 | 30 | 17 | 30 | 7 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | May 16, 2014 | 31 | 19 | 27 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | May 9, 2014 | 30 | 19 | 27 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | May 2, 2014 | 27 | 20 | 27 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Forum Research | April 29, 2014 | 25 | 17 | 30 | 10 | ±2.0 pp | |
| Nanos Research | April 25, 2014 | 29 | 19 | 26 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | April 18, 2014 | 29 | 19 | 27 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Angus Reid | April 15, 2014 | 27 | 16 | 20 | 4 | ±3.4 pp | |
| Nanos Research | April 11, 2014 | 30 | 20 | 27 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | April 4, 2014 | 31 | 20 | 28 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Forum Research | March 28, 2014 | 27 | 17 | 29 | 8 | ±2.0 pp | |
| Nanos Research | March 28, 2014 | 30 | 18 | 29 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | March 21, 2014 | 29 | 18 | 31 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | March 14, 2014 | 27 | 17 | 32 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Angus Reid | March 9, 2014 | 23 | 17 | 24 | 4 | ±1.2 pp | |
| Nanos Research | March 7, 2014 | 26 | 18 | 31 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | February 28, 2014 | 25 | 19 | 32 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | February 21, 2014 | 28 | 19 | 29 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Forum Research | February 19, 2014 | 26 | 16 | 33 | 8 | ±2.0 pp | |
| Angus Reid | February 16, 2014 | 32 | 22 | 36 | 9 | ±2.5 pp | |
| Nanos Research | February 14, 2014 | 28 | 19 | 30 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | February 7, 2014 | 28 | 19 | 29 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Ipsos Reid | February 4, 2014 | 34 | 24 | 42 | - | ±3.5 pp | |
| Nanos Research | January 31, 2014 | 29 | 19 | 29 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Forum Research | January 25, 2014 | 24 | 18 | 29 | 7 | ±3.0 pp | |
| Nanos Research | January 24, 2014 | 27 | 21 | 29 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Forum Research | January 17, 2014 | 25 | 19 | 29 | 7 | ±2.0 pp | |
| Nanos Research | January 17, 2014 | 28 | 21 | 27 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | January 10, 2014 | 27 | 20 | 29 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | January 3, 2014 | 27 | 19 | 29 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | December 27, 2013 | 27 | 18 | 29 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | December 20, 2013 | 26 | 18 | 30 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Forum Research | December 13, 2013 | 27 | 17 | 29 | 6 | ±2.0 pp | |
| Nanos Research | December 13, 2013 | 28 | 18 | 27 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | December 6, 2013 | 27 | 20 | 26 | 6 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | November 29, 2013 | 27 | 20 | 26 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | November 22, 2013 | 29 | 20 | 27 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | November 15, 2013 | 27 | 19 | 29 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Forum Research | November 13, 2013 | 25 | 17 | 27 | 7 | ±2.0 pp | |
| Nanos Research | November 8, 2013 | 29 | 17 | 31 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | November 1, 2013 | 30 | 16 | 32 | 4 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | October 25, 2013 | 30 | 16 | 32 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Forum Research | October 23, 2013 | 25 | 15 | 31 | 9 | ±3.0 pp | |
| Forum Research | October 22, 2013 | 25 | 13 | 29 | 7 | ±3.0 pp | |
| Abacus Data | October 22, 2013 | 24 | 12 | 26 | 4 | ±2.6 pp | |
| Nanos Research | October 18, 2013 | 31 | 16 | 32 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | October 11, 2013 | 30 | 16 | 33 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Nanos Research | October 4, 2013 | 29 | 15 | 31 | 5 | ±3.1 pp | |
| Forum Research | September 17, 2013 | 27 | 15 | 30 | 6 | ±3.0 pp | |
| Harris-Decima | August 25, 2013 | 29 | 14 | 33 | - | ±3.1 pp | |
| Forum Research | August 23, 2013 | 24 | 16 | 32 | 9 | ±3.0 pp | |
| Leger Marketing | June 19, 2013 | 23 | 14 | 27 | 6 | ±2.5 pp | |
| Harris-Decima | April 21, 2013 | 31 | 18 | 33 | - | ±3.1 pp |
References
[edit]- ^ "MRIA Responds to "Evaluating the Polls: An Open Letter to Ontario's Journalists"". Marketing Research and Intelligence Association. September 16, 2011. Retrieved October 6, 2012.
- ^ American Association for Public Opinion Research (undated), Best Practices for Survey and Public Opinion Research, retrieved October 17, 2012