Opinion polling for the 2015 Canadian federal election by constituency
Opinion polling for Canadian federal elections |
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Opinion polls • By constituency |
Various polling organisations have been conducting opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 2015 Canadian general election. The results of publicised opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.
Opinion polls have been conducted from the months following the previous general election held in May 2011, and have increased in frequency leading up to the general election.
Given the expense of polling individual constituencies, constituencies are usually only polled if they are of some particular interest, e.g. they are thought to be marginal or facing an impending by-election. The constituencies polled are not necessarily representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system the true marginal seats, by definition, will be decisive as to the outcome of the election.
A total of 204 polls in 107 ridings across 9 provinces and 1 territory were conducted.
Constituency polls
[edit]Alberta
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 13, 2015 | HTML | 38 | 19 | 39 | 6 | 0 | ±3.72 pp | 688 | IVR |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 47 | 11 | 39 | 3 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 531 | IVR |
Environics | August 18, 2015 | 44 | 17 | 32 | 7 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 517 | IVR | |
2012 By-election | November 26, 2012 | HTML | 37 | 4 | 33 | 26 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 27,732 | Election |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 55 | 15 | 19 | 10 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 41,452 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 14, 2015 | HTML | 37 | 19 | 38 | 6 | 0 | ±3.7 pp | 679 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 52 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 50,770 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ThinkHQ | October 15, 2015 | 36 | 24 | 33 | 4 | 2 | ±4.3 pp | 517 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 31 | 38 | 27 | 3 | 0 | ±3.7 pp | 701 | IVR | |
Forum Research | September 25, 2015 | HTML | 40 | 30 | 27 | 4 | 0 | ±5.0 pp | 524 | IVR |
Environics | September 16, 2015 | 39 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 547 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 46 | 26 | 24 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 43,093 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | August 16, 2015 | 32 | 48 | 15 | 5 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 509 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 53 | 37 | 7 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 37,766 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 16, 2015 | 45 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 512 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 55 | 27 | 9 | 3 | 6 | ±0.0 pp | 34,180 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 39 | 15 | 39 | 7 | 0 | ±3.73 pp | 684 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 59 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 35,454 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 16, 2015 | 44 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 522 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 59 | 21 | 15 | 5 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 43,267 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 16, 2015 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 4 | 0 | ±3.9 pp | 618 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 64 | 19 | 13 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 43,267 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 10, 2015 | HTML | 45 | 15 | 35 | 5 | 0 | ±4.4 pp | 494 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 73 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 25,650 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 13, 2015 | HTML | 56 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 0 | ±3.81 pp | 657 | IVR |
Environics | September 17, 2015 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 5 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 639 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 52 | 30 | 9 | 5 | 4 | ±0.0 pp | 41,165 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 13, 2015 | HTML | 43 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 28 | ±3.74 pp | 681 | IVR |
Forum Research | September 25, 2015 | HTML | 38 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 29 | ±5.0 pp | 490 | IVR |
Environics | September 17, 2015 | 39 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 22 | ±3.1 pp | 1,030 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 64 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 42,842 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 10, 2015 | HTML | 63 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 3 | ±4.1 pp | 569 | IVR |
2014 By-election | November 17, 2014 | HTML | 63 | 10 | 20 | 5 | 3 | ±0.0 pp | 12,601 | Election |
Forum Research | November 16, 2014 | 51 | 13 | 24 | 0 | 13 | ±6.0 pp | 311 | IVR | |
Forum Research | November 11, 2014 | 62 | 12 | 16 | 0 | 10 | ±5.6 pp | 360 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 78 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 40,013 | Election |
British Columbia
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 38 | 26 | 27 | 9 | 0 | ±3.65 pp | 716 | IVR |
Insights West | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 36 | 21 | 9 | 1 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | Telephone |
Insights West | September 13, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 37 | 21 | 9 | 0 | ±5.6 pp | 301 | Telephone |
Insights West | May 11, 2015 | 20 | 46 | 8 | 25 | 1 | ±5.6 pp | 301 | Telephone | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 44 | 35 | 16 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 43,290 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 11, 2015 | 30 | 36 | 29 | 5 | 0 | ±4.4 pp | 500 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 56 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 2 | ±0.0 pp | 43,239 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 11, 2015 | 31 | 34 | 29 | 6 | 0 | ±4.4 pp | 504 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 56 | 31 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 40,286 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 32 | 34 | 18 | 15 | 1 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | Telephone |
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 30 | 33 | 20 | 16 | 0 | ±3.76 pp | 672 | IVR | |
Insights West | September 13, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 39 | 13 | 12 | 3 | ±5.6 pp | 301 | Telephone |
Insights West | May 11, 2015 | 30 | 42 | 14 | 11 | 3 | ±5.6 pp | 301 | Telephone | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 45 | 41 | 7 | 7 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 54,470 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West | October 5, 2015 | HTML | 28 | 35 | 14 | 19 | 4 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | Telephone |
Insights West | May 11, 2015 | 28 | 41 | 15 | 10 | 5 | ±5.6 pp | 302 | Telephone | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 43 | 44 | 6 | 7 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 47,766 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 19 | 39 | 20 | 21 | 1 | ±5.6 pp | 300 | Telephone |
Insights West | September 13, 2015 | HTML | 20 | 39 | 19 | 19 | 3 | ±5.6 pp | 300 | Telephone |
Insights West | May 11, 2015 | 17 | 50 | 14 | 16 | 4 | ±5.6 pp | 301 | Telephone | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 37 | 39 | 10 | 13 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 56,652 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 35 | 24 | 35 | 6 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 661 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 48 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 34,582 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 19, 2015 | HTML | 37 | 37 | 15 | 11 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 529 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 50 | 39 | 3 | 6 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 52,801 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West | October 5, 2015 | HTML | 26 | 35 | 18 | 21 | 1 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | Telephone |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 24 | 34 | 17 | 24 | 0 | ±3.7 pp | 699 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 40 | 45 | 7 | 7 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 55,879 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 19, 2015 | HTML | 27 | 41 | 18 | 14 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 556 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 46 | 41 | 6 | 5 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 50,897 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 11, 2015 | 33 | 37 | 22 | 8 | 0 | ±3.6 pp | 755 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | October 10, 2015 | PDF[permanent dead link] | 45 | 26 | 24 | 5 | 0 | ±4.1 pp | 567 | IVR |
Oraclepoll Research | October 6, 2015 | 38 | 41 | 12 | 9 | 0 | ±5.5 pp | 312 | Telephone | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 55 | 26 | 7 | 11 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 56,921 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 11 | 41 | 15 | 0 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | Telephone |
Insights West | September 13, 2015 | HTML | 31 | 14 | 41 | 13 | 1 | ±5.6 pp | 297 | Telephone |
Insights West | July 7, 2015 | 30 | 24 | 31 | 14 | 1 | ±5.6 pp | 305 | Telephone | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 48 | 17 | 30 | 5 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 50,306 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 35 | 41 | 19 | 6 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 543 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 55 | 35 | 6 | 5 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 38,418 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 34 | 41 | 19 | 7 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 529 | IVR |
Environics | August 18, 2015 | 27 | 54 | 14 | 5 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 511 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 46 | 40 | 9 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 43,458 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 31 | 36 | 23 | 8 | 3 | ±5.6 pp | 301 | Telephone |
Insights West | September 13, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 42 | 18 | 4 | 3 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | Telephone |
Insights West | July 7, 2015 | 25 | 55 | 11 | 6 | 2 | ±5.6 pp | 302 | Telephone | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 39 | 45 | 7 | 8 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 56,652 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 11, 2015 | 28 | 33 | 35 | 4 | 0 | ±4.4 pp | 505 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 20 | 28 | 44 | 9 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 665 | IVR | |
Environics | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 29 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 541 | IVR |
Environics | August 18, 2015 | 30 | 36 | 24 | 10 | 0 | ±4.5 pp | 482 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 35 | 24 | 30 | 9 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 43,654 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Insights West | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 19 | 38 | 8 | 1 | ±5.6 pp | 301 | Telephone |
Insights West | September 13, 2015 | HTML | 27 | 22 | 40 | 8 | 3 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | Telephone |
Insights West | July 7, 2015 | 24 | 30 | 39 | 4 | 3 | ±5.6 pp | 301 | Telephone | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 42 | 21 | 34 | 2 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 36,706 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 32 | 15 | 37 | 16 | 0 | ±3.76 pp | 673 | IVR |
Insights West | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 31 | 14 | 42 | 13 | 0 | ±4.9 pp | 403 | Telephone |
Insights West | September 13, 2015 | HTML | 30 | 22 | 34 | 11 | 2 | ±5.6 pp | 302 | Telephone |
Environics | August 16, 2015 | 23 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 0 | ±4.1 pp | 582 | IVR | |
Insights West | July 7, 2015 | 30 | 26 | 31 | 12 | 1 | ±5.6 pp | 301 | Telephone | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 46 | 21 | 24 | 8 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 52,062 | Election |
Manitoba
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 39 | 37 | 20 | 4 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 552 | IVR |
Environics | August 16, 2015 | 30 | 39 | 25 | 6 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 517 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 47 | 45 | 5 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 34,287 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 25 | 37 | 5 | 0 | ±3.83 pp | 651 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 50 | 16 | 31 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 40,418 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 31 | 23 | 38 | 8 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 597 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 41 | 18 | 37 | 3 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 46,619 | Election |
New Brunswick
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 32 | 14 | 43 | 12 | 0 | ±3.4 pp | 839 | IVR |
Environics | September 19, 2015 | 32 | 20 | 37 | 10 | 0 | ±4.1 pp | 580 | IVR | |
Environics | August 16, 2015 | 29 | 26 | 34 | 12 | 0 | ±3.5 pp | 799 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 47 | 24 | 24 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 38,772 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 36 | 26 | 34 | 4 | 0 | ±4.33 pp | 510 | IVR | |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 38 | 25 | 33 | 4 | 0 | ±3.7 pp | 623 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 50 | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 35,964 | Election |
Newfoundland and Labrador
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 17, 2015 | HTML | 14 | 19 | 43 | 4 | 19 | ±3.74 pp | 679 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 37 | 29 | 33 | 1 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 35,623 | Election |
Nova Scotia
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 23 | 20 | 50 | 7 | 0 | ±4.1 pp | 573 | IVR |
Mainstreet Research | September 17, 2015 | HTML | 36 | 26 | 30 | 8 | 0 | ±3.82 pp | 652 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 55 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 38,878 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 32 | 7 | 54 | 6 | 0 | ±3.9 pp | 617 | IVR |
Mainstreet Research | September 17, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 12 | 48 | 7 | 0 | ±3.79 pp | 660 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 53 | 22 | 18 | 5 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 38,878 | Election |
Ontario
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 14, 2015 | HTML | 39 | 20 | 37 | 4 | 0 | ±3.7 pp | 690 | IVR |
Forum Research | September 11, 2015 | 35 | 17 | 46 | 2 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 425 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 44 | 15 | 38 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 44,166 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oraclepoll Research | October 8, 2015 | HTML | 30 | 45 | 20 | 5 | 0 | ±5.6 pp | 300 | Telephone |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 33 | 50 | 14 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 39,174 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 40 | 14 | 41 | 5 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 653 | IVR | |
Forum Research | October 2, 2015 | 39 | 25 | 32 | 4 | 0 | ±5.0 pp | 456 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 40 | 24 | 30 | 6 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 598 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 46 | 23 | 25 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 34,796 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 29, 2015 | HTML | 35 | 24 | 36 | 5 | 0 | ±3.73pp | 684 | IVR |
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 23 | 38 | 36 | 3 | 0 | ±3.98 pp | 600 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 29 | 38 | 31 | 2 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 28,625 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 37 | 16 | 46 | 1 | 0 | ±3.7 pp | 689 | IVR | |
Forum Research | October 4, 2015 | 39 | 24 | 34 | 2 | 0 | ±5.0 pp | 336 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 42 | 20 | 33 | 5 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 600 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 49 | 19 | 28 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 39,812 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 40 | 18 | 39 | 3 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 599 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 45 | 16 | 35 | 2 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 35,560 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 40 | 19 | 38 | 2 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 600 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 42 | 20 | 36 | 2 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 28,505 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 39 | 30 | 25 | 6 | 0 | ±3.9 pp | 622 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 48 | 29 | 19 | 3 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 55,085 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 11, 2015 | 41 | 16 | 40 | 4 | 0 | ±3.2 pp | 966 | IVR | |
Environics | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 43 | 20 | 29 | 9 | 0 | ±3.1 pp | 1,022 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 56 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 51,054 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 43 | 17 | 34 | 6 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 552 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 53 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 44,827 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 29, 2015 | HTML | 45 | 23 | 27 | 4 | 0 | ±3.88pp | 625 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 53 | 27 | 16 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 46,376 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 29, 2015 | HTML | 35 | 13 | 47 | 4 | 0 | ±3.72pp | 688 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 44 | 11 | 41 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 38,984 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 39 | 14 | 44 | 3 | 0 | ±3.4 pp | 823 | IVR |
Forum Research | September 21, 2015 | 38 | 17 | 44 | 2 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 634 | IVR | |
Environics | September 19, 2015 | HTML | 35 | 24 | 37 | 4 | 0 | ±4.1 pp | 565 | IVR |
Environics | August 16, 2015 | 36 | 25 | 35 | 4 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 588 | IVR | |
Forum Research | August 5, 2015 | HTML | 41 | 20 | 34 | 5 | 1 | ±4.0 pp | 709 | IVR |
Forum Research | February 13, 2015 | HTML | 49 | 13 | 28 | 7 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 659 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 47 | 12 | 38 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 48,389 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 38 | 37 | 22 | 4 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 655 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 48 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 50,219 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | September 11, 2015 | 42 | 11 | 43 | 3 | 1 | ±3 pp | 885 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 42 | 15 | 41 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 49,685 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 36 | 16 | 43 | 4 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 665 | IVR |
Environics | September 19, 2015 | HTML | 38 | 19 | 40 | 3 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 537 | IVR |
Forum Research | September 17, 2015 | 33 | 22 | 41 | 4 | 0 | ±3 pp | 835 | IVR | |
Environics | August 16, 2015 | 31 | 28 | 36 | 5 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 544 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 40 | 20 | 35 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 50,920 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 48 | 14 | 28 | 9 | 0 | ±3.80 pp | 659 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 55 | 23 | 17 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 45,387 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 25 | 18 | 45 | 12 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 601 | IVR |
Environics | July 13, 2015 | HTML | 28 | 38 | 27 | 7 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 597 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 33 | 17 | 43 | 6 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 59,218 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 27 | 16 | 50 | 7 | 0 | ±3.76 pp | 672 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 42 | 28 | 25 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 53,119 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 11, 2015 | 39 | 8 | 50 | 3 | 0 | ±3.4 pp | 861 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 45 | 8 | 43 | 4 | 0 | ±3.89 pp | 630 | IVR |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 44 | 13 | 37 | 5 | 0 | ±4.1 pp | 562 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 54 | 15 | 26 | 5 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 50,802 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 5, 2015 | HTML | 40 | 29 | 28 | 4 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 647 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 47 | 28 | 22 | 3 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 24,586 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | July 13, 2015 | HTML | 23 | 37 | 36 | 5 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 563 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 34 | 22 | 40 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 56,663 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 11, 2015 | 28 | 22 | 46 | 4 | 0 | ±3.4 pp | 856 | IVR | |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 31 | 30 | 33 | 7 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 672 | IVR |
Environics | August 16, 2015 | 29 | 33 | 31 | 7 | 0 | ±3.9 pp | 625 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 40 | 22 | 32 | 5 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 46,998 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 32 | 15 | 48 | 5 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 668 | IVR |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 35 | 25 | 35 | 5 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 540 | IVR |
Environics | August 16, 2015 | 32 | 27 | 34 | 6 | 0 | ±3.7 pp | 700 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 37 | 24 | 34 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 53,445 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | 33 | 19 | 42 | 6 | 0 | ±3.75 pp | 678 | IVR | |
Environics | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 38 | 20 | 37 | 5 | 0 | ±2.9 pp | 1,132 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 45 | 25 | 27 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 58,342 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | October 3, 2015 | 40 | 6 | 51 | 2 | 0 | ±5.0 pp | 439 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 50 | 17 | 29 | 3 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 47,183 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | October 4, 2015 | 35 | 16 | 44 | 5 | 0 | ±5.0 pp | 308 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 36 | 20 | 41 | 3 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 600 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 42 | 19 | 37 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 42,677 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 37 | 19 | 41 | 3 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 601 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 44 | 18 | 36 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 44,249 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 41 | 16 | 39 | 4 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 600 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 47 | 16 | 34 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 46,468 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | October 4, 2015 | 41 | 12 | 44 | 3 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 538 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 32 | 24 | 42 | 3 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 600 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 47 | 13 | 37 | 0 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 51,746 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | October 2, 2015 | 29 | 20 | 44 | 5 | 2 | ±5.0 pp | 335 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 41 | 14 | 41 | 4 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 600 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 38 | 23 | 37 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 36,632 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | January 28, 2014 | 40 | 16 | 40 | 5 | 0 | ±3.99 pp | 599 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 46 | 15 | 35 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 46,236 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 11, 2015 | 40 | 10 | 47 | 4 | 0 | ±3.2 pp | 1,032 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 41 | 13 | 42 | 4 | 0 | ±3.81 pp | 655 | IVR |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 40 | 19 | 34 | 8 | 0 | ±4.1 pp | 569 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 51 | 18 | 27 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 51,130 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 42 | 27 | 25 | 6 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 557 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 53 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 53,980 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oraclepoll Research | October 8, 2015 | HTML | 14 | 46 | 35 | 5 | 0 | ±5.6 pp | 300 | Telephone |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 28 | 55 | 14 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 44,148 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oraclepoll Research | October 8, 2015 | HTML | 31 | 16 | 47 | 6 | 0 | ±5.6 pp | 300 | Telephone |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 36 | 21 | 37 | 6 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 39,174 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | May 12, 2014 | 42 | 8 | 45 | 3 | 2 | ±4.0 pp | 530 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 54 | 16 | 27 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 46,840 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 29, 2015 | HTML | 33 | 19 | 40 | 8 | 0 | ±3.8pp | 660 | IVR |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 36 | 11 | 51 | 3 | 0 | ±4.1 pp | 567 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 45 | 14 | 38 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 64,007 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 22 | 42 | 30 | 6 | 0 | ±3.79 pp | 685 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 22 | 52 | 20 | 5 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 64,689 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 29 | 20 | 47 | 4 | 0 | ±3.72 pp | 661 | IVR |
Forum Research | September 25, 2015 | 35 | 15 | 46 | 0 | 4 | ±3.0pp | 1,083 | IVR | |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 35 | 20 | 39 | 5 | 0 | ±3.6 pp | 747 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 45 | 20 | 31 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 56,602 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 8, 2015 | HTML Archived 2015-10-17 at the Wayback Machine | 36 | 21 | 35 | 8 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 652 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 54 | 21 | 18 | 5 | 2 | ±0.0 pp | 46,401 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | October 11, 2015 | 34 | 17 | 46 | 3 | 0 | ±3.4 pp | 859 | IVR | |
Forum Research | September 24, 2015 | 34 | 24 | 37 | 4 | 1 | ±3.0 pp | 1294 | IVR | |
Nanos Research | August 26, 2015 | HTML Archived 2015-10-08 at the Wayback Machine | 29 | 27 | 41 | 4 | 0 | ±5.7 pp | 300 | Telephone |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 50 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 57,384 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oraclepoll Research | October 7, 2015 | HTML | 36 | 23 | 35 | 6 | 0 | ±5.6 pp | 300 | Telephone |
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 31 | 30 | 34 | 6 | 0 | ±3.9 pp | 632 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 40 | 37 | 20 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 40,390 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | October 3, 2015 | 36 | 19 | 43 | 2 | 0 | ±5.0 pp | 458 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 35 | 30 | 32 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 36,811 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 29, 2015 | HTML | 21 | 37 | 40 | 3 | 0 | ±3.83pp | 654 | IVR |
Forum Research | September 22, 2015 | 27 | 32 | 35 | 5 | 1 | ±4.0 pp | 608 | IVR | |
Forum Research | April 26, 2015 | HTML | 20 | 34 | 42 | 3 | 1 | ±4.0 pp | 587 | IVR |
Forum Research | February 13, 2015 | 27 | 29 | 39 | 4 | 1 | ±4.0 pp | 557 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 32 | 35 | 29 | 4 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 39,379 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | October 1, 2015 | HTML | 17 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 0 | ±5.0 pp | 461 | IVR |
Mainstreet Research | September 14, 2015 | HTML | 13 | 45 | 39 | 3 | 0 | ±3.72 pp | 671 | IVR |
Forum Research | August 6, 2015 | 10 | 57 | 28 | 4 | 1 | ±5.0 pp | 345 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | June 30, 2015 | HTML | 14 | 44 | 36 | 6 | 0 | ±3.87 pp | 606 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 21 | 50 | 24 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 36,969 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oraclepoll Research | October 10, 2015 | HTML | 27 | 38 | 31 | 4 | 0 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | Telephone |
Mainstreet Research | December 21, 2014 | HTML | 22 | 29 | 46 | 3 | 0 | ±3.98 pp | 602 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 28 | 50 | 18 | 3 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 45,441 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oraclepoll Research | October 8, 2015 | HTML | 11 | 62 | 21 | 5 | 0 | ±5.6 pp | 300 | Telephone |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 32 | 50 | 16 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 33,706 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | October 1, 2015 | HTML | 17 | 37 | 42 | 4 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 597 | IVR |
Forum Research | August 28, 2015 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 4 | 1 | ±4.0 pp | 488 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 17 | 36 | 40 | 5 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 37,350 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | September 30, 2015 | HTML | 20 | 39 | 38 | 3 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 604 | IVR |
Mainstreet Research | September 29, 2015 | HTML | 15 | 43 | 39 | 3 | 0 | ±3.84pp | 644 | IVR |
Forum Research | August 25, 2015 | 17 | 46 | 32 | 5 | 0 | ±4.0 pp | 528 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 20 | 44 | 31 | 5 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 46,665 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 31 | 26 | 39 | 3 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 658 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 41 | 15 | 38 | 5 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 53,632 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 36 | 15 | 45 | 5 | 0 | ±4.2 pp | 535 | IVR |
Environics | August 17, 2015 | 32 | 26 | 37 | 5 | 0 | ±4.3 pp | 508 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 41 | 19 | 39 | 0 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 38,984 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | July 8, 2015 | HTML | 21 | 39 | 37 | 3 | 0 | ±3.97pp | 581 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 32 | 54 | 11 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 39,745 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | October 4, 2015 | 40 | 17 | 39 | 3 | 2 | ±5.0 pp | 387 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 49 | 16 | 33 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 35,546 | Election |
Quebec
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 13 | 37 | 34 | 13 | 3 | 0 | ±3.7 pp | 698 | IVR |
Mainstreet Research | December 7, 2013 | 6 | 13 | 45 | 31 | 4 | 0 | ±3.8 pp | 661 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 9 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 1 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 48,602 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Segma Research | October 12, 2015 | HTML | 19.7 | 33.1 | 22.3 | 22.1 | 2.8 | ||||
Segma Research | September 19, 2015 | HTML Archived 2015-10-11 at the Wayback Machine | 17.0 | 41.2 | 18.9 | 17.8 | 5.1 | ||||
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 25.6 | 37.7 | 5.8 | 28.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 | ±0.0 pp | 43,094 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Segma Research | October 12, 2015 | HTML | 20.3 | 33.0 | 23.8 | 19.2 | 2.9 | 0.8 | |||
Segma Research | September 19, 2015 | HTML | 20.1 | 37.1 | 18.0 | 20.0 | 4.8 | ||||
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 34 | 43 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 46,657 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Segma Research | October 12, 2015 | HTML | 34.6 | 29.6 | 15.8 | 17.2 | 2.9 | 0 | |||
Segma Research | September 19, 2015 | HTML Archived 2015-10-11 at the Wayback Machine | 34.7 | 29.4 | 10.6 | 20.6 | 4.7 | 0 | |||
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 42 | 32 | 3 | 21 | 1 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 54,920 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CROP | August 29, 2015 | HTML | 2 | 57 | 15 | 20 | 4 | 2 | ±5.0 pp | 377 | Telephone |
Mainstreet Research | December 7, 2013 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 36 | 1 | 0 | ±3.82 pp | 653 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 4 | 46 | 11 | 35 | 3 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 51,102 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Solutions Logik | September 25, 2015 | HTML | 9 | 28 | 14 | 46 | 3 | 0 | |||
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 10 | 45 | 13 | 29 | 2 | 2 | ±0.0 pp | 52,165 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 27 | 16 | 50 | 7 | 2 | 0 | ±3.76 pp | 672 | IVR |
Mainstreet Research | December 7, 2013 | 16 | 15 | 56 | 7 | 6 | 0 | ±3.93 pp | 618 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 36 | 18 | 41 | 3 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 39,007 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 10 | 33 | 40 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 665 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | December 7, 2013 | 13 | 22 | 52 | 10 | 3 | 0 | ±3.9 pp | 626 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 18 | 35 | 38 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 44,642 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 17, 2015 | HTML | 11 | 36 | 41 | 12 | 0 | 0 | ±3.49 pp | 783 | IVR |
CROP | September 14, 2015 | HTML | 5 | 46 | 35 | 10 | 4 | 0 | ±5.06 pp | 375 | Telephone |
Mainstreet Research | December 7, 2013 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 20 | 0 | 0 | ±4.13 pp | 560 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 5 | 29 | 38 | 25 | 2 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 45,887 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | October 4, 2015 | HTML | 19 | 36 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 0 | ±3.74 pp | 673 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 26 | 47 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 35,508 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | BQ | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 46 | 35 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | ±3.77 pp | 668 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 25 | 32 | 7 | 34 | 2 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 53,303 | Election |
Saskatchewan
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 40 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 0 | ±3.85 pp | 639 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 44 | 45 | 8 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 38,508 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 20, 2015 | HTML | 37 | 37 | 22 | 4 | 0 | ±3.4 pp | 853 | IVR |
Environics | August 16, 2015 | 34 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 0 | ±3.7 pp | 691 | IVR | |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 49 | 38 | 10 | 3 | 1 | ±0.0 pp | 35,122 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 31 | 36 | 25 | 9 | 0 | ±3.83 pp | 658 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 43 | 51 | 4 | 3 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 30,459 | Election |
Yukon
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Cons. | NDP | Liberal | Green | Other | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Environics | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 27 | 29 | 39 | 4 | 0 | ±4.4 pp | 497 | IVR |
2011 Election | May 2, 2011 | HTML | 34 | 14 | 33 | 19 | 0 | ±0.0 pp | 16,057 | Election |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]Notes
- 1 In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the latter is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls—because of their opt-in method of recruiting panellists which results in a non-random sample—cannot have a margin of error.[1] In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.[2]
- 2 Refers to the total sample size, including undecided and non-voters.
- 3 "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey.
- 4 Election Results shown for 2011 are the redistributed results for the 2015 districts. These are fixed until 2023 under the present federal electoral system. About 80% of the 308 districts defined in 2003 changed their borders or are entirely new: 338 districts were defined in 2015.
References
[edit]- ^ "MRIA Responds to "Evaluating the Polls: An Open Letter to Ontario's Journalists"". Marketing Research and Intelligence Association. September 16, 2011. Retrieved October 6, 2012.
- ^ American Association for Public Opinion Research (undated), Best Practices for Survey and Public Opinion Research Archived 2014-11-30 at the Wayback Machine, retrieved October 17, 2012