Opinion polling for the 2021 Canadian federal election by constituency
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44th Canadian Parliament |
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Various polling organizations have been conducting opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 2021 Canadian federal election. The results of publicized opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.
Given the cost associated with polling individual constituencies, polling typically occurs in constituencies that are of particular interest, such as those considered marginal or facing an impending by-election. However, it's important to note that the constituencies polled may not necessarily be representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system, true marginal seats, by definition, hold significant influence over the outcome of the election.
Constituency polls
[edit]Alberta
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spadina Strategies | September 14, 2021 | HTML | 12.9 | 43.7 | 11.7 | 1.3 | 9.8 | 13.1 | 6.7 | ±5.23 pp | 350 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 20, 2021 | 37.6 | 35.4 | 12.8 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 9.2 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 28.3 | 52.5 | 14.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 50,552 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 28, 2021 | 40 | 26 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 33.0 | 41.5 | 20.6 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,092 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Other | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 12, 2021 | 19.0 | 38.4 | 28.2 | 1.7 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 5.1 | ±4.6 pp | 454 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 17.3 | 51.4 | 25.1 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 46,963 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 9, 2021 | 37 | 35.4 | 14.4 | 1.4 | 6.9 | 1.6 | 3.3 | ±5 pp | 299 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 33.6 | 50.3 | 12.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,177 | Election |
British Columbia
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 7, 2021 | 28.1 | 29.6 | 26 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7.9 | ±5 pp | 379 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 32.8 | 22.7 | 13.2 | N/A | N/A | 6.2 | 25.1 | ±4.1 pp | 558 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 35.5 | 19.5 | 32.3 | 9.6 | 2.2 | 1 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 50,525 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 12, 2021 | 28 | 40 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | ±5.6 pp | 307 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 30, 2021 | 34 | 36 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | ±5.6 pp | 304 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oracle Poll | September 7, 2021 | HTML | 7.6 | 21.0 | 19.0 | 27.8 | 1.0 | N/A | 23.6 | ±4.4 pp | 500 | Telephone |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 13.6 | 25.9 | 23.6 | 34.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,296 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 28, 2021 | 26 | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | ±5.6 pp | 306 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 13, 2021 | 24.4 | 29.0 | 29.5 | 3.6 | 8.9 | 2.0 | 2.7 | ±5.5 pp | 320 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 4, 2021 | 37 | 22 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 | ±6.3 pp | 285 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 15, 2021 | 33 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | ±5.9 pp | 280 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 26.6 | 21.9 | 13.1 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 32.6 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,296 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 15, 2021 | 39 | 17 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 8 | ±6.3 pp | 242 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 5, 2021 | 25.1 | 42.3 | 15.1 | 6.2 | 5.1 | 0.7 | 5.4 | ±3.8 pp | 662 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 23.1 | 27.5 | 19.4 | 11.9 | N/A | 4 | 14.1 | ±3.9 pp | 624 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 34.9 | 26.7 | 13.9 | 22.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 64,980 | Election |
Manitoba
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Other | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 20, 2021 | 36.2 | 37.0 | 10.8 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 9.8 | ± pp | 317 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 35.5 | 40.7 | 14.2 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 0.7 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 46,228 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 14, 2021 | 33 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 7 | ±5.5 pp | 322 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 27.9 | 44.8 | 21.2 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 44,298 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 8, 2021 | 43.4 | 28.1 | 16.3 | 2 | 3.4 | 0 | 6.9 | ±5 pp | 304 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 42.1 | 38.7 | 13.9 | 4.3 | 0.9 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 47,889 | Election |
Newfoundland and Labrador
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 9, 2021 | 43.2 | 30.5 | 10.5 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 1 | 10.9 | ±5 pp | 298 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 45.7 | 39.5 | 12.0 | 2.9 | N/A | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 32,179 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 7, 2021 | 45.3 | 15.2 | 26.7 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0 | 9 | ±5.1 pp | 363 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 33.2 | 18.1 | 46.9 | 1.8 | N/A | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 42,940 | Election |
New Brunswick
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 1, 2021 | 40 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 | ±5.6 pp | 307 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 1, 2021 | 42 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | ±5.7 pp | 300 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 37.4 | 34.0 | 12.2 | 10.1 | 3.1 | 3.2 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 42,940 | Election |
Nova Scotia
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 19, 2021 | 39.3 | 37.6 | 8.2 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 7.1 | ±5 pp | 301 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 38.9 | 34.5 | 14.8 | 7.7 | 2.2 | 1.9 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 42,940 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 7, 2021 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | ±4.7 pp | 442 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 30.9 | 27.7 | 20.1 | 5.5 | N/A | 21.3 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 40,565 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 14, 2021 | 38 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 3 | ±6 pp | 262 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 36.4 | 39.3 | 10.7 | 12.7 | N/A | 0.9 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 46,798 | Election |
Ontario
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Other | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 23, 2021 | HTML | 47 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 2 | N/A | ±5 pp | 309 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 42.4 | 44.4 | 7.2 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 53,109 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 8, 2021 | 46 | 11 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 11, 2021 | 32 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 5 | ±5.1 pp | 294 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 15, 2021 | 30 | 33 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 7 | ±5.6 pp | 303 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 36.5 | 39.2 | 16.5 | 6.13 | 1.5 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 62,920 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 27, 2021 | 28 | 25 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | ±5.6 pp | 305 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 8, 2021 | 36.3 | 32.8 | 18.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 6.2 | ±5 pp | 297 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 43 | 36.5 | 12.5 | 6.6 | 1.4 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 66,772 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 16, 2021 | 48.1 | 38.6 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | ±5.6 pp | 298 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 45 | 43.2 | 6.7 | 3.9 | 1.1 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 64,446 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 18, 2021 | HTML | 34 | 27 | 13 | 20 | 5 | 0 | N/A | ±5.9 pp | 287 | IVR |
Mainstreet Research | August 24, 2021 | 27.8 | 23.4 | 23.6 | 11.9 | 1.2 | 6.7 | 5.5 | ±5.9 pp | 280 | IVR | |
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 25.8 | 17.9 | 11.1 | 14.3 | N/A | 4 | 26.8 | ±4 pp | 601 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 36.7 | 23.8 | 11.3 | 26 | 1.9 | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 55,374 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 10, 2021 | 35 | 27 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 8 | ±5 pp | 301 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 30, 2021 | 40 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | ±5.5 pp | 314 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 23, 2021 | 42 | 21 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | ±5.3 pp | 344 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 34.5 | 14.3 | 16.6 | 8.8 | N/A | 2.9 | 23 | ±4 pp | 600 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 47.4 | 13.2 | 31.5 | 6.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 60,887 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 1, 2021 | 25.8 | 37.5 | 17.9 | 8.6 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 5.9 | ±5.7 pp | 291 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 39.3 | 34.9 | 17.1 | 7.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 69,801 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 15, 2021 | 47.5 | 18.9 | 12 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 10.1 | ±4.1 pp | 574 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 55.8 | 17.6 | 20.1 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 60,887 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 2, 2021 | 30 | 34 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | ±5.9 pp | 273 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 39.9 | 8.6 | 9.5 | 15.5 | N/A | 2.3 | 24.3 | ±4.1 pp | 574 | IVR |
2020 By-election | October 26, 2020 | HTML | 42 | 5.7 | 17 | 32.7 | 1.1 | 1.6 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 25,205 | Election |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 57.4 | 12.1 | 22.3 | 7.1 | N/A | 1.2 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 54,512 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 16, 2021 | 26.8 | 18.8 | 28.1 | 3.5 | 16.6 | 0.8 | 5.5 | ±4.9 pp | 390 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 33.4 | 27.8 | 32.3 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.3 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 56,957 | Election |
Prince Edward Island
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 5, 2021 | HTML | 36.5 | 25.3 | 7 | 12.1 | N/A | 0.2 | 19 | ±5.9 pp | 280 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 41.4 | 25.6 | 6.5 | 26.5 | N/A | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 23,039 | Election |
Quebec
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SOM | March 29, 2021 | HTML | 25 | 9 | 5.5 | 20 | N/A | N/A | 6 | 35 | ±5.1 pp | 501 | IVR |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 25 | 15 | 10 | 45.5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 50,155 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 4, 2021 | 26 | 30 | 12 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | ±5.5 pp | 313 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 10, 2021 | 16.7 | 14.2 | 14.1 | 35.1 | 3.8 | 7.4 | 1.3 | 7.5 | ±5.6 pp | 308 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 4, 2021 | 33 | 17 | 8 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 | ±5.1 pp | 370 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 2, 2021 | 24.0 | 27.7 | 6.6 | 24.5 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 8.5 | ±5.5 pp | 314 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 11, 2021 | 31.0 | 14.4 | 5.4 | 40.8 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 3.3 | ±5.2 pp | 355 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 27, 2021 | 42.4 | 5.1 | 6.1 | 34.1 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 6.4 | ±5.6 pp | 311 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 34.2 | 6.3 | 8.5 | 38.5 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 59,844 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 19, 2021 | 33 | 24 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | ±4.9 pp | 398 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 48.9 | 16.8 | 10.5 | 16.1 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 62,508 | Election |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 31, 2021 | 29 | 17 | 8 | 33 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | ±4.7 pp | 436 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 29, 2021 | 29 | 19 | 3 | 31 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | ±5.5 pp | 322 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 13, 2021 | 38.2 | 10.8 | 4.6 | 40.1 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 2.2 | ±6.6 pp | 221 | IVR |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Bloc | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | September 15, 2021 | 28 | 32 | 2 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | ±5 pp | 300 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 26 | 25.2 | 16.7 | 28.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 60,538 | Election |
Saskatchewan
[edit]Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Liberal | Cons. | NDP | Green | PPC | Others | Undecided | Margin of Error[1] |
Sample Size[2] |
Polling Method[3] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research | August 25, 2021 | 19 | 28.6 | 28.8 | 2.4 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 15.5 | ±5.6 pp | 305 | IVR | |
2019 Election | October 21, 2019 | HTML | 7.3 | 47.7 | 40.3 | 2.7 | 2.0 | N/A | N/A | ±0.0 pp | 38,985 | Election |
See also
[edit]- Opinion polling for the 2019 Canadian federal election by constituency
- Opinion polling for the 2021 Canadian federal election
Notes
[edit]Notes
- 1 In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the latter is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls—because of their opt-in method of recruiting panellists which results in a non-random sample—cannot have a margin of error.[1] In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.[2]
- 2 Refers to the total sample size, including undecided and non-voters.
- 3 "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey.
References
[edit]- ^ "MRIA Responds to "Evaluating the Polls: An Open Letter to Ontario's Journalists"". Marketing Research and Intelligence Association. September 16, 2011. Archived from the original on February 22, 2012. Retrieved October 6, 2012.
- ^ American Association for Public Opinion Research (undated), Best Practices for Survey and Public Opinion Research Archived November 30, 2014, at the Wayback Machine, retrieved October 17, 2012