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Opinion polling for the 2022 Philippine presidential election

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This article covers opinion polling for the 2022 Philippine presidential and vice presidential elections. Opinion polling in Philippines is conducted by Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia, RP- Mission and Development Foundation Inc. (RPMD), OCTA Research, and other pollsters. Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The front-runner is in bold. Those that are within the margin of error are in italics.

Calendar

[edit]
Further information: 2022 Philippine general election § Calendar
  • Filing of candidacies: October 1 to 8, 2021
  • Deadline in substituting a candidate for it to appear on the ballot: November 15, 2021
  • Campaign period for nationally elected positions: February 8 to May 7, 2022
  • Campaign period for locally elected positions: March 25 to May 7, 2022
  • Election day: May 9, 2022

Polling for president

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Graphical summary

[edit]

From the start of the campaign period to Election Day

[edit]
Fieldwork
date(s) 		Pollster Sample
size 		MoE Abella
Ind. 		De Guzman
PLM 		Gonzales
PDSP 		Lacson
Ind.[a] 		Mangondato
Katipunan 		Marcos
PFP 		Montemayor
DPP 		Moreno
Aksyon 		Pacquiao
PROMDI 		Robredo
Ind. 		Others Und./
None 		Ref.
May 9 Election results 56,097,722 N/A 0.21 0.17 0.17 1.66 0.56 58.77 0.11 3.59 6.81 27.94 N/A
Exit poll Publicus Asia[1] 29,024 — — — 3 — 58 — 6 7 25 1 — —
May 2–5 Publicus Asia[2] 1,500 ±3.0% 1 2 1 4 — 54 — 8 2 22 0 6 / 0 —
Apr 22–30 Mobilis–TruthWatch[3][4] 2,400 ±2% — — — 2 — 55 — 3 5 32 1 — —
Apr 22–25 OCTA[5][6] 2,400 ±2% — 0.2 0.2 2 1 58 — 8 5 25 — 0.1 / 0.04 0.3
Apr 19–21 Publicus Asia[7] 1,500 ±3.0% 1 2 0 4 — 57 — 6 2 21 0 6 / 0 —
Apr 16–21 Pulse Asia[8] 2,400 ±2.0% 1 0.3 0.1 2 1 56 0.1 4 7 23 — — / 1 5
Apr 14–20 Laylo[9][10] 3,000 ±2.0% — — — 2 — 64 — 5 5 21 0.4 3 / — —
Apr 18–19 MBC–DZRH[11] 7,560 ±1.13% 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.6 0.6 52.9 0.3 8.2 5.8 24.3 — 3.9 / — —
Apr 4–15 I&AC[12] 2,440 ±3.0% 0.375 1 0.125 5 0.375 55 0.125 11.75 6.5 18.5 — 1.25 / — —
Apr 2–6 OCTA[13] 1,200 ±3% 1 0.1 0.001 4 0.1 57 — 9 7 22 — 0.5 / 0.008 —
Mar 30–Apr 6 Publicus Asia[14] 1,500 ±3.0% 1 0 0 4 — 56 — 9 2 23 0 5 / 1 —
Apr 1–4 RMN–APCORE[15] 2,400 ±2.0% — — — 1.8 — 59 — 8.3 4.2 20.7 <1 5.5 / — —
April 3 Second COMELEC presidential debate
March 24 Lacson resigns from Partido Reporma; Reporma switches endorsement from Lacson to Robredo
Mar 22–Apr 1 Mobilis–TruthWatch[16] 2,505 ±3% — — — 2 — 52 — 10 4 30 — 2 / — —
Mar 15–22 Laylo[17] 3,000 ±2.0% — — — 2 — 61 — 9 6 19 — 2 / — —
Mar 15–22 RP-MDF[18] 10,000 ±1.0% — — — 7 — 53 — 9 2 28 — 1 / — —
March 21 PDP–Laban endorses Marcos
Mar 17–21 Pulse Asia[19] 2,400 ±2.0% 0.1 0.02 0 2 1 56 0.05 8 6 24 — 1 / 1 0.5
March 19 First COMELEC presidential debate
Mar 9–14 Publicus Asia[20] 1,500 ±3.0% 0.5 0.7 0.3 4.2 — 55.1 — 8.2 1.8 21 0.1 7.9 / 0.3 —
Mar 7–13 I&AC[21] 1,800 ±3.0% 0.5 1 0.25 7.75 0.25 51.25 0.25 10.25 4.5 20.75 — 3.25 / — —
Mar 12 MBC–DZRH[22] 7,566 ±1.13% 0.2 0.5 0.2 4.7 1.2 49.8 0.3 9.8 8 21.4 — 3.9 / — —
Mar 2–5 RMN–APCORE[23] 2,400 ±2.0% — — — 3 — 55 — 12 5 18 2 6 / — —
February 27 CNN Philippines presidential debate
Feb 22–28 RP-MDF[24] 10,000 ±1.0% — — — 4 — 53 — 11 5 25 — 2 / — —
Feb 18–23 Pulse Asia[25] 2,400 ±2.0% 0 0.1 0 2 0.4 60 0.01 10 8 15 — 3 / 1 0.4
Feb 14–21 Laylo[26] 3,000 ±2.0% — — — 3 — 63 — 7 7 17 — 3 / — —
Feb 12–17 OCTA[27] 1,200 ±3.0% — — — 3 — 55 — 11 10 15 — 5 / 0.3 1
Feb 11–16 Publicus Asia[28] 1,500 ±2.6% 0.5 0.7 — 3.3 — 52.3 — 8.9 2.7 22.3 0.1 8.9 / 0.5 —
February 15 SMNI presidential debate
Feb 9–15 I&AC[29] 1,200 ±3.0% 0.25 1.13 — 8.75 0.13 53 0.25 11.25 6 16.75 — 2.5 / — —

From the end of candidacy filing to the start of the campaign period

[edit]
Fieldwork
date(s) 		Pollster Sample
size 		MoE Abella
Ind. 		De Guzman
PLM 		Gonzales
PDSP 		Lacson
Reporma 		Mangondato
Katipunan 		Marcos
PFP 		Montemayor
DPP 		Moreno
Aksyon 		Pacquiao
PROMDI 		Robredo
Ind. 		Others Und./
None 		Ref.
2022
Jan 28–31 SWS[30][31] 1,200 ±3.0% 0.04 0.3 0 6 0.04 50 0.1 11 11 19 — 3 / — —
Jan 26–30 RMN–APCORE[32] 2,400 ±2.0% 0.3 0.2 0.2 3 — 57 — 12 4 17 — 6 / — —
Jan 22–30 RP-MDF[33] 10,000 ±1.0% 0.34 — — 8 — 45.02 — 16.25 9.71 20.06 — — —
Jan 10–26 Laylo[34] 15,450 ±0.8% — — — 3 — 64 — 6 6 16 — — —
Jan 19–24 Pulse Asia[35] 2,400 ±2.0% 0.05 0.02 0 4 0.3 60 0 8 8 16 — 2 / 1 1
Jan 17–23 Laylo[36] 3,000 ±2% — — — 4 — 64 — 7 7 16 — 3 / — —
Jan 10–16 I&AC[37][38] 2,400 ±3% 0.25 1 0.25 8 — 51 — 14 10 11 — 3.5 —
2021
Dec 11–12 MBC–DZRH[39] 7,614 ±1.13% — 0.3 — 4.9 — 49.2 — 10.4 8.2 16.2 6.3 4.5 / — —
Dec 7–12 OCTA[40] 1,200 ±3.0% 0.02 0.001 — 5 — 54 — 12 10 14 — 1 / 4 0.1
Dec 6–12 I&AC[41] 1,200 ±3.0% 0.25 2 0.25 13 — 43 — 11 16 12 1 1.5 / — —
Dec 6–10 Publicus Asia[42] 1,500 ±2.6% 0.5 — — 3.4 — 51.9 — 7.9 2.3 20.2 3.9 8.3 / 0.9 —
Dec 1–6 Pulse Asia[43] 2,400 ±2.0% — 0.004 0 6 — 53 — 8 8 20 0.01 3 / 1 1
November 30 Bong Go announces his withdrawal from the presidential election.
Nov 23–29 RMN–APCORE[44] 2,400 ±3.0% 0.17 0.17 0.08 3 — 55 — 13 4 13 8 4 / — —
Nov 16–24 RP-MDF[45] 10,000 ±2.0% 0.1 — — 6.35 — 23.94 — 21.75 15.94 15.1 14.25 2.56
Nov 16–20 I&AC[46] 1,200 ±3.0% 0.25 0.875 0.125 12 — 36.5 — 10.75 16.75 13 8.25 1.5 / — —
November 9–15 Ronald dela Rosa withdraws; Bong Go substitutes for Grepor Belgica for president.
Nov 16–18 Publicus Asia[47] 1,500 ±2.6% 0.4 0.3 — 2.9 — 56.7 — 6.9 3.0 15.4 4.3 8.8 / 1.5 —
Oct 17–26 RP-MDF[48][49][50] 10,000 ±2.0% 0.81 — — 7.08 — 23.10 — 25.39 17.88 18.31 3.41 4.02
Oct 20–23 SWS[51] 1,200 ±3.0% — — — 5 — 47 — 13 9 18 5 3 / — —
Oct 11–18 Publicus Asia[52] 1,500 ±2.6% 0.6 — — 2.9 — 49.3 — 8.8 2.8 21.3 4 8.6 / 1.7 —
Sep 27–Oct 8 I&AC[53] 2,400 ±2.5% — 3.25 1.25 12.5 — 23.5 — 18 19.75 14 7.75 — —

Until candidacy filing ended in October 2021

[edit]
Fieldwork
date(s) 		Pollster Sample
size 		MoE
Alvarez (Reporma)
 Others Und./
Ref.
2021
October 1–8 Filing of certificates of candidacies
Sep 6–11 Pulse Asia[54][55][56] 2,400 ±2.0% — 0.1 — — 4 20 3 — 6 15 13 12 9 8 0.1 1 0.3 7
Jul 24–31 MBC–DZRH[57] 7,500 ±1.13% — — 2.8 — 2.1 25.4 3.5 1 3.3 17.7 11.2 10 10 8.3 — 1.6 — 2.8
Jul 13–19 Publicus Asia[58] 1,500 ±2.6% — — 0.3 0.2 0.8 20.8 3.3 0.8 2.9 17.8 11.3 3.6 5.1 13.2 1 — 4.3 11.8
Jul 12–18 OCTA[59][60] 1,200 ±3.0% — — 2 0 5 28 4 1 2 13 11 10 10 5 — 1 3 6
Jun 7–16 Pulse Asia[61][62] 2,400 ±2.0% 0.1 — 2 0.3 2 28 3 0.3 4 13 14 8 10 6 0.1 2 0.1 8
Feb 22 – Mar 3 Pulse Asia[63][64][65] 2,400 ±2.0% — — 3 0.2 2 27 5 1 2 13 12 11 12 7 0.3 — 0.1 4
Jan 26 – Feb 1 OCTA[66] 1,200 ±3.0% — — — — — 22 — — — 12 11 12 13 5 — — — —
2020
Nov 23 – Dec 2 Pulse Asia[67][68] 2,400 ±2.0% — — — 0.1 3 26 4 0.2 4 14 12 10 14 8 — — 1 4

Polling for vice president

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Graphical summary

[edit]

From the start of the campaign period to Election Day

[edit]
Fieldwork
date(s) 		Pollster Sample
size 		MoE Atienza
PROMDI 		Bello
PLM 		David
DPP 		Duterte
Lakas 		Lopez
WPP 		Ong
Aksyon 		Pangilinan
LP 		Serapio
Katipunan 		Sotto
NPC 		Others Und./
None 		Ref.
May 9 Election results 56,097,722 N/A 0.52 0.19 0.11 61.53 0.31 3.59 17.82 0.17 15.76 N/A
Exit poll Publicus Asia[1] 29,024 — — — 67 — 4 16 — 11 2 — —
May 2–5 Publicus Asia[2] 1,500 ±3.0% 1 1 — 59 — 9 16 — 9 0 4 / 1 —
Apr 22–30 Mobilis–TruthWatch[4] 2,400 ±2% 1 — — 55 — 4 13 — 24 3 — —
Apr 22–25 OCTA[6] 2,400 ±2.0% 1 0.03 — 56 0.1 4 16 0.001 22 — 0.5 / 0.7 0.1
Apr 19–21 Publicus Asia[7] 1,500 ±3.0% 1 1 — 59 — 8 15 — 9 — 6 / 1 —
Apr 16–21 Pulse Asia[8] 2,400 ±2.0% 0.5 0.4 0.1 55 1 3 16 0.3 18 — — / 1 5
Apr 14–20 Laylo[9] 3,000 ±2.0% 1 — — 62 — 4 12 — 18 0.4 3 / — —
Apr 18–19 MBC–DZRH[69] 7,560 ±1.13% 1.1 0.2 0.2 54.2 0.4 6.6 15.1 0.5 16.9 — 4.8 / — —
Apr 4–15 I&AC[12] 2,440 ±3.0% 2 0.375 0.5 50.5 0 9 8 0.125 27.5 — 2 / — —
Apr 2–6 OCTA[13] 1,200 ±3.0% 0.7 0.1 0.02 57 0.1 7 12 0 23 — 0.4 / 0.001 0
Mar 30–Apr 6 Publicus Asia[14] 1,500 ±3.0% 1 1 — 58 — 9 15 — 11 — 6 / 1 —
Apr 1–4 RMN–APCORE[15] 2,400 ±2.0% 1 — — 57.3 — 4.8 12.8 — 17.4 — 6 / — —
Mar 22–Apr 1 Mobilis–TruthWatch[16] 2,505 ±3% 1 — — 50 — 6 18 — 21 — 4 / — —
Mar 15–22 Laylo[70] 3,000 ±2.0% 2 — — 60 — 7 12 — 17 — 2 / — —
Mar 15–22 RP-MDF[71] 10,000 ±1.0% 1 — — 54 — 2 7 — 35 — — —
Mar 17–21 Pulse Asia[19] 2,400 ±2.0% 1 0.1 0.01 56 0.3 5 15 0.01 20 — 2 / 1 0.4
March 20 COMELEC vice presidential debate
Mar 9–14 Publicus Asia[20] 1,500 ±3.0% 0.7 0.9 — 56.5 — 10.6 12.8 — 9.9 0.3 7.7 / 0.5 —
Mar 7–13 I&AC[21] 1,800 ±3.0% 2.5 0.5 1 48.75 0.25 10.75 8 0.25 25.25 — 2.75 / — —
Mar 12 MBC–DZRH[72] 7,566 ±1.13% 1.2 0.3 0.5 51.8 0.5 7.7 14.2 0.7 17.9 — 5.1 / — —
Mar 2–5 RMN–APCORE[73] 2,400 ±2.0% 1 — — 53 — 6 12 — 19 2 7 / — —
February 26 CNN Philippines vice presidential debate
Feb 22–28 RP-MDF[24] 10,000 ±1.0% 1 — — 58 — 4 7 — 29 — 1 / — —
Feb 18–23 Pulse Asia[25] 2,400 ±2.0% 1 0.1 0 53 0.1 6 11 0.01 24 — 3 / 1 0.1
Feb 14–21 Laylo[74] 3,000 ±2.0% 3 — — 60 — 4 11 — 19 — 3 / — —
Feb 12–17 OCTA[27] 1,200 ±3.0% 1 0 0 43 0 7 10 0.1 33 — 4 / 1 2
Feb 11–16 Publicus Asia[28] 1,500 ±3.0% 1.3 0.2 — 53.5 — 12.6 13.7 — 9.2 0.1 8.6 / 0.8 —
Feb 9–15 I&AC[37][38] 1,200 ±3.0% 2 0.5 — 54 — 11 4 — 25 — 3.5 / — —

From the end of candidacy filing to the start of the campaign period

[edit]
Fieldwork
date(s) 		Pollster Sample
size 		MoE Atienza
PROMDI 		Bello
PLM 		David
DPP 		Duterte
Lakas 		Lopez
WPP 		Ong
Aksyon 		Pangilinan
LP 		Serapio
Katipunan 		Sotto
NPC 		Others Und./
None 		Ref.
2022
Jan 28–31 SWS[31][75] 1,200 ±3.0% 2 0.3 0.4 44 1 7 10 0.2 33 — 3 / — —
Jan 26–30 RMN–APCORE[76] 2,400 ±2.0% 1.9 0.1 — 45.3 — 7.6 9.9 — 26 — 5 / — —
Jan 22–30 RP-MDF[33] 10,000 ±1.0% 1.62 — — 52.05 — 3.60 6.22 — 35.95 — — —
Jan 10–26 Laylo[77] 15,450 ±0.8% 1 — — 60 — 5 9 — 19 1 4 / — —
Jan 19–24 Pulse Asia[35] 2,400 ±2.0% 1 0.02 0.02 50 0.1 5 11 0.1 29 — 1 / 1 1
January 21 The Cusi faction of PDP–Laban endorses Duterte
Jan 10–16 I&AC[37][38] 2,400 ±3.0% 3 1.5 — 54 — 6 9 — 25 — 2.5 / — —
2021
Dec 11–12 MBC–DZRH[78] 7,614 ±1.13% 2.2 0.9 — 50.5 — 8.4 10.2 — 20.7 — 7.2 / — —
Dec 7–12 OCTA[40] 1,200 ±3.0% 1 0.07 — 50 — 4 9 — 33 — 2 / 1 0
Dec 6–12 I&AC[41] 1,200 ±3.0% 5 1 — 36 — 4 8 — 44 — 2 / — —
Dec 6–10 Publicus Asia[42] 1,500 ±2.6% 1.5 0.7 — 54.8 — 11.2 9.7 — 11 0.1 9.5 / 1.5 —
Dec 1–6 Pulse Asia[43] 2,400 ±2.0% 1 0.01 — 45 — 6 12 — 31 — 3 / 2 1
Nov 23–29 RMN–APCORE[79] 2,400 ±3.0% 2 0.08 — 48 — 9 11 — 25 — 5 / — —
Nov 16–24 RPMD[80] 10,000 ±2.0% 2.11 — — 44.88 — 6.96 11.34 — 33.2 — 1.5
Nov 16–20 I&AC[46] 1,200 ±3.0% 3 1 — 30 — 10 11 — 43 — 2 / — —
Nov 16–18 Publicus Asia[47] 1,500 ±2.6% 1.3 0.4 — 54.4 — 8.9 9 — 10.1 0.3 13.7 / 1.9 —
November 9–13 Sara Duterte resigns from HNP; swears in as chairperson of Lakas, substitutes Lyle Fernando Uy to run for vice president.
Oct 17–26 RPMD[48][49][50] 10,000 ±2.0% 2.15 — — 33.11 — 8.94 11.13 — 26.87 14.92 2.88
Oct 20–23 SWS[51] 1,200 ±3.0% 3 — — 25 — 13 13 — 44 — 2 / — —
Oct 11–18 Publicus Asia[52] 1,500 ±2.6% 2.6 — — — — 19 12.3 — 17.3 25.6 16.9 / 6.3 —
Sep 27–Oct 8 I&AC[53] 2,400 ±2.5% 8.5 — — — — 8 18 — 44 21.5 — —

Until candidacy filing ended in October 2021

[edit]
Fieldwork
date(s) 		Pollster Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Others Und./
Ref.
2021
Sep 6–11 Pulse Asia[55][54][81] 2,400 ±2.0% — 2 6 1 14 — — 7 12 12 7 — 4 25 0.5 2 2 0.1 5
Jul 24–31 MBC–DZRH[57] 7,500 ±1.13% — 1.5 5 — 15.6 10.5 5.3 4.9 10.8 10.5 6.5 10.8 — 9.3 0.6 — 2.5 4.1 —
Jul 12–18 OCTA[59][60] 1,200 ±3.0% — — 10 1 18 — 5 4 9 11 6 10 — 7 0 2 1 9 7
Jun 7–16 Pulse Asia[61][62] 2,400 ±2.0% 0.3 3 8 0.2 18 0.03 7 5 10 14 9 — 4 10 1 2 2 0.1 6
Feb 22 – Mar 3 Pulse Asia[63][64][65] 2,400 ±2.0% — 3 7 1 — 15 7 9 11 16 15 — — 11 0.5 — 3 0.1 4
Jan 26 – Feb 1 OCTA[66] 1,200 — — — — — — 14 — — — 11 11 10 — — — — — — —
2020
Nov 23 – Dec 2 Pulse Asia[67][68] 2,400 ±2.0% — 2 5 2 — 16 6 9 11 17 11 — — 14 — — 2 1 4

Footnotes

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  1. ^ Originally ran under Partido para sa Demokratikong Reporma; resigned from the party mid-way through the campaign. Still labeled as a Reporma candidate on the official ballots.

References

[edit]
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