Opinion polling for the 2022 Australian federal election

In the lead-up to the 2022 Australian federal election, a number of polling companies conducted regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collected data on parties' primary vote, and contained an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote. They also asked questions about the electorates' views on major party leaders. Key polling companies are YouGov, Essential Media Communications, Roy Morgan Research, and Resolve Strategic.

Ipsos polls used to be published in The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age and the Australian Financial Review;^[1]^[2] however following the shock result of the 2019 Australian federal election, when the Coalition won the election against all of the opinion polls' predictions, the Nine Entertainment group decided to discontinue its relationship with that company.^[3] The newspapers did not report any Ipsos political polling until 4 Apr 2022,^[4] but continued to report the results of other Ipsos polls.^[5]

Graphical summary

Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last federal election. Local regression trends for each party, weighted by sample size, are shown as solid lines.

Two party preferred

Primary vote

Voting intention

Assessment of polling accuracy

Following the ‘polling failure’ of the 2019 Australian federal election, where all the major polling organisations’ final polls erroneously predicted a Labor victory, a great deal of attention was paid to changes in methodology and the accuracy of the polls at the 2022 election.

Post-election, several well-known psephologists undertook assessments of accuracy for the voting results produced by each major pollster’s final poll. These employed differing methods of assessment, but generally determined that the polling industry was more accurate overall than in 2019, though still tended to overstate Labor’s primary vote share.

William Bowe (The Poll Bludger) summed this up by saying, “The 2022 federal election was a much happier experience for the polling industry than 2019, with each of five pollster producing election eve primary vote numbers broadly suggestive of the actual result. However, there was a collective error in favour of Labor, whose actual primary vote came in 2.3% below the pollster consensus while the Coalition landed 0.4% higher”.^[6]

Psephologists Dr. Adrian Beaumont of The Conversation found Resolve Strategic’s final poll for the Nine newspapers to be the most accurate.^[7]

Dr. Kevin Bonham’s polling blog said YouGov (which conducts Newspoll) was the best poll in three of the five categories, and "made the most useful contributions to forecasting the result". Solely based on the final poll, he shared the honours between Resolve Strategic and Newspoll on the basis that the former performed better on three of the four measures in his analysis, but the latter performed better on the measure he considered to be more important. ^[8]

2022

Date	Brand	Interview mode	Sample size	Primary vote							2pp vote
Date	Brand	Interview mode	Sample size	L/NP	ALP	GRN	ONP	UAP	OTH	UND	L/NP	ALP
21 May 2022	Election^[9]^[10]			35.7%	32.6%	12.2%	5.0%	4.1%	10.4%	—	47.9%	52.1%
23 May–5 Jun 2022	ANU^[11]	CATI/online	3556	31.9%	35.4%	19.8%	—	—	12.9%^[a]	—	—	—
21–25 May 2022	Dynata (Exit Poll)^[12]	Online	1424	33%	41%	11%	4%	—	11%	—	—	—
13–19 May 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[13]	Online	2188	35%	36%	12%	5%	3%	9%	—	47%	53%
15–18 May 2022	Ipsos^[14]	Telephone/online	1996	35%	36%	13%	5%	3%	8%	—	47%	53%
12–17 May 2022	Resolve Strategic^[15]^[16]	Telephone/online	2049	34.4%	31.3%	13.5%	5.8%	4.4%	10.5%^[b]	—	48.8%	51.2%
14–16 May 2022	Essential^[17]	Online	1600	36%	35%	9%	4%	3%	6%^[c]	7%	46%	48%
9–15 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[18]	Telephone/online	1366	34%	34%	13%	4%	1%	14%	—	47%	53%
10–13 May 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[19]	Online	1532	35%	38%	11%	6%	3%	7%	—	46%	54%
9 May 2022	Early voting begins^[20]
2–8 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[21]	Telephone/online	1401	34%	35.5%	13%	4%	1%	12.5%	—	45.5%	54.5%
4–7 May 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[22]	Online	1523	35%	39%	11%	5%	4%	6%	—	46%	54%
4–7 May 2022	Ipsos^[23]	Telephone/online	2311	29%	35%	12%	4%	3%	10%	7%	43%	57%
25 Apr–1 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[24]	Telephone/online	1487	35%	35%	13%	3%	1%	13%	—	44.5%	55.5%
27–30 Apr 2022	Essential^[25]	Online	1500	36%	35%	10%	3%	4%	5%	6%	45%	49%
27–30 Apr 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[26]	Online	1538	36%	38%	11%	5%	4%	6%	—	47%	53%
27–30 Apr 2022	Resolve Strategic^[27]	Online	1408	33%	34%	15%	5%	5%	8%	—	46%	54%
18–24 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[28]	Telephone/online	1393	35.5%	35%	12%	4.5%	1.5%	11.5%	—	45.5%	54.5%
20–23 Apr 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[29]	Online	1538	36%	37%	11%	3%	4%	9%	—	47%	53%
20–23 Apr 2022	Ipsos^[30]	Telephone/online	2302	32%	34%	12%	4%	3%	8%	8%	45%	55%
19–20 Apr 2022	Essential^[31]	Online	1052	37%	35%	9%	3%	4%	5%	7%	46%	47%
11–17 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[32]	Telephone/online	1382	35.5%	35%	14%	4.5%	1.5%	9.5%	—	45%	55%
14–17 Apr 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[33]	Online	1510	35%	36%	12%	4%	4%	9%	—	47%	53%
11–16 Apr 2022	Resolve Strategic^[34]	Online	1404	35%	34%	11%	4%	4%	13%	—	—	—
10 Apr 2022	Australian federal election campaign begins with calling of 21 May election^[35]
4–10 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[36]	Telephone/online	1384	32.5%	36%	12.5%	5%	1.5%	12.5%	—	43%	57%
6–9 Apr 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[37]	Online	1506	36%	37%	10%	3%	4%	10%	—	47%	53%
31 Mar–3 Apr 2022	Resolve Strategic^[38]	Online	1681	34%	38%	11%	2%	3%	12%	—	—	—
28 Mar–3 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[39]	Telephone/online	1367	33%	39.5%	11%	3.5%	1%	12%	—	43%	57%
31 Mar–3 Apr 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[40]	Online	1531	36%	38%	10%	3%	3%	10%	—	46%	54%
30 Mar–2 Apr 2022	Essential^[41]	Online	1086	37%	36%	10%	4%	3%	5%	5%	45%	50%
30 Mar–2 Apr 2022	Ipsos^[42]	Telephone/online	2563	31%	35%	10%	4%	2%	8%	7%	42%	51%
21–27 Mar 2022	Roy Morgan^[43]	Online	1404	33%	35.5%	12.5%	3.5%	1%	14.5%	—	44.5%	55.5%
14–16 Mar 2022	Essential^[17]	Online	1600	36%	35%	9%	4%	3%	6%^[d]	7%	46%	48%
14–20 Mar 2022	Roy Morgan^[44]	Telephone/online	1418	31%	37.5%	12%	3%	1%	15.5%	—	42%	58%
3–13 Mar 2022	Roy Morgan^[45]	Telephone/online	1947	33.5%	37%	11.5%	3%	1%	14%^[e]	—	44%	56%
9–12 Mar 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[46]	Online	1520	35%	41%	8%	3%	3%	10%	—	45%	55%
2–6 Mar 2022	Essential^[47]	Online	1093	36%	35%	10%	3%	3%	4%	7%	44%	49%
24 Feb–3 Mar 2022	Roy Morgan^[48]	Telephone/online	1141	34%	37.5%	11.5%	3.5%	1%	12.5%^[f]	—	43.5%	56.5%
23–26 Feb 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[49]	Online	1525	35%	41%	9%	3%	4%	8%	—	45%	55%
14–23 Feb 2022	Roy Morgan^[50]	Telephone/online	2261	32.5%	37.5%	12.5%	3.5%	1.5%	12.5%^[g]	—	43.5%	56.5%
15–20 Feb 2022	Resolve Strategic^[51]	Online	1604	33%	35%	10%	3%	4%	15%	—	—	—
17–20 Feb 2022	Essential^[52]	Online	1089	35%	38%	9%	5%	3%	4%	6%	45%	49%
31 Jan–13 Feb 2022	Roy Morgan^[53]	Telephone/online	2796	33%	38.5%	11.5%	4%	1.5%	11.5%	—	43%	57%
9–12 Feb 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[54]	Online	1526	34%	41%	8%	3%	—	14%	—	45%	55%
2–6 Feb 2022	Essential^[55]	Online	1069	37%	35%	9%	4%	2%	5%	8%	46%	47%
27–30 Jan 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[56]	Online	1523	34%	41%	11%	3%	—	11%	—	44%	56%
17–30 Jan 2022	Roy Morgan^[57]	Telephone/online	2783	33%	37.5%	11.5%	3.5%	2%	12.5%	—	43.5%	56.5%
20–23 Jan 2022	Essential^[58]	Online	1062	36%	37%	8%	3%	—	9%	8%	43%	50%
4–16 Jan 2022	Roy Morgan^[59]	Telephone/online	2791	34.5%	37%	12%	3%	0.5%	13%	—	44%	56%
11–15 Jan 2022	Resolve Strategic^[60]	Online	1607	34%	35%	11%	3%	—	17%	—	—	—

2019–2021

Date	Brand	Interview mode	Sample size	Primary vote						2pp vote
Date	Brand	Interview mode	Sample size	L/NP	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	UND	L/NP	ALP
8–13 Dec 2021	Essential^[61]	Online	1095	36%	36%	9%	4%	6%	8%	45%	47%
11–12, 18–19 Dec 2021	Roy Morgan^[62]^[63]	Telephone/online	—	34.5%	37%	11.5%	4%	13%	—	44.5%	55.5%
1–5 Dec 2021	Essential^[64]	Online	1094	38%	35%	10%	3%	7%	8%	45%	48%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021	Roy Morgan^[65]	Telephone/online	2805	34.5%	36%	12.5%	3.5%	13.5%^[h]	—	43.5%	56.5%
1–4 Dec 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[66]	Online	1518	36%	38%	10%	3%	13%	—	47%	53%
17–21 Nov 2021	Essential^[67]^[68]	Online	1095	36%	37%	10%	4%	7%	7%	45%	48%
17–21 Nov 2021	Resolve Strategic^[69]	Online	1781	39%	32%	11%	3%	14%	—	—	—
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021	Roy Morgan^[70]	Telephone/online	2795	35.5%	35.5%	12%	3.5%	13.5%	—	44.5%	55.5%
10–13 Nov 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[71]	Online	1524	37%	38%	11%	2%	12%	—	47%	53%
3–7 Nov 2021	Essential^[67]^[68]	Online	1089	35%	37%	9%	3%	6%	10%	44%	46%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021	Roy Morgan^[72]	Telephone/online	2723	36.5%	35%	11.5%	3%	14%	—	46.5%	53.5%
20–24 Oct 2021	Essential^[73]	Online	1781	37%	36%	10%	3%	8%	6%	44%	49%
20–24 Oct 2021	Resolve Strategic^[74]^[75]	Online	~1600	37%	34%	11%	3%	14%	—	—	—
16–17, 23–24 Oct 2021	Roy Morgan^[76]	Telephone/online	2778	36.5%	35%	13.5%	3.5%	11.5%	—	46%	54%
20–23 Oct 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[77]	Online	1515^[78]	35%	38%	11%	3%	13%	—	46%	54%
6–10 Oct 2021	Essential^[73]	Online	1097	36%	34%	9%	4%	8%	9%	45%	46%
2–3, 9–10 Oct 2021	Roy Morgan^[79]	Telephone/online	2794	37.5%	36%	11.5%	3%	12%	—	47%	53%
29 Sep–2 Oct 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[80]	Online	1545	37%	37%	11%	2%	13%	—	47%	53%
22–26 Sep 2021	Essential^[73]	Online	1094	38%	36%	9%	3%	6%	6%	46%	48%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021	Roy Morgan^[81]	Telephone/online	2752	36%	36%	12.5%	3.5%	12%	—	46%	54%
15–19 Sep 2021	Resolve Strategic^[82]	Online	1606	39%	31%	10%	4%	16%	—	—	—
15–18 Sep 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[83]	Online	2144	37%	38%	10%	3%	12%	—	47%	53%
8–12 Sep 2021	Essential^[73]	Online	1100	38%	34%	8%	4%	8%	8%	46%	46%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021	Roy Morgan^[84]	Telephone/online	2735	39.5%	35%	13%	3%	10%	—	47.5%	52.5%
25–29 Aug 2021	Essential^[73]	Online	1100	38%	36%	10%	4%	6%	7%	45%	48%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[85]	Telephone/online	2735	37.5%	38.5%	11.5%	3%	9.5%	—	45.5%	54.5%
25–28 Aug 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[86]	Online	1528	36%	40%	10%	3%	11%	—	46%	54%
17–21 Aug 2021	Resolve Strategic^[87]	Online	1607	40%	32%	12%	2%	14%	—	—	—
16 Aug 2021	Essential^[73]	Online	—	37%	36%	9%	3%	6%	8%	45%	47%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[88]	Telephone/online	2747	37.5%	37.5%	12.5%	3.5%	9%	—	46%	54%
4–7 Aug 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[89]	Online	1527	39%	39%	11%	3%	8%	—	47%	53%
2 Aug 2021	Essential^[73]	Online	—	38%	35%	9%	4%	6%	8%	45%	47%
24–25, 31 Jul–1 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[90]	Telephone/online	2709	37%	37%	12.5%	3%	10.5%	—	46.5%	53.5%
19 Jul 2021	Essential^[91]	Online	—	37%	36%	10%	4%	6%	8%	45%	47%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021	Roy Morgan^[92]	Telephone/online	2737	39%	37%	11.5%	3%	9.5%	—	47.5%	52.5%
13–17 Jul 2021	Resolve Strategic^[93]	Online	1607	38%	35%	12%	4%	12%	—	—	—
14–17 Jul 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[94]	Online	1506	39%	39%	10%	3%	9%	—	47%	53%
5 Jul 2021	Essential^[91]	Online	—	37%	36%	8%	4%	5%	8%	44%	48%
23–26 Jun 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[95]	Online	1513	41%	37%	11%	3%	8%	—	49%	51%
22 Jun 2021	Barnaby Joyce replaces Michael McCormack as National Party leader and Deputy Prime Minister^[96]
21 Jun 2021	Essential^[91]	Online	—	38%	36%	10%	4%	5%	7%	45%	47%
12–13, 19–20 Jun 2021	Roy Morgan^[97]	Telephone/online	2782	41.5%	34.5%	12%	3.5%	8.5%	—	49.5%	50.5%
13 Jun 2021	Resolve Strategic^[98]	Online	1600	40%	36%	10%	3%	12%	—	—	—
7 Jun 2021	Essential^[91]	Online	—	38%	35%	10%	4%	7%	7%	44%	48%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021	Roy Morgan^[99]	Telephone/online	2817	40%	35.5%	11.5%	3%	10%	—	49%	51%
2–5 Jun 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[100]	Online	1516	41%	36%	11%	3%	9%	—	50%	50%
24 May 2021	Essential^[91]	Online	—	37%	35%	10%	3%	6%	8%	44%	48%
12–16 May 2021	Resolve Strategic^[101]	Online	1622	39%	35%	12%	2%	13%	—	—	—
12–15 May 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[102]	Online	1506	41%	36%	12%	2%	9%	—	49%	51%
10 May 2021	Essential^[91]	Online	—	38%	36%	9%	3%	6%	8%	44%	48%
26 Apr 2021	Essential^[91]	Online	—	39%	34%	10%	4%	6%	7%	46%	46%
21–24 Apr 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[103]	Online	1514	41%	38%	10%	3%	8%	—	49%	51%
16 Apr 2021	Resolve Strategic^[104]	CATI/online	2000	38%	33%	12%	6%	11%	—	—	—
12 Apr 2021	Essential^[91]	Online	—	37%	36%	10%	3%	7%	7%	45%	48%
29 Mar 2021	Essential^[91]	Online	—	39%	36%	8%	3%	7%	7%	46%	47%
24–27 Mar 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[105]	Online	1517	40%	38%	11%	2%	9%	—	48%	52%
15 Mar 2021	Essential^[91]	Online	—	38%	34%	9%	3%	8%	7%	47%	47%
6–7, 13–14 Mar 2021	Roy Morgan^[106]	Telephone/online	2747	41%	34.5%	12.5%	2.5%	9.5%	—	49.5%	50.5%
10–13 Mar 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[107]	Online	1521	39%	39%	10%	3%	9%	—	48%	52%
1 Mar 2021	Essential^[91]	Online	—	37%	34%	9%	4%	8%	7%	45%	48%
17–20 Feb 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[108]	Online	1504	42%	37%	10%	3%	8%	—	50%	50%
15 Feb 2021	Essential^[91]	Online	—	39%	35%	8%	4%	7%	6%	47%	47%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021	Roy Morgan^[109]	Telephone/online	2786	40%	34.5%	13%	3.5%	9%	—	49.5%	50.5%
27 Jan–1 Feb 2021	Essential^[110]^[111]	Online	1092	37%	35%	10%	3%	7%	8%	44%	47%
27–30 Jan 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[112]	Online	1512	42%	36%	10%	3%	9%	—	50%	50%
18 Jan 2021	Essential^[110]	Online	—	40%	33%	10%	3%	7%	7%	48%	45%
14 Dec 2020	Essential^[110]	Online	—	37%	35%	8%	4%	7%	9%	45%	46%
30 Nov 2020	Essential^[110]	Online	—	41%	33%	8%	4%	6%	8%	49%	43%
25–28 Nov 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[113]	Online	1511	43%	36%	11%	2%	8%	—	51%	49%
16 Nov 2020	Essential^[110]	Online	—	38%	35%	9%	4%	6%	7%	45%	47%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020	Roy Morgan^[114]	Telephone/online	2824	42%	34%	12%	4%	8%	—	50.5%	49.5%
4–7 Nov 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[115]	Online	1510	43%	35%	11%	3%	8%	—	51%	49%
2 Nov 2020	Essential^[110]	Online	—	39%	35%	9%	3%	5%	9%	44%	46%
14–19 Oct 2020	Essential^[116]	Online	—	39%	35%	9%	3%	7%	8%	48%	45%
12 Oct 2020	Essential^[116]	Online	—	40%	33%	9%	3%	5%	9%	47%	44%
8–10 Oct 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[117]	Online	1527	44%	34%	11%	3%	8%	—	52%	48%
5 Oct 2020	Essential^[116]	Online	—	39%	34%	9%	5%	6%	7%	47%	46%
21 Sep 2020	Essential^[116]	Online	—	41%	31%	10%	4%	5%	9%	49%	42%
16–19 Sep 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[118]	Online	2068	43%	34%	12%	3%	8%	—	51%	49%
7 Sep 2020	Essential^[116]	Online	—	38%	32%	10%	3%	9%	8%	45%	47%
26–29 Aug 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[119]	Online	1507	41%	36%	11%	3%	9%	—	50%	50%
24 Aug 2020	Essential^[116]	Online	—	39%	35%	9%	4%	6%	7%	47%	45%
10 Aug 2020	Essential^[116]	Online	—	38%	34%	9%	4%	5%	10%	46%	44%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020	Roy Morgan^[120]	Telephone/online	2841	46%	32.5%	11%	3%	7.5%	—	54%	46%
5–8 Aug 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[121]	Online	1509	43%	33%	11%	4%	9%	—	52%	48%
23–26 Jul 2020	Essential^[122]	Online	1058	38%	35%	9%	4%	6%	8%	45%	47%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020	Roy Morgan^[123]	Telephone/online	2589	43.5%	33.5%	11%	2.5%	9.5%	—	51.5%	48.5%
15–18 Jul 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[124]	Online	1850	44%	34%	10%	4%	8%	—	53%	47%
13 Jul 2020	Essential^[122]	Online	1054	37%	34%	10%	4%	6%	9%	45%	46%
29 Jun 2020	Essential^[122]	Online	1079	39%	33%	9%	4%	6%	8%	47%	45%
24–27 Jun 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[125]	Online	1521	42%	35%	11%	3%	9%	—	51%	49%
22 Jun 2020	Essential^[122]	Online	1079	39%	33%	10%	5%	6%	7%	48%	46%
13–14, 20–21 Jun 2020	Roy Morgan^[126]	Telephone/online	2593	42.5%	34.5%	10.5%	4%	8.5%	—	50.5%	49.5%
15 Jun 2020	Essential^[122]	Online	1087	38%	35%	9%	5%	7%	7%	47%	47%
8 Jun 2020	Essential^[122]	Online	1073	40%	33%	9%	4%	6%	8%	47%	45%
3–6 Jun 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[127]	Online	1512	42%	34%	12%	4%	8%	—	51%	49%
13–16 May 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[128]	Online	1504	43%	35%	10%	3%	9%	—	51%	49%
18–19, 25–26 Apr 2020	Roy Morgan^[129]	Telephone/online	2806	43.5%	33%	11.5%	3%	9%	—	51.5%	48.5%
22–25 Apr 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[130]	Online	1519	41%	36%	12%	4%	7%	—	50%	50%
1–3 Apr 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[131]	Online	1508	42%	34%	13%	5%	6%	—	51%	49%
11–14 Mar 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[132]	Online	1501	40%	36%	12%	4%	8%	—	49%	51%
27 Feb 2020	COVID-19 pandemic declared a national emergency^[133]
19–22 Feb 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[134]	Online	1513	38%	34%	13%	4%	11%	—	49%	51%
20 Jan–3 Feb 2020	ANU^[135]	CATI/online	3249	34.8%	33.4%	14.7%	—	10.5%	—	—	—
4 Feb 2020	Adam Bandt replaces Richard Di Natale as Greens leader^[136]
29 Jan–1 Feb 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[137]	Online	1510	38%	35%	13%	4%	10%	—	48%	52%
8–11 Jan 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[138]	Online	1505	40%	36%	12%	4%	8%	—	49%	51%
4–8 Dec 2019	Newspoll-YouGov^[139]	Online	1503	42%	33%	11%	5%	9%	—	52%	48%
21–23 Nov 2019	Newspoll-YouGov^[140]	Online^[141]	1519	41%	33%	12%	5%	9%	—	51%	49%
7–10 Nov 2019	Newspoll-YouGov^[142]	IVR/online	1682	40%	35%	12%	7%	6%	—	50%	50%
17–20 Oct 2019	Newspoll-YouGov^[143]	IVR/online	1634	42%	33%	13%	6%	6%	—	51%	49%
26–29 Sep 2019	Newspoll-YouGov^[144]	IVR/online	1658	42%	33%	13%	6%	6%	—	51%	49%
5–7 Sep 2019	Newspoll-YouGov^[145]	IVR/online	1661	43%	35%	12%	5%	5%	—	51%	49%
15–18 Aug 2019	Newspoll-YouGov^[146]	IVR/online	1623	42%	34%	11%	4%	9%	—	51%	49%
25–28 Jul 2019	Newspoll-YouGov^[147]	IVR/online	1601	44%	33%	11%	3%	9%	—	53%	47%
30 May 2019	Anthony Albanese replaces Bill Shorten as Labor leader^[148]
18 May 2019	Election^[149]			41.44%	33.34%	10.4%	3.08%	11.74%	—	51.53%	48.47%

^ Includes ONP, UAP and independents
^ 6% Independents, 4% Other
^ 6% Independents
^ 6% Independents
^ 10.5% Independents, 3.5% Other
^ 9% Independents, 3.5% Other
^ 8.5% Independents, 4% Other
^ 1% UAP, 12.5% Independents/Other

Polling for individual seats

Australian Capital Territory

Date	Brand	Seat	Sample size	Primary vote								2PP vote
Date	Brand	Seat	Sample size	Lib	ALP	GRN	Pocock	Rubenstein	ON	UAP	OTH	Lib	ALP
6 May 2022	RedBridge^[150]	Senate	1064	25%	27%	11%	21%	6%	—	6%	4%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Bean	—	24%	44%	11%	—	—	2%	2%	17%	37%	63%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Canberra	—	20%	46%	24%	—	—	1%	1%	8%	28%	72%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Fenner	—	30%	46%	18%	—	—	2%	2%	2%	36%	64%
6 Apr 2022	RedBridge^[152]	Senate	—	25%	37%	14%	11%	—	—	—	—	—	—
6 Apr 2022	RedBridge^[152]	Senate	—	24%	35%	15%	13%	—	—	—	—	—	—

New South Wales

Date	Brand	Seat	Sample size	Primary vote							2PP vote
Date	Brand	Seat	Sample size	L/NP	ALP	IND	GRN	ON	UAP	OTH	L/NP	ALP	IND	GRN
17 May 2022	Laidlaw Campaigns^[153]	Fowler	618	—	42%	—	—	—	—	—	—	45%	38%	—
15 May 2022	Industry Association^[154]	Robertson	800	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	42%	58%	—	—
15 May 2022	Industry Association^[154]	Reid	800	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	47%	53%	—	—
15 May 2022	Industry Association^[154]	Parramatta	800	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	46%	54%	—	—
15 May 2022	Industry Association^[154]	Gilmore	800	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	44%	56%	—	—
15 May 2022	Industry Association^[154]	Shortland	800	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	43%	57%	—	—
15 May 2022	Industry Association^[154]	Hunter	800	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	49%	51%	—	—
15 May 2022	Industry Association^[154]	Lindsay	800	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	57%	43%	—	—
3–14 May 2022	RedBridge^[155]	North Sydney	1267	33.3%	17.8%	23.5%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1–7 May 2022	RedBridge^[156]	Wentworth	1117	36.0%	11.7%	33.3%	6.2%	—	5.3%	—	—	—	—	—
6 May 2022	Compass Polling^[157]	North Sydney	507	40.5%	21.6%	13.6%	12.9%	3.0%	1.4%	6.1%	54%	46%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Banks	—	45%	38%	^{[note 1]}	9%	2%	3%	3%	52%	48%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Barton	—	36%	49%	^{[note 1]}	9%	2%	3%	3%	41%	59%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Bennelong	—	44%	40%	^{[note 1]}	9%	2%	3%	2%	50%	50%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Blaxland	—	29%	50%	^{[note 1]}	13%	3%	5%	—	36%	64%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Berowra	—	50%	29%	^{[note 1]}	12%	3%	1%	5%	58%	42%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Bradfield	—	49%	30%	^{[note 1]}	11%	2%	3%	5%	58%	42%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Calare	—	43%	26%	^{[note 1]}	5%	9%	6%	11%	60%	40%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Chifley	—	28%	50%	^{[note 1]}	6%	4%	2%	10%	40%	60%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Cook	—	55%	29%	^{[note 1]}	7%	4%	5%	—	62%	38%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Cowper	—	42%	21%	^{[note 1]}	7%	11%	2%	17%	68%	32%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Cunningham	—	29%	46%	^{[note 1]}	15%	3%	6%	1%	37%	63%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Dobell	—	36%	42%	^{[note 1]}	9%	4%	6%	3%	46%	54%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Eden-Monaro	—	35%	44%	^{[note 1]}	7%	3%	2%	9%	43%	57%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Farrer	—	48%	21%	^{[note 1]}	7%	9%	5%	10%	73%	27%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Fowler	—	28%	50%	^{[note 1]}	7%	5%	6%	4%	38%	62%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Gilmore	—	39%	39%	^{[note 1]}	11%	5%	2%	4%	47%	53%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Grayndler	—	20%	53%	^{[note 1]}	20%	1%	1%	5%	—	69%	—	31%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Greenway	—	38%	44%	^{[note 1]}	8%	3%	2%	5%	47%	53%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Hughes	—	42%	31%	^{[note 1]}	6%	2%	5%	14%	56%	44%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Hume	—	47%	32%	^{[note 1]}	6%	4%	5%	6%	59%	41%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Hunter	—	16%	42%	^{[note 1]}	10%	16%	6%	10%	40%	60%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Kingsford Smith	—	35%	44%	^{[note 1]}	15%	2%	4%	—	41%	59%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Lindsay	—	40%	40%	^{[note 1]}	8%	6%	3%	3%	50%	50%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Lyne	—	38%	28%	^{[note 1]}	6%	6%	3%	19%	56%	44%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Macarthur	—	28%	51%	^{[note 1]}	8%	7%	4%	2%	38%	62%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Mackellar	—	45%	20%	^{[note 1]}	7%	3%	2%	23%	53%	—	47%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Macquarie	—	39%	40%	^{[note 1]}	10%	3%	2%	6%	47%	53%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	McMahon	—	35%	39%	^{[note 1]}	7%	5%	5%	5%	44%	56%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Mitchell	—	50%	30%	^{[note 1]}	10%	5%	3%	2%	59%	41%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	New England	—	40%	21%	^{[note 1]}	6%	10%	3%	20%	68%	32%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Newcastle	—	27%	50%	^{[note 1]}	15%	3%	2%	3%	33%	67%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	North Sydney	—	38%	30%	^{[note 1]}	10%	2%	2%	18%	53%	47%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Page	—	37%	31%	^{[note 1]}	9%	6%	2%	15%	52%	48%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Parkes	—	35%	32%	^{[note 1]}	5%	7%	4%	17%	54%	46%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Parramatta	—	37%	47%	^{[note 1]}	7%	3%	2%	4%	43%	57%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Paterson	—	30%	47%	^{[note 1]}	7%	10%	3%	3%	42%	58%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Reid	—	37%	44%	^{[note 1]}	11%	2%	3%	3%	44%	56%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Richmond	—	25%	32%	^{[note 1]}	18%	3%	2%	20%	41%	59%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Riverina	—	41%	29%	^{[note 1]}	6%	6%	5%	13%	59%	41%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Robertson	—	39%	39%	^{[note 1]}	9%	5%	5%	3%	49%	51%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Shortland	—	28%	43%	^{[note 1]}	11%	3%	5%	10%	40%	60%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Sydney	—	23%	51%	^{[note 1]}	21%	1%	2%	2%	28%	72%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Warringah	—	32%	12%	^{[note 1]}	5%	4%	2%	45%	41%	—	59%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Watson	—	29%	55%	^{[note 1]}	7%	5%	4%	11%	35%	65%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Wentworth	—	48%	16%	^{[note 1]}	5%	3%	2%	26%	56%	—	44%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Werriwa	—	36%	41%	^{[note 1]}	7%	4%	5%	7%	47%	53%	—	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Whitlam	—	23%	50%	^{[note 1]}	12%	6%	5%	4%	36%	64%	—	—
28 Apr 2022	RedBridge^[159]	Parramatta	—	26.4%	32.4%	^{[note 1]}	10.7%	—	7.2%	11.9%	45%	55%	—	—
28 Apr 2022	RedBridge^[159]	Wentworth	—	36.6%	16.2%	24.3%	7.0%	—	6.3%	5.3%	47%	—	53%	—
11–12 Apr 2022	Community Engagement^[160]	North Sydney	1114	37.4%	17.4%	19.4%	8.7%	—	5.6%	—	—	—	—	—
7 Apr 2022	uComms^[161]	Mackellar	833	35.2%	18.0%	23.9%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
20–21 Mar 2022	KJC Research^[162]	Wentworth	1036	42%	14%	27%	9%	—	3%	4%	49%	—	51%	—
28 Jan 2022	uComms^[163]	Wentworth	850	35.6%	18.6%	27.7%	7.5%	—	—	—	44%	—	56%	—
28 Jan 2022	uComms^[163]	North Sydney	850	34.1%	22.9%	20%	11.2%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Queensland

Date	Brand	Seat	Sample size	Primary vote						2PP vote
Date	Brand	Seat	Sample size	LNP	ALP	GRN	ON	UAP	OTH	LNP	ALP	OTH
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Blair	—	30%	36%	12%	11%	4%	7%	46%	54%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Bonner	—	46%	32%	15%	4%	3%	—	54%	46%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Bowman	—	44%	32%	12%	6%	5%	1%	55%	45%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Brisbane	—	36%	29%	28%	2%	3%	2%	46%	54%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Capricornia	—	38%	27%	7%	16%	4%	8%	59%	41%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Dawson	—	33%	30%	7%	19%	3%	8%	56%	44%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Dickson	—	42%	30%	13%	4%	5%	6%	53%	47%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Fadden	—	44%	26%	8%	8%	7%	7%	61%	39%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Fairfax	—	45%	24%	15%	7%	4%	5%	58%	42%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Fisher	—	42%	28%	15%	6%	6%	3%	55%	45%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Flynn	—	33%	32%	5%	16%	8%	6%	54%	46%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Forde	—	38%	30%	10%	9%	5%	8%	55%	45%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Griffith	—	32%	36%	26%	3%	3%	—	40%	60%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Groom	—	48%	24%	8%	12%	2%	6%	64%	36%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Herbert	—	38%	27%	7%	11%	4%	13%	56%	44%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Hinkler	—	44%	27%	7%	14%	3%	5%	60%	40%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Kennedy	—	27%	17%	7%	—	6%	43%	38%	—	62%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Leichhardt	—	35%	32%	12%	10%	5%	6%	51%	49%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Lilley	—	38%	41%	13%	4%	1%	3%	46%	54%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Longman	—	36%	38%	6%	11%	2%	7%	50%	50%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Maranoa	—	52%	19%	4%	15%	5%	5%	73%	27%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	McPherson	—	42%	25%	17%	6%	6%	4%	56%	44%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Moncrieff	—	48%	23%	9%	7%	7%	6%	64%	34%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Moreton	—	36%	38%	18%	2%	4%	2%	44%	56%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Oxley	—	33%	46%	12%	6%	3%	—	42%	58%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Petrie	—	44%	31%	10%	6%	7%	2%	56%	44%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Rankin	—	28%	40%	12%	9%	7%	4%	42%	58%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Ryan	—	40%	25%	24%	2%	3%	6%	50%	50%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Wide Bay	—	45%	25%	8%	10%	2%	10%	59%	41%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Wright	—	35%	22%	10%	20%	9%	4%	56%	44%	—
28 Jan 2022	United Workers Union^[164]	Dickson	1200	40%	34%	10%	5%	5%	4%	51%	49%	—

South Australia

Date	Brand	Seat	Sample size	Primary vote							2PP vote
Date	Brand	Seat	Sample size	Lib	ALP	GRN	IND	ON	UAP	OTH	Lib	ALP	OTH
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Adelaide	—	34%	43%	15%	^{[note 1]}	3%	3%	2%	40%	60%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Barker	—	48%	26%	6%	^{[note 1]}	8%	6%	6%	62%	38%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Boothby	—	37%	38%	11%	^{[note 1]}	2%	1%	11%	47%	53%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Grey	—	41%	29%	5%	^{[note 1]}	12%	3%	10%	57%	43%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Hindmarsh	—	34%	43%	13%	^{[note 1]}	3%	3%	4%	42%	58%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Kingston	—	28%	52%	9%	^{[note 1]}	3%	3%	5%	36%	64%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Makin	—	31%	50%	9%	^{[note 1]}	3%	5%	2%	39%	61%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Mayo	—	34%	20%	8%	^{[note 1]}	8%	2%	28%	48%	—	52%
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Spence	—	28%	48%	9%	^{[note 1]}	8%	4%	3%	38%	62%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Sturt	—	42%	36%	15%	^{[note 1]}	2%	2%	3%	50%	50%	—
5 Apr 2022	uComms^[165]	Senate	1052	32.2%	36.1%	11.6%	8.2%^[a]	3.9%	2.7%	3.2%	—	—	—
30 Mar 2022	uComms^[166]	Boothby	801	33.9%	36.3%	11.4%	8.6%	4.8%	3%	—	43%	57%	—
30 Mar 2022	uComms^[166]	Sturt	809	38.4%	33%	11.3%	—	5%	4.1%	—	48%	52%	—

Western Australia

Date	Brand	Seat	Sample size	Primary vote							2PP vote
Date	Brand	Seat	Sample size	Lib	ALP	GRN	IND	ON	UAP	OTH	Lib	ALP	IND
16 May 2022	Utting Research^[167]	Curtin	514	38%	13%	9%	32%		3%	4%	48%	—	52%
15–16 May 2022	YouGov^[168]	Pearce	411	40%	43%	4%	—	1%	2%	9%^{[note 2]}	47%	53%	—
12–13 May 2022	Utting Research^[169]	Swan	—	39%	38%	10%	—	4%	3%	—	47%	53%	—
12–13 May 2022	Utting Research^[169]	Pearce	—	32%	30%	12%	—	7%	6%	—	48%	52%	—
12–13 May 2022	Utting Research^[169]	Hasluck	—	39%	31%	10%	—	9%	6%	—	55%	45%	—
12–13 May 2022	Utting Research^[169]	Tangney	—	47%	35%	8%	—	2%	2%	—	54%	46%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Brand	—	27%	46%	12%	^{[note 1]}	7%	3%	5%	40%	60%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[158]	Curtin	—	41%	24%	15%	^{[note 1]}	3%	3%	14%	56%	44%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Burt	—	28%	46%	13%	^{[note 1]}	5%	2%	6%	38%	62%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Canning	—	39%	33%	8%	^{[note 1]}	6%	1%	13%	53%	47%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Cowan	—	31%	46%	13%	^{[note 1]}	5%	2%	3%	41%	59%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Durack	—	46%	26%	10%	^{[note 1]}	13%	2%	3%	61%	39%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Forrest	—	47%	26%	13%	^{[note 1]}	9%	1%	4%	60%	40%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Fremantle	—	33%	43%	15%	^{[note 1]}	3%	2%	4%	41%	59%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Hasluck	—	39%	32%	13%	^{[note 1]}	5%	5%	6%	52%	48%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Moore	—	45%	32%	11%	^{[note 1]}	3%	3%	6%	55%	45%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	O'Connor	—	50%	26%	10%	^{[note 1]}	9%	1%	4%	61%	39%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Pearce	—	39%	37%	12%	^{[note 1]}	5%	2%	5%	48%	52%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Perth	—	28%	42%	21%	^{[note 1]}	3%	2%	4%	37%	63%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Swan	—	34%	42%	13%	^{[note 1]}	4%	3%	4%	43%	57%	—
14 Apr – 7 May 2022	YouGov^[151]	Tangney	—	46%	33%	11%	^{[note 1]}	3%	2%	5%	55%	45%	—
11–14 Mar 2022	Utting Research^[170]	Curtin	718	42%	20%	9%	24%	—	2%	—	51%	—	49%
11–14 Mar 2022	Utting Research^[171]	Tangney	750	41%	41%	7%	—	2%	2%	8%	50%	50%	—
11–14 Mar 2022	Utting Research^[171]	Hasluck	750	37%	39%	7%	—	4%	3%	10%	48%	52%	—
11–14 Mar 2022	Utting Research^[171]	Pearce	750	34%	44%	5%	—	5%	5%	7%	45%	55%	—
11–14 Mar 2022	Utting Research^[171]	Swan	750	32%	46%	7%	—	3%	5%	7%	41%	59%	—

Preferred prime minister

Preferred prime minister.

Satisfaction rating for prime minister Scott Morrison

Satisfaction rating for opposition leader Anthony Albanese

Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last election. Local regression trends for each rating are shown as solid lines.

Date	Firm	Interview mode	Sample size	Preferred Prime Minister			Morrison			Albanese
Date	Firm	Interview mode	Sample size	Morrison	Albanese	Don't Know	Satisfied	Dissatisfied	Don't Know	Satisfied	Dissatisfied	Don't Know
13–19 May 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[13]	Online	2188	42%	42%	16%	41%	54%	5%	41%	46%	13%
15–18 May 2022^[14]	Ipsos^[14]	Telephone/online	1996	39%	42%	19%	34%	51%	15%	33%	37%	30%
12–17 May 2022	Resolve Strategic^[15]	Telephone/online	2049	40%	36%	24%	—	—	—	—	—	—
10–13 May 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[19]	Online	1532	43%	42%	15%	42%	53%	5%	38%	49%	13%
4–7 May 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[22]	Telephone/online	1538	44%	42%	14%	41%	55%	4%	41%	47%	12%
4–7 May 2022	Ipsos^[23]	Telephone/Online	2311	36%	41%	24%	32%	51%	18%	30%	36%	34%
27–30 Apr 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[26]	Telephone/online	1538	45%	39%	17%	44%	51%	5%	40%	49%	12%
20–23 Apr 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[29]	Telephone/Online	1538	46%	37%	17%	42%	54%	4%	38%	50%	12%
20–23 Apr 2022	Ipsos^[30]	Telephone/Online	2302	38%	40%	22%	34%	48%	18%	31%	35%	34%
17–20 Apr 2022	Essential^[31]	Online	1052	40%	36%	24%	44%	48%	8%	41%	41%	17%
11–16 Apr 2022	Resolve Political Monitor^[34]	Online	1404	38%	30%	32%	44%	47%	9%	35%	44%	21%
6–9 Apr 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[37]	Online	1506	44%	39%	17%	42%	54%	4%	42%	45%	13%
31 Mar–3 Apr 2022	Resolve Political Monitor	Online	1681	36%	37%	15%	39%	53%	8%	38%	42%	20%
31 Mar–3 Apr 2022	Newspoll	Online	1531	43%	42%	15%	42%	54%	4%	43%	44%	13%
31 Mar–2 Apr 2022	Ipsos	Telephone/Online	2563	37%	38%	25%	33%	48%	19%	30%	32%	38%
9–12 Mar 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[46]	Online	1520	42%	42%	16%	41%	55%	4%	44%	42%	14%
23–26 Feb 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[49]	Online	1525	42%	40%	18%	43%	55%	2%	44%	43%	13%
17–20 Feb 2022	Essential^[52]	Online	1089	40%	35%	25%	44%	49%	7%	43%	40%	17%
9–12 Feb 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[54]	Online	1526	43%	38%	19%	40%	56%	4%	40%	46%	14%
27–30 Jan 2022	Newspoll-YouGov^[56]	Online	1523	43%	41%	16%	39%	58%	3%	43%	43%	14%
20–23 Jan 2022	Essential^[52]	Online	1001	42%	35%	23%	46%	46%	8%	39%	39%	22%
11–15 Jan 2022	Resolve Political Monitor^[172]	Online	1607	38%	31%	31%	41%	50%	9%	34%	41%	28%
1–4 Dec 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[66]	Online	—	45%	36%	19%	44%	52%	4%	39%	45%	16%
10–13 Nov 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[71]	Online	—	46%	38%	16%	44%	52%	4%	37%	48%	15%
20–23 Oct 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[77]	Online	—	48%	34%	18%	46%	50%	4%	37%	46%	17%
29 Sep–2 Oct 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[80]	Online	1545	47%	34%	19%	48%	49%	3%	37%	47%	16%
15–18 Sep 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[83]	Online	—	47%	35%	18%	46%	50%	4%	37%	48%	15%
25–28 Aug 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[86]	Online	1528	50%	34%	16%	49%	47%	4%	40%	47%	13%
4–7 Aug 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[89]	Online	1527	49%	36%	15%	47%	49%	4%	38%	46%	16%
13–17 Jul 2021	Resolve Political Monitor^[93]	CATI/online	1600	45%	24%	31%	45%	46%	9%	30%	46%	24%
14–17 Jul 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[94]	Online	1506	51%	33%	16%	51%	45%	4%	38%	46%	16%
6 Jul 2021	Essential^[173]	Online	1099	46%	28%	26%	51%	40%	9%	41%	35%	24%
23–26 Jun 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[95]	Online	1513	53%	33%	14%	55%	41%	4%	40%	45%	15%
13 Jun 2021	Resolve Political Monitor^[98]	CATI/online	1600	46%	23%	31%	48%	41%	11%	31%	44%	25%
8 Jun 2021	Essential^[174]	Online	1104	48%	28%	24%	57%	36%	8%	39%	36%	24%
2–5 Jun 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[100]	Online	1516	53%	32%	15%	54%	43%	3%	38%	47%	15%
12–16 May 2021	Resolve Political Monitor^[101]	CATI/online	1622	48%	25%	27%	—	—	—	—	—	—
12–15 May 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[102]	Online	1506	55%	30%	15%	58%	38%	4%	39%	46%	15%
21–24 Apr 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[103]	Online	1514	56%	30%	14%	59%	37%	4%	40%	43%	17%
16 Apr 2021	Resolve Political Monitor^[175]	CATI/online	2000	47%	25%	28%	—	—	—	—	—	—
12 Apr 2021	Essential^[176]	Online	1368	47%	28%	25%	54%	37%	9%	39%	34%	27%
24–27 Mar 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[105]	Online	1517	52%	32%	16%	55%	40%	5%	42%	40%	18%
16, 30 Mar 2021	Essential^[177]^[178]	Online	1100	52%	26%	22%	57%	35%	8%	41%	32%	27%
10–13 Mar 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[107]	Online	1521	56%	30%	14%	62%	34%	4%	42%	41%	17%
17–20 Feb 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[108]	Online	1504	61%	26%	13%	64%	32%	4%	38%	45%	17%
27–30 Jan 2021	Newspoll-YouGov^[112]	Online	1512	57%	29%	14%	63%	33%	4%	41%	43%	16%
15 Dec 2020	Essential^[179]	Online	1071	50%	24%	26%	62%	28%	10%	43%	29%	28%
25–28 Nov 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[113]	Online	1511	60%	28%	12%	66%	30%	4%	44%	41%	15%
4–6 Nov 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[115]	Online	1510	58%	29%	13%	64%	31%	5%	43%	39%	18%
8–10 Oct 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[117]	Online	1527	57%	28%	15%	65%	31%	4%	39%	43%	18%
16–19 Sep 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[118]	Online	2068	59%	27%	14%	65%	31%	4%	39%	40%	21%
26–29 Aug 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[119]	Online	1507	58%	29%	13%	64%	32%	4%	43%	41%	16%
6–9 Aug 2020	Essential^[180]	Online	1010	52%	22%	26%	66%	23%	11%	44%	30%	26%
5–8 Aug 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[121]	Online	1509	60%	25%	15%	68%	29%	3%	41%	38%	15%
15–18 Jul 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[124]	Online	1850	59%	26%	15%	68%	27%	5%	41%	40%	19%
9–12 Jul 2020	Essential^[181]	Online	1054	50%	27%	23%	63%	27%	10%	44%	28%	28%
24–27 Jun 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[125]	Online	1521	58%	26%	16%	68%	27%	5%	42%	40%	18%
3–6 Jun 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[127]	Online	1512	56%	26%	18%	66%	29%	5%	41%	38%	21%
2 Jun 2020	Essential^[182]	Online	1059	53%	23%	24%	65%	26%	9%	43%	30%	27%
13–16 May 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[128]	Online	1504	56%	29%	15%	66%	30%	4%	44%	37%	19%
5 May 2020	Essential^[183]	Online	1093	50%	25%	25%	64%	27%	9%	42%	27%	31%
22–25 Apr 2020	Newspoll-YouGov^[184]	Online	1508	56%	28%	16%	68%	28%	4%	45%	34%	21%

Sub-national polling

Some pollsters provided breakdowns of their polls by state, whilst others only poll a specific state. These results are listed by state below.

New South Wales

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote							2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	L/NP	ALP	GRN	UAP	ONP	IND	OTH	L/NP	ALP
12–17 May 2022	Resolve Strategic^[15]	—	39%	28%	14%	3%	6%	8%	2%	52.2%	47.8%
17 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[18]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	48%	52%
10 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[185]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	48.5%	51.5%
3 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[186]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	44%	56%
30 Apr 2022	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	30%	41%	12%	3%	6%	4%	3%	41.6%	58.4%
27 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[28]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	45%	55%
20 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[32]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	46.5%	53.5%
16 Apr 2022	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	36%	35%	10%	3%	3%	11%	3%	48%	52%
11 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[188]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	45%	55%
4 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[189]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	45%	55%
3 Apr 2022	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	36%	36%	11%	5%	1%	8%	3%	47.2%	52.8%
29 Mar 2022	Roy Morgan^[190]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	47%	53%
14-20 Mar 2022	Roy Morgan^[191]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	42.5%	57.5%
14-23 Feb 2022	Roy Morgan^[192]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	43.5%	56.5%
20 Feb 2022	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	34%	35%	8%	3%	3%	11%	7%	47.6%	52.4%
18 Feb 2022	Roy Morgan^[193]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	41%	59%
12 Feb 2022	NSW by-elections in Monaro, Bega, Strathfield & Willoughby^[194]
4–16 Jan 2022	Roy Morgan^[59]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	42%	58%
15 Jan 2022	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	38%	36%	10%	2%	0%	11%	4%	47.9%	52.1%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021	Roy Morgan^[65]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	44.5%	55.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021	Roy Morgan^[70]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	44.5%	55.5%
20 Nov 2021	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	41%	29%	11%	3%	2%	12%	2%	53%	47%
24 Oct 2021	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	40%	34%	11%	2%	0%	10%	5%	49.6%	50.4%
5 Oct 2021	Gladys Berejiklian resigns as Premier of New South Wales^[195]
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021	Roy Morgan^[81]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	46.5%	53.5%
19 Sep 2021	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	43%	31%	10%	3%	2%	6%	5%	46.6%	53.4%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021	Newspoll^{[citation needed]}	2057	39%	38%	11%	—	1%	—	11%	48%	52%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021	Roy Morgan^[84]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	46%	54%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[85]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	47%	53%
22 Aug 2021	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	40%	31%	14%	—	3%	9%	3%	50.8%	49.2%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[196]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	48%	52%
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[90]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	49%	51%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021	Resolve Strategic^[93]	—	38%	33%	12%	—	1%	—	16%	49.3%	50.7%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021	Roy Morgan^{[citation needed]}	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	49.5%	50.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021	Newspoll^{[citation needed]}	1861	42%	37%	11%	—	1%	—	9%	50%	50%
13 Jun 2021	Resolve Strategic^[197]	—	46%	32%	10%	—	1%	—	11%	54.3%	45.7%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021	Roy Morgan^{[citation needed]}	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	49.5%	50.5%
12–16 May 2021	Resolve Strategic^[101]	—	39%	36%	12%	—	1%	—	12%	48.2%	51.8%
16 Apr 2021	Resolve Strategic^[175]	—	41%	29%	12%	—	7%	—	11%	53.5%	46.5%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021	Newspoll^[198]	1779	42%	36%	11%	—	7%	—	10%	50%	50%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021	Roy Morgan^[199]	2786	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	54%	46%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020	Newspoll^[200]	2304	44%	36%	11%	—	1%	—	8%	51%	49%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020	Roy Morgan^[114]	2824	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	53.5%	46.5%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020	Roy Morgan^[120]	2841	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	56.5%	43.5%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020	Newspoll^[201]	457–2034	42%	37%	11%	—	1%	—	9%	49%	51%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020	Roy Morgan^[123]	2589	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	52.5%	47.5%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020	Newspoll^[202]	472–1905	42%	36%	11%	—	2%	—	9%	50%	50%
7–8 Dec 2019	Newspoll^[203]	930–1472	42%	35%	10%	—	2%	—	12%	51%	45%
Election: 18 May 2019	^[204]		42.54%	34.56%	8.71%	3.38%	1.31%	4.62%	4.88%	51.78%	48.22%

Victoria

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote							2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	L/NP	ALP	GRN	ONP	UAP	IND	OTH	ALP	L/NP
12–17 May 2022	Resolve Strategic^[15]	—	35%	32%	14%	3%	4%	6%	6%	52.1%	47.9%
17 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[18]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	57%	43%
10 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[185]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	61%	39%
3 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[186]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	63.5%	36.5%
30 Apr 2022	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	30%	35%	16%	5%	7%	4%	3%	56%	44%
27 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[28]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	60%	40%
20 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[32]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	58%	42%
16 Apr 2022	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	35%	32%	12%	1%	7%	7%	6%	51.3%	48.7%
11 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[188]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	58%	42%
4 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[189]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	60.5%	39.5%
3 Apr 2022	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	34%	36%	11%	1%	5%	9%	3%	51.8%	48.2%
29 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[190]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	60%	40%
14-20 Mar 2022	Roy Morgan^[191]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	64%	36%
14-23 Feb 2022	Roy Morgan^[192]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	60%	40%
20 Feb 2022	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	31%	31%	11%	0%	7%	13%	6%	52.7%	47.3%
18 Feb 2022	Roy Morgan^[193]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	57.5%	42.5%
4–16 Jan 2022	Roy Morgan^[59]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	59%	41%
15 Jan 2022	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	29%	40%	11%	1%	4%	10%	4%	58.6%	41.4%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021	Roy Morgan^[65]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	58.5%	41.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021	Roy Morgan^[72]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	58%	42%
20 Nov 2021	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	37%	35%	12%	0%	5%	8%	5%	52.3%	47.7%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021	Roy Morgan^[72]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	55%	45%
24 Oct 2021	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	36%	33%	13%	1%	4%	12%	5%	52.1%	47.9%
19 Sep 2021	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	38%	33%	11%	2%	2%	10%	5%	50.6%	49.4%
Jul – Sep 2021	Resolve Strategic^[205]	—	37%	35%	11%	1%	—	—	15%	51.9%	48.1%
22 Aug 2021	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	39%	33%	13%	0%	—	11%	5%	50.7%	49.3%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021	Roy Morgan^[81]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	56%	44%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021	Newspoll^{[citation needed]}	1731	35%	42%	12%	0%	—	—	11%	58%	42%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021	Roy Morgan^[84]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	57%	43%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[85]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	59.5%	40.5%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[185]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	60%	40%
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[90]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	59.5%	40.5%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021	Resolve Strategic^[93]	—	34%	40%	11%	0%	—	—	13%	56.3%	43.7%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021	Roy Morgan^{[citation needed]}	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	56.5%	43.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021	Newspoll^{[citation needed]}	1536	40%	37%	13%	1%	—	—	9%	53%	47%
13 Jun 2021	Resolve Strategic^[197]	—	37%	37%	10%	1%	—	—	15%	52.6%	47.6%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021	Roy Morgan^{[citation needed]}	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	53.5%	46.5%
12–16 May 2021	Resolve Strategic^[101]	—	41%	34%	12%	0%	—	—	13%	50%	50%
16 Apr 2021	Resolve Strategic^[175]	—	33%	34%	12%	6%	—	—	14%	52%	48%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021	Newspoll^[206]	1506	40%	39%	10%	1%	—	—	10%	53%	47%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021	Roy Morgan^[199]	2786	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	55%	45%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020	Newspoll^[200]	2160	39%	39%	14%	0%	—	—	8%	55%	45%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020	Roy Morgan^[114]	2824	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	53.5%	46.5%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020	Roy Morgan^[120]	2841	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	52%	48%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020	Newspoll^[201]	457–2034	37%	40%	14%	1%	—	—	8%	56%	44%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020	Roy Morgan^[123]	2589	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	53.5%	46.5%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020	Newspoll^[202]	472–1905	39%	40%	13%	1%	—	—	7%	55%	45%
7–8 Dec 2019	Newspoll^[203]	930–1472	40%	38%	12%	1%	—	—	11%	53%	47%
Election: 18 May 2019	^[204]		38.58%	36.86%	11.89%	0.95%	3.64%	3.90%	4.%	53.14%	46.86%

Queensland

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote							2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	UAP	IND	OTH	L/NP	ALP
12–17 May 2022	Resolve Strategic^[15]	—	31%	28%	17%	11%	6%	4%	3%	48.5%	51.5%
17 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[18]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	53%	47%
10 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[185]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	53.5%	46.5%
3 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[186]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	56.5%	43.5%
30 Apr 2022	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	41%	27%	18%	5%	6%	2%	2%	52.7%	47.3%
27 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[28]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	54.5%	45.5%
20 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[32]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	48.5%	51.5%
16 Apr 2022	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	34%	31%	13%	10%	2%	10%	1%	49%	51%
11 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[188]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	49.5%	50.5%
4 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[189]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	49.5%	50.5%
3 Apr 2022	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	33%	33%	14%	5%	2%	11%	2%	46.4%	53.6%
29 Mar 2022	Roy Morgan^[190]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	51%	49%
14-20 Mar 2022	Roy Morgan^{[citation needed]}	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	54.5%	45.5%
14-23 Feb 2022	Roy Morgan^{[citation needed]}	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	50%	50%
20 Feb 2022	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	33%	33%	13%	9%	3%	7%	2%	46.4%	53.6%
18 Feb 2022	Roy Morgan^[193]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	48.5%	51.5%
4–16 Jan 2022	Roy Morgan^[59]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	51.5%	48.5%
15 Jan 2022	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	34%	26%	15%	13%	3%	7%	2%	51.4%	48.6%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021	Roy Morgan^[65]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	45.5%	54.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021	Roy Morgan^[72]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	48.5%	51.5%
20 Nov 2021	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	42%	30%	10%	8%	2%	6%	1%	54.2%	45.8%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021	Roy Morgan^[72]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	53%	47%
24 Oct 2021	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	36%	33%	11%	11%	3%	4%	5%	49.9%	50.1%
19 Sep 2021	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	38%	32%	10%	10%	4%	5%	1%	51.8%	48.2%
Jul – Sep 2021	Resolve Strategic^[205]	—	42%	28%	10%	11%	—	—	9%	55.7%	44.3%
22 Aug 2021	Resolve Strategic^[187]	—	45%	26%	12%	7%	—	8%	3%	57%	43%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021	Roy Morgan^[81]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	52.5%	47.5%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021	Newspoll^{[citation needed]}	1536	42%	33%	9%	8%	—	—	8%	55%	45%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021	Roy Morgan^[84]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	54%	46%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[85]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	53.5%	46.5%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[196]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	52%	48%
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[90]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	52%	48%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021	Resolve Strategic^[93]	—	43%	26%	9%	15%	—	—	6%	58.1%	41.9%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021	Roy Morgan^{[citation needed]}	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	51.5%	48.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021	Newspoll^{[citation needed]}	1249	42%	33%	11%	7%	—	—	7%	53%	47%
13 Jun 2021	Resolve Strategic^[197]	—	38%	35%	10%	7%	—	—	10%	49.6%	50.4%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021	Roy Morgan^{[citation needed]}	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	53%	47%
12–16 May 2021	Resolve Strategic^[101]	—	41%	30%	12%	7%	—	—	11%	53%	47%
16 Apr 2021	Resolve Strategic^[175]	—	38%	30%	11%	8%	—	—	11%	52%	48%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021	Newspoll^[206]	1276	42%	35%	10%	8%	—	—	5%	53%	47%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021	Roy Morgan^[199]	2786	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	52%	48%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020	Newspoll^[200]	1879	45%	29%	12%	9%	—	—	5%	57%	43%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020	Roy Morgan^[114]	2824	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	54.5%	48.5%
31 Oct 2020	Annastacia Palaszczuk (Labor) wins the 2020 Queensland state election^[207]
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020	Roy Morgan^[120]	2841	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	60%	40%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020	Newspoll^[201]	457–2034	46%	27%	10%	11%	—	—	6%	59%	41%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020	Roy Morgan^[123]	2589	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	58%	42%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020	Newspoll^[202]	472–1905	42%	28%	13%	11%	—	—	6%	56%	44%
7–8 Dec 2019	Newspoll^[203]	930–1472	40%	29%	12%	13%	—	—	6%	55%	45%
1 Sep 2019	YouGov Galaxy^{[citation needed]}		40%	29%	12%	13%	—	—	6%	55%	45%
Election: 18 May 2019	^[204]		43.70%	26.68%	10.32%	8.86%	3.51%	1.27%	5.66%	58.44%	41.56%

Western Australia

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote					2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	L/NP	ALP
17 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[18]	—	—	—	—	—	—	45.5%	54.5%
10 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[185]	—	—	—	—	—	—	42.5%	57.5%
3 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[186]	—	—	—	—	—	—	51%	49%
27 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[28]	—	—	—	—	—	—	54.5%	45.5%
20 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[32]	—	—	—	—	—	—	51%	49%
11 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[188]	—	—	—	—	—	—	36.5%	63.5%
4 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[189]	—	—	—	—	—	—	41%	59%
29 Mar 2022	Roy Morgan^[190]	—	—	—	—	—	—	43%	57%
14-20 Mar 2022	Roy Morgan^[191]	—	—	—	—	—	—	41%	59%
14-23 Feb 2022	Roy Morgan^[192]	—	—	—	—	—	—	48%	52%
18 Feb 2022	Roy Morgan^[193]	—	—	—	—	—	—	46.5%	53.5%
4–16 Jan 2022	Roy Morgan^[59]	—	—	—	—	—	—	49%	51%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021	Roy Morgan^[65]	—	—	—	—	—	—	49.5%	50.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021	Roy Morgan^[70]	—	—	—	—	—	—	46.5%	53.5%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021	Roy Morgan^[72]	—	—	—	—	—	—	46.5%	53.5%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021	Roy Morgan^[81]	—	—	—	—	—	—	45.5%	54.5%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021	Newspoll^{[citation needed]}	602	37%	42%	10%	5%	6%	46%	54%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021	Roy Morgan^[84]	—	—	—	—	—	—	53%	47%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[85]	—	—	—	—	—	—	49%	51%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[196]	—	—	—	—	—	—	45.5%	54.5%
24–25, 31 July–1 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[90]	—	—	—	—	—	—	51.5%	48.5%
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021	Resolve Strategic^[93]	—	33%	39%	21%	2%	6%	40.8%	59.2%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021	Roy Morgan^{[citation needed]}	—	—	—	—	—	—	47.5%	52.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021	Newspoll^{[citation needed]}	625	39%	41%	10%	5%	5%	47%	53%
13 Jun 2021	Resolve Strategic^[197]	—	33%	40%	15%	4%	8%	42.5%	57.5%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021	Roy Morgan^{[citation needed]}	—	—	—	—	—	—	51%	49%
12–16 May 2021	Resolve Strategic^[101]	—	44%	38%	11%	3%	3%	49.9%	50.1%
16 Apr 2021	Resolve Strategic^[175]	—	42%	40%	13%	5%	1%	47.5%	52.5%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021	Newspoll^[206]	628	40%	42%	10%	4%	4%	47%	53%
Mark McGowan wins the 2021 Western Australian state election in a landslide^[208]
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021	Roy Morgan^[199]	2786	—	—	—	—	—	49.5%	50.5%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020	Newspoll^[200]	779	43%	32%	13%	7%	5%	53%	47%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020	Roy Morgan^[114]	2824	—	—	—	—	—	51%	49%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020	Roy Morgan^[120]	2841	—	—	—	—	—	53.5%	46.5%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020	Newspoll^[201]	457–2034	45%	31%	13%	8%	3%	54%	46%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020	Roy Morgan^[123]	2589	—	—	—	—	—	53.5%	46.5%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020	Newspoll^[202]	472–1905	44%	31%	12%	9%	4%	55%	45%
Election: 18 May 2019	^[204]		43.79%	29.80%	11.62%	5.31%	9.48%	55.55%	44.45%

South Australia

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote					2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	ALP	L/NP
17 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[18]	—	—	—	—	—	—	49%	51%
10 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[185]	—	—	—	—	—	—	62.5%	37.5%
3 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[186]	—	—	—	—	—	—	62.5%	37.5%
27 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[28]	—	—	—	—	—	—	61.5%	38.5%
20 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[32]	—	—	—	—	—	—	58%	42%
11 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[188]	—	—	—	—	—	—	53%	47%
4 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[189]	—	—	—	—	—	—	56%	44%
29 Mar 2022	Roy Morgan^[190]	—	—	—	—	—	—	63.5%	36.5%
14-20 Mar 2022	Roy Morgan^[191]	—	—	—	—	—	—	60.5%	39.5%
Peter Malinauskas wins the 2022 South Australia State Election^[209]
14-23 Feb 2022	Roy Morgan^[192]	—	—	—	—	—	—	59.5%	41.5%
18 Feb 2022	Roy Morgan^[193]	—	—	—	—	—	—	59.5%	40.5%
4–16 Jan 2022	Roy Morgan^[59]	—	—	—	—	—	—	60.5%	39.5%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021	Roy Morgan^[65]	—	—	—	—	—	—	64.5%	35.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021	Roy Morgan^[70]	—	—	—	—	—	—	55.5%	44.5%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021	Roy Morgan^[72]	—	—	—	—	—	—	57.5%	42.5%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021	Roy Morgan^[81]	—	—	—	—	—	—	58.5%	41.5%
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021	Newspoll^{[citation needed]}	472	40%	38%	11%	1%	10%	53%	47%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021	Roy Morgan^[84]	—	—	—	—	—	—	51.5%	48.5%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[85]	—	—	—	—	—	—	57.5%	42.5%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[185]	—	—	—	—	—	—	54.5%	45.5%
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[90]	—	—	—	—	—	—	55.5%	44.5%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021	Roy Morgan^{[citation needed]}	—	—	—	—	—	—	51%	49%
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021	Roy Morgan^{[citation needed]}	—	—	—	—	—	—	49.5%	50.5%
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021	Newspoll^{[citation needed]}	473	37%	39%	10%	2%	12%	54%	46%
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021	Newspoll^[206]	517	38%	41%	10%	0%	11%	55%	45%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021	Roy Morgan^[199]	2786	—	—	—	—	—	49.5%	50.5%
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020	Newspoll^[200]	600	44%	36%	10%	1%	9%	49%	51%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020	Roy Morgan^[114]	2824	—	—	—	—	—	52%	48%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020	Roy Morgan^[120]	2841	—	—	—	—	—	42.5%	57.5%
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020	Newspoll^[201]	457–2034	43%	36%	10%	0%	11%	50%	50%
11–12, 8–19 Jul 2020	Roy Morgan^[123]	2589	—	—	—	—	—	47%	53%
11 Mar – 16 May 2020	Newspoll^[202]	472–1905	40%	37%	12%	0%	11%	53%	47%
Election: 18 May 2019	^[204]		40.57%	35.38%	9.61%	0.84%	13.60%	50.71%	49.29%

Tasmania

Date	Firm	Sample size	Primary vote					2PP vote
Date	Firm	Sample size	LNP	ALP	GRN	ONP	OTH	ALP	L/NP
17 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[18]	—	—	—	—	—	—	58%	42%
10 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[185]	—	—	—	—	—	—	40%	60%
3 May 2022	Roy Morgan^[186]	—	—	—	—	—	—	57.5%	42.5%
27 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[28]	—	—	—	—	—	—	64.5%	35.5%
20 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[32]	—	—	—	—	—	—	61%	39%
11 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[188]	—	—	—	—	—	—	69%	31%
4 Apr 2022	Roy Morgan^[189]	—	—	—	—	—	—	74%	26%
29 Mar 2022	Roy Morgan^[190]	—	—	—	—	—	—	53%	47%
14-20 Mar 2022	Roy Morgan^[191]	—	—	—	—	—	—	60%	40%
14-23 Feb 2022	Roy Morgan^[192]	—	—	—	—	—	—	75%	25%
18 Feb 2022	Roy Morgan^[193]	—	—	—	—	—	—	65%	35%
4–16 Jan 2022	Roy Morgan^[59]	—	—	—	—	—	—	60.5%	39.5%
27–28 Dec, 4–5 Dec 2021	Roy Morgan^[65]	—	—	—	—	—	—	51.5%	48.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021	Roy Morgan^[70]	—	—	—	—	—	—	53%	47%
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021	Roy Morgan^[72]	—	—	—	—	—	—	57.5%	42.5%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021	Roy Morgan^[81]	—	—	—	—	—	—	52%	48%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021	Roy Morgan^[84]	—	—	—	—	—	—	55.5%	44.5%
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[85]	—	—	—	—	—	—	63.5%	36.5%
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[185]	—	—	—	—	—	—	57%	43%
24–25, 31 July − 1 Aug 2021	Roy Morgan^[90]	—	—	—	—	—	—	54%	46%
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021	Roy Morgan^{[citation needed]}	—	—	—	—	—	—	58%	42%
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020	^{[citation needed]}	2824	—	—	—	—	—	48%	52%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020	Roy Morgan^[123]	2589	—	—	—	—	—	58%	42%
Election: 18 May 2019	^[204]		34.60%	33.61%	10.12%	2.79%	18.88%	55.96%	44.04%

Government approval rating

Individual polls

Date	Firm	Right direction	Wrong direction	Can't say	GCR^[210]	Lead
14-20 Mar 2022	Roy Morgan^[191]	33.5%	50.5%	16%	83	-17%
14-23 Feb 2022	Roy Morgan^[192]	35%	47%	18%	88	-12%
18 Feb 2022	Roy Morgan^[193]	35%	48.5%	16.5%	86.5	-13.5%
4–16 Jan 2022	Roy Morgan^[59]	34%	51%	15%	83	-17%
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021	Roy Morgan^[65]	38%	46.5%	15.5%	91.5	-8.5%
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021	Roy Morgan^[79]	39.5%	46%	14.5%	93.5	-6.5%
2–3, 9–10 Oct 2021	Roy Morgan^[79]	40%	45%	15%	95	-5%
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021	Roy Morgan^[81]	40%	44%	16%	96	-4%
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021	Roy Morgan^[84]	40%	45.5%	14.5%	94.5	-5.5%
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021	Roy Morgan	53.5%	30%	16.5%	123.5	+23.5%
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020	Roy Morgan	48%	34%	18%	114	+14%
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020	Roy Morgan^[123]	49%	34.5%	16.5%	114.5	+14.5%
13–14, 23–24 Jun 2020	Roy Morgan^[123]	53.5%	29.5%	17%	124	+24%
16–17, 23–24 May 2020	Roy Morgan	54.5%	29.5%	16%	125	+25%
18–19, 25–26 Apr 2020	Roy Morgan^[129]	51.5%	27.5%	21%	124	+24%
29 Feb – 1 Mar, 7–8 Mar 2020	Roy Morgan^[129]	37%	47%	16%	90	–10%
22–23, 29–30 Jun 2019	Roy Morgan^[211]	43.5%	39%	17.5%	104.5	+4.5%

National direction polling

Individual polls

Date	Firm	Right direction	Wrong direction	Can't say	Lead
07 Dec 2021	Morning Consult ^[212]	53%	47%	0%	+6%
05 Nov 2021	Morning Consult ^[212]	54%	46%	0%	+8%
07 Oct 2021	Morning Consult ^[212]	51%	49%	0%	+2%
21 Sep 2021	Morning Consult ^[212]	53%	47%	0%	+6%
01 Sep 2021	Morning Consult ^[212]	49%	51%	0%	-2%
16 Aug 2021	Morning Consult ^[212]	51%	49%	0%	+2%
24 Jul 2021	Morning Consult ^[212]	52%	48%	0%	+4%
01 Jul 2021	Morning Consult ^[212]	56%	44%	0%	+12%
18 Jun 2021	Morning Consult ^[212]	60%	40%	0%	+20%
10 Mar 2021	Morning Consult ^[212]	63%	37%	0%	+26%
18 Feb 2021	Morning Consult ^[212]	61%	39%	0%	+22%
30 Jan 2021	Morning Consult ^[212]	65%	35%	0%	+30%
07 Jan 2021	Morning Consult ^[212]	61%	39%	0%	+22%
08 Dec 2020	Morning Consult ^[212]	68%	32%	0%	+36%
03 Nov 2020	Morning Consult ^[212]	61%	39%	0%	+22%
04 Oct 2020	Morning Consult ^[212]	59%	41%	0%	+18%
05 Sep 2020	Morning Consult ^[212]	53%	47%	0%	+6%
26 Aug 2020	Morning Consult ^[212]	59%	41%	0%	+18%
10 Aug 2020	Morning Consult ^[212]	51%	49%	0%	+2%
12 Jul 2020	Morning Consult ^[212]	56%	44%	0%	+12%
13 Jun 2020	Morning Consult ^[212]	60%	40%	0%	+20%
06 Jun 2020	Morning Consult ^[212]	57%	42%	1%	+15%
31 May 2020	Morning Consult ^[212]	63%	37%	0%	+26%
21 May 2020	Morning Consult ^[212]	62%	38%	0%	+24%
14 May 2020	Morning Consult ^[212]	60%	40%	0%	+20%
5 May 2020	Morning Consult ^[213]	62%	38%	0%	+24%
25 Apr 2020	Morning Consult ^[213]	57%	42%	1%	+15%
18 Apr 2020	Morning Consult ^[213]	56%	43%	1%	+13%
09 Apr 2020	Morning Consult ^[213]	51%	49%	0%	+2%
02 Apr 2020	Morning Consult ^[213]	46%	54%	0%	-8%
27 Mar 2020	Morning Consult ^[213]	42%	57%	1%	-15%
20 Mar 2020	Morning Consult ^[213]	39%	61%	0%	-22%
14 Mar 2020	Morning Consult ^[213]	38%	62%	0%	-24%
07 Mar 2020	Morning Consult ^[213]	39%	61%	0%	-22%
01 Mar 2020	Morning Consult ^[213]	41%	59%	0%	-18%
20 Feb 2020	Morning Consult ^[213]	39%	61%	0%	-22%
13 Feb 2020	Morning Consult ^[213]	40%	60%	0%	-20%
07 Feb 2020	Morning Consult ^[213]	38%	62%	0%	-24%
31 Jan 2020	Morning Consult ^[213]	40%	60%	0%	-20%
22 Jan 2020	Morning Consult ^[213]	39%	61%	0%	-22%
15 Jan 2020	Morning Consult ^[213]	37%	63%	0%	-26%
06 Jan 2020	Morning Consult ^[213]	37%	63%	0%	-26%

Notes

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t ^u ^v ^w ^x ^y ^z ^aa ^ab ^ac ^ad ^ae ^af ^ag ^ah ^ai ^aj ^ak ^al ^am ^an ^ao ^ap ^aq ^ar ^as ^at ^au ^av ^aw ^ax ^ay ^az ^ba ^bb ^bc ^bd ^be ^bf ^bg ^bh ^bi ^bj ^bk ^bl ^bm ^bn ^bo ^bp ^bq ^br ^bs ^bt ^bu Independent primary votes are counted under the "other" column
^ Including 4% for the Western Australia Party

^ 5.2% Nick Xenophon, 3.0% Rex Patrick

References

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^ GCR is known as the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating which is 100 plus the difference between the percentage of people who say the country is "going in the right direction" and the percentage who say the country is "going in seriously the wrong direction".
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^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q "Global Approval Ratings". Morning Consult. 9 December 2021. Archived from the original on 9 December 2021. Retrieved 25 June 2022.

[12] Includes ONP, UAP and independents

[18] 6% Independents, 4% Other

[20] 6% Independents

[47] 6% Independents

[50] 10.5% Independents, 3.5% Other

[54] 9% Independents, 3.5% Other

[57] 8.5% Independents, 4% Other

[73] 1% UAP, 12.5% Independents/Other

[independents-167] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t ^u ^v ^w ^x ^y ^z ^aa ^ab ^ac ^ad ^ae ^af ^ag ^ah ^ai ^aj ^ak ^al ^am ^an ^ao ^ap ^aq ^ar ^as ^at ^au ^av ^aw ^ax ^ay ^az ^ba ^bb ^bc ^bd ^be ^bf ^bg ^bh ^bi ^bj ^bk ^bl ^bm ^bn ^bo ^bp ^bq ^br ^bs ^bt ^bu Independent primary votes are counted under the "other" column

[179] Including 4% for the Western Australia Party

[175] 5.2% Nick Xenophon, 3.0% Rex Patrick

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[219] Shine, Rhiannon (13 March 2021). "WA election: McGowan government wins second term in Labor landslide as 'disaster' hits Liberals". ABC News. Archived from the original on 26 July 2024. Retrieved 26 July 2024. Labor has won the West Australian state election with Mark McGowan returned as Premier for a second term, in what has been described as a "disaster" for the WA Liberal Party.

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v t e (2019 ←) 2022 Australian federal election
Incumbent Prime Minister: Scott Morrison (Liberal) Subsequent Prime Minister: Anthony Albanese (Labor)
Campaign	Pre-election pendulum Candidates Polling National Electorate
Results	House of Representatives Senate New South Wales Victoria Queensland Western Australia South Australia Tasmania Australian Capital Territory Northern Territory Post-election pendulum
Elected House of Representatives members Elected Senate members

Graphical summary

Two party preferred

Primary vote

Voting intention

Assessment of polling accuracy

2022

2019–2021

Polling for individual seats

Preferred prime minister

Sub-national polling

New South Wales

Victoria

Queensland

Western Australia

South Australia

Tasmania

Government approval rating

Individual polls

National direction polling

Individual polls

See also

Notes

References