Opinion polling for the 2011 Croatian parliamentary election
Opinion polling for the 2011 Croatian parliamentary election started early after the previous election with polls on individual parties. As electoral coalitions were formed, coalition ratings started to be polled as well. The poll results below are listed by category and ordered in reverse chronological order. Major political events are indicated chronologically between individual polls. Concurrent polling was at the time also done for the 2012 Croatian European Union membership referendum.
Exit polls
[edit]Seat projections
[edit]The three main national television stations contracted Ipsos Puls to conduct exit polling at 403 stations.[1][2][3]
| Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ · HGS · DC | Kukuriku | HSS | HDSSB | HSP | HSLS | Labour | Jurčić et al. | Grubišić et al. | HSP-AS · HČSP | Ladonja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2011 19:50 | Ipsos Puls for HRT/Nova TV/RTL Televizija | 30,000 | 40 | 82 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 Dec 2011 19:00 | Ipsos Puls for HRT/Nova TV/RTL Televizija | 25,000 | 40 | 83 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Campaign poll results
[edit]Overall party rating
[edit]Generic national polls are conducted to indicate overall party rating and provide a trend indicator, while the actual election is conducted not with a single electoral unit but with the Croatian Parliament electoral districts.
The listed poll dates are either the dates when the poll was conducted, or alternatively the date when the poll result was published.
| Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ | Kukuriku | HSS | HDSSB | HSP | HSLS | Labour | Jurčić et al. | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Dec | Election Day.[4] | |||||||||||
| 3 Dec | Election silence begins.[4] | |||||||||||
| 29-30 Nov | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 19% | 37.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 14% |
| 25 Nov | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 19% | 37.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 14.7% |
| 17 Nov | Official candidate lists finalized.[4] | |||||||||||
| 8 Nov | Croatian Democratic Union signs a pre-election coalition with the Croatian Citizen Party in two electoral districts.[5] | |||||||||||
| 2-3 Nov | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 18.3% | 37.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 3% | 4.7% | 18% |
| 31 Oct | General election officially called: President of the Republic agrees to a dissolution of Parliament, allowing the general election to take place on 4 December.[6] | |||||||||||
| 28 Oct | MPs vote to dissolve Parliament.[7] | |||||||||||
| 28 Oct | Former PM and leader of HDZ Ivo Sanader appears in court for the first of many pending trials for corruption.[8] | |||||||||||
| 27 Oct | As a result of the ongoing investigation of the party's 'black funds', USKOK and the Attorney General issue an indictment against HDZ as a legal entity.[9] | |||||||||||
| 25 Oct | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 20.3% | 38.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 13% |
| 13 Oct | After Vladimir Šeks and HDZ caused a number of incidents in a parliamentary immunity proceedings, most of the opposition parties (Kukuriku coalition and Labour) decided to boycott the work of the Sabor. Their concerns were also echoed by SDSS which is part of the ruling coalition, causing a quorum issue.[10] | |||||||||||
| 6 Oct | Ljubo Jurčić signs a formal pre-election coalition agreement with the Party of Pensioners and the Alliance of Primorje-Gorski Kotar.[11] | |||||||||||
| 3-4 Oct | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 19% | 36.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | ~5% | 7.2% | 18% | |
| 27 Sep | HDZ reveals its manifesto for the upcoming election.[12] | |||||||||||
| 26 Sep | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 20.1% | 37.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% |
| 23 Sep | USKOK issues a second indictment against Ivo Sanader for taking a 10 million euro bribe from MOL[13] | |||||||||||
| 18 Sep | Hendal for HRT | 873 | 10% | 33.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 8.7% | 40.2% | |
| 17 Sep | HDZ holds its 14th party convention.[14] | |||||||||||
| 15 Sep | Kukuriku coalition reveals its political manifesto called 'Plan 21'.[15] | |||||||||||
| 11 Sep | Former HDZ treasurer Branka Pavošević testifies to USKOK about the party's 'black funds' and illegal finances used for previous elections.[16] | |||||||||||
| 1-2 Sep | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 20.4% | 37% | 4.4% | 2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7% | 19.7% | |
| 25 Aug | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 20.8% | 35.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% |
| 23 Aug | Prizma for HDZ | 3,000 | 24.9% | 37.8%[17][18] | ||||||||
| 1-3 Aug | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 20.1%[19] | 37.4%[18] | 4.5% | <2% | 3.1%[20] | 2.8% | 4.3% | <2% | N/A | 20.4% |
| 25 Jul | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 23.8%[21] | 37.8%[22] | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | N/A | 9% | 11% |
| 15 Jul | Kukuriku coalition leaders sign a formal pre-election coalition agreement.[23] | |||||||||||
Seat projections
[edit]Because the seats in the Parliament are split according to Croatian Parliament electoral districts, seat projections significantly vary from a generic overall poll.
The seat projections do not include:
- the 8 seats from minority voters, and these representatives are not usually strictly aligned with mainstream parties
- the 3 seats from voters residing abroad, which have in every election since independence gone to HDZ
The new composition of Parliament will have 151 seats meaning that 76 seats will be needed for a majority.
Because of the nature of the D'Hondt method and the division into constituencies, seat projections are less reliable, so some polls list tentative options, indicated in parentheses.
The listed poll dates are either the dates when the poll was conducted, or alternatively the date when the poll result was published.
| Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ | Kukuriku | HSS | HDSSB | HSP | HSLS | Labour | Jurčić et al. | Grubišić et al. | HSP-AS | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15-28 Nov 2011 | Promocija Plus for HRT | 8,000 | 42 | 79 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 15-29 Nov 2011 | Ipsos Puls for Večernji list, Media servis & Nova TV | 4,171 | 43 | 79 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 15-25 Nov 2011 | GFK for RTL | 4,000 | 39 | 85 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 11-24 Nov 2011 | Mediana Fides for Jutarnji list | 4,000 | 41 | 83 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 Nov 2011 | Ipsos Puls for Večernji list, Media servis & Nova TV | 4,047 | 41 | 78 | 2 (3) |
4 | 1 | 1 | 7 (3) |
4 | 1 (0) |
1 | 0 |
| 14-28 Oct 2011 | GFK for RTL | 4,000 | 35 | 90 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct 2011 | Promocija Plus for HNS[24] | 8,000 | 44 | 77 | 2 (2) |
4 (1) |
2 | 0 (4) |
6 | 2 (3) |
0 | 0 | 3 |
Early polling
[edit]Overall party rating
[edit]Generic national polls are conducted to indicate overall party rating and provide a trend indicator, while the actual election is conducted not with a single electoral unit but with the Croatian Parliament electoral districts.
The listed poll dates are either the dates when the poll was conducted, or alternatively the date when the poll result was published.
-
CRO Demoskop poll performance since the last general election: Six parties -
Ipsos Puls poll performance since February, 2009: Five parties
2011
[edit]| Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ | SDP | HNS-LD | HSS | HSU | HSP | HSLS | Other | Undecided | HDZ coalition | SDP coalition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-2 Jul | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 18.4% | 27.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | N/A | N/A | 21.5%[25] | 38%[22] |
| 26 Jun | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 19.3% | 26.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 20.6%[25] | 35.9%[22] |
| 2-3 Jun | CRO Demoskop[dead link] | 1,300 | 17.8% | 29.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | N/A | N/A | 19.9% | 39.8% |
| 25 May | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 20.3% | 30.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 7.9% | 14.7% | 22%[25] | 38.2%[22] |
| 16 May | GFK for RTL | 600 | 8% | 26.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | N/A | 40.9% | ||
| 2–3 May | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 18% | 29% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | N/A | N/A | 19.9%[25] | 39.8%[22] |
| 22 Apr | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 20.9% | 26.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4% | 2.6% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 22.5%[25] | 33.2%[22] |
| 15 Apr | Former Croatian general Ante Gotovina is sentenced to 24 years in prison by ICTY after being found guilty of war crimes during Operation Storm.[26] | ||||||||||||
| 1-3 Apr | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 18.3% | 29.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | N/A | N/A | 21.2%[25] | 40.4%[22] |
| 24 Mar | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 17% | 27.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 18.9%[25] | 40.9%[22] |
| 20 Mar | Mediana Fides for Jutarnji list | 15.1% | 26.7% | 5% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | N/A | 15.9% | |||
| 14 Mar | GFK for RTL | 600 | 6.6% | 30% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | N/A | 41.7% | ||
| 4 Mar | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 19.2% | 29.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 4% | 3.1% | N/A | N/A | 24.4%[25] | 41.2%[22] |
| 2 Mar | Anti-government protests are held across the country. The protesters burn the flags of major political parties as well as the flag of Europe and calling for an early general election.[27] | ||||||||||||
| 24 Feb | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 22% | 29% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 24.2%[25] | 44.3%[22] |
| 1-2 Feb | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 21.9% | 31% | 5.6% | 5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | N/A | N/A | 27.8%[25] | 42%[22] |
| 25 Jan | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 22.5% | 33.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | N/A | 12.5% | 11.1% | 24.2%[28] | 44.3%[18] |
| 3-4 Jan | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 22.6% | 31.2% | 6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | N/A | N/A | 27.9%[25] | 41.2%[22] |
2010
[edit]| Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ | SDP | HNS-LD | HSS | HSU | HSP | HSLS | Other | Undecided | HDZ coalition | SDP coalition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec | Prime Minister Jadranka Kosor reshuffles the Cabinet with four ministerial changes as well as adding a new vice-presidential post.[29] | ||||||||||||
| 25 Dec | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 24.7% | 32% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | N/A | N/A | 27.4%[30] | 47%[18] |
| 10 Dec | Ivo Sanader is arrested in Salzburg, Austria.[31] | ||||||||||||
| 9 Dec | Former Prime Minister and leader of HDZ Ivo Sanader flees the country after he is indicted under charges of corruption.[32] He is put on the Interpol wanted list.[33] | ||||||||||||
| 7 Dec | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV[1] | 4,000 | 21.2% | 34.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 14.2% | 7.9% | 20.5%[28] | 44%[18] |
| 30 Nov-1 Dec | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 22.1% | 32.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | N/A | N/A | 27.5%[25] | 41.6%[22] |
| 25 Nov | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 24.3% | 31.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 25.5%[28] | 42.1%[18] |
| 23 Nov | Leaders of the four main opposition parties: SDP, HNS-LD, IDS and HSU; sign a declaration in Kastav officially forming a coalition for the next parliamentary election called Alliance for Change[34] | ||||||||||||
| 2-3 Nov | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 22.3% | 32.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | N/A | N/A | 27.6%[17] | 43.7%[17] |
| 29 Oct | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 22% | 31% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | N/A | N/A | 15.4% | 13.7% | 25.2%[28] | 40.5%[18] |
| 15 Oct | Former Vice President of the Government Damir Polančec is sentenced to 15 months in prison for abuse of power while Minister of the Economy. A letter surfaces where Polančec accuses Prime Minister Kosor and the Vice President of Parliament Vladimir Šeks of knowing the judge's verdict over a month before it was actually sentenced.[35] | ||||||||||||
| 13 Oct | Former Prime Minister Ivo Sanader reactivates his mandate in Parliament.[36] | ||||||||||||
| 4-5 Oct | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 23% | 32.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | N/A | N/A | 28.2%[17] | 43%[17] |
| 30 Sep | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 26% | 31.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | N/A | 9% | 10.3% | 25.1%[28] | 41.6%[18] |
| 1-2 Sep | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 23.4% | 32.3% | 6% | 5.1% | 3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | N/A | N/A | 28.5%[17] | 42.6%[17] |
| 31 Aug | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 964 | 25.7% | 34.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | N/A | 3.8% | 8.4% | N/A | 25.8%[28] | 42.9%[18] |
| 1-2 Aug | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 22.7% | 30.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | N/A | N/A | 27.9% | 41.7% |
| 28 Jul | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 25.8% | 30.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7% | 4.2% | 3% | 8% | N/A | 29.9%[28] | 40.5%[18] |
| 13-16 Jul | Mediana Fides for Jutarnji list | 700 | 25.4% | 32.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 6.2% | 19.5% | 25%[25] | 44%[22] |
| 12 Jul | The Government signs an agreement with three independents: the Croatian Social Liberal Party's two former representatives and Zlatko Horvat. This brings the governing coalition from 82 to 83 of 153 seats in parliament.[37] | ||||||||||||
| 11 Jul | The leaders of the four main opposition parties: SDP, HNS-LD, IDS and HSU; hold a meeting in Baranja and announce their intention to form a coalition for the next general election. | ||||||||||||
| 10 Jul | Darinko Kosor, the leader of the Croatian Social Liberal Party, announce his party's decision to leave the governing coalition. | ||||||||||||
| 1-2 Jul | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 22.5% | 31.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | N/A | N/A | ||
| 30 Jun | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 24.5% | 34.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | 30.7% | 44.7% |
| 24 Jun | Labour Unions announce they have collected the necessary number of signatures to trigger a binding referendum against the new labour bill proposed by the Government. | ||||||||||||
| 1-2 Jun | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 23.9% | 30.5% | 6.1% | 5% | 3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | N/A | N/A | ||
| 31 May | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 28% | 30% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | N/A | 18.7% | N/A | 33%[25] | 42%[22] |
| 3–4 May | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 23.4% | 30.8% | 6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | N/A | N/A | ||
| 30 Apr | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 962 | 29.7% | 30.4% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | N/A | N/A | 11% | 10% | 36.4% | 39.8% |
| 31 Mar-1 April | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 24.3% | 31% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3% | 2.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | ||
| 30 Mar | Former Vice President of the Government of Croatia Damir Polančec, the Minister of the Economy in the Sanader II and, until his resignation, the current Kosor cabinet is arrested under charges of corruption during his tenure as a member of government. | ||||||||||||
| 25 Mar | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | ? | 27.7% | 33% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | N/A | 7.5% | 11% | ||
| 4 Mar | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 24% | 32.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | N/A | N/A | ||
| 27 Feb | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | ? | 30.2% | 33.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | N/A | 37.9%[25] | 42%[22] |
| 3 Feb | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 24% | 32.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2% | N/A | N/A | ||
| 29 Jan | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 27.6% | 34% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2% | N/A | N/A | 32.9%[38] | 45.2%[39] |
| 10 Jan | SDP presidential candidate Ivo Josipović is elected the third President of the Republic. | ||||||||||||
| 4-5 Jan | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 23.5% | 33% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | ||
| 3 Jan | Former Prime Minister Ivo Sanader issues a press conference attacking Jadranka Kosor, Andrija Hebrang and most of the HDZ party leaders for their 'failed leadership', announcing his return. He is expelled from the party the day after. | ||||||||||||
2009
[edit]| Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ | SDP | HNS-LD | HSS | HSU | HSP | HSLS | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | ? | 27% | 33% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | N/A | N/A | 12.2% | 9.6% |
| 30 Nov-1 Dec | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 24.2% | 31% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2% | 9% | 18.5% |
| 30 Nov | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | ? | 26.3% | 32% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | N/A | 7.5% | 12.4% |
| 4 Nov | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 24.6% | 30.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 Oct | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | ? | 27.1% | 31.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 Oct | Damir Polančec, member of the HDZ Presidency, resigns as Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of the Economy following allegations of corruption. | ||||||||||
| 31 Sep-1 Oct | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 24.1% | 30.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 7.1% | 21.2% |
| 3 Sep | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 21.9% | 30.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 Aug | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | ? | 23.3% | 34.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 3.1% | N/A | 8.3% | 10% |
| 1-2 Jul | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 23.7% | 28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 Jul | Prime Minister Ivo Sanader resigns giving no specific reason. Jadranka Kosor becomes the new Prime Minister. | ||||||||||
| 6 May | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 25.3% | 28.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 Mar | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 30% | 29.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | N/A | 8.3% | 9.5% |
| 5 Mar | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 23% | 29.5% | 5.3% | 5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 Feb | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 29.3% | 29% | 8.1% | 8% | 4.8% | N/A | N/A | 8.8% | 12% |
| 5 Feb | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 25% | 28.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | N/A | N/A |
2008
[edit]| Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ | SDP | HNS-LD | HSS | HSU | HSP | HSLS | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4 Oct | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 27.7% | 29.2% | 5.3% | 5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 6.7% | N/A |
| 31 Jul-1 Aug | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 31.8% | 31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4 Jul | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 32.9% | 31.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 May | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 33.7% | 31.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | N/A | 1.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4 Feb | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 35.6% | 33.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11 Jan | The sixth assembly of Parliament is constituted. | ||||||||||
| 7 Jan | CRO Demoskop | 1,300 | 34.7% | 33.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | N/A | N/A |
2007
[edit]| Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ | SDP | HNS-LD | HSS | HSU | HSP | HSLS | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov | 2007 parliamentary election | 2,429,078 | 36.6% | 31.2% | 6.8% | 6.5%* | 4.1%* | 3.5% | 6.5%* | 10.7% | N/A |
* – HSS and HSLS contested the election together, with HSS being the senior partner. HSU contested the election with another smaller party.
Seat projections
[edit]The seat projections do not include:
- the 8 seats from minority voters, and these representatives are not usually strictly aligned with mainstream parties
- the 3 seats from voters residing abroad, which have in every election since independence gone to HDZ
The new composition of Parliament will have 151 seats meaning that 76 seats will be needed for a majority.
The listed poll dates are either the dates when the poll was conducted, or alternatively the date when the poll result was published.
Coalition rating
[edit]| Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ-HSS-DC | SDP-HNS-IDS-HSU | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 December 2010 | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 2,619 | 41 | 85 | 14 |
| 25 November 2010 | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 49 | 80 | 11 |
Party rating
[edit]The listed poll dates are either the dates when the poll was conducted, or alternatively the date when the poll result was published.
| Date | Polling Organisation/Client | Sample size | HDZ | SDP | HNS-LD | HSS | HDSSB | IDS | HSU | HSP | HSLS | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2010 | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 4,000 | 42 | 69 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| 25 Nov 2010 | Ipsos Puls for Nova TV | 1,000 | 50 | 68 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
References
[edit]- ^ "Kukuriku ima apsolutnu većinu od 80 mandata, HDZ ih osvaja 47 - Odluka 2011". Archived from the original on 2011-12-06. Retrieved 2011-05-28.
- ^ "HRT: Naslovnica".
- ^ "Kukuriku koalicija premoćno osvaja izbore! — RTL Televizija". Archived from the original on 2011-12-06. Retrieved 2011-12-04.
- ^ a b c "Na izborima se natječu 4382 kandidata, opet pretežu muškarci". Vjesnik (in Croatian). 2011-11-17. Archived from the original on 19 November 2011. Retrieved 2011-12-02.
- ^ "Kosor i Kerum u koaliciji: Zašto smo potpisali sporazum? Želimo okupiti sve koji misle HRVATSKI!" (in Croatian). 2011-11-08. Retrieved 2011-12-18.
- ^ "Josipović raspisao izbore" [Josipović calls election] (in Croatian). Nacional (weekly). 31 October 2011. Archived from the original on 2012-09-09. Retrieved 1 July 2012.
- ^ Pogledajte sve snimke sa suđenja Sanaderu, Nova TV
- ^ Ovo su bili najzanimljiviji trenuci u Saboru!, Nova TV
- ^ J. Kosor: Neću dati ostavku i nećemo dopustiti da se HDZ uruši, Večernji list
- ^ "Parl't speaker, HDZ MPS call on Opposition to reconsider boycott - Daily - tportal.hr". Archived from the original on 2012-07-09. Retrieved 2011-10-28.
- ^ Ljubo Jurčić, SU i PGS zajedno na izbore Archived 2012-05-27 at the Wayback Machine, Nova TV, 2011-10-06, accessed 2011-11-26
- ^ HDZ predstavio izborni program: Bez novih poreza i s olakšicama za ulagače Archived 2011-10-03 at the Wayback Machine, iPress.hr
- ^ Sanader mora vratiti 10 milijuna eura
- ^ KOSOR 'ZAPALILA' HDZ-OVCE U ARENI: 'Ovih dana nas blate kao Tuđmana 90-ih', tportal.hr
- ^ Pogledajte što je Milanović obećao Hrvatskoj, tportal.hr
- ^ Iskopana tajna: HDZ s prljavih 13 milijuna kuna financirao Jadranku Kosor, ali i Houdeka, Škoru, Kindl..., Jutarnji list
- ^ a b c d e f g Sum of "known electoral blocs"
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j SDP-HNS-IDS-HSU
- ^ Possible HDZ-DC coalition given 20.5% support
- ^ Potential coalition of HSP/HČSP/A-HSP given 3.6%
- ^ Possible HDZ coalition given 25.3% support
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Lijevi blok (left-wing bloc) or Lijeva koalicija (left-wing coalition) or Savez za promjene (Alliance for Change)
- ^ Ugovor Kukuriku koalicije - S HDZ-om nitko neće ni u slučaju izbornog poraza!, tportal.hr, 2011-07-23, accessed 2011-11-26
- ^ Sandra Bartolović (25 October 2011). "Tanka pobjeda Milanovića, potop HDZ-a" [Narrow victory for Milanović, disaster for HDZ] (in Croatian). Nacional (weekly). Archived from the original on 27 December 2011. Retrieved 1 July 2012.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o Desni blok (right-wing bloc) or Vladajuća koalicija (governing coalition)
- ^ HAŠKA PRESUDA: Gotovina je izgledao mirno, a u njemu je ključalo. Čeljust mu se tresla, Jutarnji list
- ^ Rastrgali zastavu HDZ-a, zapalili SDP-ovu i EU-a Archived 2011-08-17 at the Wayback Machine, Novi list
- ^ a b c d e f g HDZ-HSS-DC
- ^ Premijerka Kosor pokazala tko su ljudi na koje računa u HDZ-u i vlasti, Jutarnji list
- ^ HDZ-HSS
- ^ Croatian ex-PM Ivo Sanader arrested in Austria, BBC News
- ^ Sanader u bijegu: Preko granice ga odvezla kći, on čitao novine, Večernji list
- ^ Wanted: SANADER, Ivo, Interpol
- ^ Počelo je rušenje HDZ-a: Vlada lijevog centra predstavila Deklaraciju "Savez za promjene", Index.hr
- ^ Polancec releases statement on meetings with HDZ leaders Archived 2011-10-02 at the Wayback Machine, tportal.hr
- ^ Sanader se vraća u Sabor i dobiva zastupnički imunitet, Net.hr
- ^ Prije izlaska HSLS-a imali 82, a sada imaju 83 ruke u Saboru!, Jutarnji List
- ^ HDZ-HSS-HSLS
- ^ SDP-HNS-IDS
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