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Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan

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Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan
Saskatchewan electoral district
Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan in relation to other Saskatchewan federal electoral districts as of the 2013 Representation Order
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 		 
Fraser Tolmie
Conservative
District created2013
First contested2015
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)[1]76,106
Electors (2015)56,621
Area (km²)[2]32,882
Pop. density (per km²)2.3
Census division(s)Division No. 6, Division No. 7, Division No. 11
Census subdivision(s)Moose Jaw, Outlook, Lumsden, Lanigan, Watrous

Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan is a federal electoral district in Saskatchewan, Canada, represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 2015. It encompasses a portion of Saskatchewan formerly included in the electoral districts of Blackstrap, Palliser, Regina—Lumsden—Lake Centre, Souris—Moose Mountain, Wascana and Saskatoon—Humboldt.[3]

Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan was created by the 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution and was legally defined in the 2013 representation order. It came into effect after the 2015 Canadian federal election was called.[4]

Demographics

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Panethnic groups in Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan (2011−2021)
Panethnic group 2021[5] 2016[6] 2011[7]
Pop. % Pop. % Pop. %
European[a] 67,350 86.19% 68,845 89.86% 68,080 92.36%
Indigenous 5,415 6.93% 4,370 5.7% 3,440 4.67%
Southeast Asian[b] 2,110 2.7% 1,200 1.57% 725 0.98%
East Asian[c] 985 1.26% 670 0.87% 585 0.79%
South Asian 970 1.24% 540 0.7% 215 0.29%
African 875 1.12% 610 0.8% 430 0.58%
Latin American 200 0.26% 120 0.16% 150 0.2%
Middle Eastern[d] 95 0.12% 75 0.1% 10 0.01%
Other/multiracial[e] 150 0.19% 185 0.24% 70 0.09%
Total responses 78,145 97.02% 76,615 96.09% 73,715 96.86%
Total population 80,547 100% 79,733 100% 76,106 100%
Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses.
Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.

Members of Parliament

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The riding has been represented by Fraser Tolmie of the Conservative Party since 2021. It has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan
Riding created from Blackstrap, Palliser, Regina—Lumsden—Lake Centre,
Saskatoon—Humboldt, Souris—Moose Mountain, and Wascana
42nd  2015–2019     Tom Lukiwski Conservative
43rd  2019–2021
44th  2021–present Fraser Tolmie

Election results

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Graph of election results in Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

2023 representation order

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2021 federal election redistributed results[8]
Party Vote %
  Conservative 25,975 60.99
  New Democratic 8,060 18.93
  People's 4,820 11.32
  Liberal 2,569 6.03
  Green 439 1.03
  Others 726 1.70

2013 representation order

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2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Fraser Tolmie 24,869 60.4 -10.7 $64,739.58
New Democratic Talon Regent 7,975 19.4 +2.4 $17,715.39
People's Chey Craik 4,712 11.4 +7.8 $29,568.05
Liberal Katelyn Zimmer 2,526 6.1 +0.5 $7,798.44
Maverick D. Craig Townsend 664 1.6 - $2,514.26
Green Isaiah Hunter 438 1.1 –1.5 $0.00
Total valid votes/Expense limit 41,184 99.96 +0.6 $117,516.56
Total rejected ballots 206 0.04 -0.6
Turnout 41,184 69.32 -6.52
Eligible voters 59,414
Conservative hold Swing -6.55%
Source: Elections Canada[9]
2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Tom Lukiwski 31,993 71.12 +15.66 $84,868.64
New Democratic Talon Regent 7,660 17.03 -6.75 $20,047.18
Liberal Cecilia Melanson 2,517 5.60 -12.38 $9,502.06
People's Chey Craik 1,613 3.59 - $6,772.92
Green Gillian Walker 1,201 2.67 +0.38 $40.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 44,984 99.36
Total rejected ballots 291 0.64 +0.31
Turnout 45,275 75.84 +3.66
Eligible voters 59,700
Conservative hold Swing +11.21
Source: Elections Canada[10][11]
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Tom Lukiwski 23,273 55.46 -5.5 $92,066.05
New Democratic Dustan Hlady 9,978 23.78 -8.74 $51,621.27
Liberal Perry Juttla 7,545 17.98 +14.2 $9,767.66
Green Shawn Setyo 961 2.29 -0.42 $526.74
Rhinoceros Robert Thomas 208 0.50 – $99.08
Total valid votes/expense limit 41,965 99.66   $223,430.81
Total rejected ballots 142 0.34 –
Turnout 42,107 72.18 –
Eligible voters 58,335
Conservative hold Swing -7.09
Source: Elections Canada[12][13]
2011 federal election redistributed results[14]
Party Vote %
  Conservative 22,963 60.96
  New Democratic 12,252 32.52
  Liberal 1,423 3.78
  Green 1,021 2.71
  Independent 11 0.03

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.
  2. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Filipino" and "Southeast Asian" under visible minority section on census.
  3. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Chinese", "Korean", and "Japanese" under visible minority section on census.
  4. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "West Asian" and "Arab" under visible minority section on census.
  5. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, n.i.e." and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.

References

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  1. ^ Statistics Canada: 2012
  2. ^ Statistics Canada: 2012
  3. ^ Final Report – Saskatchewan
  4. ^ Timeline for the Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts
  5. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 26, 2022). "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 15, 2023.
  6. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 27, 2021). "Census Profile, 2016 Census". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 15, 2023.
  7. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (November 27, 2015). "NHS Profile". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 15, 2023.
  8. ^ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
  9. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved August 20, 2023.
  10. ^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 4, 2019.
  11. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved August 9, 2021.
  12. ^ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan, 30 September 2015
  13. ^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates
  14. ^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections


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