Canadian federal election results in Rural Manitoba

Electoral history

Year	Results
2015
2011
2008
2006
2004
2000
1997
1993
1988
1984
1980
1979
1974
1972
1968
1965
1963
1962
1958
1957
1953
1949
1945
1926
1925

This is page shows results of Canadian federal elections in the province of Manitoba outside the Winnipeg area.

Regional profile

Rural Manitoba is, for the most part, a strongly conservative area (especially on social issues), though it becomes far less strident the further one gets from the U.S. border. The rural portions of southern Manitoba are similar to the rural portions of the Central United States, as well as rural portions of Saskatchewan and Alberta. Not only are they heavily agricultural, but they are some of the most religious areas in Canada. The Conservatives hold all five rural ridings in the south, with their largest margins of victory in the three ridings on the U.S. border. The Liberals swept the region in 1993, and managed to hold on to two ridings here in 1997. However, they have barely been on the radar screen since the turn of the millennium.

Northern Manitoba is home to only one riding: Churchill—Keewatinook Aski (formerly Churchill, from 1935 until 2015), which has been in NDP hands for all but six years since 1979. Former NDP MP Bev Desjarlais lost the nomination to Niki Ashton in 2006 and ran unsuccessfully as an independent; the Liberals were able to pick up Churchill with star candidate Tina Keeper. Ashton reclaimed Churchill for the NDP in the next election in 2008, however, and has continued to represent it since then.

Votes by party throughout time

Election	Liberal	Conservative	New Democratic	Green	People's	PC	Reform / Alliance	Social Credit	Others
1979	41,511 19.0%	—	65,493 30.1%	—	—	109,938 50.5%	—	649 0.3%	319 0.1%
1980	49,815 23.5%	—	66,698 31.4%	—	—	94,098 44.4%	—	—	1,528 0.7%
1984	30,855 14.1%	—	53,207 24.3%	—	—	103,558 47.3%	—	—	31,186 14.3%
1988	65,316 26.6%	—	56,027 22.8%	—	—	104,859 42.7%	11,514 4.7%	—	7,798 3.2%
1993	87,748 35.5%	—	39,692 16.0%	—	—	40,262 16.3%	72,364 29.2%	—	7,375 3.0%
1997	51,222 25.0%	—	38,480 18.8%	—	—	47,152 23.0%	66,256 32.3%	—	1,838 0.9%
2000	51,313 24.6%	—	32,974 15.8%	—	—	31,908 15.3%	88,191 42.2%	—	4,493 2.2%
2004	47,143 23.7%	103,593 52.1%	39,704 20.0%	5,487 2.8%	—	—	—	—	2,957 1.5%
2006	37,736 17.5%	115,796 53.7%	46,531 21.6%	8,347 3.9%	—	—	—	—	7,191 3.3%
2008	24,361 12.9%	110,104 58.3%	36,509 19.3%	14,760 7.8%	—	—	—	—	3,244 1.7%
2011	14,762 7.4%	127,752 63.7%	48,226 24.0%	8,309 4.1%	—	—	—	—	1,530 0.8%
2015	81,827 33.0%	118,795 47.9%	31,734 12.8%	9,778 3.9%	—	—	—	—	5,809 2.3%
2019	33,061 13.3%	151,495 61.1%	42,380 17.1%	14,516 5.9%	4,614 1.9%	—	—	—	1,936 0.8%
2021	34,019 14.2%	126,202 52.7%	43,090 18.0%	3,988 1.7%	29,749 12.4%	—	—	—	2,417 1.0%

  Liberal

  Conservative

  New Democratic

  Green

  People's

  Progressive Conservative (defunct)

  Alliance (defunct)

  Reform (defunct)

  Social Credit (defunct)

Detailed results

2021

Main article: 2021 Canadian federal election

Electoral district	Candidates												Incumbent
	Liberal		Conservative		NDP		Green		PPC		Other
Brandon—Souris		Linda Branconnier 4,608 12.08%		Larry Maguire 22,733 59.57%		Whitney Hodgins 7,838 20.54%				Tylor Baer 2,981 7.81%				Larry Maguire
Churchill—Keewatinook Aski		Shirley Robinson 4,514 25.18%		Charlotte Larocque 4,330 24.15%		Niki Ashton 7,632 42.57%		Ralph McLean 552 3.08%		Dylan Young 899 5.01%				Niki Ashton
Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa		Kevin Carlson 4,892 12.70%		Dan Mazier 22,718 58.99%		Arthur Holroyd 5,678 14.74%		Shirley Lambrecht 835 2.17%		Donnan McKenna 4,052 10.52%		Lori Falloon-Austin (Mav.) 339 0.88%		Dan Mazier
Portage—Lisgar		Andrew Carrier 4,967 10.95%		Candice Bergen 23,819 52.52%		Ken Friesen 6,068 13.38%				Solomon Wiebe 9,790 21.58%		Jerome Dondo (CHP) 712 1.57%		Candice Bergen
Provencher		Trevor Kirczenow 8,471 16.98%		Ted Falk 24,294 48.68%		Serina Pottinger 6,270 12.56%		Janine G. Gibson 1,273 2.55%		Nöel Gautron 8,227 16.49%		Rick Loewen (Ind.) 1,366 2.74%		Ted Falk
Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman		Detlev Regelsky 6,567 13.24%		James Bezan 28,308 57.06%		Margaret Smith 9,604 19.36%		Wayne James 1,328 2.68%		Ian Kathwaroon 3,800 7.66%				James Bezan

2019

Main article: 2019 Canadian federal election

Electoral district	Candidates														Incumbent
	Liberal		Conservative		NDP		Green		PPC		Christian Heritage		Independent
Brandon—Souris		Terry Hayward 4,972 12.07%		Larry Maguire 26,148 63.46%		Ashley Duguay 5,805 14.09%		Bill Tiessen 2,984 7.24%		Robin Lussier 691 1.68%		Rebecca Hein 280 0.68%		Robert Eastcott 107 0.26%		Larry Maguire
														Vanessa Hamilton 219 0.53%
Churchill—Keewatinook Aski		Judy Klassen 5,616 23.71%		Cyara Bird 4,714 19.90%		Niki Ashton 11,919 50.32%		Ralph McLean 1,144 4.83%		Ken Klyne 294 1.24%						Niki Ashton
Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa		Cathy Scofield-Singh 5,344 13.17%		Dan Mazier 26,103 64.35%		Laverne Lewycky 5,724 14.11%		Kate Storey 2,214 5.46%		Frank Godon 711 1.75%		Jenni Johnson 470 1.16%				Robert Sopuck†
Portage—Lisgar		Ken Werbiski 4,779 10.71%		Candice Bergen 31,600 70.79%		Cindy Friesen 3,872 8.67%		Beverley Eert 2,356 5.28%		Aaron Archer 1,169 2.62%		Jerome Dondo 860 1.93%				Candice Bergen
Provencher		Trevor Kirczenow 6,347 13.14%		Ted Falk 31,821 65.88%		Erin McGee 6,187 12.81%		Janine G. Gibson 2,884 5.97%		Wayne Sturby 1,066 2.21%						Ted Falk
Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman		Detlev Regelsky 6,003 12.10%		James Bezan 31,109 62.72%		Robert A. Smith 8,873 17.89%		Wayne James 2,934 5.92%		Ian Kathwaroon 683 1.38%						James Bezan

2015

Main article: 2015 Canadian federal election

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	Conservative		NDP		Liberal		Green		Other
Brandon—Souris		Larry Maguire 20,666 50.27%		Melissa Joy Wastasecoot 2,576 6.27%		Jodi Wyman 15,338 37.31%		David Neufeld 2,526 6.15%				Larry Maguire
Churchill—Keewatinook Aski		Kyle G. Mirecki 3,090 10.32%		Niki Ashton 13,487 45.04%		Rebecca Chartrand 12,575 42.00%		August Hastmann 537 1.79%		Zachary Linnick (Libert.) 255 0.85%		Niki Ashton Churchill
Dauphin—Swan River— Neepawa		Robert Sopuck 19,276 46.34%		Laverne M. Lewycky 5,097 12.25%		Ray Piché 12,276 29.51%		Kate Storey 1,592 3.83%		Inky Mark (Ind.) 3,357 8.07%		Robert Sopuck Dauphin—Swan River—Marquette
Portage—Lisgar		Candice Bergen 25,060 60.84%		Dean Harder 2,554 6.20%		Ken Werbiski 10,621 25.79%		Beverley Eert 1,637 3.97%		Jerome Dondo (CHP) 1,315 3.19%		Candice Bergen
Provencher		Ted Falk 25,086 56.06%		Les Lilley 2,371 5.30%		Terry Hayward 15,509 34.66%		Jeff Wheeldon 1,779 3.98%				Ted Falk
Selkirk—Interlake— Eastman		James Bezan 25,617 51.90%		Deborah Chief 5,649 11.44%		Joanne Levy 15,508 31.42%		Wayne James 1,707 3.46%		Donald L. Grant (Libert.) 882 1.79%		James Bezan Selkirk—Interlake

2011

Main article: 2011 Canadian federal election

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	Conservative		Liberal		NDP		Green		Other
Brandon—Souris		Merv Tweed 22,386 63.73%		Wes Penner 1,882 5.36%		John Bouché 8,845 25.18%		Dave Barnes 2,012 5.73%				Merv Tweed
Churchill		Wally Daudrich 5,256 26.18%		Sydney Garrioch 4,087 20.36%		Niki Ashton 10,262 51.12%		Alberteen Spence 471 2.35%				Niki Ashton
Dauphin—Swan River— Marquette		Robert Sopuck 18,543 63.09%		Wendy Menzies 1,947 6.62%		Cheryl Osborne 7,657 26.05%		Kate Storey 1,243 4.23%				Robert Sopuck
Portage—Lisgar		Candice Hoeppner 26,899 75.99%		M.J. Willard 2,221 6.27%		Mohamed Alli 3,478 9.83%		Matthew Friesen 1,996 5.64%		Jerome Dondo (CHP) 805 2.27%		Candice Hoeppner
Provencher		Vic Toews 27,820 70.60%		Terry Hayward 2,645 6.71%		Al Mackling 7,051 17.89%		Janine Gibson 1,164 2.95%		Ric Lim (Pirate) 215 0.55%		Vic Toews
										David Reimer (CHP) 510 1.29%
Selkirk—Interlake		James Bezan 26,848 65.19%		Duncan Geisler 1,980 4.81%		Sean Palsson 10,933 26.55%		Don Winstone 1,423 3.46%				James Bezan

2008

Main article: 2008 Canadian federal election

Electoral district	Candidates												Incumbent
	Conservative		Liberal		NDP		Green		Christian Heritage		Other
Brandon—Souris		Merv Tweed 19,558 57.06%		Martha Jo Willard 2,836 8.27%		John Bouché 6,055 17.67%		Dave Barnes 5,410 15.78%		Jerome Dondo 292 0.85%		Lisa Gallagher (Comm.) 124 0.36%		Merv Tweed
Churchill		Wally Daudrich 3,773 20.50%		Tina Keeper 5,289 28.74%		Niki Ashton 8,734 47.46%		Saara Harvie 606 3.29%						Tina Keeper
Dauphin— Swan River— Marquette		Inky Mark 18,132 61.36%		Wendy Menzies 4,128 13.97%		Ron Strynadka 4,914 16.63%		Kate Storey 1,923 6.51%		David Andres 356 1.20%		Charles Prefontaine (PPP) 96 0.32%		Inky Mark
Portage—Lisgar		Candice Hoeppner 22,036 68.27%		Ted Klassen 4,374 13.55%		Mohamed Alli 2,353 7.29%		Charlie Howatt 2,606 8.07%		Len Lodder 911 2.82%				Brian Pallister†
Provencher		Vic Toews 23,303 64.66%		Shirley Hiebert 4,531 12.57%		Ross Martin 4,947 13.73%		Janine Gibson 2,089 5.80%		David Reimer 1,170 3.25%				Vic Toews
Selkirk—Interlake		James Bezan 23,302 60.63%		Kevin Walsh 3,203 8.33%		Pat Cordner 9,506 24.73%		Glenda Whiteman 2,126 5.53%		Jane MacDiarmid 295 0.77%				James Bezan

2006

Main article: 2006 Canadian federal election

Electoral district	Candidates												Incumbent
	Liberal		Conservative		NDP		Green		Christian Heritage		Other
Brandon—Souris		Murray Downing 6,696 18.00%		Merv Tweed 20,247 54.43%		Bob Senff 7,528 20.24%		Brad Bird 1,707 4.59%		Colin Atkins 290 0.78%		Lisa Gallagher (Comm.) 120 0.32%		Merv Tweed
												Mike Volek (Ind.) 611 1.64%
Churchill		Tina Keeper 10,157 40.68%		Nazir Ahmad 2,886 11.56%		Niki Christina Ashton 7,093 28.41%		Jeff Fountain 401 1.61%				Brad Bodnar (Ind.) 146 0.58%		Bev Desjarlais
												Bev Desjarlais (Ind.) 4,283 17.16%
Dauphin—Swan River—Marquette		Don Dewar 6,171 18.15%		Inky Mark 20,084 59.08%		Walter Kolisnyk 6,221 18.30%		Kathy Storey 1,246 3.67%		Iris Yawney 273 0.80%				Inky Mark Dauphin—Swan River
Portage—Lisgar		Garry McLean 4,199 11.39%		Brian Pallister 25,719 69.78%		Daren Van Den Bussche 4,072 11.05%		Charlie Howatt 1,880 5.10%		David Reimer 987 2.68%				Brian Pallister
Provencher		Wes Penner 6,077 15.84%		Vic Toews 25,199 65.68%		Patrick O'Connor 5,259 13.71%		Janine G. Gibson 1,830 4.77%						Vic Toews
Selkirk—Interlake		Bruce Benson 4,436 10.03%		James Bezan 21,661 48.99%		Ed Schreyer 16,358 36.99%		Thomas Alexander Goodman 1,283 2.90%		Anthony Eric Barendregt 204 0.46%		Duncan E. Geisler (Ind.) 277 0.63%		James Bezan

2004

Main article: 2004 Canadian federal election

Electoral district	Candidates												Incumbent
	Liberal		Conservative		NDP		Green		Christian Heritage		Communist
Brandon—Souris		Murray Downing 8,522 24.21%		Merv Tweed 18,209 51.72%		Mike Abbey 6,740 19.15%		David Kattenburg 1,264 3.59%		Colin Atkins 351 1.00%		Lisa Gallagher 118 0.34%		Rick Borotsik†
Churchill		Ron Evans 7,604 38.35%		Bill Archer 2,999 15.13%		Bev Desjarlais 8,612 43.44%		C. David Nickarz 612 3.09%						Bev Desjarlais
Dauphin—Swan River		Don Dewar 6,809 20.38%		Inky Mark 18,025 53.95%		Walter Kolisnyk 7,341 21.97%		Lindy Clubb 673 2.01%		David C. Andres 560 1.68%				Inky Mark
Portage—Lisgar		Don Kuhl 6,174 17.74%		Brian Pallister 22,939 65.93%		Daren Van Den Bussche 3,251 9.34%		Marc Payette 856 2.46%		David Reimer 1,458 4.19%		Allister Cucksey 117 0.34%		Brian Pallister
Provencher		Peter Epp 8,975 24.92%		Vic Toews 22,694 63.02%		Sarah Zaharia 3,244 9.01%		Janine G. Gibson 1,100 3.05%						Vic Toews
Selkirk—Interlake		Bruce Benson 9,059 22.85%		James Bezan 18,727 47.25%		Duane Nicol 10,516 26.53%		Trevor Farley 982 2.48%		Anthony Barendregt 353 0.89%				Howard Hilstrom†

2000

Main article: 2000 Canadian federal election

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	Liberal		Canadian Alliance		NDP		PC		Other
Brandon—Souris		Dick Scott 6,544 17.86%		Gary Nestibo 11,678 31.87%		Errol Black 4,518 12.33%		Rick Borotsik 13,707 37.41%		Colin G. Atkins (NA) 94 0.26%		Rick Borotsik
										Lisa Gallagher (Comm.) 102 0.28%
Churchill		Elijah Harper 7,514 32.23%		Jason Shaw 4,126 17.70%		Bev Desjarlais 10,477 44.94%		Doreen Murray 1,198 5.14%				Bev Desjarlais
Dauphin—Swan River		Jane Dawson 7,091 21.32%		Inky Mark 15,855 47.66%		Wayne Kines 5,813 17.47%		Keith Eliasson 3,946 11.86%		Terry Drul (CAP) 372 1.12%		Inky Mark
										Iris Yawney (NA) 189 0.57%
Portage—Lisgar		Gerry J.E. Gebler 6,133 17.82%		Brian Pallister 17,318 50.31%		Diane Beresford 2,073 6.02%		Morley McDonald 5,339 15.51%		Jake Hoeppner (Ind.) 3,558 10.34%		Jake Hoeppner
Provencher		David Iftody 14,419 35.62%		Vic Toews 21,358 52.76%		Peter Hiebert 1,980 4.89%		Henry C. Dyck 2,726 6.73%				David Iftody
Selkirk—Interlake		Kathy Arnason 9,612 23.59%		Howard Hilstrom 17,856 43.82%		Paul Pododworny 8,113 19.91%		Tom Goodman 4,992 12.25%		Anthony Barendregt (NA) 178 0.44%		Howard Hilstrom

1997

Main article: 1997 Canadian federal election

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	Liberal		Reform		PC		NDP		Other
Brandon—Souris		Glen McKinnon 6,583		Ed Agnew 11,883		Rick Borotsik 13,216		Jennifer Howard 4,983	473			Glen McKinnon
Churchill		Elijah Harper 6,852		Corky Peterson 4,438		Don Knight 2,452		Bev Desjarlais 9,616				Elijah Harper
Dauphin—Swan River		Marlene Cowling 7,408		Inky Mark 12,668		Lorne Boguski 7,716		Betty Findlay 7,575	326			Marlene Cowling
Portage—Lisgar		Heather Mack 4,913		Jake Hoeppner 13,532		Brian Pallister 12,083		Glen Hallick 2,420	676			Jake Hoeppner Lisgar—Marquette
Provencher		David Iftody 14,595		Larry Tardiff 12,798		Clare Braun 5,955		Martha Wiebe Owen 3,137				David Iftody
Selkirk—Interlake		Jon Gerrard 10,871		Howard Hilstrom 10,937		Reid Kelner 5,730		Kathleen Mccallum 10,749	363			Jon Gerrard Portage—Interlake
											merged districts
												Ron Fewchuk Selkirk—Red River

1993

Main article: 1993 Canadian federal election

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	Liberal		Reform		PC		NDP		Other
Brandon—Souris		Glen McKinnon 12,130		Edward George Agnew 11,163		Larry Maguire 8,236		Ross C. Martin 4,359	869			Lee Clark
Churchill		Elijah Harper 9,658		Wally Daudrich 2,275		Don Knight 2,438		Rod Murphy 8,751	590			Rod Murphy
Dauphin—Swan River		Marlene Cowling 10,600		Dale Brown 9,865		Bill Galloway 5,267		Stan Struthers 7,412	260			Brian White
Lisgar—Marquette		Grant Johnson 8,732		Jake Hoeppner 13,385		Charlie Mayer 7,833		Leslie King 1,808	869			Charlie Mayer
Portage—Interlake		Jon Gerrard 14,506		Don Sawatsky 9,801		Felix Holtmann 7,036		Connie Gretsinger 3,029	1,289			Felix Holtmann
Provencher		David Iftody 16,119		Dean Whiteway 13,463		Kelly Clark 3,765		Martha Wiebe Owen 1,818	1,438			Jake Epp
Selkirk—Red River		Ron Fewchuk 16,003		Terry Lewis 12,412		David Bjornson 5,687		Jason E. Schreyer 12,515	2,060			David Bjornson