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Elmwood—Transcona

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Coordinates: 49°55′07″N 97°01′53″W / 49.9186°N 97.0313°W / 49.9186; -97.0313
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Elmwood—Transcona
Manitoba electoral district
Elmwood—Transcona in relation to other Manitoba federal electoral districts as of the 2013 Representation Order. Dotted line shows Winnipeg city limits.
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 		 
Leila Dance
New Democratic
District created1987
First contested1988
Last contested2024 by-election
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2021)[1]101,691
Electors (2015)64,395
Area (km²)[1]50
Pop. density (per km²)2,033.8
Census division(s)Division No. 11
Census subdivision(s)Winnipeg

Elmwood—Transcona (formerly Winnipeg—Transcona) is a federal electoral district in Manitoba, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1988. Its population in 2021 was 101,691.

History

[edit]

The riding was created in 1987 from Winnipeg North Centre and Winnipeg—Birds Hill ridings.

It was previously named Winnipeg—Transcona from 1987 to 2003.[2]

The riding gained territory from Kildonan—St. Paul and a fraction from Saint Boniface during the 2012 electoral redistribution.

Following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, the riding will lose the area north of Leighton Avenue and west of Raleigh Street to Kildonan—St. Paul and will gain the Navin, Norcan and Dugald areas from Provencher,

Geography

[edit]

Elmwood–Transcona is located in the northeastern corner of Winnipeg, covering the East Kildonan, Elmwood, Transcona and part of the North Kildonan sections of the city. It covers the neighbourhoods of Chalmers, Eaglemere, East Elmwood, Glenelm, Grassie, Kern Park, Canterbury Park, Kildonan Crossing, Meadows, Munroe East, Munroe West, Peguis, Raidisson, Regent, Rossmere, Transcona South, Mission Gardens, Melrose, Kildare-Redonda, Kildonan Drive, Talbot-Grey, Transcona Yards, Tyne-Tees, Valley Gardens and Victoria West. It covers 50 km2.

In the 2019 and 2021 elections, the NDP have been stronger in the western, more urban part of the riding, especially in Elmwood. Their best neighbourhood in both elections was Glenelm in the West Elmwood Area. The Conservatives saw their best results in the eastern, more suburban part of the riding. Their best neighbourhood in both elections was the Transcona South/Transcona Yards area.

Demographics

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As of the Canada 2021 Census

Languages: 75.4% English, 4.5% Tagalog, 4.2% Punjabi, 2.6% French, 1.5% German, 1.4% Spanish, 1.0% Ukrainian
Religions: 50.9% Christian (21.8% Catholic, 4.0% United Church, 2.4% Anglican, 2.4% Lutheran, 2.1% Pentecostal, 1.7% Christian Orthodox, 1.3% Anabaptist, 15.2% Other), 4.2% Sikh, 2.2% Muslim, 1.4% Hindu, 39.4% None
Median income: $40,800 (2020)
Average income: $46,120 (2020)

Racial groups in Elmwood—Transcona (2011−2021)
Racial group 2021[3] 2016[4] 2011[5]
Pop. % Pop. % Pop. %
European[a] 57,705 57.4% 59,230 64.96% 62,565 73.64%
Indigenous 14,230 14.15% 12,395 13.59% 10,385 12.22%
Filipino 8,655 8.61% 6,765 7.42% 3,725 4.38%
Southeast Asian 1,470 1.46% 1,030 1.13% 1,065 1.25%
Black 6,735 6.7% 3,910 4.29% 1,915 2.25%
South Asian 6,425 6.39% 3,850 4.22% 1,800 2.12%
Latin American 1,875 1.86% 1,440 1.58% 1,615 1.9%
Chinese 1,035 1.03% 990 1.09% 865 1.02%
Korean 115 0.11% 170 0.19% 100 0.12%
Japanese 160 0.16% 215 0.24% 125 0.15%
Arab 595 0.59% 260 0.29% 150 0.18%
West Asian 250 0.25% 220 0.24% 195 0.23%
Other/multiracial[b] 1,290 1.28% 695 0.76% 455 0.54%
Total responses 100,540 98.87% 91,185 98.33% 84,960 98.9%
Total population 101,691 100% 92,738 100% 85,906 100%
Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses.
Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.

Members of Parliament

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Parliament Years Member Party
Winnipeg—Transcona
Riding created from Winnipeg North Centre and Winnipeg—Birds Hill
34th  1988–1993     Bill Blaikie New Democratic
35th  1993–1997
36th  1997–2000
37th  2000–2004
Elmwood—Transcona
38th  2004–2006     Bill Blaikie New Democratic
39th  2006–2008
40th  2008–2011 Jim Maloway
41st  2011–2015     Lawrence Toet Conservative
42nd  2015–2019     Daniel Blaikie New Democratic
43rd  2019–2021
44th  2021–2024
 2024–present Leila Dance

Election results

[edit]
Graph of election results in Elmwood—Transcona (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)
Main article: 2024 Elmwood—Transcona federal by-election
Canadian federal by-election, September 16, 2024
Resignation of Daniel Blaikie
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
New Democratic Leila Dance 13,597 48.18 -1.51
Conservative Colin Reynolds 12,415 44.00 +15.87
Liberal Ian MacIntyre 1,362 4.83 -9.92
Green Nicolas Geddert 360 1.28 -0.34
People's Sarah Couture 353 1.25 -4.57
Canadian Future Zbig Strycharz 132 0.47 —
Total valid votes 28,219 99.62
Total rejected ballots 107 0.38
Turnout 28,326 39.16 -20.46
Eligible voters 72,325
New Democratic hold Swing -8.73
Source: Elections Canada[6]
2021 federal election redistributed results[7]
Party Vote %
  New Democratic 20,001 49.12
  Conservative 11,585 28.45
  Liberal 6,057 14.88
  People's 2,423 5.95
  Green 647 1.59
  Others 5 0.01
2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Daniel Blaikie 20,791 49.69 +4.07 $63,992.50
Conservative Rejeanne Caron 11,768 28.13 -9.32 $53,284.18
Liberal Sara Mirwaldt 6,169 14.74 +2.42 $10,073.29
People's Jamie Cumming 2,435 5.82 +4.64 $276.86
Green Devlin Hinchey 676 1.62 -1.80 $0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 41,839 99.26 – $106,782.98
Total rejected ballots 314 0.74 +0.03
Turnout 42,153 59.62 -2.72
Eligible voters 70,701
New Democratic hold Swing +6.69
Source: Elections Canada[8]
2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Daniel Blaikie 19,786 45.63 +11.49 $84,787.58
Conservative Lawrence Toet 16,240 37.45 +3.45 $90,425.22
Liberal Jennifer Malabar 5,346 12.33 -17.18 $35,581.50
Green Kelly Manweiler 1,480 3.41 +1.05 none listed
People's Noel Gautron 512 1.18 – $2,119.25
Total valid votes/expense limit 43,364 99.28
Total rejected ballots 313 0.72 +0.30
Turnout 43,677 62.34 -3.26
Eligible voters 70,062
New Democratic hold Swing +4.02
Source: Elections Canada[9]
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Daniel Blaikie 14,709 34.14 -10.67 $109,753.17
Conservative Lawrence Toet 14,648 34.00 -12.92 $127,718.93
Liberal Andrea Richardson-Lipon 12,713 29.51 +24.32 $23,842.58
Green Kim Parke 1,016 2.36 -0.71 –
Total valid votes/expense limit 43,086 99.58   $199,824.02
Total rejected ballots 182 0.42 –
Turnout 43,268 66.60 –
Eligible voters 65,961
New Democratic gain from Conservative Swing +1.12
Source: Elections Canada[10][11][12]
2011 federal election redistributed results[13]
Party Vote %
  Conservative 16,086 46.91
  New Democratic 15,364 44.81
  Liberal 1,779 5.19
  Green 1,053 3.07
  Others 7 0.02


2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Lawrence Toet 15,298 46.40 +5.66 –
New Democratic Jim Maloway 14,998 45.49 -0.29 –
Liberal Ilona Niemczyk 1,660 5.03 -1.59 –
Green Ellen Young 1,017 3.08 -2.78 –
Total valid votes/expense limit 32,973 99.66   –
Total rejected ballots 112 0.34 +0.02
Turnout 33,085 55.93 +1.89
Eligible voters 59,154 – –
Conservative gain from New Democratic Swing +2.97

Source: Elections Canada

2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Jim Maloway 14,355 45.77 −5.07 $73,584.88
Conservative Thomas Steen 12,776 40.74 +8.61 $60,628.72
Liberal Wes Penner 2,079 6.63 −5.68 $30,542.33
Green Chris Hrynkow 1,839 5.86 +2.23 $847.16
Christian Heritage Robert Scott 312 0.99 −0.09 $2,735.85
Total valid votes/expense limit 31,361 99.68 – $77,369.61
Total rejected ballots 100 0.32 −0.08
Turnout 31,461 54.04 −4.16
Electors on the lists 58,216
New Democratic hold Swing −6.84
2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Bill Blaikie 16,967 50.85 −1.14 $40,314.57
Conservative Linda West 10,720 32.13 +6.02 $68,007.66
Liberal Tanya Parks 4,108 12.31 −4.50 $12,622.61
Green Tanja Hutter 1,211 3.63 +1.17 $240.77
Christian Heritage Robert Scott 363 1.09 −0.23 $706.54
Total valid votes 33,369 99.60
Total rejected ballots 133 0.40 +0.12
Turnout 33,502 58.20 +7.55
Electors on the lists 57,561
New Democratic hold Swing −3.58
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.
2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Bill Blaikie 15,221 51.99 +3.84 $37,459.54
Conservative Bryan McLeod 7,644 26.11 −5.58 $33,737.79
Liberal Tanya Parks 4,923 16.81 −1.55 $20,165.52
Green Elijah Gair 719 2.46 – $204.72
Christian Heritage Robert Scott 386 1.32 – $2,599.64
Marijuana Gavin Whittaker 311 1.06 – –
Communist Paul Sidon 74 0.25 – $654.57
Total valid votes 29,278 99.73
Total rejected ballots 80 0.27
Turnout 29,358 50.65
Electors on the lists 57,965
New Democratic hold Swing +4.71
Percentage change figures are factored for redistribution. Conservative Party percentages are contrasted with the combined Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative percentages from 2000.
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.
2000 federal election redistributed results[14]
Party Vote %
  New Democratic 15,205 48.15
  Canadian Alliance 7,967 25.23
  Liberal 5,801 18.37
  Progressive Conservative 2,041 6.46
  Others 566 1.79

Winnipeg—Transcona, 1996–2003

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Map of Winnipeg—Transcona in use from 1996 to 2003
2000 Canadian federal election: Winnipeg—Transcona
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Bill Blaikie 15,680 47.85 −2.42 $35,468.07
Alliance Shawn Rattai 8,336 25.44 +8.21 $21,800.25
Liberal Bret Dobbin 6,041 18.43 −3.03 $17,596.32
Progressive Conservative Chris Brewer 2,133 6.51 −2.46 –
Green C. David Nickarz 229 0.70 – –
Christian Heritage Robert Scott 146 0.45 −0.83 $3,639.93
Independent Theresa Ducharme 118 0.36 −0.13 –
Communist James Hogaboam 87 0.27 $263.77
Total valid votes 32,770 99.61
Total rejected ballots 127 0.39 −0.21
Turnout 32,897 58.38 −1.97
Electors on the lists 56,345
New Democratic hold Swing −5.31
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.
1997 Canadian federal election: Winnipeg—Transcona
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Bill Blaikie 16,640 50.27 +11.01 $37,996
Liberal Rosemary Broadbent 7,105 21.46 −16.90 $25,771
Reform Helen Sterzer 5,703 17.23 +3.42 $19,506
Progressive Conservative Glenn Buffie 2,968 8.97 +4.01 $7,682
Christian Heritage Robert Scott 423 1.28 $3,633
Independent Theresa Ducharme 161 0.49 $111
Marxist–Leninist Ken Kalturnyk 104 0.31   $11
Total valid votes 33,104 99.40
Total rejected ballots 199 0.60
Turnout 33,303 60.36
Electors on the lists 55,177
New Democratic hold Swing +13.95
Percentage change figures are factored for redistribution.
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.
1993 federal election redistributed results[15]
Party Vote %
  New Democratic 15,731 39.26
  Liberal 15,371 38.36
  Reform 5,531 13.80
  Progressive Conservative 1,985 4.95
  Others 1,453 3.63

Winnipeg—Transcona, 1987–1996

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Map of Winnipeg—Transcona used from 1987 to 1996
1993 Canadian federal election: Winnipeg—Transcona
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Bill Blaikie 16,074 38.86 −2.26 $33,353
Liberal Art Miki 15,855 38.33 +6.45 $45,977
Reform Helen Sterzer 5,829 14.09 – $7,111
Progressive Conservative Brett Eckstein 2,112 5.11 −20.51 $13,422
National Marnie Johnston 900 2.18 – $14,483
Christian Heritage Robert Scott 362 0.88 – $2,688
Natural Law Geoff Danyluk 150 0.36 – $78
Marxist–Leninist Ken Kalturnyk 42 0.10 −0.17 $216
Canada Party Bill Tataryn 39 0.09 – $0
Total valid votes 41,363 100.00
Total rejected ballots 144 0.35 +0.04
Turnout 41,507 70.15 −5.32
Electors on the lists 59,169
New Democratic hold Swing −4.36
Source: Thirty-fifth General Election, 1993: Official Voting Results, Published by the Chief Electoral Officer of Canada. Financial figures taken from official contributions and expenses provided by Elections Canada.
1988 Canadian federal election: Winnipeg—Transcona
Party Candidate Votes %
New Democratic Bill Blaikie 17,361 41.13
Liberal Shirley Timm-Rudolph 13,460 31.88
Progressive Conservative Mike Thompson 10,815 25.62
Western Independence Fred Cameron 308 0.73
Independent Gerry West 156 0.37
Marxist–Leninist Karen Naylor 115 0.27
Total valid votes 42,215 100.00
Total rejected ballots 130 0.31
Turnout 42,345 75.47
Electors on the lists 56,110

See also

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References

[edit]
  • "Elmwood—Transcona (Code 46005) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.
  • Riding history for Elmwood–Transcona (2003– ) from the Library of Parliament
  • Expenditures - 2008

Notes

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  1. ^ Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.
  2. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, n.i.e." and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.
  1. ^ a b Statistics Canada: 2012
  2. ^ CBC News (September 20, 2010). "Elmwood - Transcona". CBC News.
  3. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 26, 2022). "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  4. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 27, 2021). "Census Profile, 2016 Census". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  5. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (November 27, 2015). "NHS Profile". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  6. ^ "Election Night Results - Electoral Districts". Elections Canada. Retrieved September 23, 2024.
  7. ^ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
  8. ^ "Elmwood—Transcona forty-fourth general election 2021 — Poll-by-poll results". Elections Canada. Retrieved August 24, 2024.
  9. ^ "Elmwood—Transcona forty-third general election 2019 — Poll-by-poll results". Elections Canada. Retrieved August 24, 2024.
  10. ^ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Elmwood—Transcona, 30 September 2015
  11. ^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates Archived August 15, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  12. ^ "Elmwood—Transcona forty-second general election 2015 — Poll-by-poll results". Elections Canada. Retrieved August 24, 2024.
  13. ^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
  14. ^ Election Prediction Project
  15. ^ Pundit's Guide to Canadian Elections - Internet Archive


49°55′07″N 97°01′53″W / 49.9186°N 97.0313°W / 49.9186; -97.0313

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