Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election
Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2012, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.
Note that some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2012.
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 60%–38%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capital Survey Research Center[1] | August 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 36% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 18 | 452 RV | ±4.6% |
Capital Survey Research Center[2] | June 7, 18–19, 26–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 36% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 15 | 551 LV | ±4.2% |
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[3] | July 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 11 | 833 RV | ±3.4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[4] | June 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Project New America/Public Policy Polling (D)[5] | June 4–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 3 | 791 RV | ±3.5% |
Public Policy Polling[6] | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
DC London/Magellan Strategies (R)[7] | April 30 – May 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 9 | 909 LV | ±3.25% |
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll[8]) | April 9–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 2 | 511 RV | ±4.4% |
Arizona State University[9] | April 8–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 | 488 RV | ±4.4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[4] | March 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
44% | Rick Santorum | 45% | 1 | |||||
NBC News/Marist College[10] | February 19–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 2,487 RV | ±1.8% |
Barack Obama | 41% | Ron Paul | 43% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Santorum | 45% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[11] | February 17–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tie | 743 RV | ±3.6% |
Barack Obama | 46% | Ron Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Santorum | 47% | 1 | ||||
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll)[12] | January 5–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 553 RV | ±4.3% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Ron Paul | 36% | 8 | ||||
45% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 10 | |||||
43% | Rick Santorum | 34% | 9 |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[13] | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 4 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Talk Business/Hendrix College[14] | March 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 33% | Mitt Romney | 56.5% | 23.5 | 759 LV | ±3.6% |
55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Policy Analysis for California Education/USC Rossier School of Education/Tulchin Research[15] | August 3–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55.6% | Mitt Romney | 32.7% | 22.9 | 1,041 LV | ±3.0% |
CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies[16] | July 16–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51.9% | Mitt Romney | 32.6% | 19.3 | 812 LV | ±3.4% |
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll)[17] | June 21 – July 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 18 | 848 LV | ±3.4% |
SurveyUSA[18] | May 27–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 21 | 1,575 RV | ±2.5% |
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll)[19] | May 21–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 32% | 16 | 710 RV | ±3.8% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint[20] | May 17–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 19 | 1,002 RV | ±3.5% |
Public Policy Institute of California[21] | May 14–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | 894 LV | ±4.2% |
SurveyUSA[22] | March 29, 2012 – April 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 31 | 1,995 RV | ±2.2% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint[23] | March 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 21 | 1,500 RV | ±2.9% |
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll)[24] | February 11–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 20 | 1,000 RV | ±3.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[25] | February 8–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 22 | 500 | ±4.5% |
58% | Rick Santorum | 30% | 28 | |||||
SurveyUSA[26] | February 8–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 29 | 2,088 RV | ±2.1% |
63% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 36 | |||||
61% | Ron Paul | 29% | 31 | |||||
61% | Rick Santorum | 29% | 32 |
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs[27] | August 21–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Purple Strategies[28] | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[29] | August 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[30] | August 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 779 LV | ±3.5% |
Purple Strategies[31] | July 9–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang-Research Group (D)[32] | June 25 – July 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 608 LV | ±4.% |
We Ask America[33] | June 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.6% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3.6 | 1,083 LV | ±2.98% |
Public Policy Polling[34] | June 14–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 799 LV | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[29] | June 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Purple Strategies[35] | May 31 – June 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
NBC News/Marist College[36] | May 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 1,030 RV | ±3.0% |
Project New America/Keating Research/Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D)[37] | May 21–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 601 RV | ±4.0% |
Purple Strategies[38] | April 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | Not reported | ±4.1% |
Public Policy Polling[39] | April 5–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 13 | 542 | ±4.2% |
55% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 18 | |||||
54% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 16 | |||||
47% | Ron Paul | 42% | 5 |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[30] | August 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 4 | 779 | ±3.5% |
Public Policy Polling[34] | June 14–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 39% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 8 | 799 | ±3.5% |
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University[40] | August 22–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 7 | 1,472 LV | ±2.6% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[41] | August 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac University[42] | May 29, 2012 – June 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 12 | 1,408 | ±2.6% |
Quinnipiac University[43] | March 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 16 | 1,622 | ±2.4% |
55% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 20 |
29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation[44] | August 22–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 776 LV | ±3.5% |
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[45] | August 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,241 LV | ±2.8% |
Gravis Marketing[46] | August 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 728 LV | ±3.8% |
Foster McCollum White Baydoun/Douglas Fulmer & Associates[47] | August 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39.9% | Mitt Romney | 54.46% | 14.56 | 1,503 LV | ±2.53% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[48] | August 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Purple Strategies[28] | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[49] | July 24–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 1,177 LV | ±3.0% |
Public Policy Polling[50] | July 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 871 LV | ±3.3% |
WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA[51] | July 17–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 647 LV | ±3.9% |
Purple Strategies[52] | July 9–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[53] | July 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[48] | July 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Priorities USA/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[32] | June 25 – July 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 608 LV | ±4.0% |
We Ask America[54] | July 1–2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.1% | Mitt Romney | 45.3% | 0.8 | 1,127 LV | ±2.9% |
Quinnipiac University[55] | June 19–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | 1,200 RV | ±2.8% |
Quinnipiac University[56] | June 12–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | 1,697 RV | ±2.4% |
Purple Strategies[57] | May 31, 2012 – June 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling[58] | May 31 – June 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 642 RV | ±3.9% |
Quinnipiac University[59] | May 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 6 | 1,722 RV | ±2.4% |
NBC News/Marist College[60] | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 1,078 RV | ±3.0% |
Suffolk University/7News[61] | May 6–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 600 RV | ±4% |
Quinnipiac University[62] | April 25 – May 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 1,169 RV | ±2.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[48] | April 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Purple Strategies[63] | April 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company[64] | April 15–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 2 | 757 RV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling[65] | April 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 8 | 700 LV | ±3.7% |
50% | Ron Paul | 40% | 10 | |||||
50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | |||||
Quinnipiac University[66] | March 20–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 1,228 RV | ±2.8% |
50% | Rick Santorum | 37% | 13 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[48] | March 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
45% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 2 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[48] | February 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
47% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 1 | |||||
NBC News/Marist College[67] | January 25–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 8 | 1,739 LV | ±2.7% |
52% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 17 | |||||
50% | Ron Paul | 36% | 14 | |||||
50% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 15 | |||||
Mason-Dixon Research & Polling/Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald[68] | January 24–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 4 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 9 | ||||
50% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 11 | |||||
Suffolk University[69] | January 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 5 | 600 RV | Not reported |
Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 9 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[70] | January 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 1,518 RV | ±2.5% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 11 | ||||
47% | Ron Paul | 39% | 8 | |||||
49% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 9 | |||||
Everglades Foundation/Tarrance Group (R)[71] | January 4–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 607 LV | ±4.1% |
Quinnipiac University[72] | January 4–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,412 RV | ±2.8% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 2 |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason Dixon[53] | July 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Gary Johnson | 2% | 1 | 800 | ±3.5% |
16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20/20 Insight[73] | August 15–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 3 | 1,158 LV | ±2.9% |
Majority Opinion Research/InsiderAdvantage[74] | May 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 12 | 438 | Not reported |
Rosetta Stone Communications/Landmark Communications[75] | May 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40.2% | Mitt Romney | 51.1% | 10.9 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
SurveyUSA[76] | February 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 4 | 1,156 RV | ±2.9% |
42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | |||||
43% | Rick Santorum | 47% | 4 | |||||
43% | Ron Paul | 46% | 3 |
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crain's Chicago Business/Ipsos[77] | July 16–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 20 | 600 | ±4.7% |
WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune[78] | February 2–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 21 | 600 | ±4.0% |
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[79] | July 31 – August 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 35% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 16 | 400 LV | ±5.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[79] | May 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 6 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Howey Politics/DePauw University/Bellwether Research/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group[80] | March 26–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 9 | 503 LV | ±4.5% |
41% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 5 |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[81] | August 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 1,244 LV | ±2.8% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[82] | August 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[83] | July 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 1,131 RV | ±2.91% |
We Ask America[84] | June 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 1,086 LV | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[82] | June 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
NBC News/Marist College[85] | May 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | 1,106 RV | ±3.0% |
Public Policy Polling[86] | May 3–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Ron Paul | 39% | 8 | 1,181 RV | ±2.85% |
Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 10 | ||||
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co.[87] | February 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 14 | 611 LV | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | ||||
42% | Ron Paul | 49% | 7 | |||||
44% | Rick Santorum | 48% | 4 |
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portland Press Herald/Critical Insights[88] | June 20–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 14 | 615 RV | ±4.0% |
MassINC Polling Group[89] | June 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 14 | 506 LV | ±4.4% |
Critical Insights[90] | May 2–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling[91] | March 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Ron Paul | 38% | 16 | 1,256 RV | ±2.8% |
58% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 23 | |||||
60% | Newt Gingrich | 32% | 28 | |||||
58% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 23 |
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 56%–43%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marylanders for Marriage Equality/Public Policy Polling (D)[92] | May 14–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 58% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 23 | 852 LV | ±3.4% |
11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kimball Political Consulting[93] | August 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 11 | 592 LV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling[94] | August 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 16 | 1,115LV | ±2.9% |
Public Policy Polling[95] | June 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 16 | 902LV | ±3.3% |
Western New England University[96] | May 29–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 22 | 504 LV | ±4.4% |
The Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire[97] | May 25–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 12 | 651 LV | ±3.8% |
Suffolk University[98] | May 20–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 25 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[99] | May 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 21 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[99] | April 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
The Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire[100] | March 21–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 16 | 544 LV | ±4.4% |
Public Policy Polling[101] | March 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Newt Gingrich | 28% | 34 | 936 RV | ±3.2% |
58% | Ron Paul | 30% | 28 | |||||
58% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 23 | |||||
61% | Rick Santorum | 29% | 32 | |||||
MassLive.com/The Republican/Western New England University[102] | February 23 – March 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 26 | 527 RV | ±4.3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[99] | February 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 17 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
58% | Rick Santorum | 32% | 26 | |||||
Suffolk University[103] | February 11–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 63% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 36 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | |||||
59% | Rick Santorum | 32% | 27 | |||||
60% | Ron Paul | 26% | 34 | |||||
Mass Insight Global Partnerships/Opinion Dynamics Corporation[104] | January 31 – February 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 18 | 456 RV | ±4.6% |
Four Way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Green | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[95] Margin of error: ±3.3% Sample size: 902LV |
June 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Jill Stein | 3% | Gary Johnson | 1% | 15 |
16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EPIC-MRA[105] | August 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1200 LV | ±2.6% |
Mitchell Research & Communications[106] | August 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.6% | Mitt Romney | 47.7% | 0.1 | 1277 LV | ±2.74% |
Detroit News/Glengariff Group[107] | August 18–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47.5% | Mitt Romney | 42.0% | 5.5 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun Consulting[108] | August 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 4 | 1,733 LV | ±2.35% |
Mitchell Research & Communications[109] | August 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 1,079 LV | ±2.98% |
EPIC-MRA[110] | July 24–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 600 LV | ±3.5% |
Mitchell Research & Communications[111] | July 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 825 LV | ±3.4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[112] | July 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[113] | July 21–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | 579 RV | ±4.1% |
NBC News/Marist College[114] | June 24–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 1,078 RV | ±3.0% |
Mitchell Research & Communications[115] | June 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 750 LV | ±3.58% |
We Ask America[84] | June 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 1,010LV | ±3.0% |
Lambert, Edwards & Associates/Denno Research[116] | June 14–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 40% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[112] | June 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Baydoun Consulting/Foster McCollum White & Associates[117] | June 12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.89% | Mitt Romney | 45.48% | 1.41 | 1,783 | ±2.32% |
EPIC-MRA[118] | June 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling[119] | May 24–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
Glengariff Group[120] | May 10–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4% |
EPIC-MRA[121] | March 31 – April 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Marketing Resource Group[122] | March 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4% |
NBC News/Marist College[10] | February 19–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Rick Santorum | 29% | 26 | 3,149 RV | ±1.8% |
56% | Newt Gingrich | 28% | 28 | |||||
53% | Ron Paul | 31% | 22 | |||||
51% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 18 | |||||
Public Policy Polling[123] | February 10–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 11 | 560 RV | ±4.14% |
56% | Newt Gingrich | 34% | 22 | |||||
52% | Ron Paul | 34% | 18 | |||||
54% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 16 | |||||
Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA[124] | January 21–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 13 | 600 LV | ±4% |
48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 |
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA[125] | July 17–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 6 | 552 LV | ±4.3% |
Public Policy Polling[126] | May 31 – June 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 15 | 973 RV | ±3.1% |
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/Survey USA[127] | May 9–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 14 | 516 RV | ±4.4% |
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/Survey USA[128] | January 31 – February 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 13 | 542 RV | ±4.3% |
55% | Newt Gingrich | 29% | 26 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 37% | 11 | |||||
51% | Rick Santorum | 32% | 19 | |||||
Public Policy Polling[129] | January 21–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 15 | 1,236 RV | ±2.8% |
52% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 12 | |||||
51% | Ron Paul | 38% | 13 | |||||
51% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 10 |
10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[130] | August 28–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 12 | 621 LV | ±3.9% |
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[131] | August 22–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 | 625 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[132] | August 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[133] | August 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
KSDK-TV St. Louis/KSHB-TV Kansas City/KSPR-TV Springfield/KYTV-TV Springfield/SurveyUSA[134] | August 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 585 LV | ±4.1% |
Missouri Scout/Chilenski Strategies[135] | August 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 663LV | ±3.8% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[132] | July 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
We Ask America[136] | July 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39.73% | Mitt Romney | 49.01% | 9.28 | 1,172 LV | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[132] | June 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[137] | May 24–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 602 RV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[132] | April 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[132] | March 14–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Santorum | 51% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[138] | January 27–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 7 | 582 RV | ±4.1% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Ron Paul | 43% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Santorum | 44% | 3 |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitol Correspondent/North Star Campaign Systems/North Star Campaign Systems/Gravis Marketing (R)[139] | August 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 36.1% | Mitt Romney | 53.1% | Gary Johnson | 4.1% | 17 | 1,057 A | ±3.4% |
We Ask America[136] | July 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39.7% | Mitt Romney | 49.0% | Gary Johnson | 2.1% | 9.3 | 1,172 LV | ±3.0% |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[140] | August 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 17 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[140] | June 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 9 | 500 | ±5.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[140] | May 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 7 | 450 LV | ±5.0% |
Public Policy Polling[141] | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 5 | 934 RV | ±3.2% |
41% | Ron Paul | 49% | 8 | |||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | Tie | ||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[140] | February 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 7 | 500 RV | ±4.5% |
41% | Rick Santorum | 45% | 4 |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[141] | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 43% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 2 | 934 | ±3.2% |
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[142] | May 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 14 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[143] | March 22–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 12 | 1,028 RV | ±3.1% |
38% | Rick Santorum | 55% | 17 | |||||
40% | Newt Gingrich | 49% | 9 | |||||
37% | Ron Paul | 49% | 12 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[142] | March 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 35% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 17 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
37% | Rick Santorum | 49% | 12 |
Second congressional district
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[143] | March 22–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | Not reported | Not reported |
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Santorum | 47% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Ron Paul | 44% | 2 |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[144] | August 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 831 LV | ±3.4% |
Las Vegas Review-Journal/SurveyUSA[145] | August 16–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 869 LV | ±3.4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[146] | July 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Magellan Strategies[147] | July 16–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 665 RV | ±3.8% |
Public Policy Polling[148] | June 7–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
NBC News/Marist College[149] | May 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 1,040 RV | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[146] | April 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[150] | March 29 – April 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 533 RV | ±4.2% |
54% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 14 | |||||
49% | Ron Paul | 42% | 7 | |||||
54% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 15 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[146] | March 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
52% | Rick Santorum | 36% | 16 |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
We Ask America[151] | July 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | Gary Johnson | 2% | 6 | 1,092 LV | ±2.95% |
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[152] | August 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 1,055 LV | ±3.0% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[153] | August 1–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 555 LV | ±4.2% |
Democracy for America/Public Policy Polling (D)[154] | August 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,591 LV | ±2.5% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[155] | July 5–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 470 LV | ±4.5% |
NBC News/Marist College[156] | June 24–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 1 | 1029 RV | ±3.1% |
American Research Group[157] | June 21–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 417 LV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[158] | June 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[159] | May 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 12 | 1,163 RV | ±2.9% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[160] | April 9–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 486 LV | ±4.4% |
Dartmouth College[161] | April 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42.4% | Mitt Romney | 43.9% | 1.5 | 403 RV | ±4.9% |
American Research Group[157] | March 15–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 557 RV | Not reported |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[162] | January 25 – February 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 10 | 495 LV | ±4.4% |
50% | Ron Paul | 42% | 8 | |||||
60% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 25 | |||||
56% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 21 |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[163] | May 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 13 | 1,163 | ±2.9% |
14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rutgers University[164] | August 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 14 | 710 LV | ±3.5% |
Monmouth University[165] | July 18–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 13 | 678 RV | ±3.8% |
Quinnipiac University[166] | July 9–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 11 | 1,623 RV | ±2.4% |
Rutgers University[167] | May 31 – June 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 23 | 1,065 RV | ±2.9% |
Quinnipiac University[168] | May 9–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 10 | 1,582 | ±2.5% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind)[169] | April 30 – May 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 14 | 797 RV | ±3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[170] | April 3–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 9 | 1,607 RV | ±2.4% |
51% | Rick Santorum | 36% | 15 | |||||
Quinnipiac University[171] | February 21–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 10 | 1,396 RV | ±2.6% |
55% | Newt Gingrich | 30% | 25 | |||||
52% | Rick Santorum | 34% | 18 | |||||
WABC-TV New York/SurveyUSA[172] | February 24–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 14 | 533 RV | ±4.3% |
61% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 34 | |||||
57% | Rick Santorum | 33% | 24 | |||||
56% | Ron Paul | 31% | 25 | |||||
Rutgers University[173] | February 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 25 | 914 RV | ±3.3% |
Quinnipiac University[174] | January 10–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 10 | 1,460 RV | ±2.6% |
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[175] | August 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 14 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[176] | July 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 724 RV | ±3.6% |
We Ask America[177] | July 9–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 11 | 1,295 LV | ±2.8% |
Patriot Majority/FM3 Research (D)[178] | May 16–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 13 | 502 RV | ±4.4% |
Public Policy Polling[179] | April 19–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 14 | 526 RV | ±4.3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[175] | April 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 15 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
52% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 16 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[175] | February 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Rick Santorum | 37% | 18 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
55% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 19 |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[176] | July 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Gary Johnson | 13% | 4 | 724 | ±3.64% |
Public Policy Polling[180] | April 19–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 35% | Gary Johnson | 15% | 13 | 526 | ±4.3% |
29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College[181] | August 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 29 | 671 LV | ±3.8% |
Siena College[182] | July 10–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 61% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 27 | 758 RV | ±3.6% |
Siena College[183] | June 3–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 24 | 807 RV | ±3.4% |
Quinnipiac University[184] | May 22–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 25 | 1,504 RV | ±2.5% |
Siena College[183] | May 6–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 20 | 766 RV | ±3.5% |
NY1/YNN/Marist College[185] | April 10–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 22 | 632 RV | ±4.0% |
Siena College[183] | April 1–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 65% | Newt Gingrich | 29% | 36 | 808 RV | ±3.4% |
61% | Ron Paul | 31% | 30 | |||||
60% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 25 | |||||
62% | Rick Santorum | 23% | 39 | |||||
Quinnipiac University[186] | March 28 – April 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 23 | 1,597 RV | ±2.5% |
59% | Rick Santorum | 30% | 29 | |||||
Siena College[187] | February 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 26 | 808 RV | ±3.4% |
64% | Rick Santorum | 30% | 34 | |||||
62% | Ron Paul | 29% | 33 | |||||
66% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 39 | |||||
Quinnipiac University[188] | February 8–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 17 | 1,233 RV | ±2.8% |
57% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 26 | |||||
53% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 18 |
15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FOX 8/High Point University/SurveyUSA[189] | August 26–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 543 RV | ±4.3% |
Elon University[190] | August 25–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 1,089 LV | ±3% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation[44] | August 22–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 766 LV | ±3.5% |
High Point University/SurveyUSA[191] | August 18–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 43% | Tied | 540 RV | ±4.3% |
Public Policy Polling[192] | August 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 813 LV | ±3.4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[193] | August 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Civitas Institute/National Research (R)[194] | July 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 600 RV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling[195] | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 775 RV | ±3.5% |
Project New America/Myers Research (D)[196] | July 1–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Civitas Institute/SurveyUSA[197] | June 29 – July 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 5 | 558 RV | ±4.2% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[198] | June 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
NBC News/Marist College[199] | June 24–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 1,019 RV | ±3.1% |
Public Policy Polling[200] | June 7–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 2 | 810 RV | ±3.4% |
WRAL-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSA | May 18–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 524 LV | ±4.4% |
Civitas Institute/National Research (R)[201] | May 19–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 600 RV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[198] | May 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[202] | May 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 666 RV | ±3.8% |
WRAL-TV Raleigh/Survey USA[203] | April 26–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 1,636 RV | ±2.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[198] | April 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[204] | April 4–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 10 | 975 RV | ±3.1% |
48% | Ron Paul | 43% | 5 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | |||||
50% | Rick Santorum | 44% | 6 | |||||
Public Policy Polling[205] | March 8–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 9 | 804 RV | ±3.5% |
48% | Ron Paul | 41% | 7 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | |||||
49% | Rick Santorum | 44% | 5 | |||||
Public Policy Polling[206] | February 3–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 5 | 1,052 RV | ±3.0% |
47% | Ron Paul | 41% | 6 | |||||
47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | |||||
48% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 2 | |||||
Civitas Institute/National Research (R)[207] | January 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 9 | 300 RV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling[208] | January 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 780 RV | ±3.5% |
49% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 6 | |||||
47% | Ron Paul | 41% | 6 | |||||
49% | Rick Perry | 41% | 8 | |||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Santorum | 46% | Tied |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[202] | May 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 2 | 666 | ±3.8% |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 63%–36%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North Dakota Democratic-NPL State Party/DFM Research (D)[209] | July 24–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 35% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 19 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[210] | July 10–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 36% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 15 | 400 | ±5.0% |
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[211] | June 4–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 13 | 625 RV | ±4.0% |
18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing[212] | August 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45.27% | Mitt Romney | 44.39% | 0.88 | 728 LV | ±3.8% |
Columbus Dispatch[213] | August 15–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 1,758 LV | ±2.1% |
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[45] | August 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,253 LV | ±2.8% |
University of Cincinnati[214] | August 16–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 847 LV | ±3.4% |
Purple Strategies[28] | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[215] | August 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[216] | August 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 961 LV | ±3.2% |
Quinnipiac University[217] | July 24–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,193 LV | ±3.0% |
We Ask America[218] | July 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47.84% | Mitt Romney | 40.2% | 7.64 | 1,115 LV | ±3.0% |
Opportunity Ohio/Magellan Strategies (R)[219] | July 23–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 2 | 597 LV | ±4.01% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[215] | July 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Purple Strategies[52] | July 9–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[220] | June 25 – July 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 7 | 608 LV | ±4.0% |
Quinnipiac University[55] | June 19–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 9 | 1,237 RV | ±2.8% |
Public Policy Polling[221] | June 21–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 673 RV | ±3.8% |
Purple Strategies[57] | May 31 – June 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[215] | May 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
NBC News/Marist College[60] | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 1,103RV | ±3.0% |
Quinnipiac University[222] | May 2–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 1,069 RV | ±3.0% |
Public Policy Polling[223] | May 3–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Ron Paul | 40% | 8 | 875 RV | ±3.3% |
50% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 7 | |||||
Quinnipiac University[62] | April 25 – May 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 | 1,130 RV | ±2.9% |
Purple Strategies[63] | April 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | Not reported | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[215] | April 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company[224] | April 15–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 6 | 606 RV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[215] | March 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
47% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 6 | |||||
Quinnipiac University[66] | March 20–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 6 | 1,246 RV | ±2.8% |
47% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 7 | |||||
NBC News/Marist College[225] | February 29 – March 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 12 | 1573 RV | ±2.5% |
51% | Newt Gingrich | 36% | 15 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 38% | 10 | 1505 RV | ||||
50% | Rick Santorum | 36% | 14 | |||||
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company[226] | February 11–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 505 RV | ±4.5% |
Barack Obama | 43% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 6 | ||||
Barack Obama | 40% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 41% | Ron Paul | 42% | 1 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[227] | February 7–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 12 | 1,421 RV | ±2.6% |
47% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 6 | |||||
46% | Ron Paul | 40% | 6 | |||||
46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[228] | February 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Rick Santorum | 44% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[229] | January 28–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Santorum | 42% | 6 | 820 RV | ±3.4% |
51% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 12 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 38% | 10 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | |||||
Quinnipiac University[230] | January 9–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Santorum | 37% | 11 | 1,610 RV | ±2.4% |
52% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 14 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 39% | 9 | |||||
44% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 |
7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 65.6%–34.4%
(Republican in 2008) 65.7%–34.4%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll[231] | July 26 – August 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 29% | Mitt Romney | 58% | 29 | 495 LV | ±4.4% |
SoonerPoll[232] | May 7–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 27% | Mitt Romney | 62% | 35 | 504 LV | ±4.4% |
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PPP[233] | June 21–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 686 | ±3.7% |
Survey USA[234] | May 7–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 1,468 | ±2.6% |
Survey USA[235] | March 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | 1,615 | ±2.5% |
54% | Newt Gingrich | 34% | 20 | |||||
49% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 9 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 39% | 9 |
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc.[236] | August 21–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 601 LV | ±4% |
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[237] | August 20–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 9 | 422 LV | ±5% |
Franklin and Marshall College[238] | August 7–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 681 RV | ±3.8% |
Quinnipiac University[217] | July 24–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 11 | 1,168 LV | ±3.0% |
Public Policy Polling[113] | July 21–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 758 RV | ±3.6% |
Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)[239] | July 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 800 LV | ±3.46% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[240] | July 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
We Ask America[177] | July 9–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 7 | 1,227 LV | ±2.8% |
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[220] | June 25 – July 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 9 | 608 LV | ±4.0% |
Quinnipiac University[55] | June 19–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 6 | 1,252 RV | ±2.8% |
Quinnipiac University[241] | June 5–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 6 | 997 RV | ±3.1% |
Franklin & Marshall College[242] | May 29 – June 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 12 | 412 RV | ±4.8% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[240] | May 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[243] | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 671 RV | ±3.8% |
Quinnipiac University[62] | April 25 – May 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 8 | 1,168 RV | ±2.9% |
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[244] | March 23 – April 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 5 | 492 RV | ±5% |
Quinnipiac University[66] | March 20–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 3 | 1,232 RV | ±2.8% |
48% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 7 | |||||
Public Policy Polling[245] | March 8–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 689 RV | ±4.1% |
51% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 12 | |||||
47% | Ron Paul | 41% | 6 | |||||
48% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 2 | |||||
Quinnipiac University[246] | March 7–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 6 | 1,256 RV | ±2.8% |
50% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 13 | |||||
45% | Ron Paul | 40% | 5 | |||||
45% | Rick Santorum | 44% | 1 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[240] | February 8–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 438 LV | ±4.5% |
46% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 6 | |||||
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[247] | February 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 11 | 625 RV | ±4.0% |
49% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 8 | |||||
Franklin & Marshall College[248] | February 14–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 8 | 592 RV | ±4.0% |
47% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 16 | |||||
41% | Ron Paul | 28% | 13 | |||||
45% | Rick Santorum | 37% | 8 | |||||
Susquehanna Polling and Research[249] | February 2–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 800 RV | ±3.46% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 4 |
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reuters/Ipsos[250] | January 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 995 RV | ±3.4% |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nielson Brothers Polling[251] | July 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 6 | 546 LV | ±4.19% |
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vanderbilt University/Princeton Survey Research Associates International[252] | May 2–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 7 | 826 RV | Not reported |
Middle Tennessee State University[253] | February 13–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 4 | 416 LV | ±4.0% |
41% | Ron Paul | 44% | 3 | |||||
41% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 6 | |||||
39% | Rick Santorum | 51% | 12 | |||||
Vanderbilt University/Princeton Survey Research Associates International[254] | February 16–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 3 | 1,508 RV | ±3% |
Barack Obama | 39% | Ron Paul | 40% | 1 | ||||
39% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 3 | |||||
38% | Rick Santorum | 42% | 4 |
38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov[255] | May 7–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 35% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 20 | 511 | ±4.34% |
Public Policy Polling[256] | April 19–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 | 591 RV | ±4.0% |
45% | Newt Gingrich | 47% | 2 | |||||
43% | Ron Paul | 47% | 4 | |||||
University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov[257] | February 8–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Newt Gingrich | 49% | 11 | 527 LV | ±4.27% |
36% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 13 | 529 LV | ±4.26% | |||
37% | Rick Santorum | 51% | 14 | |||||
35% | Ron Paul | 44% | 9 | |||||
Public Policy Polling[258] | January 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 2 | 700 RV | ±3.7% |
Barack Obama | 40% | Ron Paul | 46% | 6 | ||||
47% | Rick Perry | 48% | 1 | |||||
42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | |||||
42% | Rick Santorum | 49% | 7 |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Other candidates | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[258] | January 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 8 | 700 RV | ±3.7% |
Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 40% | Ron Paul* | 17% | 2 |
- – Ron Paul was running as a Republican candidate.
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deseret News/KSL-TV/Dan Jones & Associates[259] | June 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 26% | Mitt Romney | 68% | 42 | 1,222 RV | ±2.8% |
3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Castleton University[260] | August 11–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Mitt Romney | 25% | 37 | 477 RV | ±4.5% |
WDEV/WCAX/Vermont Business Magazine/Castleton University[261] | May 7–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59.3% | Mitt Romney | 27.5% | 31.8 | 607 RV | ±4.0% |
Castleton University[262] | February 11–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 26 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
59% | Rick Santorum | 30% | 29 | |||||
58% | Ron Paul | 28% | 30 |
13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[263] | August 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[264] | August 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 855 LV | ±3.4% |
Purple Strategies[28] | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[265] | August 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[266] | July 31 – August 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 1,412 LV | ±2.6% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[265] | July 16–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac University[267] | July 10–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | 1,673 RV | ±2.4% |
Purple Strategies[52] | July 9–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling[195] | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 647 RV | ±3.9% |
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group[32] | June 25 – July 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 608 LV | ±4% |
We Ask America[33] | June 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43.3% | Mitt Romney | 48.0% | 4.7 | 1,106 LV | ±2.95% |
Virginian Pilot/Old Dominion University[268] | May 16 – June 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 776 RV | ±3.5% |
Purple Strategies[57] | May 31 – June 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Quinnipiac University[269] | May 30 – June 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 1,282 RV | ±2.7% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[265] | June 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
NBC News/Marist College[270] | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 1,076 RV | ±3.0% |
Washington Post[271] | April 28 – May 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 964 RV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling[272] | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 16 | 680 RV | ±3.8% |
50% | Ron Paul | 39% | 11 | |||||
51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[265] | April 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5 |
Purple Strategies[63] | April 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | Not reported | ±4.1% |
Roanoke College[273] | March 26 – April 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 603 A | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[274] | March 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac University[275] | March 13–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 1,034 RV | ±3.1% |
54% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 19 | |||||
49% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 9 | |||||
49% | Ron Paul | 39% | 10 | |||||
NBC News/Marist College[276] | February 29 – March 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 17 | 1,273 RV | ±2.8% |
57% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 26 | |||||
54% | Rick Santorum | 32% | 22 | 1,245 RV | ||||
53% | Ron Paul | 32% | 21 | |||||
Roanoke College[277] | February 13–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 11 | 607 A | ±4% |
45% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 6 | |||||
45% | Ron Paul | 35% | 10 | |||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 1 | ||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[265] | February 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
51% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 8 | |||||
Richmond Times-Dispatch/Muhlenberg College/Christopher Newport University[278] | February 4–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 5 | 1,018 RV | ±3.1% |
Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 43% | Ron Paul | 43% | Tie | ||||
Quinnipiac University[279] | February 1–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 1,544 RV | ±2.5% |
51% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 14 | |||||
49% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 8 | |||||
47% | Ron Paul | 40% | 7 | |||||
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[280] | January 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 625 RV | ±3.9% |
49% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 11 |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Constitution Party | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[195] | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 35% | Virgil Goode | 9% | 14 | 647 | ±3.9% |
Public Policy Polling[272] | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Virgil Goode | 5% | 12 | 680 | ±3.8% |
12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moore Information[281] | August 6–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4% |
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA[282] | August 2–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 17 | 524 LV | ±4.4% |
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA | July 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 9 | 630 RV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling[283] | June 14–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 13 | 1,073 RV | ±3.0% |
Elway Research[284] | June 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 8 | 408 RV | ±5% |
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA[285] | May 8–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 14 | 557 RV | ±4.2% |
Public Policy Polling[286] | February 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 20 | 1,264 RV | ±2.76% |
53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 15 | |||||
51% | Ron Paul | 38% | 13 | |||||
52% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 12 | |||||
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA[287] | February 13–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 34% | 22 | 572 RV | ±4.2% |
50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | |||||
50% | Ron Paul | 37% | 13 | |||||
51% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 13 |
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R.L. Repass & Partners[288] | August 22–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 14 | 401 LV | ±4.9% |
R.L. Repass & Partners[289] | April 25–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 17 | 410 RV | ±4.8% |
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[45] | August 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 1,190 LV | ±3% |
Marquette Law School[290] | August 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 576 LV | ±4.2% |
Public Policy Polling[291] | August 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,308 LV | ±2.7% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] | August 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[293] | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 920 RV | ±3.0% |
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[266] | July 31 – August 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 1,428 | ±2.6% |
Marquette Law School[294] | August 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 1,188 LV | ±2.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] | July 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
We Ask America[151] | July 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 1,162 LV | ±2.93% |
Marquette Law School[295] | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 810 LV | ±3.5% |
Public Policy Polling[296] | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,057 LV | ±3.3% |
Marquette Law School[297] | June 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 594 LV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] | June 12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
We Ask America[298] | June 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 1,275 LV | ±2.75% |
Marquette Law School[299] | May 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 600 LV | ±4% |
St. Norbert College[300] | May 17–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 406 LV | ±5.0% |
Daily Kos/Public Policy Polling[301] | May 11–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 851 RV | ±3.4% |
Marquette Law School[302] | May 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] | May 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Marquette Law School[303] | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 705 RV | ±3.8% |
Daily Kos/Public Policy Polling[304] | April 13–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,136 RV | ±2.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] | March 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 25 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
52% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 11 | |||||
NBC News/Marist College[305] | March 22–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 17 | 1,391 RV | ±2.6% |
51% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 13 | |||||
51% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 12 | 1,400 RV | ||||
51% | Ron Paul | 36% | 15 | |||||
Marquette Law School[306] | March 22–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 707 RV | ±3.7% |
51% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 12 | |||||
53% | Newt Gingrich | 36% | 17 | |||||
50% | Ron Paul | 40% | 10 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] | February 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
46% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 5 | |||||
Public Policy Polling[307] | February 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 18 | 900 RV | ±3.27% |
53% | Ron Paul | 37% | 16 | |||||
53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | |||||
49% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 6 | |||||
Marquette Law School[308] | February 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 15 | 716 RV | ±3.7% |
51% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 11 | |||||
56% | Newt Gingrich | 33% | 23 | |||||
52% | Ron Paul | 36% | 16 | |||||
Marquette Law School[309] | January 19–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 | 701 RV | ±3.8% |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reason-Rupe[310] | May 14–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 36% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 10 | 708 | ±3.7% |
See also
[edit]- Statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election
- Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election
- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election
- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election
- 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
Notes
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