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2024 Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan presidential election

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2024 Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan presidential election
← 2021 23 September 2024
740 points for the first round
371 points needed to avoid a runoff
 
Candidate Yoshihiko Noda Yukio Edano
Seat Chiba 4th Saitama 5th
First round 267 (36.18%) 206 (27.91%)
Runoff 232 (56.31%) 180 (43.69%)
 
Candidate Kenta Izumi Harumi Yoshida
Seat Kyoto 3rd Tokyo 8th
First round 143 (19.38%) 122 (16.53%)
Runoff Eliminated Eliminated
Leader before election

Kenta Izumi

 Elected Leader

Yoshihiko Noda

The 2024 Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan presidential election took place on 23 September 2024, electing the next president of the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan for a 3-year term at the expiration of the current party leader Kenta Izumi's term. The winner of this election is expected to lead the party in the next general election and the 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election.

Former Prime Minister and President of the Democratic Party of Japan Yoshihiko Noda won the election in a second round runoff, defeating opponent Yukio Edano, former party president and the party's founder.[1][2][3]

Election procedure

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The Rules for Election of Constitutional Democratic Party Presidents establish the election process for the CDP president.[4] To qualify as a candidate officially, a candidate must be a CDP member of the National Diet and receive a nomination from at least 20 fellow CDP Diet members.

The CDP selects its leader via a two-round election involving CDP members of the Diet, local lawmakers in all 47 prefectures, and dues-paying party members from across Japan. A total of 740 points will be distributed amongst the electorate. 370 points are allocated to national lawmakers and prospective candidates; 272 of those points are assigned to the party's 136 Diet members, including the vice speaker of both houses of the Diet, at 2 points each, while 98 points are allocated to prospective candidates in national elections, at 1 point each. Meanwhile, groups of 1,236 local assembly members across the country and 114,792 rank-and-file party members and supporters are allocated 185 points each. If any candidate wins a majority (over 50%) of votes in the first round, that candidate is elected party president.

If no candidate receives a majority of votes in the first round, a runoff is held immediately between the top two candidates. The candidate who wins the most votes in the runoff is then elected president.

Election Administration Committee

[edit]
Chair
Members

Background

[edit]

Following the resignation of the then-party president Yukio Edano after the party's poor performance in the 2021 Japanese general election, former 2020 leadership contender and Parliamentary Secretary of the Cabinet Office Kenta Izumi was elected in 2021, defeating former Mayor of Niseko and fellow Diet member Seiji Osaka in a second round runoff.

The main issues expected to be discussed during the presidential election are the nature of the opposition parties' joint struggle to rebuild the party and the pros and cons of the “realistic course” of Izumi's fundamental policies, such as security and energy.[5][6]

Campaign

[edit]

The race formally begun on September 7, with four candidate able to qualify with 20 sponsors: former Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda, former party president Yukio Edano, incumbent party president Kenta Izumi and first-term diet member Harumi Yoshida.[7]

Candidates

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Declared

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Candidate(s) Date of birth Current position Party faction Electoral district Reference(s)
Yukio Edano 		(1964-05-31)31 May 1964
(age 60) 		Member of the House of Representatives
(since 1993)
Previous offices held
 Sanctuary
(Kondō)
Kuni no Katachi Kenkyūkai
(Kan)
Saitama 5th district 		[8][9][10][11][12][13][14]
Kenta Izumi 		(1974-07-29)29 July 1974
(age 50) 		President of the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan
(since 2021)
Member of the House of Representatives
(since 2003)
Previous offices held
 Shin Seiken Kenkyūkai
(Izumi)
Kyoto 3rd district 		[15][16][17][18]
Yoshihiko Noda 		(1957-05-20)20 May 1957
(age 67) 		Member of the House of Representatives
(since 2000; 1993-1996)
Previous offices held
 Kasaikai
(Noda)
Chiba 4th district 		[19][20][21][22]
Harumi Yoshida 		(1972-01-01)1 January 1972
(age 52) 		Member of the House of Representatives
(since 2021) 		None
Tokyo 8th district 		[23][24][7]

Supporters

[edit]

Party regulations require at least 20 Diet members’ support to run.

Yukio Edano
List of supporters[25]
Kenta Izumi
List of supporters[26]
Yoshihiko Noda
List of supporters[27]
Harumi Yoshida
List of supporters[28]

Declined

[edit]

Pre-election endorsements

[edit]
Endorsements of Chinami Nishimura[a]
Former Prime Ministers
  • Naoto Kan (Chairman of the Kuni no Katachi Kenkyūkai; Prime Minister, 2010–2011; Deputy Prime Minister, 2009–2010; Minister of Finance, 2010; Minister of Health and Welfare, 1996; Member of the House of Representatives for Tokyo 18th district)[33]
Endorsements of Yoshihiko Noda
Members of the National Diet
Party factions

Opinion polls

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(Figures in parentheses are approval ratings of Constitutional Democratic Party supporters)

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Yoshihiko
Noda 		Yukio
Edano 		Kenta
Izumi 		Harumi
Yoshida 		Kenji
Eda 		Sumio
Mabuchi 		Chinami
Nishimura 		Junya
Ogawa 		Seiji
Osaka 		Others NOT/

UD/NA

21–22 Sep 2024 ANN 1,012 39 18 9 8 – – – – – – 26
21 Sep 2024 Mainichi 2,044 30
(58) 		10
(18) 		5
(9) 		6
(11) 		– – – – – – 49
(4)
15–16 Sep 2024 Kyodo News N/A (58.8) (20.9) (7.6) (7.8) – – – – – – (4.8)
14–15 Sep 2024 go2senkyo/JX 992 38.1 11.4 6.1 9.5 – – – – – – 34.9
14–15 Sep 2024 Sankei/FNN 1,012 30.8 15.3 7.3 6.3 – – – – – – 40.3
14–15 Sep 2024 go2senkyo/JX N/A 38.1
(53.9) 		11.4
(22.7) 		6.1
(7.1) 		9.5
(7.8) 		– – – – – – 34.9
(8.5)
14–15 Sep 2024 Asahi 1,070 29 15 6 5 – – – – – – 45
13–15 Sep 2024 Nikkei/TV Tokyo 902 40
(58) 		18 9 6 – – – – – – 27
13–15 Sep 2024 Yomiuri/NNN 1,040 32 14 8 9 – – – – – – 37[b]
7–8 Sep 2024 JNN 1,011 30.9
(53.3) 		11.3
(17.9) 		9.7
(8.1) 		7.1
(6.5) 		– – – – – – 41
(14.2)
6–9 Sep 2024 Jiji Press 1,170 27.5
(46.8) 		14.5
(23.4) 		8.5
(14.9) 		3
(4.3) 		– – – – – – 46.5[c]
(10.6)
6–8 Sep 2024 NHK 1,220 35.3 14.4 9 5.6 4.9 – – – – – 30.7[d]
7 Sep 2024 Nomination period closes. Official campaign period begins.
31 Aug–1 Sep 2024 go2senkyo 1,000 15.4 9.2 3.8 0.9 1.6 1.1 – – – – 68
24–25 Aug 2024 ANN 1,015 27 14 9 – 4 2 – 1 – – 43
24–25 Aug 2024 Mainichi 950 27
(32) 		14
(37) 		7
(6) 		– 4
(6) 		2 2 – – 19 24
24–25 Aug 2024 Sankei/FNN 1,017[e] 20.1
(37.8) 		16.4
(36.1) 		6.6
(9.5) 		– 2.5
(6) 		2.1
(0.4) 		1.2
(0.6) 		1.2
(1.1) 		– – 50
(8.5)
23–25 Aug 2024 Yomiuri/NNN 1,056 25 15 8 – 3 3 – 3 – – 43[f]
17–18 Aug 2024 go2senkyo/JX 987 22.8 10.6 10.7 – 2.2 – – 2.7 – 14.9[g] 36
2–5 Aug 2024 Jiji Press 1,194 14.9 14.6 9.3 – – – – – – – 61.2
15–16 Jun 2024 go2senkyo/JX 984 19.2 8.4 11.4 – 2 1.3 0.5 1.5 1.3 11.1 43.3

Results

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Full results by round[35]
Candidate First Round Second Round
Diet members and candidates Local assembly members Party members Total points Diet members and candidates Prefectural chapters Total points
Votes cast % Points % Votes cast % Points % Votes cast % Points % Total votes % Votes cast % Votes cast % Total votes %
Yoshihiko Noda 当 83[h] 36.62% 128 34.78% 348 31.21% 58 31.35% 24,087 43.59% 81 43.79% 267 36.18% 132[i] 57.39% 28 59.57% 232 56.31%
Yukio Edano 50[j] 21.46% 83 22.55% 426 38.21% 71 38.38% 15,459 27.98% 52 28.11% 206 27.91% 98[k] 42.61% 19 42.43% 180 43.69%
Kenta Izumi 55[l] 23.61% 84 22.83% 200 17.94% 33 17.84% 7,932 14.36% 26 14.05% 143 19.38% Eliminated
Harumi Yoshida 45[m] 19.31% 73 19.84% 141 12.64% 23 12.43% 7,776 14.07% 26 14.05% 122 16.53% Eliminated
Total 233 100.00% 368 100.00% 1,115 100.00% 185 100.00% 55,254 100.00% 185 100.00% 738 100.00% 230 100.00% 47 100.00% 412 100.00%
Valid votes 233 100.00% 368 100.00% 1,115 100.00% 185 100.00% 55,254 99.91% 185 100.00% 738 100.00% 230 100.00% 47 100.00% 412 100.00%
Invalid and blank votes 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 493 0.09% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00%
Turnout 233 99.57% 368 99.46% 1,115 90.21% 185 100.00% 55,254 48.13% 185 100.00% 738 99.73% 230 98.29% 47 100.00% 412 98.80%
Registered electors 234 100.00% 370 100.00% 1,236 100.00% 185 100.00% 111,792 100.00% 185 100.00% 740 100.00% 234 100.00% 47 100.00% 417 100.00%
First round points (Diet members and candidates)
Noda
 
 34.78%
Izumi
 
 22.83%
Edano
 
 22.55%
Yoshida
 
 19.84%
First round points (Local assembly members)
Edano
 
 38.38%
Noda
 
 31.35%
Izumi
 
 17.84%
Yoshida
 
 12.43%
First round points (Party members)
Noda
 
 43.79%
Edano
 
 28.11%
Izumi
 
 14.05%
Yoshida
 
 14.05%
First round points (Total)
Noda
 
 36.18%
Edano
 
 27.91%
Izumi
 
 19.38%
Yoshida
 
 16.53%
Second round points (Diet members and candidates)
Noda
 
 57.39%
Edano
 
 42.61%
Second round points (Prefectural chapters)
Noda
 
 59.57%
Edano
 
 42.43%
Second round points (Total)
Noda
 
 56.31%
Edano
 
 43.69%

See also

[edit]

Notes

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  1. ^ Declined to run.
  2. ^ None of these: 12%; Don't know: 25%
  3. ^ None of these: 11.6%; Don't know: 32.3%
  4. ^ None of these: 8.1%; Don't know: 22.6%
  5. ^ 42.8% of respondents indicated an interest in the CDP presidential race and answered the related question.
  6. ^ None of these: 15%
  7. ^ Akira Nagatsuma: 4.1%; Kiyomi Tsujimoto: 3%; Kazuhiko Shigetoku: 0.2%; Others: 7.6%
  8. ^ 45 Diet members and 38 candidates.
  9. ^ 72 Diet members and 60 candidates.
  10. ^ 33 Diet members and 17 candidates.
  11. ^ 63 Diet members and 35 candidates.
  12. ^ 29 Diet members and 26 candidates.
  13. ^ 28 Diet members and 17 candidates.

References

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  1. ^ Johnston, Eric (23 September 2024). "Former PM Yoshihiko Noda elected new leader of main opposition CDP". The Japan Times. Archived from the original on 23 September 2024. Retrieved 23 September 2024.
  2. ^ "Ex-PM Noda elected Japan main opposition leader, vows to win power". Kyodo News. 23 September 2024. Archived from the original on 23 September 2024.
  3. ^ "立憲新代表に野田元首相、決選投票で枝野氏上回る　人事で「刷新感」". The Asahi Shimbun. 23 September 2024. Archived from the original on 23 September 2024. Retrieved 23 September 2024.
  4. ^ Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan. "立憲民主党代表選挙規則" (in Japanese). Archived from the original on 23 September 2024. Retrieved 23 September 2024.
  5. ^ "立憲民主党代表選は新旧対決へ…泉氏と枝野氏が出馬の意向、「第３の候補」求める声も" (in Japanese). The Yomiuri Shimbun. 3 August 2024. Archived from the original on 18 August 2024. Retrieved 30 August 2024.
  6. ^ "立民、安保・原発「現実路線」　リベラル系反発、代表選争点も" (in Japanese). Jiji Press. 3 August 2024. Archived from the original on 14 August 2024. Retrieved 30 August 2024.
  7. ^ a b "Four run in CDP leadership race as Yoshida enters at the last minute". The Asahi Shimbun. 7 September 2024. Archived from the original on 7 September 2024. Retrieved 7 September 2024.
  8. ^ Ninivaggi, Gabriele (21 August 2024). "CDP's Edano takes another shot at party leadership after 2021 polls failure". The Japan Times. Archived from the original on 21 August 2024. Retrieved 21 August 2024.
  9. ^ "Japan CDP's Edano Announces Bid for Leadership". Jiji Press. Nippon.com. 21 August 2024. Archived from the original on 21 August 2024. Retrieved 21 August 2024.
  10. ^ "Ex-main opposition CDPJ chief Edano eyes comeback in leadership race". Kyodo News. 21 August 2024. Archived from the original on 21 August 2024. Retrieved 21 August 2024.
  11. ^ "Ex-main opposition CDPJ chief Yukio Edano eyes comeback in leadership race". Mainichi Shimbun. 21 August 2024. Archived from the original on 21 August 2024. Retrieved 21 August 2024.
  12. ^ a b c d e Johnston, Eric (20 August 2024). "CDP faced with division as it heads into leadership race". The Japan Times. Archived from the original on 20 August 2024. Retrieved 21 August 2024.
  13. ^ "立憲・枝野氏が連合・芳野会長に"出馬"を報告 野田元首相は維新との勉強会に参加「連携を見据えた動き」との見方も" (in Japanese). 23 August 2024. Archived from the original on 24 August 2024. Retrieved 24 August 2024.
  14. ^ "立民代表選、枝野幸男氏が正式出馬表明「自民に代わる国民政党へ」 党改革に意欲" (in Japanese). 21 August 2024. Archived from the original on 21 August 2024. Retrieved 26 August 2024.
  15. ^ "立民代表選 泉代表 立候補を表明「政権交代目指し先頭に立つ」" (in Japanese). NHK. 6 September 2024. Archived from the original on 6 September 2024. Retrieved 6 September 2024.
  16. ^ "Kenta Izumi seeks reelection in Japan's main opposition leadership race". Mainichi Shimbun. 6 September 2024. Archived from the original on 6 September 2024. Retrieved 6 September 2024.
  17. ^ "「現社長だが挑戦者のつもりで挑む」　立憲・泉代表が出馬を正式表明" (in Japanese). The Asahi Shimbun. 6 September 2024. Archived from the original on 6 September 2024. Retrieved 6 September 2024.
  18. ^ "「現社長だが挑戦者のつもりで挑む」　立憲・泉代表が出馬を正式表明" (in Japanese). Mainichi Shimbun. 6 September 2024. Archived from the original on 6 September 2024. Retrieved 6 September 2024.
  19. ^ "立民代表選 野田元首相 立候補を表明「再び総理大臣目指す」" (in Japanese). NHK. 29 August 2024. Archived from the original on 29 August 2024. Retrieved 29 August 2024.
  20. ^ "Ex-PM Yoshihiko Noda to run in Japan's main opposition leadership race in September". The Mainichi Shimbun. 29 August 2024. Archived from the original on 29 August 2024. Retrieved 29 August 2024.
  21. ^ "Ex-PM Yoshihiko Noda to run in Japan's main opposition leadership race in September". The Mainichi Shimbun. 29 August 2024. Archived from the original on 29 August 2024. Retrieved 29 August 2024.
  22. ^ "野田佳彦元首相、立憲代表選への出馬表明　地元の千葉・習志野で" (in Japanese). Mainichi Shimbun. 29 August 2024. Archived from the original on 29 August 2024. Retrieved 6 September 2024.
  23. ^ a b "野田・枝野・泉・吉田の4氏が立候補届け出　立憲代表選が告示" (in Japanese). The Asahi Shimbun. 7 September 2024. Archived from the original on 7 September 2024. Retrieved 7 September 2024.
  24. ^ "【同時提供】立民代表選が告示 野田 枝野 泉 吉田 4氏が立候補" (in Japanese). NHK. 7 September 2024. Archived from the original on 9 September 2024. Retrieved 7 September 2024.
  25. ^ "枝野幸男氏の推薦人名簿　立憲民主党代表選" [Yukio Edano's list of supporters: Constitutional Democratic Party leadership election]. The Nikkei (in Japanese). 7 September 2024. Archived from the original on 9 September 2024. Retrieved 9 September 2024.
  26. ^ "泉健太氏の推薦人名簿　立憲民主党代表選" [Kenta Izumi's list of supporters: Constitutional Democratic Party leadership election]. The Nikkei (in Japanese). 7 September 2024. Archived from the original on 9 September 2024. Retrieved 9 September 2024.
  27. ^ "野田佳彦氏の推薦人名簿　立憲民主党代表選" [Yoshihiko Noda's list of supporters: Constitutional Democratic Party leadership election]. The Nikkei (in Japanese). 7 September 2024. Archived from the original on 9 September 2024. Retrieved 9 September 2024.
  28. ^ "吉田晴美氏の推薦人名簿　立憲民主党代表選" [Harumi Yoshida's list of supporters: Constitutional Democratic Party leadership election]. The Nikkei (in Japanese). 7 September 2024. Archived from the original on 9 September 2024. Retrieved 9 September 2024.
  29. ^ "Main opposition CDP kicks off leadership race". japantimes. Jiji Press. Archived from the original on 7 September 2024. Retrieved 9 September 2024.
  30. ^ "馬淵澄夫元国交相、立憲民主党代表選の出馬見送りへ" (in Japanese). The Nikkei. 5 September 2024. Archived from the original on 6 September 2024. Retrieved 7 September 2024.
  31. ^ "立憲代表選、西村智奈美氏は不出馬の意向　「ためらいあった」" (in Japanese). Mainichi Shimbun. 4 September 2024. Archived from the original on 5 September 2024. Retrieved 7 September 2024.
  32. ^ a b "立民・小川淳也氏が代表選出馬の見送り表明　「恩人の野田佳彦元首相の出馬が影響」" (in Japanese). The Sankei Shimbun. 30 August 2024. Archived from the original on 30 August 2024. Retrieved 30 August 2024.
  33. ^ "立憲・菅元首相、代表選で西村氏推す考え表明 本人にはためらいも" (in Japanese). 22 August 2024. Archived from the original on 26 August 2024. Retrieved 22 August 2024.
  34. ^ "Japan CDP Bigwig Ozawa to Back Noda in Party Election". nippon. Jiji Press. Archived from the original on 3 September 2024. Retrieved 3 September 2024.
  35. ^ "2024年9月立憲民主党代表選挙の結果に関する公告" (in Japanese). The Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan. Archived from the original on 23 September 2024. Retrieved 23 September 2024.
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