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2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections

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2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections

← 2016 23 September 2019 (1 seat)
21 October 2019 (5 seats)
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Manjeshwar, Ernakulam, Pala, Aroor, Konni and Vattiyoorkavu Niyamasabha constituencies
Turnout70.11%
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Pinarayi Vijayan Ramesh Chennithala P. S. Sreedharan Pillai
Party CPI(M) INC BJP
Alliance   LDF   UDF   NDA
Leader's seat Dharmadom Haripad Did not contest
Last election 01 05 00
Seats won 03 03 00
Seat change Increase02 Decrease02  –
Popular vote 302,717 308,359 172,407
Percentage 37.97% 38.68% 21.63%
Swing Increase1.53% Decrease1.78% Decrease0.09%

Chief Minister before election

Pinarayi Vijayan
CPI(M)

Chief Minister

Pinarayi Vijayan
CPI(M)

Six assembly by-elections were held on 23 September and 21 October 2019, to the six vacant seats in the Kerala Niyamasabha which consists of 140 constituencies in total.

By-election took place in two phases. The first phase was conducted on 23 September for Pala Constituency.[1] The remaining 5 assembly constituencies (Manjeshwar, Ernakulam, Aroor, Konni and Vattiyoorkavu) voted to elect their representatives on 21 October.[2] The counting of votes was conducted on 27 September in Pala and on 24 October in the other five constituencies.

Schedule for the by-elections

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Pala

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The first phase by-election was held for the Pala Constituency in Kerala.[3]

By-Election Event Day Date
Election Declaration Sunday 25/08/2019
Issue of Gazette Notification Wednesday 28/08/2019
Last date of filing Nomination Wednesday 04/09/2019
Scrutiny of Nominations Thursday 05/09/2019
Last date of withdrawal of candidatures Saturday 07/09/2019
Polling Monday 23/09/2019
Counting of votes Friday 27/09/2019

Manjeshwaram, Ernakulam, Aroor, Konni and Vattiyoorkavu

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The second phase by-elections were held for the remaining 5 vacant assembly constituencies in Kerala.[4]

By-Election Event Day Date
Election Declaration Saturday 21/09/2019
Issue of Gazette Notification Monday 23/09/2019
Last date of filing Nomination Monday 30/09/2019
Scrutiny of Nominations Tuesday 01/10/2019
Last date of withdrawal of candidatures Thursday 03/10/2019
Polling Monday 21/10/2019
Counting of votes Thursday 24/10/2019

Electorates

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There were 11,36,616 electorates from the 6 niyamasabha constituencies where the by-elections were held. Constituency wise details are given below:

Number Constituency Electorates
1 Manjeshwar 2,14,779
82 Ernakulam 1,55,306
93 Pala 1,79,107
102 Aroor 1,91,898
114 Konni 1,97,956
133 Vattiyoorkavu 1,97,570

Alliances and parties

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There are two major political coalitions in Kerala. The United Democratic Front (UDF) is the coalition of centrist and center-left parties led by the Indian National Congress. The Left Democratic Front (LDF) is the coalition of left-wing and far-left parties, led by the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)).

  LDF

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They are a coalition of left-wing political parties in Kerala. It is one of the two major political coalitions in the state, the other being the UDF, both of which has been in power alternatively for the last two decades. After winning a majority of the seats in the Niyamasabha elections, they are currently in power. The coalition consists of CPI(M), CPI and a variety of other smaller parties. LDF fields four CPI(M) candidates, an NCP candidate and an independent to fight in the by-poll.

No. Party Flag Symbol Photo Leader Seats contested Male Female
1. Communist Party of India (Marxist)
Kodiyeri Balakrishnan Manjeshwaram Aroor, Konni, Vattiyoorkavu 4 0
2. Nationalist Congress Party Pala 1 0
3. LDF Independent
A. Vijayaraghavan Ernakulam 1 0

  UDF

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It is an alliance of central-wing political parties in the state, created by the prominent INC party leader K. Karunakaran in the 1970s. UDF fielded four INC candidates, an IUML candidate and an independent for the vacant constituencies.

No. Party Flag Symbol Photo Leader Seats contested Male Female
1. Indian National Congress
Mullappally Ramachandran Ernakulam, Aroor, Konni Vattiyoorkavu 3 1
2. Indian Union Muslim League
Sayed Hyderali Shihab Thangal Manjeshwar 1 0
3. UDF Independent
Benny Behanan Pala 1 0

  NDA

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It is a coalition of right-leaning political parties in India. NDA gave all the six seats for the BJP to contest.

No. Party Flag Symbol Photo Leader Seats contested Male Female
1. Bharatiya Janata Party
P. S Sreedharan Pillai Manjeshwar, Ernakulam, Pala, Aroor, Konni Vattiyoorkavu 6 0

Constituency-wise Candidates

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The LDF fielded four CPI(M) candidates, an NCP candidate and an independent to win the seats. UDF fielded four INC candidates, an IUML candidate and an independent. NDA fielded six BJP candidates.

No. Constituency Candidates
LDF

  CPI(M) (4)   NCP (1)

  Independent (1)

UDF

  INC (4)   IUML (1)

  Independent (1)

NDA

  BJP (6)

1 Manjeshwar M. Shankara Rai   CPI(M) M. C. Kamaruddin   IUML Raveesh Thanthri Kuntar   BJP
2 Ernakulam Manu Roy   Independent T. J. Vinod   INC C. G. Rajagopal   BJP
3 Pala Mani C. Kappan   NCP Jose Tom Pulikunnel   Independent N. Hari   BJP
4 Aroor Manu C. Pulikkal   CPI(M) Shanimol Usman   INC K. P. Prakash Babu   BJP
5 Konni K. U. Jenish Kumar   CPI(M) P. Mohanraj   INC K. Surendran   BJP
6 Vattiyoorkavu V. K. Prasanth   CPI(M) K. Mohankumar   INC S. Suresh   BJP

Exit Polls

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The Manorama News and the Mathrubhumi News published their exit poll predictions in the constituencies where the election was held on 21 October 2019. Asianet News had published their exit poll predictions for Pala, where the election was held earlier.

Manorama - Karvy[5] Mathrubhumi- Geowide India[6] AZ Research - Asianet[7]
Constituencies
LDF UDF NDA LDF UDF NDA LDF UDF NDA
Manjeshwar 31% 36% 31% 21% 40% 37%
Ernakulam 30% 55% 12% 39% 44% 15%
Pala 32% 48% 19%
Aroor 44% 43% 11% 44% 43% 11%
Konni 46% 41% 12% 39% 41% 19%
Vattiyoorkavu 36% 37% 26% 41% 37% 20%

Polling day

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Polling took place on 23 September 2019 in Pala and on 21 October 2019 in the remaining five Niyamasabha constituencies.

Number Constituency Polling%
1 Manjeshwar 75.78
82 Ernakulam 57.90
93 Pala 70.97
102 Aroor 80.47
114 Konni 70.07
133 Vattiyoorkavu 62.66

Results in a glance

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The results at a glance are given below:

By alliance

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Both the LDF and the UDF won three seats each. The NDA could not win any seats.

Alliance Seats Contested Seats Won Seat Change Vote % Swing

%

  UDF 06 03 Decrease02 38.68 Decrease1.78
  LDF 06 03 Increase02 37.97 Increase1.53
  NDA 06 00 00 21.63 Decrease0.09
Total 06

Party-wise

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Each of the CPI(M) and the INC won in two seats. The remaining two seats were bagged by the NCP and the IUML respectively.

LDF SEATS UDF SEATS NDA SEATS
CPI(M) 02 INC 02 BJP 00
NCP 01 IUML 01
LDF
Independent
00 UDF
Independent
00
Total 03 Total 03 Total 00
Change Increase02 Change Decrease02 Change 00

By district

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District No. of constituencies Winning party Alliance
Kasaragod

01

IUML UDF
Ernakulam

01

INC UDF
Kottayam

01

NCP LDF
Alappuzha

01

INC UDF
Pathanamthitta

01

CPI(M) LDF
Thiruvananthapuram 01 CPI(M) LDF
Total 06

By constituency

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No. Constituency LDF candidate Party Votes UDF candidate Party Votes NDA candidate Party Votes Winner Margin Alliance
1 Manjeshwar M. Shankara Rai   CPI(M) 38,233 23.49% M. C. Kamaruddin   IUML 65,407 40.19% Raveesh Thanthri Kuntar   BJP 57,484 35.32% M. C. Kamaruddin 7,923 4.87% UDF
82 Ernakulam Manu Roy   LDF 34,141 37.96% T. J. Vinod   INC 37,891 42.13% C. G. Rajagopal   BJP 13,351 14.85% T. J. Vinod 3,750 4.17% UDF
93 Pala Mani C. Kappan   NCP 54,137 42.55% Jose Tom Pulikunnel   UDF 51,194 40.24% N. Hari   BJP 18,044 14.18% Mani C. Kappan 2,943 2.31% LDF
102 Aroor Manu C. Pulikkal   CPI(M) 67,277 43.54% Shanimol Usman   INC 69,356 44.88% K. P. Prakash Babu   BJP 16,289 10.54% Shanimol Usman 2,079 1.34% UDF
114 Konni K. U. Jenish Kumar   CPI(M) 54,099 38.96% P. Mohanraj   INC 44,140 31.79% K. Surendran   BJP 39,786 28.65% K. U. Jenish Kumar 9,953 7.17% LDF
133 Vattiyoorkavu V. K. Prasanth   CPI(M) 54,830 44.25% K. Mohan Kumar   INC 40,365 32.58% S. Suresh   BJP 27,453 22.16% V. K. Prasanth 14,465 11.67% LDF

Detailed results

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2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections : Manjeshwar
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
IUML M. C. Kamaruddin 65,407 40.19% Increase4.40
BJP Raveesh Thanthri Kuntar 57,484 35.32% Decrease0.42
CPI(M) M. Shankara Rai 38,233 23.49% Decrease3.30
NOTA None of the Above 574 0.35% Decrease0.06
Independent Govindan B. Alinthazhe 337 0.21% N/A
Independent John D. Souza 277 0.17% Increase0.04
Independent Rajesh B. 232 0.14% N/A
Independent Kamarudheen M. C. 211 0.13% N/A
Margin of victory 7,923 4.87% Increase4.82
Turnout 162,755 75.78% Decrease0.55
IUML hold Swing Increase4.40

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2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections : Ernakulam
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
INC T. J. Vinod 37,891 42.13% Decrease10.19
LDF Manu Roy 34,141 37.96% Increase5.50
BJP C. G. Rajagopal 13,351 14.85% Increase1.39
Independent Manu K. M. 2,572 2.86% N/A
NOTA None of the Above 1,309 1.46% Increase0.61
Independent Vinod A. P. 206 0.23% N/A
SFB Abdul Khader 175 0.19% N/A
Independent Jaisen Thomas 116 0.13% N/A
Independent Bosco Louis 93 0.10% N/A
Independent Ashokan 78 0.09% N/A
Margin of victory 3,750 4.17% Decrease15.69
Turnout 89,932 57.91% Decrease13.81
INC hold Swing Decrease10.19

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93. Pala

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2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections : Pala
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
NCP Mani C. Kappan 54,137 42.55%
UDF Jose Tom Pulikkunnel 51,194 40.24%
BJP N. Hari 18,044 14.18%
Independent C. J. Philip 1,085 0.85%
Independent Maju Puthenkandam 1,012 0.80%
NOTA None of the Above 742 0.58%
Independent George Pooveli 565 0.44%
Independent Tom Thomas 303 0.24%
Independent Ignatious Illimoottil 233 0.18%
Independent Joseph Jacob 178 0.14%
Independent Babu Joseph 130 0.10%
Independent Joemon Joseph Srampickal 130 0.10%
Independent Joby Thomas 112 0.09%
Independent Sunilkumar 97 0.08%
Margin of victory 2,943 2.31%
Turnout 127,220 70.97%
NCP gain from KC(M) Swing

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102. Aroor

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2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections : Aroor
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
INC Shanimol Usman 69,356 44.88% Increase16.34
CPI(M) Manu C. Pulikkal 67,277 43.54% Decrease8.80
BJP K. P. Prakash Babu 16,289 10.54% N/A
NOTA None of the Above 840 0.54% Increase0.09
Independent Geetha Asokan 352 0.23% N/A
Independent K. B. Sunil Kumar 278 0.18% N/A
Independent Alleppy Sugunan 142 0.09% N/A
Margin of victory 2,079 1.34% Decrease22.46
Turnout 154,534 80.47% Decrease5.36
INC gain from CPI(M) Swing Increase16.34

[11]

114. Konni

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2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections : Konni
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
CPI(M) K. U. Jenish Kumar 54,099 38.96% Increase2.63
INC P. Mohanraj 44,146 31.79% Decrease19.02
BJP K. Surendran 39,786 28.65% Increase16.99
NOTA None of the Above 469 0.34% Increase0.01
Independent Joemon Joseph Srampickal 235 0.17% N/A
Independent Sivanandan 124 0.09% N/A
Margin of victory 9,953 7.17% Decrease7.31
Turnout 138,859 70.07% Decrease2.92
CPI(M) gain from INC Swing Increase2.63

[12]

2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections: Vattiyoorkavu
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
CPI(M) V. K. Prasanth 54,830 44.25% Increase14.46
INC K. Mohankumar 40,365 32.58% Decrease5.23
BJP S. Suresh 27,453 22.16% Decrease10.03
NOTA None of the Above 820 0.66% Increase0.06
Independent A.Mohanakumar 135 0.11% N/A
Independent Nagaraj G. 100 0.08% N/A
Independent Suresh S. S. 93 0.08% N/A
Independent Murukan A. 76 0.06% N/A
Independent Mithran G. 38 0.03% N/A
Majority 14,465 11.67% Increase6.06
Turnout 123,910 62.66% Decrease7.17
CPI(M) gain from INC Swing Increase14.46

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List of the newly elected MLAs to the 14th Kerala Niyamasabha

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As a result of the 2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections, six new members were elected to the Kerala Niyamasabha.

Constituency Member Party Alliance
Manjeshwar M. C. Kamaruddin   IUML   UDF
Ernakulam T. J. Vinod   INC   UDF
Pala Mani C. Kappan   NCP   LDF
Aroor Shanimol Usman   INC   UDF
Konni K. U. Jenish Kumar   CPI(M)   LDF
Vattiyoorkavu V. K. Prasanth   CPI(M)   LDF

Assembly seat share post by-elections

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After the 2019 Kerala Legislative Assembly by-elections, the composition of 14th Kerala Legislative Assembly changed as per given below:

UDF LDF NDA
45 93 2

The Kerala Niyamasabha is composed of 141 seats (140 elected and 1 nominated). After the by-elections, the Government of Kerala has the support of 93 members.

Total (141)

Government (93)

Opposition (47)

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "Pala Bypoll on September 23, Times of India". timesofindia.indiatimes.com.
  2. ^ "Bypolls to five Kerala seats on October 21, India Today". www.indiatoday.in.
  3. ^ "Schedule for Kerala Assembly Byelections 2019 (Phase-1)". www.ceo.kerala.gov.in.
  4. ^ "Schedule for Kerala Assembly Byelections 2019 (Phase-2)". www.ceo.kerala.gov.in.
  5. ^ "Kerala by-election exit polls, Manorama News - Karvy Insights". english.manoramaonline.com.
  6. ^ "Bypolls: UDF likely to win three seats, LDF to win two, predict Mathrubhumi News - Geowide Exit Polls". tv.mathrubhumi.com.
  7. ^ "പാലായില്‍ യുഡിഎഫ് തന്നെയെന്ന് ഏഷ്യാനെറ്റ് ന്യൂസ് എക്സിറ്റ് പോള്‍ ഫലം, asianet news". www.asianetnews.com.
  8. ^ "Manjeshwaram Niyamasabha byepoll results - 2019, Election Commission of India". results.eci.gov.in.
  9. ^ "Ernakulam Niyamasabha byepoll results - 2019, Election Commission of India". results.eci.gov.in.
  10. ^ "Pala Niyamasabha By-election Results 2019, Election commission of India". eci.gov.in.
  11. ^ "Aroor Niyamasabha byepoll results - 2019, Election Commission of India". results.eci.gov.in.[permanent dead link]
  12. ^ "Konni Niyamasabha byepoll results - 2019, Election Commission of India". results.eci.gov.in.
  13. ^ "Vattiyoorkavu Niyamasabha byepoll results - 2019, Election Commission of India". results.eci.gov.in.
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