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2016 West Virginia Democratic presidential primary

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2016 West Virginia Democratic presidential primary

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Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton Paul T. Farrell Jr.
Home state Vermont New York West Virginia
Delegate count 18 11 0
Popular vote 124,700 86,914 21,694
Percentage 51.41% 35.84% 8.94%

County Results
Sanders
  40-50%
  50-60%
  60-70%
Results by county of Paul T. Farrell, Jr.
  <5%
  5–10%
  10–15%
  15–20%
  >20%

The 2016 West Virginia Democratic presidential primary was held on May 10 in the U.S. state of West Virginia as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

The Republican Party held primaries in two states, including their own West Virginia primary, while for the Democratic Party this was the only primary on that day.

In a heavily white, working-class state where voters were angry about the Obama administration's policies, Bernie Sanders easily outpolled Clinton. Thirty percent of Democratic primary voters came from a coal household, and Sanders won 63 percent of these.[1]

Opinion polling

[edit]
List of polls

Delegate count: 29 Pledged, 8 Unpledged Winner: Bernie Sanders
Primary date: May 10, 2016

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results[2] May 10, 2016 Bernie Sanders
51.4%
Hillary Clinton
35.8%
Paul Farrell
8.9%
Others
3.9%
MetroNews[3]

Margin of error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 315

April 22-May 2, 2016 Bernie Sanders
47%
Hillary Clinton
43%
Undecided 11%
Public Policy Polling[4]

Margin of error: ±3.9%
Sample size: 637

April 29-May 1, 2016 Bernie Sanders
45%
Hillary Clinton
37%
Undecided 18%
West Virginia Veterans/Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies[5]

Margin of error: ±3.9%
Sample size: 600

March 2–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton
44%
Bernie Sanders
31%
Paul Farrell
6%
Keith Judd 1%
Others 7%
Undecided 11%
Orion Strategies[6]

Margin of error: ±5.6%
Sample size: 306

February 20–21, 2016 Bernie Sanders
32%
Hillary Clinton
24%
Undecided 44%
REPASS Research

Margin of error: ±4.9%[7]
Sample size: 411

February 11–16, 2016 Bernie Sanders
57%
Hillary Clinton
29%
Orion Strategies[8]

Margin of error: ±4.9%[9]
Sample size: 306

August 27, 2015 Hillary Clinton
23%
Joe Biden
16%
Bernie Sanders
12%
Undecided 49%
Prism Surveys[10]

Margin of error: ± 3.21%
Sample size: 900

August 21, 2015 Hillary Clinton
36%
Bernie Sanders
32%
Undecided 32%

Results

[edit]
West Virginia Democratic primary, May 10, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 124,700 51.41% 18 18
Hillary Clinton 86,914 35.84% 11 8 19
Paul T. Farrell Jr. 21,694 8.94%
Keith Judd 4,460 1.84%
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 3,796 1.57%
Rocky De La Fuente 975 0.40%
Uncommitted 0 0 0
Total 242,539 100% 29 8 37
Source: [11][12]

County results

[edit]
County Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton Paul T. Ferrell Others Total

votes

% # % # % # % #
Barbour 51.47% 996 35.66% 690 8.53% 165 4.34% 84 1,935
Berkeley 49.24% 3,994 43.95% 3,565 2.71% 220 4.10% 333 8,112
Boone 51.92% 2,423 26.83% 1,252 15.83% 739 5.42% 253 4,667
Braxton 51.39% 1,330 34.85% 902 8.54% 221 5.22% 135 2,588
Brooke 51.35% 1,807 37.97% 1,336 7.73% 272 2.95% 104 3,519
Cabell 46.18% 5,408 37.89% 4,437 14.45% 1,692 1.48% 174 11,711
Calhoun 62.06% 854 22.75% 313 8.50% 117 6.69% 92 1,376
Clay 50.98% 755 29.37% 435 14.52% 215 5.13% 76 1,481
Doddridge 58.85% 236 28.93% 116 7.48% 30 4.74% 19 401
Fayette 52.28% 3,609 33.84% 2,336 9.78% 675 4.10% 283 6,903
Gilmer 52.87% 645 28.36% 346 10.08% 123 8.69% 106 1,220
Grant 46.75% 187 41.75% 167 8.00% 32 3.50% 14 400
Greenbrier 52.92% 2,871 35.02% 1,900 9.55% 518 2.51% 136 5,425
Hampshire 52.85% 1,056 33.13% 662 8.41% 168 5.61% 112 1,998
Hancock 54.10% 2,285 36.74% 1,552 6.08% 257 3.08% 130 4,224
Hardy 46.14% 885 34.20% 656 11.00% 211 8.66% 166 1,918
Harrison 49.09% 5,406 38.27% 4,214 7.71% 849 4.93% 543 11,012
Jackson 50.00% 1,810 39.97% 1,447 7.02% 254 3.01% 109 3,620
Jefferson 50.23% 3,267 44.86% 2,918 2.31% 150 2.60% 169 6,504
Kanawha 47.90% 13,654 45.12% 12,863 4.69% 1,336 2.29% 653 28,506
Lewis 54.89% 1,240 31.78% 718 8.37% 189 4.96% 112 2,259
Lincoln 47.12% 1,523 31.81% 1,028 16.46% 532 4.61% 149 3,232
Logan 50.48% 3,216 23.50% 1,497 20.30% 1,293 5.72% 365 6,371
Marion 52.45% 5,355 35.00% 3,573 8.10% 827 4.45% 454 10,209
Marshall 56.11% 2,618 31.16% 1,454 7.16% 334 5.57% 260 4,666
Mason 51.68% 1,781 35.58% 1,226 9.40% 324 3.34% 115 3,446
McDowell 55.23% 1,488 30.33% 817 8.69% 234 5.75% 155 2,694
Mercer 51.38% 3,239 34.47% 2,173 8.60% 542 5.55% 350 6,304
Mineral 49.43% 1,120 37.82% 857 7.50% 170 5.25% 119 2,266
Mingo 48.32% 2,432 21.42% 1,078 23.64% 1,190 6.62% 333 5,033
Monongalia 57.60% 8,142 35.27% 4,986 5.26% 743 1.87% 265 14,136
Monroe 50.00% 834 36.51% 609 8.21% 137 5.28% 88 1,668
Morgan 55.09% 682 39.26% 486 1.94% 24 3.71% 46 1,238
Nicholas 52.86% 1,959 29.52% 1,094 12.36% 458 5.26% 195 3,706
Ohio 52.91% 3,377 39.01% 2,490 5.50% 351 2.58% 165 6,383
Pendleton 46.83% 539 40.83% 470 7.65% 88 4.69% 54 1,151
Pleasants 54.99% 551 33.33% 334 9.18% 92 2.50% 25 1,002
Pocahontas 54.69% 828 34.81% 527 5.81% 88 4.69% 71 1,514
Preston 56.14% 1,720 31.36% 961 8.09% 248 4.41% 135 3,064
Putnam 51.26% 3,271 40.09% 2,558 5.94% 379 2.71% 173 6,381
Raleigh 52.49% 4,986 34.58% 3,285 8.77% 833 4.16% 395 9,499
Randolph 52.23% 2,494 31.79% 1,518 10.64% 508 5.34% 255 4,775
Ritchie 57.98% 356 32.74% 201 6.35% 39 3.93% 18 614
Roane 52.93% 1,004 39.06% 741 5.06% 96 2.95% 56 1,896
Summers 51.06% 1,063 37.51% 781 7.64% 159 3.79% 79 2,082
Taylor 51.84% 1,112 35.71% 766 8.39% 180 4.06% 87 2,145
Tucker 60.82% 773 25.96% 330 7.47% 95 5.75% 73 1,271
Tyler 60.22% 436 28.18% 204 7.60% 55 4.00% 29 724
Upshur 52.81% 1,073 36.61% 744 7.58% 154 3.00% 61 2,032
Wayne 45.92% 2,920 30.54% 1,942 19.99% 1,271 3.55% 226 6,359
Webster 53.77% 841 24.68% 386 15.92% 249 5.63% 88 1,564
Wetzel 56.54% 1,751 27.28% 845 11.11% 344 5.07% 157 3,097
Wirt 55.73% 438 28.63% 225 10.69% 84 4.95% 39 786
Wood 53.23% 4,560 37.27% 3,193 6.96% 596 2.54% 218 8,567
Wyoming 52.01% 1,500 24.62% 710 18.86% 544 4.51% 130 2,884

Analysis

[edit]

Although West Virginia had breathed new life into Clinton's 2008 presidential campaign eight years earlier, it failed to deliver for Clinton's front-running campaign in 2016. Clinton lost every county in the state to Bernie Sanders.

Sanders's West Virginia victory came from strong support among workers in the coal industry; fifty-five percent of West Virginia's Democratic voters with coal workers in their households voted for Sanders, while only 29 percent voted for Clinton.[13] His easy win was likely fueled by Clinton's comments in March about coal, "We're going to put a lot of coal miners and coal companies out of business."[14]

Analysts speculated Sanders's win in West Virginia came not from support for his own coal policies, but from a rejection of the Obama administration's.[15] Sanders was also helped by large numbers of Republican cross-over voters. Thirty-nine percent of Sanders voters stated they planned to vote for Donald Trump over Sanders in the November general election.[16]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Bernie Sanders Wins West Virginia Primary". NPR.org. Retrieved January 23, 2021.
  2. ^ Primary results
  3. ^ "Overwhelming support for Trump, small lead for Sanders in MetroNews West Virginia Poll". MetroNews. May 6, 2016. Retrieved May 6, 2016.
  4. ^ "Trump, Sanders lead in West Virginia (april 2016)" (PDF). Scribd. Retrieved May 3, 2016.
  5. ^ "WV-Gov Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies for West Virginia Veterans (March 2016)". Scribd. Retrieved April 21, 2016.
  6. ^ "Poll: WV prefers GOP for president, Democrat for governor". wvgazettemail.com. February 25, 2016. Retrieved February 29, 2016.
  7. ^ "Trump and Sanders Have Big Leads in MetroNews West Virginia Poll" (PDF). wvmetronews.com. February 22, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on February 26, 2016. Retrieved February 22, 2016.
  8. ^ "Survey: WV residents likely to pick Trump over Clinton in 2016". Statejournal.com. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
  9. ^ "Trump leads Republican field and Clinton in West Virginia, according to new Orion Strategies statewide poll". prnewswire.com. August 26, 2015.
  10. ^ "Poll: Democrats running for WV gov locked in dead heat". Wvgazettemail.com/. August 26, 2015. Retrieved August 26, 2015.
  11. ^ The Green Papers
  12. ^ West Virginia Secretary of State
  13. ^ "How Anti-Coal Bernie Sanders Won Coal Country". May 12, 2016. Retrieved September 24, 2016.
  14. ^ "How Anti-Coal Bernie Sanders Won Coal Country". May 12, 2016. Retrieved September 24, 2016.
  15. ^ "How Anti-Coal Bernie Sanders Won Coal Country". May 12, 2016. Retrieved September 24, 2016.
  16. ^ "Donald Trump Supporters Boost Bernie Sanders in West Virginia". NBC News. Retrieved August 28, 2017.