User talk:Leopoldo Martin R

About Ebola 2014 Graph

The values plotted in the 'new cases per day' graph don't match the that's in the tables on the 2014 West Africa Ebola outbreak article. Your plot values are too low. The last values should show numbers in excess of 20 new cases per day. Something is wrong in the way you're doing your calculations. --Aflafla1 (talk) 21:40, 5 July 2014 (UTC)[reply]

See response to your comment on my talk page.

Since the number of cases should follow an exponential growth pattern, what you want to do is to take the log of the number of new cases and get a set of data points (time, log(new cases)) then fit a line to those points. The slope of that line determines the exponential growth rate. To plot - you probably want to show individual data points with markers and graph the exponential of the fitted line (if I'm making any sense.) --Aflafla1 (talk) 19:43, 6 July 2014 (UTC)[reply]

The problem is where to start, I can do a exponential fitting or linear to the Log[data] but it seems that this is not a pure exponential growth unless you take May as the baseline. Perhaps is a couple of days we have some more points for an acurate fitting. I hope the growth will not become exponental and the outbreak stops. BTW, thanks for the comments, Ill do the exponential for the nuw CDC update and see how it looks. --Leopoldo Martin R (talk) 16:21, 8 July 2014 (UTC)[reply]