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2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine
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Peace negotiation
[edit]Peace talks led by Turkey were held between February and July 2022. As of July 2022, peace talks were frozen indefinitely after the failure of both parties to reach a settlement. On April 9, United Kingdom's then-president, Boris Johnson, visited Kiev during the second phase of the peace talks without informing the Ukrainians in advance. Russians claimed that the British prime minister imposed pressure on Kiev to keep fighting. On 5 MAY 2022, Pravda, a Ukrainian newspaper, published an article that it claims to be cited by sources close to Zelensky saying that the British prime minister brought two simple messages. The first is: "Putin is a war criminal, he should be pressured, not negotiated with." And the second is that "even if Ukraine is ready to sign some agreements on guarantees with Putin, they are not."[1] Fiona Hill, a veteran US diplomat who served as the US National Security Council’s senior director for Europe and Russia in the Donald Trump administration, published an article on the Foreign Affairs saying that Russia and Ukraine could have reached a peace agreement in April and that the "peace talks were apparently conducted by the Russian side in good faith."[2][3] Experts, such as John Mearsheimer, think that the collective west's goal in the Russo-Ukrainian war is "the conflict will settle into a prolonged stalemate, and eventually a weakened Russia will accept a peace agreement that favors the United States and its NATO allies, as well as Ukraine."[4]
racism/discrimination against Russians after invasion of Ukraine
https://time.com/6156582/ukraine-anti-russian-hate/
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-birmingham-60556262.amp
Public opinion in Russia
[edit]In late February and mid-March 2022 with an interval of one and a half weeks, two polls were conducted by a group of independent Russian sociologists to survey Russians' sentiments about the invasion. The results of the poll were obtained by Radio Liberty.[5]
More than 71% of Russians, of roughly three-quarters, expressed positive emotions regarding the invasion of Ukraine, such as "pride, joy, respect, trust, and hope".[5]
X Almost three-quarters (71%) of Russians support the invasion of Ukraine, expressing such positive emotions as .[5]
It was noticed that the older population was more likely to support the invasion, as Russians over 35 were more likely to express positive emotions related to "pride, respect, and hope", with these sentiments being more prominent in those over 55, for which more than half of them supported the invasion. Whereas those under the age of 18 were more "disappointed and anxious" about the war than other age groups. Russians in the age group 18-24 were more likely to feel "indifference" about what is happening in Ukraine.[5]
X Russians over 35 were more likely to express feelings of "pride, respect, and hope". Respondents under the age of 18 were more prone to "resentment and disappointment". Young Russians in the age group of 18 to 24 were more likely to express "indifference" to what is happening in Ukraine. More than half of those over 55 support the war with Ukraine. And two out of five Russians expressed anxiety about the war, and these feelings were most often reported by young Russians.[5]
The differences between the first and second polls show an increase in the number of people supporting the "military operation" and the independence of DPR and LPR.[5]
The poll also revealed that a third of Russians strongly believe that "Putin is working in their interests," and another 26% think "he's working in their interests to some extent." In general, most Russians think that it would be for the best if Putin stayed president for "as long as possible."[5]
X When asked how they are affected by the actions of the Russian President, a third of respondents said they strongly believe that Putin is working in their interests, and another 26 percent say that he is working in their interests to some extent. In general, most Russians believe that it would be better if Putin remained president for "as long as possible".[5]
Another poll conducted by Levada Center on 17-21 February found that 52% of Russians had negative sentiments towards Ukraine. And another 60% blamed the United States and NATO for the escalation in Eastern Ukraine. The polls revealed that the public approval of Putin had surged by 13 percentage points since December 2021, a rally 'round the flag effect, with almost three-quarters (71%) supporting his leadership by February 2022.[6]
X Another poll conducted by Levada Center on 17-21 February found that the majority of respondents (52%) felt negatively towards Ukraine. Most (60%) blamed the US and NATO for the escalation of tensions in Eastern Ukraine, while 4% blamed Russia.
The polls suggest that net public approval of Putin had surged by about 13 percentage points since December 2021, a rally 'round the flag effect, with almost three-quarters (71%) expressing approval of Putin's leadership by February 2022.[6]
A pre-invasion poll conducted on 7-15 February by Savanta ComRes, a British agency, for CNN recorded stronger sentiments where half of respondents agreed that "it would be right for Moscow to use military force to prevent Kiev from joining NATO." And another two-thirds said that they think Russians and Ukrainians are "one people", compared to only 28% of Ukrainians.[6]
X Stronger sentiments were recorded in the pre-invasion poll conducted on 7-15 February for CNN in Russia by a British agency, Savanta ComRes, where half (50%) agreed that "it would be right for Moscow to use military force to prevent Kyiv from joining NATO". Two-thirds of Russians (64%) in the poll said that they think Russians and Ukrainians are 'one people', compared to 28% of Ukrainians.
A poll of 25-27 February 2022 by VCIOM reported strong support for the "special military operation" in Ukraine, with two-thirds (68%) in favor, around one quarter (22%) against, and 10% provided no response.
Another poll by Washington Post conducted a week into the invasion showed similar results with 58% approving the invasion while 23% opposed it.[6]
Another poll by Washington Post conducted a week into the invasion by a consortium of researchers showed that the majority of Russians (58%) approved of the invasion while a quarter (23%) opposed it.[6]
In conclusion, a majority of the Russians supported the war prior to and during the invasion, according to different measures by different polls.[6]
- ^ ROMAN ROMANIUK (5 MAY 2022). "Possibility of talks between Zelenskyy and Putin came to a halt after Johnson's visit - UP sources". Pravda.
{{cite news}}: Check date values in:|date=(help) - ^ Fiona Hill and Angela Stent (September/October 2022). "The World Putin Wants". Foreign Affairs.
{{cite news}}: Check date values in:|date=(help) - ^ Connor Echols (SEPTEMBER 2, 2022). "Diplomacy Watch: Did Boris Johnson help stop a peace deal in Ukraine?". Responsible Statecraft.
{{cite news}}: Check date values in:|date=(help) - ^ John J. Mearsheimer (August 17, 2022). "Playing With Fire in Ukraine". Foreign Affairs.
- ^ a b c d e f g h "Независимые социологи: 71% россиян испытывает гордость из-за войны с Украиной" (in Russian). March 17, 2022.
{{cite web}}: Unknown parameter|authors=ignored (help) - ^ a b c d e f "What do ordinary Russians really think about the war in Ukraine?". March 17, 2022.
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