User:Mélencron/sandbox3

• 2022 (gov list)
• Arkansas
• Connecticut
• Idaho
• Louisiana
• Mississippi
• North Dakota
• Rhode Island
• South Dakota
• Vermont
• West Virginia
• Wisconsin
• Wyoming (if an open seat/Cheney runs for Senate: https://www.rollcall.com/news/gonzales/enzi-retirement-likely-to-spur-competitive-wyoming-primary-but-for-which-seat)
  • More House names: https://trib.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/with-mike-enzi-retiring-wyoming-s-first-open-senate-seat/article_5246e648-6daf-592e-a84a-a59ceba71e9a.html
  • Grady

  Third qualifying poll for this candidate

  First qualifying poll for this candidate from this pollster and region

  Candidate at least 1%, but already met threshold in a previous poll from this pollster and region

  Candidate below 1%, but already at least 1% in three qualifying polls

  Candidate below 1%

  Candidate not tested in poll

Qualification for the third debate (polling threshold)

Organization(s)	Area	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Michael Bennet	Joe Biden	Cory Booker	Steve Bullock	Pete Buttigieg	Julian Castro	Bill de Blasio	John Delaney	Tulsi Gabbard	Kirsten Gillibrand	Mike Gravel	Kamala Harris	John Hickenlooper	Jay Inslee	Amy Klobuchar	Wayne Messam	Seth Moulton	Beto O'Rourke	Tim Ryan	Bernie Sanders	Joe Sestak	Eric Swalwell	Elizabeth Warren	Marianne Williamson	Andrew Yang
Candidate qualification based on polling threshold (3rd debate by Aug 28)					0/4	Yes	3/4	0/4	Yes	1/4	0/4	0/4	0/4	0/4	0/4	Yes	0/4	0/4	3/4	0/4	0/4	2/4	0/4	Yes	0/4	0/4	Yes	0/4	0/4
ABC News/Washington Post	U.S.	Jun 28 – Jul 1	460	± 5.5%	1%	29%	1%	<1%	4%	4%	0%	0%	1%	<1%	—	11%	1%	1%	2%	—	0%	2%	<1%	23%	—	0%	11%	1%	1%
Quinnipiac University	U.S.	Jun 28 – Jul 1	554	± 5.0%	<1%	22%	3%	<1%	4%	1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	20%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	13%	<1%	<1%	14%	<1%	1%
USA Today	IA	Jun 28 – Jul 1	500	± 4.4%	1%	24%	2%	0%	6%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	16%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	1%	0%	9%	0%	0%	13%	0%	1%
CNN	U.S.	Jun 28–30	656	± 4.7%	<1%	22%	3%	0%	4%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	—	17%	<1%	<1%	2%	0%	<1%	3%	<1%	14%	—	<1%	15%	<1%	1%

Qualification for the first and second debates (polling threshold)

Organization(s)	Area	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Michael Bennet	Joe Biden	Cory Booker	Steve Bullock	Pete Buttigieg	Julian Castro	Bill de Blasio	John Delaney	Tulsi Gabbard	Kirsten Gillibrand	Mike Gravel	Kamala Harris	John Hickenlooper	Jay Inslee	Amy Klobuchar	Wayne Messam	Seth Moulton	Beto O'Rourke	Tim Ryan	Bernie Sanders	Joe Sestak	Eric Swalwell	Elizabeth Warren	Marianne Williamson	Andrew Yang
Candidate qualification based on polling threshold (2nd debate by Jul 16)					Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	1/3	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	2/3	0/3	Yes	Yes	Yes	0/3	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
Reuters	U.S.	Jun 29 – Jul 2	1,367	± 3.0%	0%	22%	1%	1%	3%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	10%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	1%	16%	0%	0%	9%	1%	2%
ABC News/Washington Post	U.S.	Jun 28 – Jul 1	460	± 5.5%	1%	29%	1%	<1%	4%	4%	0%	0%	1%	<1%	—	11%	1%	1%	2%	—	0%	2%	<1%	23%	—	0%	11%	1%	1%
Quinnipiac University	U.S.	Jun 28 – Jul 1	554	± 5.0%	<1%	22%	3%	<1%	4%	1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	20%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	13%	<1%	<1%	14%	<1%	1%
USA Today	IA	Jun 28 – Jul 1	500	± 4.4%	0%	24%	2%	0%	6%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	16%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	1%	0%	9%	0%	0%	13%	0%	1%
CNN	U.S.	Jun 28–30	656	± 4.7%	<1%	22%	3%	0%	4%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	—	17%	<1%	<1%	2%	0%	<1%	3%	<1%	14%	—	<1%	15%	<1%	1%
Monmouth University	U.S.	Jun 12–17	306	± 5.6%	0%	32%	2%	0%	5%	<1%	1%	0%	1%	<1%	0%	8%	0%	1%	1%	0%	0%	3%	<1%	14%	—	0%	15%	1%	2%
USA Today	U.S.	Jun 11–15	385	± 5.0%	0%	30%	2%	1%	9%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	8%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	1%	15%	—	0%	10%	0%	1%
Fox News	U.S.	Jun 9–12	449	± 4.5%	<1%	32%	3%	<1%	8%	1%	<1%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	8%	<1%	<1%	2%	<1%	<1%	4%	1%	13%	—	<1%	9%	0%	2%
CBS News	IA	May 31 – Jun 12	587	± 4.8%	0%	30%	3%	1%	11%	0%	0%	2%	1%	1%	0%	5%	0%	1%	4%	0%	0%	4%	1%	22%	—	0%	12%	0%	0%
CBS News	NH	May 31 – Jun 12	502	± 4.9%	0%	33%	3%	0%	10%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	7%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	4%	0%	20%	—	0%	17%	0%	1%
CBS News	SC	May 31 – Jun 12	552	–	0%	45%	4%	0%	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	7%	0%	0%	1%	1%	0%	4%	0%	18%	—	0%	8%	0%	1%
Monmouth University	NV	Jun 6–11	370	± 5.1%	0%	36%	2%	<1%	7%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	6%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	0%	2%	<1%	13%	—	0%	19%	1%	2%
Quinnipiac University	U.S.	Jun 6–10	503	± 5.4%	<1%	30%	1%	<1%	8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	7%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	3%	1%	19%	—	<1%	15%	<1%	1%
CNN/Des Moines Register	IA	Jun 2–5	600	± 4.0%	1%	24%	1%	<1%	14%	1%	0%	1%	1%	<1%	—	7%	<1%	1%	2%	0%	<1%	2%	<1%	16%	—	<1%	15%	<1%	1%
Reuters	U.S.	May 29 – Jun 5	2,525	–	0%	30%	2%	0%	5%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	6%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	4%	1%	15%	—	0%	8%	0%	1%
CNN	U.S.	May 28–31	412	± 6.0%	1%	32%	3%	0%	5%	2%	<1%	<1%	1%	1%	—	8%	<1%	1%	2%	0%	0%	5%	1%	18%	—	0%	7%	<1%	1%
Monmouth University	U.S.	May 16–20	334	± 5.4%	<1%	33%	1%	0%	6%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	0%	11%	<1%	<1%	3%	0%	0%	4%	<1%	15%	—	0%	10%	1%	1%
Quinnipiac University	U.S.	May 16–20	454	± 5.6%	<1%	35%	3%	<1%	5%	1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	—	8%	<1%	<1%	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	<1%	16%	—	<1%	13%	<1%	1%
Fox News	U.S.	May 11–14	469	± 4.5%	<1%	35%	3%	<1%	6%	2%	—	1%	1%	<1%	<1%	5%	<1%	1%	2%	<1%	0%	4%	1%	17%	—	<1%	9%	1%	1%
Reuters	U.S.	May 10–14	1,132	± 3.0%	1%	29%	2%	0%	4%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	—	6%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	6%	1%	13%	—	0%	6%	0%	1%
Monmouth University	NH	May 2–7	376	± 5.1%	0%	36%	2%	<1%	9%	0%	0%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0%	6%	1%	0%	2%	0%	0%	2%	1%	18%	—	0%	8%	<1%	1%
Quinnipiac University	U.S.	Apr 26–29	419	± 5.6%	—	38%	2%	—	10%	1%	—	<1%	<1%	<1%	—	8%	<1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%	5%	<1%	11%	—	<1%	12%	<1%	1%
CNN	U.S.	Apr 25–28	411	± 5.9%	0%	39%	2%	0%	7%	1%	<1%	0%	2%	1%	—	5%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	6%	<1%	15%	—	1%	8%	1%	1%
Reuters	U.S.	Apr 17–23	2,237	–	—	24%	3%	1%	7%	1%	—	0%	0%	1%	—	6%	1%	0%	1%	0%	—	6%	1%	15%	—	0%	5%	0%	1%
University of New Hampshire	NH	Apr 10–18	241	± 6.3%	—	18%	3%	—	15%	0%	—	0%	1%	1%	—	4%	0%	0%	2%	1%	—	3%	2%	30%	—	1%	5%	0%	2%
Monmouth University	U.S.	Apr 11–15	330	± 5.4%	0%	27%	2%	0%	8%	<1%	1%	0%	0%	<1%	—	8%	2%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	4%	0%	20%	—	<1%	6%	<1%	<1%
Monmouth University	IA	Apr 4–9	351	± 5.2%	0%	27%	3%	<1%	9%	2%	<1%	1%	<1%	1%	—	7%	0%	<1%	4%	0%	0%	6%	1%	16%	—	1%	7%	0%	1%
Quinnipiac University	U.S.	Mar 21–25	559	± 5.1%	—	29%	2%	—	4%	1%	—	<1%	<1%	<1%	—	8%	1%	<1%	2%	—	—	12%	—	19%	—	—	4%	<1%	<1%
Fox News	U.S.	Mar 17–20	403	± 5.0%	<1%	31%	4%	<1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	2%	—	8%	0%	1%	1%	—	—	8%	—	23%	—	<1%	4%	—	1%
CNN	U.S.	Mar 14–17	456	± 5.7%	—	28%	3%	0%	1%	1%	—	<1%	<1%	1%	—	12%	1%	1%	3%	—	—	11%	—	20%	—	—	6%	—	—
CNN/Des Moines Register	IA	Mar 3–6	401	± 4.9%	1%	27%	3%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	—	7%	<1%	1%	3%	—	—	5%	—	25%	—	<1%	9%	<1%	<1%
Monmouth University	U.S.	Mar 1–4	310	± 5.6%	<1%	28%	5%	0%	<1%	1%	1%	0%	<1%	<1%	—	10%	1%	<1%	3%	—	—	6%	—	25%	—	—	8%	<1%	1%
University of New Hampshire	NH	Feb 18–26	240	± 6.3%	—	22%	3%	—	1%	—	—	0%	1%	1%	—	10%	0%	—	4%	—	—	5%	—	26%	—	—	7%	—	—
Monmouth University	U.S.	Jan 25–27	313	± 5.5%	—	29%	4%	—	0%	1%	—	<1%	1%	1%	—	11%	1%	<1%	2%	—	—	7%	—	16%	—	—	8%	—	1%
Candidate qualification based on polling threshold (1st debate by Jun 12)					Yes	Yes	Yes	2/3	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	0/3	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	1/3	0/3	Yes	Yes	Yes	—	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes