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User:Kahlores/Sandbox/Estonia

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In the run up to the next Estonian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Estonia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 3 March 2019.

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Graphical Summary

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30 day moving average trend line of Estonian polls towards the election in 2023, each line corresponds to a political party.
30 day moving average trend line of Estonian polls towards the election in 2023, each line corresponds to a political party.

Polling Results

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For the events during these years, see 2019 in Estonia and 2020 in Estonia.
Fieldwork Polling firm Sample
size 		SDE Kesk Green E200 Ref I TULE EKRE Others Lead Gov. Opp.
09 – 15 Sep 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 9.1 22.5 2.5 9.7 32.5 5.8 1.4 13.8 2.7 10.0 42.1 55.2
02 – 09 Sep 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 8.3 26.2 2.0 8.4 33.3 4.6 0.8 15.5 0.9 7.1 46.3 52.8
25 – 31 Aug 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 8.8 24.5 3.3 7.6 33.0 4.0 1.2 16.2 1.4 8.5 44.7 53.9
20 Aug 2020 Upon the merger of the Biodiversity Party (ERE) and the Estonian Free Party (EVA), the Estonian Party of the Future (TULE) was established.
Fieldwork Polling firm Sample
size 		SDE Kesk Green E200 Ref I EVA EKRE Others Lead Gov. Opp.
17 – 25 Aug 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 6.7 20.9 1.3 9.9 35.5 5.8 0.7 16.1 3.1 14.6 42.8 54.1
12 – 24 Aug 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 1003 10 26 2 9 23 5 0 20 1 3 51 48
10 – 17 Aug 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 9.8 22.9 2.3 7.9 33.0 6.1 0.6 15.4 2.0 7.1 44.4 53.6
Aug 2020 Kantar Emor 1,268 13 17 2 14 30 5 1 17 3 13 39 58
04 – 10 Aug 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 8.4 19.4 1.2 9.4 32.1 6.2 1.1 19.0 3.2 12.7 44.6 52.2
27 Jul – 03 Aug 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 8.8 22.5 2.6 6.8 33.0 5.9 0.9 18.4 1.1 10.5 46.8 52.1
21 – 28 Jul 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 8.7 24.1 2.2 6.8 31.2 6.4 0.6 18.6 1.4 7.1 49.1 49.5
16 - 22 Jul 2020 Kantar Emor - 9 17 3 14 31 6 0 18 2 13 41 57
14 – 20 Jul 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 8.7 23.5 2.3 6.9 34.0 5.6 0.3 16.8 1.9 10.5 45.9 52.2
07 – 13 Jul 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 10.2 23.2 2.2 7.5 32.3 4.4 0.4 15.8 4.0 9.1 43.4 52.6
29 Jun – 06 Jul 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 9.2 22.9 2.5 9.6 32.1 6.1 0.6 14.8 2.2 9.2 43.8 54
16 – 22 Jun 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 9.3 26.1 1.3 9.2 30.3 5.9 0.9 16.0 1.2 4.2 48 51
9 – 16 Jun 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 7.6 27.0 2.4 7.4 31.7 5.9 0.4 16.3 1.3 4.7 49.2 49.5
9 – 15 Jun 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 1004 8 27 2 9 33 3 0 16 1 6 46 55
Jun 2020 Kantar Emor 1,268 10 19 3 13 28 5 0 19 3 9 43 54
1 – 8 Jun 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 7.6 22.8 3.4 7.2 30.3 4.7 0.4 20.3 3.3 7.5 47.8 48.9
25 May – 1 Jun 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 9.3 24.5 1.4 7.7 30.8 5.6 0.3 16.7 3.7 6.3 46.8 49.5
18 – 25 May 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 7.4 27.1 3.8 7.3 32.4 6.3 0.4 12.4 2.9 5.3 45.8 51.3
14 - 20 May 2020 Kantar Emor 1,268 12 20 2 14 24 4 0 22 2 2 46 52
12 – 18 May 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 7.3 26.0 2.0 8.5 30.8 4.6 1.1 16.7 3.0 4.8 47.3 49.7
7 – 15 May 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 1004 7 27 2 8 30 6 0 15 1 3 48 51
06 – 12 May 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 8.3 25.0 2.3 8.2 29.1 5.9 0.2 18.0 3.8 4.1 48.9 48.3
24 Apr – 5 May 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 9.3 23.8 2.7 8.6 29.8 4.6 0.8 19.2 1.2 6.0 47.6 51.2
21 – 27 Apr 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 8.1 27.8 2.1 6.2 29.3 5.3 0.7 18.1 3.0 1.5 51.2 45.8
20 - 22 Apr 2020 Kantar Emor 1,280 10 18 3 14 30 4 2 19 3 12 42 55
15 – 20 Apr 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 8.2 22.3 2.3 6.5 34.6 5.2 0.2 18.1 2.4 12.3 45.6 52.0
7 – 14 Apr 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 8.0 23.5 1.8 8.4 32.9 6.3 0.4 16.3 2.4 9.4 46.1 51.5
6 – 7 Apr 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 1000 8 24 2 11 27 7 1 17 3 3 48 49
31 Mar – 6 Apr 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 7.6 25.7 2.1 8.0 33.5 5.1 0.7 14.1 3.2 7.8 44.9 51.9
24 – 30 Mar 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 6.8 30.4 2.2 7.7 29.7 4.1 0.5 15.9 2.7 0.7 50.4 46.9
18 – 23 Mar 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 8.6 26.1 3.2 7.2 29.6 5.4 0.3 16.9 2.7 3.5 48.4 48.9
12 - 18 Mar 2020 Kantar Emor 1118 12 17 3 13 29 4 − 21 2 8 42 56
10 – 16 Mar 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 7.2 26.2 1.8 9.4 30.7 6.3 0.2 16.5 1.7 4.5 49.0 49.7
6 – 16 Mar 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 1056 9 22 3 12 26 6 1 20 1 4 48 51
04 – 09 Mar 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 10.5 21.6 2.8 8.9 29.5 6.1 0.5 16.9 3.2 7.9 44.6 52.2
26 Feb – 02 Mar 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 7.0 24.2 2.5 6.6 33.2 5.8 0.7 16.3 3.3 9.0 46.3 50.4
19 – 26 Feb 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 10.2 19.3 2.1 7.5 33.2 6.9 0.5 18.4 1.9 13.9 44.6 53.5
1 - 22 Feb 2020 Kantar Emor — 12 18 3 14 31 4 − 17 1 13 39 60
13 – 18 Feb 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 7.9 22.4 3.0 9.8 30.9 6.0 0.7 18.0 1.3 8.5 46.4 52.3
6 – 17 Feb 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 808 10 24 2 9 25 5 − 16 1 1 45 54
04 – 11 Feb 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 6.7 20.0 3.3 9.2 33.8 7.3 0.5 17.5 1.8 13.8 44.8 53.4
28 Jan – 03 Feb 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 10.2 20.8 2.7 8.5 35.1 5.9 0.3 15.6 1.0 14.3 42.3 56.7
23 – 27 Jan 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 10.7 19.3 4.1 8.5 35.9 6.0 0.4 12.7 2.4 16.6 38.0 59.6
1 - 31 Jan 2020 Kantar Emor — 14 17 3 9 30 8 1 16 2 13 41 57
17 – 27 Jan 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 808 10 24 3 8 25 7 1 18 1 1 49 50
16 – 24 Jan 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 9.3 22.8 2.9 7.2 35.0 5.6 1.1 14.6 1.4 12.2 43.0 55.6
8 – 14 Jan 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 8.5 24.3 3.5 7.0 32.2 8.4 0.6 12.9 2.2 7.9 45.6 52.2
3 – 7 Jan 2020 Norstat ≥1,000 8.2 23.6 2.6 7.3 34.1 6.3 0.6 15.8 1.5 10.5 45.7 52.8
18 – 23 Dec 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 11.9 22.0 3.4 7.2 30.3 5.9 0.9 16.1 2.4 8.3 44.0 53.6
11 – 17 Dec 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 11.8 22.5 3.2 6.8 34.3 5.4 0.1 13.5 2.4 11.8 41.4 56.2
5 – 12 Dec 2019 Kantar Emor 1,407 13.7 17.9 2 7.7 34.8 6.3 — 15.6 2 9.2 39.8 58.2
2 – 9 Dec 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 9.0 21.1 3.2 6.6 35.4 6.0 0.4 16.3 1.9 14.3 43.4 54.7
28 Nov–9 Dec 2019 Turu-uuringute AS 1,014 10 25 3 5 29 5 1 17 5 4 47 48
25 – 29 Nov 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 10.4 23.5 3.8 2.9 36.4 8.1 0.5 11.9 2.3 12.9 43.5 53.6
18 – 25 Nov 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 9.8 24.0 3.5 5.0 36.1 6.8 0.5 12.2 2.1 12.1 43.0 54.9
11 – 15 Nov 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 9.5 26.1 1.7 3.8 35.4 7.2 0.1 12.6 3.8 9.3 45.9 50.3
7 – 13 Nov 2019 Kantar Emor 1,407 16.2 16.2 4 9.5 27.7 6.2 1 18.5 1.7 9.2 40.9 57.4
31 Oct– 12 Nov 2019 Turu-uuringute AS 1,019 11 23 2 7 30 5 1 17 1 7 45.0 54
5 – 11 Nov 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 10.9 24.3 3.5 3.4 32.6 6.5 0.2 17.5 1.0 8.3 48.3 50.7
28 Oct– 5 Nov 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 8.2 22.9 3.2 5.0 36.2 5.8 0.8 15.8 1.8 13.3 44.5 53.7
22–28 Oct 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 6.3 23.4 2.9 5.1 36.1 5.5 0.6 17.7 2.0 12.7 46.6 51.4
15–21 Oct 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 7.4 23.4 2.7 4.5 36.3 6.6 0.3 15.6 2.9 14.9 45.6 51.5
10–16 Oct 2019 Kantar Emor 1,182 12.4 17.6 2.9 9.4 32.5 6.2 — 16.6 1.7 14.9 40.4 57.9
9–14 Oct 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 8.3 25.8 2.3 5,6 30.7 7.1 0.4 17.6 1.4 4.9 50.5 48.1
3 - 13 Oct 2019 Turu-uuringute AS 1,040 9 22 3 7 32 6 1 17 — 10 45.0 54.0
1–8 Oct 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 9.2 22.2 2.4 6.1 35.6 6.5 0.6 15.2 2.1 13.4 43.9 54.0
25–30 Sep 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 8.3 24.3 2.8 6.2 32.7 7.4 0.6 15.6 2.1 8.4 47.3 50.6
18–23 Sep 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 8.6 20.7 3.4 4.2 37.1 5.4 0.6 18.3 1.8 17.0 44.4 53.8
11–19 Sep 2019 Kantar Emor 1,161 11.0 16.5 5 7.5 32.8 7.0 — 18.4 1 14.4 41.9 57.5
10–17 Sep 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 6.4 24.0 3.7 5.2 33.5 7.2 0.1 17.0 2.3 13.5 48.2 49.5
5–16 Sep 2019 Turu-uuringute AS 1,040 9 21 2 5 32 6 1 19 1 11 45.0 53.0
3–9 Sep 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 9.1 23.7 2.6 5.0 33.9 7.8 0.6 15.1 2.1 10.2 46.6 50.8
27 Aug–2 Sep 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 9.3 24.6 1.3 4.8 35.9 6.5 0.2 14.8 2.6 11.3 45.9 51.5
21–26 Aug 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 9.0 23.7 2.6 4.5 34.3 6.2 0.8 15.2 3.6 10.6 45.1 51.3
15–21 Aug 2019 Kantar Emor 1,161 13.0 16.0 — 6.9 36.8 4.8 — 17.6 — 19.2 43.3 56.7
9–20 Aug 2019 Turu-uuringute AS 1,000 8 22 3 5 34 7 1 16 1 12 45.0 54.0
13–19 Aug 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 10.9 23.0 1.8 4.1 33.9 7.1 0.7 16.9 1.7 10.9 47.0 51.7
5–12 Aug 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 10.0 22.0 3.9 3.5 33.5 9.1 0.3 16.4 1.1 11.5 47.5 51.2
30 Jul–5 Aug 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 8.1 18.9 2.8 4.2 41.0 8.8 0.8 12.7 3.0 22.1 40.1 56.9
22–30 Jul 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 12.0 17.8 1.9 4.0 36.2 7.1 0.6 17.7 2.6 18.4 42.6 54.8
18–24 Jul 2019 Kantar Emor 1,305 10.8 15.3 — 7.9 34.5 6.8 — 19.4 — 15.1 41.5 53.2
15–22 Jul 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 7.6 18.3 2.7 4.4 39.1 7.7 0.2 16.6 3.6 20.8 42.6 54.0
8–15 Jul 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 8.7 16.4 2.7 4.0 37.7 11.0 1.1 15.8 2.7 21.3 43.2 54.2
2–8 Jul 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 11.0 22.3 2.5 4.3 31.9 8.2 0.9 18.0 1.0 9.6 48.5 50.6
26 Jun–1 Jul 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 9.8 20.8 2.1 5.3 34.3 9.2 0.2 17.5 0.7 13.5 47.5 51.7
11–19 Jun 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 13.6 20.2 1.7 4.0 37.7 5.6 0.3 15.2 1.6 17.5 41.0 57.3
6–13 Jun 2019 Kantar Emor 1,129 12.8 14.7 3.0 8.3 36.0 6.9 0 16.7 1.0 19.3 38.3 60.1
4–11 Jun 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 9.4 21.4 2.6 5.8 30.3 8.7 1.4 19.1 1.0 8.9 49.2 49.5
28 May–10 Jun 2019 Turu-uuringute AS 1,000 11 19 1 4 32 9 1 18 1 13 46 49
27 May–3 Jun 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 12 23 3 3 30 8 0 19 1 7 50 48
20–27 May 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 11.7 19.5 2.4 4.6 33.0 10.4 0.4 16.8 1.1 13.5 46.7 52.1
26 May 2019 2019 European Parliament election in Estonia
20–23 May 2019 Kantar Emor 1,390 12.1 14.7 — 11.8 30.6 7.9 — 15.0 — 15.6 37.6 54.4
14–20 May 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 9.4 21.5 2.2 5.3 28.6 8.8 0.7 22.0 1.5 6.6 52.3 46.2
2–15 May 2019 Turu-uuringute AS 2,037 10 20 3 8 27 10 1 17 1 7 47 49
6–13 May 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 12.2 19.4 4.5 5.1 31.8 8.0 0.3 16.2 2.0 12.4 43.6 53.9
7–9 May 2019 Kantar Emor 1,271 12.9 15.3 - 11.5 33.5 6.1 16.9 3.8 16.6 38.3 57.9
29 Apr–7 May 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 10.8 19.9 2.5 6.0 35.6 8.3 0.5 15.0 1.6 15.7 43.2 55.4
22–29 Apr 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 8.5 18.5 3.4 7.2 33.6 7.6 0.3 19.1 1.9 14.5 45.2 53.0
24 Apr 2019 The Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is formed by the Centre, EKRE and Pro Patria.
15–22 Apr 2019 Norstat ≥1,000 8.4 20.1 2.6 5.4 32 9.2 0.7 20.1 0.7 11.9 49.4 49.1
10–15 Apr 2019 Kantar Emor 1,000 11.4 17 2.7 10.3 32.3 8.5 1.1 15.4 - 15.3 40.9 57.8
8–15 Apr 2019 Norstat 1,000 10.1 19.4 2.5 5.9 34.6 7.3 0.3 18 1.6 16 44.7 53.4
18 Mar–15 Apr 2019 Norstat 4,014 9.2 20.6 2.3 5.8 33.0 9.4 – 17.9 1.8 12.4 47.9 50.3
1–8 Apr 2019 Norstat 1,000 8.0 22.5 3.0 4.8 33.4 11.6 0.5 14.8 1.3 10.9 48.9 49.7
25–29 Mar 2019 Norstat 1,000 10.1 20.5 1.7 5.5 32.5 9.0 0.6 19.1 1.0 12.0 48.6 50.4
18–24 Mar 2019 Norstat 1,000 9.3 19.5 2.1 7.2 31.9 8.9 0.9 18.8 1.5 12.4 47.2 51.4
14–21 Mar 2019 Kantar Emor 1,214 11 17 3 10 32 7 0.3 18 1.7 14.0 42.0 56.3
5–18 Mar 2019 Turu-uuringute AS 1,004 9 24 1 5 27 11 1 21 1 3.0 56.0 43.0
11–15 Mar 2019 Norstat 1,000 9.0 19.4 1.7 6.5 36.9 11.2 0.6 12.6 2.1 17.5 43.2 54.7
12–13 Mar 2019 Kantar Emor 752 12.5 19.4 1.7 8.5 30 7.3 0.6 18.1 2.2 10.6 44.8 53.3
5–11 Mar 2019 Norstat 1,000 9.1 21.2 1.7 4.4 31.9 11.4 1.1 18.1 1.2 10.7 50.7 48.2
3 Mar 2019 Election Results N/A 9.8 23.1 1.8 4.4 28.9 11.4 1.2 17.8 1.6 5.7 52.3 46.1
10 26 0 0 34 12 0 19 8.0 57 44

References

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Category:Opinion polling in Estonia Estonia

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