User:HurricaneKappa/sandbox/polls
a spot for polls, working on them most of the time, usually working on out of date polls[a]
2024 GOP primary without Trump
[edit]Polls without Donald Trump
 | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Tucker Carlson |
Ted Cruz |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Josh Hawley |
Larry Hogan |
Mike Pence |
Mike Pompeo |
Mitt Romney |
Marco Rubio |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump Jr. |
Other | Undecided | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvard/Harris | October 12-13, 2022 | 724 (RV) | – | – | 9% | 40% | 3% | – | – | 18% | 3% | – | 4% | 1% | – | 5% | 17% | ||||||||
| Cygnal | October 10-12, 2022 | 1,204 (LV) | – | – | 4% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 17% | 2% | – | 2% | 1% | – | 11%[c] | 14% | ||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | September 17-22, 2022 | 465 (LV) | – | – | 6% | 31% | 3% | – | 2% | 11% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 19% | 13%[d] | 12% | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights | September 16-19, 2022 | 465 (LV) | – | – | 5% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 6% | 8%[e] | 11% | ||||||||
| Harvard/Harris | September 7-8, 2022 | 667 (RV) | – | – | 6% | 39% | 5% | – | – | 18% | 4% | – | 3% | 1% | – | 4% | 20% | ||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | August 20-24, 2022 | 461 (LV) | – | – | 3% | 26% | 4% | – | 2% | 13% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 18% | 15%[f] | 12% | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights | August 19-22, 2022 | 459 (LV) | – | – | 5% | 41% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 10% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 11% | 7%[g] | 17% | ||||||||
| Harvard/Harris | July 27-28, 2022 | 679 (RV) | – | – | 7% | 34% | 7% | – | – | 19% | 3% | – | 3% | 1% | – | 3% | 22% | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights | July 15–18, 2022 | 431 (LV) | – | – | 4% | 45% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 5%[h] | 13% | ||||||||
| Harvard/Harris | June 29-30, 2022 | 474 (RV) | – | – | 8% | 36% | 5% | – | – | 17% | 3% | – | 3% | 2% | – | 8% | 19% | ||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | June 17-22, 2022 | 436 (LV) | – | – | 4% | 32% | 3% | – | 1% | 12% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 17% | 11%[i] | 11% | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights | June 17–20, 2022 | 409 (LV) | – | – | 6% | 39% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 7% | 5%[j] | 15% | ||||||||
| Zogby Analytics | May 23-24 2022 | 408 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | 12% | 27% | 4% | – | – | 23% | 3% | – | 5% | – | – | 13%[k] | 15% | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights | May 20-23 2022 | 451 (LV) | – | – | 7% | 34% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 17% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 17% | 8%[l] | 18% | ||||||||
| Harvard/Harris | May 18-19, 2022 | – | – | – | 9% | 25% | 5% | – | – | 15% | 2% | – | 3% | 2% | – | 9% | 29% | ||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | April 22-26, 2022 | 464 (LV) | – | – | 6% | 31% | 2% | – | 1% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 16% | 12%[m] | 13% | ||||||||
| Harvard/Harris | April 20-21, 2022 | 708 (RV) | – | – | 8% | 35% | 7% | – | – | 20% | 1% | – | 3% | 1% | – | 6% | 18% | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights | April 18-20, 2022 | 459 (LV) | – | – | 7% | 35% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 15% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 4%[n] | 17% | ||||||||
| Harvard/Harris | March 23-24, 2022 | 719 (RV) | – | – | 10% | 28% | 6% | – | – | 24% | 3% | – | 5% | 2% | – | 5% | 16% | ||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | March 17-22, 2022 | 459 (LV) | – | – | 5% | 26% | 4% | – | 1% | 15% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 16% | 7%[o] | 17% | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights | March 18-21, 2022 | 475 (LV) | – | – | 5% | 31% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 3%[p] | 17% | ||||||||
| Harvard/Harris | February 23-24, 2022 | 729 (RV) | – | – | 11% | 33% | 5% | – | – | 25% | 5% | – | 4% | 3% | – | 14% | – | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights | February 19-23, 2022 | 451 (LV) | – | – | 8% | 27% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 18% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 10%[q] | – | ||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | February 16-22, 2022 | 463 (LV) | – | – | 5% | 27% | 3% | – | 0% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 17% | 14%[r] | 13% | ||||||||
| Morning Consult/Politico | January 22-23, 2022 | 463 (RV) | – | – | 6% | 25% | 4% | – | 1% | 12% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 24% | 6%[s] | – | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights | January 21-23, 2022 | 423 (RV) | – | – | 6% | 28% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 16% | 0% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 11% | 6%[t] | – | ||||||||
| Harvard/Harris | January 19-20, 2022 | 1815 (RV) | – | – | 14% | 30% | 4% | – | – | 25% | 3% | – | 6% | 3% | – | – | – | ||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | January 13-18, 2022 | 468 (LV) | – | – | 8% | 26% | 6% | – | 0% | 12% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 18% | 7%[u] | 13% | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights | December 9-13, 2021 | 439 (RV) | – | – | 8% | 30% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 12% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 8% | 8%[v] | 19% | ||||||||
| Harvard/Harris | November 30–December 2, 2021 | 1989 (RV) | – | – | 13% | 30% | 7% | – | – | 25% | 4% | – | 8% | 4% | – | 10% | – | ||||||||
| edit these ones above! | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Echelon Insights[1] | November 12–18, 2021 | 435 (RV) | – | – | 10% | 26% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 15% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 13% | 5%[w] | 20% | ||||||||
| Harvard/Harris | October 26–28, 2021 | 490 (LV) | ±4.0% | – | 12% | 21% | – | – | – | 23% | – | – | – | – | – | 0% | 43% | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights[2] | October 15–19, 2021 | 476 (RV) | – | 2% | 8% | 22% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 13% | 8%[x] | 22% | ||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | October 14–18, 2021 | 463 (LV) | – | – | 5% | 24% | 5% | – | – | 14% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 18% | 11%[y] | 13% | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights[3] | September 17–23, 2021 | 479 (RV) | – | 2% | 9% | 22% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 15% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 11%[z] | 21% | ||||||||
| Harvard/Harris | September 15–16, 2021 | 490 (LV) | ±4.0% | – | 14% | 20% | – | – | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 0% | 38% | ||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | September 9–14, 2021 | 456 (LV) | – | – | 7% | 22% | 4% | – | – | 15% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 12%[aa] | 11% | ||||||||
| Emerson College | August 30 – September 1, 2021 | 395 (RV) | ± 4.9% | – | 13% | 32% | 10% | 6% | – | 24% | – | 6% | – | – | – | 9%[ab] | 0% | ||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | July 29 – August 3, 2021 | 467 (LV) | – | – | 9% | 23% | 4% | – | – | 11% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 12% | 16%[ac] | 14% | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights[4] | July 19–23, 2021 | 421 (RV) | – | 1% | 9% | 32% | 4% | 1% | 0%[ad] | 17% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 10% | 6%[ae] | 13% | ||||||||
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | July 6–8, 2021 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | – | 7% | 39% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 15% | 1% | 3% | – | 2% | – | 4%[af] | 24% | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights[5] | June 18–22, 2021 | 386 (RV) | – | 1% | 6% | 21% | 6% | 0%[ag] | 0%[ah] | 14% | 0%[ai] | 4% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 7%[aj] | 26% | ||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | June 16–20, 2021 | 444 (LV) | – | – | 6% | 24% | 4% | – | – | 19% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 13%[ak] | 11% | ||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | May 12–18, 2021 | 444 (LV) | – | 1% | 12% | 18% | 5% | – | – | 19% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 13%[al] | 12% | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights[6] | May 14–17, 2021 | 479 (RV) | – | 2% | 9% | 22% | 5% | 1% | 0%[am] | 14% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9%[an] | 19% | ||||||||
| Trafalgar Group | April 30 – May 6, 2021 | – (LV)[ao] | – | – | 15% | 35% | 6% | 1% | – | 10% | – | 10% | – | – | – | 21%[ap] | – | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights[7] | April 16–23, 2021 | 440 (RV) | – | 2% | 8% | 20% | 6% | 1% | 0%[aq] | 16% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0%[ar] | 9% | 3%[as] | 28% | ||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | April 8–13, 2021 | 441 (LV) | – | 3% | 10% | 14% | 3% | – | – | 19% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 15% | 13%[at] | 14% | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights | March 15–21, 2021 | 1,008 (RV) | – | 4% | 5% | 17% | 4% | – | – | 16% | 4% | 3% | 2% | – | 3% | 7%[au] | 35% | ||||||||
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/The Hill[8] | February 20 – March 2, 2021 | 1,264 (LV) | ± 2.7% | – | 13% | 17% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 19% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | – | 7%[av] | 20% | ||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | Feb 24–28, 2021 | 448 (LV) | – | 1% | 9% | 9% | 5% | – | – | 15% | – | 6% | 2% | – | 21% | 16%[aw] | 17% | ||||||||
| RMG Research/Just the News | February 25–27, 2021 | 363 (RV) | – | 8% | 18% | 21% | 10% | 2% | – | – | 9% | – | – | – | – | 33%[ax] | – | ||||||||
| Harvard/Harris | February 23–25, 2021 | 546 (RV) | – | – | 16% | – | 10% | 6% | – | 41% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 19%[ay] | – | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights | February 12–18, 2021 | 430 (RV) | – | 1% | 10% | 8% | 6% | ≤1% | 1% | 21% | 1% | 4% | ≤1% | ≤1% | 8% | 12%[az] | 26% | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights | January 20–26, 2021 | – (RV)[ba] | – | 2% | 8% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 10% | 10%[bb] | 30% | ||||||||
| Inauguration of Joe Biden | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Léger | January 15–17, 2021 | 1,007 (A)[bc] | ± 3.09% | – | 9% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 7% | 22% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 8%[bd] | – | ||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax | November 21–23, 2020 | 442 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 6% | – | – | 20% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 13%[be] | 22% | ||||||||
| Léger | November 13–15, 2020 | 304 (A)[bf] | ± 3.1% | 6% | 14% | – | 6% | – | – | 44% | 3% | 11% | 6% | – | – | 7%[bg] | – | ||||||||
| 2020 presidential election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates | November 2–3, 2020 | 449 (LV) | – | 2% | 5% | 2% | 8% | – | – | 30% | – | 5% | 2% | 1% | 20% | 5%[bh] | 21% | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights | August 14–18, 2020 | 423 (LV) | – | 2% | 4% | – | 7% | 0% | 1% | 26% | – | – | 5% | 1% | 12% | 11%[bi] | 29% | ||||||||
| Léger | August 4–7, 2020 | 309 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 7% | 8% | – | 11% | – | – | 31% | 3% | 9% | 5% | – | 17% | 9%[bj] | – | ||||||||
Notes
[edit]- ^ placeholder.
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott with 2%; Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Dan Crenshaw, Brian Kemp, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
- ^ Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, and Candance Owens with 2%; John Bolton, Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, and Rick Scott with 1%.
- ^ "Someone Else" with 3%; Chris Christie with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
- ^ Greg Abbott with 3%; Liz Cheney, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, and Candance Owens with 2%; John Bolton, Tom Cotton, Richard Grenell, and Rick Scott with 1%.
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Rick Scott, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
- ^ Chris Christie with 2%; Liz Cheney, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
- ^ Candance Owens with 4%; Greg Abbott with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, and Rick Scott with 1%.
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
- ^ "Someone Else," with 6%; Glenn Youngkin with 4%; Greg Abbott with 3%.
- ^ "Someone Else," with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Kristi Noem, Rick Scott, and Marjorie Taylor Greene with 1%.
- ^ Greg Abbott and Candance Owens with 3%; John Bolton, Tom Cotton, Liz Cheney, Richard Grenell, John Kasich, and Rick Scott with 1%.
- ^ "Someone Else," Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, and Tom Cotton with 1%.
- ^ Candance Owens with 3%; Greg Abbott with 2%; Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 1%.
- ^ Liz Cheney, Kristi Noem, and Rick Scott with 1%.
- ^ Liz Cheney and Tom Cotton with 2%; Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
- ^ Candance Owens with 4%; Greg Abbott, Tom Cotton, John Kasich, and Kristi Noem with 2%; Liz Cheney and Rick Scott with 1%.
- ^ "Someone Else" with 14%; Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, and Kristi Noem with 1%.
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
- ^ Candance Owens with 3%; Greg Abbot, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, and Kristi Noem with 1%.
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott with 2%, Chris Christie and Kristi Noem with 1%.
- ^ Liz Cheney, Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Glenn Youngkin, Rick Scott, and "Someone else" with 1%; Larry Hogan, Tom Cotton, Ben Sasse, and Kristi Noem with 0%.
- ^ Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 2%; "Someone else", Greg Abbott, Chris Christie and Tom Cotton with 1%; Josh Hawley, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
- ^ Candace Owens with 5%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott and Marjorie Taylor Greene with 0%
- ^ Candace Owens with 5%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 8%; Tom Cotton with 1%
- ^ Candace Owens with 6%; Ivanka Trump with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton and John Kasich with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
- ^ No voters
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
- ^ Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%; Chris Christie with 0%
- ^ No voters
- ^ No voters
- ^ No voters
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Ben Sasse with 0%
- ^ Ivanka Trump with 4%; Candace Owens with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
- ^ Candace Owens with 5%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; John Kasich with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
- ^ No voters
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%; Dave Portnoy with no voters
- ^ Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters
- ^ "Someone else" with 19%; Kristi Noem and Ben Sasse with 1%
- ^ No voters
- ^ No voters
- ^ Kristi Noem and "Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy and Rick Scott with 0%; Tom Cotton and Ben Sasse with no voters
- ^ Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich with 2%; Rick Scott and Kristi Noem with 1%
- ^ Greg Abbott with 2%; "Someone else," Tom Cotton, Tim Scott, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott, Josh Hawley, and Dave Portnoy with 1% or less
- ^ Kristi Noem with 4%; Chris Christie, Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%
- ^ Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, and Tim Scott with 2%; Rick Scott with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 21%; Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 4%; Greg Abbott and Devin Nunes with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 16%; Tom Cotton with 3%
- ^ Dan Crenshaw, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Rand Paul with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy, and Elise Stefanik with 1% or less
- ^ GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters
- ^ Rand Paul with 3%; John Kasich and "Someone else" with 2%; Dan Crenshaw and Tom Cotton with 1%; Greg Abbott, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
- ^ Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.[1]
- ^ Ben Sasse and Ivanka Trump with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%
- ^ Ivanka Trump with 4%; John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem with 2%; Rick Scott with 0%
- ^ Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults
- ^ Rick Santorum with 3%; John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%
- ^ John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Tom Cotton, Dan Crenshaw, Lindsey Graham and John Kasich with 2%; Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
- ^ Paul Ryan with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Kevin McCarthy with 2%