Template:Party opinion polling for the 2015 Spanish general election
Voting preferences
[edit]The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | 
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PNV | 
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BNG | 
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Lead |
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| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 20.8 | 16.0 | 2.7 | 0.4 | – | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | [a] | 10.1 | 15.0 | 1.6 | — | 26.8 | 4.8 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[1] | 17–19 Dec 2015 | 950 | 17.7 | 13.3 | 4.0 | 0.3 | – | – | – | 3.2 | – | – | [a] | 9.2 | 16.0 | – | – | – | 1.7 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[2] | 16–18 Dec 2015 | 800 | 18.8 | 14.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | – | 15.1 | – | – | – | 3.7 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[3] | 15–17 Dec 2015 | 750 | 17.2 | 15.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | – | 15.5 | – | – | – | 1.7 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[4] | 14–16 Dec 2015 | 700 | 17.9 | 16.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 9.3 | 14.9 | – | – | – | 1.8 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[5] | 13–15 Dec 2015 | 650 | 16.5 | 15.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 9.5 | 13.4 | – | – | – | 1.4 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[6] | 12–14 Dec 2015 | 700 | 17.3 | 15.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 9.8 | 15.3 | – | – | – | 2.0 |
| Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[7] | 7–11 Dec 2015 | 1,500 | 19.3 | 13.6 | 1.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 13.5 | 13.4 | – | 20.3 | 10.5 | 5.7 |
| Simple Lógica[8] | 1–11 Dec 2015 | 1,005 | 13.6 | 9.1 | 3.5 | 0.3 | – | – | 0.3 | – | – | – | [a] | 10.7 | 10.0 | 0.7 | 36.6 | 10.3 | 2.9 |
| GAD3/ABC[9] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | 7,300 | 22.7 | 18.5 | 4.1 | 0.3 | – | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | [a] | 16.0 | 12.9 | 2.2 | – | – | 4.2 |
| Metroscopia/El País[10] | 7–10 Dec 2015 | 2,800 | 17.0 | 12.8 | 3.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 11.8 | 13.6 | – | 35.2 | 3.4 | |
| MyWord/Cadena SER[11] | 3–9 Dec 2015 | 1,500 | 11.8 | 8.9 | 4.3 | 0.8 | – | 0.3 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | [a] | 12.3 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 32.4 | 4.6 | 1.7 |
| DYM/El Confidencial[12] | 27 Nov–9 Dec 2015 | 1,012 | 11.8 | 9.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 12.0 | 12.3 | – | – | – | 0.3 |
| Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[13] | 30 Nov–4 Dec 2015 | 1,000 | 17.8 | 16.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 12.0 | – | – | 24.6 | – | 1.5 |
| GAD3/ABC[14] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | 5,700 | 22.6 | 18.5 | 4.1 | 0.2 | – | 0.6 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | [a] | 16.1 | 13.3 | 2.2 | – | – | 4.1 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[15] | 23–28 Nov 2015 | 1,816 | 18.1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 0.8 | – | 0.3 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | [a] | 16.0 | 13.3 | 1.3 | 20.6 | 3.0 | 1.1 |
| Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[16] | 23–26 Nov 2015 | 1,500 | 16.5 | 13.9 | 3.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 12.5 | 10.4 | – | 23.3 | 13.4 | 2.6 |
| GAD3/ABC[17] | 2–26 Nov 2015 | 4,300 | 23.0 | 18.6 | 4.1 | 0.3 | – | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | [a] | 15.7 | 12.6 | 2.1 | – | – | 4.4 |
| Metroscopia/El País[18] | 23–25 Nov 2015 | 1,200 | 14.6 | 14.4 | 3.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | [a] | 16.2 | 11.3 | – | 32.0 | 1.6 | |
| Simple Lógica[19] | 2–16 Nov 2015 | 1,746 | 14.8 | 13.2 | 2.9 | 0.4 | – | – | 0.3 | – | – | – | [a] | 14.1 | 12.6 | 0.9 | 24.0 | 12.0 | 0.7 |
| CIS[20] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 17,452 | 16.2 | 14.9 | 2.6 | 0.2 | – | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | [a] | 11.6 | 11.8 | 1.2 | 25.2 | 8.0 | 1.3 |
| IBES/Última Hora[21] | 8 Nov 2015 | 2,508 | 21.9 | 18.2 | 4.2 | 0.1 | – | 0.6 | 0.9 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | [a] | 15.4 | 13.4 | 2.2 | 9.5 | 6.6 | 3.7 |
| Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[22] | 29 Oct–6 Nov 2015 | 1,800 | 17.1 | 14.6 | 3.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.0 | 8.3 | – | 24.2 | 13.7 | 2.5 |
| Metroscopia/El País[23] | 26–28 Oct 2015 | 1,400 | 15.4 | 12.1 | 4.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.9 | 10.9 | – | 35.4 | 1.5 | |
| MyWord/Cadena SER[24] | 22–26 Oct 2015 | 1,001 | 12.0 | 9.9 | 3.2 | 0.8 | – | 0.3 | 0.6 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 14.6 | 15.5 | 1.2 | 26.4 | 4.3 | 0.9 |
| DYM/El Confidencial[12] | 15–26 Oct 2015 | 1,002 | 11.7 | 10.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10.7 | 8.8 | – | – | – | 1.0 |
| CIS[25] | 1–12 Oct 2015 | 2,493 | 15.0 | 16.6 | 3.1 | 0.4 | – | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 11.0 | 8.8 | 1.2 | 24.9 | 9.7 | 1.6 |
| Simple Lógica[26] | 1–9 Oct 2015 | 1,047 | 14.2 | 11.8 | 4.0 | 0.3 | – | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – | 13.3 | 7.1 | 0.5 | 25.4 | 18.0 | 0.9 |
| Metroscopia/El País[27] | 7–8 Oct 2015 | 1,200 | 15.1 | 13.6 | 3.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.7 | 8.3 | – | 37.9 | 1.4 | |
| Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[28] | 29 Sep–2 Oct 2015 | 1,000 | 18.3 | 15.2 | 3.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.3 | 9.6 | – | 23.7 | 15.9 | 3.1 |
| Metroscopia/El País[29] | 7–11 Sep 2015 | 1,800 | 15.4 | 16.8 | 3.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.2 | 12.7 | – | 31.2 | 1.4 | |
| Demoscopia Servicios/esRadio[30] | 3–11 Sep 2015 | 1,800 | 20.8 | 13.7 | 2.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7.3 | 11.9 | – | 22.6 | 14.1 | 7.1 |
| MyWord/Cadena SER[31] | 20–27 Aug 2015 | 1,001 | 13.8 | 12.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | – | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 11.0 | 14.9 | 1.8 | 22.4 | 5.5 | 1.1 |
| Simple Lógica[32] | 3–11 Aug 2015 | 1,022 | 15.2 | 13.3 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | – | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | 9.4 | 11.9 | – | 21.9 | 18.0 | 1.9 |
| Metroscopia/El País[33] | 20–22 Jul 2015 | 1,000 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 3.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10.4 | 11.1 | – | 34.2 | 1.0 | |
| CIS[34] | 1–9 Jul 2015 | 2,486 | 16.0 | 17.3 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 7.7 | 12.6 | – | 20.3 | 11.1 | 1.3 |
| Simple Lógica[35] | 1–9 Jul 2015 | 1,040 | 13.6 | 16.0 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | 10.5 | 10.6 | – | 16.0 | 20.1 | 2.4 |
| Metroscopia/El País[36] | 1–2 Jul 2015 | 1,000 | 15.5 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10.7 | 14.9 | – | 31.4 | 0.6 | |
| Metroscopia/El País[37] | 28 May–2 Jun 2015 | 2,000 | 16.0 | 14.4 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.1 | – | 0.4 | 6.1 | 14.2 | – | 32.7 | 5.8 | 1.6 |
| MyWord/Cadena SER[38] | 17–22 Apr 2015 | 1,000 | 11.1 | 8.4 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 17.8 | 17.7 | – | 19.4 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[39] | 8–13 Apr 2015 | 1,000 | 14.0 | 14.5 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 15.7 | 18.9 | – | 12.8 | 5.1 | 3.2 |
| Simple Lógica[40] | 1–13 Apr 2015 | 1,059 | 10.4 | 12.7 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – | 11.7 | 12.7 | – | 23.3 | 21.6 | Tie |
| CIS[41] | 1–12 Apr 2015 | 2,479 | 13.5 | 15.4 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 10.0 | 13.6 | – | 22.6 | 10.9 | 1.9 |
| Metroscopia/El País[42] | 7–9 Apr 2015 | 1,000 | 14.6 | 15.1 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 12.5 | 15.3 | – | 25.5 | 4.6 | 0.2 |
| Intercampo/GETS[43] | 13–29 Mar 2015 | 2,024 | 13.0 | 18.1 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 1.4 | – | 0.5 | 1.1 | – | – | – | 7.8 | 16.3 | – | 35.0 | 1.8 | |
| Simple Lógica[44] | 2–13 Mar 2015 | 1,058 | 11.1 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.9 | – | 0.7 | – | – | – | – | 11.3 | 13.6 | – | 23.4 | 18.9 | 2.3 |
| MyWord/Cadena SER[45] | 4–9 Mar 2015 | 1,000 | 7.2 | 7.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 15.0 | 22.7 | – | 19.9 | 7.1 | 7.7 |
| Metroscopia/El País[46] | 3–4 Mar 2015 | 1,000 | 12.8 | 11.6 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.2 | – | – | 11.0 | 17.0 | – | 26.5 | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| MyWord/Cadena SER[47] | 9–11 Feb 2015 | 1,000 | 12.2 | 9.1 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 10.5 | 23.5 | – | 16.1 | 4.5 | 11.3 |
| Simple Lógica[48] | 2–9 Feb 2015 | 1,058 | 13.9 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 1.0 | – | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | 5.3 | 20.0 | – | 18.5 | 20.2 | 6.1 |
| Metroscopia/El País[49] | 3–4 Feb 2015 | 1,000 | 12.3 | 11.4 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 6.6 | 20.5 | – | 27.4 | 6.0 | 8.2 |
| GAD3/ABC[50] | 9–16 Jan 2015 | 1,000 | 19.5 | 12.6 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | – | – | 0.9 | 5.2 | 13.7 | – | – | – | 5.8 |
| Simple Lógica[51] | 7–14 Jan 2015 | 1,025 | 11.5 | 9.5 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 1.2 | – | 0.2 | – | – | – | – | 3.5 | 20.7 | – | 19.1 | 22.7 | 9.2 |
| CIS[52] | 2–12 Jan 2015 | 2,481 | 12.9 | 12.4 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 19.3 | – | 22.0 | 13.6 | 6.4 |
| Metroscopia/El País[53] | 7–8 Jan 2015 | 1,000 | 12.8 | 12.3 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 4.6 | 20.4 | – | 25.6 | 7.9 | 7.6 |
| MyWord/Cadena SER[54] | 30 Dec–6 Jan 2015 | 1,001 | 9.8 | 10.1 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | – | 4.9 | 24.0 | – | 18.4 | 7.8 | 14.1 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[55] | 9–15 Dec 2014 | 1,000 | 15.9 | 13.6 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 24.4 | – | 13.6 | 6.5 | 8.5 |
| DYM/El Confidencial[56] | 13 Dec 2014 | ? | 7.8 | 7.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.9 | 16.9 | – | 28.4 | 14.4 | 9.1 |
| Metroscopia/El País[57] | 2–3 Dec 2014 | 1,000 | 12.1 | 16.5 | 4.1 | 3.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.1 | – | 31.6 | 1.6 | |
| DYM/El Confidencial[56] | 28 Oct–6 Nov 2014 | 985 | 7.4 | 8.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.6 | – | – | – | 7.7 |
| Metroscopia/El País[58] | 28–29 Oct 2014 | 1,000 | 10.4 | 13.1 | 3.7 | 3.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.2 | – | 36.7 | 9.1 | |
| CIS[59] | 1–13 Oct 2014 | 2,480 | 11.7 | 14.3 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 17.6 | – | 21.9 | 15.7 | 3.3 |
| Intercampo/GETS[60] | 15 Sep–12 Oct 2014 | 1,724 | 12.8 | 18.8 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 | – | 0.8 | 2.0 | – | – | – | – | 14.8 | – | 40.0 | 4.0 | |
| Metroscopia/El País[61] | 29–30 Sep 2014 | 1,000 | 11.9 | 14.8 | 4.9 | 3.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12.3 | – | 40.0 | 2.5 | |
| Metroscopia/El País[62] | 16–24 Jul 2014 | 1,200 | 14.5 | 14.4 | 3.0 | 2.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.4 | – | 42.3 | 0.1 | |
| CIS[63] | 1–9 Jul 2014 | 2,471 | 12.8 | 10.6 | 6.2 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 11.9 | – | 20.8 | 19.2 | 0.9 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[64] | 27–31 May 2014 | 1,000 | 15.1 | 8.3 | 6.1 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 3.5 | – | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 16.7 | – | 18.9 | 9.3 | 1.6 |
| 2014 EP election | 25 May 2014 | — | 11.7 | 10.4 | 4.5 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 3.6 | – | — | 54.2 | 1.3 |
| CIS[65] | 1–7 Apr 2014 | 2,469 | 13.6 | 13.4 | 7.2 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | – | – | – | 22.9 | 20.2 | 0.2 |
| Metroscopia/El País[66] | 25 Mar–1 Apr 2014 | 1,200 | 13.6 | 13.0 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.3 | – | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – | 28.4 | 14.5 | 0.6 |
| Simple Lógica[67] | 3–7 Mar 2014 | 1,068 | 11.5 | 11.1 | 8.1 | 6.6 | 1.4 | – | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.6 | 32.2 | 0.4 |
| Metroscopia/El País[68] | 25 Feb–4 Mar 2014 | 1,200 | 14.1 | 13.7 | 10.9 | 6.9 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | – | – | – | 22.2 | 14.7 | 0.4 |
| MyWord/Cadena SER[69] | 13–19 Feb 2014 | 1,000 | 7.0 | 9.1 | 8.3 | 10.9 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.7 | – | – | – | 21.7 | 9.6 | 1.8 |
| Metroscopia/El País[70] | 5–6 Feb 2014 | 1,200 | 12.6 | 12.4 | 11.9 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | – | – | – | 24.1 | 16.8 | 0.2 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[71] | 20–23 Jan 2014 | 1,000 | 15.7 | 14.6 | 9.5 | 8.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.3 | – | – | 16.8 | 14.7 | 1.1 |
| CIS[72] | 3–15 Jan 2014 | 2,480 | 10.8 | 11.8 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | – | – | – | 23.6 | 24.2 | 1.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[73] | 8–9 Jan 2014 | 1,200 | 12.5 | 12.9 | 9.9 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | – | – | – | 23.9 | 19.4 | 0.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[74] | 25–28 Nov 2013 | 1,000 | 16.1 | 17.3 | 9.3 | 7.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.7 | – | – | 15.6 | 11.4 | 1.2 |
| GAD3/Antena 3[75] | 11–14 Nov 2013 | 801 | 22.9 | 22.1 | 7.1 | 7.9 | 2.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.8 |
| MyWord/Cadena SER[76] | 30 Oct–4 Nov 2013 | 1,000 | 7.1 | 9.1 | 11.0 | 10.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.4 | – | – | – | 21.6 | 11.5 | 0.2 |
| DYM/El Confidencial[56] | 22–31 Oct 2013 | 967 | 7.5 | 8.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.2 |
| GAD3/Antena 3[77] | 7–10 Oct 2013 | 805 | 19.6 | 17.0 | 12.6 | 8.5 | 1.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.6 |
| CIS[78] | 1–9 Oct 2013 | 2,485 | 11.4 | 13.0 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | – | – | – | 24.1 | 22.0 | 1.6 |
| Simple Lógica[79] | 1–7 Oct 2013 | 1,001 | 10.1 | 9.1 | 6.1 | 7.0 | 1.2 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.5 | 37.2 | 1.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[80] | 2–3 Oct 2013 | 1,000 | 14.1 | 9.6 | 9.5 | 7.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | – | – | – | 26.3 | 13.6 | 4.5 |
| GAD3/Antena 3[81] | 10–13 Sep 2013 | 935 | 18.3 | 16.0 | 7.5 | 6.1 | 1.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.3 |
| Metroscopia/El País[82] | 4–5 Sep 2013 | 700 | 11.1 | 12.3 | 10.4 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | – | – | – | 24.2 | 16.4 | 1.2 |
| MyWord/Cadena SER[83] | 26–30 Aug 2013 | 1,000 | 8.6 | 8.3 | 11.6 | 8.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 25.7 | 11.0 | 3.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[84] | 24–25 Jul 2013 | 1,000 | 11.6 | 10.3 | 9.8 | 6.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.5 | 29.2 | 1.3 |
| CIS[85] | 1–10 Jul 2013 | 2,476 | 13.2 | 12.5 | 7.8 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | – | – | – | 21.9 | 24.0 | 0.7 |
| Metroscopia/El País[86] | 3–4 Jul 2013 | 1,000 | 10.0 | 10.4 | 9.5 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | – | 0.6 | – | – | – | 18.8 | 26.0 | 0.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[87] | 25–28 Jun 2013 | 1,000 | 15.5 | 17.2 | 11.5 | 8.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | – | – | 15.6 | 13.2 | 1.7 |
| MyWord/Cadena SER[88] | 14–18 Jun 2013 | 1,000 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 13.2 | 10.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.8 | 12.6 | 2.5 |
| Metroscopia/El País[89] | 5–6 Jun 2013 | 1,000 | 13.7 | 10.2 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | – | 0.4 | – | – | – | 17.6 | 25.8 | 3.5 |
| GAD3/Antena 3[90] | 27–30 May 2013 | 1,000 | 18.7 | 13.1 | 10.6 | 6.3 | 1.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.6 |
| Metroscopia/El País[91] | 8–9 May 2013 | 1,000 | 11.3 | 7.8 | 9.5 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | – | – | – | 22.8 | 25.0 | 1.8 |
| MyWord/Cadena SER[92] | 2–8 May 2013 | 1,000 | 7.8 | 11.7 | 11.1 | 9.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.3 | 13.3 | 0.6 |
| CIS[93] | 1–8 Apr 2013 | 2,482 | 12.5 | 13.7 | 7.1 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | – | – | – | 21.5 | 22.7 | 1.2 |
| Metroscopia/El País[94] | 3–4 Apr 2013 | 1,000 | 13.4 | 8.8 | 10.7 | 6.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | – | – | – | 18.0 | 27.3 | 2.7 |
| Simple Lógica[95] | 4–8 Mar 2013 | 1,017 | 10.0 | 8.3 | 6.6 | 4.8 | 0.4 | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.4 | 40.2 | 1.7 |
| Metroscopia/El País[96] | 27–28 Feb 2013 | 1,000 | 13.6 | 10.5 | 8.6 | 5.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.8 | 25.5 | 3.1 |
| Metroscopia/El País[97] | 30 Jan–1 Feb 2013 | 2,000 | 12.0 | 12.4 | 7.8 | 6.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.5 | 24.6 | 0.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[98] | 25–29 Jan 2013 | 1,000 | 13.6 | 20.8 | 10.1 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | – | – | – | 13.8 | 12.4 | 7.2 |
| CIS[99] | 4–14 Jan 2013 | 2,483 | 15.8 | 17.0 | 6.4 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | – | – | – | 19.7 | 21.5 | 1.2 |
| Metroscopia/El País[100] | 9–10 Jan 2013 | 1,000 | 13.9 | 11.3 | 9.8 | 5.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.0 | 24.7 | 2.6 |
| Metroscopia/El País[101] | 6–7 Nov 2012 | 1,000 | 16.7 | 13.3 | 8.1 | 5.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.6 | 24.8 | 3.4 |
| MyWord/Cadena SER[102] | 26–31 Oct 2012 | 1,000 | 12.2 | 10.7 | 8.4 | 9.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.3 | 10.2 | 1.5 |
| CIS[103] | 2–14 Oct 2012 | 2,484 | 16.1 | 17.6 | 7.0 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | – | – | – | 20.1 | 18.8 | 1.5 |
| Simple Lógica[104] | 3–13 Sep 2012 | 1,776 | 14.6 | 11.1 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 0.8 | – | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21.9 | 33.5 | 3.5 |
| CIS[105] | 2–10 Jul 2012 | 2,484 | 18.2 | 17.1 | 6.2 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | – | – | – | 18.7 | 22.3 | 1.1 |
| DYM/ABC[56] | 27–28 Jun 2012 | 857 | 17.4 | 10.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6.5 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[106] | 14–18 Jun 2012 | 1,000 | 24.8 | 22.3 | 9.5 | 6.8 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | – | – | – | 11.9 | 7.4 | 2.5 |
| Simple Lógica[107] | 1–11 May 2012 | 1,015 | 17.8 | 15.8 | 8.1 | 3.7 | 1.4 | – | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.2 | 26.1 | 2.0 |
| CIS[108] | 9–17 Apr 2012 | 2,484 | 24.0 | 20.8 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | – | – | – | 15.6 | 17.2 | 3.2 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[109] | 23–28 Feb 2012 | 1,000 | 33.0 | 24.0 | 7.1 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | – | – | – | 10.1 | 6.4 | 9.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[110] | 8–9 Feb 2012 | 1,003 | 32.5 | 14.4 | 7.4 | 5.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.9 | 13.3 | 18.1 |
| CIS[111] | 4–15 Jan 2012 | 2,480 | 30.5 | 18.2 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | – | – | – | 16.6 | 13.4 | 12.3 |
| 2011 general election | 20 Nov 2011 | — | 31.6 | 20.3 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | – | – | – | — | 28.3 | 11.3 |
Victory preference
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a general election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
|
|
|
|
PNV |
|
|
|
|
Other/ None |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metroscopia/El País[10] | 7–10 Dec 2015 | 2,800 | 20.0 | 19.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.0 | 17.0 | – | – | – | 8.8 |
| CIS[20] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 17,452 | 18.0 | 18.9 | 3.5 | 0.3 | – | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 13.6 | 13.1 | 0.9 | 10.6 | 19.2 | 0.9 |
| Metroscopia/El País[23] | 26–28 Oct 2015 | 1,400 | 18.0 | 18.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.0 | 14.0 | – | 18.0 | 14.0 | Tie |
| CIS[34] | 1–9 Jul 2015 | 2,486 | 18.9 | 22.2 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 8.3 | 15.7 | – | 3.6 | 24.8 | 3.3 |
| Intercampo/GETS[60] | 15 Sep–12 Oct 2014 | 1,724 | 13.9 | 25.3 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 0.3 | – | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 16.5 | – | 14.3 | 21.0 | 8.8 |
| Intercampo/GETS[112] | 16 Sep–14 Oct 2013 | 1,726 | 14.4 | 25.6 | 8.6 | 3.7 | 1.1 | – | 0.4 | 0.9 | – | – | – | 20.3 | 25.0 | 11.2 |
| Intercampo/GETS[113] | 15 Sep–17 Oct 2012 | 1,724 | 16.6 | 27.1 | 7.6 | 4.2 | 0.7 | – | 0.6 | 0.3 | – | – | – | 19.4 | 23.5 | 10.5 |
Victory likelihood
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
|
|
Other/ None |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAD3/ABC[9] | 16 Nov–11 Dec 2015 | 7,300 | 59.4 | 12.3 | 10.8 | 4.1 | 13.4 | 47.1 | |
| GAD3/ABC[14] | 10 Nov–3 Dec 2015 | 5,700 | 58.1 | 13.0 | 11.4 | 4.1 | 13.4 | 45.1 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[15] | 23–28 Nov 2015 | 1,816 | 61.7 | 11.0 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 18.1 | 50.7 |
| GAD3/ABC[17] | 2–26 Nov 2015 | 4,300 | 56.3 | 15.0 | 9.9 | 4.9 | 13.9 | 41.3 | |
| GAD3/ABC[17] | 26 Oct–19 Nov 2015 | 3,000 | 54.9 | 16.2 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 13.9 | 38.7 | |
| CIS[20] | 27 Oct–16 Nov 2015 | 17,452 | 52.4 | 13.5 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 24.8 | 38.9 |
| GAD3/ABC[17] | 19 Oct–12 Nov 2015 | 3,100 | 53.2 | 17.5 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 13.9 | 35.7 | |
| GAD3/ABC[17] | 14 Oct–4 Nov 2015 | 3,300 | 51.5 | 18.3 | 9.4 | 6.2 | 14.6 | 33.2 | |
| GAD3/ABC[17] | 14–29 Oct 2015 | 2,800 | 49.0 | 18.1 | 9.6 | 5.5 | 17.8 | 30.9 | |
| GAD3/ABC[17] | 14 Sep–19 Oct 2015 | 2,600 | 48.2 | 17.7 | 6.8 | 6.0 | 21.3 | 30.5 | |
| CIS[34] | 1–9 Jul 2015 | 2,486 | 40.1 | 22.2 | 1.6 | 6.9 | 0.6 | 28.7 | 17.9 |
| GAD3/ABC[17] | 23 Jun–8 Jul 2015 | 1,000 | 43.7 | 26.6 | 4.7 | 15.5 | 9.5 | 17.1 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[39] | 8–13 Apr 2015 | 1,000 | 44.7 | 17.4 | 2.1 | 10.7 | 0.1 | 25.0 | 27.3 |
| Encuestamos[114] | 26 Feb 2015 | 600 | 32.1 | – | – | 33.3 | – | – | 1.2 |
| Encuestamos[115] | 23 Jan 2015 | ? | 26.5 | 9.1 | – | 45.5 | – | – | 19.0 |
| GAD3/ABC[50] | 9–16 Jan 2015 | 1,000 | 32.2 | 10.4 | – | 25.7 | 6.2 | 25.5 | 6.5 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[55] | 9–15 Dec 2014 | 1,000 | 29.8 | 16.7 | 0.5 | 26.9 | 1.3 | 24.8 | 2.9 |
| Intercampo/GETS[60] | 15 Sep–12 Oct 2014 | 1,724 | 39.6 | 20.3 | – | 5.9 | 2.7 | 31.5 | 19.3 |
| GAD3/Antena 3[75] | 11–14 Nov 2013 | 801 | 48.5 | 20.8 | – | – | 30.7 | 27.7 | |
| Intercampo/GETS[112] | 16 Sep–14 Oct 2013 | 1,726 | 30.5 | 23.9 | – | – | 6.8 | 38.8 | 6.6 |
| GAD3/Antena 3[77] | 7–10 Oct 2013 | 805 | 43.5 | 17.6 | – | – | 20.4 | 18.6 | 25.9 |
| GAD3/Antena 3[81] | 10–13 Sep 2013 | 935 | 36.0 | 19.4 | – | – | 22.3 | 22.3 | 16.6 |
| GAD3/Antena 3[90] | 27–30 May 2013 | 1,000 | 39.0 | 16.4 | – | – | 20.4 | 24.2 | 22.6 |
| Intercampo/GETS[113] | 15 Sep–17 Oct 2012 | 1,724 | 29.1 | 23.8 | – | – | 7.7 | 39.4 | 5.3 |
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
GESOP19Dec15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
GESOP18Dec15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
GESOP17Dec15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
GESOP16Dec15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
GESOP15Dec15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
GESOP14Dec15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
DySDec15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLDec15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Dec15-2was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b Cite error: The named reference
MetrosDec15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordDec15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b Cite error: The named reference
DyMDec15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SondaxeDec15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Dec15-1was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b "Encuesta preelectoral en España. Las elecciones generales del 20D. Noviembre de 2015" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 2 December 2015.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
DySNov15-2was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b c d e f g h Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Nov15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosNov15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLNov15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b c Cite error: The named reference
CISNov15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
IBESNov15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
DySNov15-1was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b Cite error: The named reference
MetrosOct15awas invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordOct15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISOct15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLOct15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosOct15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
DySOct15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosSep15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
DySSep15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordAug15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLAug15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Clima político: intención de voto y valoración de líderes". El País (in Spanish). 25 July 2015.
- ^ a b c Cite error: The named reference
CISJul15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLJul15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosJul15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosJun15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordApr15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b "Barómetro político de España. Abril de 2015" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 20 April 2015.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLApr15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISApr15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosApr15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
GETSMar15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLMar15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordMar15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosMar15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordFeb15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLFeb15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosFeb15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Jan15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLJan15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISJan15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosJan15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordJan15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b "Barómetro político de España. Diciembre de 2014" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 20 December 2014.
- ^ a b c d Cite error: The named reference
DYMDec14was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosDec14was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosOct14was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISOct14was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b c Cite error: The named reference
GETSOct14was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosSep14was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosAug14was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISJul14was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Barómetro político de España. Mayo de 2014" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 9 June 2014.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISApr14was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosApr14was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLMar14was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosMar14was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordFeb14was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosFeb14was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Barómetro político de España. Enero de 2014" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 3 February 2014.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISJan14was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosJan14was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Barómetro político de España. Noviembre de 2013" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 6 December 2013.
- ^ a b Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Nov13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordNov13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Oct13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISOct13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLOct13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosOct13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b Cite error: The named reference
GAD3Sep13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Barómetro electoral: septiembre 2013". Blogs El País (in Spanish). 9 September 2013.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordAug13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosAug13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISJul13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosJul13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Barómetro político de España. Junio de 2013" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 5 July 2013.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordJun13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Barómetro electoral: junio 2013". Blogs El País (in Spanish). 10 June 2013.
- ^ a b Cite error: The named reference
GAD3May13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosMay13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordMay13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISApr13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosApr13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLMar13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosMar13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosFeb13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Barómetro político de España. Enero de 2013" (PDF). GESOP (in Spanish). 3 February 2013.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISJan13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosJan13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Barómetro electoral: noviembre 2012". Blogs El País (in Spanish). 12 November 2012.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
MyWordOct12was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISOct12was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLSep12was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISJul12was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política d'Espanya. Juny de 2012" (PDF). GESOP (in Catalan). 25 June 2012.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
SLMay12was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISApr12was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política d'Espanya. Febrer de 2012" (PDF). GESOP (in Catalan). 4 March 2012.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
MetrosFeb12was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
CISJan12was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b Cite error: The named reference
GETSOct13was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b Cite error: The named reference
GETSOct12was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
EncuesFeb15was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Cite error: The named reference
EncuesJan15was invoked but never defined (see the help page).