Talk:July 2009 Moldovan parliamentary election
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[edit]It will be interesting to hear if anyone has info on why the Democratic Party, with less than 5% of the vote in April, has 12.5% of the vote in July! 86.176.118.18 (talk) —Preceding undated comment added 06:36, 30 July 2009 (UTC).
- One reason suggested by the British Guardian, is that the defection of Marian Lupu from the Communist party to the Democratic Party played a big role in the party's upsurge. Otumba (talk) 20:57, 30 July 2009 (UTC)
- The first thought that popped in my head was: Administrative resource (from what I read it was/is(??) widely used in Post-Soviet states). This is WP:speculation of course. — Mariah-Yulia • Talk to me! 21:08, 30 July 2009 (UTC)
Statistically in any re-election there is a 4 to 6% swing against the governing party. Moldova was not exception. The Communist party had a swing against them of just over 4%. The main reason the communist party did not do as well in terms of the number of seats won was primarily due to the consolidation of the vote with fewer parties polling below the 5% threshold. The number of minor parties was less then in April 2009 with most of the gain flowing to the Democratic Party (+9.5% from April) With a power percentage of voters disenfranchised the allocation of seats reflected more closely the percentage of the vote. In April The Communists Party with just below 50% of the voter received 60 seats. In August with 45% of the vote they won only 48 Seats. They still remain the highest polling party in Moldova and as such maintain the right of veto over any decision that requires a constitutional majority such as the election of the President. The main question that remains is the formation and stability of a ruling coalition. This will be a test of governance and the ability of the various parties to compromise and work together. The Communists Party needs to play a constructive role in opposition or they can seek to destabilize the government in which Moldova could return to the polls in the new year. Much of it depends on the direction and policies of the new government.
The governing party need to learn from the mistakes in Ukraine, united you stand divided you fall.
In 2006 Ukraine's President Yushchenko's Party "Our Ukraine" refused to support the formation of an Orange Alliance governing coalition. Instead they tried to form a broad coalition with the opposition party "Party of Regions". The net result of Our Ukraine's betrayal of its coalition partners was the beginning of the collapse of the Orange revolution and a loss of confidence in the directions set by Ukraine's president who continued to pursue a policy of division and disunity.
If the new governing coalition of Moldova travels down the same path as Yushchenko, ignoring the wishes of the people they will fail. In 2005 Yushchenko held 60% approval rating, Today having betrayed Ukraine and those who supported his election, he has less then 4% —Preceding unsigned comment added by 124.192.40.80 (talk) 11:37, 12 August 2009 (UTC)
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