Pre-election pendulum for the 2017 Queensland state election

The following is a Mackerras pendulum prior to the 2017 Queensland state election.

"Very safe" seats require a swing of more than 20 points to change, "safe" seats 10–20 points to change, "fairly safe" seats 6–10 points, and "marginal" seats less than 6 points.

Liberal National seats
Marginal
Whitsunday	Jason Costigan	LNP	0.6
Glass House	Andrew Powell	LNP	0.9
Redlands	Matt McEachan	LNP	1.2
Toowoomba North	Trevor Watts	LNP	1.6
Lockyer	Ian Rickuss	LNP v PHON	1.6
Bonney	New seat	LNP	2.2
Everton	Tim Mander	LNP	2.5
Gaven	Sid Cramp	LNP	2.8
Maiwar	Scott Emerson	LNP	3.0
Aspley	Tracy Davis	LNP	3.2
Hinchinbrook	Andrew Cripps	LNP	3.4
Chatsworth	Steve Minnikin	LNP	3.3
Caloundra	Mark McArdle	LNP	4.7
Theodore	Mark Boothman	LNP	5.3
Burleigh	Michael Hart	LNP	5.5
Currumbin	Jann Stuckey	LNP	5.7
Oodgeroo	Mark Robinson	LNP	5.7
Coomera	Michael Crandon	LNP	5.8
Fairly safe
Hervey Bay	Ted Sorensen	LNP	6.5
Burnett	Stephen Bennett	LNP	6.6
Clayfield	Tim Nicholls	LNP	6.6
Noosa	Glen Elmes	LNP	6.8
Ninderry	New seat	LNP	6.9
Gympie	Tony Perrett	LNP	7.6
Southport	Rob Molhoek	LNP	7.8
Moggill	Christian Rowan	LNP	8.1
Toowoomba South	David Janetzki	LNP	8.3
Scenic Rim	Jon Krause	LNP	9.2
Callide	Jeff Seeney	LNP	9.8
Safe
Kawana	Jarrod Bleijie	LNP	10.2
Maroochydore	Fiona Simpson	LNP	10.3
Mermaid Beach	Ray Stevens	LNP	10.3
Mudgeeraba	Ros Bates	LNP	10.3
Gregory	Lachlan Millar	LNP	10.4
Nanango	Deb Frecklington	LNP	13.3
Warrego	Ann Leahy	LNP	14.5
Broadwater	Verity Barton	LNP	16.3
Condamine	Pat Weir	LNP	17.1
Southern Downs	Lawrence Springborg	LNP	19.2
Very safe
Surfers Paradise	John-Paul Langbroek	LNP	20.4
Crossbench seats
Pumicestone	Rick Williams	IND (ALP v LNP)	0.1
Hill	Shane Knuth	KAP	4.9
Cairns	Rob Pyne	IND (ALP v LNP)	7.5
Buderim	Steve Dickson	PHON (LNP v ALP)	11.8
Traeger	Rob Katter	KAP v LNP	16.1

See also

• Post-election pendulum for the Queensland state election, 2015