Jump to content

Opinion polling for the 2022 French legislative election

Edit links
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2022 French legislative election, which were held in two rounds on 12 and 19 June 2022. Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

First round

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]

Local regression of polls conducted

Party alliances standings

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		LO
NPA
EXG 		NUPES DVG
PRG
FGR 		ECO PA ENS DVC UDC DVD DLF
LP 		RN REC
EXD 		REG DIV
PCF LFI PÉ PS
Ministry of the Interior
(Le Monde) 		12 Jun 2022 – 1.17%
(1.19%) 		25.66%
(26.16%) 		3.70%
(3.30%) 		2.67%
(–) 		25.75%
(25.80%) 		1.25%
(1.30%) 		11.29%
(11.30%) 		2.33%
(1.92%) 		1.13%
(1.21%) 		18.68%
(18.68%) 		4.24%
(4.25%) 		1.28%
(1.09%) 		0.85%
(3.80%)
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 12 Jun 2022 Projections 1.3% 25.6% 3.7% 2.7% 25.2% 1.3% 13.6% 1.1% 19.1% 4.1% 2.3%
Elabe BFMTV 12 Jun 2022 1.2% 26.2% 3.3% – – 25.8% – 11.1% 1.9% 1.2% 19.1% 4.3% 5.9%
Ifop-Fiducial 12 Jun 2022 1.4% 26.1% 3% – – 25.6% – 11.3% 3.2% 1.1% 19.2% 4.1% 5%
Harris-Interactive 12 Jun 2022 1.5% 25% 5.5% – 25% 1% 11.5% 2.5% 1.2% 19% 4.5% 3.3%
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 10 Jun 2022 8,159 1% 27% 3% 2.5% – 28% 0.5% 11% 1% 19% 5.5% 1.5%
Harris-Interactive 8–10 Jun 2022 2,078 1% 26% 4% – 2% 26% 1% 10% 1% 2% 20% 6% 1%
Ifop-Fiducial 8–9 Jun 2022 1,831 1% 26.5% 3.5% – – 26% 10% 2% 1.5% 19% 5.5% – 5%
Elabe 8–9 Jun 2022 2,000 1.5% 26.5% 3% – – 27% 11% 1% 1.5% 19.5% 4.5% 4.5%
Cluster17 7–9 Jun 2022 2,608 0.5% 29.5% 2.5% – 1.5% 26% 1% 10.5% 1% 1.5% 17.5% 5.5% 1% 2%
OpinionWay-Kéa 5–8 Jun 2022 3,001 1% 25% 3% 1% 2% 28% 11% 1% 1% 18% 6% – 3%
YouGov 1–8 Jun 2022 3,306 2% 25% – – 1% 26% - 9% - 1% 21% 8% 7%
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 6–7 Jun 2022 2,000 1.5% 28% 2.5% 2.5% – 27% 0.5% 11% 1% 19.5% 6% 1%
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 3–6 Jun 2022 10,826 1% 27.5% 2% 2.5% – 28% 0.5% 11% 1% 20% 5.5% 1%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Jun 2022 1,840 1% 26% 3.5% – – 25% 11% 2% 2% 21% 5% – 4.5%
Harris-Interactive 3–6 Jun 2022 2,355 2% 24% 5% – 2% 26% 1% 10% 1% 2% 20% 6% 1%
Cluster17 30 May–1 Jun 2022 2,459 1% 31% – – 1.5% 27% 10% 2% 19% 5% 1.5% 3%
Elabe 30 May–1 Jun 2022 2,000 1.5% 25% 2.5% – – 24.5% 12.5% 1.5% 1.5% 22% 4.5% 4.5%
OpinionWay-Kéa 28–31 May 2022 3,008 1% 26% 2% 2% 1% 27% 11% 1% 1% 20% 6% – 2%
Harris-Interactive 27–30 May 2022 2,371 2% 24% 4% – 2% 27% 1% 9% 1% 1% 21% 7% 1%
Ifop-Fiducial 25–28 May 2022 1,796 1% 25% 4% – – 27% 10% 1% 2% 21% 6% 3%
Cluster17 24–26 May 2022 2,373 0.5% 30% – 2% 26% 10.5% 1.5% 19% 6% 0.5% 4%
OpinionWay-Kéa 19–24 May 2022 2,845 2% 25% 3% 2% 2% 26% 11% 3% 21% 5% – –
Harris-Interactive 20–23 May 2022 2,331 3% 28% – – – 26% 9% 2% 21% 7% 4%
Cluster17 17–19 May 2022 2,950 0.5% 31% – 1% 26% 9% 2% 20% 5.5% 1.5% 3.5%
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 16–19 May 2022 11,247 1% 27% 3% – – 28% 9% 1% 1% 21% 6% 3%
Elabe 16–18 May 2022 1,793 2% 27.5% – – – 27% 10% 1% 21.5% 5% 6%
OpinionWay-Kéa 14–18 May 2022 3,022 2% 24% 3% 2% 2% 27% 11% 2% 22% 5% – –
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 May 2022 1,884 1.5% 27% – – – 26% 11% 2.5% 23% 6% – 3%
Harris-Interactive 13–16 May 2022 2,393 3% 29% – – – 26% 10% 1% 23% 5% 3%
Cluster17 10–12 May 2022 2,967 1% 31% – – 27% 9.5% 2% 19% 5.5% 1% 4%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–9 May 2022 1,691 1.5% 28% – – – 27% 11% 2% 22% 6.5% – 2%
1% 2% 18% 6.5% 5.5% – – – 26% 11% 2% 21% 6% – 2%
Harris-Interactive 6–9 May 2022 2,406 3% 28% – – – 26% 9% 1% 24% 6% 3%
OpinionWay-Kéa 5–9 May 2022 3,077 2% 23% 3% 2% 2% 26% 12% 2% 23% 5% – –
Cluster17 3–5 May 2022 3,498 1% 34% – – 24.5% 8.5% 1.5% 19.5% 5% 2% 4%
Harris-Interactive 29 Apr–2 May 2022 2,366 2% 2% 19% 7% 7% – – 24% 8% 1% 23% 6% 1%
2% 33% – – – 33% 30% 2%
Cluster17 27–28 Apr 2022 2,659 1% 2% 20% 7.5% 5.5% – – 24% 7.5% 2% 21% 6% 1% 2.5%
1.5% 27% 7% – – 23% 9% 2% 21% 6.5% 1% 2%
1% 34% – – 24% 9.5% 3% 24% 1.5% 3%
Harris-Interactive 24–25 Apr 2022 2,343 1% 3% 19% 8% 5% – – 24% 8% 1% 23% 7% 1%
2% 33% – – – 33% 31% 1%
2017 election results 11 Jun 2017 – 0.8% 2.7% 11% (ECO) 9.5% 1.6% 4.3% 0.3% 32.3% 18.8% 2.7% 1.2% 13.2% 0.3% 0.9% 1.9%

Second round

[edit]

Seat projections

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		NUPES DVG ENS DVC UDC DVD DLF
LP 		RN REC EXD REG DIV
PCF LFI PÉ PS
Ministry of the Interior
(Le Monde) 		19 Jun 2022 – 131
(142) 		22
(13) 		245
(246) 		4
(5) 		64
(64) 		10
(9) 		1
(1) 		89
(89) 		0
(0) 		0
(1) 		10
(6) 		1
(1)
Ifop-Fiducial 16–17 Jun 2022 1,399 160–190 5–10 270–300 – 50–70 6–8 – 25–45 – – 5–9
Cluster17 16–17 Jun 2022 n/a 170–220 7–10 230–290 3–5 65–75 3–5 – 40–60 – – 4–7
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 15–16 Jun 2022 1,991 140–180 12–24 265–305 2–4 60–80 – – 20–50 – – 5–10
Elabe 15–16 Jun 2022 1,801 150–200 8–12 255–295 3–5 55–75 2–4 – 30–50 – 1–2[a] 5–9
OpinionWay-Kéa 14–16 Jun 2022 1,028 165–210 – 275–305 – 60–75 – – 20–40 – – 7–13
Odoxa 14–15 Jun 2022 1,881 179–225 3–7 252–292 – 42–62 2–8 – 25–49[b] – – 2–6
Ifop-Fiducial 14–15 Jun 2022 1,508 180–210 3–7 265–300 – 40–65 2–6 – 20–40 – – 3–7
Harris-Interactive 12 Jun 2022 6,492 14–21 97–117 25–41 25–40 2–8 257–297 0–1 45–65 3–8 0–1 23–45 – – 5–10
161–219
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 12 Jun 2022 Exit poll 10–16 96–115 20–30 24–29 15–25 255–295 – 50–80 – 20–45 – – 10–17
150–190
Elabe 12 Jun 2022 160–210 7–13 260–295 – 50–65 2–5 – 25–35 – 0–2[c] 9–14
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 10 Jun 2022 8,159 155–190 18–30 275–315 – 35–55 – 20–45 – – 5–10
Harris-Interactive 8–10 Jun 2022 2,078 11–18 90–110 22–37 22–38 4–12 265–305 0–2 38–58 3–8 0–1 25–48 0–3 0–1 5–10
145–203
Ifop-Fiducial 8–9 Jun 2022 1,831 180–210 8–12 270–305 – 40–55 – – 15–35 0–2 – 8–14
Elabe 8–9 Jun 2022 2,000 165–190 – 280–320 – 40–60 – – 25–50 – – 10–15
OpinionWay-Kéa 5–8 Jun 2022 3,001 160–190 – 290–330 – 50–70 – – 13–33 0–2 – 6–11
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 6–7 Jun 2022 2,000 175–215 10–18 260–300 – 35–55 – 20–50 – – 5-10
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 3–6 Jun 2022 10,826 160–200 8–18 275–315 – 30–55 – 20–55 – – 8–18
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Jun 2022 2,000 195–230 4–8 250–290 – 40–55 – – 20–45 0–2 – 6–12
Harris-Interactive 3–6 Jun 2022 2,355 9–16 71–97 20–35 20–36 – 285–335 0–2 38–58 3–8 0–1 30–50 0–3 0–1 3–7
120–184
Elabe 30 May–1 Jun 2022 2,000 155–180 – 275–315 – 40–65 – – 35–65 – – 10–15
OpinionWay-Kéa 28–31 May 2022 3,008 160–190 – 290–330 – 50–70 – – 13–33 0–2 – 6–11
Harris-Interactive 27–30 May 2022 2,371 8–15 54–80 18–33 16–32 0–6 300–350 0–1 35–55 3–8 0–1 35–55 0–3 0–1 3–7
96–160
Ifop-Fiducial 25–28 May 2022 1,796 170–205 5–10 275–310 – 35–55 – – 20–50 1–4 – 8–15
OpinionWay-Kéa 19–24 May 2022 2,845 155–185 – 295–335 – 50–70 – – 14–34 – – 6–11
Harris-Interactive 20–23 May 2022 2,331 9–16 60–86 20–35 18–34 – 295–345 – 32–52 – 0–1 42–68 0–3 – 3–7
107–171
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 16–19 May 2022 11,247 165–195 – 290–330 – 35–65 – – 20–45 – – 5–10
Elabe 16–18 May 2022 1,793 160–185 – 290–330 – 25–50 – – 35–65 – – 5–15
OpinionWay-Kéa 14–18 May 2022 3,022 140–170 – 310–350 – 50–70 – – 15–35 – – 5–10
Harris-Interactive 13–16 May 2022 2,393 8–15 62–88 20–35 18–34 – 300–350 – 35–55 – 0–1 48–75 0–2 – 3–7
108–172
Harris-Interactive 6–9 May 2022 2,406 8–15 60–85 20–35 17–33 – 300–350 – 30–48 – 0–1 52–80 0–2 – 3–7
105–168
OpinionWay-Kéa 5–9 May 2022 3,077 135–165 – 310–350 – 50–70 – – 20–40 – – 5–10
Harris-Interactive 29 Apr–2 May 2022 2,366 5–10 25–45 1–5 20–40 – 338–378 – 35–65 – – 65–95 – – 3–7
70–90 – 336–376 110–140 – 3–7
Harris-Interactive 24–25 Apr 2022 2,343 5–10 25–45 1–5 20–40 – 328–368 – 35–65 – – 75–105 – – 3–7
73–93 – 326–366 117–147 – 3–7
2017 election 18 Jun 2017 – 10 17 1 30 11 350 – 130 6 1 8 – 1 5 3

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ DLF, LP, and EXD are included together.
  2. ^ EXD is included.
  3. ^ DLF, LP, and EXD are included together.
[edit]
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_for_the_2022_French_legislative_election&oldid=1229927398"