Opinion polling for the 2015 French regional elections
This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2015 French regional elections, which were held in two rounds on 6 and 13 December 2015.
Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.
National
[edit]First round
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | EXG | PCF | PCF-PG-EELV | EELV | PS-PRG | DVG | ECO | MoDem | UDI | LR-UDI-MoDem | DVD | DLF | FN | UPR | DIV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 6 Dec 2015 | – | 50.09% | 1.54% | 4.06% | 2.80% | 3.83% | 23.43% | 1.85% | 0.59% | 0.39% | 0.01% | 26.84% | 0.66% | 3.81% | 27.73% | (DIV) | 2.46% |
Odoxa | 3 Dec 2015 | 945 | – | 2% | 7% | 4.5% | 22% | – | – | 29% | – | 2.5% | 30% | 1% | 2% | |||
Harris Interactive | 1–3 Dec 2015 | 1,015 | – | 1% | 5% | 6% | 24% | 2% | – | 27% | – | 4% | 28% | 1% | 2% | |||
Ifop-Fiducial | 1–3 Dec 2015 | 1,105 | 51% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 23% | 1% | 28% | 1% | 3.5% | 28.5% | 1% | 2% | |||
Elabe | 1–2 Dec 2015 | 968 | 50% | 1% | 5% | 6.5% | 23% | 1% | – | 28% | 0.5% | 3% | 28.5% | – | 3.5% | |||
Ipsos | 29 Nov–2 Dec 2015 | 8,053 | 51% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 23% | 1% | – | 28.5% | 0.5% | 3.5% | 29.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | |||
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 23,061 | 52% | 1% | 4.5% | 6% | 22% | 1% | – | 29% | 0.5% | 3.5% | 30% | 1% | 1.5% | |||
Harris Interactive | 24–26 Nov 2015 | 1,005 | – | 1% | 6% | 6% | 24% | 1% | – | 27% | – | 5% | 28% | 1% | 1% | |||
Ifop | 23–25 Nov 2015 | 926 | 54% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 28% | 1% | 3% | 28% | 1% | 2% | |||
Ipsos | 21–24 Nov 2015 | 939 | 55% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 22% | 1.5% | – | 29% | 0.5% | 3% | 30% | 1% | 1% | |||
TNS Sofres | 20–23 Nov 2015 | 1,522 | – | 1.5% | 4% | 7% | 22% | 2% | – | 27% | 0.5% | 4% | 29% | 1% | 2% | |||
OpinionWay | 18–19 Nov 2015 | 984 | 51% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 22% | – | – | 28% | – | 4% | 30% | – | 2% | |||
Harris Interactive | 17–19 Nov 2015 | 1,011 | – | 2% | 5% | 7% | 26% | 1% | – | 25% | – | 5% | 27% | 1% | 1% | |||
OpinionWay | 13 Nov 2015 | – | – | 1% | 4% | 8% | 22% | – | – | 30% | – | 4% | 28% | – | 3% | |||
Ipsos | 30 Oct–2 Nov 2015 | 936 | 60% | 1.5% | 5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 20% | 1% | – | 1% | 32% | – | 4% | 26% | – | 2.5% | |
TNS Sofres | 13–23 Oct 2015 | 2,200 | – | 1% | 6% | 8% | 21% | 1% | 2% | 27% | – | 3% | 28% | 2% | 1% | |||
Ifop | 12–16 Oct 2015 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | – | 31% | – | – | 26% | – | – | ||
Elabe | 13–14 Oct 2015 | 972 | 60% | 0.5% | 5% | 8.5% | 23% | 1.5% | – | 0.5% | 30% | – | 3% | 26% | – | 2% | ||
OpinionWay | 7–9 Oct 2015 | 993 | 55% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 23% | – | – | 31% | – | 2% | 28% | – | 3% | ||
Odoxa | 24–25 Sep 2015 | 929 | – | 2% | 7% | 3% | 23% | – | – | 35% | – | 3% | 26% | – | 1% | |||
Elabe | 22–23 Sep 2015 | 986 | 57% | 1.5% | 6% | 8.5% | 22.5% | 1.5% | – | 1.5% | 27% | – | 3% | 26% | – | 2.5% | ||
Harris Interactive | 29 Mar 2015 | 4,286 | – | 1% | 7% | 7% | 20% | – | – | 5% | 7% | 25% | – | 2% | 22% | – | 4% | |
2010 election | 21 Mar 2010 | – | 53.67% | 3.40% | 5.84% | – | 12.18% | 29.13% | 3.06% | – | 4.20% | – | 26.02% | 1.24% | – | 11.42% | – | 3.52% |
Second round
[edit]Second round configurations were tested across all regions in France. In two regions, Nord-Pas-de-Calais-Picardie and Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur, the left-wing list withdrew after the first round to block the National Front from winning control.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | PS-PRG-EELV-PCF-PG | LR-UDI-MoDem | FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 13 Dec 2015 | – | 41.59% | 32.12% | 40.24% | 27.10% |
Harris Interactive | 6 Dec 2015 | 1,029 | – | 34% | 35% | 31% |
Odoxa | 6 Dec 2015 | 2,193 | – | 34% | 35% | 31% |
– | 59% | 41% | ||||
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 23,061 | – | 34% | 36% | 30% |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 10,842 | – | 33% | 36% | 31% |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 12,408 | – | 36% | 36% | 28% |
2010 election | 14 Mar 2010 | – | 48.79% | 54.06% | 36.22% | 9.17% |
Alsace-Champagne-Ardenne-Lorraine
[edit]First round
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Wostyn LO |
Peron PCF-PG–MRC |
Bélier EELV–PRG |
Masseret PS |
Richert LR–UDI–MoDem |
Jacobelli DLF |
Wentzel UPR |
Trouillet UL–PM–PL–AEI |
Philippot FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 6 Dec 2015 | – | 52.09% | 1.48% | 3.22% | 6.70% | 16.11% | 25.83% | 4.78% | 1.08% | 4.73% | 36.07% |
Elabe | 26–30 Nov 2015 | 922 | 55% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 20% | 28% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 34% |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 2,218 | 52% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 16% | 29% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 35% |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 1,203 | – | 1% | 4% | 4% | 17% | 34% | 2.5% | 1% | 3.5% | 33% |
Odoxa | 2–5 Nov 2015 | 1,001 | – | 1% | 6.5% | 6% | 19% | 30% | 2.5% | 1% | 2% | 32% |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 1,189 | – | 1% | 7% | 6% | 19% | 31% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 3% | 30% |
Second round
[edit]After Jean-Pierre Masseret refused to withdraw his list in the second round, PS spokeswoman Corinne Narassiguin announced on 7 December that Masseret would "not have the socialist label" in the second round.[1]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Masseret PS |
Richert LR–UDI– MoDem |
Philippot FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 13 Dec 2015 | – | 40.98% | 15.51% | 48.40% | 36.08% |
Elabe | 8–10 Dec 2015 | 920 | – | 16% | 43% | 41% |
Elabe | 26–30 Nov 2015 | 922 | – | 30% | 34.5% | 35.5% |
– | 56% | 44% | ||||
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 2,218 | – | 28% | 35% | 37% |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 1,203 | – | 26% | 39% | 35% |
Odoxa | 2–5 Nov 2015 | 1,001 | – | 28% | 37% | 35% |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 1,189 | – | 30% | 37% | 33% |
Aquitaine-Limousin-Poitou-Charentes
[edit]First round
[edit]The October 2015 BVA poll described the list led by Olivier Dartigolles as one of the French Communist Party, and the June 2015 Ifop poll offered the options of an extreme left, Left Front, and National Front lists without naming a list leader, and also described Samuel Morillon as the list leader for Debout la France.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Perchet LO |
Dartigolles PCF-PG |
Coutant EELV |
Rousset PS–PRG |
Boussion DVG |
Pereira ND |
Daniel FD |
Camels LR–UDI-MoDem |
Setze DLF |
Douet UPR |
Colombier FN |
Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 6 Dec 2015 | – | 49.03% | 1.41% | 4.85% | 5.60% | 30.39% | 1.85% | 1.21% | – | 27.19% | 3.35% | 0.92% | 23.23% | – |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 2,098 | 51% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 27% | 0.5% | 1% | – | 29% | 2.5% | 1% | 26% | – |
Ifop | 20–24 Nov 2015 | 901 | – | 0.5% | 6.5% | 6% | 28% | 1.5% | 2% | – | 28% | 2% | 0.5% | 25% | – |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 1,212 | – | 1% | 7% | 6% | 26% | 0.5% | 3% | – | 32% | 1.5% | 1% | 22% | – |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 1,200 | – | 1% | 5% | 5% | 36% | – | – | 1% | 30% | 2% | – | 20% | – |
Ifop | 5–6 Jun 2015 | 1,303 | – | 2% | 8% | 9% | 30% | – | – | – | 29% | 2% | – | 19% | 1% |
Second round
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Rousset PS–PRG–EELV–PCF-PG |
Camels LR–UDI–MoDem |
Colombier FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 13 Dec 2015 | – | 42.22% | 44.27% | 34.06% | 21.67% |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 2,098 | – | 39% | 35% | 26% |
Ifop | 20–24 Nov 2015 | 901 | – | 39% | 35% | 26% |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 1,212 | – | 39% | 37% | 24% |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 1,200 | – | 46% | 33% | 21% |
Ifop | 5–6 Jun 2015 | 1,303 | – | 49% | 33% | 18% |
Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes
[edit]First round
[edit]The January 2015 Ifop poll did not specify list leaders, only parties, and mentioned an "extreme-left" list without reference to Lutte Ouvrière.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Gomez LO |
Cukierman PCF–MRC |
Kohlhaas EELV–PG |
Queyranne PS–PRG |
MoDem | Wauquiez LR–UDI–MoDem |
Lafond NC |
Rambaud DLF |
Fédèle UPR |
Boudot FN |
Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 6 Dec 2015 | – | 51.09% | 1.25% | 5.39% | 6.90% | 23.93% | – | 31.73% | 1.56% | 2.85% | 0.87% | 25.52% | – |
Ifop-Fiducial | 1–4 Dec 2015 | 900 | – | 1% | 5% | 7.5% | 24% | – | 31% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 27% | – |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 2,977 | 54% | 1.5% | 4.5% | 6% | 23% | – | 32% | 1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 29% | – |
Ifop | 19–23 Nov 2015 | 822 | 54% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 25% | – | 32% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 25% | – |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 931 | – | 1% | 6% | 7% | 21% | – | 32% | 2.5% | 3% | 0.5% | 27% | – |
Elabe | 18–21 Nov 2015 | 904 | 55% | 1.5% | 3% | 7.5% | 27% | – | 30% | 1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 26% | – |
OpinionWay | 17–19 Nov 2015 | 805 | 53% | 1% | 6% | 6% | 25% | – | 30% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 28% | – |
Ifop-Fiducial | 27–30 Oct 2015 | 908 | – | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | – | 32% | – | 2.5% | 0.5% | 24% | – |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 900 | – | 2% | 7% | 8.5% | 24% | – | 35% | – | 2% | – | 21.5% | – |
Ifop-Fiducial | 10–15 Sep 2015 | 903 | – | 1% | 4% | 10% | 26% | – | 35% | – | 1.5% | 0.5% | 22% | – |
BVA | 28 Aug–1 Sep 2015 | 823 | – | 0.5% | 3% | 15% | 23% | 7% | 30% | – | 2.5% | – | 19% | – |
1% | – | 17% | 25.5% | – | 34.5% | – | 3% | – | 19% | – | ||||
Ifop | 23–27 Jan 2015 | 1,008 | – | 2% | 2% | 17% | 17% | 7% | 30% | – | – | – | 23% | 2% |
Second round
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Kohlhaas EELV–PG–ND |
Queyranne PS–PRG–EELV–PG–PCF–MRC |
Wauquiez LR–UDI–MoDem |
Boudot FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 13 Dec 2015 | – | 42.32% | – | 36.84% | 40.62% | 22.55% |
Ifop | 8–10 Dec 2015 | 1,088 | – | – | 37% | 38% | 25% |
Ifop-Fiducial | 1–4 Dec 2015 | 900 | – | – | 35% | 36% | 29% |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 2,977 | – | – | 36% | 37% | 27% |
Ifop | 19–23 Nov 2015 | 822 | – | – | 37% | 37% | 26% |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 931 | – | – | 36% | 36% | 28% |
Elabe | 18–21 Nov 2015 | 904 | – | – | 37% | 37% | 26% |
OpinionWay | 17–19 Nov 2015 | 805 | – | – | 36% | 37% | 27% |
Ifop-Fiducial | 27–30 Oct 2015 | 908 | – | – | 37% | 37% | 26% |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 900 | – | – | 37% | 40% | 23% |
Ifop-Fiducial | 10–15 Sep 2015 | 903 | – | – | 37% | 39% | 24% |
BVA | 28 Aug–1 Sep 2015 | 823 | – | – | 38% | 40% | 22% |
18% | 25% | 36% | 21% |
Bourgogne-Franche-Comté
[edit]First round
[edit]The June 2015 Ifop poll was conducted for Alain Joyandet and featured Joyandet leading a list for The Republicans (LR) separate from a Union of Democrats and Independents (UDI) list led by François Sauvadet without naming a Left Front list leader, whereas the June 2015 BVA poll was conducted for Sauvadet and featured a unified LR–UDI list.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Rocher LO |
Vermorel PCF-PG–MRC |
Prudhomme EELV |
Dufay PS–PRG |
Gonzalez AEI |
Grudler MoDem |
Sauvadet UDI-LR |
Joyandet LR–UDI |
Thiébaut DLF |
Gallois UPR |
Montel FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 6 Dec 2015 | – | 49.44% | 1.51% | 4.62% | 3.92% | 22.99% | 2.14% | 3.26% | 24.00% | – | 5.17% | 0.92% | 31.48% |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 1,084 | 53% | 2% | 7.5% | 3% | 22% | 0.5% | 4.5% | 24% | – | 4% | 0.5% | 32% |
Ifop | 20–24 Nov 2015 | 748 | 50% | 1.5% | 8.5% | 7% | 19% | 0.5% | 3.5% | 26% | – | 3% | 1.5% | 30% |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 797 | – | 2% | 8% | 3% | 20% | 0.5% | 5% | 27% | – | 2% | 0.5% | 32% |
BVA | 6–14 Oct 2015 | 803 | – | 2% | 8% | 5% | 19% | – | 6% | 31% | – | 3% | 0% | 26% |
Ifop | 5–8 Jun 2015 | 807 | – | – | 7% | 6% | 23% | – | 4% | 10% (UDI) | 25% (LR) | 2% | – | 23% |
BVA | 3–8 Jun 2015 | 937 | – | – | 10% | 5% | 24% | – | – | 34% | – | – | – | 25% |
– | 10% | 5% | 24% | – | – | – | 33% | – | – | 25% |
Second round
[edit]The November 2015 Ifop poll considered three scenarios: one in which the Democratic Movement (MoDem) did not secure enough support to be present in the second round, one in which it allied with the left, and one in which it allied with the right.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Dufay PS–PRG–PCF-PG–MRC–EELV |
Sauvadet UDI-LR |
Joyandet LR–UDI– MoDem |
Montel FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 13 Dec 2015 | – | 38.85% | 34.67% | 32.89% | – | 32.44% |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 1,084 | – | 35% | 33% | – | 32% |
Ifop | 20–24 Nov 2015 | 748 | – | 35.5% | 34.5% | – | 30% |
36% (MoDem) | 34% | – | 30% | ||||
35% | 36% (MoDem) | – | 29% | ||||
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 797 | – | 30% | 35% | – | 35% |
BVA | 6–14 Oct 2015 | 803 | – | 34% | 36% | – | 30% |
Ifop | 5–8 Jun 2015 | 807 | – | 39% | – | 40% | 21% |
BVA | 3–8 Jun 2015 | 937 | – | 38% | 35% | – | 27% |
39% | – | 34% | 27% |
Brittany
[edit]First round
[edit]The October 2015 BVA poll tested a Left Front list led jointly by Xavier Compain and Sylvie Larue.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | RCB | Hamon LO |
Roblin NPA |
Compain PCF-PG |
Louail EELV |
Le Drian PS–PRG |
Le Fur LR–UDI–MoDem |
Foucher DLF |
Gourvenec UPR |
Pennelle FN |
Troadec MBP–UDB |
Deléon PB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 6 Dec 2015 | – | 48.42% | – | 1.37% | 0.62% | 3.74% | 6.70% | 34.92% | 23.46% | 2.90% | 0.87% | 18.17% | 6.71% | 0.54% |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 1,418 | 52% | – | 1.5% | 1.5% | 6% | 5% | 29% | 24% | 2% | 1% | 22% | 7% | 1% |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 838 | – | – | 1% | 1.5% | 4.5% | 6% | 29% | 29% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 20% | 6% | 1% |
Ifop-Fiducial | 13–15 Oct 2015 | 979 | – | – | 0.5% | – | 6.5% | 7.5% | 32% | 27% | 2% | 0.5% | 16% | 8% | – |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 806 | – | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 26% | 30% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 16% | 9% | 1% |
Second round
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Le Drian PS–PRG |
Le Fur LR–UDI–MoDem |
Pennelle FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 13 Dec 2015 | – | 43.12% | 51.41% | 29.72% | 18.87% |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 1,418 | – | 45% | 33% | 22% |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 838 | – | 42% | 35% | 23% |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 806 | – | 46% | 36% | 18% |
Ifop-Fiducial | 13–15 Oct 2015 | 979 | – | 46% | 36% | 18% |
Centre-Val de Loire
[edit]First round
[edit]The September 2015 Ifop poll tested three scenarios: one in which Nicolas Sansu and Charles Fournier presented separate lists for the Left Front and Europe Ecology – The Greens, respectively, and two other scenarios in which Sansu and Fournier led a unified list. The May 2015 OpinionWay poll described Marc Brynhole as leader of the Left Front list, and considered separate lists for the Union of Democrats and Independents led by Philippe Vigier and for the Union for a Popular Movement (UMP), later The Republicans, led by Guillaume Peltier.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Megdoud LO |
Sansu PCF-PG |
Fournier EELV |
Bonneau PS–PRG |
Le Moine FD |
Fesneau MoDem |
Vigier UDI–LR–MoDem |
Peltier LR |
Penloup DLF |
Fouquiau UPR |
Loiseau FN |
Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 6 Dec 2015 | – | 50.46% | 1.70% | 4.59% | 6.60% | 24.31% | – | – | 26.25% | – | 4.58% | 1.48% | 30.48% | – |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 1,119 | 53% | 1% | 8% | 4% | 22% | – | – | 29% | – | 3.5% | 1.5% | 31% | – |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 794 | – | 1% | 9% | 5.5% | 20% | – | – | 34% | – | 3% | 0.5% | 27% | – |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 800 | – | 1% | 9% | 4% | 22% | 2% | – | 33% | – | 4% | 1% | 24% | – |
Ifop | 23–25 Sep 2015 | 720 | – | – | 9% | 7% | 22% | – | – | 35% | – | 4% | – | 23% | – |
– | 15% (Sansu) | 23% | – | – | 35% | – | 4% | – | 23% | – | |||||
– | 15% (Fournier) | 23% | – | – | 34% | – | 4% | – | 24% | – | |||||
OpinionWay | 12–13 May 2015 | 963 | – | – | 8% | 5% | 22% | – | 7% | 7% (UDI) | 24% | – | – | 25% | 2% |
Second round
[edit]The May 2015 OpinionWay poll tested Guillaume Peltier as the leader of the list of the right in the second round.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Bonneau PS–PRG-EELV |
Vigier UDI–LR–MoDem |
Loiseau FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 13 Dec 2015 | – | 40.78% | 35.42% | 34.58% | 30.00% |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 1,119 | – | 34% | 36% | 30% |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 794 | – | 30% | 39% | 31% |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 800 | – | 33% | 40% | 27% |
Ifop | 23–25 Sep 2015 | 720 | – | 36% | 40% | 24% |
OpinionWay | 12–13 May 2015 | 963 | – | 35% | 38% | 27% |
43% | 57% | – |
Corsica
[edit]First round
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Bucchini PCF-PG |
De Gentili PS |
Orsucci CSD |
Giacobbi DVG |
Zuccarelli PRG |
Talamoni CL |
Benedetti Rinnovu |
Simeoni FC |
Rossi LR–UDI-CCB |
De Rocca Serra LR |
Santoni DLF |
Canioni FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 6 Dec 2015 | – | 40.34% | 5.56% | 3.25% | 4.13% | 18.42% | 3.15% | 7.73% | 2.58% | 17.62% | 13.17% | 12.70% | 1.12% | 10.58% |
OpinionWay | 24–28 Nov 2015 | 801 | 40% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 13% | 4% | 8% | 1% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 1% | 11% |
OpinionWay | 27–30 Oct 2015 | 805 | 43% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 12% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 18% | 12% | 16% | 1% | 12% |
Île-de-France
[edit]First round
[edit]The October 2015 BVA poll tested both a French Communist Party list led by Pierre Laurent and a Left Party list led by Éric Coquerel. The BVA poll conducted from 22 to 24 September 2015 was conducted for the Socialist Party (PS), while the BVA survey fielded between 1 and 3 September 2015 was commissioned by Europe Ecology – The Greens (EELV). The June 2015 Ifop poll tested a list led by Chantal Jouanno for the Union of Democrats and Independents (UDI) and specified an "extreme-left" list without naming a party or leader. The April 2015 Harris Interactive poll was conducted for the PS, and tested a joint Lutte Ouvrière and New Anticapitalist Party list led by Olivier Besancenot. The Ifop poll conducted from 31 March to 4 April 2015 tested two sets of scenarios: two with a divided right and centre, and the other two with the right and centre united behind Valérie Pécresse; it also tested only an "extreme-left" list without specifying a party or leader. The November 2014 Ifop poll did not specify "extreme-left", Left Front, or National Front list leaders, and proposed a joint list between the Democratic Movement (MoDem) and the UDI led by Jean-Christophe Lagarde as well as a unified list with Pécresse.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Arthaud LO |
Laurent PCF-PG |
Coquerel PG |
Cosse EELV–Cap21 |
Bartolone PS–PRG |
Huchon PS–PRG |
De la Gontrie PS–PRG |
Pereira FD |
Wehrling MoDem |
Jouanno UDI |
Pécresse LR–UDI–MoDem |
Sachs NC |
Véron PLD |
Dupont-Aignan DLF |
Asselineau UPR |
De Saint-Just FN |
Horsfall UC |
De Smet FLUO |
Bourchada UDMF |
Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 6 Dec 2015 | – | 54.10% | 1.40% | 6.63% | – | 8.03% | 25.19% | – | – | – | – | – | 30.51% | 0.63% | 0.76% | 6.57% | 0.94% | 18.41% | 0.23% | 0.30% | 0.40% | – |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 4,055 | 55% | 1% | 8% | – | 6% | 23% | – | – | – | – | – | 32% | 1% | 0.5% | 5.5% | 0.5% | 21% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | – |
Ifop | 24–26 Nov 2015 | 898 | – | 1% | 7% | – | 7.5% | 23% | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 5.5% | 1% | 21% | <0.5% | <0.5% | <0.5% | – |
Elabe | 20–25 Nov 2015 | 913 | 55% | 1% | 7.5% | – | 7.5% | 23% | – | – | – | – | – | 30% | 1% | 0.5% | 6% | 0.5% | 21% | 0.5% | 1% | 0.5% | – |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 800 | – | 0.5% | 7% | – | 7% | 23% | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | 0.5% | <0.5% | 5% | 0.5% | 22% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | – |
Ipsos | 19–21 Nov 2015 | 815 | 59% | 1% | 7.5% | – | 6% | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | 1% | 0.5% | 5% | 1.5% | 22% | 0.5% | <0.5% | <0.5% | – |
Odoxa | 19–21 Nov 2015 | 1,000 | – | 2% | 8% | – | 6% | 23% | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | – | 4% | – | 23% | – | – | – | 1% |
Ipsos | 10–13 Nov 2015 | 1,000 | 60% | 1% | 8.5% | – | 7% | 21% | – | – | – | – | – | 34% | 1% | 0.5% | 5% | 1% | 20% | 0.5% | 0.5% | <0.5% | – |
Ifop-Fiducial | 3–6 Nov 2015 | 902 | – | 1.5% | 7.5% | – | 9% | 25% | – | – | – | – | – | 32% | – | – | 6% | 0.5% | 18.5% | – | – | – | – |
OpinionWay | 3–6 Nov 2015 | 801 | 55% | 2% | 7% | – | 7% | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | <1% | 5% | 1% | 21% | – | – | <1% | – |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 802 | – | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 23% | – | – | 1% | – | – | 35% | – | <0.5% | 8% | – | 17% | – | – | – | – |
Odoxa | 29 Sep–2 Oct 2015 | 1,000 | – | 1% | 8% | – | 6% | 24% | – | – | – | – | – | 34% | – | – | 7% | – | 20% | – | – | – | – |
Ifop | 23–25 Sep 2015 | 903 | – | 1% | 9.5% | – | 7.5% | 24% | – | – | – | – | – | 32% | – | – | 7% | 1% | 18% | – | – | – | – |
BVA | 22–24 Sep 2015 | 901 | – | 2% | 7% | – | 9% | 25% | – | – | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | 8% | – | 18% | – | – | – | – |
BVA | 1–3 Sep 2015 | 878 | – | 2% | 8% | – | 10% | 24% | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | – | 8% | – | 15% | – | – | – | – |
Ifop | 3–5 Jun 2015 | 900 | – | 2% | 7% | – | 10% | 24% | – | – | – | – | 8% | 28% | – | – | 5% | – | 16% | – | – | – | – |
Harris Interactive | 10–14 Apr 2015 | 900 | – | 2% | 6% | – | 8% | – | 21% | – | – | 5% | 10% | 25% | – | – | 4% | – | 19% | – | – | – | – |
2% | 7% | – | 9% | – | – | 18% | – | 6% | 10% | 25% | – | – | 6% | – | 17% | – | – | – | – | ||||
Ifop-Fiducial | 31 Mar–4 Apr 2015 | 930 | – | 2% | 8% | – | 8% | – | 22% | – | – | 5% | 6% | 26% | – | – | 5% | – | 18% | – | – | – | – |
2% | 10% | – | 8% | – | – | 20% | – | 5% | 6% | 26% | – | – | 5% | – | 18% | – | – | – | – | ||||
2% | 8% | – | 9% | – | 23% | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | – | 6% | – | 19% | – | – | – | – | ||||
2% | 9% | – | 9% | – | – | 22% | – | – | – | 33% | – | – | 6% | – | 19% | – | – | – | – | ||||
Ifop | 30 Jan–2 Feb 2015 | 911 | – | – | – | – | 9% | – | 21% | – | – | – | 12% | 23% | – | – | 6% | – | 19% | – | – | – | – |
– | – | – | 10% | – | – | 20% | – | – | 12% | 23% | – | – | 6% | – | 19% | – | – | – | – | ||||
Ifop | 21–26 Nov 2014 | 1,710 | – | 1.5% | 7.5% | – | 11% | – | 21% | – | – | 12% (Lagarde) | 23% | – | – | 6% | – | 18% | – | – | – | – | |
2% | 7.5% | – | 13% | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | 30% | – | – | 6.5% | – | 19% | – | – | – | – |
Second round
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Bartolone PS–PRG–EELV–PCF-PG |
Huchon PS–PRG–EELV-PCF-PG |
De La Gontrie PS–PRG–EELV–PCF-PG |
Pécresse LR–UDI– MoDem |
De Saint-Just FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 13 Dec 2015 | – | 45.54% | 42.18% | – | – | 43.80% | 14.02% |
Ifop-Fiducial | 8–10 Dec 2015 | 1,055 | – | 40% | – | – | 42% | 18% |
Elabe | 7–9 Dec 2015 | 905 | – | 41.5% | – | – | 41% | 17.5% |
Odoxa | 6–7 Dec 2015 | 1,200 | – | 40% | – | – | 42% | 18% |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 4,055 | – | 38% | – | – | 40% | 22% |
Ifop | 24–26 Nov 2015 | 898 | – | 37% | – | – | 39% | 24% |
Elabe | 20–25 Nov 2015 | 913 | – | 37% | – | – | 39% | 24% |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 800 | – | 36% | – | – | 41% | 23% |
Ipsos | 19–21 Nov 2015 | 815 | – | 36% | – | – | 40% | 24% |
Odoxa | 19–21 Nov 2015 | 1,000 | – | 35% | – | – | 40% | 25% |
Ipsos | 10–13 Nov 2015 | 1,000 | – | 37% | – | – | 41% | 22% |
Ifop-Fiducial | 3–6 Nov 2015 | 902 | – | 38% | – | – | 39% | 23% |
OpinionWay | 3–6 Nov 2015 | 801 | – | 35% | – | – | 42% | 23% |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 802 | – | 39% | – | – | 41% | 20% |
Odoxa | 29 Sep–2 Oct 2015 | 1,000 | – | 38% | – | – | 41% | 21% |
Ifop | 23–25 Sep 2015 | 903 | – | 39% | – | – | 40% | 21% |
BVA | 22–24 Sep 2015 | 901 | – | 41% | – | – | 39% | 20% |
BVA | 1–3 Sep 2015 | 878 | – | 41% | – | – | 41% | 18% |
Ifop | 3–5 Jun 2015 | 900 | – | 41% | – | – | 41% | 18% |
Ifop-Fiducial | 31 Mar–4 Apr 2015 | 930 | – | – | 39% | – | 41% | 20% |
– | – | 39% | 41% | 20% | ||||
Ifop | 21–26 Nov 2014 | 1,710 | – | – | 38% | – | 41% | 21% |
Languedoc-Roussillon-Midi-Pyrénées
[edit]First round
[edit]The December and September 2015 OpinionWay polls were conducted for Europe Ecology – The Greens (EELV). The July 2015 PollingVox survey proposed a list of Europe Ecology – The Greens and the Left Party led by Gérard Onesta, a list of the Socialist Party and French Communist Party led by Carole Delga, a miscellaneous left list led by Philippe Saurel supported by the Radical Party of the Left, and a list led by Louis Aliot under the banner of the Rassemblement bleu Marine. The Ifop poll conducted from 30 June to 2 July 2015 proposed separate lists for the Left Front led by Guilhem Sérieys and for the EELV led by Onesta.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Torremocha LO |
Sérieys PCF-PG |
Onesta EELV–PCF-PG–POC |
Delga PS–PRG–MRC |
Saurel DVG |
Fabre ND |
Cavard UDE–Cap21 |
Canzian AEI–CDC |
Rochefort MoDem |
Reynié LR–UDI–MoDem |
Lempereur DLF |
Hirimiris UPR |
Aliot FN |
Martinez FFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 6 Dec 2015 | – | 47.73% | 1.81% | – | 10.26% | 24.41% | 5.00% | 0.83% | 1.70% | – | – | 18.84% | 3.91% | 0.71% | 31.83% | 0.69% |
OpinionWay | 1–2 Dec 2015 | 1,029 | – | <1% | – | 13% | 20% | 5% | 2% | <1% | – | – | 22% | 4% | 1% | 32% | 1% |
Ifop | 28 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | 905 | – | 1% | – | 9.5% | 20% | 6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | – | – | 23.5% | 3.5% | 1% | 31% | 0.5% |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 2,079 | 50% | 1% | – | 11% | 23% | 4% | 2% | 0.5% | – | – | 20% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 34% | 0.5% |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 1,015 | – | 0.5% | – | 14% | 19% | 6% | 1% | 2% | – | – | 22% | 3% | 0.5% | 32% | <0.5% |
Ipsos | 19–21 Nov 2015 | 810 | 53% | 1% | – | 11% | 23% | 5% | 2% | 0.5% | – | – | 21% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 32% | 0.5% |
Ifop-Fiducial | 10–13 Nov 2015 | 899 | – | 0.5% | – | 12% | 21% | 6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | – | 22.5% | 2.5% | 1% | 29% | 1% |
Ipsos | 10–13 Nov 2015 | 1,001 | 52% | 2% | – | 10% | 24% | 5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | – | – | 21% | 3.5% | 1% | 31% | 0.5% |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 1,000 | – | 1% | – | 11% | 19% | 6% | 3% | 3% | – | 5% | 20% | 2% | 1% | 29% | – |
Ifop | 8–12 Oct 2015 | 923 | – | 0.5% | – | 11% | 20% | 8% | 2% | 2.5% | – | – | 25% | 2% | 1% | 28% | <0.5% |
Ifop | 10–14 Sep 2015 | 916 | – | – | – | 16% | 21% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 26% | 3% | – | 27% | – |
OpinionWay | 3–8 Sep 2015 | 1,090 | 46% | – | – | 16% | 22% | 8% | – | – | – | – | 24% | 3% | – | 27% | – |
PollingVox | 3–5 Jul 2015 | 818 | – | – | – | 14% | 19% | 11% | – | – | – | – | 25% | 4% | – | 27% | – |
Ifop | 30 Jun–2 Jul 2015 | 917 | – | – | 9% | 7% | 22% | 9% | – | – | – | – | 23% | 2% | – | 27% | 1% |
Second round
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Onesta EELV–PCF-PG–POC–PS–PRG–MRC |
Delga PS–PRG–MRC–EELV–PCF-PG–POC |
Saurel DVG |
Reynié LR–UDI–MoDem |
Aliot FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 13 Dec 2015 | – | 37.98% | – | 44.81% | – | 21.32% | 33.87% |
Ifop | 8–10 Dec 2015 | 1,086 | – | – | 43% | – | 22% | 35% |
OpinionWay | 1–2 Dec 2015 | 1,029 | – | – | 38% | – | 29% | 33% |
37% | – | – | 30% | 33% | ||||
Ifop | 28 Nov–1 Dec 2015 | 905 | – | – | 37% | – | 29% | 34% |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 2,079 | – | – | 40% | – | 26% | 34% |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 1,015 | – | – | 39% | – | 26% | 35% |
Ipsos | 19–21 Nov 2015 | 810 | – | – | 40% | – | 27% | 33% |
Ifop-Fiducial | 10–13 Nov 2015 | 899 | – | – | 40% | – | 29% | 31% |
Ipsos | 10–13 Nov 2015 | 1,001 | – | – | 41% | – | 28% | 31% |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 1,000 | – | – | 39% | – | 29% | 32% |
Ifop | 8–12 Oct 2015 | 923 | – | – | 38% | – | 32% | 30% |
Ifop | 10–14 Sep 2015 | 916 | – | – | 39% | – | 32% | 29% |
OpinionWay | 3–8 Sep 2015 | 1,090 | 45% | – | 42% | – | 30% | 28% |
45% | 41% | – | – | 31% | 28% | |||
PollingVox | 3–5 Jul 2015 | 818 | – | – | 36% | – | 32% | 32% |
Ifop | 30 Jun–2 Jul 2015 | 917 | – | – | 39% | – | 32% | 29% |
– | 31% | 11% | 29% | 29% |
Nord-Pas-de-Calais-Picardie
[edit]First round
[edit]The October 2015 Harris Interactive poll was conducted for the French Communist Party (PCF), and the October 2015 BVA poll did not specify a list leader for Nous Citoyens. The September 2015 Odoxa poll offered an "extreme-left" list without noting a party or leader, and in one scenario proposed a common list of the Left Front and Europe Ecology – The Greens (EELV) led by Fabien Roussel and Sandrine Rousseau. The September 2015 Ifop poll offered three scenarios: one in which the Left Front was divided between Roussel (supported by the PCF) and Rousseau (supported by EELV, the Left Party, and New Deal), one in which the parties of the Left Front united behind Roussel while Rousseau ran only an EELV list, and one in which the Left Front and EELV joined a single list conducted by Pierre de Saintignon of the Socialist Party (PS). The September 2015 Odoxa poll and June 2015 OpinionWay and Ifop polls each described separate Left Front and EELV lists; the first did not specify the party or leader of an "extreme-left" list, and also proposed a scenario with a united PS–EELV list led by Saintignon. The June 2015 Ifop poll, which was conducted for EELV, did not specify an "extreme-left" list leader or party, and neither did it specify a list leader for the Left Front when not in alliance, in which case Sandrine Rousseau conducted the list. It also tested two unified PS–EELV list scenarios: one in which the list was led by Saintignon, and the other by Rousseau.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Pecqueur LO |
Roussel PCF |
Rousseau EELV–PG–ND |
De Saintignon PS–PRG–MRC |
Vanlerenberghe MoDem |
Bertrand LR–UDI–MoDem–CPNT |
Blondel NC |
Tanguy DLF |
Mascaro UPR |
Le Pen FN |
Gernigon PFE |
Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 6 Dec 2015 | – | 45.19% | 1.75% | 5.32% | 4.83% | 18.12% | – | 24.97% | 1.36% | 2.39% | 0.64% | 40.64% | – | – |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 2,494 | 49% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 6% | 20% | – | 25% | 1.5% | 2% | 0.5% | 40% | – | – |
Ifop-Fiducial | 25–28 Nov 2015 | 941 | – | 1.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 20% | – | 24% | 1% | 2% | 0.5% | 39% | – | – |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 902 | – | 2.5% | 5% | 6% | 17% | – | 24% | 1% | 2% | 0.5% | 42% | – | – |
Ipsos | 19–21 Nov 2015 | 802 | 53% | 2% | 3.5% | 5% | 20% | – | 26% | 1% | 2% | 0.5% | 40% | – | – |
OpinionWay | 17–20 Nov 2015 | 807 | 46% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 20% | – | 26% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 40% | – | – |
Ifop | 10–13 Nov 2015 | 968 | – | 1.5% | 5.5% | 8% | 19% | – | 26% | 1% | 2% | 0.5% | 36.5% | – | – |
Ipsos | 10–13 Nov 2015 | 992 | 55% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 20% | – | 24% | 2% | 3% | <0.5% | 40% | – | – |
Ifop | 20–23 Oct 2015 | 978 | – | 1% | 4% | 9% | 19% | – | 26% | 1.5% | 1.5% | <0.5% | 38% | <0.5% | – |
Harris Interactive | 14–19 Oct 2015 | 1,022 | – | 2% | 9% | 8% | 16% | – | 25% | – | 2% | – | 35% | – | – |
BVA | 6–14 Oct 2015 | 903 | – | 1% | 5% | 8% | 15% | – | 25% | 2% | 2% | – | 42% | – | – |
Odoxa | 15–18 Sep 2015 | 991 | – | 4% | 6% | 4% | 19% | – | 26% | – | 2% | – | 36% | – | 3% |
4% | 9% | 21% | – | 26% | – | 1% | – | 37% | – | 2% | |||||
Ifop | 9–14 Sep 2015 | 924 | – | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | – | 28% | – | 2.5% | – | 34% | 0.5% | – |
2% | 9% (FG) | 5% (EELV) | 17% | – | 28% | – | 3% | – | 35% | 1% | – | ||||
3% | 28% (PS–PRG–FG–EELV) | – | 30% | – | 3% | – | 35% | 1% | – | ||||||
OpinionWay | 25–29 Jun 2015 | 825 | – | 4% | 5% | 8% | 18% | – | 26% | – | 1% | – | 32% | – | 6% |
5% | 6% | 23% (PS–EELV) | – | 26% | – | 1% | – | 33% | – | 6% | |||||
Ifop | 4–8 Jun 2015 | 876 | – | 2% | 7% (FG) | 7% (EELV) | 18% | 5% | 28% | – | 2% | – | 31% | – | – |
3% | 14% (EELV–FG) | 17% | 5% | 28% | – | 2% | – | 31% | – | – | |||||
2% | 7% (FG) | 23% (PS–PRG–EELV) | 5% | 28% | – | 3% | – | 32% | – | – | |||||
2% | 7% (FG) | 23% (EELV–PS–PRG) | 6% | 28% | – | 2% | – | 32% | – | – |
Second round
[edit]The November 2015 BVA poll tested two duels, the second of which specified a scenario in which the PS supported the list of the right.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | De Saintignon PS–PRG–MRC-EELV–PCF-PG |
Bertrand LR–UDI–MoDem–CPNT |
Marine Le Pen FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 13 Dec 2015 | – | 38.76% | – | 57.77% | 42.23% |
BVA | 9–10 Dec 2015 | 908 | – | – | 53% | 47% |
Ifop-Fiducial | 8–10 Dec 2015 | 1,091 | – | – | 54% | 46% |
TNS Sofres | 7–8 Dec 2015 | 805 | – | – | 53% | 47% |
Odoxa | 6–8 Dec 2015 | 1,274 | – | – | 52% | 48% |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 2,494 | – | 30% | 30% | 40% |
Ifop-Fiducial | 25–28 Nov 2015 | 941 | – | – | 50.5% | 49.5% |
30% | 28% | 42% | ||||
48% | – | 52% | ||||
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 902 | – | – | 48% | 52% |
– | 49% (PS) | 51% | ||||
26% | 30% | 44% | ||||
Ipsos | 19–21 Nov 2015 | 802 | – | 29% | 30% | 41% |
OpinionWay | 17–20 Nov 2015 | 807 | – | – | 50% | 50% |
27% | 30% | 43% | ||||
46% | – | 54% | ||||
Ifop | 10–13 Nov 2015 | 968 | – | – | 53% | 47% |
31% | 31% | 38% | ||||
Ipsos | 10–13 Nov 2015 | 992 | – | 30% | 29% | 41% |
Ifop | 20–23 Oct 2015 | 978 | – | 30% | 31% | 39% |
Harris Interactive | 14–19 Oct 2015 | 1,022 | – | 32% | 31% | 37% |
BVA | 6–14 Oct 2015 | 903 | – | – | 48% | 52% |
25% | 29% | 46% | ||||
Odoxa | 15–18 Sep 2015 | 991 | – | 29% | 32% | 39% |
Ifop | 9–14 Sep 2015 | 924 | – | 32% | 33% | 35% |
OpinionWay | 25–29 Jun 2015 | 825 | – | 31% | 32% | 37% |
Normandy
[edit]First round
[edit]The February 2015 OpinionWay poll was commissioned by Debout la France, and did not specify a list leader for the Left Front or an "extreme-left" list (for which no party was specified).
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Le Manach LO |
Jumel PCF-PG |
Soubien EELV |
Mayer-Rossignol PS–PRG |
Lecoeur ND |
Morin UDI–LR–MoDem |
Calbrix DLF |
Loutre UPR |
Bay FN |
Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 6 Dec 2015 | – | 50.05% | 1.83% | 7.04% | 6.14% | 23.52% | 0.78% | 27.91% | 4.14% | 0.93% | 27.71% | – |
Ifop | 2–3 Dec 2015 | 788 | – | – | 7.5% | 6.5% | 19% | – | 31% | – | – | 29% | – |
Odoxa | 27–30 Nov 2015 | 980 | – | 1% | 7% | 5% | 23% | 2% | 28% | 2% | 2% | 30% | – |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 1,222 | 52% | 0.5% | 7% | 5% | 20.5% | 2% | 31% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 31% | – |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 810 | – | 1% | 9% | 5% | 21% | 1% | 31% | 2% | <0.5% | 30% | – |
BVA | 6–14 Oct 2015 | 800 | – | 1% | 9% | 7% | 23% | – | 32% | 1% | 0% | 27% | – |
OpinionWay | Feb 2015 | 1,005 | – | 2% | 6% | 9% | 22% | – | 29% | 5% | – | 22% | 5% |
Second round
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Mayer-Rossignol PS–PRG–EELV-PCF-PG |
Morin UDI–LR–MoDem |
Bay FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 13 Dec 2015 | – | 40.92% | 36.08% | 36.42% | 27.50% |
Ifop | 2–3 Dec 2015 | 788 | – | 34% | 37% | 29% |
BVA | 8–10 Dec 2015 | 776 | – | 36% | 36% | 28% |
Odoxa | 27–30 Nov 2015 | 980 | – | 35% | 34% | 31% |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 1,222 | – | 34% | 35% | 31% |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 810 | – | 34% | 33% | 33% |
BVA | 6–14 Oct 2015 | 800 | – | 34% | 36% | 30% |
Pays de la Loire
[edit]First round
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Le Beller LO |
Terrien EXG |
Pagano PCF–MRC |
Bringuy EELV |
Clergeau PS–PRG |
Le Gal La Salle MEI |
Retailleau LR–UDI–MoDem |
Bayle DLF |
Parisot UPR |
Gannat FN |
Denigot UDB–MBP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 6 Dec 2015 | – | 50.03% | 1.47% | 0.17% | 3.33% | 7.82% | 25.75% | – | 33.49% | 4.09% | 1.26% | 21.35% | 1.27% |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 1,642 | 55% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 2% | 6% | 27% | – | 32% | 4% | 1% | 25% | 1.5% |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 795 | – | 0.5% | 0.5% | 4% | 6% | 24% | – | 38% | 1.5% | <0.5% | 23% | 2.5% |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 800 | – | 1% | – | 6% | 7% | 23% | 5% | 36% | 2% | – | 16% | 4% |
Second round
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Clergeau PS–PRG-EELV–PCF–MRC |
Retailleau LR–UDI–MoDem |
Gannat FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 13 Dec 2015 | – | 42.75% | 37.56% | 42.70% | 19.74% |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 1,642 | – | 37% | 39% | 24% |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 795 | – | 34% | 42% | 24% |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 800 | – | 37% | 45% | 18% |
Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur
[edit]First round
[edit]The October 2015 BVA poll also named Jean-Marc Coppola as a list leader for the joint Europe Ecology – The Greens (EELV) and Left Front list alongside Sophie Camard, while the June 2015 proposed two separate lists, a Left Front list led by Coppola and an EELV list led by Camard, without naming list leaders for "extreme-left", Democratic Movement (MoDem), or Debout la France lists.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Bonnet LO |
Coppola PCF-PG |
Camard EELV–PCF-PG |
Castaner PS–PRG–MRC |
Jarny ND |
Governatori AEI |
MoDem | Estrosi LR–UDI–MoDem |
Chuisano DLF |
Romani UPR |
Maréchal-Le Pen FN |
Bompard LS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 6 Dec 2015 | – | 48.06% | 1.48% | – | 6.54% | 16.59% | 0.64% | 4.05% | – | 26.47% | 1.95% | 0.61% | 40.55% | 1.12% |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 1,733 | 49% | 1% | – | 7.5% | 16% | 1% | 1.5% | – | 30% | 2% | 0.5% | 40% | 0.5% |
Ifop | 25–27 Nov 2015 | 907 | – | 0.5% | – | 8% | 18% | 2% | 1.5% | – | 29% | 1.5% | <0.5% | 39% | 0.5% |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 808 | – | 1% | – | 8% | 16% | 0.5% | 2% | – | 28% | 1% | 0.5% | 42% | 1% |
Ipsos | 19–21 Nov 2015 | 830 | 51% | 1% | – | 8% | 16% | 1% | 1% | – | 30% | 2% | 0.5% | 40% | 0.5% |
Ifop-Fiducial | 17–20 Nov 2015 | 919 | – | 0.5% | – | 8.5% | 19% | 2% | 1% | – | 30% | 1.5% | <0.5% | 37% | 0.5% |
Ipsos | 10–13 Nov 2015 | 1,000 | 54% | 1% | – | 8% | 16% | 1% | 2% | – | 32% | 2% | 0.5% | 37% | 0.5% |
OpinionWay | 10–12 Nov 2015 | 833 | 52% | 1% | – | 8% | 18% | 1% | 2% | – | 31% | 2% | <1% | 37% | <1% |
Ifop | 13–17 Oct 2015 | 915 | – | 0.5% | – | 11.5% | 18% | 1.5% | – | – | 32% | 1.5% | <0.5% | 34% | 1% |
Odoxa | 12–16 Oct 2015 | 927 | – | 1.5% | – | 10% | 18% | 2% | – | – | 30% | 2% | 0.5% | 35% | 1% |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 798 | – | 1% | 10% | 16% | 2% | – | – | 32% | 2% | – | 36% | 1% | |
Ifop-Fiducial | 23–26 Jun 2015 | 905 | – | 1% | 7% | 7% (EELV) | 17% | – | – | 5% | 29% | 2% | – | 32% | – |
Second round
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Castaner PS–PRG–MRC–EELV–PCF-PG |
Estrosi LR–UDI–MoDem |
Maréchal-Le Pen FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 13 Dec 2015 | – | 39.69% | – | 54.78% | 45.22% |
BVA | 8–10 Dec 2015 | 828 | – | – | 51% | 49% |
Ifop-Fiducial | 8–9 Dec 2015 | 1,089 | – | – | 52% | 48% |
Harris Interactive | 7–9 Dec 2015 | 1,000 | – | – | 51% | 49% |
TNS Sofres | 7–8 Dec 2015 | 803 | – | – | 54% | 46% |
Odoxa | 6–8 Dec 2015 | 1,299 | – | – | 52% | 48% |
Ipsos | 20–29 Nov 2015 | 1,733 | – | 25% | 34% | 41% |
Ifop | 25–27 Nov 2015 | 907 | – | 27% | 34% | 39% |
BVA | 17–23 Nov 2015 | 808 | – | – | 50% | 50% |
25% | 32% | 43% | ||||
Ipsos | 19–21 Nov 2015 | 830 | – | 25% | 34% | 41% |
Ifop-Fiducial | 17–20 Nov 2015 | 919 | – | 29% | 33% | 38% |
Ipsos | 10–13 Nov 2015 | 1,000 | – | 26% | 36% | 38% |
OpinionWay | 10–12 Nov 2015 | 833 | – | – | 52% | 48% |
27% | 35% | 38% | ||||
43% | – | 57% | ||||
Ifop | 13–17 Oct 2015 | 915 | – | 28% | 36% | 36% |
Odoxa | 12–16 Oct 2015 | 927 | – | 29% | 34% | 37% |
BVA | 6–15 Oct 2015 | 798 | – | 27% | 36% | 37% |
Ifop-Fiducial | 23–26 Jun 2015 | 905 | – | 32% | 35% | 33% |
Guadeloupe
[edit]First round
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Nomertin CO |
Plaisir CIPPA |
Cadoce PCG |
Lurel PS |
Chalus GUSR |
Bernier LR–UDI–MoDem |
Seymour AG |
Yoyotte Nofrap |
Viennet FN |
Myre-Quidal UPLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 6 Dec 2015 | – | 52.79% | 1.42% | 1.85% | 0.92% | 41.09% | 43.55% | 4.49% | 3.18% | 1.58% | 1.40% | 0.50% |
Qualistat | 21–28 Oct 2015 | 565 | – | 3% | 3% | 2% | 41% | 43% | 6% | 1% | – | – | 1% |
French Guiana
[edit]First round
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Létard Walwari–EELV |
Taubira PPG |
Tien-Liong MDES |
Fabien Canavy MDES |
Chantal Berthelot PSG |
Rodolphe Alexandre GR |
Rémy-Louis Budoc LR |
Muriel Icaré Nourel UG |
Sylvio Létard DIG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 6 Dec 2015 | – | 57.38% | 7.10% | 0.97% | 30.24% | 5.71% | 8.49% | 42.34% | 3.08% | 1.59% | 0.48% |
Qualistat | 16–28 Nov 2015 | 504 | – | 6% | 4% | 23% | 7% | 13% | 43% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
Réunion
[edit]First round
[edit]Hugues Maillot was tested as list leader for Debout la France in the September 2015 Ipsos poll.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Payet LO |
Bello PLR–PS–EELV |
Lebreton PS–PCR |
Ratenon ARCP |
Robert MoDem |
Robert LR–UDI–OR |
Victoria LR |
Morel DLF |
Appadoo UPR |
Grondin FN |
Boyer NR |
Payet Demorun |
Allamèle DIV |
Mouen MCP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 6 Dec 2015 | – | 55.55% | 0.48% | 23.80% | 7.12% | 1.69% | 20.32% | 40.36% | 1.02% | 0.37% | 0.48% | 2.39% | 0.52% | 1.47% | – | – |
Abaksys | 23–28 Nov 2015 | 1,257 | – | 0.1% | 32.5% | 9.8% | 1.9% | 17.9% | 35.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | – | – |
Abaksys | 15–22 Oct 2015 | 1,177 | – | 0.0% | 31.5% | 8.3% | 0.7% | 17.9% | 38.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Ipsos | 8–15 Sep 2015 | 502 | – | 1% | 34.5% | 8% | 1% | 15% | 38% | – | 2% | – | 2.5% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
Second round
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Bello PLR–PS–EELV–MoDem–PCR |
Robert LR–UDI–OR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 13 Dec 2015 | – | 44.72% | 47.31% | 52.69% |
Ipsos | 8–10 Dec 2015 | 618 | – | 46.5% | 53.5% |
References
[edit]- ^ "Alsace-Champagne-Ardenne-Lorraine : pas "d'étiquette socialiste" pour Masseret s'il se maintient, indique le PS". franceinfo. Agence France-Presse. 7 December 2015. Retrieved 29 April 2018.
External links
[edit]- Notices of the French polling commission (in French)