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Opinion polling for the 1997 Canadian federal election

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Opinion polling for
Canadian federal elections
1988
Opinion polls
1993
Opinion polls
1997
Opinion polls
2000
Opinion polls
2004
Opinion polls

Polls leading up to the 1997 Canadian federal election.

National polls

[edit]
Voter intentions in years before the 1997 Canadian federal election
  Liberal Party of Canada
  Progressive Conservative Party of Canada
  Bloc Québécois
  New Democratic Party of Canada
  Reform Party

Campaign period

[edit]
Evolution of voting intentions at national level
Last day
of survey 		LPC Reform PC NDP BQ Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
Voting results 38.46 19.35 18.84 11.05 10.67 1.63
May 28, 1997 41 16 22 11 9 — Gallup 1,507 ± 2.5 PDF
May 28, 1997 39 19 20 11 9 1 Environics — ± 2.3 HTML
May 27, 1997 36 19 24 11 10 — Angus Reid 3,200 — PDF
May 27, 1997 41 18 19 11 10 — Strategic — — PDF
May 25, 1997 38 18 21 11 10 2 Ekos 3,000 ± 1.8 PDF
May 15, 1997 45 16 20 10 8 — Zogby 1,009 ± 3.2 [1]
May 15, 1997 40 18 25 9 7 1 Environics 1,912 — HTML
May 14, 1997 40 16 23 10 10 1 Strategic 1,200 — [2]
May 12, 1997 46 14 19 9 11 1 Gallup 1,004 ± 3.1 [1]
May 8, 1997 42 18 19 11 9 — Angus Reid 3,208 ± 2.3 HTML
May 4, 1997 48 15 16 10 8 — Zogby 1,005 ± 3.2 [3]
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)

During the 33rd Parliament of Canada

[edit]
Evolution of voting intentions at national level
Last day
of survey 		LPC Reform PC NDP BQ Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
April 25, 1997 47 13 18 13 13 — Compass 2,600 ± 1.9 [4]
April 22, 1997 44 15 20 11 8 — CROP 2,541 ± 2.0 PDF
March 31, 1997 41 17 18 12 11 1 Angus Reid 1,500 ± 2.5 PDF
March 31, 1997 47 12 16 12 12 1 Environics — — HTML
March 16, 1997 52 — 18 — 10 — Gallup 1,002 ± 3.1 PDF
Gilles Duceppe becomes head of Bloc Québécois (March 15, 1997)
January 27, 1997 45 11 19 10 11 4 Angus Reid 1,519 ± 2.5 PDF
December 2, 1996 47 11 18 11 11 1 Angus Reid 1,520 ± 2.5 PDF
November 1, 1996 50 11 14 11 13 1 Environics 2,015 ± 2.2 [5]
October 28, 1996 52 14 13 9 12 1 Angus Reid 1,502 ± 2.5 PDF
October 10, 1996 55 12 15 8 7 3 Angus Reid 3,000 ± 1.8 [6]
September 29, 1996 51 11 17 9 10 2 Angus Reid 1,516 ± 2.5 HTML
September 9, 1996 50 11 18 9 10 2 Gallup 1,001 ± 3.1 [7]
July 28, 1996 57 12 12 9 9 2 Angus Reid 1,516 ± 2.5 [8] PDF
June 2, 1996 53 13 16 — — — Angus Reid 1,516 ± 2.5 [9]
April 15, 1996 56 13 11 8 11 1 Gallup — — PDF
March 25, 1996 54 16 11 8 — — Angus Reid 1,520 ± 2.5 [10]
Michel Gauthier becomes head of Bloc Québécois (February 17, 1996)
February 13, 1996 55 13 11 8 13 — Gallup 1,007 ± 3.1 PDF
January 26, 1996 53 16 13 9 7 2 Angus Reid 1,511 ± 2.5 [11]
December 13, 1995 49 16 11 10 10 4 Angus Reid 1,506 ± 2.5 HTML
December 11, 1995 51 12 15 9 12 — Gallup 1,002 — PDF
November 26, 1995 52 15 13 9 9 2 Angus Reid 1,506 ± 2.5 HTML
November 1, 1995 56 12 14 8 8 2 Angus Reid 1,503 ± 2.5 HTML
Alexa McDonough becomes head of New Democratic Party (October 14, 1995)
September 24, 1995 58 14 12 7 8 1 Angus Reid 1,506 ± 2.5 HTML
September 11, 1995 54 13 16 8 9 — Gallup 1,004 ± 3.1 PDF
July 26, 1995 55 12 14 9 7 3 Angus Reid 1,501 — [12]
July 10, 1995 56 12 15 8 8 1 Gallup 1,005 ± 3.1 PDF
June 30, 1995 58 11 13 8 8 2 Angus Reid 1,500 — [13]
May 30, 1995 57 13 11 8 — — Angus Reid 1,500 ± 2.5 [14]
March 12, 1995 62 12 8 5 11 — Gallup 1,004 ± 3.0 PDF
February 12, 1995 55 14 8 8 — — Gallup 1,005 — 1 2
January 23, 1995 54 14 9 6 10 7 Angus Reid 1,500 ± 2.5 [15]
January 15, 1995 58 12 11 5 14 0 Gallup 1,003 ± 3.1 [16]
November 7, 1994 63 11 8 5 12 1 Gallup 1,011 ± 3.1 PDF [17]
October 1, 1994 62 13 6 4 8 6 Angus Reid — — PDF [18]
September 7, 1994 60 10 12 5 12 1 Gallup 1,012 ± 3.1 PDF [19]
June 13, 1994 59 14 10 6 12 — Gallup 1,009 ± 3.1 PDF
June 1, 1994 55 16 8 7 9 5 Angus Reid 1,508 ± 2.5 [20] PDF
May 9, 1994 58 14 10 5 12 1 Gallup 1,009 ± 3.1 PDF
April 27, 1994 56 18 6 5 — — Angus Reid 1,506 ± 2.5 [21]
April 11, 1994 55 17 9 6 13 — Gallup 1,014 ± 3.1 PDF
March 22, 1994 58 18 7 4 10 — Angus Reid 1,508 ± 2.5 HTML
March 13, 1994 56 17 8 6 11 — Gallup 1,001 ± 3.1 PDF
February 24, 1994 58 20 5 4 9 5 Angus Reid 1,465 — 1 [22]
February 14, 1994 58 17 7 4 12 — Gallup 1,005 ± 3.1 PDF
January 17, 1994 57 18 7 5 12 — Gallup 1,001 ± 3.1 [23]
Jean Charest becomes head of Progressive Conservative Party (December 14, 1993)
December 14, 1993 56 17 8 7 11 — Gallup 1,000 ± 3.1 PDF
Election 1993 41.24 18.69 16.04 6.88 13.52

By geographic area

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In the Atlantic provinces

[edit]
Evolution of voting intentions in the Atlantic provinces
Last day
of survey 		LPC Reform PC NDP Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
Voting result[24] 32.8 9.0 33.8 23.7 0.7
May 27, 1997 28 — 28 29 — Strategic Counsel — — [25]
May 15, 1997 44 6 34 16 0 Environics — — [26]
May 8, 1997 40 10 31 18 — Angus Reid 203 ± 7.0 HTML
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)
April 22, 1997 45 7 32 15 — CROP 316 ± 6.0 PDF
April 22, 1997 42 9 25 23 0 Angus Reid 97 — PDF
March 31, 1997 40 7 31 22 0 Angus Reid 95 — PDF
March 31, 1997 50 5 23 22 0 Environics — — [26]
January 27, 1997 49 3 32 13 3 Angus Reid 112 — PDF
December 2, 1996 51 1 32 16 0 Angus Reid 113 — PDF
July 28, 1996 63 8 18 11 0 Angus Reid 87 — PDF
October 1, 1994 68 8 16 5 3 Angus Reid — — PDF [18]
February 24, 1994 65 11 5 12 6 Angus Reid 115 — PDF [22]

In Québec

[edit]
Evolution of voting intentions in Québec
Last day
of survey 		LPC Reform PC NDP BQ Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
Voting results 36.7 0.3 22.2 2.0 37.9 0.9
May 28, 1997 37 — 29 — 33 — Gallup — — PDF
May 28, 1997 35 3 26 3 36 3 Léger — — 1 2
May 27, 1997 33 1 28 2 35 1 SOM 1,002 ± 3.7 PDF
May 27, 1997 37 — 23 — 37 — Strategic Counsel 608 — [25]
May 26, 1997 32 1 28 2 36 0 CROP 1,007 ± 3.0 PDF
May 25, 1997 30 — 26 — 40 — Ekos — — PDF
May 23, 1997 34 — 31 — 33 2 Léger — — PDF
May 21, 1997 34 — 30 — 31 5 SOM — — PDF
May 16, 1997 33 — 30 — 35 2 Léger 1,004 ± 3.1 1 2
May 15, 1997 32 1 36 4 27 0 Environics 507 — PDF [26]
May 12, 1997 36 — 19 — 37 8 SOM — — PDF
May 10, 1997 37 — 20 — 38 5 CROP — — PDF
May 9, 1997 39 — 20 — 37 4 Léger — — PDF
May 8, 1997 38 — 20 4 36 6 Angus Reid 796 ± 3.5 HTML
May 7, 1997 39 — 13 — 39 9 SOM — — PDF
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)
April 23, 1997 35 — 17 — 40 3 SOM — — PDF
April 22, 1997 37 1 25 3 35 — CROP — — PDF
April 22, 1997 36 1 9 4 49 0 Angus Reid 340 — PDF
April 22, 1997 37 1 15 3 43 1 Léger 1,006 ± 3.1 [27] PDF
April 13, 1997 37 — 15 — 44 5 Sondagem 1,065 ± 3.1 PDF
March 31, 1997 36 2 14 3 44 1 Angus Reid 334 — PDF
March 31, 1997 42 0 10 2 44 2 Environics — — PDF [26]
March 23, 1997 31 — 17 — 48 3 CROP — — PDF
March 16, 1997 47 — 10 — 41 — Gallup — ± 6.0 PDF
February 26, 1997 41 1 10 2 45 1 Léger 1,000 ± 3.1 [28] PDF
January 29, 1997 36 0 10 5 45 4 Léger 1,002 ± 3.1 [29] PDF
January 27, 1997 37 1 11 5 41 5 Angus Reid 359 — PDF
December 17, 1996 33 — 14 — 45 8 CROP 1,002 ± 3.0 PDF
December 12, 1996 37 0 13 3 44 3 Léger 1,005 ± 3.1 [30] PDF
December 2, 1996 33 1 12 5 45 2 Angus Reid 347 — PDF
November 1, 1996 39 — 8 — 48 — Environics — — [5]
October 28, 1996 40 2 9 2 46 1 Angus Reid 333 — PDF
October 23, 1996 39 — 14 — 42 5 SOM 1,000 ± 3.7 PDF
September 29, 1996 38 1 16 2 40 3 Angus Reid 347 — PDF
August 22, 1996 35 0 10 4 47 4 Léger 1,001 ± 3.1 [31] PDF
July 28, 1996 36 2 9 1 47 5 Angus Reid 247 — PDF
May 27, 1996 35 2 10 2 51 — CROP 1,009 ± 3.0 PDF
May 21, 1996 30 2 15 3 46 4 SOM 2,007 — PDF
March 17, 1996 35 — 8 — 53 4 CROP — — PDF
February 20, 1996 33 — 7 — 54 6 CROP — — PDF
February 13, 1996 41 — 2 2 54 — Gallup — — PDF
January 25, 1996 29 1 9 3 46 12 Léger 1,005 ± 3.1 [32]
January 23, 1996 34 — 5 — 55 6 CROP — — PDF
December 11, 1995 43 — 6 — 48 — Gallup — — PDF
November 26, 1995 43 — — — 41 — Angus Reid 400 — HTML
November 1, 1995 42 3 13 2 36 4 Angus Reid 400 — [1] [2]
September 24, 1995 52 — — — 33 — Angus Reid 400 — HTML
September 11, 1995 54 — — — 37 — Gallup — ± 6.0 PDF
August 23, 1995 38 2 7 4 47 3 Léger 1,003 ± 3.1 [33] PDF
July 26, 1995 53 — — — 30 — Angus Reid — — [12]
July 10, 1995 58 — — — 33 — Gallup 269 ± 6.0 PDF
June 20, 1995 37 1 11 0 46 6 Léger 1,005 ± 3.1 [34] PDF
March 22, 1995 36 2 5 1 54 2 Léger 1,005 ± 3.1 [35] PDF
March 12, 1995 51 — — — 42 — Gallup 267 ± 6.0 PDF
February 12, 1995 42 — 4 3 51 — Gallup 268 — PDF
February 8, 1995 42 — 3 — 48 7 CROP — — PDF
January 23, 1995 44 — — — 39 — Angus Reid — — [15]
October 1, 1994 47 0 3 2 33 11 Angus Reid 299 — PDF [18]
June 13, 1994 50 — 2 — 47 — Gallup 272 ± 6.0 PDF
June 1, 1994 50 — — — 37 — Angus Reid 401 — PDF
May 9, 1994 37 — 9 — 52 — Gallup 272 ± 6.0 PDF
April 27, 1994 44 — — — 39 — Angus Reid — — [21]
April 11, 1994 41 — — — 52 — Gallup 272 — PDF
March 22, 1994 41 — 6 3 49 2 CROP — — PDF
March 22, 1994 48 — — — 42 — Angus Reid 401 — HTML
March 13, 1994 48 — 3 — 47 — Gallup — — PDF
February 24, 1994 51 0 3 1 38 6 Angus Reid 309 — PDF [22]
February 21, 1994 47 — 5 2 43 3 CROP — — PDF
February 14, 1994 43 — — — 49 — Gallup 268 ± 6.0 PDF
January 17, 1994 47 — — — 46 — Gallup 268 ± 6.0 [23]
December 14, 1993 40 — — — 49 — Gallup 268 ± 6.0 PDF
Election 1993 33.0 – 13.5 1.5 49.3 2.7

In Ontario

[edit]
Evolution of voting intentions in Ontario
Last day
of survey 		LPC Reform PC NDP Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
Voting results 49.5 19.1 18.8 10.7 1.9
May 15, 1997 49 17 22 10 1 Environics — — [26]
May 8, 1997 52 16 19 12 — Angus Reid 605 ± 4.0 HTML
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)
April 22, 1997 54 16 18 12 — CROP 414 ± 5.0 PDF
April 22, 1997 46 17 25 11 1 Angus Reid 482 — PDF
March 31, 1997 53 14 19 12 1 Angus Reid 467 — PDF
March 31, 1997 56 11 18 15 1 Environics — — [26]
January 27, 1997 52 10 25 9 3 Angus Reid 510 — PDF
December 2, 1996 57 10 22 11 0 Angus Reid 505 — PDF
November 1, 1996 65 6 17 11 1 Environics — — [5]
September 29, 1996 57 9 21 11 1 Angus Reid 497 — PDF
July 28, 1996 67 10 15 7 1 Angus Reid 407 — PDF
October 1, 1994 75 12 5 5 2 Angus Reid — — PDF [18]
February 24, 1994 64 23 6 4 4 Angus Reid 488 — PDF [22]
Election 1993 52.9 20.1 17.6 6.0 3.4

In the Prairies

[edit]
Evolution of voting intentions in Prairies (Manitoba and Saskatchewan)
Last day
of survey 		LPC Reform PC NDP Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
Voting result[24] 29.7 29.6 13.0 26.9 0.9
May 15, 1997 38 26 22 14 1 Environics — — [26]
May 8, 1997 34 25 16 25 — Angus Reid 201 ± 7.0 HTML
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)
March 31, 1997 37 28 17 18 0 Angus Reid 97 — PDF
March 31, 1997 45 14 18 22 1 Environics — — [26]
April 22, 1997 39 22 15 22 — CROP 320 ± 6.0 PDF
April 22, 1997 52 19 9 20 — Angus Reid 95 — PDF
January 27, 1997 42 9 19 24 6 Angus Reid 102 — PDF
December 2, 1996 40 13 17 29 2 Angus Reid 104 — PDF
July 28, 1996 53 18 8 21 0 Angus Reid 69 — PDF
October 1, 1994 63 20 8 3 5 Angus Reid — — PDF [18]
February 24, 1994 66 17 3 7 7 Angus Reid 97 — PDF [22]

In Alberta

[edit]
Evolution of voting intentions in Alberta
Last day
of survey 		LPC Reform PC NDP Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
Voting results 24.0 54.6 14.4 5.7 1.3
May 15, 1997 30 40 21 8 1 Environics — — [26]
May 8, 1997 31 41 21 6 — Angus Reid 703 ± 3.5 HTML
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)
April 22, 1997 29 31 27 9 — CROP 285 ± 6.0 PDF
April 22, 1997 36 29 27 8 0 Angus Reid 129 — PDF
March 31, 1997 26 38 26 10 0 Angus Reid 132 — PDF
March 31, 1997 30 32 28 9 1 Environics — — [26]
January 27, 1997 39 33 17 6 5 Angus Reid 126 — PDF
December 2, 1996 34 35 25 6 0 Angus Reid 126 — PDF
September 29, 1996 43 36 17 4 1 Angus Reid 120 — PDF
July 28, 1996 39 37 17 8 0 Angus Reid 103 — PDF
March 25, 1996 35 47 13 3 2 Angus Reid 94 — PDF
January 26, 1996 29 50 13 7 1 Angus Reid 88 — PDF
November 26, 1995 32 48 — — — Angus Reid 135 — HTML
September 24, 1995 51 36 — — — Angus Reid 137 — HTML
January 23, 1995 35 44 — — — Angus Reid — — [36]
October 1, 1994 49 32 11 2 6 Angus Reid — — PDF [18]
June 1, 1994 52 41 — — — Angus Reid — — PDF
February 24, 1994 40 49 6 1 4 Angus Reid 112 — PDF [22]
Election 1993 25.1 52.3 14.6 4.1 3.9

In British Columbia

[edit]
Evolution of voting intentions in British Columbia
Last day
of survey 		LPC Reform PC NDP Other Polling firm Sample ME Source
Voting results 28.8 43.1 6.2 18.2 3.7
May 15, 1997 39 40 9 12 0 Environics — — [26]
May 8, 1997 34 41 6 17 — Angus Reid — — HTML
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)
April 22, 1997 40 30 9 18 — CROP — — PDF
April 22, 1997 41 33 10 13 2 Angus Reid 159 — PDF
March 31, 1997 34 36 10 17 4 Angus Reid 169 — PDF
March 31, 1997 45 27 8 19 1 Environics — — [26]
January 27, 1997 39 26 12 17 6 Angus Reid 169 — PDF
September 29, 1996 56 23 5 14 2 Angus Reid 165 — PDF
July 28, 1996 55 19 4 19 3 Angus Reid 139 — PDF
March 25, 1996 51 30 4 13 1 Angus Reid 140 — PDF
January 26, 1996 55 27 4 12 2 Angus Reid 135 — PDF
October 1, 1994 54 24 2 10 9 Angus Reid — — PDF [18]
June 1, 1994 48 35 — — — Angus Reid — — PDF
February 24, 1994 53 34 0 7 6 Angus Reid 160 — PDF [22]
Election 1993 28.1 36.4 13.5 15.5 6.5

Notes

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ a b Canadian Press (May 17, 1997). "Tories make gains in polls". The Guardian (Charlottetown). pp. A5.
  2. ^ James Travers (May 17, 1997). "Liberals hold massive lead, new poll says". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
  3. ^ Canadian Press (May 6, 1997). "Liberal support strong, poll finds". Waterloo Region Record. pp. A4.
  4. ^ "Liberal landslide predicted". Waterloo Region Record. May 1, 1997. pp. A4.
  5. ^ a b c "The Globe and Mail Environics Poll". The Globe and Mail. November 18, 1996. p. A1.
  6. ^ "Liberals not a sure bet, Angus Reid poll shows". Waterloo Region Record. October 30, 1996. pp. E10.
  7. ^ "Les libéraux ont l'appui de 50 % des Canadiens". La Presse (in French). September 12, 1996. pp. B6.
  8. ^ "Reform party, Manning given thumbs down". The Hamilton Spectator. July 31, 1996. pp. A4.
  9. ^ "Reform's loss is PCs' gain, poll finds". Waterloo Region Record. June 10, 1996. pp. A3.
  10. ^ "Grits slip slightly but still outpace rivals, poll says". The Daily News (Halifax). March 30, 1996. p. 16.
  11. ^ "Liberals backed by 53%, poll says". Waterloo Region Record. February 1, 1996. pp. A10.
  12. ^ a b "Canada's Liberals Maintain big lead in polls". Reuters News. August 1, 1995.
  13. ^ "Canadian Conservatives rebounding in popularity". Reuters News. July 11, 1995.
  14. ^ Doug Fisher (June 7, 1995). "Tories gaining, poll shows". The Daily News (Halifax). p. 11.
  15. ^ a b Vicki Thomas (February 6, 1995). "Honeymoon a bit strained, but still going". The Daily News (Halifax). p. 8.
  16. ^ The Canadian Press (January 19, 1995). "Liberals ahead, poll indicates". Waterloo Region Record. pp. E8.
  17. ^ The Canadian Press (November 11, 1994). "63 per cent back Liberals Gallup finds". Toronto Star. pp. A14.
  18. ^ a b c d e f g "National notebook". The Globe and Mail. October 22, 1994. pp. A6.
  19. ^ The Canadian Press (September 16, 1994). "Reform sagging - Gallup". Edmonton Journal. pp. A3.
  20. ^ Joan Bryden (June 7, 1994). "Grits' honeymoon gets sweeter still". The Daily News (Halifax). p. 12.
  21. ^ a b "Grits' honeymoon lingers after six months poll says". The Daily News (Halifax). April 30, 1994. p. 12.
  22. ^ a b c d e f g Hugh Windsor (March 1, 1994). "Liberal support keeps growing, Reid poll finds". The Globe and Mail. pp. A4.
  23. ^ a b "Libéraux fédéraux toujours au zénith". Le Soleil. January 20, 1994. pp. A6.
  24. ^ a b "Tableau 8 - Nombre de votes valides, par appartenance politique". www.elections.ca. Retrieved October 10, 2020.
  25. ^ a b James Travers (May 29, 1997). "Liberals still hold big lead, poll shows Charest loses ground, Reform and Bloc battle for second". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
  26. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Hugh Windsor (May 17, 1997). "Tories gaining strength in Quebec". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  27. ^ Richard Mackie (May 25, 1997). "Bloc Mayntains lead over Liberals". The Globe and Mail. pp. A4.
  28. ^ Richard Mackie (March 1, 1997). "Budget a hit in Quebec, poll finds". The Globe and Mail. pp. A5.
  29. ^ Richard Mackie (February 1, 1997). "Belief in sovereign Quebec falters". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  30. ^ Richard Mackie (December 19, 1996). "Bouchard losing voter support". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  31. ^ Richard Mackie (August 24, 1996). "Quebec sovereigntists take slight lead". The Globe and Mail. pp. A8.
  32. ^ Richard Mackie (January 27, 1996). "Most Quebeckers expect separation within 10 years". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  33. ^ Hugh Windsor (August 25, 1995). "Sovereignty drive seems to be stalled". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  34. ^ Richard Mackie (June 22, 1995). "Sovereignty-association option slides below 50 per cent". The Globe and Mail. pp. A8.
  35. ^ Richard Mackie (March 24, 1995). "No vote still solid, poll finds". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  36. ^ The Canadian Press (February 6, 1995). "Poll shows Grits still voters' choice". Hamilton Spectator. pp. B5.
[edit]
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