2028 Bavarian state election
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All 203 seats in the Landtag of Bavaria (including 23 overhang and leveling seats) 102 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections to the Landtag of Bavaria will be held in 2028.
Opinion polls
[edit]Party polling
[edit]Polling firm[1] | Fieldwork date | Sample size | CSU | FW | AfD | Grüne | SPD | FDP | Linke | BSW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civey | 1–15 Nov 2024 | 5,008 | 44 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 32 |
Civey | 11–18 Oct 2024 | 5,001 | 42 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 7 | – | – | – | 14 | 28 |
INSA | 7–14 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 43 | 11 | 18 | 10 | 8 | – | – | 5 | 5 | 25 |
GMS | 11–16 Sep 2024 | 1,048 | 42 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 30 |
Civey | 5–12 Sep 2024 | 5,002 | 42 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | – | 8 | 27 |
Civey | 9–16 Aug 2024 | 5,002 | 42 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | – | 8 | 28 |
Forsa | 22 Jul – 2 Aug 2024 | 1,036 | 43 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 2 | – | 4 | 7 | 30 |
Civey | 11–18 Jul 2024 | 5,004 | 42 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | – | 8 | 28 |
Civey | 7–14 Jun 2024 | 5,004 | 41 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | – | 7 | 27 |
Civey | 3–10 May 2024 | 5,005 | 41 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | – | 7 | 27 |
GMS | 30 Apr – 6 May 2024 | 1,023 | 41 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 26 |
Civey | 4–11 Apr 2024 | 5,002 | 42 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 7 | – | – | – | 11 | 28 |
Civey | 8–15 Mar 2024 | 5,001 | 42 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | – | 7 | 28 |
Civey | 9–16 Feb 2024 | 5,001 | 40 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 8 | – | – | – | 11 | 26 |
GMS | 31 Jan – 5 Feb 2024 | 1,018 | 42 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 27 |
Infratest dimap | 11–15 Jan 2024 | 1,161 | 40 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 3 | – | – | 9 | 25 |
Civey | 4–11 Jan 2024 | 5,000 | 41 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 8 | – | – | – | 10 | 27 |
GMS | 27 Dec – 2 Jan 2024 | 1,002 | 41 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | – | 6 | 25 |
Civey | 8–15 Dec 2023 | 4,999 | 41 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 8 | – | – | – | 10 | 27 |
Civey | 10–17 Nov 2023 | 5,001 | 40 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | – | 6 | 26 |
2023 state election | 8 Oct 2023 | – | 37.0 | 15.8 | 14.6 | 14.4 | 8.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | – | 5.3 | 21.2 |
References
[edit]- ^ "Sonntagsfrage zur Landtagswahl in Bayern". Wahlrecht.de (in German). Retrieved 2022-05-07.