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2028 Bavarian state election

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Next Bavarian state election

← 2023 2028 (2028) Next →

All 203 seats in the Landtag of Bavaria (including 23 overhang and leveling seats)
102 seats needed for a majority
 
Party CSU FW AfD
Last election 85 seats, 37.0% 37 seats, 15.8% 32 seats, 14.6%

 
Party Greens SPD
Last election 32 seats, 14.4% 17 seats, 8.4%

Incumbent Government

Third Söder cabinet
CSUFW



Elections to the Landtag of Bavaria will be held in 2028.

Opinion polls

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Party polling

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Polling firm[1] Fieldwork date Sample size CSU FW AfD Grüne SPD FDP Linke BSW Others Lead
Civey 1–15 Nov 2024 5,008 44 11 12 11 8 2 1 4 7 32
Civey 11–18 Oct 2024 5,001 42 12 14 11 7 14 28
INSA 7–14 Oct 2024 1,000 43 11 18 10 8 5 5 25
GMS 11–16 Sep 2024 1,048 42 11 12 10 7 2 1 6 9 30
Civey 5–12 Sep 2024 5,002 42 13 15 12 7 2 1 8 27
Civey 9–16 Aug 2024 5,002 42 13 14 11 8 3 1 8 28
Forsa 22 Jul2 Aug 2024 1,036 43 12 13 11 8 2 4 7 30
Civey 11–18 Jul 2024 5,004 42 13 14 11 8 3 1 8 28
Civey 7–14 Jun 2024 5,004 41 13 14 13 8 3 1 7 27
Civey 3–10 May 2024 5,005 41 14 14 13 7 3 1 7 27
GMS 30 Apr6 May 2024 1,023 41 15 11 13 7 2 2 3 6 26
Civey 4–11 Apr 2024 5,002 42 14 13 13 7 11 28
Civey 8–15 Mar 2024 5,001 42 14 13 14 7 2 1 7 28
Civey 9–16 Feb 2024 5,001 40 13 14 14 8 11 26
GMS 31 Jan5 Feb 2024 1,018 42 15 13 12 6 2 1 3 6 27
Infratest dimap 11–15 Jan 2024 1,161 40 13 15 13 7 3 9 25
Civey 4–11 Jan 2024 5,000 41 13 14 14 8 10 27
GMS 27 Dec2 Jan 2024 1,002 41 16 14 13 6 3 1 6 25
Civey 8–15 Dec 2023 4,999 41 13 14 14 8 10 27
Civey 10–17 Nov 2023 5,001 40 13 13 14 9 3 2 6 26
2023 state election 8 Oct 2023 37.0 15.8 14.6 14.4 8.4 3.0 1.5 5.3 21.2

References

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  1. ^ "Sonntagsfrage zur Landtagswahl in Bayern". Wahlrecht.de (in German). Retrieved 2022-05-07.